Insulin resistance predicts rapid virological response in non-diabetic, non-cirrhotic genotype 1 HCV patients treated with peginterferon alpha-2b plus ribavirin.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: The rapid decline in hepatitis C virus RNA is crucial for determining the outcome of therapy in patients with genotype 1 chronic hepatitis C. However, the variables influencing the early phase of viral decay are still largely unexplored. We aimed to assess which pre-treatment variable may predict rapid virologic response (RVR) and sustained virologic response (SVR). METHODS: We evaluated 90 consecutive non-diabetic patients with genotype 1 chronic hepatitis C without cirrhosis, treated with peginterferon alpha-2b plus ribavirin. Viral load (COBAS Amplicore, Roche) was measured at 1, 4 and 12 weeks after starting treatment, and then 24 weeks after the end of treatment. RESULTS: The overall SVR was 47%. The SVR in patients with RVR was 100%. Age, GGT levels, viral load, steatosis, fibrosis and HOMA-IR were significantly associated with RVR in univariate analysis. After logistic regression, HOMA-IR proved to be the strongest independent predictor of RVR (OR 0.37, 95% CI: 0.16-0.89; p=0.027), whereas fibrosis had a weaker independent association with RVR (OR 0.32, 95% CI: 0.1-1.04; p=0.057). Among the eight pre-treatment variables, both BMI and steatosis were significantly associated with HOMA-IR, either in univariate or in multivariate analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that insulin resistance is strongly associated with RVR, thus reflecting the important role played by metabolic factors in the early phase of viral kinetics. HOMA-IR would appear to be a useful tool in predicting RVR and should be evaluated at baseline in all chronic hepatitis C patients before initiating antiviral treatment.

Liver transplantation and recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma: predictive value of nodule size in a retrospective and explant study.

BACKGROUND: Recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after liver transplantation (LT) remains a major cause of post-LT death. METHODS: To assess which preoperative and postoperative variables were related to recurrence of HCC after LT in patients with cirrhosis and HCC, we evaluated 96 patients with cirrhosis (74 with known HCC and 22 with incidental HCC) who survived more than 1 month after LT. RESULTS: The median waiting list time was 36 days (range 1-370 days), and the median interval from detection to transplant was 180 days (range 14-1460 days). The size of largest nodule on imaging was strongly associated with recurrence (odds ratio 1.03; 95% confidence interval 0.99-1.06; P=0.064) when transplantation was performed for known HCC. Among postoperative variables, only the largest nodule diameter (independently of the number of smaller nodules) was multivariately associated with recurrence (odds ratio 1.05; 95% confidence interval 1.01-1.08; P=0.005). The best predictive cutoff was 35 mm in diameter, based on a receiver operating curve with 1-, 3-, and 5-year recurrence-free survival of 90%, 73%, and 49%, respectively, for patients with a nodule 35 mm in diameter or more compared with 96%, 93%, and 89% (P=0.0005), respectively, for patients with smaller nodules. CONCLUSIONS: In our cohort with a short waiting list time, only the largest nodule diameter, especially in the explant, predicted recurrence after LT independently of the number of nodules. New proposals for increasing the diameter of the largest nodule as a selection criteria for LT do not agree with our data, which on the contrary indicate the optimal nodule diameter should be 35 mm or less.