Development and validation of a multivariable model for prediction of malignant transformation and recurrence of oral epithelial dysplasia.

BACKGROUND: Oral epithelial dysplasia (OED) is the precursor to oral squamous cell carcinoma which is amongst the top ten cancers worldwide. Prognostic significance of conventional histological features in OED is not well established. Many additional histological abnormalities are seen in OED, but are insufficiently investigated, and have not been correlated to clinical outcomes. METHODS: A digital quantitative analysis of epithelial cellularity, nuclear geometry, cytoplasm staining intensity and epithelial architecture/thickness is conducted on 75 OED whole-slide images (252 regions of interest) with feature-specific comparisons between grades and against non-dysplastic/control cases. Multivariable models were developed to evaluate prediction of OED recurrence and malignant transformation. The best performing models were externally validated on unseen cases pooled from four different centres (n = 121), of which 32% progressed to cancer, with an average transformation time of 45 months. RESULTS: Grade-based differences were seen for cytoplasmic eosin, nuclear eccentricity, and circularity in basal epithelial cells of OED (p < 0.05). Nucleus circularity was associated with OED recurrence (p = 0.018) and epithelial perimeter associated with malignant transformation (p = 0.03). The developed model demonstrated superior predictive potential for malignant transformation (AUROC 0.77) and OED recurrence (AUROC 0.74) as compared with conventional WHO grading (AUROC 0.68 and 0.71, respectively). External validation supported the prognostic strength of this model. CONCLUSIONS: This study supports a novel prognostic model which outperforms existing grading systems. Further studies are warranted to evaluate its significance for OED prognostication.

Assessment of Ki-67 and mitoses in pituitary neuroendocrine tumours-Consistency counts.

Pituitary neuroendocrine tumour Ki-67 proliferation index varies according to the number of tumour cells assessed. Consistent Ki-67 scoring approaches and re-evaluation of the recommended Ki-67 3% cut-off are required to clarify controversies in pituitary neuroendocrine tumour Ki-67 proliferation index assessment.

A fully automated and explainable algorithm for predicting malignant transformation in oral epithelial dysplasia.

Oral epithelial dysplasia (OED) is a premalignant histopathological diagnosis given to lesions of the oral cavity. Its grading suffers from significant inter-/intra-observer variability, and does not reliably predict malignancy progression, potentially leading to suboptimal treatment decisions. To address this, we developed an artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm, that assigns an Oral Malignant Transformation (OMT) risk score based on the Haematoxylin and Eosin (H&E) stained whole slide images (WSIs). Our AI pipeline leverages an in-house segmentation model to detect and segment both nuclei and epithelium. Subsequently, a shallow neural network utilises interpretable morphological and spatial features, emulating histological markers, to predict progression. We conducted internal cross-validation on our development cohort (Sheffield; n = 193 cases) and independent validation on two external cohorts (Birmingham and Belfast; n = 89 cases). On external validation, the proposed OMTscore achieved an AUROC = 0.75 (Recall = 0.92) in predicting OED progression, outperforming other grading systems (Binary: AUROC = 0.72, Recall = 0.85). Survival analyses showed the prognostic value of our OMTscore (C-index = 0.60, p = 0.02), compared to WHO (C-index = 0.64, p = 0.003) and binary grades (C-index = 0.65, p < 0.001). Nuclear analyses elucidated the presence of peri-epithelial and intra-epithelial lymphocytes in highly predictive patches of transforming cases (p < 0.001). This is the first study to propose a completely automated, explainable, and externally validated algorithm for predicting OED transformation. Our algorithm shows comparable-to-human-level performance, offering a promising solution to the challenges of grading OED in routine clinical practice.

HistoClean: Open-source software for histological image pre-processing and augmentation to improve development of robust convolutional neural networks.

The growth of digital pathology over the past decade has opened new research pathways and insights in cancer prediction and prognosis. In particular, there has been a surge in deep learning and computer vision techniques to analyse digital images. Common practice in this area is to use image pre-processing and augmentation to prevent bias and overfitting, creating a more robust deep learning model. This generally requires consultation of documentation for multiple coding libraries, as well as trial and error to ensure that the techniques used on the images are appropriate. Herein we introduce HistoClean; a user-friendly, graphical user interface that brings together multiple image processing modules into one easy to use toolkit. HistoClean is an application that aims to help bridge the knowledge gap between pathologists, biomedical scientists and computer scientists by providing transparent image augmentation and pre-processing techniques which can be applied without prior coding knowledge. In this study, we utilise HistoClean to pre-process images for a simple convolutional neural network used to detect stromal maturity, improving the accuracy of the model at a tile, region of interest, and patient level. This study demonstrates how HistoClean can be used to improve a standard deep learning workflow via classical image augmentation and pre-processing techniques, even with a relatively simple convolutional neural network architecture. HistoClean is free and open-source and can be downloaded from the Github repository here: https://github.com/HistoCleanQUB/HistoClean.