Development and internal validation of clinical prediction models for outcomes of complicated intra-abdominal infection.

BACKGROUND: Complicated intra-abdominal infections (cIAIs) are associated with significant morbidity and mortality. The aim of this study was to describe the clinical characteristics of patients with cIAI in a multicentre study and to develop clinical prediction models (CPMs) to help identify patients at risk of mortality or relapse. METHODS: A multicentre observational study was conducted from August 2016 to February 2017 in the UK. Adult patients diagnosed with cIAI were included. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to develop CPMs for mortality and cIAI relapse. The c-statistic was used to test model discrimination. Model calibration was tested using calibration slopes and calibration in the large (CITL). The CPMs were then presented as point scoring systems and validated further. RESULTS: Overall, 417 patients from 31 surgical centres were included in the analysis. At 90 days after diagnosis, 17.3 per cent had a cIAI relapse and the mortality rate was 11.3 per cent. Predictors in the mortality model were age, cIAI aetiology, presence of a perforated viscus and source control procedure. Predictors of cIAI relapse included the presence of collections, outcome of initial management, and duration of antibiotic treatment. The c-statistic adjusted for model optimism was 0.79 (95 per cent c.i. 0.75 to 0.87) and 0.74 (0.73 to 0.85) for mortality and cIAI relapse CPMs. Adjusted calibration slopes were 0.88 (95 per cent c.i. 0.76 to 0.90) for the mortality model and 0.91 (0.88 to 0.94) for the relapse model; CITL was -0.19 (95 per cent c.i. -0.39 to -0.12) and - 0.01 (- 0.17 to -0.03) respectively. CONCLUSION: Relapse of infection and death after complicated intra-abdominal infections are common. Clinical prediction models were developed to identify patients at increased risk of relapse or death after treatment, these now require external validation.

Residual effects of repeated doses of 0.5 and 1 mg flunitrazepam.

9 normal subjects were tested on a large battery of tests the morning after a hypnotic dose of flunitrazepam (0.5 mg and 1 mg) and a placebo. Each drug was given for 8 nights and assessments were made 10 and 13 h later on days 1, 4 and 8. Self-ratings of sleep were made every morning. The tests comprised mood and bodily symptom self-ratings, taping rate, visual reaction time, symbol copying and substitution tests, critical flicker fusion threshold, digit span and cancellation test. The EEG was recorded under eyes open and eyes closed conditions and analysed using broad waveband filters. Subjectively, the 0.5 mg dose was associated with increased alertness, contentment and calmness, the 1 mg dose with minimal decrease in alertness and contentment. Sleep onset was accelerated by flunitrazepam initially but effects on quality of sleep were not major due to subject selection. The 1 mg dose occasionally impaired performance on tapping, symbol copying and substitution and critical flicker fusion. The 0.5 mg dose marginally impaired symbol substitution and improved symbol copying. The EEG showed definite dose-related effects which tended to increase over the 8 nights of ingestion of the drug. It is concluded that whereas the 1 mg dose may sometimes be associated with definite residual effects the next day, the 0.5 mg dose possesses positive qualities in producing useful subjective effects the next day without appreciable impairment of psychological performance.

The effects of citalopram in single and repeated doses and with alcohol on physiological and psychological measures in healthy subjects.

Citalopram, a selective 5-HT uptake inhibitor with antidepressant properties, was assessed in three studies in 12 healthy subjects using a battery of EEG, psychological, subjective and symptomatic measures. Study A involved the administration of citalopram, 20 mg and 40 mg, amitriptyline 50 mg and placebo in single dose using a balanced cross-over design. The test battery was applied before, and 1 and 3 h after each drug. Citalopram decreased slow-wave EEG activity whereas amitriptyline increased power in most EEG wavebands. Citalopram increased tapping rate and symbol copying whereas amitriptyline impaired these and other psychomotor tasks. Subjectively, amitriptyline was much more sedative than citalopram and produced more complaints of dry mouth. Study B comprised the administration of citalopram in the usual clinical dose of 40 mg, amitriptyline in the low clinical dose of 75 mg and placebo, each given for 9 nights using a balanced cross-over design. The test battery was applied on the first morning (pre-drug) and on the morning after the last nightly dose. None of the physiological tests showed any drug effects. Subjectively, citalopram was associated with feelings of shaking, nausea, loss of appetite and physical tiredness; amitriptyline produced feelings of shaking, nausea, loss of appetite, dryness of mouth, irritability, dizziness and indigestion; in general, amitriptyline effects were more marked than those of citalopram. Plasma samples were taken on the last day and plasma concentrations of both drugs and their metabolites were found to be in the expected range for the regimens used.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)