Serum non-esterified fatty acid levels and hip fracture risk: The Cardiovascular Health Study.

Among elderly participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study, we found that non-esterified trans fatty acid levels had a significant prospective association with hip fracture risk. Other non-esterified fatty acid classes were not associated with hip fracture risk. INTRODUCTION: Serum non-esterified fatty acids (NEFAs) are bioactive metabolic intermediates that can be taken up by bone tissue. Their associations with hip fracture risk have not been previously examined. METHODS: Thirty-five individual NEFAs in five classes (saturated [SFA], mono-un-saturated [MUFA], poly-unsaturated n-6 and n-3 [PUFA], and trans-FA) were measured in Cardiovascular Health Study participants (n = 2139, mean age 77.8 years) without known diabetes. The multivariable associations of NEFA levels with hip fracture risk were evaluated in Cox hazards models. RESULTS: We documented 303 incident hip fractures during 11.1 years of follow-up. Among the five NEFA classes, total trans FA levels were positively associated with higher hip fracture risk (HR 1.17 [95% CI, 1.04, 1.31; p = 0.01] per one standard deviation higher level). The SFA lignoceric acid (24:0) was positively associated with higher risk (HR 1.09 [1.04, 1.1]; p < 0.001), while behenic (22:0) and docosatetraenoic (22:4 n6) acids were associated with lower risk (HR 0.76 [0.61, 0.94]; p = 0.01; 0.84 [0.70, 1.00]; p = 0.05, respectively). CONCLUSION: Total plasma trans NEFA levels are related to hip fracture risk, suggesting an unrecognized benefit of their systematic removal from food. Novel associations of individual NEFAs with hip fracture risk require confirmation in other cohort studies.

A safe level of alcohol consumption: the right answer demands the right question.

Alcohol has been produced by humans for nearly ten millennia, but gold-standard evidence by which to judge the health effects of limited alcohol consumption remains elusive, introducing serious difficulty in considering the safety of alcohol consumption. To do so, physicians and policymakers must consider the population, dose and context of alcohol consumption and the end-point, preferably a holistic composite, of interest. The limitations of new research trends, such as mega-cohorts, genetic instrumental variable analysis and modelling studies, must also be viewed against the much larger backdrop of existing evidence. Some existing guidelines, such as the 2015-2020 Dietary Guidelines for Americans, succeed remarkably in this task. Nonetheless, large-scale randomized trials are urgently needed if future generations are to enjoy any greater insight into the health effects of population-wide alcohol consumption than the current one has.

Assessing risk factors of non-fatal outcomes amid a competing risk of mortality: the example of hip fracture.

The Fine-Gray method is often used instead of Cox regression to account for competing risks of death in time-to-event analyses for non-fatal outcomes. A series of examples using well-known risk factors of hip fracture in an older cohort with substantial competing mortality demonstrates that the Fine-Gray approach can yield estimates that implausibly contradict long-established associations, while Cox regression preserves them. Cox regression is generally preferred for risk factor-outcome associations even in the presence of competing risk of death. INTRODUCTION: Factors like age, sex, and race are associated not only with risk of hip fracture but also with mortality. Substantial misunderstanding remains regarding the appropriate statistical approach to account for the competing risk of mortality. METHODS: In the Cardiovascular Health Study, an ongoing cohort study of 5888 older adults, we followed participants for incident hip fracture from their 1992-1993 visit through June 2014. We contrasted the conventional cause-specific Cox analysis, which censors individuals at the time of death, with the Fine-Gray (FG) approach, which extends participant follow-up even after death, to estimate the association of well-established demographic and clinical factors with incident hip fracture. RESULTS: For age, current smoking and sex, Cox and FG methods yielded directionally concordant but quantitatively different strengths of association. For example, the Cox hazard ratio (HR) for a 5-year increment in age was 1.74 (95% CI, 1.61-1.87), while the corresponding FG HR was 1.16 (1.09-1.24). In contrast, the FG approach estimated a stronger association of hip fracture with sex. The two approaches yielded nearly identical results for race. For diabetes and kidney function, the estimates were discordant in direction, and the FG HRs suggested effects that were in the opposite direction of well-understood and widely accepted associations. CONCLUSIONS: Cause-specific Cox models provide appropriate estimates of hazard for non-fatal outcomes like hip fracture even in the presence of competing risk of mortality. The Cox approach estimates hazard in the population of individuals who have not yet had an incident hip fracture and remain alive, which is typically the group of clinical interest. The Fine-Gray method estimates hazard in a hypothetical population that can yield misleading inferences about risk factors in populations of clinical interest.

Biochemical markers of bone turnover and risk of incident hip fracture in older women: the Cardiovascular Health Study.

The relationships of osteocalcin (OC) and C-telopeptide of type I collagen (CTX) with long-term incidence of hip fracture were examined in 1680 post-menopausal women from a population-based study. CTX, but not OC, levels were associated with incident hip fracture in these participants, a relationship characterized by an inverted U-shape. INTRODUCTION: We sought to investigate the relationships of OC, a marker of bone formation, and CTX, a marker of bone resorption, with long-term incidence of hip fracture in older women. METHODS: We included 1680 women from the population-based Cardiovascular Health Study (mean [SD] age 74.5 [5.0] years). The longitudinal association of both markers with incidence of hip fracture was examined using multivariable Cox models. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 12.3 years, 288 incident hip fractures occurred. Linear spline analysis did not demonstrate an association between OC levels and incident hip fracture. By contrast, increasing levels of CTX up to the middle-upper range were associated with a significantly greater risk of hip fracture (HR = 1.52 per SD increment, 95% CI = 1.10-2.09), while further increases were associated with a marginally non-significant lower risk (HR = 0.80 per SD increment, 95% CI = 0.63-1.01), after full adjustment for potential confounders. In analyses of quartiles, CTX exhibited a similar inverted U-shaped relationship with incident fracture after adjustment, with a significant association observed only for the comparison of quartile 3 to quartile 1 (HR = 1.63, 95% CI = 1.10-2.43). In a subset with available measures, both OC and CTX were inversely associated with bone mineral density of the hip. CONCLUSION: CTX, but not OC, levels were associated with incident hip fracture in post-menopausal women, a relationship characterized by an inverted U-shape. These findings highlight the complex relationship of bone turnover markers with hip fracture risk.

Moderate alcohol consumption and depression - a longitudinal population-based study in Sweden.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The interrelationship between alcohol consumption and depression is complex, and the direction of the association is unclear. We investigated whether alcohol consumption influences the risk of depression while accounting for this potential bidirectionality. METHODS: A total of 10 441 individuals participated in the PART study in 1998-2000, 8622 in 2001-2003, and 5228 in 2010. Participants answered questions on their alcohol consumption, symptoms of depression, childhood adversity, and sociodemographic, socioeconomic, psychosocial, and lifestyle factors. A total of 5087 participants provided repeated information on alcohol consumption. We used marginal structural models to analyze the association between alcohol consumption and depression while controlling for previous alcohol consumption and depressive symptoms and other time-varying confounders. RESULTS: Non-drinkers had a higher depression risk than light drinkers (≤7 drinks/week) (risk ratio: 1.7; 95% confidence interval 1.3-2.1). Consumers of seven-fourteen drinks/week had a depression risk similar to that of light drinkers. Hazardous drinking was associated with a higher risk of depression than non-hazardous alcohol consumption (risk ratio: 1.8, 95% confidence interval: 1.4-2.4). CONCLUSION: Light and moderate alcohol consumption and non-hazardous drinking were associated with the lowest risk of subsequent depression after accounting for potential bidirectional effects. Hazardous drinking increased the risk of depression.

The associations of subclinical atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease with hip fracture risk and bone mineral density in elderly adults.

In the absence of clinically recognized cardiovascular disease, increased carotid artery intimal medial thickness was associated with higher hip fracture risk in older adults, despite its association with higher bone mineral density (BMD). Low ankle brachial index and aortic wall thickness were not associated with fracture risk or BMD. INTRODUCTION: Clinically recognized cardiovascular disease (CVD) is associated with osteoporosis and hip fracture risk, but the relationship of subclinical atherosclerosis to bone health is not certain. METHODS: We followed 3385 participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study (mean age 74.7 ± 5.3 years) with a median time to fracture of 12.1 years who underwent baseline carotid artery and aortic wall ultrasound scanning and ankle brachial blood pressure index (ABI) determinations. A subset underwent bone mineral density (BMD) testing. RESULTS: There were 494 hip fractures during follow-up. Among persons without clinical CVD, an average standard-deviation increase in a composite score of maximal common and internal carotid artery intimal medial thickness (cIMT) was associated with increased risk of hip fracture [(HR 1.18 [1.04, 1.35]), even though cIMT was positively associated with BMD. Neither aortic wall thickness nor ABI were associated with hip fracture risk or BMD. Among participants with clinical CVD, cIMT and aortic wall thickness, but not ABI, were associated with increased hip fracture risk. CONCLUSION: Subclinical cIMT is associated with an increased risk of hip fractures despite being associated with increased BMD. This finding suggests that vascular health, even in its early stages, is linked to bone health, by pathways other than BMD.

Fasting and post-glucose load measures of insulin resistance and risk of incident atrial fibrillation: The Cardiovascular Health Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Existing literature in individuals without diabetes has not demonstrated a relationship between IR and incident AF; however, data are limited and only fasting glucose measures of IR were assessed. We evaluated the relationship of both fasting and post-glucose load IR measures with the development of atrial fibrillation in nondiabetic older adults. METHODS AND RESULTS: Among Cardiovascular Health Study participants, a population-based cohort of 5888 adults aged 65 years or older enrolled in two waves (1989-1990 and 1992-1993), those without prevalent AF or diabetes and with IR measures at baseline were followed for the development of AF, identified by follow-up visit electrocardiograms, hospital discharge diagnosis coding, or Medicare claims data, through 2014. Fasting IR was determined by the homeostatic model of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) and post-glucose load IR was determined by the Gutt index. Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine the association of IR with risk of AF. Analyses included 3601 participants (41% men) with a mean age of 73 years. Over a median follow-up of 12.3 years, 1443 (40%) developed AF. After multivariate adjustment, neither HOMA-IR nor the Gutt index was associated with risk of developing AF [hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals): 0.96 (0.90, 1.03) for 1-SD increase in HOMA-IR and 1.03 (0.97, 1.10) for 1-SD decrease in the Gutt index]. CONCLUSIONS: We found no evidence of an association between either fasting or post-glucose load IR measures and incident AF.

Brain natriuretic peptide and insulin resistance in older adults.

AIMS: Higher levels of brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) have been associated with a decreased risk of diabetes in adults, but whether BNP is related to insulin resistance in older adults has not been established. METHODS: N-terminal of the pro hormone brain natriuretic peptide (NT-pro BNP) was measured among Cardiovascular Health Study participants at the 1989-1990, 1992-1993 and 1996-1997 examinations. We calculated measures of insulin resistance [homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), quantitative insulin sensitivity check index (QUICKI), Gutt index, Matsuda index] from fasting and 2-h concentrations of glucose and insulin among 3318 individuals with at least one measure of NT-proBNP and free of heart failure, coronary heart disease and chronic kidney disease, and not taking diabetes medication. We used generalized estimating equations to assess the cross-sectional association of NT-proBNP with measures of insulin resistance. Instrumental variable analysis with an allele score derived from nine genetic variants (single nucleotide polymorphisms) within or near the NPPA and NPPB loci was used to estimate an un-confounded association of NT-proBNP levels on insulin resistance. RESULTS: Lower NT-proBNP levels were associated with higher insulin resistance even after adjustment for BMI, waist circumference and other risk factors (P < 0.001 for all four indices). Although the genetic score was strongly related to measured NT-proBNP levels amongst European Americans (F statistic = 71.08), we observed no association of genetically determined NT-proBNP with insulin resistance (P = 0.38; P = 0.01 for comparison with the association of measured levels of NT-proBNP). CONCLUSIONS: In older adults, lower NT-proBNP is associated with higher insulin resistance, even after adjustment for traditional risk factors. Because related genetic variants were not associated with insulin resistance, the causal nature of this association will require future study.

Alcohol consumption is associated with a lower incidence of acute myocardial infarction: results from a large prospective population-based study in Norway.

AIMS: Compelling evidence suggests that light-to-moderate alcohol consumption is associated with a reduced risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), but several issues from previous studies remain to be addressed. The aim of this study was to investigate some of these key issues related to the association between alcohol consumption and AMI risk, including the strength and shape of the association in a low-drinking setting, the roles of quantity, frequency and beverage type, the importance of confounding by medical and psychiatric conditions, and the lack of prospective data on previous drinking. METHODS: A population-based prospective cohort study of 58 827 community-dwelling individuals followed for 11.6 years was conducted. We assessed the quantity and frequency of consumption of beer, wine and spirits at baseline in 1995-1997 and the frequency of alcohol intake approximately 10 years earlier. RESULTS: A total of 2966 study participants had an AMI during the follow-up period. Light-to-moderate alcohol consumption was inversely and linearly associated with AMI risk. After adjusting for major cardiovascular disease risk factors, the hazard ratio for a one-drink increment in daily consumption was 0.72 (95% confidence interval 0.62-0.86). Accounting for former drinking or comorbidities had almost no effect on the association. Frequency of alcohol consumption was more strongly associated with lower AMI risk than overall quantity consumed. CONCLUSIONS: Light-to-moderate alcohol consumption was linearly associated with a decreased risk of AMI in a population in which abstaining from alcohol is not socially stigmatized. Our results suggest that frequent alcohol consumption is most cardioprotective and that this association is not driven by misclassification of former drinkers.

Weight and weight change and risk of acute myocardial infarction and heart failure - the HUNT Study.

OBJECTIVES: To delineate the association of weight with cardiovascular health throughout adulthood. METHODS: We conducted a population-based prospective cohort study of 26 097 community-dwelling individuals who were followed for 11.4 years with measurements of cardiovascular risk factors and common chronic disorders. Body weight and height were directly measured at baseline in 1995-1997 as they had been 10 and 30 years prior to baseline. From these measurements, we estimated average body mass index (BMI) over time and calculated weight change. RESULTS: The association of average BMI with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) became weaker with adjustment for the most recent BMI measurement, whilst this adjustment had a more limited effect on associations with heart failure (HF) risk. For example, the multi-adjusted hazard ratios for AMI in a comparison of individuals with average BMI until baseline ≥35 kg m(-2) and between 18.5 and 22.4 kg m(-2) decreased from 1.75 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.04-2.95] to 1.32 (0.73-2.40). The corresponding numbers for HF were 3.12 (1.85-5.27) and 2.95 (1.53-5.71), respectively. The associations between weight change and risk of AMI and HF were U-shaped, with stable weight showing the lowest risk. CONCLUSION: Sustained overweight or obesity over time is associated with increased risk of HF, even after adjustment for the most recent BMI. For AMI risk, the most recent BMI appears to be the most important. Weight change also increases risks for both outcomes beyond the effects of BMI. Our results suggest that a global epidemic of obesity is likely to increase the incidence of HF, even if BMI in middle age can be controlled.

Bidirectional associations between alcohol consumption and health-related quality of life amongst young and middle-aged women.

BACKGROUND: Evidence from cross-sectional studies has suggested a positive association between moderate alcohol consumption and health-related quality of life but prospective data remain scarce. OBJECTIVES: To examine the bidirectional relationships between alcohol consumption and health-related quality of life using a longitudinal study design. METHODS: A total of 92 448 participants of the Nurses' Health Study II reported their alcohol consumption (in 1991, 1995, 1999 and 2003) and health-related quality of life (in 1993, 1997 and 2001). Using generalized estimating equations, we modelled the physical and mental component summary (PCS and MCS) scores as a function of alcohol consumption 2 years earlier (n = 88 363) and vice versa (n = 84 621). RESULTS: Greater alcohol consumption was associated with better PCS scores 2 years later in a dose-response manner up to ~1 serving daily [mean difference (ß) = 0.67 ± 0.06 PCS units, for moderate versus infrequent drinkers]. After adjustment for previous PCS, a similar but attenuated pattern was observed (ß = 0.33 ± 0.07). Moderate alcohol consumption was not related to MCS, whereas moderate-to-heavy alcohol consumption was associated with lower MCS scores (ß = -0.34 ± 0.15). Higher PCS scores were associated with greater alcohol consumption 2 years later, also after adjustment for previous alcohol consumption (ß = 0.53 ± 0.05 g day(-1) ). MCS was not associated with alcohol consumption 2 years later. CONCLUSION: Amongst young and middle-aged women, moderate alcohol intake was associated with a small improvement in physical health-related quality of life 2 years later and vice versa. Moderate alcohol consumption was not associated with mental health-related quality of life in either direction.

Genetic variation in catechol-O-methyltransferase modifies effects of clonidine treatment in chronic fatigue syndrome.

Clonidine, an α2-adrenergic receptor agonist, decreases circulating norepinephrine and epinephrine, attenuating sympathetic activity. Although catechol-O-methyltransferase (COMT) metabolizes catecholamines, main effectors of sympathetic function, COMT genetic variation effects on clonidine treatment are unknown. Chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS) is hypothesized to result in part from dysregulated sympathetic function. A candidate gene analysis of COMT rs4680 effects on clinical outcomes in the Norwegian Study of Chronic Fatigue Syndrome in Adolescents: Pathophysiology and Intervention Trial (NorCAPITAL), a randomized double-blinded clonidine versus placebo trial, was conducted (N=104). Patients homozygous for rs4680 high-activity allele randomized to clonidine took 2500 fewer steps compared with placebo (Pinteraction=0.04). There were no differences between clonidine and placebo among patients with COMT low-activity alleles. Similar gene-drug interactions were observed for sleep (Pinteraction=0.003) and quality of life (Pinteraction=0.018). Detrimental effects of clonidine in the subset of CFS patients homozygous for COMT high-activity allele warrant investigation of potential clonidine-COMT interaction effects in other conditions.

Systemic markers of microvascular disease and bone mineral density in older adults : The cardiovascular health study.

Here we report that abnormal brain white matter and, to a lesser extent, albuminuria are associated with reduced bone mineral density in the hip, spine, and total body in men and women. These findings may explain the increased hip fracture risk reported in some studies in association with microvascular disorders. INTRODUCTION: Markers of microvascular disease have been individually associated with increased risk of osteoporotic fractures in some studies. Here, we examine whether these markers are associated with reduced bone mineral density (BMD) individually and together. METHODS: BMD testing using dual x-ray absorptiometry of the hip, lumbar spine, and total body was performed in 1473 participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study (mean age ~ 78 years): 1215 were assessed for urinary albumin-creatinine ratio, 944 for abnormal white matter disease (AWMD) by brain MRI, and 541 for retinal vascular disease with fundus photographs. Linear regression models were used to evaluate the cross-sectional association of each marker with BMD accounting for potentially confounding factors. RESULTS: AWMD was associated with lower hip, spine, and total body BMD in women (ß -3.08 to -4.53; p < 0.01 for all) and lower hip and total body BMD in men (ß -2.90 to -4.24; p = 0.01-0.03). Albuminuria was associated with lower hip (ß -3.37; p = .05) and total body (ß -3.21; p = .02) BMD in men, but not in women. The associations of AWMD and albuminuria with BMD persisted with mutual adjustment and appeared to be additive to each other. Retinal vascular disease was not associated with BMD in men or women. CONCLUSION: AWMD and, to a lesser extent, albuminuria were independently associated with lower BMD, suggesting that microvascular disease may play a role in the pathogenesis of reduced BMD. These findings need to be confirmed by longitudinal studies.

Fibrosis markers, hip fracture risk, and bone density in older adults.

UNLABELLED: We examined whether blood levels of two markers of fibrosis (transforming growth factor beta one (TGF-ß1) and procollagen type III N-terminal propeptide (PIIINP)) are related to hip fracture risk and to bone mineral density (BMD). TGF-ß1 levels were associated with lower hip fracture risk in women and with lower BMD in men. PIIINP levels were not associated with either outcome. INTRODUCTION: TGF-ß1 serves several roles in bone formation and resorption. A consequence of TGF-ß1 activation is the production of PIIINP, a marker of collagen III deposition. Here, we explore whether these two biomarkers are related to incident hip fracture and bone mineral density (BMD) and whether their associations are modified by systemic inflammation, as measured by C-reactive protein (CRP) levels. METHODS: Participants were from the Cardiovascular Health Study (mean age 78 years; mean follow-up 8.3 years). We included 1681 persons with measured levels of TGF-ß1 (149 hip fractures) and 3226 persons with measured levels of PIIINP (310 hip fractures). RESULTS: Among women, higher TGF-ß1 levels were associated with lower hip fracture risk (HR, per doubling, 0.78 [95 % CI 0.61, 0.91]). Among men, TGF-ß1 levels were associated with hip fracture risk in a non-linear manner, but among those with elevated CRP levels, doubling was associated with increased risk of fracture (HR 2.22 [1.20, 4.08]) (p = 0.02, interaction between low and high CRP and TGF-ß1 on fracture risk). TGF-ß1 levels had no significant association with total hip or total body BMD in women but were significantly associated with lower BMD in men. There were no associations of PIIINP levels with hip fracture risk or BMD in men or women. CONCLUSIONS: TGF-ß1 levels appear to be associated with bone-related phenotypes in a sex-specific manner. The reasons for these differences between men and women regarding TGF-ß1 levels and hip fracture risk and bone density require further investigation.

The association of lean and fat mass with all-cause mortality in older adults: The Cardiovascular Health Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Understanding contributions of lean and fat tissue to cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality may help clarify areas of prevention in older adults. We aimed to define distributions of lean and fat tissue in older adults and their contributions to cause-specific mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 1335 participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) who underwent dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (DEXA) scans were included. We used principal components analysis (PCA) to define two independent sources of variation in DEXA-derived body composition, corresponding to principal components composed of lean ("lean PC") and fat ("fat PC") tissue. We used Cox proportional hazards regression using these PCs to investigate the relationship between body composition with cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality. Mean age was 76.2 ± 4.8 years (56% women) with mean body mass index 27.1 ± 4.4 kg/m2. A greater lean PC was associated with lower all-cause (HR = 0.91, 95% CI 0.84-0.98, P = 0.01) and cardiovascular mortality (HR = 0.84, 95% CI 0.74-0.95, P = 0.005). The lowest quartile of the fat PC (least adiposity) was associated with a greater hazard of all-cause mortality (HR = 1.24, 95% CI 1.04-1.48, P = 0.02) relative to fat PCs between the 25th-75th percentile, but the highest quartile did not have a significantly greater hazard (P = 0.70). CONCLUSION: Greater lean tissue mass is associated with improved cardiovascular and overall mortality in the elderly. The lowest levels of fat tissue mass are linked with adverse prognosis, but the highest levels show no significant mortality protection. Prevention efforts in the elderly frail may be best targeted toward improvements in lean muscle mass.

Association between fluid balance and survival in critically ill patients.

OBJECTIVE: Although the consequences of chronic fluid retention are well known, those of iatrogenic fluid retention that occurs during critical illness have not been fully determined. Therefore, we investigated the association between fluid balance and survival in a cohort of almost 16,000 individuals who survived an intensive care unit (ICU) stay in a large, urban, tertiary medical centre. DESIGN: Longitudinal analysis of fluid balance at ICU discharge and 90-day post-ICU survival. MEASUREMENTS: Associations between fluid balance during the ICU stay, determined from the electronic bedside record, and survival were tested using Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for severity of critical illness. RESULTS: There were 1827 deaths in the first 90 days after ICU discharge. Compared with the lowest quartile of discharge fluid balance [median (interquartile range) -1.5 (-3.1, -0.7) L], the highest quartile [7.6 (5.7, 10.8) L] was associated with a 35% [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.13-1.61)] higher adjusted risk of death. Fluid balance was not associated with outcome amongst individuals without congestive heart failure or renal dysfunction. Amongst patients with either comorbidity, however, fluid balance was strongly associated with outcome, with the highest quartile having a 55% (95% CI 1.24-1.95) higher adjusted risk of death than the lowest quartile. Isotonic fluid balance, defined as the difference between intravenous isotonic fluid administration and urine output, was similarly associated with 90-day outcomes. CONCLUSION: Positive fluid balance at the time of ICU discharge is associated with increased risk of death, after adjusting for markers of illness severity and chronic medical conditions, particularly in patients with underlying heart or kidney disease. Restoration of euvolaemia prior to discharge may improve survival after acute illness.

Clinical Impact of 3- versus 5-Minute Delay and 30- versus 60-Second Intervals on Unattended Automated Office Blood Pressure Measurements.

BACKGROUND: Guidelines advise automated office blood pressure (AOBP) with an initial 5-minute delay and multiple measurements at least 60 seconds apart. Recent studies suggest that AOBP may be accurate with shorter delays or intervals, but evidence in clinical settings is limited. METHODS: Patients referred to one hypertension (HTN) center underwent 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) and one of four non-randomized, unattended AOBP protocols: a 3- or 5-minute delay with a 30 or 60-second interval, i.e., 3 min/30 sec/30 sec, 3/60/60, 5/30/30 and 5/60/60 protocols. HTN was defined as systolic blood pressure ≥140 or diastolic blood pressure ≥90 mmHg. RESULTS: We compared differences in mean blood pressure and HTN classification between average AOBP and awake-time ABPM by t-tests and Fisher's exact test. Among 212 participants (mean 58.9 years, 61% women, 25% Black), there was substantial overlap in the probability distributions of awake-time ABPM and each of the three AOBP measures. Systolic blood pressure means were similar between the 5/60/60 and 3/30/30 protocols and 5/30/30 and 3/60/60 protocols. The 5/30/30 was associated with a higher proportion of systolic HTN, while the 3/60/60 protocol was associated with a higher proportion of diastolic HTN. There were no significant differences in systolic or diastolic HTN between 5/60/60 and 3/30/30 protocols with respect to awake-time ABPM. CONCLUSIONS: In this quality improvement study, the shortest AOBP protocol did not differ significantly from the longest protocol. The time savings of shorter protocols may improve AOBP adoption in clinical practice without meaningfully compromising accuracy.

Prediction and classification of cardiovascular disease risk in older adults with diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: We sought to derive and validate a cardiovascular disease (CVD) prediction algorithm for older adults with diabetes, and evaluate the incremental benefit of adding novel circulating biomarkers and measures of subclinical atherosclerosis. METHODS: As part of the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), a population-based cohort of adults aged ≥65 years, we examined the 10 year risk of myocardial infarction, stroke and cardiovascular death in 782 older adults with diabetes, in whom 265 events occurred. We validated predictive models in 843 adults with diabetes, who were followed for 7 years in a second cohort, the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA); here 71 events occurred. RESULTS: The best fitting standard model included age, smoking, systolic blood pressure, total and HDL-cholesterol, creatinine and the use of glucose-lowering agents; however, this model had a C statistic of 0.64 and poorly classified risk in men. Novel biomarkers did not improve discrimination or classification. The addition of ankle-brachial index, electrocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy and internal carotid intima-media thickness modestly improved discrimination (C statistic 0.68; p = 0.002) and classification (net reclassification improvement [NRI] 0.12; p = 0.01), mainly in those remaining free of CVD. Results were qualitatively similar in the MESA, with a change in C statistic from 0.65 to 0.68 and an NRI of 0.09 upon inclusion of subclinical disease measures. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Standard clinical risk factors and novel biomarkers poorly discriminate and classify CVD risk in older adults with diabetes. The inclusion of subclinical atherosclerotic measures modestly improves these features, but to develop more robust risk prediction, a better understanding of the pathophysiology and determinants of CVD in this patient group is needed.

Lipoprotein receptor-related protein 1 variants and dietary fatty acids: meta-analysis of European origin and African American studies.

OBJECTIVE: Low-density lipoprotein-related receptor protein 1 (LRP1) is a multi-functional endocytic receptor and signaling molecule that is expressed in adipose and the hypothalamus. Evidence for a role of LRP1 in adiposity is accumulating from animal and in vitro models, but data from human studies are limited. The study objectives were to evaluate (i) relationships between LRP1 genotype and anthropometric traits, and (ii) whether these relationships were modified by dietary fatty acids. DESIGN AND METHODS: We conducted race/ethnic-specific meta-analyses using data from 14 studies of US and European whites and 4 of African Americans to evaluate associations of dietary fatty acids and LRP1 genotypes with body mass index (BMI), waist circumference and hip circumference, as well as interactions between dietary fatty acids and LRP1 genotypes. Seven single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of LRP1 were evaluated in whites (N up to 42 000) and twelve SNPs in African Americans (N up to 5800). RESULTS: After adjustment for age, sex and population substructure if relevant, for each one unit greater intake of percentage of energy from saturated fat (SFA), BMI was 0.104 kg m(-2) greater, waist was 0.305 cm larger and hip was 0.168 cm larger (all P<0.0001). Other fatty acids were not associated with outcomes. The association of SFA with outcomes varied by genotype at rs2306692 (genotyped in four studies of whites), where the magnitude of the association of SFA intake with each outcome was greater per additional copy of the T allele: 0.107 kg m(-2) greater for BMI (interaction P=0.0001), 0.267 cm for waist (interaction P=0.001) and 0.21 cm for hip (interaction P=0.001). No other significant interactions were observed. CONCLUSION: Dietary SFA and LRP1 genotype may interactively influence anthropometric traits. Further exploration of this, and other diet x genotype interactions, may improve understanding of interindividual variability in the relationships of dietary factors with anthropometric traits.

Transferability and fine-mapping of glucose and insulin quantitative trait loci across populations: CARe, the Candidate Gene Association Resource.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Hyperglycaemia disproportionately affects African-Americans (AfAs). We tested the transferability of 18 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with glycaemic traits identified in European ancestry (EuA) populations in 5,984 non-diabetic AfAs. METHODS: We meta-analysed SNP associations with fasting glucose (FG) or insulin (FI) in AfAs from five cohorts in the Candidate Gene Association Resource. We: (1) calculated allele frequency differences, variations in linkage disequilibrium (LD), fixation indices (F(st)s) and integrated haplotype scores (iHSs); (2) tested EuA SNPs in AfAs; and (3) interrogated within ± 250 kb around each EuA SNP in AfAs. RESULTS: Allele frequency differences ranged from 0.6% to 54%. F(st) exceeded 0.15 at 6/16 loci, indicating modest population differentiation. All iHSs were <2, suggesting no recent positive selection. For 18 SNPs, all directions of effect were the same and 95% CIs of association overlapped when comparing EuA with AfA. For 17 of 18 loci, at least one SNP was nominally associated with FG in AfAs. Four loci were significantly associated with FG (GCK, p = 5.8 × 10(-8); MTNR1B, p = 8.5 × 10(-9); and FADS1, p = 2.2 × 10(-4)) or FI (GCKR, p = 5.9 × 10(-4)). At GCK and MTNR1B the EuA and AfA SNPs represented the same signal, while at FADS1, and GCKR, the EuA and best AfA SNPs were weakly correlated (r(2) <0.2), suggesting allelic heterogeneity for association with FG at these loci. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Few glycaemic SNPs showed strict evidence of transferability from EuA to AfAs. Four loci were significantly associated in both AfAs and those with EuA after accounting for varying LD across ancestral groups, with new signals emerging to aid fine-mapping.