Strategies for delivery of faecal occult blood test kits and participation to colorectal cancer screening in the Emilia-Romagna Region of Italy.

There is a lack of agreement about which routine invitation strategy should be adopted in colorectal cancer screening. We conducted an observational study to assess the impact of three invitation strategies on participation. Invitation records for the years 2005-2009 were evaluated. There were 2,234,276 invitations from 1,230,683 individuals. Among first invitations, participation associated with direct mailing of the faecal occult blood test kits was slightly lower (relative risk, RR 0.985; 95% confidence interval 0.979-0.990) than that of the reference invitation strategy, that is, the distribution of the test kits by pharmacies. In repeated invitations/previous non-responders, the participation associated with the direct mailing of the test kits was even lower (RR 0.914; 95% confidence interval 0.895-0.933) and this was also the case for the distribution of the test kits by primary care centres (RR 0.983; 95% confidence interval 0.971-0.995). In contrast, in repeated invitations/previous responders, the impact of primary care centres and direct mailing of the test kits was greater than the use of pharmacies, showing only modest RRs: 1.021 (95% confidence interval 1.019-1.023) and 1.029 (95% confidence interval 1.025-1.033) respectively. The faecal occult blood test mailing strategy modestly increased participation in previous responders.

"CADEAT": considerations on the use of CAD (computer-aided diagnosis) in mammography.

Computer-aided diagnosis (CAD) has been extensively reported to increase sensitivity by about 10% when added to a single reading while increasing recall rate by 12%, and its current use can be safely recommended in clinical practice. CAD has been suggested as a possible alternative to conventional double reading in screening. Uncontrolled comparison is consistent and suggests that CAD is comparable to double reading in incremental cancer detection rate (CAD +10.6%, double reading +9.1%) and possibly better in recall rate (CAD +12.5%, double reading +28.8%). However, controlled studies comparing single reading + CAD to conventional double reading are not consistent and on average suggest a lower cancer detection rate (-5.1%) and a lower recall rate (-9.8%) for CAD. Scientific evidence is not sufficient for a safe recommendation of single reading + CAD as a current alternative to conventional double reading.

Do women >or=50 years of age need as much screening as women <50 years after they have had negative screening results?

To assess the adequacy of a routine screening to identify cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 or worse (CIN2+) in women over 50 years of age, a retrospective cohort was set in six Italian organised population-based screening programmes. In all, 287 330 women (1 714 550 person-years of observation, 1110 cases) screened at age 25-64, with at least two cytological screening tests, the first negative, were followed from their first negative smear until a biopsy proven CIN2+ lesion or their last negative smear. For women aged 25-49 and 50-64 years, crude and age-standardised detection rate (DR), cumulative risk (CR), adjusted hazard risk for number of previous negative screens, probability of false-positive CIN2+ after two or more smear tests were calculated. Detection rate is significantly lower over 50 years of age. Multivariable analysis shows a significant protective effect from four screening episodes (DR=0.70, 95% CI: 0.51-0.97); the effect of age >or=50 is 0.29 (95% CI: 0.24-0.35). The CR of CIN2+ is at least eightfold higher in women <50 (CR=2.06, 95% CI: 1.88-2.23) after one previous negative test than in women >or=50 years with four screens (CR=0.23, 95% CI: 0.00-0.46). Over 50 years of age, after four tests at least three false-positive cases are diagnosed for every true positive. Benefits arising from cytological screening is uncertain in well-screened older women.

Effectiveness of service screening: a case-control study to assess breast cancer mortality reduction.

The aim of this study was the evaluation of the impact of service screening programmes on breast cancer mortality in five regions of Italy. We conducted a matched case-control study with four controls for each case. Cases were defined as breast cancer deaths occurred not later than 31 December 2002. Controls were sampled from the local municipality list and matched by date of birth. Screening histories were assessed by the local, computerised, screening database and subjects were classified as either invited or not-yet-invited and as either screened or unscreened. There were a total of 1750 breast cancer deaths within the 50 to 74-year-old breast cancer cases and a total of 7000 controls. The logistic conditional estimate of the cumulative odds ratios comparing invited with not-yet-invited women was 0.75 (95% CI: 0.62-0.92). Restricting the analyses to invited women, the odds ratio of screened to never-respondent women corrected for self-selection bias was 0.55 (95% CI: 0.36-0.85). The introduction of breast cancer screening programmes in Italy is associated with a reduction in breast cancer mortality attributable to the additional impact of service screening over and above the background access to mammography.

Association of cyst type with risk factors for breast cancer and relapse rate in women with gross cystic disease of the breast.

The concentration of potassium (K+) and sodium (Na+) was measured in breast cyst fluid (BCF) from 611 cysts greater than 3 ml aspirated in 520 women with gross cystic disease of the breast. These women were enrolled, from 1983 on, in a cohort study aimed at assessing the relationship between cyst type, as defined by the K+/Na+ ratio in BCF, and the risk of breast cancer. The inverse relationship between K+ and Na+ and the bimodal distribution of the K+/Na+ ratio in BCF were confirmed. Type I cysts were defined as cysts with a K+/Na+ greater than 1.5 in BCF. Among women with type I cysts, a higher proportion of women with one or no births, of women with a history of apocrine cysts, of current smokers, and of women who do not drink coffee was found, as compared to women with other types of cysts. The risk of cyst relapse was significantly higher among women with type I cysts than among women with other types of cysts and among women with multiple cysts at presentation. These findings indicate that type I BCF is a marker of "active" gross cystic disease of the breast and suggest that it may be associated with increased breast cancer risk.

Levels of eighteen non-conjugated and conjugated steroids in human breast cyst fluid: relationships with cyst type.

The present study investigates the levels of a large series of 18 non-conjugated or conjugated steroids in 71 samples of human breast cyst fluid (BCF) as divided into three groups corresponding to different electrolyte composition. In the type 1 group, the K+/Na+ ratio was higher than 1.5, while in type 2 it was lower than 0.66 and finally type 3 had an intermediate ratio. Pregnenolone (PREG) and progesterone (PROG) levels were approximately 2-fold higher (P less than 0.05) in the type 2 than in the type 1 group while both 17-OH-pregnenolone (17-OH-PREG) and 17-OH-progesterone (17-OH-PROG) concentrations were similar in these two groups. Most of the C-19 steroids analyzed, namely dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate (DHEAS), androst-5-ene-3 beta, 17 beta-diol (5-ene-DIOL), testosterone (TESTO), dihydrotestosterone (DHT), androstane-3 alpha, 17 beta-diol (3 alpha-DIOL), androsterone (ADT), androstane-3 alpha, 17 beta-diol glucuronide (3 alpha-DIOL-G) and androsterone glucuronide (ADT-G) were 180-360% (P less than 0.05) higher in type 1 than in type 2 cysts while no difference in C-18 steroid and C-18 steroid glucuronide levels was observed. A small or no difference was seen in steroid levels between types 2 and 3. We conclude that the arbitrary division according to the electrolyte composition of BCF permits identification of different patterns of steroid concentrations in BCF. However, the mechanism responsible for both sets of parameters remain unclear.

Wolfe's mammographic patterns in women with gross cystic disease of the breast.

The epidemiologic determinants of the mammographic pattern were studied in 710 patients with aspirated gross (> 1 ml) cysts of the breast. The prevalence of the mammograms classified as P2-DY, that are considered to be associated with an increased breast cancer risk, was 636/710 or 89.6%. No relationship between mammographic patterns and characteristics of breast cyst fluid such as K+/Na+ ratio, apocrine changes and dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate concentration was observed. A significant decrease in the proportion of these patterns with increasing age (p = 0.006), Quetelet Index (p < 0.001), parity (p = 0.001), and in postmenopausal women (p = 0.026) was found. Conversely, P2-DY patterns were significantly associated with a later age at menarche (p = 0.023) and alcohol consumption (p = 0.001). In multivariate analysis, an independent association with age was not observed whereas the associations with age at menarche, parity, and relative weight were confirmed. In conclusion, the epidemiologic determinants of mammographic patterns are the same in Gross Cystic Disease patients as in unaffected women, and the lack of correlation between mammographic pattern and cyst type suggests that the latter may represent an independent predictor of breast cancer risk.

Steroid biochemistry and categorization of breast cyst fluid: relation to breast cancer risk.

Patients bearing macrocysts of the breast are at higher risk of later developing cancer. The fluid filling the cysts (breast cysts fluid, BCF) contains unusual amounts of steroid conjugates, first androgen and estrogen sulfates. Measuring BCF cations (K+,Na+) allows categorization of cysts into two major subsets (type I and type II) that are associated with a different degree and/or turnover of apocrine metaplastic cells in the lining epithelium. Type I cysts (high K+/Na+ ratio) accumulate hugh amounts of dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate, estrone sulfate, androstane-3 alpha,17 beta-diol glucuronide, androsterone glucuronide and contain more testosterone and dihydrotestosterone than type II. Conversely, type II cysts (low K+/Na+ ratio) contain more progesterone and pregnenolone. A cohort study was started in 1983 at the Cancer Prevention Center, Ravenna, Italy, with the aim of evaluating the relationships between the biochemistry of BCF and the incidence of breast cancer in women with gross cystic disease (GCD) of the breast. The bimodal distribution of the cationic pattern has been confirmed from data obtained in 798 patients aspirated. The risk of cyst relapse was significantly higher among women with type I cysts or with multiple cysts at presentation. Twelve incident cases of breast cancer have been diagnosed among women whose BCF was categorized. Eleven out of 12 cases had type I or multiple cysts. The cumulative incidence of breast cancer among patients bearing type I cysts was 2.5%. We conclude that women with GCD bearing type I cysts have an increased breast cancer risk when compared with the counterpart bearing type II cysts or the general population.

Probability of early repeat Pap smear in an integrated cervical screening programme.

The integration of routine Pap smear practice based on self-referral into an organized programme based on personal invitation is the recommended approach to cervical cancer screening. In this study, the cytology archive of the integrated cervical screening programme implemented in the Faenza district (northern Italy) was used to compare the population of women responding to invitation with that of self-referred women for the cumulative probability of early (< 36 months) repeat Pap smear after a negative result. Between 1995 and 1998, women aged 25-64 living in five municipalities of the district were targeted by the first round of the programme. Eligible for the study were 2356 women responding to invitation for screening and 2221 women not invited because of self-referral for Pap smear at any other setting. The probability of early repeat Pap smear was estimated by the life table method. Differences were evaluated by the Gehan test. Multivariate determinants were assessed by the Cox regression analysis. At 36 months' follow-up, the cumulative probability of early repeat Pap smear was 44% among self-referred women and 6% among women responding to invitation (relative hazard = 4.8). For self-referred women, the probability was related to age (with a peak at 35-44 years), previous Pap smear history and municipality of residence. Among women responding to invitation, only an inverse association with age was demonstrated. In conclusion, the observed differences in overall probability and determinants of early repeat Pap smear between the two screening populations provided important information on Pap smear usage in the total target population.

Shifted distribution of cation-related cyst types in post-menopausal patients with gross cystic disease of the breast.

Gross cystic disease of the breast (GCD) is rarely seen after the menopause. Recent work has shown that by measuring electrolytes in the breast cyst fluid (BCF) it is possible to identify two principal classes of cyst, designated Type 1 (K+/Na+ greater than 1.5) and Type 2 (K+/Na+ less than 0.66). A smaller, intermediate class (Type 3) also appears to exist. We measured K+, Na+ and dehydroepiandrosterone sulphate (DHA-S) in 38 BCF samples aspirated from 33 women with GCD who had undergone spontaneous menopause at least 1 yr previously. Statistically significant correlations were found between DHA-S and cations (positive in relation to K+, P less than 0.001; negative in relation to Na+, P less than 0.001). The distribution of cyst types was shifted with respect to that characteristic of cases that occur at an earlier age: whereas Type 1 cysts predominate in menstruating women, Type 2 cysts proved more numerous in the post-menopausal subjects. The difference was statistically validated (P less than 0.001). The results seem to indicate a sharp reduction in high K+, high DHA-S cysts after the menopause, which may be paralleled by a decrease in the associated apocrine metaplasia. In view of the major biochemical differences between Type 1 and Type 2 cysts and of the suggested differences as regards cancer risk, classification of post-menopausal patients with GCD by cyst type is critical prior to any clinical trial or follow-up.

Self-selection for mammography and breast cancer incidence by stage.

AIMS AND BACKGROUND: In the field of breast cancer control, obtaining population-based data on spontaneous mammography (MG) screening should be a priority. This study focuses on the breast cancer incidence and stage distribution in relation to MG use in Ravenna (Italy), 1987-88. METHODS: We estimated the MG rates, expected (E) incidence based on mortality data, observed (O) incidence, predicted excess incidence based on MG rates, observed excess incidence, and stage distribution according to the MG history. RESULTS: The highest MG rate (37%) was found among residents aged 40-44 but none of these had a T1a-bNO breast cancer diagnosed nor was the predicted excess incidence demonstrated. Between 45 and 64 years, 80% of self-selected screenees had repeat ("incidence") MG and the O:E incidence ratio was 1.32 (95% CI 1.09-1.58). The observed excess incidence was 3.8-fold (95% CI 2.56-5.16) greater than that predicted. Advanced (T2+ and/or N1+) cases accounted for 42% of patients diagnosed within 3 years of their last MG, for 55% of those diagnosed more than 3 years after their last MG, and for 70% of those with no previous MG. Above age 70, a significant worsening of stage at diagnosis was associated with a clearcut drop self-referral for MG. CONCLUSIONS: The results indicate that self-selection and its implications are major features of spontaneous screening practice.

Performance of fineneedle aspiration cytology of the breast. Clinical experience in Ravenna (Italy).

AIMS AND BACKGROUND: Fineneedle aspiration cytology (FNAC) is a routine test in the evaluation of breast lesions. We assessed the diagnostic accuracy of mammography (MG), physical examination (PE), ultrasonography (US) and FNAC in 1064 histologically confirmed breast lesions (638 malignant, 426 benign) observed consecutively at the Cancer Prevention Center of Ravenna (Italy). METHODS: The performance of each test and the additional contribution of FNAC were determined. RESULTS: FNAC was done in 69.6% of cancers and 39.7% of benign lesions (P = 0.00000), the frequency of aspiration being significantly associated with severity at MG, PE, and US. For FNAC, the true positive rate was 95.1% and the true negative rate 67.4%. Only one breast cancer case was detected by FNAC alone (additional true positive rate 0.2%). The positive predictive value of FNAC in the absence of other abnormalities was 5%. The negative predictive value of a benign report at MG, PE, US and FNAC was 100%. CONCLUSIONS: All breast lesions should be evaluated by all available techniques, especially FNAC, and open biopsy should be avoided for those reported as benign at all tests.

Effects of the Bethesda System on the rate of unsatisfactory Pap smears in spontaneous cervical screening.

AIMS: In 1990, The Bethesda System (TBS) was introduced into spontaneous cervical screening practice in Ravenna, Italy. Negative/benign reports with the recommendation for early repeat smears (RERS) due to some limitation in sample adequacy were considered no longer acceptable. A monitoring program for the rate of unsatisfactory smears (UNS) was implemented. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the effects of such changes in the screening procedure. METHODS: The frequency of UNS in 1990 was compared with that of UNS+RERS in 1988 (assumed as a baseline year) by the calculation of the standardized rate ratio with the 95% confidence interval (CI). The trend in the standardized rate of UNS from 1990 to 1994 was evaluated by the calculation of the average annual variation with the 95% CI. RESULTS: The immediate effect of TBS (1990; 1988 comparison) was a significant increase in the rate of UNS attributable to scant cellularity, poor fixation and thick areas (rate ratio, 2.35; 95% CI, 2.18 to 2.53) and to the absence of endocervical component (1.45; 95% CI, 1.30 to 1.60). The rate of UNS attributable to the presence of cytolysis, inflammation, blood and foreign material decreased by about 6 times (0.16; 95% CI, 0.13 to 0.19). The midterm effect of TBS (trend from 1990 to 1994) was a decrease in the total rate of UNS by an average of 2.3% per year. The downward trend was significant for smears showing scant cellularity, poor fixation and thick areas (-1.5% per year) and the absence of endocervical component (-0.7% per year). UNS attributable to the presence of cytolysis, inflammation, blood and foreign material stabilized. CONCLUSIONS: TBS led to a substantial change in the type of information provided by the cytology report (immediate effect). The monitoring program according to TBS led to a reduction in UNS attributable to sample taker (midterm effect).

A first survey of organized cervical cancer screening programs in Italy. GISCi working group on organization and evaluation. Gruppo Italiano Screening Citologico.

In Italy, where no national screening program for cervical cancer exists, organized programs have developed on a local basis. We performed the first survey of existing organized programs by mailing a standard questionnaire to a large network of possibly involved services. For the present survey, a program was defined as organized if personal invitations were sent. We identified 29 already active organized programs and 4 others in a starting phase. The target population of active programs included 2,074,820 women in the age range 25-64 years, corresponding to 13.5% of the Italian female population of the same age. The situation is rapidly evolving since many regional programs are being implemented. Most programs followed Italian and European recommendations as regards the age limits, interval between screening rounds, presence of a fail-safe system for women referred for colposcopy, presence of protocols for diagnostic workup and treatment, and presence of referral centers for such phases. However, many programs did not meet national guidelines as regards the size of laboratories interpreting smears, which were frequently small. Second-level referral centers also frequently had a very small activity. The average (weighted for size of the invited population) compliance to invitation and coverage (proportion of women with at least one test in the last 3 years) was 32.6% and 66.0%, respectively, therefore needing to be improved. Compliance to colposcopy (weighted for number of referred women) was 81.4%. We found a very high variability in the proportion of women referred for colposcopy that could only be partly explained by different referral protocols and could depend on different criteria of smear interpretation: the average (weighted for number of tested women) was 2.01%. A need for improvement in the process of evaluation and for homogenization of criteria of cytology interpretation was identified: work in this regard is on-going.

Cohort study of association of risk of breast cancer with cyst type in women with gross cystic disease of the breast.

OBJECTIVE: To assess correlation between type of breast cyst and risk of breast cancer in women with gross cystic disease of the breast. DESIGN: Cohort study of women with breast cysts aspirated between 1983 and 1993 who were followed up until December 1994 for occurrence of breast cancer. SETTING: Major cancer prevention centre. SUBJECTS: 802 women with aspirated breast cysts. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Type of breast cyst based on cationic content of cyst fluid: type I (potassium:sodium ratio > 1.5), type II (potassium:sodium ratio < 1.5), or mixed (both types). Subsequent occurrence and type of breast cancer. RESULTS: After median follow up of six years (range 2-12 years) 15 cases of invasive breast cancer and two ductal carcinomas in situ were diagnosed in the cohort: 12 invasive cancers (and two carcinomas in situ) among the 417 women with type I cysts, two cancers among the 325 women with type II cysts, and one among the 60 women with mixed cysts. The incidence of breast cancer in women with type I cysts was significantly higher than that in women with type II cysts (relative risk 4.62 (95% confidence interval 1.26 to 29.7)). These results were confirmed after adjustment for several risk factors for breast cancer (relative risk 4.24 (1.12 to 27.5)). CONCLUSIONS: The increased risk of breast cancer of women with breast cysts seems to be concentrated among women with type I breast cysts.

Mastectomy rates are decreasing in the era of service screening: a population-based study in Italy (1997-2001).

We enrolled all 2162 in situ and 21 148 invasive cases of breast cancer in 17 areas of Italy, diagnosed in 1997-2001. Rates of early cancer increased by 13.7% in the screening age group (50-69 years), and breast conserving surgery by 24.6%. Advanced cancer rates decreased by 19.4%, and mastectomy rates by 24.2%. Service screening did not increase mastectomy rates in the study population.