RESUMO
Melioidosis, caused by Burkholderia pseudomallei, is a rare but potentially fatal bacterial disease endemic to tropical and subtropical regions worldwide. It is typically acquired through contact with contaminated soil or fresh water. Before this investigation, B. pseudomallei was not known to have been isolated from the environment in the continental United States. Here, we report on three patients living in the same Mississippi Gulf Coast county who presented with melioidosis within a 3-year period. They were infected by the same Western Hemisphere B. pseudomallei strain that was discovered in three environmental samples collected from the property of one of the patients. These findings indicate local acquisition of melioidosis from the environment in the Mississippi Gulf Coast region.
Assuntos
Burkholderia pseudomallei , Microbiologia Ambiental , Melioidose , Humanos , Burkholderia pseudomallei/genética , Burkholderia pseudomallei/isolamento & purificação , Melioidose/epidemiologia , Melioidose/microbiologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Melioidosis, caused by the bacterium Burkholderia pseudomallei, is an uncommon infection that is typically associated with exposure to soil and water in tropical and subtropical environments. It is rarely diagnosed in the continental United States. Patients with melioidosis in the United States commonly report travel to regions where melioidosis is endemic. We report a cluster of four non-travel-associated cases of melioidosis in Georgia, Kansas, Minnesota, and Texas. These cases were caused by the same strain of B. pseudomallei that was linked to an aromatherapy spray product imported from a melioidosis-endemic area.
Assuntos
Aromaterapia/efeitos adversos , Burkholderia pseudomallei/isolamento & purificação , Surtos de Doenças , Melioidose/epidemiologia , Aerossóis , Encéfalo/microbiologia , Encéfalo/patologia , Burkholderia pseudomallei/genética , COVID-19/complicações , Pré-Escolar , Evolução Fatal , Feminino , Genoma Bacteriano , Humanos , Pulmão/microbiologia , Pulmão/patologia , Masculino , Melioidose/complicações , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Filogenia , Choque Séptico/microbiologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
During May 10-December 31, 2022, a total of 29,980 confirmed and probable U.S. monkeypox (mpox) cases were reported to CDC, predominantly in cisgender adult men reporting recent same-gender sexual partners (1). Urban-rural differences in health (2) and diagnosis of HIV (3,4) and other sexually transmitted infections (5) are well documented nationally. This report describes urban-rural differences in mpox incidence (cases per 100,000 population) among persons aged 15-64 years, by gender and race and ethnicity. Urbanicity was assessed using the 2013 National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) Urban-Rural Classification Scheme for Counties (2). Substantial differences in incidence by urbanicity, gender, and race and ethnicity were observed; most (71.0%) cases occurred in persons residing in large central urban areas. Among the cases in large central urban areas, most (95.7%) were in cisgender men. The overall incidence of mpox in the United States was 13.5 per 100,000 persons aged 15-64 years and peaked in August in both urban and rural areas. Among cisgender men, incidence in rural areas was approximately 4% that in large central urban areas (risk ratio [RR] = 0.04). Among cisgender women, incidence in rural areas was approximately 11% that in large central urban areas (RR = 0.11). In both urban and rural areas, incidence among non-Hispanic Black or African American (Black) and Hispanic or Latino (Hispanic) persons was consistently higher than that among non-Hispanic White (White) persons; RRs between Black and White persons were highest in rural areas. Support and maintenance of mpox surveillance and prevention efforts including vaccinations should focus on urban areas with the highest incidence of mpox during the 2022 outbreak; however, surveillance and prevention efforts should include all genders, persons of color, and persons residing in both urban and rural areas who are at increased risk for mpox.
Assuntos
Mpox , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Etnicidade , Hispânico ou Latino , Incidência , Mpox/epidemiologia , População Rural , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , População Urbana , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Negro ou Afro-Americano , BrancosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Cutaneous anthrax accounts for approximately 95% of anthrax cases worldwide. About 24% of untreated patients die, and many cases are complicated by meningitis. Here, we explore clinical features of cutaneous disease associated with poor outcomes. METHODS: A systematic review identified 303 full-text articles published from 1950 through 2018 that met predefined inclusion criteria. Cases were abstracted, and descriptive analyses and univariate logistic regression were conducted to identify prognostic indicators for cutaneous anthrax. RESULTS: Of 182 included patients, 47 (25.8%) died. Previously reported independent predictors for death or meningitis that we confirmed included fever or chills; nausea or vomiting; headache; severe headache; nonheadache, nonmeningeal signs; leukocytosis; and bacteremia. Newly identified predictors included anxiety, abdominal pain, diastolic hypotension, skin trauma, thoracic edema, malignant pustule edema, lymphadenopathy, and evidence of coagulopathy (all with P < .05). CONCLUSIONS: We identified patient presentations not previously associated with poor outcomes.
Assuntos
Antraz , Meningite , Dermatopatias Bacterianas , Adulto , Antraz/diagnóstico , Cefaleia , Humanos , Fatores de Risco , Dermatopatias Bacterianas/tratamento farmacológicoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Anthrax is endemic to many countries, including the United States. The causative agent, Bacillus anthracis, poses a global bioterrorism threat. Without effective antimicrobial postexposure prophylaxis (PEPAbx) and treatment, the mortality of systemic anthrax is high. To inform clinical guidelines for PEPAbx and treatment of B. anthracis infections in humans, we systematically evaluated animal anthrax treatment model studies. METHODS: We searched for survival outcome data in 9 scientific search engines for articles describing antimicrobial PEPAbx or treatment of anthrax in animals in any language through February 2019. We performed meta-analyses of efficacy of antimicrobial PEPAbx and treatment for each drug or drug combination using random-effects models. Pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic relationships were developed for 5 antimicrobials with available pharmacokinetic data. Monte Carlo simulations were used to predict unbound drug exposures in humans. RESULTS: We synthesized data from 34 peer-reviewed studies with 3262 animals. For PEPAbx and treatment of infection by susceptible B. anthracis, effective monotherapy can be accomplished with fluoroquinolones, tetracyclines, ß-lactams (including penicillin, amoxicillin-clavulanate, and imipenem-cilastatin), and lipopeptides or glycopeptides. For naturally occurring strains, unbound drug exposures in humans were predicted to adequately cover the minimal inhibitory concentrations (MICs; those required to inhibit the growth of 50% or 90% of organisms [MIC50 or MIC90]) for ciprofloxacin, levofloxacin, and doxycycline for both the PEPAbx and treatment targets. Dalbavancin covered its MIC50 for PEPAbx. CONCLUSIONS: These animal studies show many reviewed antimicrobials are good choices for PEPAbx or treatment of susceptible B. anthracis strains, and some are also promising options for combating resistant strains. Monte Carlo simulations suggest that oral ciprofloxacin, levofloxacin, and doxycycline are particularly robust choices for PEPAbx or treatment.
Assuntos
Antraz , Anti-Infecciosos , Bacillus anthracis , Combinação Amoxicilina e Clavulanato de Potássio/uso terapêutico , Animais , Antraz/tratamento farmacológico , Antraz/prevenção & controle , Antibacterianos/farmacologia , Anti-Infecciosos/uso terapêutico , Combinação Imipenem e Cilastatina/farmacologia , Combinação Imipenem e Cilastatina/uso terapêutico , Ciprofloxacina/uso terapêutico , Doxiciclina/uso terapêutico , Glicopeptídeos/farmacologia , Glicopeptídeos/uso terapêutico , Humanos , Levofloxacino/uso terapêutico , Lipopeptídeos/farmacologia , Lipopeptídeos/uso terapêutico , Modelos Animais , Tetraciclinas/uso terapêutico , Estados Unidos , beta-Lactamas/uso terapêuticoRESUMO
On May 17, 2022, the Massachusetts Department of Health announced the first suspected case of monkeypox associated with the global outbreak in a U.S. resident. On May 23, 2022, CDC launched an emergency response (1,2). CDC's emergency response focused on surveillance, laboratory testing, medical countermeasures, and education. Medical countermeasures included rollout of a national JYNNEOS vaccination strategy, Food and Drug Administration (FDA) issuance of an emergency use authorization to allow for intradermal administration of JYNNEOS, and use of tecovirimat for patients with, or at risk for, severe monkeypox. During May 17-October 6, 2022, a total of 26,384 probable and confirmed* U.S. monkeypox cases were reported to CDC. Daily case counts peaked during mid-to-late August. Among 25,001 of 25,569 (98%) cases in adults with information on gender identity, 23,683 (95%) occurred in cisgender men. Among 13,997 cisgender men with information on recent sexual or close intimate contact,§ 10,440 (75%) reported male-to-male sexual contact (MMSC) ≤21 days preceding symptom onset. Among 21,211 (80%) cases in persons with information on race and ethnicity,¶ 6,879 (32%), 6,628 (31%), and 6,330 (30%) occurred in non-Hispanic Black or African American (Black), Hispanic or Latino (Hispanic), and non-Hispanic White (White) persons, respectively. Among 5,017 (20%) cases in adults with information on HIV infection status, 2,876 (57%) had HIV infection. Prevention efforts, including vaccination, should be prioritized among persons at highest risk within groups most affected by the monkeypox outbreak, including gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (MSM); transgender, nonbinary, and gender-diverse persons; racial and ethnic minority groups; and persons who are immunocompromised, including persons with advanced HIV infection or newly diagnosed HIV infection.
Assuntos
Infecções por HIV , Mpox , Minorias Sexuais e de Gênero , Adulto , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Homossexualidade Masculina , Etnicidade , Infecções por HIV/prevenção & controle , Mpox/epidemiologia , Grupos Minoritários , Identidade de Gênero , Causas de Morte , Surtos de DoençasRESUMO
Since May 2022, approximately 20,000 cases of monkeypox have been identified in the United States, part of a global outbreak occurring in approximately 90 countries and currently affecting primarily gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (MSM) (1). Monkeypox virus (MPXV) spreads from person to person through close, prolonged contact; a small number of cases have occurred in populations who are not MSM (e.g., women and children), and testing is recommended for persons who meet the suspected case definition* (1). CDC previously developed five real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR) assays for detection of orthopoxviruses from lesion specimens (2,3). CDC was granted 510(k) clearance for the nonvariola-orthopoxvirus (NVO)-specific PCR assay by the Food and Drug Administration. This assay was implemented within the Laboratory Response Network (LRN) in the early 2000s and became critical for early detection of MPXV and implementation of public health action in previous travel-associated cases as well as during the current outbreak (4-7). PCR assays (NVO and other Orthopoxvirus laboratory developed tests [LDT]) represent the primary tool for monkeypox diagnosis. These tests are highly sensitive, and cross-contamination from other MPXV specimens being processed, tested, or both alongside negative specimens can occasionally lead to false-positive results. This report describes three patients who had atypical rashes and no epidemiologic link to a monkeypox case or known risk factors; these persons received diagnoses of monkeypox based on late cycle threshold (Ct) values ≥34, which were false-positive test results. The initial diagnoses were followed by administration of antiviral treatment (i.e., tecovirimat) and JYNNEOS vaccine postexposure prophylaxis (PEP) to patients' close contacts. After receiving subsequent testing, none of the three patients was confirmed to have monkeypox. Knowledge gained from these and other cases resulted in changes to CDC guidance. When testing for monkeypox in specimens from patients without an epidemiologic link or risk factors or who do not meet clinical criteria (or where these are unknown), laboratory scientists should reextract and retest specimens with late Ct values (based on this report, Ct ≥34 is recommended) (8). CDC can be consulted for complex cases including those that appear atypical or questionable cases and can perform additional viral species- and clade-specific PCR testing and antiorthopoxvirus serologic testing.
Assuntos
Doenças Transmissíveis , Mpox , Orthopoxvirus , Minorias Sexuais e de Gênero , Animais , Criança , Feminino , Homossexualidade Masculina , Humanos , Masculino , Mpox/diagnóstico , Mpox/epidemiologia , Monkeypox virus/genética , Orthopoxvirus/genética , Viagem , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaAssuntos
Doadores de Sangue , Brucella abortus , Brucelose , Plaquetoferese , Humanos , Masculino , Animais , Feminino , Adulto , Vacina contra Brucelose/imunologiaAssuntos
Antraz , Fazendas , Estações do Ano , Antraz/veterinária , Antraz/epidemiologia , Texas/epidemiologia , Animais , Ovinos , Humanos , Doenças dos Ovinos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Brucella canis infects dogs and humans. In dogs, it can cause reproductive failure; in humans, it can cause fever, chills, malaise, peripheral lymphadenomegaly, and splenomegaly. B. canis infection in dogs is underrecognized. After evaluating serologic data, transmission patterns, and regulations in the context of brucellosis in dogs as an underrecognized zoonosis, we concluded that brucellosis in dogs remains endemic to many parts of the world and will probably remain a threat to human health and animal welfare unless stronger intervention measures are implemented. A first step for limiting disease spread would be implementation of mandatory testing of dogs before interstate or international movement.
Assuntos
Brucella canis , Brucelose/veterinária , Doenças do Cão/parasitologia , Saúde Pública , Animais , Anticorpos Antiprotozoários/sangue , Brucella canis/imunologia , Brucelose/sangue , Brucelose/parasitologia , Brucelose/transmissão , Doenças do Cão/sangue , Cães , Saúde Global , Humanos , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , ZoonosesRESUMO
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Asthma and the inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD) each arise through complex interactions between genetic and environmental factors, and share many environmental risk factors. We examined the association between asthma and Crohn's disease or ulcerative colitis. METHODS: We performed a population-based case-control study using health administrative data from the province of Alberta, Canada. The odds of a diagnosis of asthma preceding the diagnosis of either Crohn's disease (N = 3087) or ulcerative colitis (N = 2377) were compared with the odds of diagnosis of asthma among persons without IBD (N = 402,800) using logistic regression. Effect measure modification by age at diagnosis of IBD (16 years or less, 17-40 years, or older than 40 years) was tested using a likelihood ratio test. RESULTS: A diagnosis of asthma was associated with increased odds of incident Crohn's disease (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 1.45; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.31-1.60). No effect measure modification was observed for age at diagnosis for Crohn's disease (P = .42). However, we observed effect measure modification by age at diagnosis for ulcerative colitis (P = .0103), with an adjusted OR of 1.49 (95% CI, 1.08-2.07) among individuals diagnosed at an age of 16 years or less (OR) and an adjusted OR of 1.57 (95% CI, 1.31-1.89) among individuals diagnosed at an age older than 40 years. However, there was no association between asthma and ulcerative colitis among individuals diagnosed between ages 17 and 40 (adjusted OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.86-1.26). CONCLUSIONS: In a population-based case-control study, we associated asthma with Crohn's disease, and with early and late-onset ulcerative colitis.
Assuntos
Asma/complicações , Colite Ulcerativa/epidemiologia , Doença de Crohn/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Alberta/epidemiologia , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto JovemAssuntos
Aromaterapia , Burkholderia pseudomallei , Melioidose , Animais , Humanos , Melioidose/epidemiologia , Guaxinins , Texas/epidemiologia , Surtos de DoençasRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: Clostridium difficile (C. difficile) may worsen the prognosis of ulcerative colitis (UC). The objectives of this study were to: (i) validate the International Classification of Diseases-10 (ICD-10) code for C. difficile; (ii) determine the risk of C. difficile infection after diagnosis of UC; (iii) evaluate the effect of C. difficile infection on the risk of colectomy; and (iv) assess the association between C. difficile and postoperative complications. METHODS: The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were calculated by comparing ICD-10 codes for C. difficile with stool toxin tests. A population-based surveillance cohort of newly diagnosed UC patients living in Alberta, Canada were identified from 2003 to 2009 (n=1,754). The effect of a C. difficile infection on colectomy was modeled using competing risk survival regression after adjusting for covariates. The effect of a C. difficile infection on postoperative complications was assessed using a mixed effects logistic regression model. RESULTS: The sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of the ICD-10 code for C. difficile were 82.1%, 99.4%, 88.4%, and 99.1%, respectively. The risk of C. difficile infection within 5 years of diagnosis with UC was 3.4% (95% confidence interval (CI): 2.5-4.6%). The risk of colectomy was higher among UC patients diagnosed with C. difficile (sub-hazard ratio (sHR)=2.36; 95% CI: 1.47-3.80). C. difficile increased the risk of postoperative complications (odds ratio=4.84; 95% CI: 1.28-18.35). C. difficile was associated with mortality (sHR=2.56 times; 95% CI: 1.28-5.10). CONCLUSIONS: C. difficile diagnosis worsens the prognosis of newly diagnosed patients with UC by increasing the risk of colectomy, postoperative complications, and death.
Assuntos
Clostridioides difficile/isolamento & purificação , Infecções por Clostridium/diagnóstico , Colectomia , Colite Ulcerativa/microbiologia , Classificação Internacional de Doenças , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Adulto , Infecções por Clostridium/complicações , Infecções por Clostridium/mortalidade , Estudos de Coortes , Colite Ulcerativa/mortalidade , Colite Ulcerativa/cirurgia , Feminino , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Fatores de RiscoAssuntos
Antraz/microbiologia , Antígenos de Bactérias/genética , Bacillus cereus/genética , Toxinas Bacterianas/genética , Ferreiros , Doenças Profissionais/microbiologia , Exposição Ocupacional/efeitos adversos , Pneumonia Bacteriana/microbiologia , Adulto , Antraz/mortalidade , Feminino , Humanos , Louisiana/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Doenças Profissionais/mortalidade , Pneumonia Bacteriana/mortalidade , Texas/epidemiologiaRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: Patients with Crohn's disease (CD) who smoke are at a higher risk of flaring and requiring surgery. Cost-effectiveness studies of funding smoking cessation programs are lacking. Thus, we performed a cost-utility analysis of funding smoking cessation programs for CD. METHODS: A cost-utility analysis was performed comparing five smoking cessation strategies: No Program, Counseling, Nicotine Replacement Therapy (NRT), NRT+Counseling, and Varenicline. The time horizon for the Markov model was 5 years. The health states included medical remission (azathioprine or antitumor necrosis factor (anti-TNF), dose escalation of an anti-TNF, second anti-TNF, surgery, and death. Probabilities were taken from peer-reviewed literature, and costs (CAN$) for surgery, medications, and smoking cessation programs were estimated locally. The primary outcome was the cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained associated with each smoking cessation strategy. Threshold, three-way sensitivity, probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA), and budget impact analysis (BIA) were carried out. RESULTS: All strategies dominated No Program. Strategies from most to least cost effective were as follows: Varenicline (cost: $55,614, QALY: 3.70), NRT+Counseling (cost: $58,878, QALY: 3.69), NRT (cost: $59,540, QALY: 3.69), Counseling (cost: $61,029, QALY: 3.68), and No Program (cost: $63,601, QALY: 3.67). Three-way sensitivity analysis demonstrated that No Program was only more cost effective when every strategy's cost exceeded approximately 10 times their estimated costs. The PSA showed that No Program was the most cost-effective <1% of the time. The BIA showed that any strategy saved the health-care system money over No Program. CONCLUSIONS: Health-care systems should consider funding smoking cessation programs for CD, as they improve health outcomes and reduce costs.
Assuntos
Benzazepinas , Doença de Crohn , Aconselhamento Diretivo , Quinoxalinas , Abandono do Hábito de Fumar , Fumar , Dispositivos para o Abandono do Uso de Tabaco/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Azatioprina/uso terapêutico , Benzazepinas/economia , Benzazepinas/uso terapêutico , Canadá , Análise Custo-Benefício , Doença de Crohn/economia , Doença de Crohn/psicologia , Doença de Crohn/terapia , Aconselhamento Diretivo/economia , Aconselhamento Diretivo/métodos , Aconselhamento Diretivo/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Humanos , Imunossupressores/uso terapêutico , Masculino , Modelos Estatísticos , Agonistas Nicotínicos/economia , Agonistas Nicotínicos/uso terapêutico , Avaliação de Programas e Projetos de Saúde , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Quinoxalinas/economia , Quinoxalinas/uso terapêutico , Fumar/fisiopatologia , Fumar/terapia , Abandono do Hábito de Fumar/economia , Abandono do Hábito de Fumar/métodos , Fator de Necrose Tumoral alfa/antagonistas & inibidores , VareniclinaRESUMO
BACKGROUND & AIMS: The inflammatory bowel diseases (IBDs) are chronic diseases that often require surgery. However, the risk of requirement of surgery over time has not been well characterized. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to establish the cumulative risk of surgery among patients with IBD and evaluated how this risk has changed over time. METHODS: We searched Medline, EMBASE, PubMed, and conference proceedings (2009-2012) on May 8, 2013, for terms related to IBD and intestinal surgery. Two reviewers screened 8338 unique citations to identify 486 for full-text review. The analysis included population-based studies published as articles (n = 26) and abstracts (n = 4) that reported risks of surgery at 1, 5, or 10 years after a diagnosis of Crohn's disease and/or ulcerative colitis. The trend in risk of surgery over time was analyzed by meta-regression using mixed-effect models. RESULTS: Based on all population-based studies, the risk of surgery 1, 5, and 10 years after diagnosis of Crohn's disease was 16.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], 11.4%-23.2%), 33.3% (95% CI, 26.3%-42.1%), and 46.6% (95% CI, 37.7%-57.7%), respectively. The risk of surgery 1, 5, and 10 years after diagnosis of ulcerative colitis was 4.9% (95% CI, 3.8%-6.3%), 11.6% (95% CI, 9.3%-14.4%), and 15.6% (95% CI, 12.5%-19.6%), respectively. The risk of surgery 1, 5, and 10 years after diagnosis of Crohn's disease and 1 and 10 years after diagnosis of ulcerative colitis has decreased significantly over the past 6 decades (P < .05). CONCLUSIONS: Based on systematic review and meta-analysis of population-based studies, the risk of intestinal surgery among patients with IBD has decreased over the past 6 decades.
Assuntos
Procedimentos Cirúrgicos do Sistema Digestório/estatística & dados numéricos , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos do Sistema Digestório/tendências , Doenças Inflamatórias Intestinais/cirurgia , Humanos , Doenças Inflamatórias Intestinais/diagnóstico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo , Estados UnidosRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: Approximately 50% of Crohn's disease patients undergo an intestinal resection within 10 years of diagnosis. The risk of second surgery in Crohn's disease and the influence of time are not well characterized. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to establish the risk of second abdominal surgery in patients with Crohn's disease among patients who had a previous surgery. METHODS: We searched Medline, EMBASE, PubMed (March 2014), and conference proceedings for terms related to Crohn's disease and intestinal surgery. We included population-based articles (n=11) and an abstract (n=1) reporting surgical risk for the overall study period and for 5 and 10 years after the first surgery for Crohn's disease. We stratified studies by year (start year before vs. after 1980) to explore the role of time. RESULTS: For all population-based studies, the overall risk of second surgery was 28.7% (95% confidence interval (CI): 22.6-36.6%). The 5-year risk of second surgery was 24.2% (95% CI: 22.3-26.4%). The 10-year risk of second surgery was 35.0% (95% CI: 31.8-38.6%). A significant difference in the 10-year risk of second surgery was observed over time such that studies conducted after 1980 had a lower risk of second surgery (33.2%; 95% CI: 31.2-35.4%) compared with those that started before 1980 (44.6%; 95% CI: 37.7-52.7%). CONCLUSIONS: Approximately one-quarter of Crohn's disease patients who have a first surgery also have a second, and the majority of these surgeries occur within 5 years of the first surgery. The 10-year risk of second surgery is significantly decreasing over time.