The EMALT Score: An Improved Model for Prediction of Early Mortality in Liver Transplant Recipients.

PURPOSE: Needs, risks, and outcomes of patients admitted to a post liver transplant intensive care unit (POLTICU) differ in important ways from those admitted to pretransplant intensive care units (ICUs). The aim of this study was to create the optimal model to risk stratify POLTICU patients. METHODS: Consecutive patients who underwent first deceased donor liver transplantation (LT) at a large United States center between 2008 and 2014 were followed from admission to LT and to discharge or death. Receiver-operating characteristic analysis was performed to assess the value of various scores in predicting in-hospital mortality. A predictive model was developed using logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: A total of 697 patients underwent LT, and 3.2% died without leaving the hospital. A model for in-hospital mortality was derived from variables available within 24 hours of admission to the POLTICU. Key variables best predicting survival were white blood cell count, 24-hour urine output, and serum glucose. A model using these variables performed with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.88, compared to the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation III and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease, which performed with AUCs of 0.74 and 0.60, respectively. CONCLUSION: An improved model, the early mortality after LT (EMALT) score, performs better than conventional models in predicting in-hospital mortality after LT.

Recurrent Gastrointestinal Pseudo-obstruction Because of Well-Differentiated Duodenal Neuroendocrine Tumor.

A 56-year-old man presented with recurrent gastrointestinal obstruction. Computed tomography showed fluid-filled, distended stomach, small intestine, and large intestine. Extensive workup including esophagogastroduodenoscopy, colonoscopy, magnetic resonance enterography, push enteroscopy, and video capsule enteroscopy showed no mechanical obstruction. Endoscopic ultrasound-guided biopsy of peripancreatic nodes detected on 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography revealed a duodenal neuroendocrine tumor. The lesion showed intense uptake on gallium-68 DOTATOC positron emission tomography-computed tomography scan. The patient underwent surgical resection of the tumor with resolution of bowel obstruction events. He had elevated pancreatic polypeptide levels, which are known to delay gastric emptying and could explain his symptoms.

The spectrum of histopathological findings after SVR to DAA for recurrent HCV infection in liver transplant recipients.

Sustained virological response (SVR) to the treatment of recurrent HCV in liver transplant recipients has excellent clinical outcomes; however, little is known about the effects on allograft histology. The study aimed to assess the histology of the allograft liver. In this single-center, retrospective cohort study, patients with recurrent hepatitis C (HCV) in allograft liver who were cured with antiviral therapy between 2010 and 2016 were identified. Biopsies were reviewed by two liver pathologists blinded to the treatment and SVR status. Paired analysis was performed to compare pre- and post-treatment histological features. Of the 62 patients analyzed, 22 patients received PEGylated interferon/ribavirin (IFN) therapy, while 40 patients received direct-acting antiviral agents (DAA). The mean age was 57 years, 24% were female, and 79% were Caucasian. RNA in situ hybridization testing for HCV and HEV was negative in all the tested patients. Significant reduction in the inflammatory grade of post-treatment biopsy specimens was noted in all subjects (n = 57; p < 0.001) and in the IFN group (n = 21; p = 0.001) but not in the DAA group (p = 0.093). Of all subjects, 21% had worsening stage, 31% had improvement, and 48% had no change in stage. Of the treatment groups, 27% in the IFN and 17% in the DAA groups had worsening stage; however, the results were not statistically significant in all subjects or by treatment modality. Persistent inflammatory infiltrates and fibrosis was noted in allograft tissue of patients cured with DAA. Significant improvement in grade was noted in the IFN group, without a significant change in stage.

LIV-4: A novel model for predicting transplant-free survival in critically ill cirrhotics.

BACKGROUND: Critically ill patients with cirrhosis, particularly those with acute decompensation, have higher mortality rates in the intensive care unit (ICU) than patients without chronic liver disease. Prognostication of short-term mortality is important in order to identify patients at highest risk of death. None of the currently available prognostic models have been widely accepted for use in cirrhotic patients in the ICU, perhaps due to complexity of calculation, or lack of universal variables readily available for these patients. We believe a survival model meeting these requirements can be developed, to guide therapeutic decision-making and contribute to cost-effective healthcare resource utilization. AIM: To identify markers that best identify likelihood of survival and to determine the performance of existing survival models. METHODS: Consecutive cirrhotic patients admitted to a United States quaternary care center ICU between 2008-2014 were included and comprised the training cohort. Demographic data and clinical laboratory test collected on admission to ICU were analyzed. Area under the curve receiver operator characteristics (AUROC) analysis was performed to assess the value of various scores in predicting in-hospital mortality. A new predictive model, the LIV-4 score, was developed using logistic regression analysis and validated in a cohort of patients admitted to the same institution between 2015-2017. RESULTS: Of 436 patients, 119 (27.3%) died in the hospital. In multivariate analysis, a combination of the natural logarithm of the bilirubin, prothrombin time, white blood cell count, and mean arterial pressure was found to most accurately predict in-hospital mortality. Derived from the regression coefficients of the independent variables, a novel model to predict inpatient mortality was developed (the LIV-4 score) and performed with an AUROC of 0.86, compared to the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease, Chronic Liver Failure-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, and Royal Free Hospital Score, which performed with AUROCs of 0.81, 0.80, and 0.77, respectively. Patients in the internal validation cohort were substantially sicker, as evidenced by higher Model for End-Stage Liver Disease, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Sodium, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation III, SOFA and LIV-4 scores. Despite these differences, the LIV-4 score remained significantly higher in subjects who expired during the hospital stay and exhibited good prognostic values in the validation cohort with an AUROC of 0.80. CONCLUSION: LIV-4, a validated model for predicting mortality in cirrhotic patients on admission to the ICU, performs better than alternative liver and ICU-specific survival scores.

The association of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis and obstructive sleep apnea.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The association between obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) and abnormal liver enzymes has been reported in multiple studies. The existing literature regarding the relationship between OSA and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is conflicting. Thus we aimed to determine the relationship between OSA and NASH from a large database. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A cross-sectional study was performed using the 2012 Nationwide Inpatient Sample. We identified adult patients (18-90 years) who had a diagnosis of OSA using the International Classification of Diseases 9th version codes. The control group was comprised of adult individuals with no discharge records of OSA. NASH diagnosis was also identified using the International Classification of Diseases 9th version codes. The association between OSA and NASH was calculated using univariable and multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 30 712 524 hospitalizations were included. The OSA group included 1 490 150 patients versus 29 222 374 in the control non-OSA group. The OSA group average age was 61.8±0.07 years (44.2% females) compared with 57.0±0.11 years (60.1% females) in the non-OSA group. NASH prevalence was significantly higher in the OSA group compared with the non-OSA group [2% (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.9, 2.1) vs. 0.65% (95% CI: 0.63, 0.66), P<0.001]. After adjusting for obesity, diabetes, hypertension, dyslipidemia, the metabolic syndrome and Charlson comorbidity index, OSA patients were three times more likely to have NASH [adjusted odds ratio: 3.1 (95% CI: 3.0-3.3), P<0.001]. CONCLUSION: Patients with OSA are three times more likely to have NASH compared with patients without OSA after controlling for other confounders. These data indicate that OSA should be considered as an independent risk factor for developing NASH.