Machine learning for individualized prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma development after the eradication of hepatitis C virus with antivirals.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Accurate risk stratification for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after achieving a sustained viral response (SVR) is necessary for optimal surveillance. We aimed to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) model to predict the risk of HCC after achieving an SVR in individual patients. METHODS: In this multicenter cohort study, 1742 patients with chronic hepatitis C who achieved an SVR were enrolled. Five ML models were developed including DeepSurv, gradient boosting survival analysis, random survival forest (RSF), survival support vector machine, and a conventional Cox proportional hazard model. Model performance was evaluated using Harrel' c-index and was externally validated in an independent cohort (977 patients). RESULTS: During the mean observation period of 5.4 years, 122 patients developed HCC (83 in the derivation cohort and 39 in the external validation cohort). The RSF model showed the best discrimination ability using seven parameters at the achievement of an SVR with a c-index of 0.839 in the external validation cohort and a high discriminative ability when the patients were categorized into three risk groups (P <0.001). Furthermore, this RSF model enabled the generation of an individualized predictive curve for HCC occurrence for each patient with an app available online. CONCLUSIONS: We developed and externally validated an RSF model with good predictive performance for the risk of HCC after an SVR. The application of this novel model is available on the website. This model could provide the data to consider an effective surveillance method. Further studies are needed to make recommendations for surveillance policies tailored to the medical situation in each country. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: A novel prediction model for HCC occurrence in patients after hepatitis C virus eradication was developed using machine learning algorithms. This model, using seven commonly measured parameters, has been shown to have a good predictive ability for HCC development and could provide a personalized surveillance system.

A study on prevention of bleeding complications using lusutrombopag for safe RFA in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma with low platelet counts: prospective observational study.

BACKGROUND: Platelet (PLT) transfusion was the most practical way to increase patients' PLT counts before invasive hepatic procedures such as radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). A novel drug that raises the PLT count by acting on the thrombopoietin receptor has recently become available. METHODS: Lusutrombopag 3 mg was administered daily for 7 days to patients who underwent RFA for liver tumors with low PLT counts (< 50,000 PLT µL- 1). We collected demographic data concerning the patients' liver function and PLT counts. RESULTS: Lusutrombopag was administered to 91 patients, with a median age of 71 years (range 51-86). Forty-two patients had hepatitis C, 12 had hepatitis B, 21 had alcoholic liver disease, 11 had nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, and five had other diseases. The median Child-Pugh score was 7 (range 5-11). Thirty-seven patients had stage I tumors, 41 had Stage II, 12 had stage III, and one had stage IV. PLT count was elevated from 4.4 × 104 ± 1.4 × 104 to 8.6 × 104 ± 2.5 × 104 PLT µL- 1. Lusutrombopag administration prevented PLT transfusions in 84/91 patients (92%). No patient had bleeding complications after RFA. One had portal thrombosis after lusutrombopag administration. Patients who achieved PLT counts of > 50,000 PLT µL- 1 had higher PLT counts before lusutrombopag administration. The degree of splenomegaly did not affect the rate of PLT count elevation. There was no specific adverse effect by administrating lusutrombopag for patients with PLT counts of around 50,000 µL- 1 but > 50,000 µL- 1. CONCLUSIONS: Lusutrombopag administration before RFA was effective and seemed to be relatively safe for hepatocellular carcinoma patients with low PLT counts. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This study was approved by Japanese Red Cross Medical Center Institutional Reseach Comittie (#862, 07/03/2016), and was registered in a publically accessible primary register (#UMIN000046629, registered date: 14/01/2022).

[A Case of Pancreatic Tail Cancer Causing Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage Due to Transverse Colon Invasion].

An 81-year-old woman was admitted to our hospital due to frequent bleeding and hemorrhagic shock. Blood tests revealed anemia and contrast-enhanced abdominal CT revealed a pancreatic tail tumor with a diameter of 60 mm. The boundary between pancreatic tumor and the transverse colon, stomach and spleen was unclear, and invasion of the transverse colon as well as the stomach and spleen was suspected. Hemorrhage due to colon invasion of the pancreatic tail cancer and intra-tumoral hemorrhage were suspected. Due to persistent bleeding, the patient had emergency surgery to control bleeding. The pancreatic tail tumor invaded not only the colon but also stomach and spleen, distal pancreatectomy, partial gastrectomy and splenectomy was performed in combination with resection of the transverse colon, and transverse colon colostomy. We report a case of gastrointestinal bleeding caused by transverse colon invasion of pancreatic tail cancer, which resulted in emergency surgery.

Effectiveness of direct acting antiviral agents for hepatitis C virus related recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma patients who had multiple courses of recurrence.

Eradication of hepatitis C virus (HCV) using direct acting antiviral agents (DAAs) has been reported to alter liver function and reduce the recurrence rate after curative treatment in naïve hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. However, it is not well known whether administration of DAAs had favourable effect on HCC patients with multiple courses of recurrence. We retrospectively extracted 146 HCV-related HCC (C-HCC) patients who received curative treatment using radiofrequency ablation (RFA) followed by eradication treatment with DAA between 1 January 2015 and 31 December 2017. We also extracted 184 C-HCC patients who were curatively treated using RFA without HCV eradication treatment between 1 January 2009 and 31 July 2014 as controls. We used propensity score matching method and adjusted following factors between the 2 groups: age, sex, liver function, number of recurrence times, tumour diameter and tumour numbers. We finally enrolled 47 C-HCC patients with eradication of HCV, and 47 C-HCC patients without HCV eradication as controls. Primary end point was time to curative treatment failure. We defined time to curative treatment failure as the interval from curative treatment initiation to premature discontinuation of this type of therapy. Their clinical data, time to curative treatment failure and overall survival were compared. We also assessed the prognostic values of time to curative treatment failure and overall survival using multivariate Cox proportional hazard models. The median age was 74.8 years, 60 patients (63.8%) were male, and 81 patients (86.2%) were Child-Pugh class A. The median tumour number was 1, tumour diameter was 20 mm, and frequency of recurrence was 3 times. There were no significant differences about patients' backgrounds between the 2 groups. The cumulative time to curative treatment failure rates of patients who received DAA were 93.6% and 73.2% at 1 and 3 years, respectively; those of controls were 72.5%, and 37.1% (p < .01). Multivariate analysis indicated that eradication with DAAs (HR 0.23, 95% CI; 0.12-0.43, p < .01) and DCP >50 mAU/ml (HR 2.62, 95% CI; 1.45-4.74, p < .01) as independent factors contributed to time to curative treatment failure. The cumulative overall survival rates of patients who received DAAs were 93.6% and 72.6% at 1 and 3 years, respectively; those of controls were 72.8% and 37.4% (p < .01). Multivariate analysis indicated that eradication with DAAs (HR 0.32, 95% CI; 0.17-0.60, p < .01) and frequency of recurrence times (HR 1.20 per 1 time, 95% CI; 1.01-1.42, p = .038) as independent factors related to overall survival. Eradication of HCV using DAAs prolonged not only time to curative treatment failure but also overall survival even in C-HCC patients with multiple courses of recurrence.

Multicenter, randomized, controlled trial of S-1 monotherapy versus S-1 and interferon-α combination therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma with extrahepatic metastases.

AIM: No effective therapies for extrahepatic metastases from hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have yet been identified. Previous studies suggested a potentially promising antitumor effect of combination therapy of S-1, a novel oral dihydropyrimidine dehydrogenase inhibitor, and interferon (IFN)-α. The present study aimed to investigate the clinical efficacy of single agent S-1 and S-1/IFN-α for HCC patients with extrahepatic metastases in a randomized, open-label, multicenter trial. METHODS: A total of 103 patients with HCC with extrahepatic metastases were randomly assigned to the S-1/IFN-α group, receiving the combination of S-1 and IFN-α, or the S-1 group, receiving the single agent of S-1. Clinical efficacy and adverse events were compared between the two groups. RESULTS: A total of 49 patients in the S-1/IFN-α group and 51 patients in the S-1 group were included in the efficacy analysis. The response rate was 22.4% (11/49) in the S-1/IFN-α group and 13.7% (7/51) in the S-1 group; there was no significant difference. Overall and progression-free survival in the two groups were also not significantly different (1-year overall survival 50.8% vs. 72.4%, median progression-free survival 127 days vs. 157 days). The incidence of grade ≥3 adverse events in the S-1/IFN-α group was 62.7% (32/51), which tended to be higher than in the S-1 group (43.1% [22/51]). CONCLUSIONS: Oncological outcomes in both treatment groups were favorable compared with previous reports, though there was no significant beneficial effect of adding IFN-α to S-1 for the treatment of HCC patients with extrahepatic metastases.

[Successful Hepatic Arterial Injection Chemotherapy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma with Inferior Vena Cava Invasion and Extrahepatic Spread in a Patient with Child-Pugh Class BLiver Cirrhosis].

A 65-year-old woman who had liver cirrhosis(Child-Pugh class B)due to hepatitis C infection was diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma with hepatic vein invasion, portal vein tumor invasion, and lung metastasis. No recommended treatment was noted in the clinical practice guidelines for hepatocellular carcinoma with vascular invasion in patients with Child- Pugh class B liver cirrhosis. After initiating arterial injection chemotherapy, marked decreases in tumor size of lung metastasis, vascular invasion, and primary liver cancer were observed. Based on our experience and previous reports, hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy was considered valuable for hepatocellular carcinoma with vascular invasion, even in patients with Child-Pugh class B liver cirrhosis.

A simple home-based self-monitoring tool for early detection of hand-foot syndrome in cancer patients.

OBJECTIVE: Development of hand-foot syndrome symptoms, which is a common adverse effect of several cancer chemotherapy agents, can result in patient withdrawal from treatment. Its early identification allows appropriate modification of chemotherapy regimens and can avert treatment withdrawal by minimizing the impact on quality of life and duration of discontinued therapy. We sought to develop a simple home-based self-monitoring tool to facilitate reliable early identification of hand-foot syndrome, based on the self-administered quality of life questionnaire hand-foot syndrome-14. METHODS: We modified the hand-foot syndrome-14 to create a simple tool with binary responses ('yes' or 'no') for patients to self-evaluate subjective hand-foot syndrome symptoms daily. We evaluated this tool with 187 consecutive, consenting, eligible adult patients attending four centers and treated with capecitabine, sorafenib or sunitinib for various cancers. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to select the items with the greatest discrimination for detecting Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE) grade 2 or 3 reactions, which indicate the need to modify the treatment regimen. RESULTS: There were four items that were most strongly associated with Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events grade 2 or higher symptoms. 'Pain associated with hand-foot syndrome' was the most strongly associated with moderate hand-foot syndrome. For detecting moderate hand-foot syndrome symptoms, the sensitivity was 100.0%, specificity was 94.6%, positive predictive value was 82.6% and area under the curve was 0.98 by a sum of the scores of four-item self-monitoring tool with cut-off value. CONCLUSIONS: We present a simple self-monitoring tool that can be used at home with high sensitivity and specificity for identifying grade 2 hand-foot syndrome. In addition, this tool might facilitate self-care.

Emergency endoscopic variceal ligation following variceal rupture in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma and portal vein tumor thrombosis: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: The outcomes of treatment of ruptured varices in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) are unclear. We therefore evaluated the long- (rebleeding and death) and short-term (immediate death within 24 h of variceal bleeding diagnosis) outcomes of patients with PVTT who underwent emergency variceal band ligation. METHODS: Data on 62 patients with PVTT and endoscopically proven esophageal or gastric variceal bleeding from 2007 to 2012 were studied. In most cases, the varices were treated using endoscopic variceal band ligation (EVL). We assessed the patients' rebleeding-free and overall survival using the Kaplan-Meier method, and a Cox proportional hazard model was used to analyze effect of independent factors on rebleeding-free and overall survival times. RESULTS: Most patients had decompensated cirrhosis and were classified as Child-Pugh class B (56%) or C (36%). A total of 35 patients (56%) had PVTT in the main portal trunk. Among all patients, 58 (94%) and 4 (6%) had esophageal and gastric variceal bleeding, respectively. Bleeding was managed using EVL in all, but one patient (98%) who was treated with a Sengstaken-Blakemore tube. A total of 24 patients (39.3%) experienced rebleeding, and these patients had a median overall survival time of 36 days. A PVTT in the main portal trunk was predictive of rebleeding (hazard ratio 3.706, p = .0223), and α-fetoprotein-L3 levels <37.4% (hazard ratio 0.464, p = 0.015) and Child-Pugh class A/B (hazard ratio 0.398, p = 0.007) were associated with overall survival. We observed 95 bleeding events in 62 patients. EVL achieved hemostasis in 92 of the 95 bleeding events, whereas seven immediate deaths occurred due to variceal bleeding (7/92, 7.6%). All three bleeding events treated with modalities other than EVL resulted in immediate deaths. CONCLUSIONS: EVL is a safe and effective treatment of variceal ruptures in patients with HCC and PVTT. After successful hemostasis, alleviation of the underlying liver function impairment and tumor control are equally important for a good prognosis.

MicroRNA-140 acts as a liver tumor suppressor by controlling NF-κB activity by directly targeting DNA methyltransferase 1 (Dnmt1) expression.

UNLABELLED: MicroRNAs (miRNAs) are small RNAs that regulate the expression of specific target genes. While deregulated miRNA expression levels have been detected in many tumors, whether miRNA functional impairment is also involved in carcinogenesis remains unknown. We investigated whether deregulation of miRNA machinery components and subsequent functional impairment of miRNAs are involved in hepatocarcinogenesis. Among miRNA-containing ribonucleoprotein complex components, reduced expression of DDX20 was frequently observed in human hepatocellular carcinomas, in which enhanced nuclear factor-κB (NF-κB) activity is believed to be closely linked to carcinogenesis. Because DDX20 normally suppresses NF-κB activity by preferentially regulating the function of the NF-κB-suppressing miRNA-140, we hypothesized that impairment of miRNA-140 function may be involved in hepatocarcinogenesis. DNA methyltransferase 1 (Dnmt1) was identified as a direct target of miRNA-140, and increased Dnmt1 expression in DDX20-deficient cells hypermethylated the promoters of metallothionein genes, resulting in decreased metallothionein expression leading to enhanced NF-κB activity. MiRNA-140-knockout mice were prone to hepatocarcinogenesis and had a phenotype similar to that of DDX20 deficiency, suggesting that miRNA-140 plays a central role in DDX20 deficiency-related pathogenesis. CONCLUSION: These results indicate that miRNA-140 acts as a liver tumor suppressor, and that impairment of miRNA-140 function due to a deficiency of DDX20, a miRNA machinery component, could lead to hepatocarcinogenesis.