Risk factors for serious infections and infection-related mortality in patients with microscopic polyangiitis: Multicentre REVEAL cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Infections are a critical concern for patients with microscopic polyangiitis (MPA). This study aimed to identify the risk factors associated with serious infections (SIs) and infection-related mortality in patients with MPA, as well as the effect of glucocorticoid (GC) dose tapering on these outcomes. METHODS: This multicentre, retrospective, and observational study utilised data from a cohort of patients with MPA in Japan [Registry of Vasculitis Patients to Establish REAL World Evidence (REVEAL) cohort]. Patients were categorised based on the occurrence of SIs or infection-related deaths, and various characteristics were compared among the groups. RESULTS: Among 182 patients, 66 (36.2%) experienced 129 SIs and 27 (14.8%) developed infection-related deaths. Advanced age, elevated C-reactive protein (CRP) levels, and higher ratio of the GC dose at 3 months to the initial dose were identified as independent risk factors for SIs. Older age was also associated with infection-related deaths. Furthermore, the cumulative incidence of infection-related deaths was significantly higher in patients with a higher ratio of the GC dose at 24 months to the initial dose. CONCLUSION: Older age, elevated CRP levels, and slower GC dose tapering predispose patients to SIs and infection-related deaths. Strategies, such as rapid GC dose tapering, are anticipated to mitigate the risk of infections.

Factors associated with drug retention of mepolizumab in patients with eosinophilic granulomatosis with polyangiitis: A multicentre REVEAL cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the current retention rate of mepolizumab (MPZ) and identify factors associated with drug retention in patients with eosinophilic granulomatosis with polyangiitis (EGPA) in the Kansai multicentre cohort (REVEAL cohort). METHODS: Sixty patients diagnosed with EGPA and treated with MPZ between December 2016 and June 2023 were enrolled. The clinical characteristics, including laboratory data, treatments administered, and disease course outcomes were collected retrospectively. The patients were stratified into MPZ continuation (n=53) and discontinuation (n=7) groups, and drug retention was statistically compared using the log-rank test. RESULTS: The median age of patients was 54.5 years, with 55% females, and 33% antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-positive at disease onset. MPZ exhibited a retention rate of 78.7% after five years. The reasons for discontinuation included treatment of coexisting diseases, inadequate response, and remission. Patient characteristics at disease onset were comparable between the groups. Patients receiving immunosuppressants (IS) before MPZ introduction demonstrated significantly higher retention rates (P = 0.038). During the final observation, the MPZ continuation group had a lower vasculitis damage index score (P = 0.027). CONCLUSIONS: MPZ exhibited a high 5-year retention rate, particularly in patients requiring IS. This study implies that long-term use of MPZ may mitigate irreversible organ damage.

Prediction model for respiratory-related mortality in microscopic polyangiitis with interstitial lung disease: multicenter REVEAL cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to establish prediction models for respiratory-related mortality in microscopic polyangiitis (MPA) complicated by interstitial lung disease (ILD) using clinical characteristics. METHODS: We enrolled patients with MPA with ILD between May 2005 and June 2021 in a multicentre cohort of Japanese patients with MPA (REVEAL cohort). We evaluated the demographic, clinical, laboratory, radiological findings, treatments, and the presence of honeycombing 1 cm above the diaphragm using chest high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) on admission. We explored the risk factors predictive of respiratory-related mortality. RESULTS: Of 115 patients, 26 cases died of respiratory-related diseases during a median follow-up of 3.8 years. Eighteen patients (69%) died due to respiratory infection, three (12%) had diffuse alveolar hemorrhage (DAH), and five (19%) had exacerbation of ILD. In univariate analysis, older age, lower percent forced vital capacity (%FVC), lower percent diffusing capacity of carbon monoxide (%DLco), and the presence of honeycombing in the right lower lobe were identified as risk factors. Additionally, in multivariate analysis adjusted for age and treatment, %FVC, %DLco, and the presence of honeycombing in the right lower lobe were independently associated with respiratory-related mortality. We created prediction models based on the values of %FVC, %DLco, and presence of honeycombing on chest HRCT (MPF model). The 5-year respiratory-related death-free rate was significantly different between patients with MPA with ILD stratified by the number of risk factors based on the MPF model. CONCLUSIONS: Our study indicates that the MPF model may help predict respiratory-related death in patients with MPA with ILD.

Serum Complement C4 Levels Are a Useful Biomarker for Predicting End-Stage Renal Disease in Microscopic Polyangiitis.

This study aimed to evaluate the risk factors for end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in microscopic polyangiitis (MPA). In total, 74 patients with MPA were enrolled, and we compared the baseline clinical characteristics and disease activity between MPA patients who have progressed to ESRD and those without ESRD to select predictive factors for ESRD. Out of 74 patients, 12 patients (16.2%) had ESRD during follow-up. Serum C4 levels were significantly higher in MPA patients who have progressed to ESRD than in those without ESRD (p = 0.009). Multivariate analyses revealed that high serum creatinine levels (odds ratio (OR) 4.4, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.25-15.5) and high serum C4 levels (OR 1.24, 95% CI 1.03-1.49) were risk factors for ESRD. Using receiver operating characteristic analysis, the cut-off value for initial serum C4 levels and serum creatinine levels were 29.6 mg/dL and 3.54 mg/dL, respectively. Patients with MPA with a greater number of risk factors (serum C4 levels > 29.6 mg/dL and serum creatinine levels > 3.54 mg/dL) had a higher ESRD progression rate. Serum C4 levels were significantly positively correlated with serum creatinine levels and kidney Birmingham vasculitis activity score (p = 0.02 and 0.04, respectively). These results suggest that serum C4 levels are useful tools for assessing renal disease activity and prognosis in MPA.

Risk prediction model for mortality in microscopic polyangiitis: multicentre REVEAL cohort study.

BACKGROUND: To establish refined risk prediction models for mortality in patients with microscopic polyangiitis (MPA) by using comprehensive clinical characteristics. METHODS: Data from the multicentre Japanese registry of patients with vasculitis (REVEAL cohort) were used in our analysis. In total, 194 patients with newly diagnosed MPA were included, and baseline demographic, clinical, laboratory, and treatment details were collected. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to identify the significant risk factors predictive of mortality. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 202.5 (84-352) weeks, 60 (30.9%) of 194 patients died. The causes of death included MPA-related vasculitis (18.3%), infection (50.0%), and others (31.7%). Deceased patients were older (median age 76.2 years) than survivors (72.3 years) (P < 0.0001). The death group had shorter observation periods (median 128.5 [35.3-248] weeks) than the survivor group (229 [112-392] weeks). Compared to survivors, the death group exhibited a higher smoking index, lower serum albumin levels, higher serum C-reactive protein levels, higher Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score (BVAS), higher Five-Factor Score, and a more severe European Vasculitis Study Group (EUVAS) categorization system. Multivariate analysis revealed that higher BVAS and severe EUVAS independently predicted mortality. Kaplan-Meier survival curves demonstrated lower survival rates for BVAS ≥20 and severe EUVAS, and a risk prediction model (RPM) based on these stratified patients into low, moderate, and high-risk mortality groups. CONCLUSIONS: The developed RPM is promising to predict mortality in patients with MPA and provides clinicians with a valuable tool for risk assessment and informed clinical decision-making.

Effects of uncomfortable care and histamine H2-antagonists on delirium in acute stroke: A propensity score analysis.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Uncomfortable care and histamine H2 antagonist (H2A) are implicated in precipitating delirium. In acute stroke, however, the need for them depends on stroke severity, an established risk factor for delirium. So, it is unclear whether care or H2A itself is responsible for delirium. We aimed to evaluate their causal effects on delirium in acute stroke patients. METHODS: This is a prospective cohort study on acute stroke patients admitted to a stroke care unit. Patients without stupor, coma, sedation, or delirium upon admission were enrolled. The treatment was H2A and five care modalities given during the first 24 h: restraint use, prohibited self-transfer, no oral feeding, indwelling catheters, and frequent nighttime care. The outcome was delirium within 5 days defined as Intensive Care Delirium Screening Checklist ≥4 points. We estimated the relative risk (RR) for delirium with regression models weighted by overlap weights using propensity scores estimated through logistic models incorporating known and potential confounders, including stroke severity. RESULTS: Of the 387 participants, 188 were given at least one care modality and 130 were given H2A. A total of 42 developed delirium. Delirium was significantly associated with prohibited self-transfer (RR 1.7, 95% CI 1.0-3.0), frequent nighttime care (RR 2.1, 95% CI 1.2-3.7), and multiple care modalities (RR 2.4, 95% CI 1.3-4.4), while other care modalities and H2A were not. CONCLUSIONS: This study showed possible causal effects of uncomfortable care on delirium and suggests that minimizing it could prevent delirium in acute stroke.

Development of a clinical score, PANDA, to predict delirium in stroke care unit.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Delirium frequently complicates acute stroke and worsens outcomes. Because delirium is potentially preventable, predicting its occurrence is essential. Although several prediction scores have been proposed, nurses need to quickly predict delirium in stroke care units (SCUs). We aimed to develop a simple tool for this purpose by examining a comprehensive set of potential predictors. METHODS: This is a prospective cohort study on acute stroke patients admitted to an SCU. Patients without stupor, coma, or delirium upon admission were eligible. Participants were followed for 5 days from admission. Delirium was defined as Intensive Care Delirium Screening Checklist ≥4 points. We examined 27 potential predictors, of which 13 predictors were used to developed a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator-penalized logistic regression model. Five variables with the largest coefficients were assigned one point each in the prediction score. The internal validation was performed by bootstrapping. RESULTS: Delirium occurred in 42 of the 387 participants. The score consisted of prior delirium, alcohol, NIHSS ≥5, dementia, and auditory/visual impairment (PANDA). The apparent AUC was 0.84 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.78-0.89), and the optimism-corrected AUC was 0.81 (95% CI, 0.73-0.88). With a cutoff of ≥2 points, sensitivity was 0.78 (95% CI, 0.65-0.90), and specificity was 0.74 (95% CI, 0.70-0.79). CONCLUSIONS: PANDA score is simple and predicts delirium in an SCU satisfactorily.