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1.
J Infect Dis ; 2024 May 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38775628

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: A human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) outbreak was identified among people who inject drugs (PWID) in Glasgow in 2015, with >150 diagnoses by the end of 2019. The outbreak response involved scaling up HIV testing and improving HIV treatment initiation and retention. METHODS: We parameterized and calibrated a dynamic, deterministic model of HIV transmission among PWID in Glasgow to epidemiological data. We use this model to evaluate HIV testing and treatment interventions. We present results in terms of relative changes in HIV prevalence, incidence, and cases averted. RESULTS: If the improvements in both testing and treatment had not occurred, we predict that HIV prevalence would have reached 17.8% (95% credible interval [CrI], 14.1%-22.6%) by the beginning of 2020, compared to 5.9% (95% CrI, 4.7%-7.4%) with the improvements. If the improvements had been made on detection of the outbreak in 2015, we predict that peak incidence would have been 26.2% (95% CrI, 8.8%-49.3%) lower and 62.7% (95% CrI, 43.6%-76.6%) of the outbreak cases could have been averted. The outbreak could have been avoided if the improvements had already been in place. CONCLUSIONS: Our modeling suggests that the HIV testing and treatment interventions successfully brought the HIV outbreak in Glasgow under control by the beginning of 2020.

2.
J Infect Dis ; 222(Suppl 5): S410-S419, 2020 09 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32877546

RESUMO

An outbreak of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) among people who inject drugs in Glasgow, Scotland started in 2014. We describe 156 cases over 5 years and evaluate the impact of clinical interventions using virological and phylogenetic analysis. We established (1) HIV services within homeless health facilities, including outreach nurses, and (2) antiretroviral therapy (ART) via community pharmacies. Implementation of the new model reduced time to ART initiation from 264 to 23 days and increased community viral load suppression rates to 86%. Phylogenetic analysis demonstrated that 2019 diagnoses were concentrated within a single network. Traditional HIV care models require adaptation for this highly complex population.


Assuntos
Serviços de Saúde Comunitária/organização & administração , Surtos de Doenças/prevenção & controle , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Modelos Organizacionais , Abuso de Substâncias por Via Intravenosa/complicações , Antirreumáticos/uso terapêutico , Serviços de Saúde Comunitária/métodos , Busca de Comunicante/métodos , Feminino , HIV/genética , HIV/isolamento & purificação , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por HIV/prevenção & controle , Infecções por HIV/transmissão , Teste de HIV/métodos , Pessoas Mal Alojadas , Humanos , Masculino , Adesão à Medicação , Enfermeiras e Enfermeiros/organização & administração , Farmácias/organização & administração , Filogenia , Escócia/epidemiologia , Abuso de Substâncias por Via Intravenosa/terapia , Carga Viral
3.
Lancet ; 388(10043): 498-503, 2016 Jul 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27209148

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: There are thousands of survivors of the 2014 Ebola outbreak in west Africa. Ebola virus can persist in survivors for months in immune-privileged sites; however, viral relapse causing life-threatening and potentially transmissible disease has not been described. We report a case of late relapse in a patient who had been treated for severe Ebola virus disease with high viral load (peak cycle threshold value 13.2). METHODS: A 39-year-old female nurse from Scotland, who had assisted the humanitarian effort in Sierra Leone, had received intensive supportive treatment and experimental antiviral therapies, and had been discharged with undetectable Ebola virus RNA in peripheral blood. The patient was readmitted to hospital 9 months after discharge with symptoms of acute meningitis, and was found to have Ebola virus in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF). She was treated with supportive therapy and experimental antiviral drug GS-5734 (Gilead Sciences, San Francisco, Foster City, CA, USA). We monitored Ebola virus RNA in CSF and plasma, and sequenced the viral genome using an unbiased metagenomic approach. FINDINGS: On admission, reverse transcriptase PCR identified Ebola virus RNA at a higher level in CSF (cycle threshold value 23.7) than plasma (31.3); infectious virus was only recovered from CSF. The patient developed progressive meningoencephalitis with cranial neuropathies and radiculopathy. Clinical recovery was associated with addition of high-dose corticosteroids during GS-5734 treatment. CSF Ebola virus RNA slowly declined and was undetectable following 14 days of treatment with GS-5734. Sequencing of plasma and CSF viral genome revealed only two non-coding changes compared with the original infecting virus. INTERPRETATION: Our report shows that previously unanticipated, late, severe relapses of Ebola virus can occur, in this case in the CNS. This finding fundamentally redefines what is known about the natural history of Ebola virus infection. Vigilance should be maintained in the thousands of Ebola survivors for cases of relapsed infection. The potential for these cases to initiate new transmission chains is a serious public health concern. FUNDING: Royal Free London NHS Foundation Trust.


Assuntos
Alanina/análogos & derivados , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Ebolavirus/isolamento & purificação , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/diagnóstico , Meningoencefalite/diagnóstico , Meningoencefalite/virologia , Ribonucleotídeos/uso terapêutico , Carga Viral/efeitos dos fármacos , Doença Aguda , Monofosfato de Adenosina/análogos & derivados , Adulto , Alanina/uso terapêutico , Doenças dos Nervos Cranianos/virologia , Surtos de Doenças , Drogas em Investigação/uso terapêutico , Ebolavirus/genética , Feminino , Genoma Viral , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/tratamento farmacológico , Humanos , Meningoencefalite/complicações , Meningoencefalite/tratamento farmacológico , Enfermeiras e Enfermeiros , RNA Viral/sangue , RNA Viral/líquido cefalorraquidiano , RNA Viral/isolamento & purificação , Radiculopatia/virologia , Recidiva , Escócia , Serra Leoa
4.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 13(10): 1541-7, 2007 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18258004

RESUMO

For pandemic influenza planning, realistic estimates of personal protective equipment (PPE) and antiviral medication required for hospital healthcare workers (HCWs) are vital. In this simulation study, a patient with suspected avian or pandemic influenza (API) sought treatment at 9 Australian hospital emergency departments where patient-staff interactions during the first 6 hours of hospitalization were observed. Based on World Health Organization definitions and guidelines, the mean number of "close contacts" of the API patient was 12.3 (range 6-17; 85% HCWs); mean "exposures" were 19.3 (range 15-26). Overall, 20-25 PPE sets were required per patient, with variable HCW compliance for wearing these items (93% N95 masks, 77% gowns, 83% gloves, and 73% eye protection). Up to 41% of HCW close contacts would have qualified for postexposure antiviral prophylaxis. These data indicate that many current national stockpiles of PPE and antiviral medication are likely inadequate for a pandemic.


Assuntos
Controle de Infecções/métodos , Controle de Infecções/normas , Transmissão de Doença Infecciosa do Paciente para o Profissional/prevenção & controle , Virus da Influenza A Subtipo H5N1 , Influenza Humana/prevenção & controle , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Austrália , Fidelidade a Diretrizes , Humanos , Influenza Humana/tratamento farmacológico , Simulação de Paciente , Recursos Humanos em Hospital , Estudos Prospectivos , Roupa de Proteção/estatística & dados numéricos , Garantia da Qualidade dos Cuidados de Saúde
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