Baseline Clinical Factors Are Associated With Risk of Complications in Crohn's Disease: Appraisal of the American Gastroenterological Association Clinical Care Pathway.

INTRODUCTION: The American Gastroenterological Association (AGA) has compiled risk factors that may be predictive of disease complications in Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC). The aim of this study was to evaluate the performance of the AGA risk factors for risk stratification in UC and CD. METHODS: We included participants of 2 cohorts: the Ocean State Crohn's and Colitis Area Registry cohort and the Mayo Clinic cohort. Baseline clinical risk factors were extracted according to the AGA pathway. Our primary end point was defined as follows: (i) any inflammatory bowel disease related-hospitalization, (ii) any inflammatory bowel disease-related bowel surgery, or (iii) any progression of disease. We analyzed the association of the number of AGA risk factors with our end point. Statistical multivariable modeling was performed with Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: A total of 412 patients with CD were included. Comparing ≥3 risk factors with 0-1 risk factor, we found a significantly increased risk of complications in both the Ocean State Crohn's and Colitis Area Registry cohort (hazard ratio [HR] 2.75, 95% confidence interval 1.71-4.41) and Mayo Clinic cohort (HR 2.07, 95% confidence interval 1.11-3.84). Diagnosis at younger age (HR 2.07), perianal disease (HR 1.99), and B2/B3 behavior (HR 1.92) were significantly associated with disease complications. We did not observe a consistent association between number of risk factors nor any specific individual risk factors and risk of disease complications in the 265 patients with UC included. DISCUSSION: We found a significant association between the number of AGA risk factors and the risk of disease complication in CD; this association was not significant in UC. The presence of ≥ 3 risk factors in CD leads to the highest risk of complications. The AGA care pathway is a useful tool to stratify patients who are at higher risk of disease complications in patients with CD.

Lemann Index for assessing bowel damage in Crohn's disease: a real world study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The Lemann Index (LI), an endpoint to measure cumulative structural bowel damage in Crohn's disease (CD), has been recently updated and validated. We applied this to investigate predictors of bowel damage in a real-world cohort. METHODS: We performed a retrospective study (2008-2022) involving two tertiary referral IBD centers in the US. MR or CT enterographies were reviewed by study radiologists and endoscopy reports by study gastroenterologists, to calculate LI. Baseline and follow-up LI were calculated. We defined high bowel damage as LI ≥2. Factors associated with high LI were identified in patients with ≥2 LI scores using multivariate logistic regression and then assessed for a change in LI (increase vs. no change/decrease) using a multivariate linear mixed-effects model. RESULTS: 447 patients with CD had a median first LI of 7 [IQR, 1.25-14.55]. Median LI scores were significantly different when categorized by disease duration; 2.0 [IQR, 0.6-5.9] for <2 years, 2.6 [IQR, 0.6-9.6] for ≥2 and <10 years, and 12.5 [IQR, 6.4-21.5] for ≥10 years with a p <0.01. Disease duration, presence of perianal disease, elevated C-reactive protein, and Harvey-Bradshaw index, were associated with a high LI at inclusion and increase in LI during follow-up (all p <0.01). CONCLUSIONS: The updated LI quantified cross-sectional and longitudinal cumulative bowel damage in a real-world cohort of patients with CD with predictors identified for a longitudinal increase in LI. Further studies for prospective validation of LI and identification of multi-omic predictors of bowel damage are needed.