Health-related quality of life in patients with advanced colorectal cancer: a predictive nomogram including BMI, sex and age.

BACKGROUND: Health-related quality of life (HRQoL) is not universally assessed in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients. We tried to identify patient subgroups for whom HRQoL assessment should be strongly encouraged. METHODS: Consecutive mCRC patients who had been deemed candidates for first-line chemotherapy were enrolled in a prospective study (NCT03873064) and asked to complete the HRQoL questionnaire EORTC QLQ-C30. Primary endpoint was the Global Health Status (GHS) of EORTC QLQ-C30. A nomogram was built for prediction of low GHS (i.e., <67%). RESULTS: Among recruited patients (n=173), a univariable logistic regression analysis (LRA) found that body mass index (BMI <23), age (>65 years) and sex (female) were significantly associated with low GHS. The multivariable LRA confirmed they were independently associated with the outcome (P values of 0.04-0.004). BMI, age and sex were included in a final predictive model (C-statistics, 67%; P=0.001) and used to build a nomogram. A total nomogram score ≥72 was associated with a risk of 28% or higher of having a low GHS. The 28% risk cut-off had a sensitivity of 90% and a specificity of 34% for identifying low GHS. A decision curve analysis revealed that a risk threshold of 28% of the model was associated to an added net benefit of ≥4% when using the nomogram. Low GHS was recorded in 58% vs. 23% of patients with >28% vs. <28% risk according to the nomogram, respectively (odds ratio 3.54, P=0.0004). CONCLUSIONS: High BMI together with young age and male sex were protective against HRQoL deterioration. In centers where HRQoL is not routinely assessed, such an assessment should be at least made for mCRC patients at risk according to the proposed nomogram (i.e., over 65-year-old females with BMI <23).

Gastric Inflammatory Prognostic Index (GIPI) in Patients with Metastatic Gastro-Esophageal Junction/Gastric Cancer Treated with PD-1/PD-L1 Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors.

BACKGROUND: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) demonstrated improved overall survival (OS) in heavily pretreated unselected patients with metastatic gastro-esophageal junction (mGOJ)/gastric cancer (GC). Attempts to select patients based on programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression appear to be suboptimal. A strong rationale suggests a prognostic role for inflammatory biomarkers for ICI-treated patients with mGOJ/GC. OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to assess whether inflammatory markers are associated with survival in ICI-treated patients with mGOJ/GC. METHODS: Ten inflammatory markers were retrospectively analyzed at baseline in 57 patients with mGOJ/GC with unknown PD-L1 status treated with second-line ICIs and correlated with OS. Selected variables were then analyzed in a multivariate Cox-regression model and used to build a GIPI nomogram. RESULTS: Neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and C-reactive protein (CRP) as continuous variables and albumin categorized as less than versus greater than 30 g/dL were the most significant predictors of OS and were used to build the GIPI nomogram. Nomogram-based lowest, mid-low, mid-high, and highest risk quartiles were associated with median OS (mOS) of 14.9, 7.1, 5.6, and 2.1 months, respectively (hazard ratio [HR] of highest vs. lowest risk 4.94; p = 0.0002). By optimally dichotomizing CRP and NLR, patients with one or more of the risk factors NLR > 6, CRP > 15 mg/L, and albumin < 30 g/dL (n = 29) had an mOS of 3.9 versus 14.2 months for patients with no risk factor (n = 28) (HR 2.48; p = 0.0015). CONCLUSIONS: GIPI, combining NLR, CRP, and albumin, is the first inflammatory index with a significant prognostic value in patients with mOGJ/GC receiving ICIs. GIPI merits validation in independent cohorts and prospective clinical trials.

Clinical Utility of Plasma KRAS, NRAS and BRAF Mutational Analysis with Real Time PCR in Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Patients-The Importance of Tissue/Plasma Discordant Cases.

BACKGROUND: Tumor tissue (T) mutational analysis represents the standard for metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC); however, circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) detected by liquid biopsy in plasma (PL) can better represent tumor heterogeneity. METHODS: mCRC patients undergoing standard first-line chemotherapy with known T-KRAS/NRAS/BRAF status were enrolled in the present prospective study. PL mutations were assessed within 2 weeks before chemotherapy start with real time PCR and correlated with T status and Progression free survival (PFS). Clinical and biochemical variables including also total number of tumor lesions (TNL) and the sum of maximum diameter (SMD) of all lesions were assessed as potential predictors of T/PL discordance. RESULTS: Among 45 enrolled patients, all BRAF mutations were concordant between T and PL and there were 20% of patients RAS discordant: 9% wild type in T and mutated in PL and 11% mutated in T and wild type in PL. T mutations were significantly associated to median PFS (mPFS of 4.5, 8.3 and 22.9 months for T-BRAF mutated, T-RAS mutated, and T-wild type patients, respectively, p for trend 0.00014). PL mutations further refined prognosis: RAS wild type in T and mutated in PL had significantly shorter PFS than concordant RAS wild type in T and PL: mPFS 9.6 vs. 23.3 months, respectively, p = 0.02. Patients RAS mutated in T and wild type in PL had longer PFS than concordant RAS mutated in T and PL: 24.4 vs. 7.8 months, respectively, p = 0.008. At a multivariate cox regression analysis for PFS, PL mutations were independent prognostic factor superior to T analysis (HR 0.13, p = 0.0008). At multivariate logistic regression analysis TNL and SMD were significant predictors of discordant cases. CONCLUSIONS: PL mutational analysis allows a better prognostication than T analysis alone and could help in mCRC treatment management.