Forecasting Covid-19 Transmission with ARIMA and LSTM Techniques in Morocco.

In this paper, we are interested to forecast and predict the time evolution of the Covid-19 in Morocco based on two different time series forecasting models. We used Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Long short-term memory (LSTM) models to predict the outbreak of Covid-19 in the upcoming 2 months in Morocco. In this work, we measured the effective reproduction number using the real data and also the fitted forecasted data produced by the two used approaches, to reveal how effective the measures taken by the Moroccan government have been controlling the Covid-19 outbreak. The prediction results for the next 2 months show a strong evolution in the number of confirmed and death cases in Morocco. According to the measures of the effective reproduction number, the transmissibility of the disease will continue to expand in the next 2 months, but fortunately, the higher value of the effective reproduction number is not considered to be dramatic and, therefore, may give hope for controlling the disease.

Design and implementation of a New Blockchain-based digital health passport: A Moroccan case study.

In the context of COVID-19 pandemic, the Moroccan Interior and Health Ministries have proposed to use the health pass with a QR code to identify vaccinated people. Additionally, the government suggested a mobile application to control the health passport authenticity. However, the key problem is the possibility of anyone scanning the QR code and figuring out citizens' private information, causing severe issues about individual privacy. In this work, the main contribution is integrating a private Blockchain-based digital health passport to ensure high protection of sensitive information, security and privacy among all the actors (Government, Ministry of Interior, Ministry of Health, verifiers) that comply with the CNDP (National Commission for the Control of Personal Data Protection) and the Moroccan Law 09-08. In our proposed architectural framework solution, we identify two types of actors: authorized and unauthorized, to limit and control access to the citizens' personal information. Besides, to preserve individuals' privacy, we adopt on-chain and off-chain storage (Interplanetary File Systems IPFS). In our case, smart contracts improve security and privacy in the health passport verification process. Our system implementation describes the proposed solution to grant individual privacy. To verify and validate our approach, we used Remix-IDE and Ethereum Blockchain to build smart contracts.