RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Seasonal influenza may result in severe outcomes, resulting in a significant increase of hospitalizations during the winter. To improve the protection provided by the standard dose influenza quadrivalent vaccine (SDQIV), a high-dose vaccine (HDQIV) has been developed specifically for adults aged 60 and older who are at higher risk of life-threatening complications. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to determine the cost-effectiveness of HD QIV vs. SD-QIV in the recommended population of three European countries: Belgium, Finland and Portugal. METHODS: A cost-utility analysis comparing HDQIV vs. SDQIV was conducted using a decision tree estimating health outcomes conditional on influenza: cases, general practitioner and emergency department visits, hospitalizations and deaths. To account for the full benefit of the vaccine, an additional outcome-hospitalizations attributable to influenza-was also evaluated. Demographic, epidemiological and economic inputs were based on the respective local data. HDQIV relative vaccine efficacy vs. SDQIV was obtained from a phase IV efficacy randomized clinical trial. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) were computed for each country, and a probabilistic sensitivity analysis (1,000 simulations per country) was performed to assess the robustness of the results. RESULTS: In the base case analysis, HDQIV resulted in improved health outcomes (visits, hospitalizations, and deaths) compared to SDQIV. The ICERs computed were 1,397, 9,581, and 15,267 /QALY, whereas the PSA yielded 100, 100, and 84% of simulations being cost-effective at their respective willingness-to-pay thresholds, for Belgium, Finland, and Portugal, respectively. CONCLUSION: In three European countries with different healthcare systems, HD-QIV would contribute to a significant improvement in the prevention of influenza health outcomes while being cost-effective.