In patients with myelodysplastic syndromes with del(5q), factors other than age and sex contribute to the prognostic advantage, which diminishes over time.

This study aimed to determine the extent to which the prognostic advantage of myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) with del(5q) is due to the more favourable age and sex distribution of patients in that group when compared to other MDS subtypes. A total of 1912 MDS patients from the Duesseldorf registry with less than 5% blasts in the bone marrow were evaluable and had complete covariates. As endpoints, overall survival and progression to acute myeloid leukaemia (AML) were considered. Cox models were computed for both outcomes. A multivariate Cox model for survival confirmed higher age and male sex as risk factors. In addition, we found a survival advantage of 9·1 years for MDS del(5q) patients compared to refractory cytopenia with unilineage dysplasia, while the survival advantage of MDS del(5q) over refractory cytopenia with multilineage dysplasia was 18·6 years. Considering progression to AML, we did not find any significant differences between the World Health Organization classification subtypes. Our analyses show that the higher survival probabilities of MDS del(5q) patients are not only due to age and sex, although higher age and male sex were also important risk factors. Interestingly, it seems that the survival advantage of MDS del(5q) decreases over time.

Cellularity, characteristics of hematopoietic parameters and prognosis in myelodysplastic syndromes.

BACKGROUND: Myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) present with a normo- or hyperplastic bone marrow in most cases. We aimed at a characterization of patients with different types of cellularity. METHODS: We assessed marrow cellularity both by histology and cytology in 1270 patients and analyzed hematologic, cytogenetic, and prognostic parameters accordingly. RESULTS: The concordance of the assessment of cellularity differed dramatically between histology and cytology as only 36.5% were described as hypocellular by both methods (P < 0.0005) (hypocellular 16.4%, normocellular 23.3%, hypercellular 60.3%). There were no major differences with regard to hematopoietic insufficiency. The presence of fibrosis was associated to hypercellular bone marrow. Median survival differed from 38 months in hypocellular, 42 months in normocellular, and 25 months in hypercellular MDS (P < 0.0005). AML progression rates were 33% for hypercellular MDS after 2 yr, whereas hypo- and normocellular had a progression rate of 19% after 2 yr (P = 0.018). IPSS and IPSS-R were able to identify different risk groups within all three cellularity groups. CONCLUSION: Based on our data, hypocellular patients obviously do not present as a separate entity, as there were no striking differences with regard to cytogenetics and WHO types. Assessment of cellularity should be performed by histopathology.

Change of prognosis of patients with myelodysplastic syndromes during the last 30 years.

During the last years, more and more treatment modalities are available for MDS patients. Therefore, we were interested if this is reflected in an improvement of the outcome of the patients. We analyzed the survival and rate of leukemic progression of 4147 patients from the Duesseldorf MDS registry diagnosed during the last 30 years and found an improvement of survival in those patients diagnosed after 2002 (30 vs. 23 months, p<0.0001). In detail, the improvement of the prognosis was restricted to high-risk MDS patients diagnosed between 2002 and 2014 in comparison to the patient group diagnosed between 1982 and 2001 (19 vs. 13 months, p<0.001), whereas the prognosis of low-risk MDS patients did not change significantly. The improvement of survival was still measurable after exclusion of RAEB-t patients and of those, that received an allogeneic stem cell transplantation. In line with this finding, we found a lower AML progression rate in the later diagnosed group. Unfortunately, we could not identify a clear reason for this finding but rather a multifactorial cause should be assumed. As death due to bleeding complications and infections was significantly lower, an improvement of BSC may be one of the underlying causes.