Evaluation of OCT biomarker changes in treatment-naive neovascular AMD using a deep semantic segmentation algorithm.

OBJECTIVES: To determine real-life quantitative changes in OCT biomarkers in a large set of treatment naive patients in a real-life setting undergoing anti-VEGF therapy. For this purpose, we devised a novel deep learning based semantic segmentation algorithm providing the first benchmark results for automatic segmentation of 11 OCT features including biomarkers for neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD). METHODS: Training of a Deep U-net based semantic segmentation ensemble algorithm for state-of-the-art semantic segmentation performance which was used to analyze OCT features prior to, after 3 and 12 months of anti-VEGF therapy. RESULTS: High F1 scores of almost 1.0 for neurosensory retina and subretinal fluid on a separate hold-out test set with unseen patients. The algorithm performed worse for subretinal hyperreflective material and fibrovascular PED, on par with drusenoid PED, and better in segmenting fibrosis. In the evaluation of treatment naive OCT scans, significant changes occurred for intraretinal fluid (mean: 0.03 µm3 to 0.01 µm3, p < 0.001), subretinal fluid (0.08 µm3 to 0.01 µm3, p < 0.001), subretinal hyperreflective material (0.02 µm3 to 0.01 µm3, p < 0.001), fibrovascular PED (0.12 µm3 to 0.09 µm3, p = 0.02) and central retinal thickness C0 (225.78 µm3 to 169.40 µm3). The amounts of intraretinal fluid, fibrovascular PED, and ERM were predictive of poor outcome. CONCLUSIONS: The segmentation algorithm allows efficient volumetric analysis of OCT scans. Anti-VEGF provokes most potent changes in the first 3 months while a gradual loss of RPE hints at a progressing decline of visual acuity. Additional research is required to understand how these accurate OCT predictions can be leveraged for a personalized therapy regimen.

Reconstructing disease dynamics for mechanistic insights and clinical benefit.

Diseases change over time, both phenotypically and in their underlying molecular processes. Though understanding disease progression dynamics is critical for diagnostics and treatment, capturing these dynamics is difficult due to their complexity and the high heterogeneity in disease development between individuals. We present TimeAx, an algorithm which builds a comparative framework for capturing disease dynamics using high-dimensional, short time-series data. We demonstrate the utility of TimeAx by studying disease progression dynamics for multiple diseases and data types. Notably, for urothelial bladder cancer tumorigenesis, we identify a stromal pro-invasion point on the disease progression axis, characterized by massive immune cell infiltration to the tumor microenvironment and increased mortality. Moreover, the continuous TimeAx model differentiates between early and late tumors within the same tumor subtype, uncovering molecular transitions and potential targetable pathways. Overall, we present a powerful approach for studying disease progression dynamics-providing improved molecular interpretability and clinical benefits for patient stratification and outcome prediction.