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1.
Risk Anal ; 43(4): 700-708, 2023 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35491413

RESUMO

The COVID 19 pandemic has triggered concerns and assumptions globally about transmission of the SARS-CoV-2 virus via cash transactions. This paper assesses the risk of contracting COVID-19 through exposure to SARS-CoV-2 via cash acting as a fomite in payment transactions. A quantitative microbial risk assessment was conducted for a scenario assuming an infectious person at the onset of symptoms, when virion concentrations in coughed droplets are at their highest. This person then contaminates a banknote by coughing on it and immediately hands it over to another person, who might then be infected by transferring the virions with a finger from the contaminated banknote to a facial mucous membrane. The scenario considered transfer efficiency of virions on the banknote to fingertips when droplets were still wet and after having dried up and subsequently being touched by finger printing or rubbing the object. Accounting for the likelihood of the scenario to occur by considering (1) a local prevalence of 100 COVID-19 cases/100,000 persons, (2) a maximum of about one-fifth of infected persons transmit high virus loads, and (3) the numbers of cash transactions/person/day, the risk of contracting COVID-19 via person-to-person cash transactions was estimated to be much lower than once per 39,000 days (107 years) for a single person. In the general populace, there will be a maximum of 2.6 expected cases/100,000 persons/day. The risk for a cashier at an average point of sale was estimated to be much less than once per 430 working days (21 months). The depicted scenario is a rare event, therefore, for a single person, the risk of contracting COVID-19 via person-to-person cash transactions is very low. At a point of sale, the risk to the cashier proportionally increases but it is still low.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Fômites , Medição de Risco
2.
Environ Sci Technol ; 49(19): 11825-33, 2015 Oct 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26338143

RESUMO

The goal of this study was to determine the fate of ESBL-producing Escherichia coli (ESBL-EC) emitted from faecal sources in surface water, and the probability of human exposure through swimming. Concentrations of ESBL-EC were measured in recreational waters and in source waters, being water in ditches surrounding poultry farms and municipal wastewater. Additionally, the potential of ESBL-EC in source waters to reach recreational waters located downstream of these sources was modeled. Modeled ESBL-EC concentrations in recreational waters appeared to be mostly determined by the concentrations in the source waters and by subsequent dilution in surface water, and less by inactivation. The mean (95%) risk of human exposure to ESBL-EC per person per swimming event, as assessed from measured ESBL-EC concentrations in recreational waters, was 0.16 (0.89) for men, 0.13 (0.72) for women and 0.20 (0.95) for children. Similar exposure risks were estimated for hypothetical recreational waters containing 100- or 1000-times diluted source water, located 10 days water travel time downstream of the sources. Human exposure to ESBL-EC through swimming is likely, if recreational waters are located downstream of poultry farms and municipal wastewater discharge points.


Assuntos
Exposição Ambiental/efeitos adversos , Escherichia coli/patogenicidade , beta-Lactamases/metabolismo , Animais , Exposição Ambiental/análise , Escherichia coli/metabolismo , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Esterco/microbiologia , Países Baixos , Aves Domésticas/microbiologia , Probabilidade , Recreação , Natação , Águas Residuárias/microbiologia , Microbiologia da Água
3.
Risk Anal ; 35(9): 1717-29, 2015 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25809307

RESUMO

Currently, the number of reported cases of recreational- water-related Vibrio illness in the Netherlands is low. However, a notable higher incidence of Vibrio infections has been observed in warm summers. In the future, such warm summers are expected to occur more often, resulting in enhanced water temperatures favoring Vibrio growth. Quantitative information on the increase in concentration of Vibrio spp. in recreational water under climate change scenarios is lacking. In this study, data on occurrence of Vibrio spp. at six different bathing sites in the Netherlands (2009-2012) were used to derive an empirical formula to predict the Vibrio concentration as a function of temperature, salinity, and pH. This formula was used to predict the effects of increased temperatures in climate change scenarios on Vibrio concentrations. For Vibrio parahaemolyticus, changes in illness risks associated with the changed concentrations were calculated as well. For an average temperature increase of 3.7 °C, these illness risks were calculated to be two to three times higher than in the current situation. Current illness risks were, varying per location, on average between 10(-4) and 10(-2) per person for an entire summer. In situations where water temperatures reached maximum values, illness risks are estimated to be up to 10(-2) and 10(-1) . If such extreme situations occur more often during future summers, increased numbers of ill bathers or bathing-water-related illness outbreaks may be expected.


Assuntos
Mudança Climática , Vibrioses/epidemiologia , Vibrio/isolamento & purificação , Vibrio/patogenicidade , Microbiologia da Água , Carga Bacteriana , Praias , Humanos , Incidência , Funções Verossimilhança , Países Baixos/epidemiologia , Recreação , Análise de Regressão , Medição de Risco/métodos , Medição de Risco/estatística & dados numéricos , Estações do Ano
4.
Risk Anal ; 33(7): 1228-36, 2013 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23078231

RESUMO

Quantitative microbiological risk assessment was used to quantify the risk associated with the exposure to Legionella pneumophila in a whirlpool. Conceptually, air bubbles ascend to the surface, intercepting Legionella from the traversed water. At the surface the bubble bursts into dominantly noninhalable jet drops and inhalable film drops. Assuming that film drops carry half of the intercepted Legionella, a total of four (95% interval: 1-9) and 4.5×10(4) (4.4×10(4) - 4.7×10(4) ) cfu/min were estimated to be aerosolized for concentrations of 1 and 1,000 legionellas per liter, respectively. Using a dose-response model for guinea pigs to represent humans, infection risks for active whirlpool use with 100 cfu/L water for 15 minutes were 0.29 (∼0.11-0.48) for susceptible males and 0.22 (∼0.06-0.42) for susceptible females. A L. pneumophila concentration of ≥1,000 cfu/L water was estimated to nearly always cause an infection (mean: 0.95; 95% interval: 0.9-∼1). Estimated infection risks were time-dependent, ranging from 0.02 (0-0.11) for 1-minute exposures to 0.93 (0.86-0.97) for 2-hour exposures when the L. pneumophila concentration was 100 cfu/L water. Pool water in Dutch bathing establishments should contain <100 cfu Legionella/L water. This study suggests that stricter provisions might be required to assure adequate public health protection.


Assuntos
Doença dos Legionários/epidemiologia , Aerossóis , Humanos , Método de Monte Carlo , Fatores de Risco
5.
Sci Total Environ ; 901: 166181, 2023 Nov 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37572894

RESUMO

Agricultural aquifer storage recovery and transfer (ASTR) stores excess fresh water for later reuse in irrigation. Moreover, water quality improves because chemical pollutants and pathogens will be removed by degradation and attachment to the aquifer material. The source water may contain the bacterial plant pathogen Ralstonia solanacearum which causes plant infections and high yield losses. We used quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA) to investigate the removal of R. solanacearum during ASTR to predict infection risks of potato plants after irrigation with the recovered water. Laboratory experiments analyzed the ASTR treatment by investigating the bacterial die-off in the water phase and the removal by attachment to the aquifer sediment. Die-off in the water phase depends on the residence time and ranged between 1.3 and 2.7 log10 after 10 or 60 days water storage, respectively. A subpopulation of the bacteria persisted for a prolonged time at low concentrations which may pose a risk if the water is recovered too early. However, the natural aquifer sand filtration proofed to be highly effective in removing R. solanacearum by attachment which depends on the distance between injection and abstraction well. The high removal by attachment alone (18 log10 after 1 m) would reduce bacterial concentrations to negligible numbers. Upscaling to longer soil passages is discussed in the paper. Infection risks of potato plants were calculated using a dose-response model and ASTR treatment resulted in negligible infection risks of a single plant, but also when simulating the irrigation of a 5 ha potato field. This is the first QMRA that analyzed an agricultural ASTR and the fate of a plant pathogen focusing on plant health. QMRA is a useful (water) management tool to evaluate the treatment steps of water reclamation technologies with the aim to provide safe irrigation water and reduce risks disseminating plant diseases.

6.
Environ Health Perspect ; 131(8): 87011, 2023 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37589660

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: SARS-CoV-2 can be effectively transmitted between individuals located in close proximity to each other for extended durations. Aircraft provide such conditions. Although high attack rates during flights were reported, little was known about the risk levels of aerosol transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in aircraft cabins. OBJECTIVES: The major objective was to estimate the risk of contracting COVID-19 from transmission of aerosol particles in aircraft cabins. METHODS: In two single-aisle and one twin-aisle aircraft, dispersion of generated aerosol particles over a seven-row economy class cabin section was measured under cruise and taxi conditions and simulated with a computational fluid dynamic model under cruise conditions. Using the aerosol particle dispersion data, a quantitative microbial risk assessment was conducted for scenarios with an asymptomatic infectious person expelling aerosol particles by breathing and speaking. Effects of flight conditions were evaluated using generalized additive mixed models. RESULTS: Aerosol particle concentration decreased with increasing distance from the infectious person, and this decrease varied with direction. On a typical flight with an average shedder, estimated mean risk of contracting COVID-19 ranged from 1.3×10-3 to 9.0×10-2. Risk increased to 7.7×10-2 with a super shedder (<3% of cases) on a long flight. Risks increased with increasing flight duration: 2-23 cruise flights of typical duration and 2-10 flights of longer duration resulted in at least 1 case of COVID-19 due to onboard aerosol transmission by one average shedder, and in the case of one super shedder, at least 1 case in 1-3 flights of typical duration cruise and 1 flight of longer duration. DISCUSSION: Our findings indicate that the risk of contracting COVID-19 by aerosol transmission in an aircraft cabin is low, but it will not be zero. Testing before boarding may help reduce the chance of a (super)shedder boarding an aircraft and mask use further reduces aerosol transmission in the aircraft cabin. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP11495.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2 , Aerossóis e Gotículas Respiratórios , Aeronaves , Medição de Risco
7.
Water Res ; 220: 118724, 2022 Jul 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35696807

RESUMO

Irrigation with surface water carrying plant pathogens poses a risk for agriculture. Managed aquifer recharge enhances fresh water availability while simultaneously it may reduce the risk of plant diseases by removal of pathogens during aquifer passage. We compared the transport of three plant pathogenic bacteria with Escherichia coli WR1 as reference strain in saturated laboratory column experiments filled with quartz sand, or sandy aquifer sediments. E. coli showed the highest removal, followed by Pectobacterium carotovorum, Dickeya solani and Ralstonia solanacearum. Bacterial and non-reactive tracer breakthrough curves were fitted with Hydrus-1D and compared with colloid filtration theory (CFT). Bacterial attachment to fine and medium aquifer sand under anoxic conditions was highest with attachment rates of max. katt1 = 765 day-1 and 355 day-1, respectively. Attachment was the least to quartz sand under oxic conditions (katt1 = 61 day-1). In CFT, sticking efficiencies were higher in aquifer than in quartz sand but there was no differentiation between fine and medium aquifer sand. Overall removal ranged between < 6.8 log10 m-1 in quartz and up to 40 log10 m-1 in fine aquifer sand. Oxygenation of the anoxic aquifer sediments for two weeks with oxic influent water decreased the removal. The results highlight the potential of natural sand filtration to sufficiently remove plant pathogenic bacteria during aquifer storage.


Assuntos
Filtração , Água Subterrânea , Quartzo , Dickeya/isolamento & purificação , Escherichia coli , Filtração/métodos , Sedimentos Geológicos , Água Subterrânea/microbiologia , Pectobacterium carotovorum/isolamento & purificação , Ralstonia solanacearum/isolamento & purificação , Areia , Água
8.
Front Plant Sci ; 13: 1074192, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36937141

RESUMO

Ralstonia solanacearum is the causative agent of bacterial wilt of potato and other vegetable crops. Contaminated irrigation water contributes to the dissemination of this pathogen but the exact concentration or biological threshold to cause an infection is unknown. In two greenhouse experiments, potted potato plants (Solanum tuberosum) were exposed to a single irrigation with 50 mL water (non-invasive soil-soak inoculation) containing no or 102 - 108 CFU/mL R. solanacearum. The disease response of two cultivars, Kondor and HB, were compared. Disease development was monitored over a three-month period after which stems, roots and tubers of asymptomatic plants were analyzed for latent infections. First wilting symptoms were observed 15 days post inoculation in a plant inoculated with 5x109 CFU and a mean disease index was used to monitor disease development over time. An inoculum of 5x105 CFU per pot (1.3x102 CFU/g soil) was the minimum dose required to cause wilting symptoms, while one latent infection was detected at the lowest dose of 5x102 CFU per pot (0.13 CFU/g). In a second set of experiments, stem-inoculated potato plants grown in vitro were used to investigate the dose-response relationship under optimal conditions for pathogen growth and disease development. Plants were inoculated with doses between 0.5 and 5x105 CFU/plant which resulted in visible symptoms at all doses. The results led to a dose-response model describing the relationship between R. solanacearum exposure and probability of infection or illness of potato plants. Cultivar Kondor was more susceptible to brown-rot infections than HB in greenhouse experiments while there was no significant difference between the dose-response models of both cultivars in in vitro experiments. The ED50 for infection of cv Kondor was 1.1x107 CFU. Results can be used in management strategies aimed to reduce or eliminate the risk of bacterial wilt infection when using treated water in irrigation.

9.
PLoS One ; 16(5): e0250338, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33951075

RESUMO

Managed aquifer recharge (MAR) can provide irrigation water and overcome water scarcity in agriculture. Removal of potentially present plant pathogens during MAR is essential to prevent crop diseases. We studied the die-off of three plant pathogenic bacteria in water microcosms with natural or filtered tile drainage water (TDW) at 10 and 25°C and with natural anoxic aquifer water (AW) at 10°C from a MAR site. These bacteria were: Ralstonia solanacearum (bacterial wilt), and the soft rot Pectobacteriaceae (SRP) Dickeya solani and Pectobacterium carotovorum sp. carotovorum (soft rot, blackleg). They are present in surface waters and cause destructive crop diseases worldwide which have been linked to contaminated irrigation water. Nevertheless, little is known about the survival of the SRP in aqueous environments and no study has investigated the persistence of R. solanacearum under natural anoxic conditions. We found that all bacteria were undetectable in 0.1 mL samples within 19 days under oxic conditions in natural TDW at 10°C, using viable cell counting, corresponding to 3-log10 reduction by die-off. The SRP were no longer detected within 6 days at 25°C, whereas R. solanacearum was detectable for 25 days. Whereas in anoxic natural aquifer water at 10°C, the bacterial concentrations declined slower and the detection limit was reached within 56 days. Finally, we modelled the inactivation curves with a modified Weibull model that can simulate different curve shapes such as shoulder phenomena in the beginning and long tails reflecting persistent bacterial populations. The non-linear model was shown to be a reliable tool to predict the die-off of the analysed plant pathogenic bacteria, suggesting its further application to other pathogenic microorganisms in the context of microbial risk assessment.


Assuntos
Água Subterrânea/microbiologia , Plantas/microbiologia , Microbiologia da Água , Agricultura
10.
Sci Total Environ ; 743: 140472, 2020 Nov 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32758810

RESUMO

Microbial water quality evaluations are essential for determining the vulnerability of subsurface drinking water sources to fecal pathogen intrusion. Rather than directly monitor waterborne pathogens using culture- or enumeration-based techniques, the potential of assessing bacterial community using 16S rRNA gene amplicon sequencing to support these evaluations was investigated. A framework for analyzing 16S rRNA gene amplicon sequencing results featuring negative-binomial generalized linear models is demonstrated, and applied to bacterial taxa sequences in purge water samples collected from a shallow, highly aerobic, unconfined aquifer. Bacterial taxa relevant as indicators of fecal source and surface connectivity were examined using this approach. Observed sequences of Escherichia, a genus suggestive of fecal source, were consistently detected but not confirmed by culture-based methods. On the other hand, episodic appearance of anaerobic taxa sequences in this highly aerobic environment, namely Clostridia and Bacteroides, warrants further investigation as potential indicators of fecal contamination. Betaproteobacteria sequences varied significantly on a seasonal basis, and therefore may be linked to understanding surface-water groundwater interactions at this site. However, sequences that are often encountered in surface water bodies (Cyanobacteria and Flavobacteriia) were notably absent or present at very low levels, suggesting that microbial transport from surface-derived sources may be rather limited. This work demonstrates the utility of 16S rRNA gene amplicon sequencing for contextualizing and complementing conventional microbial techniques, allowing for hypotheses about source and transport processes to be tested and refined.


Assuntos
Água Subterrânea , Bactérias/genética , Fezes , RNA Ribossômico 16S , Qualidade da Água
11.
Environ Int ; 137: 105516, 2020 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32007691

RESUMO

Swimming ponds are artificial ecosystems for bathing in which people imitate the conditions of natural waters. Swimming in natural water may pose health risks if the water quality is microbiologically poor. Swimming ponds are small water bodies that may be used by relatively large groups of people, moreover, the water is not disinfected, e.g. by using chlorine. The draft new swimming pool legislation in the Netherlands includes water quality requirements for swimming ponds. This study focused on the examination and evaluation of the new microbiological water quality requirements, including Escherichia coli, intestinal enterococci, Pseudomonas aeruginosa and Staphylococcus aureus, in thirteen public swimming pools. In eight of thirteen swimming ponds the water quality met the requirements for fecal indicators; 93-95% of the samples met the requirement for E. coli (≤100/100 ml) and intestinal enterococci (≤50/100 ml). The requirement for P. aeruginosa (≤10/100 ml) was met in eleven of thirteen swimming ponds (99% of the samples). In 68% of the samples the requirement for S. aureus (<1/100 ml) was met. A linear mixed effect analysis showed that E. coli and intestinal enterococci concentrations were significantly dependent on the log10 of turbidity. P. aeruginosa concentrations were significantly dependent on water temperature. 31-45% of the variation between swimming ponds was explained by considering 'pond' as a random effect in the analysis. The monitoring of microbiological parameters in swimming pond water needs selective analytical methods, such as those used in this study, due to large numbers of background bacteria. The draft new Dutch swimming pool legislation provides proper guidance to ensure the microbiological safety of swimming pond water; it would benefit from inclusion of turbidity as an extra parameter. S. aureus is a relevant parameter for non-fecal shedding, although scientific literature does not provide evidence for a norm value based on a dose-response relation for exposure to S. aureus in water.


Assuntos
Piscinas , Qualidade da Água , Ecossistema , Escherichia coli , Países Baixos , Lagoas , Staphylococcus aureus , Natação , Microbiologia da Água
12.
Water Res ; 42(12): 3047-56, 2008 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18486962

RESUMO

Studies undertaken to assess the performance of filter materials to remove phosphorus in decentralised sewage systems have not reported on the broader performance of these systems. This study aimed to identify virus fate and transport mechanisms at the laboratory scale for comparison with field experiments on a mound system amended with blast furnace slag. Inactivation was a significant removal mechanism for MS2 bacteriophage, but not for PRD1 bacteriophage. Column studies identified rapid transport of PRD1. Laboratory studies predicted lower removal of PRD1 in a full scale system than was experienced in the field study, highlighting the importance of considering pH and flow rate in pathogen removal estimates. The results highlight the necessity for studying a range of organisms when assessing the potential for pathogen transport.


Assuntos
Bacteriófago PRD1/fisiologia , Esgotos/virologia , Reatores Biológicos/virologia , Monitoramento Ambiental , Filtração/instrumentação , Dióxido de Silício , Microbiologia do Solo , Microbiologia da Água , Purificação da Água/métodos
13.
Water Res ; 139: 158-167, 2018 08 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29635152

RESUMO

Soil passage of (pretreated) surface water to remove pathogenic microorganisms is a highly efficient process under oxic conditions, reducing microorganism concentrations about 8 log10 within tens of meters. However, under anoxic conditions, it has been shown that removal of microorganisms can be limited very much. Setback distances for adequate protection of natural groundwater may, therefore, be too short if anoxic conditions apply. Because removal of microorganisms under suboxic conditions is unknown, this research investigated removal of bacteriophage MS2 and PRD1 by soil passage under suboxic conditions at field scale. At the field location (dune area), one injection well and six monitoring wells were installed at different depths along three suboxic flow lines, where oxygen concentrations ranged from 0.4 to 1.7 mg/l and nitrate concentrations ranged from 13 to 16 mg/L. PRD1 and MS2 were injected directly at the corresponding depths and their removal in each flow line was determined. The highest bacteriophage removal was observed in the top layer, with about 9 log removal of MS2, and 7 log removal of PRD1 after 16 meters of aquifer transport. Less removal was observed at 12 m below surface, probably due to a higher groundwater velocity in this coarser grained layer. MS2 was removed more effectively than PRD1 under all conditions. Due to short travel times, inactivation of the phages was limited and the reported log removal was mainly associated with attachment of phages to the aquifer matrix. This study shows that attachment of MS2 and PRD1 is similar for oxic and suboxic sandy aquifers, and, therefore, setback distances used for sandy aquifers under oxic and suboxic conditions provide a similar level of safety. Sticking efficiency and the attachment rate coefficient, as measures for virus attachment, were evaluated as a function of the physico-chemical conditions.


Assuntos
Bacteriófago PRD1/isolamento & purificação , Água Subterrânea/microbiologia , Levivirus/isolamento & purificação , Oxigênio/análise , Poluentes da Água/isolamento & purificação , Nitratos/análise , Solo , Microbiologia da Água , Movimentos da Água , Purificação da Água
14.
Water Res ; 41(10): 2151-62, 2007 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17400275

RESUMO

The decimal elimination capacity (DEC) of slow sand filtration (SSF) for Cryptosporidium parvum was assessed to enable quantitative microbial risk analysis of a drinking water production plant. A mature pilot plant filter of 2.56m(2) was loaded with C. parvum oocysts and two other persistent organisms as potential surrogates; spores of Clostridium perfringens (SCP) and the small-sized (4-7microm) centric diatom (SSCD) Stephanodiscus hantzschii. Highly persistent micro-organisms that are retained in slow sand filters are expected to accumulate and eventually break through the filter bed. To investigate this phenomenon, a dosing period of 100 days was applied with an extended filtrate monitoring period of 150 days using large-volume sampling. Based on the breakthrough curves the DEC of the filter bed for oocysts was high and calculated to be 4.7log. During the extended filtrate monitoring period the spatial distribution of the retained organisms in the filter bed was determined. These data showed little risk of accumulation of oocysts in mature filters most likely due to predation by zooplankton. The DEC for the two surrogates, SCP and SSCD, was 3.6 and 1.8log, respectively. On basis of differences in transport behaviour, but mainly because of the high persistence compared to the persistence of oocysts, it was concluded that both spores of sulphite-reducing clostridia (incl. SCP) and SSCD are unsuited for use as surrogates for oocyst removal by slow sand filters. Further research is necessary to elucidate the role of predation in Cryptosporidium removal and the fate of consumed oocysts.


Assuntos
Cryptosporidium parvum/isolamento & purificação , Diatomáceas/isolamento & purificação , Poluentes da Água/isolamento & purificação , Trifosfato de Adenosina/isolamento & purificação , Animais , Clostridium perfringens/isolamento & purificação , Dióxido de Silício , Microbiologia da Água , Zooplâncton/isolamento & purificação
15.
Water Res ; 103: 66-73, 2016 10 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27438901

RESUMO

The two most significant processes controlling virus mobility in the subsurface environment are virus attachment and inactivation. In particular, models that predict subsurface virus transport are highly sensitive to inactivation. Virus inactivation is known to depend on temperature as well as hydrochemical conditions. The aim of the current work was to study the effects of temperature and hydrochemical conditions on the inactivation of bacteriophage PRD1 as a model virus, and to develop a quantitative relation for these effects. Series of batch experiments under controlled temperature were conducted, for a range of conditions: 9.5 °C and 12 °C, pH4 - pH8, sodium concentrations of 1, 10 and 20 mM, and calcium concentrations of 0.5, 1.5, and 3 mM. By multivariate regression analysis, a joint log-square model was developed that describes the inactivation rate of PRD1 as a function of these hydrochemical conditions. This model approximates two rate and Weibull models and accounts for the observed non-linear inactivation at increased pH and salt concentrations. Model predictions are within ±0.4 log10 (0.4-2.5 times) virus concentration reduction. The nature of the log-square model does not allow extrapolation of virus inactivation beyond the experimental conditions. Inactivation rate of PRD1 was found to increase with increasing temperature and increasing sodium and calcium concentrations, and to be lowest between pH 6.5 and pH 7.5. Within the studied conditions, the developed log-square model may be applied at field scale for predicting inactivation during subsurface transport of viruses.


Assuntos
Bacteriófago PRD1 , Sódio , Cálcio , Concentração de Íons de Hidrogênio , Temperatura , Inativação de Vírus , Microbiologia da Água
16.
Water Res ; 105: 11-21, 2016 Nov 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27591704

RESUMO

Climate change is expected to influence infection risks while bathing downstream of sewage emissions from combined sewage overflows (CSOs) or waste water treatment plants (WWTPs) due to changes in pathogen influx, rising temperatures and changing flow rates of the receiving waters. In this study, climate change impacts on the surface water concentrations of Campylobacter, Cryptosporidium and norovirus originating from sewage were modelled. Quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA) was used to assess changes in risks of infection. In general, infection risks downstream of WWTPs are higher than downstream CSOs. Even though model outputs show an increase in CSO influxes, in combination with changes in pathogen survival, dilution within the sewage system and bathing behaviour, the effects on the infection risks are limited. However, a decrease in dilution capacity of surface waters could have significant impact on the infection risks of relatively stable pathogens like Cryptosporidium and norovirus. Overall, average risks are found to be higher downstream WWTPs compared to CSOs. Especially with regard to decreased flow rates, adaptation measures on treatment at WWTPs may be more beneficial for human health than decreasing CSO events.


Assuntos
Esgotos , Águas Residuárias , Mudança Climática , Humanos , Água , Microbiologia da Água
17.
J Environ Qual ; 33(4): 1499-508, 2004.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15254132

RESUMO

Various physical factors affecting the release rate of naturally occurring Cryptosporidium parvum oocysts and Giardia duodenalis cysts from dairy manure disks to sprinkled water were studied. The investigated factors included temperature (5 or 23 degrees C), manure type (calf manure, a 50% calf and 50% cow manure mixture, and a 10% calf and 90% cow manure mixture), and water application method (mist or drip) and flow rate. Effluent concentrations of manure and (oo)cysts were always several orders of magnitude below their initial concentration in the manure, decreased gradually, and exhibited persistent concentration tailing. Release of manure and (oo)cysts were found to be related by a constant factor, the so-called release efficiency of (oo)cysts. A previously developed (oo)cyst release model that included these release efficiencies provided a satisfactory simulation of the observed release. An effect of temperature on the release of manure and (oo)cysts was not apparent. The manure and (oo)cyst release rates from cow manure decreased faster than those from calf manure, and (oo)cyst release efficiencies from cow manure were higher than those from calf manure. In comparison with mist application, dripping water resulted in higher release rates of manure and (oo)cysts and in higher (oo)cyst release efficiencies due to the increased mechanical forces associated with droplet impact. Mist application at a higher flow rate resulted in faster release, but did not affect the (oo)cyst release efficiencies. The data and modeling approach described herein provide insight and an enhanced ability to describe the influence of physical factors on (oo)cyst release.


Assuntos
Cryptosporidium , Giardia , Esterco , Modelos Teóricos , Animais , Bovinos , Monitoramento Ambiental , Oocistos , Microbiologia da Água , Movimentos da Água
18.
J Contam Hydrol ; 55(1-2): 113-35, 2002 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12000089

RESUMO

Bacteriophage removal by soil passage in two field studies was re-analyzed with the goal to investigate differences between one- and two-dimensional modeling approaches, differences between one- and two-site kinetic sorption models, and the role of heterogeneities in the soil properties. The first study involved removal of bacteriophages MS2 and PRDI by dune recharge, while the second study represented removal of MS2 by deep well injection. In both studies, removal was higher during the first meters of soil passage than thereafter. The software packages HYDRUS-ID and HYDRUS-2D, which simulate water flow and solute transport in one- and two-dimensional variably saturated porous media, respectively, were used. The two codes were modified by incorporating reversible adsorption to two types of kinetic sites. Tracer concentrations were used first to calibrate flow and transport parameters of both models before analyzing transport of bacteriophages. The one-dimensional one-site model did not fully describe the tails of the measured breakthrough curves of MS2 and PRD1 from the dune recharge study. While the one-dimensional one-site model predicted a sudden decrease in virus concentrations immediately after the peaks, measured data displayed much smoother decline and tailing. The one-dimensional two-site model simulated the overall behavior of the breakthrough curves very well. The two-dimensional one-site model predicted a more gradual decrease in virus concentrations after the peaks than the one-dimensional one-site model, but not as good as the one-dimensional two-site model. The dimensionality of the problem hence can partly explain the smooth decrease in concentration after peak breakthrough. The two-dimensional two-site model provided the best results. Values for k(att2) and k(det2) could not be determined at the last two of four monitoring wells, thus suggesting that either a second type of kinetic sites is present in the first few meters of dune passage and not beyond the second monitoring well, or that effects of soil heterogeneity and dimensionality of the problem overshadowed this process. Variations between single collector efficiencies were relatively small, whereas collision efficiencies varied greatly. This implies that the nonlinear removal of MS2 and PRD1 is mainly caused by variations in interactions between grain and virus surfaces rather than by physical heterogeneity of the porous medium. Similarly, a two-site model performed better than the one-site model in describing MS2 concentrations for the deep well injection study. However, the concentration data were too sparse in this study to have much confidence in the fitted parameters.


Assuntos
Bacteriófagos , Modelos Teóricos , Adsorção , Monitoramento Ambiental , Previsões , Cinética , Software , Microbiologia do Solo , Movimentos da Água
19.
J Contam Hydrol ; 57(3-4): 259-79, 2002 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12180812

RESUMO

Breakthrough curves, on a semi-log scale, from tests in porous media with block-input of viruses, bacteria, protozoa and colloidal particles often exhibit a typical skewness: a rather slowly rising limb and a smooth transition of a declining limb to a very long tail. One-site kinetic models fail to fit the rising and declining limbs together with the tail satisfactorily. Inclusion of an equilibrium adsorption site does not seem to improve simulation results. This was encountered in the simulation of breakthrough curves from a recent field study on the removal of bacteriophages MS2 and PRD1 by passage through dune sand. In the present study, results of laboratory experiments for the study of this issue are presented. Breakthrough curves of salt and bacteriophages MS2, PRDI, and phiX174 in 1 D column experiments have been measured. One- and two-site kinetic models have been applied to fit and predict breakthrough curves from column experiments. The two-site model fitted all breakthrough curves very satisfactorily, accounting for the skewness of the rising limb as well as for the smooth transition of the declining limb to the tail of the breakthrough curve. The one-site model does not follow the curvature of the breakthrough tail, leading to an overestimation of the inactivation rate coefficient for attached viruses. Interaction with kinetic site 1 is characterized by relatively fast attachment and slow detachment, whereas attachment to and detachment from kinetic site 2 is fast. Inactivation of viruses and interaction with kinetic site 2 provide only a minor contribution to removal. Virus removal is mainly determined by the attachment to site 1. Bacteriophage phiX174 attached more than MS2 and PRD1, which can be explained by the greater electrostatic repulsion that MS2 and PRD1 experience compared to the less negatively charged phiX174.


Assuntos
Bacteriófagos , Modelos Teóricos , Dióxido de Silício , Microbiologia da Água , Purificação da Água/métodos , Adsorção , Humanos , Cinética , Água
20.
J Contam Hydrol ; 144(1): 78-87, 2013 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23159762

RESUMO

The objective of this work was to investigate and obtain quantitative relations for the effects of Ca(2+) concentration on virus removal in saturated soil and to compare the experimental findings with predictions of the DLVO theory. In order to do so, a systematic study was performed with a range of calcium concentrations corresponding to natural field conditions. Experiments were conducted in a 50-cm column with clean quartz sand under saturated conditions. Inflow solutions were prepared by adding CaCl(2,) NaCl and NaHCO(3) to de-ionized water. Values of pH and ionic strength were fixed at 7 and 10mM, respectively. Bacteriophage PRD1 was used as a conservative model virus for virus removal. The samples were assayed using the plaque forming technique. Attachment, detachment and inactivation rate coefficients were determined from fitting breakthrough curves. Attachment rate coefficients were found to increase with increasing calcium concentration. Results were used to calculate sticking efficiency, for which an empirical formula as a function of Ca(2+) was developed. Numerical solutions of the Poisson-Boltzmann equation were obtained to evaluate the effect of Ca(2+) on the double-layer interactions between quartz and PRD1. Based on these results, the DLVO interaction energies were calculated. It turned out that the experimental findings cannot be explained with the distance profiles of the DLVO interaction. The discrepancy between theory and experiment can be attributed to underestimation of the van der Waals interactions, chemisorption of Ca(2+) onto the surfaces, or by factors affecting the double-layer interactions, which are not included in the Poisson-Boltzmann equation. When abruptly changing from inflow solution containing Ca(2+) to a Ca(2+)-free solution, pronounced mobilization of viruses was observed. This indicates virus removal is not irreversible and that chemical perturbations of the groundwater can cause a burst of released viruses.


Assuntos
Bacteriófago PRD1/isolamento & purificação , Cálcio , Modelos Teóricos , Microbiologia do Solo , Microbiologia da Água , Coloides , Concentração de Íons de Hidrogênio , Concentração Osmolar , Quartzo , Sódio , Purificação da Água/métodos
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