Mortality risk in patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is the leading inheritable cause of end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Mortality data specific to patients with ADPKD is currently lacking; thus, the aim of this study was to estimate mortality in patients with ADPKD. METHODS: We analyzed data from the United States Renal Data System (USRDS) for patients with ADPKD available during the study period of 01/01/2014-12/31/2016, which included a cohort of patients with non-ESRD chronic kidney disease (CKD) and a cohort of patients with ESRD. Mortality rates with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated overall and by age group, sex, and race for the full dataset and for a subset of patients aged ≥ 65 years. Adjusted mortality hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated using Cox regression modeling by age group, sex, race, and CKD stage (i.e., non-ESRD CKD stages 1-5) or ESRD treatment (i.e., dialysis and transplant). RESULTS: A total of 1,936 patients with ADPKD and non-ESRD CKD and 37,461 patients with ADPKD and ESRD were included in the analysis. Age-adjusted mortality was 18.4 deaths per 1,000 patient-years in the non-ESRD CKD cohort and 37.4 deaths per 1,000 patient-years in the ESRD cohort. As expected, among the non-ESRD CKD cohort, patients in CKD stages 4 and 5 had a higher risk of death than patients in stage 3 (HR = 1.59 for stage 4 and HR = 2.71 for stage 5). Among the ESRD cohort, patients receiving dialysis were more likely to experience death than patients who received transplant (HR = 2.36). Age-adjusted mortality among patients aged ≥ 65 years in the non-ESRD CKD cohort was highest for Black patients (82.7 deaths per 1,000 patient-years), whereas age-adjusted mortality among patients aged ≥ 65 years in the ESRD cohort was highest for White patients (136.1 deaths per 1,000 patient-years). CONCLUSIONS: Mortality rates specific to patients aged ≥ 65 years suggest racial differences in mortality among these patients in both non-ESRD CKD and ESRD cohorts. These data fill an important knowledge gap in mortality estimates for patients with ADPKD in the United States.

Effect of Long-term Exercise Training on Physical Performance and Cardiorespiratory Function in Adults With CKD: A Randomized Controlled Trial.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: The safety and efficacy of long-term exercise training in reducing physical functional loss in older adults with advanced CKD and comorbidity is uncertain. STUDY DESIGN: Multicenter, parallel group, randomized controlled trial. SETTINGS & PARTICIPANTS: Adults 55 years and older with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 15 to <45 mL/min/1.73 m2 enrolled from centers in Baltimore and Boston. INTERVENTION: Twelve months of in-center supervised exercise training incorporating majority aerobic but also muscle strengthening activities or a group health education control intervention, randomly assigned in 1:1 ratio. OUTCOME: Primary outcomes were cardiorespiratory fitness and submaximal gait at 6 and 12 months quantified by peak oxygen consumption (Vo2peak) on graded exercise treadmill test and distance walked on the 6-minute walk test, respectively. Secondary outcomes were changes in lower extremity function, eGFR, albuminuria, glycemia, blood pressure, and body mass index. RESULTS: Among 99 participants, the mean age was 68 years, 62% were African American, and the mean eGFR was 33 mL/min/1.73 m2; 59% had diabetes, and 29% had coronary artery disease. Among those randomized to exercise, 59% of exercise sessions were attended in the initial 6 months. Exercise was well tolerated without excess occurrence of adverse events. At 6 months, aerobic capacity was higher among exercise participants (17.9 ± 5.5 vs 15.9 ± 7.0 mL/kg/min, P = 0.03), but the differences were not sustained at 12 months. The 6-minute walk distance improved more in the exercise group (adjusted difference: 98 feet [P = 0.02; P = 0.03 for treatment-by-time interaction]). The exercise group had greater improvements on the Timed Up and Go Test (P = 0.04) but not the Short Physical Performance Battery (P = 0.8). LIMITATIONS: Planned sample size was not reached. Loss to follow-up and dropout were greater than anticipated. CONCLUSIONS: Among adults aged ≥55 years with CKD stages 3b-4 and a high level of medical comorbidity, a 12-month program of in-center aerobic and resistance exercise training was safe and associated with improvements in physical functioning. FUNDING: Government grants (National Institutes of Health). TRIAL REGISTRATION: Registered at ClinicalTrials.gov with study number NCT01462097.

Longitudinal Changes in Cardiac Troponin and Risk of Heart Failure Among Black Adults.

BACKGROUND: Among Black adults, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) is associated with heart failure (HF) risk. The association of longitudinal changes in hs-cTnI with risk of incident HF, HF with reduced and preserved ejection fraction (HFrEF and HFpEF, respectively), among Black adults is not well-established. METHODS AND RESULTS: This study included Black participants from the Jackson Heart Study with available hs-cTnI data at visits 1 (2000-2004) and 2 (2005-2008) and no history of cardiovascular disease. Cox models were used to evaluate associations of categories of longitudinal change in hs-cTnI with incident HF risk. Among 2423 participants, 11.6% had incident elevation in hs-cTnI at visit 2, and 16.9% had stable or improved elevation (≤50% increase in hs-cTnI), and 4.0% had worsened hs-cTnI elevation (>50% increase). Over a median follow-up of 12.0 years, there were 139 incident HF hospitalizations (64 HFrEF, 58 HFpEF). Compared with participants without an elevated hs-cTnI, those with incident, stable or improved, or worsened hs-cTnI elevation had higher HF risk (adjusted hazard ratio 3.20 [95% confidence interval, 1.92-5.33]; adjusted hazard ratio 2.40, [95% confidence interval, 1.47-3.92]; and adjusted hazard ratio 8.10, [95% confidence interval, 4.74-13.83], respectively). Similar patterns of association were observed for risk of HFrEF and HFpEF. CONCLUSIONS: Among Black adults, an increase in hs-cTnI levels on follow-up was associated with a higher HF risk. LAY SUMMARY: The present study included 2423 Black adults from the Jackson Heart Study with available biomarkers of cardiac injury and no history of cardiovascular disease at visits 1 and 2. The majority of participants did not have evidence of cardiac injury at both visits (67.5%), 11.6% had evidence of cardiac injury only on follow-up, 14.5% had stable elevations, 4.0% had worsened elevations, and 2.4% had improved elevations of cardiac injury biomarkers during follow-up. Compared with participants without evidence of cardiac injury, those with new, stable, and worsened levels of cardiac injury had a higher risk of developing heart failure. TWEET: Among Black adults, persistent or worsening subclinical myocardial injury is associated with an elevated risk of HF.

Assessment of Biomarkers of Myocardial injury, Inflammation, and Renal Function in Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction: The VICTORIA Biomarker Substudy.

BACKGROUND: Circulating biomarkers may be useful in understanding prognosis and treatment efficacy in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction. In the VICTORIA (Vericiguat Global Study in Subjects with Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction) trial, vericiguat, a soluble guanylate cyclase stimulator, decreased the primary outcome of cardiovascular death or heart failure hospitalization in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction. We evaluated biomarkers of cardiac injury, inflammation, and renal function for associations with outcomes and vericiguat treatment effect. METHODS AND RESULTS: High-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT), growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15), interleukin-6 (IL-6), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), and cystatin C were measured at baseline and 16 weeks. Associations of biomarkers with the primary outcome and its components were estimated. Interaction with study treatment was tested. Changes in biomarkers over time were examined by study treatment. One or more biomarkers were measured in 4652 (92%) of 5050 participants at baseline and 4063 (81%) at 16 weeks. After adjustment, higher values of hs-cTnT, growth differentiation factor-15, and interleukin-6 were associated with the primary outcome, independent of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide. Higher hs-cTnT values were associated with a hazard ratio per log standard deviation of 1.21 (95% confidence interval 1.14-1.27). A treatment interaction with vericiguat was evident with hs-cTnT and cardiovascular death (P = .04), but not HF hospitalization (P = .38). All biomarkers except cystatin C decreased over 16 weeks and no relationship between treatment assignment and changes in biomarker levels was observed. CONCLUSIONS: hs-cTnT, growth differentiation factor-15, and interleukin-6 levels were associated with risk of the primary outcome in VICTORIA (Vericiguat Global Study in Subjects with Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction). Uniquely, lower hs-cTnT was associated with a lower rate of cardiovascular death but not HF hospitalization after treatment with vericiguat.

Association of Proximal Tubular Secretory Clearance with Long-Term Decline in Cognitive Function.

BACKGROUND: People with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are at high risk for cognitive impairment and progressive cognitive decline. Retention of protein-bound organic solutes that are normally removed by tubular secretion is hypothesized to contribute to cognitive impairment in CKD. METHODS: We followed 2362 participants who were initially free of cognitive impairment and stroke in the prospective Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study. We estimated tubular secretory clearance by the 24-hour kidney clearances of eight endogenous solutes that are primarily eliminated by tubular secretion. CRIC study investigators assessed participants' cognitive function annually using the Modified Mini-Mental State (3MS) Examination. Cognitive decline was defined as a sustained decrease of more than five points in the 3MS score from baseline. Using Cox regression models adjusted for potential confounders, we analyzed associations between secretory solute clearances, serum solute concentrations, and cognitive decline. RESULTS: The median number of follow-up 3MS examinations was six per participant. There were 247 incident cognitive decline events over a median of 9.1 years of follow-up. Lower kidney clearances of five of the eight secretory solutes (cinnamoylglycine, isovalerylglycine, kynurenic acid, pyridoxic acid, and tiglylglycine) were associated with cognitive decline after adjustment for baseline eGFR, proteinuria, and other confounding variables. Effect sizes ranged from a 17% to a 34% higher risk of cognitive decline per 50% lower clearance. In contrast, serum concentrations of the solutes were not associated with cognitive decline. CONCLUSIONS: Lower kidney clearances of secreted solutes are associated with incident global cognitive decline in a prospective study of CKD, independent of eGFR. Further work is needed to determine the domains of cognition most affected by decreased secretory clearance and the mechanisms of these associations.

Risk Prediction Models for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease: The CRIC Study.

BACKGROUND: Individuals with CKD may be at high risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). However, there are no ASCVD risk prediction models developed in CKD populations to inform clinical care and prevention. METHODS: We developed and validated 10-year ASCVD risk prediction models in patients with CKD that included participants without self-reported cardiovascular disease from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study. ASCVD was defined as the first occurrence of adjudicated fatal and nonfatal stroke or myocardial infarction. Our models used clinically available variables and novel biomarkers. Model performance was evaluated based on discrimination, calibration, and net reclassification improvement. RESULTS: Of 2604 participants (mean age 55.8 years; 52.0% male) included in the analyses, 252 had incident ASCVD within 10 years of baseline. Compared with the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association pooled cohort equations (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC]=0.730), a model with coefficients estimated within the CRIC sample had higher discrimination (P=0.03), achieving an AUC of 0.736 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.649 to 0.826). The CRIC model developed using clinically available variables had an AUC of 0.760 (95% CI, 0.678 to 0.851). The CRIC biomarker-enriched model had an AUC of 0.771 (95% CI, 0.674 to 0.853), which was significantly higher than the clinical model (P=0.001). Both the clinical and biomarker-enriched models were well-calibrated and improved reclassification of nonevents compared with the pooled cohort equations (6.6%; 95% CI, 3.7% to 9.6% and 10.0%; 95% CI, 6.8% to 13.3%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The 10-year ASCVD risk prediction models developed in patients with CKD, including novel kidney and cardiac biomarkers, performed better than equations developed for the general population using only traditional risk factors.

Upper Reference Limits for High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin T and N-Terminal Fragment of the Prohormone Brain Natriuretic Peptide in Patients With CKD.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: The utility of conventional upper reference limits (URL) for N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hsTnT) in chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains debated. We analyzed the distribution of hsTnT and NT-proBNP in people with CKD in ambulatory settings to examine the diagnostic value of conventional URL in this population. STUDY DESIGN: Observational study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: We studied participants of the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) with CKD and no self-reported history of cardiovascular disease. EXPOSURE: Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). OUTCOME: NT-proBNP and hsTnT at baseline. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: We described the proportion of participants above the conventional URL for NT-proBNP (125pg/mL) and hsTnT (14ng/L) overall and by eGFR. We then estimated 99th percentile URL for NT-proBNP and hsTnT. Using quantile regression of the 99th percentile, we modeled the association of eGFR with NT-proBNP and hsTnT. RESULTS: Among 2,312 CKD participants, 40% and 43% had levels of NT-proBNP and hsTnT above the conventional URL, respectively. In those with eGFR <30mL/min/1.73m2, 71% and 68% of participants had concentrations of NT-proBNP and hsTnT above the conventional URL, respectively. Among all CKD participants, the 99th percentile for NT-proBNP was 3,592 (95% CI, 2,470-4,849) pg/mL and for hsTnT it was 126 (95% CI, 100-144) ng/L. Each 15mL/min/1.73m2 decrement in eGFR was associated with a ~40% higher threshold for the 99th percentile of NT-proBNP (1.43 [95% CI, 1.21-1.69]) and hsTnT (1.45 [95% CI, 1.31-1.60]). LIMITATIONS: Study included ambulatory patients, and we could not test the accuracy of the URL of NT-proBNP and hsTnT in the acute care setting. CONCLUSIONS: In this ambulatory CKD population with no self-reported history of cardiovascular disease, a range of 40%-88% of participants had concentrations of NT-proBNP and hsTnT above the conventional URL, depending on eGFR strata. Developing eGFR-specific thresholds for these commonly used cardiac biomarkers in the setting of CKD may improve their utility for evaluation of suspected heart failure and myocardial infarction.

Ten-Year Risk-Prediction Equations for Incident Heart Failure Hospitalizations in Chronic Kidney Disease: Findings from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study and the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) is a leading contributor to cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in the population with chronic kidney disease (CKD). HF risk prediction tools that use readily available clinical parameters to risk-stratify individuals with CKD are needed. METHODS: We included Black and White participants aged 30-79 years with CKD stages 2-4 who were enrolled in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study and were without self-reported cardiovascular disease. We assessed model performance of the Pooled Cohort Equations to Prevent Heart Failure (PCP-HF) to predict incident hospitalizations due to HF and refit the PCP-HF in the population with CKD by using CRIC data-derived coefficients and survival from CRIC study participants in the CKD population (PCP-HFCKD). We investigated the improvement in HF prediction with inclusion of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) into the PCP-HFCKD equations by change in C-statistic, net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement index (IDI). We validated the PCP-HFCKD with and without eGFR and UACR in Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) participants with CKD. RESULTS: Among 2328 CRIC Study participants, 340 incident HF hospitalizations occurred over a mean follow-up of 9.5 years. The PCP-HF equations did not perform well in most participants with CKD and had inadequate discrimination and insufficient calibration (C-statistic 0.64-0.71, Greenwood-Nam-D'Agostino (GND) chi-square statistic P value < 0.05), with modest improvement and good calibration after being refit (PCP-HFCKD: C-statistic 0.61-0.78), GND chi-square statistic P value > 0.05). Addition of UACR, but not eGFR, to the refit PCP-HFCKD improved model performance in all race-sex groups (C-statistic [0.73-0.81], GND chi-square statistic P value > 0.05, delta C-statistic ranging from 0.03-0.11 and NRI and IDI P values < 0.01). External validation of the PCP-HFCKD in MESA demonstrated good discrimination and calibration. CONCLUSIONS: Routinely available clinical data that include UACR in patients with CKD can reliably identify individuals at risk of HF hospitalizations.

A disease progression model estimating the benefit of tolvaptan on time to end-stage renal disease for patients with rapidly progressing autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: Tolvaptan was approved in the United States in 2018 for patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) at risk of rapid progression as assessed in a 3-year phase 3 clinical trial (TEMPO 3:4). An extension study (TEMPO 4:4) showed continued delay in progression at 2 years, and a trial in patients with later-stage disease (REPRISE) provided confirmatory evidence of efficacy. Given the relatively shorter-term duration of the clinical trials, estimating the longer-term benefit associated with tolvaptan via extrapolation of the treatment effect is an important undertaking. METHODS: A model was developed to simulate a cohort of patients with ADPKD at risk of rapid progression and predict their long-term outcomes using an algorithm organized around the Mayo Risk Classification system, which has five subclasses (1A through 1E) based on estimated kidney growth rates. The model base-case population represents 1280 patients enrolled in TEMPO 3:4 beginning in chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages G1, G2, and G3 across Mayo subclasses 1C, 1D, and 1E. The algorithm was used to predict longer-term natural history health outcomes. The estimated treatment effect of tolvaptan from TEMPO 3:4 was applied to the natural history to predict the longer-term treatment benefit of tolvaptan. For the cohort, analyzed once reflecting natural history and once assuming treatment with tolvaptan, the model estimated lifetime progression through CKD stages, end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and death. RESULTS: When treated with tolvaptan, the model cohort was predicted to experience a 3.1-year delay of ESRD (95% confidence interval: 1.8 to 4.4), approximately a 23% improvement over the estimated 13.7 years for patients not receiving tolvaptan. Patients beginning tolvaptan treatment in CKD stages G1, G2, and G3 were predicted to experience estimated delays of ESRD, compared with patients not receiving tolvaptan, of 3.8 years (21% improvement), 3.0 years (24% improvement), and 2.1 years (28% improvement), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The model estimated that patients treated with tolvaptan versus no treatment spent more time in earlier CKD stages and had later onset of ESRD. Findings highlight the potential long-term value of early intervention with tolvaptan in patients at risk of rapid ADPKD progression.

Racial Differences in Malignant Left Ventricular Hypertrophy and Incidence of Heart Failure: A Multicohort Study.

BACKGROUND: A malignant subphenotype of left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) has been described, in which minimal elevations in cardiac biomarkers identify individuals with LVH at high risk for developing heart failure (HF). We tested the hypothesis that a higher prevalence of malignant LVH among blacks may contribute to racial disparities in HF risk. METHODS: Participants (n=15 710) without prevalent cardiovascular disease were pooled from 3 population-based cohort studies, the ARIC Study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities), the DHS (Dallas Heart Study), and the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis). Participants were classified into 3 groups: those without ECG-LVH, those with ECG-LVH and normal biomarkers (hs-cTnT (high sensitivity cardiac troponin-T) <6 ng/L and NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) <100 pg/mL), and those with ECG-LVH and abnormal levels of either biomarker (malignant LVH). The outcome was incident HF. RESULTS: Over the 10-year follow-up period, HF occurred in 512 (3.3%) participants, with 5.2% in black men, 3.8% in white men, 3.2% in black women, and 2.2% in white women. The prevalence of malignant LVH was 3-fold higher among black men and women versus white men and women. Compared with participants without LVH, the adjusted hazard ratio for HF was 2.8 (95% CI, 2.1-3.5) in those with malignant LVH and 0.9 (95% CI, 0.6-1.5) in those with LVH and normal biomarkers, with similar findings in each race/sex subgroup. Mediation analyses indicated that 33% of excess hazard for HF among black men and 11% of the excess hazard among black women was explained by the higher prevalence of malignant LVH in blacks. Of black men who developed HF, 30.8% had malignant LVH at baseline, with a corresponding population attributable fraction of 0.21. The proportion of HF cases occurring among those with malignant LVH, and the corresponding population attributable fraction, were intermediate and similar among black women and white men and lowest among white women. CONCLUSIONS: A higher prevalence of malignant LVH may in part explain the higher risk of HF among blacks versus whites. Strategies to prevent development or attenuate risk associated with malignant LVH should be investigated as a strategy to lower HF risk and mitigate racial disparities.

Primary results of the randomized trial of metformin administration in polycystic kidney disease (TAME PKD).

Autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is characterized by growth of kidney cysts and glomerular filtration rate (GFR) decline. Metformin was found to impact cystogenesis in preclinical models of polycystic disease, is generally considered safe and may be a promising candidate for clinical investigation in ADPKD. In this phase 2 two-year trial, we randomly assigned 97 patients, 18-60 years of age, with ADPKD and estimated GFR over 50 ml/min/1.73 m2, in a 1:1 ratio to receive metformin or placebo twice daily. Primary outcomes were medication safety and tolerability. Secondary outcomes included estimated GFR decline, and total kidney volume growth. Thirty-eight metformin and 39 placebo participants still received study product at 24-months. Twenty-one participants in the metformin arm reduced drug dose due to inability to tolerate, compared with 14 in the placebo arm (not significant). Proportions of participants experiencing serious adverse events was similar between the groups. The Gastrointestinal Symptoms Rating Scale score was low at baseline and did not significantly change over time. The annual change for estimated GFR was -1.71 with metformin and -3.07 ml/min/1.73m2 per year with placebo (mean difference 1.37 {-0.70, 3.44} ml/min/1.73m2), while mean annual percent change in height-adjusted total kidney volume was 3.87% in metformin and 2.16% per year in placebo, (mean difference 1.68% {-2.11, 5.62}). Thus, metformin in adults with ADPKD was found to be safe and tolerable while slightly reducing estimated GFR decline but not to a significant degree. Hence, evaluation of efficacy requires a larger trial, with sufficient power to detect differences in endpoints.

Change in Cardiac Biomarkers and Risk of Incident Heart Failure and Atrial Fibrillation in CKD: The Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Circulating cardiac biomarkers may signal potential mechanistic pathways involved in heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF). Single measures of circulating cardiac biomarkers are strongly associated with incident HF and AF in chronic kidney disease (CKD). We tested the associations of longitudinal changes in the N-terminal fragment of the prohormone brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high-sensitivity troponin T (hsTnT), galectin-3, growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15), and soluble ST-2 (sST-2) with incident HF and AF in patients with CKD. STUDY DESIGN: Observational, case-cohort study design. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Adults with CKD enrolled in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort study. EXPOSURES: Biomarkers were measured at baseline and 2 years later among those without kidney failure. We created 3 categories of absolute change in each biomarker: the lowest quartile, the middle 2 quartiles, and the top quartile. OUTCOMES: The primary outcomes were incident HF and AF. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to test the associations of the change categories of each cardiac biomarker with each outcome (with the middle 2 quartiles of change as the referent group), adjusting for potential confounders and baseline concentrations of each biomarker. RESULTS: The incident HF analysis included 789 participants (which included 138 incident HF cases), and the incident AF analysis included 774 participants (123 incident AF cases). In multivariable models, the top quartile of NT-proBNP change (>232pg/mL over 2years) was associated with increased risk of incident HF (HR, 1.79 [95% CI, 1.06-3.04]) and AF (HR, 2.32 [95% CI, 1.37-3.93]) compared with the referent group. Participants in the top quartile of sST2 change (>3.37ng/mL over 2years) had significantly greater risk of incident HF (HR, 1.89 [95% CI, 1.13-3.16]), whereas those in the bottom quartile (≤-3.78ng/mL over 2years) had greater risk of incident AF (HR, 2.43 [95% CI, 1.39-4.22]) compared with the 2 middle quartiles. There was no association of changes in hsTnT, galectin-3, or GDF-15 with incident HF or AF. LIMITATIONS: Observational study. CONCLUSIONS: In CKD, increases in NT-proBNP were significantly associated with greater risk of incident HF and AF, and increases in sST2 were associated with HF. Further studies should investigate whether these markers of subclinical cardiovascular disease can be modified to reduce the risk of cardiovascular disease in CKD.

Association Between Kidney Clearance of Secretory Solutes and Cardiovascular Events: The Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: The clearance of protein-bound solutes by the proximal tubules is an innate kidney mechanism for removing putative uremic toxins that could exert cardiovascular toxicity in humans. However, potential associations between impaired kidney clearances of secretory solutes and cardiovascular events among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains uncertain. STUDY DESIGN: A multicenter, prospective, cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: We evaluated 3,407 participants from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study. EXPOSURES: Baseline kidney clearances of 8 secretory solutes. We measured concentrations of secretory solutes in plasma and paired 24-hour urine specimens using liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS). OUTCOMES: Incident heart failure, myocardial infarction, and stroke events. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: We used Cox regression to evaluate associations of baseline secretory solute clearances with incident study outcomes adjusting for estimated GFR (eGFR) and other confounders. RESULTS: Participants had a mean age of 56 years; 45% were women; 41% were Black; and the median estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 43 mL/min/1.73 m2. Lower 24-hour kidney clearance of secretory solutes were associated with incident heart failure and myocardial infarction but not incident stroke over long-term follow-up after controlling for demographics and traditional risk factors. However, these associations were attenuated and not statistically significant after adjustment for eGFR. LIMITATIONS: Exclusion of patients with severely reduced eGFR at baseline; measurement variability in secretory solutes clearances. CONCLUSIONS: In a national cohort study of CKD, no clinically or statistically relevant associations were observed between the kidney clearances of endogenous secretory solutes and incident heart failure, myocardial infarction, or stroke after adjustment for eGFR. These findings suggest that tubular secretory clearance provides little additional information about the development of cardiovascular disease events beyond glomerular measures of GFR and albuminuria among patients with mild-to-moderate CKD.

Association of circulating cardiac biomarkers with electrocardiographic abnormalities in chronic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: Among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), the circulating cardiac biomarkers soluble ST2 (SST2), galectin-3, growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15), N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and high-sensitivity troponin-T (hsTnT) possibly reflect pathophysiologic processes and are associated with clinical cardiovascular disease. Whether these biomarkers are associated with electrocardiographic findings is not known. The aim of this study was to test the association between serum cardiac biomarkers and the presence of electrocardiographic changes potentially indicative of subclinical myocardial disease in patients with CKD. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional analysis using 3048 participants from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) without atrial fibrillation, atrioventricular block, bundle branch block or a pacemaker at the baseline visit. Using logistic regression, we tested the association of each of the five cardiac biomarkers with baseline electrocardiogram (ECG) findings: PR interval >200 ms, QRS interval >100 ms and a prolonged QTc interval. Models were adjusted for demographic variables, measures of kidney function, prevalent cardiovascular disease and cardiovascular risk factors. RESULTS: In adjusted models, hsTnT levels associated with prolonged PR {odds ratio [OR] 1.23 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.08-1.40]}, QRS [OR 1.28 (95% CI 1.16-1.42)] and QTc [OR 1.94 (95% CI 1.50-2.51)] intervals. NT-proBNP levels were associated with prolonged QRS [OR 1.11 (95% CI 1.06-1.16)] and QTc [OR 1.82 (95% CI 1.58-2.10)] intervals. SST2, galectin-3 and GDF-15 were not significantly associated with any of the ECG parameters. CONCLUSIONS: hsTnT and NT-proBNP were associated with ECG measures indicative of subclinical myocardial dysfunction. These results may support future research investigating the significance of myocardial ischemia and volume overload in the pathogenesis of dysfunctional myocardial conduction in CKD.

Kidney Clearance of Secretory Solutes Is Associated with Progression of CKD: The CRIC Study.

BACKGROUND: The secretion of organic solutes by the proximal tubules is an essential intrinsic kidney function. However, the clinical significance of the kidney's clearance of tubular secretory solutes is uncertain. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, we evaluated 3416 participants with CKD from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study. We measured plasma and 24-hour urine concentrations of endogenous candidate secretory solutes at baseline, using targeted liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. The study defined CKD progression by a ≥50% decline in the eGFR, initiation of maintenance dialysis, or kidney transplantation. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to test associations of secretory-solute clearances with CKD progression and mortality, adjusting for eGFR, albuminuria, and other confounding characteristics. RESULTS: Participants in this ancillary study had a mean age of 58 years and 41% were black; the median eGFR was 43 ml/min per 1.73 m2. After adjustment, lower kidney clearances of six solutes-kynurenic acid, pyridoxic acid, indoxyl sulfate, xanthosine, isovalerylglycine, and cinnamoylglycine-were associated with significantly greater risks of CKD progression, with clearance of kynurenic acid, a highly protein-bound solute, having the strongest association. Lower clearances of isovalerylglycine, tiglylglycine, hippurate, and trimethyluric acid were significantly associated with all-cause mortality after adjustment. CONCLUSIONS: We found lower kidney clearances of endogenous secretory solutes to be associated with CKD progression and all-cause mortality, independent of eGFR and albuminuria. This suggests that tubular clearance of secretory solutes provides additional information about kidney health beyond measurements of glomerular function alone.

Incorporation of Biomarkers Into Risk Assessment for Allocation of Antihypertensive Medication According to the 2017 ACC/AHA High Blood Pressure Guideline: A Pooled Cohort Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease was a novel consideration for antihypertensive medication initiation in the 2017 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Blood Pressure (BP) guideline. Whether biomarkers of chronic myocardial injury (high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T ≥6 ng/L] and stress (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide [NT-proBNP] ≥100 pg/mL) can inform cardiovascular (CV) risk stratification and treatment decisions among adults with elevated BP and hypertension is unclear. METHODS: Participant-level data from 3 cohort studies (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, Dallas Heart Study, and Multiethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) were pooled, excluding individuals with prevalent CV disease and those taking antihypertensive medication at baseline. Participants were analyzed according to BP treatment group from the 2017 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association BP guideline and those with high BP (120 to 159/<100 mm Hg) were further stratified by biomarker status. Cumulative incidence rates for CV event (atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease or heart failure), and the corresponding 10-year number needed to treat to prevent 1 event with intensive BP lowering (to target systolic BP <120 mm Hg), were estimated for BP and biomarker-based subgroups. RESULTS: The study included 12 987 participants (mean age, 55 years; 55% women; 21.5% with elevated high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T; 17.7% with elevated NT-proBNP) with 825 incident CV events over 10-year follow-up. Participants with elevated BP or hypertension not recommended for antihypertensive medication with versus without either elevated high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T or NT-proBNP had a 10-year CV incidence rate of 11.0% and 4.6%, with a 10-year number needed to treat to prevent 1 event for intensive BP lowering of 36 and 85, respectively. Among participants with stage 1 or stage 2 hypertension recommended for antihypertensive medication with BP <160/100 mm Hg, those with versus without an elevated biomarker had a 10-year CV incidence rate of 15.1% and 7.9%, with a 10-year number needed to treat to prevent 1 event of 26 and 49, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Elevations in high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T or NT-proBNP identify individuals with elevated BP or hypertension not currently recommended for antihypertensive medication who are at high risk for CV events. The presence of nonelevated biomarkers, even in the setting of stage 1 or stage 2 hypertension, was associated with lower risk. Incorporation of biomarkers into risk assessment algorithms may lead to more appropriate matching of intensive BP control with patient risk.

The Cardiorenal Syndrome: Mechanistic Insights and Prognostication with Soluble Biomarkers.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: To characterize and interpret recent studies of biomarkers of cardiorenal syndrome. RECENT FINDINGS: Recent studies have questioned the mechanisms and significance of moderate worsening renal function (WRF) in patients with acute heart failure. In the setting of successful decongestion, WRF may not predict cardiorenal morbidity. Cardiac-specific biomarkers including cardiac troponins and natriuretic peptides are highly prognostic in acute and chronic HF patients with kidney impairment, and serial changes in these markers during hospitalization are also predictive of longer-term adverse outcomes. These markers also predict new HF in patients with established chronic kidney disease (CKD). The role of kidney tubular injury markers in acute HF remains controversial, with inconsistent associations with short- and long-term cardiorenal outcomes. Many cases of WRF in acute HF are not characterized by a clear pattern of renal tubular injury. Cardiac-specific and renal-specific biomarkers may provide mechanistic and prognostic information in cardiorenal syndromes.

Cardiac and Stress Biomarkers and Chronic Kidney Disease Progression: The CRIC Study.

BACKGROUND: Increases in cardiac and stress biomarkers may be associated with loss of kidney function through shared mechanisms involving cardiac and kidney injury. We evaluated the associations of cardiac and stress biomarkers [N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high-sensitivity troponin T (hsTnT), growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15), soluble ST-2 (sST-2)] with progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD). METHODS: We included 3664 participants with CKD from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort study. All biomarkers were measured at entry. The primary outcome was CKD progression, defined as progression to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) or 50% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Cox models tested the association of each biomarker with CKD progression, adjusting for demographics, site, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, eGFR, urine proteinuria, blood pressure, body mass index, cholesterol, medication use, and mineral metabolism. RESULTS: There were 1221 participants who had CKD progression over a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 5.8 (2.4-8.6) years. GDF-15, but not sST2, was significantly associated with an increased risk of CKD progression [hazard ratios (HRs) are per SD increase in log-transformed biomarker]: GDF-15 (HR, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.35-1.67) and sST2 (HR, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.99-1.14). NT-proBNP and hsTnT were also associated with increased risk of CKD progression, but weaker than GDF-15: NT-proBNP (HR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.13-1.36) and hsTnT (HR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.01-1.22). CONCLUSIONS: Increases in GDF-15, NT-proBNP, and hsTnT are associated with greater risk for CKD progression. These biomarkers may inform mechanisms underlying kidney injury.

Hyperkalemia in patients with chronic renal failure.

Although hyperkalemia is much more common in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), the reported frequency of hyperkalemia varies markedly across studies, primarily due to differences in the ascertainment of hyperkalemia and the severity of CKD. Major risk factors for hyperkalemia among CKD patients include lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), use of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors (RAASis), diabetes, older age and male gender. The use of two drugs to inhibit RAAS in diabetic CKD markedly increases the risk of hyperkalemia, as demonstrated in large multicenter clinical trials. Hyperkalemia has consistently been associated with an increased risk of adverse events compared with normokalemia, including all-cause mortality and cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. This risk is not explained by differences in comorbidity or estimated GFR, nor concomitant metabolic abnormalities such as acidosis among those with hyperkalemia. Sodium polystyrene sulfonate has been used commonly for decades to treat hyperkalemia in CKD patients, but without any high-quality clinical data to support its efficacy and with an increased risk of rare but serious colonic complications. The newer oral potassium-binding agents, patiromer and sodium zirconium cyclosilicate, have been shown to be effective and safe for the non-emergent treatment of hyperkalemia in CKD patients, including patients treated with RAASis. Although the long-term use of these medications may permit continuation of RAASis in CKD patients with hyperkalemia, the overall impact of this approach (as compared with down-titration of RAASis and/or up-titration of diuretics) on long-term morbidity, mortality and quality of life remains uncertain.