Predictors of All-Cause Mortality Among People With Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) in a Prospective Cohort Study in East Africa and Nigeria.

BACKGROUND: Introduction of antiretroviral therapy (ART) has been associated with a decline in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-related mortality, although HIV remains a leading cause of death in sub-Saharan Africa. We describe all-cause mortality and its predictors in people living with HIV (PLWH) in the African Cohort Study (AFRICOS). METHODS: AFRICOS enrolls participants with or without HIV at 12 sites in Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, and Nigeria. Evaluations every 6 months include sociobehavioral questionnaires, medical history, physical examination, and laboratory tests. Mortality data are collected from medical records and survivor interviews. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for factors associated with mortality. RESULTS: From 2013 through 2020, 2724 PLWH completed at least 1 follow-up visit or experienced death. Of these 58.4% were females, 25.8% were aged ≥ 50 years, and 98.3% were ART-experienced. We observed 11.42 deaths per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 9.53-13.68) with causes ascertained in 54% of participants. Deaths were caused by malignancy (28.1%), infections (29.7%), and other non-HIV related conditions. Predictors of mortality included CD4 ≤ 350 cells/µL (aHR 2.01 [95% CI: 1.31-3.08]), a log10copies/mL increase of viral load (aHR 1.36 [95% CI: 1.22-1.51]), recent fever (aHR 1.85[95% CI: 1.22-2.81]), body mass index < 18.5 kg/m2 (aHR 2.20 [95% CI: 1.44-3.38]), clinical depression (aHR 2.42 [95% CI: 1.40-4.18]), World Health Organization (WHO) stage III (aHR 2.18 [95% CI: 1.31-3.61]), a g/dL increase in hemoglobin (aHR 0.79 [95% CI: .72-.85]), and every year on ART (aHR 0.67 [95% CI: .56-.81]). CONCLUSIONS: The mortality rate was low in this cohort of mostly virally suppressed PLWH. Patterns of deaths and identified predictors suggest multiple targets for interventions to reduce mortality.

Factors associated with sexually transmitted infections among care-seeking adults in the African Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: Sexually transmitted infections (STIs) are a major cause of morbidity. Understanding drivers of transmission can inform effective prevention programs. We describe STI prevalence and identify factors associated with STIs in four African countries. METHODS: The African Cohort Study is an ongoing, prospective cohort in Kenya, Nigeria, Tanzania and Uganda. At enrollment, a physical exam was conducted and STI diagnosis made by a clinician using a syndromic management approach. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for factors associated with an STI diagnosis. RESULTS: As of June 2020, 3544 participants were enrolled. STI prevalence was 7.7% and did not differ by HIV status (p = 0.30). Prevalence differed by syndrome (3.5% vaginal discharge, 1.5% genital ulcer, 2.1% lower abdominal pain, 0.2% inguinal bubo). The odds of having an STI were higher at all sites compared to Kisumu West, Kenya, and among those with a primary level education or below compared to those with secondary or higher (aOR: 1.77; 95% CI: 1.32-2.38). The odds of an STI diagnosis was higher among participants 18-29 years (aOR: 2.29; 95% CI: 1.35-3.87), females (aOR: 2.64; 95% CI: 1.94-3.59), and those with depression (aOR: 1.78; 95% CI: 1.32-2.38). Among PLWH, similar factors were independently associated with an STI diagnosis. Viral suppression was protective against STIs (aOR: 2.05; 95% CI: 1.32-3.20). CONCLUSIONS: Prevalence of STIs varied by site with young people and females most at risk for STIs. Mental health is a potential target area for intervention.

Noninfectious Comorbidity in the African Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Noninfectious comorbid diseases (NCDs) contribute to morbidity and mortality in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected populations in resource-rich countries. With antiretroviral therapy (ART) scale-up in Africa, understanding burden NCD informs public health strategy. METHODS: At enrollment, participants at 11 HIV clinics in Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, and Nigeria underwent medical history, physical, laboratory, and neuropsychological assessments to identify elevated blood pressure, hypercholesterolemia, dysglycemia, renal insufficiency, and cognitive impairment. Poisson regression models estimated adjusted relative risks (ARRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the number of NCDs associated with factors of interest. Logistic regression was used to evaluate each NCD separately among HIV-infected participants. RESULTS: Among 2720 participants with complete NCD data, 2159 (79.4%) were HIV-infected. Of those, 1426 (66.0%) were taking ART and 813 (37.7%) had at least 1 NCD. HIV infection was associated with more NCDs, especially with ART (ARR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.22-1.66). In addition to age, body mass index, and program site, ART usage was associated with more NCDs (ARR, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.27-1.78 for virologically suppressed and ARR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.13-1.68 for viremic) among HIV-infected participants. In participants taking ART, CD4 nadir below 200 cells/mm3 was associated with more NCDs (ARR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.06-1.93). ART use was independently associated with hypercholesterolemia and dysglycemia. Program site was significantly associated with all comorbidities except renal insufficiency. CONCLUSIONS: HIV infection was a risk for NCDs, which were common in HIV-infected participants, geographically variable, and largely consistent with metabolic complications of first-line ART.

Cumulative exposure to depressive symptoms and all-cause mortality among adults with HIV in Kenya, Nigeria, Tanzania, and Uganda.

OBJECTIVE: We estimated the effects of cumulative exposure to depressive symptoms on risk of all-cause mortality among people with HIV (PWH) in four African countries. DESIGN: An analysis of prospective cohort data. METHODS: The African Cohort Study (AFRICOS) is a prospective cohort of people receiving care at twelve clinics in Kenya, Nigeria, Tanzania, and Uganda. Every 6 months from January 2013 to May 2020, participants underwent laboratory monitoring, structured surveys, and assessment of depressive symptom severity using the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (CES-D). All-cause mortality was the outcome of interest. The predictor of interest was a time-updated measure of the percentage of days lived with depression (PDD). Marginal structural Cox proportional hazards regression models were used, adjusting for potential confounders including time-varying alcohol use, drug use, and viral load. RESULTS: Among 2520 enrolled participants, 1479 (59%) were women and the median age was 38 (interquartile range [IQR]: 32-46). At enrollment, 1438 (57%) were virally suppressed (<200 copies/ml) and 457 (18%) had CES-D at least 16, indicating possible depression. Across 9093 observed person-years, the median PDD was 0.7% (IQR: 0-5.9%) with 0.8 deaths per 100 person-years. Leading causes of death included cancer (18% of deaths) and accidents (14%). Models suggested that each 25% absolute increase in PDD was associated with a 69% increase in the risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio: 1.69; 95% confidence interval: 1.18-2.43). CONCLUSION: Cumulative exposure to depressive symptoms was substantially associated with the risk of mortality in this cohort of PWH in Africa.

Assessment of tuberculosis disease activity in people infected with Mycobacterium tuberculosis and living with HIV: A longitudinal cohort study.

Background: Early detection of asymptomatic incipient tuberculosis (TB) could improve clinical outcomes and reduce the spread of Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) infection, particularly in HIV endemic settings. This study assessed TB disease activity over 5 years in people living with HIV co-infected with MTB using a surrogate biomarker. Methods: Between Jan 1, 2013 and Aug 31, 2018, 2014 people living with HIV were screened annually for active TB using the Xpert MTB/RIF diagnostic assay in 11 clinics in Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda, and Nigeria. Longitudinal blood mononuclear cell samples from 46 selected patients with active and recurrent tuberculosis, latent infection, or incipient TB were further analysed for MTB-specific T-cell activation (defined by CD38 expression) as a well-defined surrogate marker for TB disease covering a total of 1758 person-months. Findings: MTB-specific CD4 T-cell activation differentiated active, Xpert MTB/RIF positive TB from latent TB with a sensitivity and specificity of 86% and was reduced upon TB treatment initiation. Activated MTB-specific T cells were present in 63% and 23% of incipient TB cases 6 and 12 months before diagnosis of active disease, respectively. Transient increases of MTB-specific T cell activation were also observed in individuals with latent infection, while persistent activation was a hallmark of recurrent TB after the end of treatment. Interpretation: In most cases, progression to active TB disease started 6-12 months before diagnosis by clinical symptoms and sputum occurrence of bacilli. Blood biomarkers could facilitate early detection of incipient TB, improve clinical outcomes, and reduce the transmission of MTB. Funding: This work was supported by the President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief via a cooperative agreement between the Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Inc., and the U.S. Department of Defense [W81XWH-11-2-0174, W81XWH-18-2-0040] and by the Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (BmBF) through funding of the Deutsches Zentrum für Infektionsforschung (DZIF, TTU-TB personalized medicine TTU 02_813).

Brief Report: Increased Inflammation and Liver Disease in HIV/HBV-Coinfected Individuals.

OBJECTIVE: HIV and hepatitis B virus (HBV) coinfection can accelerate morbidity and mortality, especially in sub-Saharan Africa where both infections are common. Although inflammation contributes to disease progression, more information is needed to better understand the pathology. This study compared markers of cirrhosis and inflammation in HIV/HBV-coinfected individuals compared with monoinfected and uninfected patients. SETTING: The HIV/HBV-coinfected subjects from the Ugandan arm of the prospective African Cohort Study were selected for evaluation and matched by age and gender with HIV-monoinfected, HBV-monoinfected, and uninfected controls. METHODS: Plasma samples were used to quantify markers of immune activation and inflammation. The FIB-4 (a simple index to predict significant liver fibrosis) score was used to estimate liver fibrosis. Demographic and laboratory characteristics were compared across the groups. RESULTS: Together, 31 HIV/HBV-coinfected participants were identified and compared with 62 HIV-monoinfected, 7 HBV-monoinfected, and 62 uninfected controls. The HIV/HBV-coinfected group had generally higher levels of inflammation. Most notably, matrix metalloproteinase-2, matrix metalloproteinase-9, and fibroblast growth factor-19 levels were dysregulated among the HIV/HBV-coinfected individuals. Furthermore, the FIB-4 score was higher in the HIV/HBV-coinfected group compared with the HIV-monoinfected group and revealed that 11% of HIV/HBV-coinfected individuals had evidence of undiagnosed advanced liver disease. CONCLUSIONS: Differences in levels of inflammation exist between individuals with HIV/HBV coinfection compared with monoinfected and uninfected controls. A distinct signature of inflammation was associated with HIV/HBV coinfection that could reflect the mechanism of liver fibrosis and increased risk for disease progression. Finally, there may be an underappreciated amount of undiagnosed advanced liver disease in sub-Saharan Africa.

In-vitro Immunomodulatory activity of Azadirachta indica A.Juss. Ethanol: water mixture against HIV associated chronic CD4+ T-cell activation/ exhaustion.

BACKGROUND: In Sub-Saharan Africa, herbal therapy continues to be utilized for HIV-1 disease management. However, the therapeutic benefits of these substances remain ambiguous. To date, little is known about the effects of these plant extracts on chronic CD4 + T-cell activation and exhaustion which is partly driven by HIV-1 associated microbial translocation. METHODS: Effects of Azadirachta indica, Momordica foetida and Moringa oleifera ethanol: water mixtures on cell viability were evaluated using the Guava PCA system. Then, an in-vitro cell culture model was developed to mimic CD4+ T cell exposures to antigens following HIV-1 microbial translocation. In this, peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) isolated from HIV negative (n = 13), viral load < 1000 copies per mL (n = 10) and viral load > 1000 copies per mL (n = 6) study participants from rural Uganda were treated with Staphylococcus enterotoxin B (SEB). Then, the candidate plant extract (A. indica) was added to test the potential to inhibit corresponding CD4+ T cell activation. Following BD Facs Canto II event acquisition, variations in %CD38, %CD69, Human Leukocyte Antigen -DR (HLA-DR), Programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1), T-cell immunoglobulin and mucin domain-containing protein 3 (Tim-3), interferon gamma (IFN γ) and interleukin 2 (IL-2) CD4 + T cell expression were evaluated. RESULTS: Following exposure to SEB, only A. indica demonstrated a concentration-dependent ability to downregulate the levels of CD4 + T cell activation. At the final concentration of 0.500 µg/mL of A. indica, a significant downregulation of CD4 + CD38 + HLA-DR+ expression was observed in HIV negative (p < 0.0001) and both HIV infected groups (P = 0.0313). This plant extract also significantly lowered SEB induced % CD4+ T cell HLADR, PD-1 and Tim-3 levels. PD-1 and CD69 markers were only significantly downmodulated in only the HIV negative ((p = 0.0001 and p = 0.0078 respectively) and viral load< 1000 copies per ml (p = 0.0078) groups. CONCLUSION: A. indica exhibited the in-vitro immunomodulatory potential to inhibit the continuum of SEB induced CD4+ T-cell activation/ exhaustion without impacting general T-cell specific functions such as cytokine secretion. Additional studies are needed to confirm A. indica as a source of natural products for targeting persistent immune activation and inflammation during ART.

HIV virologic failure and its predictors among HIV-infected adults on antiretroviral therapy in the African Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: The 2016 WHO consolidated guidelines on the use of antiretroviral drugs defines HIV virologic failure for low and middle income countries (LMIC) as plasma HIV-RNA ≥ 1000 copies/mL. We evaluated virologic failure and predictors in four African countries. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We included HIV-infected participants on a WHO recommended antiretroviral therapy (ART) regimen and enrolled in the African Cohort Study between January 2013 and October 2017. Studied outcomes were virologic failure (plasma HIV-RNA ≥ 1000 copies/mL at the most recent visit), viraemia (plasma HIV-RNA ≥ 50 copies/mL at the most recent visit); and persistent viraemia (plasma HIV-RNA ≥ 50 copies/mL at two consecutive visits). Generalized linear models were used to estimate relative risks with their 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: 2054 participants were included in this analysis. Viraemia, persistent viraemia and virologic failure were observed in 396 (19.3%), 160 (7.8%) and 184 (9%) participants respectively. Of the participants with persistent viraemia, only 57.5% (92/160) had confirmed virologic failure. In the multivariate analysis, attending clinical care site other than the Uganda sitebeing on 2nd line ART (aRR 1.8, 95% CI 1·28-2·66); other ART combinations not first line and not second line (aRR 3.8, 95% CI 1.18-11.9), a history of fever in the past week (aRR 3.7, 95% CI 1.69-8.05), low CD4 count (aRR 6.9, 95% CI 4.7-10.2) and missing any day of ART (aRR 1·8, 95% CI 1·27-2.57) increased the risk of virologic failure. Being on 2nd line therapy, the site where one receives care and CD4 count < 500 predicted viraemia, persistent viraemia and virologic failure. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, these findings demonstrate that HIV-infected patients established on ART for more than six months in the African setting frequently experienced viraemia while continuing to be on ART. The findings also show that being on second line, low CD4 count, missing any day of ART and history of fever in the past week remain important predictors of virologic failure that should trigger intensified adherence counselling especially in the absence of reliable or readily available viral load monitoring. Finally, clinical care sites are different calling for further analyses to elucidate on the unique features of these sites.