Regional estimation of methane emissions over the peninsular India using atmospheric inverse modelling.

Accurate renditions of country-scale methane (CH4) emissions are critical in understanding the regional CH4 budget and essential for adapting national climate mitigation policies to curtail the atmospheric build-up of this greenhouse gas with high warming potential. India housing 30% of the Asian population is currently appraised as a region of CH4 source based on the inventories. To date, there have not been many reported efforts to estimate the regional CH4 emissions using direct measurements of boundary layer CH4 concentrations at multiple locations over India. Here, 2 years (2017-2018) of in situ CH4 observations from three distantly placed stations over the peninsular India is combined with state-of-the-art inversion using a Lagrangian particle dispersion model for the estimation of CH4 emission. This study updates CH4 emission over the peninsular India (land area south of 21.5°N) as ~ 10.63 Terra gram (Tg) CH4 year-1, which is 0.13 Tg CH4 year-1 higher than the existing inventory-based emission. On seasonal scale, the changes from the existing CH4 emission inventories are 0.12, 0.05, 0.055 and 0.28 Tg CH4 year-1 during winter, pre-monsoon, monsoon and post-monsoon seasons respectively. Spatial distributions of seasonal variability of posterior emissions suggest an enhancement over the eastern region of peninsular India compared to the western part. The study with observations from three stations over the peninsular India provides an update on the inventory-based estimation of CH4 emissions and urges the importance of more observations over the Indian region for the accurate estimation of fluxes.

Benefits of satellite XCO2 and newly proposed atmospheric CO2 observation network over India in constraining regional CO2 fluxes.

Top-down modeling estimates are among the most reliable information available on the CO2 fluxes of the earth system. The inadequate coverage of CO2 observing stations over the tropical regions adds a limitation to this estimate, especially when the satellite XCO2 is strictly screened for cloud contamination, aerosol, dust, etc. In this study, we investigated the potential benefit of a global ground-based observing station network, 17 newly proposed stations over India, and global satellite XCO2 in reducing the uncertainty of terrestrial biospheric fluxes of Tropical Asia-Eurasia in TransCom cyclo-stationary inversion. The data from selected 80 global ground-based CO2 observation stations, together with two additional stations from India (i.e., Cape Rama and Sinhagad) and satellite XCO2, helps to reduce the temperate Eurasian terrestrial flux uncertainty by 23.8%, 26.4%, and 36.2%, respectively. This further improved to 54.7% by adding the newly proposed stations over India into the inversion. By separating the Indian sub-continent from temperate Eurasia (as inspired by the heterogeneity in the terrestrial ecosystems, prevailing meteorological conditions, and the orography of this vast region), the inversion evinces the capacity of existing CO2 observations to reduce the Indian terrestrial flux uncertainty by 20.5%. The largest benefit (70% reduction of annual mean uncertainty) for estimating Indian terrestrial fluxes could be achieved by combining these global observations with data from the newly proposed stations over India. The existing two stations from India suggest Temperate Eurasia as a mild source of CO2 (0.33 ± 0.57 Pg C yr-1), albeit with prominent anthropogenic influences visible in these two stations during the dry seasons. This implies that the proposed new stations should be cautiously placed to avoid such effects. The study also finds that the newly proposed stations over India also have an impact in constraining nearby oceanic CO2 fluxes.

Diurnal and seasonal variations in surface methane at a tropical coastal station: Role of mesoscale meteorology.

In view of the large uncertainties in the methane (CH4) emission estimates and the large spatial gaps in its measurements, studies on near-surface CH4 on regional basis become highly relevant. This paper presents the first time observational results of a study on the impacts of mesoscale meteorology on the temporal variations of near-surface CH4 at a tropical coastal station, in India. It is based on the in-situ measurements conducted during January 2014 to August 2016, using an on-line CH4 analyzer working on the principle of gas chromatography. The diurnal variation shows a daytime low (1898-1925ppbv) and nighttime high (1936-2022ppbv) extending till early morning hours. These changes are closely associated with the mesoscale circulations, namely Sea Breeze (SB) and Land Breeze (LB), as obtained through the meteorological observations, WRF simulations of the circulations and the diurnal variation of boundary layer height as observed by the Microwave Radiometer Profiler. The diurnal enhancement always coincides with the onset of LB. Several cases of different onset timings of LB were examined and results presented. The CH4 mixing ratio also exhibits significant seasonal patterns being maximum in winter and minimum in pre-monsoon/monsoon with significant inter-annual variations, which is also reflected in diurnal patterns, and are associated with changing synoptic meteorology. This paper also presents an analysis of in-situ measured near-surface CH4, column averaged and upper tropospheric CH4 retrieved by Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) onboard Earth Observing System (EOS)/Aqua which gives insight into the vertical distribution of the CH4 over the location. An attempt is also made to estimate the instantaneous radiative forcing for the measured CH4 mixing ratio.