"Inhibitory immune checkpoints predict 7-day, in-hospital and 1-year mortality of internal medicine patients admitted with bacterial sepsis".

BACKGROUND: Sepsis is a life-threatening syndrome with complex pathophysiology and great clinical heterogeneity which complicates the delivery of personalized therapies. Our goals were to demonstrate that some biomarkers identified as regulatory immune checkpoints in preclinical studies could 1)improve sepsis prognostication based on clinical variables and 2)guide the stratification of septic patients in subgroups with shared characteristics of immune response or survival outcomes. METHODS: We assayed the soluble counterparts of 12 biomarkers of immune response in 113 internal medicine patients with bacterial sepsis. RESULTS: IL-1 receptor-associated kinase M (IRAK-M) exhibited the highest hazard ratios (HRs) for increased 7-day (1.94 [1.17-3.20]) and 30-day mortality (1.61 [1.14-2.28]). HRs of IRAK-M and Galectin-1 for predicting 1-year mortality were 1.52 (1.20-1.92) and 1.64 (1.13-2.36), respectively. A prognostic model including IRAK-M, Galectin-1, and clinical variables (Charlson Comorbidty Index, multiple source of sepsis, and SOFA score) had high discrimination for death at 7 days and 30 days (area under the curve 0.90 [0.82-0.99]) and 0.86 [0.79-0.94], respectively). Patients with elevated serum levels of IRAK-M and Galectin-1 had clinical traits of immune suppression and low survival rates. None of the 12 biomarkers were independent predictors of 2-year mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Two inhibitory immune checkpoint biomarkers (IRAK-M and Galectin-1) helped identify 3 distinct sepsis phenotypes with distinct prognoses. These biomarkers shed light on the interplay between immune dysfunction and prognosis in patients with bacterial sepsis and may prove to be useful prognostic markers, therapeutic targets, and biochemical markers for targeted enrollment in targeted therapeutic trials.

The Role of Mid-Regional Proadrenomedullin in the Differential Diagnosis between Culture-Negative and Culture-Positive Sepsis at Emergency Department Admission.

BACKGROUND: The host response in culture-negative sepsis (CnS) has been marginally explored upon emergency department (ED) admission. It would be of paramount importance to create a clinical prediction rule to support the emergency department physician in identifying septic patients who can be treated with antibiotics immediately without waiting time to draw cultures if they are unlikely to provide useful diagnostic information. METHODS: A multivariable logistic regression analysis was applied to identify the independent clinical variables and serum biomarkers of the culture-negative status among 773 undifferentiated septic patients. Those predictors were combined to build a nomogram predictive of CnS. RESULTS: The serum concentrations of six biomarkers, among the eight biomarkers assayed in this study, were significantly lower in the patients with CnS (449) than in those with culture-positive sepsis (324). After correction for co-variates, only mid-regional proadrenomedullin (MR-proADM) was found to be independently correlated with culture-negative status. Absence of diabetes, hemoglobin concentrations, and respiratory source of infection were the other independent clinical variables integrated into the nomogram-its sensitivity and specificity for CnS were 0.80 and 0.79, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Low concentrations of MR-proADM were independently associated with culture-negative sepsis. Our nomogram, based on the MR-proADM levels, did not predict culture-negative status with reasonable certainty in patients with a definitive diagnosis of sepsis at ED admission.

Lung ultrasound may support internal medicine physicians in predicting the diagnosis, bacterial etiology and favorable outcome of community-acquired pneumonia.

To assess the usefulness of lung ultrasound (LUS) for identifying community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) among adult patients with suspected lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) and for discriminating between CAP with different cultural statuses, etiologies, and outcomes. LUS was performed at internal medicine ward admission. The performance of chest X-ray (CXR) and LUS in diagnosing CAP in 410 patients with suspected LRTI was determined. All possible positive results for pneumonia on LUS were condensed into pattern 1 (consolidation + / - alveolar-interstitial syndrome) and pattern 2 (alveolar-interstitial syndrome). The performance of LUS in predicting culture-positive status, bacterial etiology, and adverse outcomes of CAP was assessed in 315 patients. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for diagnosing CAP by LUS was significantly higher than for diagnosis CAP by CXR (0.93 and 0.71, respectively; p < 0.001). Pattern 1 predicted CAP with bacterial and mixed bacterial and viral etiologies with positive predictive values of 99% (95% CI, 94-100%) and 97% (95% CI, 81-99%), respectively. Pattern 2 ruled out mortality with a negative predictive value of 95% (95% CI, 86-98%), respectively. In this study, LUS was useful in predicting a diagnosis of CAP, the bacterial etiology of CAP, and favorable outcome in patients with CAP.

The Integration of qSOFA with Clinical Variables and Serum Biomarkers Improves the Prognostic Value of qSOFA Alone in Patients with Suspected or Confirmed Sepsis at ED Admission.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic value of quick sepsis-related organ failure assessment (qSOFA) outside intensive care units has been criticized. Therefore, we aimed to improve its ability in predicting 30-day all-cause mortality, and in ruling out the cases at high risk of death among patients with suspected or confirmed sepsis at emergency department (ED) admission. METHODS: This study is a secondary analysis of a prospective multicenter study. We built three predictive models combining qSOFA with the clinical variables and serum biomarkers that resulted in an independent association with 30-day mortality, in both 848 undifferentiated patients (Group 1) and in 545 patients definitively diagnosed with sepsis (Group 2). The models reaching the highest negative predictive value (NPV) with the minimum expenditure of biomarkers in Group 1 and in Group 2 were validated in two cohorts of patients initially held out due to missing data. RESULTS: In terms of the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve, all six models significantly exceeded qSOFA in predicting prognosis. An "extended" qSOFA (eqSOFA1) in Group 1 and an eqSOFA2 integrated with C-reactive protein and mid-regional proadrenomedullin (eqSOFA2+CRP+MR-proADM) in Group 2 reached the best NPV (0.94 and 0.93, respectively) and ease of use. eqSOFA1 and eqSOFA2+CRP+MR-proADM performed equally well in both the inception and validation cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: We have derived and validated two prognostic models that outweigh qSOFA in predicting mortality and in identifying the low risk of death among patients with suspected or confirmed sepsis at ED admission.