RESUMO
OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the proportion of women with threatened miscarriage (TM) who proceed to miscarriage in a population of single ethnicity and to investigate prospectively their risk of adverse pregnancy outcome in relationship with the cytokines levels in their circulation. METHODS: We conducted a prospective observational study over a period of 1 year of 94 Maltese women presenting with TM at the same hospital and compared their clinical data with those of 564 age-matched controls from the National Obstetric Information System (NOIS) of Malta. Main outcome measures included gestational age and weight at delivery and incidence of adverse pregnancy outcomes. A pilot study was carried out, where in subgroups of 10 women with TM (n=10), non-pregnant women (n=12), normal pregnant controls (n=9) and women presenting with missed-miscarriage (n=11), the plasma levels of ß-human chorionic gonadotrophin (ß-hCG), tumour necrosis factor α (TNFα), interferon γ (IFNγ), interleukin-6 (IL-6), interleukin-10 (IL-10) and TNF-receptors 1 (R1) and 2 (R2) were measured. RESULTS: Of the women presenting with TM, 25 (26.6%) proceeded to complete miscarriage. The TM group had also a significantly higher incidence of antepartum haemorrhage (p<0.005), pre-eclampsia (p<0.05), foetal growth restriction (p<0.05), premature labour (p<0.001) and retained placenta (p<0.005). In the pilot biochemical analysis, significantly (p<0.05) higher levels of TNFα and lower levels of TNFR2 were found in the TM subgroup compared to non-pregnant controls. The ratio TNFα/IL-10 was significantly (p<0.05) higher and the ß-hCG levels was significantly lower (p<0.01) in missed-miscarriage and non-pregnant subgroups than in TM and normal pregnant controls. The IFNγ/1L-10 and IFNγ/1L-6 ratio were significantly (<0.001) different between the four subgroups with the lowest level found in TM. No similar gradient was found for the TNFα/1L-6 ratio. CONCLUSION: Women presenting with TM are at significantly increased risk of adverse pregnancy outcome and the pathophysiology of these conditions involves a change in the Th1/Th2 balance. Changes in levels of cytokines could help to predict and thus prevent the development of some of these complications.