Prognostic performance of non-invasive tests for portal hypertension is comparable to that of hepatic venous pressure gradient.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Non-invasive tests to assess the probability of clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) - including the ANTICIPATE±NASH models based on liver stiffness measurement and platelet count±BMI, and the von Willebrand factor antigen to platelet count ratio (VITRO) - have fundamentally changed the management of compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). However, their prognostic utility has not been compared head-to-head to the gold standard for prognostication in cACLD, i.e. the hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG). METHODS: Patients with cACLD (liver stiffness measurement ≥10 kPa) who underwent advanced characterization via same-day HVPG/non-invasive test assessment from 2007-2022 were retrospectively included. Long-term follow-up data on hepatic decompensation was recorded. RESULTS: Four hundred and twenty patients with cACLD of varying etiologies, with a CSPH prevalence of 67.6%, were included. The cumulative incidence of hepatic decompensation at 1 and 2 years was 4.7% and 8.0%, respectively. HVPG, VITRO, and ANTICIPATE±NASH-CSPH-probability showed similar time-dependent prognostic value (AUROCs 0.683-0.811 at 1 year and 0.699-0.801 at 2 years). In competing risk analyses adjusted for MELD score and albumin, HVPG (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [aSHR] 1.099 [95% CI 1.054-1.150] per mmHg; p <0.001), or VITRO (aSHR 1.134 [95% CI 1.062-1.211] per unit; p <0.001), or ANTICIPATE±NASH-CSPH-probability (aSHR 1.232 [95% CI 1.094-1.387] per 10%; p <0.001) all predicted first decompensation during follow-up. Previously proposed cut-offs (HVPG ≥10 mmHg vs. <10 mmHg, VITRO ≥2.5 vs. <2.5, and ANTICIPATE-CSPH probability ≥60% vs. <60%) all accurately discriminated between patients at negligible risk and those at substantial risk of hepatic decompensation. CONCLUSIONS: The prognostic performance of ANTICIPATE±NASH-CSPH-probability and VITRO is comparable to that of HVPG, supporting their utility for identifying patients who may benefit from medical therapies to prevent first hepatic decompensation. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Non-invasive tests have revolutionized the diagnosis and management of clinically significant portal hypertension in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). However, limited data exists regarding the prognostic utility of non-invasive tests in direct comparison to the gold standard for prognostication in cACLD, i.e. the hepatic venous pressure gradient. In our study including 420 patients with cACLD, the ANTICIPATE±NASH model and VITRO yielded similar AUROCs to hepatic venous pressure gradient for hepatic decompensation within 1 to 2 years. Thus, non-invasive tests should be applied and updated in yearly intervals in clinical routine to identify patients at short-term risk, thereby identifying patients who may benefit from treatment aimed at preventing hepatic decompensation.

Evaluation of potential hepatic recompensation criteria in patients with PBC and decompensated cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Aetiological therapy improves liver function and may enable hepatic recompensation in decompensated cirrhosis. AIMS: We explored the potential for recompensation in patients with decompensated primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) - considering a biochemical response to ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) according to Paris-II criteria as a surrogate for successful aetiological treatment. METHODS: Patients with PBC were retrospectively included at the time of first decompensation. Recompensation was defined as (i) resolution of ascites and hepatic encephalopathy (HE) despite discontinuation of diuretic/HE therapy, (ii) absence of variceal bleeding and (iii) sustained liver function improvement. RESULTS: In total, 42 patients with PBC with decompensated cirrhosis (age: 63.5 [IQR: 51.9-69.2] years; 88.1% female; MELD-Na: 13.5 [IQR: 11.0-15.0]) were included and followed for 41.9 (IQR: 11.0-70.9) months after decompensation. Seven patients (16.7%) achieved recompensation. Lower MELD-Na (subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR]: 0.90; p = 0.047), bilirubin (SHR per mg/dL: 0.44; p = 0.005) and alkaline phosphatase (SHR per 10 U/L: 0.67; p = 0.001) at decompensation, as well as variceal bleeding as decompensating event (SHR: 4.37; p = 0.069), were linked to a higher probability of recompensation. Overall, 33 patients were treated with UDCA for ≥1 year and 12 (36%) achieved Paris-II response criteria. Recompensation occurred in 5/12 (41.7%) and in 2/21 (9.5%) patients with vs. without UDCA response at 1 year, respectively. Recompensation was linked to a numerically improved transplant-free survival (HR: 0.46; p = 0.335). Nonetheless, 4/7 recompensated patients presented with liver-related complications after developing hepatic malignancy and/or portal vein thrombosis and 2 eventually died. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with PBC and decompensated cirrhosis may achieve hepatic recompensation under UDCA therapy. However, since liver-related complications still occur after recompensation, patients should remain under close follow-up.

Portal hypertension and its prognostic implications in patients with Wilson's disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Wilson's disease may progress to cirrhosis and clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH). We aimed to assess the prevalence and prognostic impact of CSPH-related features on hepatic decompensation and transplant-free survival in patients with Wilson's disease. METHODS AND RESULTS: About 137 patients with Wilson's disease (Leipzig score ≥4), followed for a median observation period of 9.0 (3.9-17.7) years at the Vienna General Hospital, were included in this retrospective study. Overall, 49 (35.8%) developed features of CSPH: 14 (10.2%) varices, 40 (29.2%) splenomegaly, 20 (14.6%) ascites, 18 (13.1%) hepatic encephalopathy and 3 (2.2%) experienced acute variceal bleeding. Overall, 8 (5.8%) patients died, including three deaths caused by CSPH-related complications. Within 10 years, compensated patients with features of CSPH developed more decompensation events (8.3% vs. 1.5% in patients without CSPH, p = 0.3) and had worse transplant-free-survival (91.7% vs. 98.6%), which further declined in patients with hepatic decompensation (26.7%, log-rank: p < 0.0001). Patients with liver stiffness <15 kPa and normal platelets (≥150 G/L) were less likely to decompensate within 10 years (2.6% vs. 8.4%, p = 0.002) and had a better 10-year transplant-free-survival (97.7% vs. 83.9%, p = 0.006). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with Wilson's disease developing features of CSPH are at an increased risk for hepatic decompensation and liver-related mortality, warranting for regular screening and timely initiation of effective CSPH-directed treatments.

Platelet adhesion assessed by PFA-100 is not linked to progression of ACLD.

Background & Aims: Increased aggregation of individual platelets upon activation, as assessed by whole blood aggregometry standardised to platelet count (PLT), has recently been linked to progression of advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). Moreover, changes in primary haemostasis have been implicated in bleeding and thrombosis in patients with ACLD.We aimed (i) to identify the determinants of the primary haemostatic capacity - as assessed by Platelet Function Analyzer 100 (PFA-100) ('in vitro bleeding time') - in patients with ACLD and (ii) to investigate its potential association with clinical outcomes. Methods: PFA-100 was performed in 688 patients with ACLD undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient measurement. Hepatic decompensation and liver-related death as well as bleeding and thrombosis were the outcomes of interest. Results: Sixty-three percent of patients had a PFA-100 collagen/epinephrine closure time (CT) of >150 s (i.e. prolonged). PLT and haematocrit were the main determinants of CT, whereas it was not impacted by von Willebrand factor antigen. Mirroring the increasing prevalence/severity of thrombocytopaenia and anaemia, we observed a progressive prolongation of CT (i.e. decreased primary haemostatic capacity) with more advanced disease, as indicated by clinical stage, Child-Turcotte-Pugh score, United Network for Organ Sharing model for end-stage liver disease (2016) score, and hepatic venous pressure gradient. Although increased CT (i.e. decreased primary haemostatic capacity) was associated with an increased risk of hepatic decompensation/liver-related death, these associations were less consistent after adjusting/correcting for PLT/haematocrit and established prognostic indicators. Finally, CT was not associated with the incidence of major bleedings or thromboses. Conclusions: These findings do not support the hypothesis that increased platelet adhesion - assessed in vitro under shear stress by PFA-100 - promotes ACLD progression. Impact and implications: The potential of platelets to aggregate in the bloodstream may be increased in patients with advanced chronic liver disease. Platelet Function Analyzer 100 (PFA-100), a blood test reflecting in vitro bleeding time, might be suggestive of an impaired primary clot forming capacity. In our study, we could show that PFA-100 results were not linked to bleeding/thrombotic events. Our findings do not support the hypothesis that an increased adhesion of platelets (assessed by PFA-100) might lead to a disease progression in patients with advanced chronic liver disease.

Von Willebrand factor for outcome prediction within different clinical stages of advanced chronic liver disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The prognostic performance of von Willebrand factor (VWF) may vary across clinical stages of advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). Therefore, we investigated the evolution of VWF and other biomarkers throughout the full ACLD spectrum and evaluated their stage-specific prognostic utility. METHODS: We retrospectively included Viennese ACLD patients with available information on hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG), C-reactive protein (CRP)/VWF levels and outcomes. ACLD stages were defined according to D'Amico et al. We included an external validation cohort from Padua. RESULTS: We observed gradual increases in VWF throughout ACLD stages. In contrast, HVPG levelled off in decompensated ACLD (dACLD), whereas MELD showed only minor changes in the early stages and CRP did not increase until stage 3. VWF was associated with hepatic decompensation/liver-related death in compensated ACLD (cACLD) in a fully adjusted model, while it was not independently predictive of ACLF/liver-related death in dACLD. After backward selection, HVPG/CRP/VWF remained the main predictors of hepatic decompensation/liver-related death in cACLD. Notably, the performance of the non-invasive CRP/VWF-based model was comparable to invasive HVPG-based models (C-index:0.765 ± 0.034 vs. 0.756 ± 0.040). The discriminative ability of the CRP/VWF-based model was confirmed in an external validation cohort using another VWF assay which yielded systematically lower values. CONCLUSION: VWF is the only biomarker that gradually increases across all ACLD stages. It is of particular prognostic value in cACLD, where a CRP/VWF-based model is equivalent to an invasive HVPG-based model. Systematic differences in VWF underline the importance of interlaboratory surveys. Moreover, our findings reinforce the notion that, already in cACLD, inflammation is a key disease-driving mechanism.