Artificial Intelligence Enables Quantitative Assessment of Ulcerative Colitis Histology.

Ulcerative colitis is a chronic inflammatory bowel disease that is characterized by a relapsing and remitting course. Assessment of disease activity critically informs treatment decisions. In addition to endoscopic remission, histologic remission is emerging as a treatment target and a key factor in the evaluation of disease activity and therapeutic efficacy. However, manual pathologist evaluation is semiquantitative and limited in granularity. Machine learning approaches are increasingly being developed to aid pathologists in accurate and reproducible scoring of histology, enabling precise quantitation of clinically relevant features. Here, we report the development and validation of convolutional neural network models that quantify histologic features pertinent to ulcerative colitis disease activity, directly from hematoxylin and eosin-stained whole slide images. Tissue and cell model predictions were used to generate quantitative human-interpretable features to fully characterize the histology samples. Tissue and cell predictions showed comparable agreement to pathologist annotations, and the extracted slide-level human-interpretable features demonstrated strong correlations with disease severity and pathologist-assigned Nancy histological index scores. Moreover, using a random forest classifier based on 13 human-interpretable features derived from the tissue and cell models, we were able to accurately predict Nancy histological index scores, with a weighted kappa (κ = 0.91) and Spearman correlation (⍴ = 0.89, P < .001) when compared with pathologist consensus Nancy histological index scores. We were also able to predict histologic remission, based on the absence of neutrophil extravasation, with a high accuracy of 0.97. This work demonstrates the potential of computer vision to enable a standardized and robust assessment of ulcerative colitis histopathology for translational research and improved evaluation of disease activity and prognosis.

High-sensitivity pattern discovery in large, paired multiomic datasets.

MOTIVATION: Modern biological screens yield enormous numbers of measurements, and identifying and interpreting statistically significant associations among features are essential. In experiments featuring multiple high-dimensional datasets collected from the same set of samples, it is useful to identify groups of associated features between the datasets in a way that provides high statistical power and false discovery rate (FDR) control. RESULTS: Here, we present a novel hierarchical framework, HAllA (Hierarchical All-against-All association testing), for structured association discovery between paired high-dimensional datasets. HAllA efficiently integrates hierarchical hypothesis testing with FDR correction to reveal significant linear and non-linear block-wise relationships among continuous and/or categorical data. We optimized and evaluated HAllA using heterogeneous synthetic datasets of known association structure, where HAllA outperformed all-against-all and other block-testing approaches across a range of common similarity measures. We then applied HAllA to a series of real-world multiomics datasets, revealing new associations between gene expression and host immune activity, the microbiome and host transcriptome, metabolomic profiling and human health phenotypes. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: An open-source implementation of HAllA is freely available at http://huttenhower.sph.harvard.edu/halla along with documentation, demo datasets and a user group. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.

The effects of seasonal climate variability on dengue annual incidence in Hong Kong: A modelling study.

In recent years, dengue has been rapidly spreading and growing in the tropics and subtropics. Located in southern China, Hong Kong's subtropical monsoon climate may favour dengue vector populations and increase the chance of disease transmissions during the rainy summer season. An increase in local dengue incidence has been observed in Hong Kong ever since the first case in 2002, with an outbreak reaching historically high case numbers in 2018. However, the effects of seasonal climate variability on recent outbreaks are unknown. As the local cases were found to be spatially clustered, we developed a Poisson generalized linear mixed model using pre-summer monthly total rainfall and mean temperature to predict annual dengue incidence (the majority of local cases occur during or after the summer months), over the period 2002-2018 in three pre-defined areas of Hong Kong. Using leave-one-out cross-validation, 5 out of 6 observations of area-specific outbreaks during the major outbreak years 2002 and 2018 were able to be predicted. 42 out of a total of 51 observations (82.4%) were within the 95% confidence interval of the annual incidence predicted by our model. Our study found that the rainfall before and during the East Asian monsoon (pre-summer) rainy season is negatively correlated with the annual incidence in Hong Kong while the temperature is positively correlated. Hence, as mosquito control measures in Hong Kong are intensified mainly when heavy rainfalls occur during or close to summer, our study suggests that a lower-than-average intensity of pre-summer rainfall should also be taken into account as an indicator of increased dengue risk.