Measurement accuracy of a microwave doppler sensor beneath the mattress as a continuous respiratory rate monitor: a method comparison study.

PURPOSE: Non-contact continuous respiratory rate monitoring is preferred for early detection of patient deterioration. However, this technique is under development; a gold standard respiratory monitor has not been established. Therefore, this prospective observational method comparison study aimed to compare the measurement accuracy of a non-contact continuous respiratory rate monitor, a microwave Doppler sensor positioned beneath the mattress, with that of other monitors. METHODS: The respiratory rate of intensive care unit patients was simultaneously measured using a microwave Doppler sensor, capnography, thoracic impedance pneumography, and a piezoelectric sensor beneath the mattress. Bias and 95% limits of agreement between the respiratory rate measured using capnography (standard reference) and that measured using the other three methods were calculated using Bland-Altman analysis for repeated measures. Clarke error grid (CEG) analysis evaluated the sensor's ability to assist in correct clinical decision-making. RESULTS: Eighteen participants were included, and 2,307 data points were analyzed. The bias values (95% limits of agreement) of the microwave Doppler sensor, thoracic impedance pneumography, and piezoelectric sensor were 0.2 (- 4.8 to 5.2), 1.5 (- 4.4 to 7.4), and 0.4 (- 4.0 to 4.8) breaths per minute, respectively. Clinical decisions evaluated using CEG analyses were correct 98.1% of the time for the microwave Doppler sensor, which was similar to the performance of the other devices. CONCLUSION: The microwave Doppler sensor had a small bias but relatively low precision, similar to other devices. In CEG analyses, the risk of each monitor leading to inadequate clinical decision-making was low. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: UMIN000038900, February 1, 2020.

Instruments to assess post-intensive care syndrome assessment: a scoping review and modified Delphi method study.

BACKGROUND: The assessment of post-intensive care syndrome (PICS) is challenging due to the numerous types of instruments. We herein attempted to identify and propose recommendations for instruments to assess PICS in intensive care unit (ICU) survivors. METHODS: We conducted a scoping review to identify PICS follow-up studies at and after hospital discharge between 2014 and 2022. Assessment instruments used more than two times were included in the modified Delphi consensus process. A modified Delphi meeting was conducted three times by the PICS committee of the Japanese Society of Intensive Care Medicine, and each score was rated as not important (score: 1-3), important, but not critical (4-6), and critical (7-9). We included instruments with ≥ 70% of respondents rating critical and ≤ 15% of respondents rating not important. RESULTS: In total, 6972 records were identified in this scoping review, and 754 studies were included in the analysis. After data extraction, 107 PICS assessment instruments were identified. The modified Delphi meeting reached 20 PICS assessment instrument recommendations: (1) in the physical domain: the 6-min walk test, MRC score, and grip strength, (2) in cognition: MoCA, MMSE, and SMQ, (3) in mental health: HADS, IES-R, and PHQ-9, (4) in the activities of daily living: the Barthel Index, IADL, and FIM, (5) in quality of life: SF-36, SF-12, EQ-5D-5L, 3L, and VAS (6), in sleep and pain: PSQI and Brief Pain Inventory, respectively, and (7) in the PICS-family domain: SF-36, HADS, and IES-R. CONCLUSION: Based on a scoping review and the modified Delphi method, 20 PICS assessment instruments are recommended to assess physical, cognitive, mental health, activities of daily living, quality of life, sleep, and pain in ICU survivors and their families.

Evaluation of respiratory rate monitoring using a microwave Doppler sensor mounted on the ceiling of an intensive care unit: a prospective observational study.

Continuous monitoring of the respiratory rate is crucial in an acute care setting. Contact respiratory monitoring modalities such as capnography and thoracic impedance pneumography are prone to artifacts, causing false alarms. Moreover, their cables can restrict patient behavior or interrupt patient care. A microwave Doppler sensor is a novel non-contact continuous respiratory rate monitor. We compared respiratory rate measurements performed with a microwave Doppler sensor mounted on the ceiling of an intensive care unit with those obtained by conventional methods in conscious and spontaneously breathing patients. Participants' respiratory rate was simultaneously measured by visual counting of chest wall movements for 60 s; a microwave Doppler sensor; capnography, using an oxygen mask; and thoracic impedance pneumography, using electrocardiogram electrodes. Bland-Altman analysis for repeated measures was performed to calculate bias and 95% limits of agreement between the respiratory rate measured by visual counting (reference) and that measured by each of the other methods. Among 52 participants, there were 336 (microwave Doppler sensor), 275 (capnography), and 336 (thoracic impedance pneumography) paired respiratory rate data points. Bias (95% limits of agreement) estimates were as follows: microwave Doppler sensor, 0.3 (- 6.1 to 6.8) breaths per minute (bpm); capnography, - 1.3 (- 8.6 to 6.0) bpm; and thoracic impedance pneumography, 0.1 (- 4.4 to 4.7) bpm. Compared to visual counting, the microwave Doppler sensor showed small bias; however, the limits of agreement were similar to those observed in other conventional methods. Our monitor and the conventional ones are not interchangeable with visual counting.Trial registration number: UMIN000032021, March/30/2018.

Mortality and risk factors on admission in toxic epidermal necrolysis: A cohort study of 59 patients.

BACKGROUND: Stevens-Johnson syndrome (SJS) and toxic epidermal necrolysis (TEN) are rare but life-threatening disorders characterized by widespread epidermal necrosis of the skin and mucosa. The severity-of-illness scoring system for TEN (SCORTEN) was widely used since 2000 as a standard prognostic tool consisting of seven clinical values. METHODS: To evaluate the prognosis using current treatments and risk factors for mortality, we retrospectively analyzed 59 cases of TEN, including SJS/TEN overlap treated in two university hospitals from January 2000 to March 2020. RESULTS: The mortality rate of TEN was 13.6% (8/59). All patients treated with high-dose steroid administration in combination with plasma exchange and/or immunoglobulin therapy recovered. Logistic regression analysis showed nine clinical composite scores, namely: heart rate (≧120 bpm), malignancy present, percentage of body surface area with epidermal detachment (>10%), blood urea nitrogen (>28 mg/dL), serum bicarbonate level (<20 mEq/L), serum glucose level (>252 mg/dL), age (≧71 years), the interval between disease onset and treatment initiation at the specialty hospital (≧8 days), and respiratory disorder within 48 h after admission. The receiver operating characteristic curves confirmed a high potential for predicting the prognosis of TEN. CONCLUSIONS: Recent developments in treatment strategies have contributed to the improved prognosis of TEN patients. A modified severity scoring model composed of nine scores may be helpful in the prediction of TEN prognosis in recent patients. Further large-scale studies are needed to confirm mortality findings to improve prognostication in patients with TEN.

Predictors of severe postoperative hyperglycemia after cardiac surgery in infants: a single-center, retrospective, observational study.

PURPOSE: Hyperglycemia is a common issue in infants after cardiac surgery for congenital heart disease. Poor glycemic control is suspected to be associated with adverse postoperative outcomes. This study was performed to investigate clinical factors contributing to hyperglycemia in the perioperative period in infats. METHODS: A total of 69 infants (aged 1-12 months) who were admitted to Yokohama City University Hospital Intensive Care Unit (ICU) after surgical repair of congenital heart diseases with cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) were retrospectively analysed. Hyperglycemia was defined as blood glucose ≥ 250 mg/dL on ICU admission. Clinical background, operative factors, and postoperative factors were compared between the hyperglycemic and non-hyperglycemic groups. Additionally, multivariate analysis was performed to identify factors contributing to hyperglycemia. RESULTS: Nineteen (27.5%) and 50 (72.5%) infants were classified into the hyperglycemic and non-hyperglycemic groups, respectively. Hyperglycemic infants were significantly younger, shorter, and weighed less, with a higher rate of chromosomal abnormalities. Intraoperatively, they also experienced longer CPB and surgery times and had higher peak lactate levels and higher inotropic requirements. Hyperglycemia was related to longer mechanical ventilation and longer ICU stays. Multivariate analysis detected intraoperative hyperglycemia, longer CPB time, younger age and chromosomal abnormality as significant factors. CONCLUSION: Adding to hyperglycemia during the operation, longer CPB time younger age and chromosomal abnormality were identified as predictors of high blood glucose levels at ICU admission.

Relationship between fresh frozen plasma to packed red blood cell transfusion ratio and mortality in cardiovascular surgery.

PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to examine the relationship between FFP (fresh frozen plasma)/pRBC (packed red blood cell) transfusion ratio and outcomes in patients undergoing cardiovascular surgery. METHODS: This is a single center retrospective cohort study performed in a cardiovascular center. Patients undergoing cardiovascular surgery between January 2012 and October 2016 with or without massive transfusion (n = 1453). Patients' outcomes were compared based on FFP/pRBC transfusion ratio (FFP/pRBC > 1 or FFP/pRBC ≤ 1). RESULTS: In hospital mortality and rate of stroke and myocardial infarction was significantly higher in patients with less than 1 of FFP/pRBC transfusion ratio only in patients with massive transfusion (3.0 vs 8.8%, p = 0.001; 0.7 vs 6.4%, p < 0.001; 1.0 vs 3.2%, p = 0.047, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Higher FFP/RBC ratio was associated with reduced risk of death, stroke and myocardial infarction only in patients with cardiovascular surgery receiving massive transfusion. Clinicians should be aware that judicious FFP replacement plays a critical role in the successful management of massive transfusion in cardiac surgery.

Inhibition of Prolyl Hydroxylase Attenuates Fas Ligand-Induced Apoptosis and Lung Injury in Mice.

Alveolar epithelial injury and increased alveolar permeability are hallmarks of acute respiratory distress syndrome. Apoptosis of lung epithelial cells via the Fas/Fas ligand (FasL) pathway plays a critical role in alveolar epithelial injury. Activation of hypoxia-inducible factor (HIF)-1 by inhibition of prolyl hydroxylase domain proteins (PHDs) is a possible therapeutic approach to attenuate apoptosis and organ injury. Here, we investigated whether treatment with dimethyloxalylglycine (DMOG), an inhibitor of PHDs, could attenuate Fas/FasL-dependent apoptosis in lung epithelial cells and lung injury. DMOG increased HIF-1α protein expression in vitro in MLE-12 cells, a murine alveolar epithelial cell line. Treatment of MLE-12 cells with DMOG significantly suppressed cell surface expression of Fas and attenuated FasL-induced caspase-3 activation and apoptotic cell death. Inhibition of the HIF-1 pathway by echinomycin or small interfering RNA transfection abolished these antiapoptotic effects of DMOG. Moreover, intraperitoneal injection of DMOG in mice increased HIF-1α expression and decreased Fas expression in lung tissues. DMOG treatment significantly attenuated caspase-3 activation, apoptotic cell death in lung tissue, and the increase in alveolar permeability in mice instilled intratracheally with FasL. In addition, inflammatory responses and histopathological changes were also significantly attenuated by DMOG treatment. In conclusion, inhibition of PHDs protects lung epithelial cells from Fas/FasL-dependent apoptosis through HIF-1 activation and attenuates lung injury in mice.

[Difference in the Spread of Injectate between Ultrasound Guided Pectoral Nerve Block I and II. A Cadaver Study].

BACKGROUND: Pectoral nerve block (PECS block) is first reported by Blanco et al, and mainly used for analgesia for breast surgery in Japan. However, the spread of PECS block is unclear. METHODS: Ultrasound guided PECS I and II blocks were performed in a cadaver, and the cadaver was dissected for evaluation of the spread of coloring matter. RESULTS: The coloring matter by PECS I block was spread to the axillary region between the major and minor pectoral muscles, while PECS II block remained over the fascia of the serratus muscle from mid-clavicular line to middle axillary line. Two possible routes to the axillary region by PECS I include: dorsal to the pectoral minor muscle through the clavipectoral fascia, and over the pectoral minor muscle to the axillary sheath. CONCLUSIONS: Our cadaveric evaluation suggests that PECS I block produces more analgesia of the axillary region than PECS II. Further evaluation is needed in more cadavers.

Modified rapid shallow breathing index adjusted with anthropometric parameters increases predictive power for extubation failure compared with the unmodified index in postcardiac surgery patients.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to determine the best predictors of successful extubation after cardiac surgery, by modifying the rapid shallow breathing index (RSBI) based on patients' anthropometric parameters. DESIGN: Single-center prospective observational study. SETTING: Two general intensive care units at a single research institute. PARTICIPANTS: Patients who had undergone uncomplicated cardiac surgery. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The following parameters were investigated in conjunction with modification of the RSBI: Actual body weight (ABW), predicted body weight, ideal body weight, body mass index (BMI), and body surface area. Using the first set of patient data, RSBI threshold and modified RSBI for extubation failure were determined (threshold value; RSBI: 77 breaths/min (bpm)/L, RSBI adjusted with ABW: 5.0 bpm×kg/mL, RSBI adjusted with BMI: 2.0 bpm×BMI/mL). These threshold values for RSBI and RSBI adjusted with ABW or BMI were validated using the second set of patient data. Sensitivity values for RSBI, RSBI modified with ABW, and RSBI modified with BMI were 91%, 100%, and 100%, respectively. The corresponding specificity values were 89%, 92%, and 93%, and the corresponding receiver operator characteristic values were 0.951, 0.977, and 0.980, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Modified RSBI adjusted based on ABW or BMI has greater predictive power than conventional RSBI.

An antibody-free microfluidic paper-based analytical device for the determination of tear fluid lactoferrin by fluorescence sensitization of Tb3+.

An inkjet-printed microfluidic paper-based analytical device (µPAD) for the detection of lactoferrin has been developed. The analyte concentration dependent fluorescence emission, caused by the sensitization of pre-deposited terbium (Tb(3+)) upon complexation with lactoferrin on the paper device, is captured using a digital camera. The dynamic response range (0.5-3 mg mL(-1)) and the limit of detection (0.30 mg mL(-1)) of the µPAD are suitable for the analysis of normal human tears and the detection of eye disorders. Finally, lactoferrin concentrations in human tear samples were analyzed by the µPADs and the assay results corresponded within 6% error to those obtained by an immunoassay (ELISA). The µPADs provide a simple, rapid and accurate method for lactoferrin detection in tear fluid. Results are obtained within 15 min of a single application of 2.5 µL of sample. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first report of a device for lactoferrin quantification relying neither on an immunoassay nor on high cost analytical instrumentation.

Defining the Standard of the Terminology of the Mechanical Ventilation Data in Japan.

To effectively use data from intensive care unit patient information systems at multiple hospitals, it is necessary to standardize the data into a well-ordered form. However, terms often vary between devices. We designed a mechanical ventilation concept model and applied data to that model using existing tools and expert opinions. The JSICM glossary was revised based on this study.

Post-intensive care syndrome: Recent advances and future directions.

Post-intensive care syndrome comprises physical, cognitive, and mental impairments in patients treated in an intensive care unit (ICU). It occurs either during the ICU stay or following ICU discharge and is related to the patients' long-term prognosis. The same concept also applies to pediatric patients, and it can greatly affect the mental status of family members. In the 10 years since post-intensive care syndrome was first proposed, research has greatly expanded. Here, we summarize the recent evidence on post-intensive care syndrome regarding its pathophysiology, epidemiology, assessment, risk factors, prevention, and treatments. We highlight new topics, future directions, and strategies to overcome post-intensive care syndrome among people treated in an ICU. Clinical and basic research are still needed to elucidate the mechanistic insights and to discover therapeutic targets and new interventions for post-intensive care syndrome.

Inkjet printed (bio)chemical sensing devices.

Inkjet printing has evolved from an office printing application to become an important tool in industrial mass fabrication. In parallel, this technology is increasingly used in research laboratories around the world for the fabrication of entire (bio)chemical sensing devices or single functional elements of such devices. Regularly stated characteristics of inkjet printing making it attractive to replace an alternative material deposition method are low cost, simplicity, high resolution, speed, reproducibility, flexibility, non-contact, and low amount of waste generated. With this review, we give an overview over areas of (bio)chemical sensing device development profiting from inkjet printing applications. A variety of printable functional sensor elements are introduced by examples, and the advantages and challenges of the inkjet method are pointed out. It is demonstrated that inkjet printing is already a routine tool for the fabrication of some (bio)chemical sensing devices, but also that novel applications are being continuously developed. Finally, some inherent limitations of the method and challenges for the further exploitation of this technology are pointed out.

Blood pH is a useful indicator for initiation of therapeutic hypothermia in the early phase of resuscitation after comatose cardiac arrest: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Therapeutic hypothermia (TH) is one of the key treatments after cardiac arrest (CA). Selection of post-CA patients for TH remains problematic, as there are no clinically validated tools to determine who might benefit from the therapy. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to investigate retrospectively whether laboratory findings or other patient data obtained during the early phase of hospital admission could be correlated with neurological outcome after TH in comatose survivors of CA. METHODS: Medical charts of witnessed CA patients admitted between June 2003 and July 2009 who were treated with TH were reviewed retrospectively. The subjects were grouped based on their cerebral performance category (CPC) 6 months after CA, as either good recovery (GR) for CPC 1-2 or non-good recovery (non-GR) for CPC 3-5. The following well-known determinants of outcome obtained during the early phase of hospital admission were evaluated: age, gender, body mass index, cardiac origin, presence of ventricular fibrillation (VF), time from collapse to cardiopulmonary resuscitation, time from collapse to return of spontaneous circulation, body temperature, arterial blood gases, and blood test results. RESULTS: We analyzed a total of 50 (25 GR and 25 non-GR) patients. Multivariate logistic analysis showed that initial heart rhythm and pH levels were significantly higher in the GR group than in the non-GR group (ventricular tachycardia/VF rate: p = 0.055, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.768-84.272, odds ratio [OR] 8.047; pH: 7.155 ± 0.139 vs. 6.895 ± 0.100, respectively, p < 0.001, 95% CI 1.838-25.827; OR 6.89). CONCLUSION: These results imply that in addition to initial heart rhythm, pH level may be a good candidate for neurological outcome predictor even though previous research has found no correlation between initial pH value and neurological outcome.

Creatinine Reduction Ratio Is a Prognostic Factor for Acute Kidney Injury following Cardiac Surgery with Cardiopulmonary Bypass: A Single-Center Retrospective Cohort Study.

Acute kidney injury (AKI) after cardiac surgery is a common complication that can lead to death. We previously reported that the creatinine reduction ratio (CRR) serves as a useful prognostic factor for AKI. The primary objective of this study was to determine the predictors of AKI after surgery. The secondary objective was to determine the reliability of the CRR for short- and long-term outcomes. We retrospectively collected information about cardiac surgery patients who underwent cardiopulmonary bypass. Patients were divided into AKI and non-AKI groups based on the AKIN and RIFLE criteria. We analyzed the two groups regarding the preoperative patient data and operative information. The CRR was calculated as follows: (preoperative creatinine-postoperative creatinine)/preoperative creatinine. The prognostic factors of AKI-CS were surgery time, CPB time, aorta clamp time, platelet transfusion, and CRR < 20%. In the multivariate logistical analysis, CRR was an independent predictor of AKI (adjusted odds ratio: 0.90 [0.87-0.93], p < 0.001). However, there were no significant differences in CRR in terms of the rate of new onset chronic kidney disease (CKD). After cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass, CRR has good diagnostic power for predicting perioperative AKI. However, we cannot use it as a prognostic factor over a long-term period.

Impact of Persistent Inflammation, Immunosuppression, and Catabolism Syndrome during Intensive Care Admission on Each Post-Intensive Care Syndrome Component in a PICS Clinic.

BACKGROUND: Persistent inflammation, immunosuppression, and catabolism syndrome (PIICS) is known as a prolonged immunodeficiency that occurs after severe infection. Few studies have demonstrated a direct relationship between PIICS and physical dysfunction in post-intensive care syndrome (PICS). We herein investigated how each component of PICS was affected by the diagnosis of PIICS during hospitalization and examined the relationship between PIICS and PICS using PICS assessments performed at the Hitachi General Hospital PICS Clinic. METHODS: The 273 patients who visited the PICS clinic at one month after discharge from the ICU at Hitachi General Hospital were included in the study. We used the diagnostic criteria for PIICS described in previous studies. At least two of the following blood test values on day 14 of hospitalization had to be met for a diagnosis of PIICS: C-reactive protein (CRP) > 2.0 mg/dL, albumin (Alb) < 3.0 g/dL, and lymphocytes (Lym) < 800/µL. Blood test values closest to day 14 out of 11-17 days of hospitalization were used. The primary outcome was a Barthel Index (BI) < 90, while secondary outcomes were the results of various PICS assessments, including mental and cognitive impairments, performed at the PICS clinic. We supplemented missing data with multiple imputations by chained equations. We performed a nominal logistic regression analysis with age, sex, BMI, SOFA, and the presence of PIICS as variables for BI < 90. RESULTS: Forty-three out of two hundred seventy-three PICS outpatients met the diagnostic criteria for PIICS during hospitalization. In comparisons with non-PIICS patients, significantly higher severity scores for APACHE II and SOFA and a longer hospital stay were observed in PIICS patients, suggesting a higher clinical severity. The primary outcome, BI, was lower in the PIICS group (97.5 (58.5, 100) vs. 100 (95, 100), p = 0.008), as were the secondary outcomes (FSS-ICU: 35 (31, 35) vs. 35 (35, 35), MRC score: 55 (50.25, 58) vs. 58 (53, 60), grip strength: 16.45 (9.2, 25.47) vs. 20.4 (15.3, 27.7)). No significant differences were noted in mental or cognitive function assessments, such as HADS, IES-R, and SMQ. A multivariable analysis supplemented with missing data revealed that PIICS (odds ratio: 1.23 (1.08-1.40 p = 0.001) and age (odds ratio: 1.007 (1.004-1.01), p < 0.001) correlated with BI < 90, independent of clinical severity such as sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA). Similar results were obtained in the sensitivity analysis excluding missing data. CONCLUSIONS: The present study revealed a strong relationship between PIICS and post-discharge PICS physical dysfunction in patients requiring intensive care.

Stomach position evaluated using computed tomography is related to successful post-pyloric enteral feeding tube placement in critically ill patients: a retrospective observational study.

BACKGROUND: Post-pyloric enteral feeding reduces respiratory complications and shortens the duration of mechanical ventilation. Blind placement of post-pyloric enteral feeding tubes (EFT) in patients with critical illnesses is often the first-line method because endoscopy or fluoroscopy cannot be easily performed at bedside; however, difficult placements regularly occur. We reported an association between the stomach position caudal to spinal level L1-L2, evaluated by abdominal radiographs after placement, and difficult placement; however, this method could not indicate difficulty before EFT placement. The aim of our study was to evaluate the association between stomach position, estimated using computed tomography (CT) images taken before the blind placement of the post-pyloric EFT, and the difficulty of EFT placement. METHODS: Data from patients aged ≥ 20 years who underwent post-pyloric EFT in our intensive care unit were obtained retrospectively. Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the association between successful initial EFT placement and explanatory variables, including stomach position estimated by CT. Two cut-off values were used: caudal to L1-L2 based on a previous study and the best cut-off value calculated by the receiver operating characteristic curve. Variable selection was performed backward stepwise using Akaike's Information Criterion. RESULTS: Of the total of 453 patients who were enrolled, the success rate of the initial EFT placement was 43.5%. The adjusted odds ratio for successful initial EFT placement of the stomach position caudal to L1-L2 was 0.61 (95% confidence interval: 0.41-1.07). Logistic regression analysis, including the stomach position caudal to L2-L3, calculated as the best cut-off value, indicated that stomach position was an independent factor for failure of initial EFT placement (adjusted odds ratio, 0.55; 95% confidence interval: 0.33-0.91). CONCLUSIONS: Stomach position evaluated using CT images was associated with successful initial post-pyloric EFT placement. The best cut-off value of the greater curvature of the stomach to predict the success or failure of the first attempt was spinal level L2-L3. Trial registration University Hospital Medical Information Network Clinical Trials Registry (UMIN000046986; February 28, 2022). https://center6.umin.ac.jp/cgi-open-bin/ctr/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000052151.

Multivariate analysis of factors associated with first-pass success in blind placement of a post-pyloric feeding tube: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Trans-jejunal nutrition via a post-pyloric enteral feeding tube has a low risk of aspiration or reflux; however, placement of the tube using the blind method can be difficult. Assistive devices, such as fluoroscopy or endoscopy, are useful but may not be suitable for patients with hemodynamic instability or severe respiratory failure. The aim of this study was to explore factors associated with first-pass success in the blind placement of post-pyloric enteral feeding tubes in critically ill patients. METHODS: Data were obtained retrospectively from the medical records of adult patients who had a post-pyloric enteral feeding tube placed in the intensive care unit between January 1, 2012, and December 31, 2018. Logistic regression analysis was performed to assess the association between first-pass success and the independent variables. For logistic regression analysis, the following 13 variables were defined as independent variables: age, sex, height, fluid balance from baseline, use of sedatives, body position during the procedure, use of cardiac assist devices, use of prokinetic agents, presence or absence of intestinal peristalsis, postoperative cardiovascular surgery, use of renal replacement therapy, serum albumin levels, and position of the greater curvature of the stomach in relation to spinal levels L1 - L2. RESULTS: Data obtained from 442 patients were analyzed. The first-pass success rate was 42.8% (n = 189). Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that the position of the greater curvature of the stomach cephalad to L1 - L2 was only associated with successful placement (odds ratio for first-pass success, 0.62; 95% confidence interval: 0.40 - 0.95). CONCLUSIONS: In critically ill patients, the position of the greater curvature of the stomach caudal to L1 - L2 may be associated with a lower first-pass success rate of the blind method for post-pyloric enteral feeding tube placement. Further studies are needed to verify our results because the position of the stomach was estimated by radiographs after enteral feeding tube placement. TRIAL REGISTRATION: University Hospital Medical Information Network Clinical Trials Registry (UMIN000036549; April 20, 2019).

Conventional risk prediction models fail to accurately predict mortality risk among patients with coronavirus disease 2019 in intensive care units: a difficult time to assess clinical severity and quality of care.

Since the start of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, it has remained unknown whether conventional risk prediction tools used in intensive care units are applicable to patients with COVID-19. Therefore, we assessed the performance of established risk prediction models using the Japanese Intensive Care database. Discrimination and calibration of the models were poor. Revised risk prediction models are needed to assess the clinical severity of COVID-19 patients and monitor healthcare quality in ICUs overwhelmed by patients with COVID-19.

Development and validation of the predictive risk of death model for adult patients admitted to intensive care units in Japan: an approach to improve the accuracy of healthcare quality measures.

BACKGROUND: The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) III-j model is widely used to predict mortality in Japanese intensive care units (ICUs). Although the model's discrimination is excellent, its calibration is poor. APACHE III-j overestimates the risk of death, making its evaluation of healthcare quality inaccurate. This study aimed to improve the calibration of the model and develop a Japan Risk of Death (JROD) model for benchmarking purposes. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was conducted using a national clinical registry of ICU patients in Japan. Adult patients admitted to an ICU between April 1, 2018, and March 31, 2019, were included. The APACHE III-j model was recalibrated with the following models: Model 1, predicting mortality with an offset variable for the linear predictor of the APACHE III-j model using a generalized linear model; model 2, predicting mortality with the linear predictor of the APACHE III-j model using a generalized linear model; and model 3, predicting mortality with the linear predictor of the APACHE III-j model using a hierarchical generalized additive model. Model performance was assessed with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), the Brier score, and the modified Hosmer-Lemeshow test. To confirm model applicability to evaluating quality of care, funnel plots of the standardized mortality ratio and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) charts for mortality were drawn. RESULTS: In total, 33,557 patients from 44 ICUs were included in the study population. ICU mortality was 3.8%, and hospital mortality was 8.1%. The AUROC, Brier score, and modified Hosmer-Lemeshow p value of the original model and models 1, 2, and 3 were 0.915, 0.062, and < .001; 0.915, 0.047, and < .001; 0.915, 0.047, and .002; and 0.917, 0.047, and .84, respectively. Except for model 3, the funnel plots showed overdispersion. The validity of the EWMA charts for the recalibrated models was determined by visual inspection. CONCLUSIONS: Model 3 showed good performance and can be adopted as the JROD model for monitoring quality of care in an ICU, although further investigation of the clinical validity of outlier detection is required. This update method may also be useful in other settings.