High Juvenile Mortality Overwhelms Benefits of Mating Potential for Reproductive Fitness.

AbstractAn individual's access to mates (i.e., its "mating potential") can constrain its reproduction but may also influence its fitness through effects on offspring survival. For instance, mate proximity may correspond with relatedness and lead to inbreeding depression in offspring. While offspring production and survival might respond differently to mating potential, previous studies have not considered the simultaneous effects of mating potential on these fitness components. We investigated the relationship of mating potential with both production and survival of offspring in populations of a long-lived herbaceous perennial, Echinacea angustifolia. Across 7 years and 14 sites, we quantified the mating potential of maternal plants in 1,278 mating bouts and followed the offspring from these bouts over 8 years. We used aster models to evaluate the relationship of mating potential with the number of offspring that emerged and that were alive after 8 years. Seedling emergence increased with mating potential. Despite this, the number of offspring surviving after 8 years showed no relationship to mating potential. Our results support the broader conclusion that the effect of mating potential on fitness erodes over time because of demographic stochasticity at the maternal level.

The conservation value of small population remnants: variability in inbreeding depression and heterosis of a perennial herb, the narrow-leaved purple coneflower (Echinacea angustifolia).

Anthropogenically fragmented populations may have reduced fitness due to loss of genetic diversity and inbreeding. The extent of such fitness losses due to fragmentation and potential gains from conservation actions are infrequently assessed together empirically. Controlled crosses within and among populations can identify whether populations are at risk of inbreeding depression and whether interpopulation crossing alleviates fitness loss. Because fitness depends on environment and life stage, studies quantifying cumulative fitness over a large portion of the lifecycle in conditions that mimic natural environments are most informative. To assess fitness consequences of habitat fragmentation, we leveraged controlled within-family, within-population, and between-population crosses to quantify inbreeding depression and heterosis in seven populations of Echinacea angustifolia within a 6400-hectare area. We then assessed cumulative offspring fitness after 14 years of growth in a natural experimental plot (N = 1136). Mean fitness of progeny from within-population crosses varied considerably, indicating genetic differentiation among source populations, even though these sites are all less than 9 km apart. The fitness consequences of within-family and between-population crosses varied in magnitude and direction. Only one of the seven populations showed inbreeding depression of high effect, while four populations showed substantial heterosis. Outbreeding depression was rare and slight. Our findings indicate that local crossings between isolated populations yield unpredictable fitness consequences ranging from slight decreases to substantial increases. Interestingly, inbreeding depression and heterosis did not relate closely to population size, suggesting that all fragmented populations could contribute to conservation goals as either pollen recipients or donors.

Juvenile survival increases with dispersal distance and varies across years: 15 years of evidence in a prairie perennial.

Juvenile survival is critical to population persistence and evolutionary change. However, the survival of juvenile plants from emergence to reproductive maturity is rarely quantified. This is especially true for long-lived perennials with extended pre-reproductive periods. Furthermore, studies rarely have the replication necessary to account for variation among populations and cohorts. We estimated juvenile survival and its relationship to population size, density of conspecifics, distance to the maternal plant, age, year, and cohort for Echinacea angustifolia, a long-lived herbaceous perennial. In 14 remnant prairie populations over seven sampling years, 2007-2013, we identified 886 seedlings. We then monitored these individuals annually until 2021 (8-15 years). Overall, juvenile mortality was very high; for almost all cohorts fewer than 10% of seedlings survived to age 8 or to year 2021. Only two of the seedlings reached reproductive maturity within the study period. Juvenile survival increased with distance from the maternal plant and varied more among the study years than it did by age or cohort. Juvenile survival did not vary with population size or local density of conspecific neighbors. Our results suggest that low juvenile survival could contribute to projected population declines.