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1.
Int J Gynecol Cancer ; 34(7): 993-1000, 2024 Jul 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38950928

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Although early-detected cervical cancer is associated with good survival, the prognosis for late-stage disease is poor and treatment options are sparse. Mismatch repair deficiency (MMR-D) has surfaced as a predictor of prognosis and response to immune checkpoint inhibitor(s) in several cancer types, but its value in cervical cancer remains unclear. This study aimed to define the prevalence of MMR-D in cervical cancer and assess the prognostic value of MMR protein expression. METHODS: Expression of the MMR proteins MLH-1, PMS-2, MSH-2, and MSH-6 was investigated by immunohistochemical staining in a prospectively collected cervical cancer cohort (n=508) with corresponding clinicopathological and follow-up data. Sections were scored as either loss or intact expression to define MMR-D, and by a staining index, based on staining intensity and area, evaluating the prognostic potential. RNA and whole exome sequencing data were available for 72 and 75 of the patients and were used for gene set enrichment and mutational analyses, respectively. RESULTS: Five (1%) tumors were MMR-deficient, three of which were of neuroendocrine histology. MMR status did not predict survival (HR 1.93, p=0.17). MSH-2 low (n=48) was associated with poor survival (HR 1.94, p=0.02), also when adjusting for tumor stage, tumor type, and patient age (HR 2.06, p=0.013). MSH-2 low tumors had higher tumor mutational burden (p=0.003) and higher frequency of (frameshift) mutations in the double-strand break repair gene RAD50 (p<0.01). CONCLUSION: MMR-D is rare in cervical cancer, yet low MSH-2 expression is an independent predictor of poor survival.


Assuntos
Reparo de Erro de Pareamento de DNA , Proteínas de Ligação a DNA , Proteína 2 Homóloga a MutS , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero , Humanos , Feminino , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/patologia , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/metabolismo , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/genética , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/mortalidade , Prognóstico , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Proteínas de Ligação a DNA/metabolismo , Proteínas de Ligação a DNA/genética , Proteína 2 Homóloga a MutS/metabolismo , Proteína 2 Homóloga a MutS/biossíntese , Proteína 2 Homóloga a MutS/genética , Adulto , Idoso , Endonuclease PMS2 de Reparo de Erro de Pareamento/metabolismo , Endonuclease PMS2 de Reparo de Erro de Pareamento/genética , Proteína 1 Homóloga a MutL/metabolismo , Proteína 1 Homóloga a MutL/genética , Proteína 1 Homóloga a MutL/biossíntese
2.
Br J Cancer ; 128(4): 647-655, 2023 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36482191

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The endometrial cancer mismatch repair (MMR) deficient subgroup is defined by loss of MSH6, MSH2, PMS2 or MLH1. We compare MMR status in paired preoperative and operative samples and investigate the prognostic impact of differential MMR protein expression levels. METHODS: Tumour lesions from 1058 endometrial cancer patients were immunohistochemically stained for MSH6, MSH2, PMS2 and MLH1. MMR protein expression was evaluated as loss or intact to determine MMR status, or by staining index to evaluate the prognostic potential of differential expression. Gene expression data from a local (n = 235) and the TCGA (n = 524) endometrial cancer cohorts was used for validation. RESULTS: We identified a substantial agreement in MMR status between paired curettage and hysterectomy samples. Individual high expression of all four MMR markers associated with non-endometrioid subtype, and high MSH6 or MSH2 strongly associated with several aggressive disease characteristics including high tumour grade and FIGO stage, and for MSH6, with lymph node metastasis. In multivariate Cox analysis, MSH6 remained an independent prognostic marker, also within the endometrioid low-grade subgroup (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: We demonstrate that in addition to determine MMR status, MMR protein expression levels, particularly MSH6, may add prognostic information in endometrial cancer.


Assuntos
Reparo de Erro de Pareamento de DNA , Neoplasias do Endométrio , Feminino , Humanos , Prognóstico , Endonuclease PMS2 de Reparo de Erro de Pareamento/genética , Proteína 2 Homóloga a MutS/genética , Neoplasias do Endométrio/patologia , Proteína 1 Homóloga a MutL/genética
3.
Eur Radiol ; 33(1): 221-232, 2023 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35763096

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: This study presents the diagnostic performance of four different preoperative imaging workups (IWs) for prediction of lymph node metastases (LNMs) in endometrial cancer (EC): pelvic MRI alone (IW1), MRI and [18F]FDG-PET/CT in all patients (IW2), MRI with selective [18F]FDG-PET/CT if high-risk preoperative histology (IW3), and MRI with selective [18F]FDG-PET/CT if MRI indicates FIGO stage ≥ 1B (IW4). METHODS: In 361 EC patients, preoperative staging parameters from both pelvic MRI and [18F]FDG-PET/CT were recorded. Area under receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC AUC) compared the diagnostic performance for the different imaging parameters and workups for predicting surgicopathological FIGO stage. Survival data were assessed using Kaplan-Meier estimator with log-rank test. RESULTS: MRI and [18F]FDG-PET/CT staging parameters yielded similar AUCs for predicting corresponding FIGO staging parameters in low-risk versus high-risk histology groups (p ≥ 0.16). The sensitivities, specificities, and AUCs for LNM prediction were as follows: IW1-33% [9/27], 95% [185/193], and 0.64; IW2-56% [15/27], 90% [174/193], and 0.73 (p = 0.04 vs. IW1); IW3-44% [12/27], 94% [181/193], and 0.69 (p = 0.13 vs. IW1); and IW4-52% [14/27], 91% [176/193], and 0.72 (p = 0.06 vs. IW1). IW3 and IW4 selected 34% [121/361] and 54% [194/361] to [18F]FDG-PET/CT, respectively. Employing IW4 identified three distinct patient risk groups that exhibited increasing FIGO stage (p < 0.001) and stepwise reductions in survival (p ≤ 0.002). CONCLUSION: Selective [18F]FDG-PET/CT in patients with high-risk MRI findings yields better detection of LNM than MRI alone, and similar diagnostic performance to that of MRI and [18F]FDG-PET/CT in all. KEY POINTS: • Imaging by MRI and [18F]FDG PET/CT yields similar diagnostic performance in low- and high-risk histology groups for predicting central FIGO staging parameters. • Utilizing a stepwise imaging workup with MRI in all patients and [18F]FDG-PET/CT in selected patients based on MRI findings identifies preoperative risk groups exhibiting significantly different survival. • The proposed imaging workup selecting ~54% of the patients to [18F]FDG-PET/CT yield better detection of LNMs than MRI alone, and similar LNM detection to that of MRI and [18F]FDG-PET/CT in all.


Assuntos
Neoplasias do Endométrio , Fluordesoxiglucose F18 , Feminino , Humanos , Tomografia por Emissão de Pósitrons combinada à Tomografia Computadorizada/métodos , Tomografia por Emissão de Pósitrons/métodos , Linfonodos/diagnóstico por imagem , Linfonodos/patologia , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética/métodos , Neoplasias do Endométrio/diagnóstico por imagem , Neoplasias do Endométrio/cirurgia , Metástase Linfática/diagnóstico por imagem , Metástase Linfática/patologia , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Compostos Radiofarmacêuticos/farmacologia
4.
Am J Obstet Gynecol ; 226(1): 90.e1-90.e20, 2022 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34400137

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Most patients with endometrial cancer with localized disease are effectively treated and survive for a long time. The primary treatment is hysterectomy, to which surgical staging procedures may be added to assess the need for adjuvant therapy. Longitudinal data on patient-reported outcomes comparing different levels of primary treatment are lacking, especially when adjuvant radiotherapy is omitted. OBJECTIVE: We assessed the impact of lymphadenectomy and adjuvant chemotherapy on patient-reported symptoms, function, and quality of life. We hypothesized that these treatment modalities would substantially affect patient-reported outcomes at follow-up. STUDY DESIGN: We prospectively included patients with endometrial cancer enrolled in the ongoing MoMaTEC2 study (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02543710). Patients were asked to complete the patient-reported outcome questionnaires European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire C30 and European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire EN24 preoperatively and at 1 and 2 years of follow-up. Functional domains and symptoms were analyzed for the whole cohort and by treatment received. To assess the effect of the individual treatment modifications, we used mixed regression models. RESULTS: Baseline data were available for 448 patients. Of these patients, 339 and 219 had reached 1-year follow-up and 2-year follow-up, respectively. Treatment included hysterectomy (plus bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy) alone (n=177), hysterectomy and lymph node staging without adjuvant therapy (n=133), or adjuvant chemotherapy irrespective of staging procedure (n=138). Overall, patients reported improved global health status and quality of life (+9 units; P<.001), increased emotional and social functioning, and increased sexual interest and activity (P<.001 for all) from baseline to year 1, and these outcomes remained stable at year 2. Means of functional scales and quality of life were similar to age- and sex-weighted reference cohorts. Mean tingling and numbness and lymphedema increased after treatment. The group who received adjuvant chemotherapy had a larger mean reduction in physical functioning (-6 vs +2; P=.002) at year 1, more neuropathy (+30 vs +5; P<.001; year 1) at years 1 and 2, and more lymphedema at year 1 (+11 vs +2; P=.007) than the group treated with hysterectomy and salpingo-oophorectomy only. In patients not receiving adjuvant chemotherapy, patient-reported outcomes were similar regardless of lymph node staging procedures. Adjuvant chemotherapy independently increased fatigue, lymphedema, and neuropathy in mixed regression models. CONCLUSION: Patients with endometrial cancer receiving adjuvant chemotherapy reported significantly reduced functioning and more symptoms up to 2 years after treatment. For patients treated by surgery alone, surgical staging did not seem to affect the quality of life or symptoms to a measurable degree at follow-up. Therefore, subjecting patients to lymph node removal to tailor adjuvant therapy seems justified from the patient's viewpoint; however, efforts should increase to find alternatives to traditional chemotherapy.


Assuntos
Neoplasias do Endométrio/tratamento farmacológico , Idoso , Quimioterapia Adjuvante , Estudos de Coortes , Intervalo Livre de Doença , Neoplasias do Endométrio/mortalidade , Neoplasias do Endométrio/patologia , Neoplasias do Endométrio/cirurgia , Feminino , Humanos , Histerectomia , Estudos Longitudinais , Excisão de Linfonodo , Metástase Linfática , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Noruega , Medidas de Resultados Relatados pelo Paciente , Estudos Prospectivos , Inquéritos e Questionários , Sobreviventes
5.
Eur Radiol ; 32(9): 6444-6455, 2022 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35332408

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the interobserver agreement for MRI-based 2018 International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) staging parameters in patients with cervical cancer and assess the prognostic value of these MRI parameters in relation to other clinicopathological markers. METHODS: This retrospective study included 416 women with histologically confirmed cervical cancer who underwent pretreatment pelvic MRI from May 2002 to December 2017. Three radiologists independently recorded MRI-derived staging parameters incorporated in the 2018 FIGO staging system. Kappa coefficients (κ) for interobserver agreement were calculated. The predictive and prognostic values of the MRI parameters were explored using ROC analyses and Kaplan-Meier with log-rank tests, and analyzed in relation to clinicopathological patient characteristics. RESULTS: Overall agreement was substantial for the staging parameters: tumor size > 2 cm (κ = 0.80), tumor size > 4 cm (κ = 0.76), tumor size categories (≤ 2 cm; > 2 and ≤ 4 cm; > 4 cm) (κ = 0.78), parametrial invasion (κ = 0.63), vaginal invasion (κ = 0.61), and enlarged lymph nodes (κ = 0.63). Higher MRI-derived tumor size category (≤ 2 cm; > 2 and ≤ 4 cm; > 4 cm) was associated with a stepwise reduction in survival (p ≤ 0.001 for all). Tumor size > 4 cm and parametrial invasion at MRI were associated with aggressive clinicopathological features, and the incorporation of these MRI-based staging parameters improved risk stratification when compared to corresponding clinical assessments alone. CONCLUSION: The interobserver agreement for central MRI-derived 2018 FIGO staging parameters was substantial. MRI improved the identification of patients with aggressive clinicopathological features and poor survival, demonstrating the potential impact of MRI enabling better prognostication and treatment tailoring in cervical cancer. KEY POINTS: • The overall interobserver agreement was substantial (κ values 0.61-0.80) for central MRI staging parameters in the 2018 FIGO system. • Higher MRI-derived tumor size category was linked to a stepwise reduction in survival (p ≤ 0.001 for all). • MRI-derived tumor size > 4 cm and parametrial invasion were associated with aggressive clinicopathological features, and the incorporation of these MRI-derived staging parameters improved risk stratification when compared to clinical assessments alone.


Assuntos
Neoplasias do Colo do Útero , Feminino , Humanos , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Variações Dependentes do Observador , Prognóstico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/diagnóstico por imagem , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/patologia
6.
BMC Pregnancy Childbirth ; 22(1): 464, 2022 Jun 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35655181

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Women suffering from severe nausea and vomiting during pregnancy, hyperemesis gravidarum, have poor quality of life and increased risk of potentially fatal maternal and fetal complications. There is increasing and reassuring knowledge about safety of antiemetics in pregnancy. In 2013, the European Medical Agency (EMA) issued a warning on metoclopramide limiting treatment to maximum five days. Metoclopramide was the most used antiemetic in pregnancy at the time the warning was implemented in the Norwegian hyperemesis guidelines (2014). We aimed at describing changes in the treatment of hyperemesis over time, including changes associated with the EMA warning. METHODS: Retrospective chart review of all women hospitalized for hyperemesis gravidarum with metabolic disturbances between 01/Jan/2002 and 31/Dec/2019 at a university hospital serving nearly 10% of the pregnant population in Norway. Time-series analysis described changes over time and interrupted time series analysis quantified changes in treatment and clinical outcomes related to the EMA warning. RESULTS: In total, 1,064 women (1.2% of the birthing population) were included. The use of meclizine, prochlorperazine, and ondansetron increased during 2002-2019. This led to a yearly increase in the percentage of women using any antiemetic of 1.5% (95%CI 0.6; 2.4) pre-hospital, 0.6% (95%CI 0.2; 1.1) during hospitalization, and 2.6% (95%CI 1.3; 3.8) at discharge. Overall, only 50% of the women received antiemetics pre-hospital. Following the EMA warning, prehospital use of metoclopramide dropped by 30% (95%CI 25; 36), while use of any antiemetic pre-hospital dropped by 20% (95%CI 5.7; 34). In timely association, we observed a decrease in gestational age (-3.8 days, 98.75%CI 0.6; 7.1) at first admission, as well as indication of increased rate of termination of pregnancy with an absolute increase of 4.8% (98.75%CI 0.9; 8.7) in 2014. CONCLUSION: During 2002-2019, the overall use of antiemetics in treatment of hyperemesis increased. The EMA-warning on metoclopramide in 2013 temporarily limited pre-hospital antiemetic provision associated with hospitalization at lower gestational length and indication of an increase in termination of pregnancy.


Assuntos
Antieméticos , Hiperêmese Gravídica , Antieméticos/uso terapêutico , Feminino , Humanos , Hiperêmese Gravídica/epidemiologia , Metoclopramida/uso terapêutico , Gravidez , Qualidade de Vida , Estudos Retrospectivos
7.
Br J Cancer ; 124(10): 1690-1698, 2021 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33723390

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Advanced cervical cancer carries a particularly poor prognosis, and few treatment options exist. Identification of effective molecular markers is vital to improve the individualisation of treatment. We investigated transcriptional data from cervical carcinomas related to patient survival and recurrence to identify potential molecular drivers for aggressive disease. METHODS: Primary tumour RNA-sequencing profiles from 20 patients with recurrence and 53 patients with cured disease were compared. Protein levels and prognostic impact for selected markers were identified by immunohistochemistry in a population-based patient cohort. RESULTS: Comparison of tumours relative to recurrence status revealed 121 differentially expressed genes. From this gene set, a 10-gene signature with high prognostic significance (p = 0.001) was identified and validated in an independent patient cohort (p = 0.004). Protein levels of two signature genes, HLA-DQB1 (n = 389) and LIMCH1 (LIM and calponin homology domain 1) (n = 410), were independent predictors of survival (hazard ratio 2.50, p = 0.007 for HLA-DQB1 and 3.19, p = 0.007 for LIMCH1) when adjusting for established prognostic markers. HLA-DQB1 protein expression associated with programmed death ligand 1 positivity (p < 0.001). In gene set enrichment analyses, HLA-DQB1high tumours associated with immune activation and response to interferon-γ (IFN-γ). CONCLUSIONS: This study revealed a 10-gene signature with high prognostic power in cervical cancer. HLA-DQB1 and LIMCH1 are potential biomarkers guiding cervical cancer treatment.


Assuntos
Cadeias beta de HLA-DQ/genética , Proteínas com Domínio LIM/genética , Transcriptoma , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/genética , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Biomarcadores Tumorais/genética , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/diagnóstico , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/genética , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/mortalidade , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/patologia , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Perfilação da Expressão Gênica , Regulação Neoplásica da Expressão Gênica , Predisposição Genética para Doença , Cadeias beta de HLA-DQ/fisiologia , Humanos , Proteínas com Domínio LIM/fisiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Invasividade Neoplásica , Prognóstico , Análise de Sobrevida , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/diagnóstico , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/mortalidade , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/patologia
8.
J Magn Reson Imaging ; 53(3): 928-937, 2021 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33200420

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In endometrial cancer (EC), preoperative pelvic MRI is recommended for local staging, while final tumor stage and grade are established by surgery and pathology. MRI-based radiomic tumor profiling may aid in preoperative risk-stratification and support clinical treatment decisions in EC. PURPOSE: To develop MRI-based whole-volume tumor radiomic signatures for prediction of aggressive EC disease. STUDY TYPE: Retrospective. POPULATION: A total of 138 women with histologically confirmed EC, divided into training (nT = 108) and validation cohorts (nV = 30). FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: Axial oblique T1 -weighted gradient echo volumetric interpolated breath-hold examination (VIBE) at 1.5T (71/138 patients) and DIXON VIBE at 3T (67/138 patients) at 2 minutes postcontrast injection. ASSESSMENT: Primary tumors were manually segmented by two radiologists with 4 and 8 years' of experience. Radiomic tumor features were computed and used for prediction of surgicopathologically-verified deep (≥50%) myometrial invasion (DMI), lymph node metastases (LNM), advanced stage (FIGO III + IV), nonendometrioid (NE) histology, and high-grade endometrioid tumors (E3). Corresponding analyses were also conducted using radiomics extracted from the axial oblique image slice depicting the largest tumor area. STATISTICAL TESTS: Logistic least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) was applied for radiomic modeling in the training cohort. The diagnostic performances of the radiomic signatures were evaluated by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve in the training (AUCT ) and validation (AUCV ) cohorts. Progression-free survival was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard model. RESULTS: The whole-tumor radiomic signatures yielded AUCT /AUCV of 0.84/0.76 for predicting DMI, 0.73/0.72 for LNM, 0.71/0.68 for FIGO III + IV, 0.68/0.74 for NE histology, and 0.79/0.63 for high-grade (E3) tumor. Single-slice radiomics yielded comparable AUCT but significantly lower AUCV for LNM and FIGO III + IV (both P < 0.05). Tumor volume yielded comparable AUCT to the whole-tumor radiomic signatures for prediction of DMI, LNM, FIGO III + IV, and NE, but significantly lower AUCT for E3 tumors (P < 0.05). All of the whole-tumor radiomic signatures significantly predicted poor progression-free survival with hazard ratios of 4.6-9.8 (P < 0.05 for all). DATA CONCLUSION: MRI-based whole-tumor radiomic signatures yield medium-to-high diagnostic performance for predicting aggressive EC disease. The signatures may aid in preoperative risk assessment and hence guide personalized treatment strategies in EC. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 4 TECHNICAL EFFICACY STAGE: 2.


Assuntos
Neoplasias do Endométrio , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Neoplasias do Endométrio/diagnóstico por imagem , Feminino , Humanos , Metástase Linfática , Prognóstico , Estudos Retrospectivos
9.
Scand J Prim Health Care ; 39(2): 123-130, 2021 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33853486

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Handheld point-of-care abdominal ultrasound (POCUS) may be used by primary care physicians while vaginal ultrasound is limited to use in specialist care. We aimed to compare abdominal handheld ultrasound to vaginal ultrasound in determining first trimester viable intrauterine pregnancy and estimate gestational length. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Gynaecologic outpatient clinic; women referred from GPs during early pregnancy. Handheld ultrasound using VscanExtend® was performed by fourth-year medical students with limited training. Transvaginal ultrasound using high-end devices was performed by ordinary hospital staff. SUBJECTS: Women in the first trimester of pregnancy referred for termination of pregnancy or with symptoms of early pregnancy complications. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Rate of confirming vital intrauterine pregnancy (visualizing foetal heart beats) and measurement of crown-rump length (CRL) using handheld abdominal versus vaginal ultrasound. RESULTS: In all 100 women were included; 86 confirmed as viable intrauterine pregnancies and 14 pathological pregnancies (miscarriages/extrauterine pregnancies). Handheld abdominal ultrasound detected fetal heartbeats in 63/86 (73% sensitivity) of healthy pregnancies and confirmed lack of fetal heartbeats in all pathological pregnancies, total positive predictive value (PPV) 100% and total negative predictive value (NPV) 38%. From gestational week 7, handheld abdominal ultrasound confirmed vitality in 51/54 patients: PPV 100% and NPV 79%. CRL (n = 62) was median 1 mm shorter (95% confidence interval 1-2 mm) measured by handheld abdominal versus vaginal ultrasound. CONCLUSION: Handheld ultrasound has an excellent prediction confirming viable intrauterine pregnancy from gestational week 7. Validation studies are needed to confirm whether the method is suitable in primary care assessing early pregnancy complications.KEY POINTSWhen early pregnancy vitality needs to be confirmed, women will traditionally be referred to secondary care for transvaginal comprehensive ultrasonography performed with high-end devices by imaging specialists.In this study personnel with limited former training (fourth-year medical students) performed transabdominal POCUS using a handheld device, investigating 100 first trimester pregnancies for confirmation of viability.Using handheld ultrasound viable pregnancy was confirmed from gestational week 7 with 79% positive and 100% negative predictive value.If handheld ultrasound used in primary care confirms vital intrauterine pregnancy, the need for specialist referral could be reduced.


Assuntos
Ultrassonografia Pré-Natal , Estatura Cabeça-Cóccix , Feminino , Humanos , Gravidez , Primeiro Trimestre da Gravidez , Estudos Prospectivos , Ultrassonografia
10.
PLoS Med ; 17(5): e1003111, 2020 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32413043

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Bayesian networks (BNs) are machine-learning-based computational models that visualize causal relationships and provide insight into the processes underlying disease progression, closely resembling clinical decision-making. Preoperative identification of patients at risk for lymph node metastasis (LNM) is challenging in endometrial cancer, and although several biomarkers are related to LNM, none of them are incorporated in clinical practice. The aim of this study was to develop and externally validate a preoperative BN to predict LNM and outcome in endometrial cancer patients. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Within the European Network for Individualized Treatment of Endometrial Cancer (ENITEC), we performed a retrospective multicenter cohort study including 763 patients, median age 65 years (interquartile range [IQR] 58-71), surgically treated for endometrial cancer between February 1995 and August 2013 at one of the 10 participating European hospitals. A BN was developed using score-based machine learning in addition to expert knowledge. Our main outcome measures were LNM and 5-year disease-specific survival (DSS). Preoperative clinical, histopathological, and molecular biomarkers were included in the network. External validation was performed using 2 prospective study cohorts: the Molecular Markers in Treatment in Endometrial Cancer (MoMaTEC) study cohort, including 446 Norwegian patients, median age 64 years (IQR 59-74), treated between May 2001 and 2010; and the PIpelle Prospective ENDOmetrial carcinoma (PIPENDO) study cohort, including 384 Dutch patients, median age 66 years (IQR 60-73), treated between September 2011 and December 2013. A BN called ENDORISK (preoperative risk stratification in endometrial cancer) was developed including the following predictors: preoperative tumor grade; immunohistochemical expression of estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR), p53, and L1 cell adhesion molecule (L1CAM); cancer antigen 125 serum level; thrombocyte count; imaging results on lymphadenopathy; and cervical cytology. In the MoMaTEC cohort, the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.82 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.76-0.88) for LNM and 0.82 (95% CI 0.77-0.87) for 5-year DSS. In the PIPENDO cohort, the AUC for 5-year DSS was 0.84 (95% CI 0.78-0.90). The network was well-calibrated. In the MoMaTEC cohort, 249 patients (55.8%) were classified with <5% risk of LNM, with a false-negative rate of 1.6%. A limitation of the study is the use of imputation to correct for missing predictor variables in the development cohort and the retrospective study design. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, we illustrated how BNs can be used for individualizing clinical decision-making in oncology by incorporating easily accessible and multimodal biomarkers. The network shows the complex interactions underlying the carcinogenetic process of endometrial cancer by its graphical representation. A prospective feasibility study will be needed prior to implementation in the clinic.


Assuntos
Neoplasias do Endométrio/patologia , Idoso , Teorema de Bayes , Biomarcadores Tumorais/metabolismo , Feminino , Humanos , Metástase Linfática , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Gradação de Tumores , Estudos Prospectivos , Receptores de Estrogênio/metabolismo , Receptores de Progesterona , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco
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