Multicriteria Decision Analysis to Support Health Technology Assessment Agencies: Benefits, Limitations, and the Way Forward.

OBJECTIVE: Recent years have witnessed an increased interest in the use of multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) to support health technology assessment (HTA) agencies for setting healthcare priorities. However, its implementation to date has been criticized for being "entirely mechanistic," ignoring opportunity costs, and not following best practice guidelines. This article provides guidance on the use of MCDA in this context. METHODS: The present study was based on a systematic review and consensus development. We developed a typology of MCDA studies and good implementation practice. We reviewed 36 studies over the period 1990 to 2018 on their compliance with good practice and developed recommendations. We reached consensus among authors over the course of several review rounds. RESULTS: We identified 3 MCDA study types: qualitative MCDA, quantitative MCDA, and MCDA with decision rules. The types perform differently in terms of quality, consistency, and transparency of recommendations on healthcare priorities. We advise HTA agencies to always include a deliberative component. Agencies should, at a minimum, undertake qualitative MCDA. The use of quantitative MCDA has additional benefits but also poses design challenges. MCDA with decision rules, used by HTA agencies in The Netherlands and the United Kingdom and typically referred to as structured deliberation, has the potential to further improve the formulation of recommendations but has not yet been subjected to broad experimentation and evaluation. CONCLUSION: MCDA holds large potential to support HTA agencies in setting healthcare priorities, but its implementation needs to be improved.

Utilization of multiple-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) to support healthcare decision-making FIFARMA, 2016.

Background and objectives:   MCDA is a decision-making tool with increasing use in the healthcare sector, including HTA (Health Technology Assessment). By applying multiple criteria, including innovation, in a comprehensive, structured and explicit manner, MCDA fosters a transparent, participative, consistent decision-making process taking into consideration values of all stakeholders. This paper by FIFARMA (Latin American Federation of Pharmaceutical Industry) proposes the deliberative (partial) MCDA as a more pragmatic, agile approach, especially when newly implemented. Methods: Literature review including real-world examples of effective MCDA implementation in healthcare decision making in both the public and private sector worldwide and in LA. Results and conclusion: It is the view of FIFARMA that MCDA should strongly be considered as a tool to support HTA and broader healthcare decision making such as the contracts and tenders process in order to foster transparency, fairness, and collaboration amongst stakeholders.

Burden of disease and unmet needs in tuberous sclerosis complex with neurological manifestations: systematic review.

OBJECTIVES: Tuberous sclerosis complex (TSC) is a progressive genetic disorder characterized by pervasive benign tumor growth. We sought to assess the current understanding of burden of TSC-related neurological manifestations. METHODS: We systematically searched MEDLINE- and EMBASE-indexed, English-language literature (5/2000-5/2010) and non-indexed materials. RESULTS: In total, 119 articles were included, 115 on epidemiology and treatment. Recent prevalence estimates from Ireland and Taiwan report TSC in 1:14,000-25,000 individuals, below older estimates of 1:10,000. While neurological manifestations are common, treatment is largely unaddressed by guidelines and focuses on symptoms, with resection standard for subependymal giant cell astrocytomas (SEGAs) and common practice for refractory epilepsy. Antiepileptic drugs and mammalian target of rapamycin inhibitors safely, effectively minimize the need for surgery for severe epilepsy and SEGAs. CONCLUSION: Morbidity and treatment burden of prevalent neurological manifestations is significant, suggesting substantial economic and humanistic burden; however, these areas are poorly studied, indicating total disease burden is unknown. Future research should assess quality of life, caregiver burden, and costs.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of somatostatin analogues in the treatment of acromegaly in Brazil.

This study aims to compare economic and patient impacts of the treatment of acromegaly with two different somatostatin analogues (octreotide LAR and lanreotide SR) in Brazil. A cost-effectiveness analysis was carried out under the Brazilian Public Health Care System (SUS) perspective. A decision analytical model was developed based on the Brazilian Public Health Care System Clinical Guideline for Acromegaly. A hypothetical cohort of 276 patients was followed for two years. Data were extracted from literature and administrative databases. Based on the analytical model, treatment with octreotide LAR would avoid 12 and 17 cases of GH and IGF-I elevated serum levels, respectively. Octreotide LAR was a cost-saving strategy, with net savings of R$10,448,324 (US$4,465,096) to SUS. Annual net savings per patient were R$ 18,928 (US$8,089). Treatment of acromegaly with octreotide LAR is a dominant strategy when compared to the treatment with lanreotide SR in Brazil. Sensitivity analysis did not alter the cost-saving status.

Rotavirus morbidity and mortality in children in Brazil.

OBJECTIVE: To study the epidemiology of rotavirus and estimate rotavirus-associated morbidity and mortality in children

Cost-effectiveness analysis of routine rotavirus vaccination in Brazil.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to conduct a cost-effectiveness analysis of a universal rotavirus vaccination program among children < or = 5 years of age in Brazil. METHODS: Considering a hypothetical annual cohort of approximately 3,300,000 newborns followed over 5 years, a decision-tree model was constructed to examine the possible clinical and economic effects of rotavirus infection with and without routine vaccination of children. Probabilities and unit costs were derived from published research and national administrative data. The impact of different estimates for key parameters was studied using sensitivity analysis. The analysis was conducted from both healthcare system and societal perspectives. RESULTS: The vaccination program was estimated to prevent approximately 1,735,351 (54%) of the 3 210 361 cases of rotavirus gastroenteritis and 703 (75%) of 933 rotavirus-associated deaths during the 5-year period. At a vaccine price of 18.6 Brazilian reais (R$) per dose, this program would cost R$121,673,966 and would save R$38,536,514 in direct costs to the public healthcare system and R$71,778,377 in direct and indirect costs to society. The program was estimated to cost R$1,028 and R$1,713 per life-years saved (LYS) from the societal and healthcare system perspectives, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Universal rotavirus vaccination was a cost-effective strategy for both perspectives. However, these findings are highly sensitive to diarrhea incidence rate, proportion of severe cases, vaccine coverage, and vaccine price.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of somatostatin analogues in the treatment of acromegaly in Brazil / Análise de custo-efetividade de análogos da somatostatina no tratamento de acromegalia no Brasil

This study aims to compare economic and patient impacts of the treatment of acromegaly with two different somatostatin analogues (octreotide LAR and lanreotide SR) in Brazil. A cost-effectiveness analysis was carried out under the Brazilian Public Health Care System (SUS) perspective. A decision analytical model was developed based on the Brazilian Public Health Care System Clinical Guideline for Acromegaly. A hypothetical cohort of 276 patients was followed for two years. Data were extracted from literature and administrative databases. Based on the analytical model, treatment with octreotide LAR would avoid 12 and 17 cases of GH and IGF-I elevated serum levels, respectively. Octreotide LAR was a cost-saving strategy, with net savings of R$10,448,324 (US$4,465,096) to SUS. Annual net savings per patient were R$ 18,928 (US$8,089). Treatment of acromegaly with octreotide LAR is a dominant strategy when compared to the treatment with lanreotide SR in Brazil. Sensitivity analysis did not alter the cost-saving status.

O objetivo deste estudo é comparar o impacto econômico e o impacto nos pacientes com acromegalia do tratamento com dois diferentes análogos de somatostatina (octreotida LAR e lanreotide SR) no Brasil. Um estudo de custoefetividade foi realizado a partir da perspectiva do Sistema Único de Saúde (SUS). Foi desenvolvido um modelo analítico de decisão baseado no Protocolo Clínico e Diretrizes Terapêuticas de Acromegalia do SUS. Uma coorte hipotética de 276 pacientes foi seguida por dois anos. Dados foram obtidos da literatura e bases de dados oficiais do SUS. Baseado no modelo analítico, o tratamento com octreotida LAR evitaria 12 e 17 casos com níveis elevados de GH e IGF-I, respectivamente. Octreotida LAR foi uma estratégia econômica, gerando economia de R$10.448.324 (US$4.465.096) para o SUS. A economia anual por paciente foi de R$18.928 (US$8.089). O tratamento de acromegalia com octreotida LAR é estratégia dominante quando comparado com o tratamento com lanreotida SR no Brasil. A análise de sensibilidade não alterou seu status de econômica.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of routine rotavirus vaccination in Brazil / Análisis de la relación costo-efectividad de la vacunación programada contra rotavirus en Brasil

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to conduct a cost-effectiveness analysis of a universal rotavirus vaccination program among children < 5 years of age in Brazil. METHODS: Considering a hypothetical annual cohort of approximately 3 300 000 newborns followed over 5 years, a decision-tree model was constructed to examine the possible clinical and economic effects of rotavirus infection with and without routine vaccination of children. Probabilities and unit costs were derived from published research and national administrative data. The impact of different estimates for key parameters was studied using sensitivity analysis. The analysis was conducted from both healthcare system and societal perspectives. RESULTS: The vaccination program was estimated to prevent approximately 1 735 351 (54 percent) of the 3 210 361 cases of rotavirus gastroenteritis and 703 (75 percent) of 933 rotavirus-associated deaths during the 5-year period. At a vaccine price of 18.6 Brazilian reais (R$) per dose, this program would cost R$121 673 966 and would save R$38 536 514 in direct costs to the public healthcare system and R$71 778 377 in direct and indirect costs to society. The program was estimated to cost R$1 028 and R$1 713 per life-years saved (LYS) from the societal and healthcare system perspectives, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Universal rotavirus vaccination was a cost-effective strategy for both perspectives. However, these findings are highly sensitive to diarrhea incidence rate, proportion of severe cases, vaccine coverage, and vaccine price.

OBJETIVO: Analizar la relación costo-efectividad de un programa universal de vacunación contra rotavirus en niños de hasta 5 años en Brasil. MÉTODOS: Se consideró una cohorte hipotética anual de aproximadamente 3 300 000 recién nacidos con un seguimiento de 5 años. Mediante un modelo de árbol de decisión se analizaron los posibles efectos clínicos y económicos de la infección por rotavirus con la vacunación programada de niños y sin ella. Las probabilidades y los costos unitarios se tomaron de investigaciones publicadas y de los datos oficiales nacionales. Para evaluar el impacto de diferentes estimados de los parámetros clave se realizó un análisis de sensibilidad. El análisis se efectuó tanto desde la perspectiva del sistema sanitario como de la sociedad. RESULTADOS: Se estimó que el programa de vacunación evitaría aproximadamente 1 735 351 (54 por ciento) de los 3 210 361 casos de gastroenteritis por rotavirus y 703 (75 por ciento) de las 933 muertes asociadas con la infección por rotavirus en un período de 5 años. A un precio de la vacuna de 18,6 reales brasileños (R$) por dosis, este programa costaría R$ 121 673 966 y ahorraría R$ 38 536 514 en costos directos al sistema de salud pública y R$ 71 778 377 en costos directos e indirectos a la sociedad. El costo estimado del programa por año de vida salvado sería de R$ 1 028 y R$ 1 713, desde el punto de vista de la sociedad y del sistema de salud, respectivamente. CONCLUSIONES: La estrategia de vacunación universal contra rotavirus presentó una buena relación costo-efectividad según ambas perspectivas. Sin embargo, estos resultados son muy sensibles a cambios en la incidencia de diarreas, la proporción de casos graves, la cobertura de vacunación y el precio de la vacuna.

Rotavirus morbidity and mortality in children in Brazil / Morbilidad y mortalidad por rotavirus en niños en Brasil

OBJECTIVE: To study the epidemiology of rotavirus and estimate rotavirus-associated morbidity and mortality in children < 5 years of age in Brazil in 2004 before introducing the rotavirus vaccine in Brazil's National Immunization Program (Programa Nacional de Imunizações, PNI). METHODS: To estimate rotavirus morbidity, published studies (1999-2006) addressing incidence of acute diarrhea among children < 5 years of age and frequency of rotavirus infection among children with diarrhea in Brazil were reviewed. Diarrhea episodes were divided into three categories of severity by level of care: mild cases requiring only home-based care; moderate cases requiring a visit to an outpatient healthcare facility; and severe cases requiring hospitalization. To estimate rotavirus mortality, information on the number of registered deaths from diarrhea in children < 5 years of age was obtained from the Mortality Information System (Sistema de Informação sobre Mortalidade, SIM) of Brazil's public healthcare system (Sistema Único de Saúde, SUS) and the proportion of deaths due to rotavirus was calculated. RESULTS: Rotavirus infections were estimated to cause 3 525 053 episodes of diarrhea, 655 853 visits to outpatient healthcare facilities, 92 453 hospitalizations, and 850 deaths of children < 5 years of age each year in Brazil. CONCLUSION: Rotavirus infections are an important cause of child morbidity and mortality in Brazil.

OBJETIVOS: Analizar la epidemiología del rotavirus y estimar la morbilidad y la mortalidad asociadas con las infecciones por rotavirus en niños < 5 años de edad en Brasil en 2004, antes de incluir la vacuna contra el rotavirus en el Programa Nacional de Inmunizaciones (PNI). MÉTODOS: Para estimar la morbilidad por rotavirus se revisaron los estudios publicados (1999-2006) que abordaban la incidencia de diarrea aguda en niños < 5 años de edad y la frecuencia de las infecciones por rotavirus en niños con diarrea en Brasil. Los casos de diarrea se dividieron en tres categorías de gravedad según el nivel de atención que requirieron: casos leves que solo requirieron atención domiciliaria, casos moderados que requirieron la visita a un servicio ambulatorio de salud y casos graves que requirieron hospitalización. Para estimar la mortalidad por rotavirus se utilizó el número de muertes registradas por diarrea en niños de < 5 años, según el Sistema de Información sobre Mortalidad (SIM) del Sistema Único de Salud (SUS) de Brasil, y se calculó la proporción de muertes causadas por este virus. RESULTADOS: Se estimó que las infecciones por rotavirus causan anualmente 3 525 053 casos de diarrea, 655 853 visitas a servicios ambulatorios de salud, 92 453 hospitalizaciones y 850 muertes en niños < 5 años de edad en Brasil. CONCLUSIONES: Las infecciones por rotavirus constituyen una importante causa de morbilidad y mortalidad en Brasil.

Avaliações econômicas de programas de vacinação: as estimativas de custos em intervenções preventivas / Economic evaluations of vaccination programmes: cost estimates of preventive interventions

Esta tese representa o aprofundamento do estudo das estimativas de custos, componente integrante e determinante das avaliações econômicas, enquanto parte do projeto de pesquisa Estudos de custo-efetividade da incorporação de novas vacinas à rotina do Programa Nacional de Imunizações: Rotavírus, Varicela, Pneumocócica conjugada, Meningocócica C conjugada e Hepatite A desenvolvido por solicitação do Programa Nacional de Imunização/PNI da Secretaria de Vigilância em Saúde/SVS do Ministério da Saúde, a partir de 2005. A tese teve como objetivo analisar as condições de uso, dificuldades e repercussões de diferentes métodos de estimativas de custos em estudos de custo-efetividade de vacinas de duas tecnologias específicas, vacinas contra rotavírus e varicela, assim como a relação entre as estimativas de custos e os resultados. As estimativas de custos estão condicionadas pelas características gerais da doença sob análise (aguda no caso de rotavírus e com seqüela no caso de varicela), assim como por questões metodológicas gerais (escolha teórico-conceitual, métodos e fontes de dados) e especificidades do caso brasileiro. Para esta tese, houve maior detalhamento das estimativas de custos diretos no cuidado da doença, com a inclusão de custos específicos do sistema de saúde suplementar para as duas doenças, inclusão de participação pública na dispensação de medicamentos no caso de rotavírus e inclusão de custos de medicamentos do sistema público de saúde no caso de varicela. Como resultado, houve aumento do custo total da doença estimado de 16% para rotavírus e 11% para varicela, assim como aumento de economia (custo total da doença evitado) de 18% e 16%, respectivamente, com a introdução de cada vacina. Apesar do maior detalhamento das estimativas de custos ter reduzido a razão de custo-efetividade incremental em 20% para rotavírus e 4% para varicela, o nível de custo-efetividade dos dois programas de vacinação não foi alterado. Os resultados das avaliações...

This thesis represents a deeper study of the cost estimates, an integrant and determinative component of economic evaluations, as part of the project Costeffectiveness studies of the incorporation of new vaccines into the routine of the National Immunisation Program: Rotavirus, Varicella, Pneumococcal conjugate, Meningococcal C conjugate and Hepatitis A. The project has been developed on the request of the National Immunisation Program/PNI of the Secretary of Sanitary Surveillance/SVS of the Ministry of Health since 2005. The objective of the thesis was to analyse the conditions of use, difficulties and repercussions of different cost estimates methods in the cost-effectiveness studies of two specific technologies, vaccines against rotavirus and varicella, as well as the relationship between the cost estimates and the results. The cost estimates are conditioned by general characteristics of the disease under analysis (acute in the case of rotavirus and with long-term disability in the case of varicella), general methodological issues (theoretical choice, methods and sources of data) and specificities to the Brazilian case. This thesis brings a more detailed estimation of direct medical costs, with the inclusion of specific costs of the private health care system for the two diseases, inclusion of public participation for dispensing drugs in the case of rotavirus and inclusion of drugs costs in the public health care system in the case of varicella. As a result, there was an estimated disease total cost increase of 16% for rotavirus and 11% for varicella, as well as increase of savings (disease total cost avoided) of 18% and 16%, respectively, with the introduction of each vaccine. Although the more detailed cost estimates have reduced the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio by 20% for rotavirus and 4% for varicella, the cost-effectiveness level of the two vaccination programs was not altered. The results of the economic evaluations of vaccination...