The Impact of Low Skeletal Muscle Mass on Short- and Long-Term Outcomes After Cytoreductive Surgery and Hyperthermic Intraperitoneal Chemotherapy.

BACKGROUND: Cytoreductive surgery (CRS) with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC) is a potentially curative treatment for peritoneal metastases from colorectal cancer (CRC) or pseudomyxoma peritonei (PMP). Because of the considerable morbidity of this treatment, optimal patient selection is key. This study aimed to assess the impact of low skeletal muscle mass (SMM) on outcomes after CRS-HIPEC. METHODS: Patients who underwent CRS-HIPEC between 2014 and 2020 at a tertiary center were included. SMM was measured on computed tomography by means of the L3 muscle index. Postoperative complications and survival outcomes were compared between groups by use of logistic regression and Kaplan-Meier survival analyses. RESULTS: Of 284 included patients, 149 had low SMM. Occurrence of severe postoperative complications did not differ between groups (28.9% for patients with low vs. 34.1% for patients with normal SMM). Low SMM was not associated with postoperative complications (p = 0.344). For CRC patients, no significant differences were observed in disease-free (DFS) or overall survival (OS) between patients with low (median DFS 7 months [IQR 4-14], median OS 33 months [IQR 14-NR]) and patients with normal SMM (median DFS 8 months [IQR 5-20], median OS 35 months [IQR 18-NR]). Regarding PMP, survival outcomes did not significantly differ between groups (3-year DFS 47.3% for patients with low SMM vs. 54.5% for patients with normal SMM, p = 0.676; 3-year OS 70.8% vs. 90.9% respectively, p = 0.172). CONCLUSIONS: Low SMM could not be identified as a predictor of severe complications or survival outcomes after CRS-HIPEC.

Sarcopenia as a Predictor of Survival in Patients with Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma After Pancreatectomy.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether sarcopenia can potentially predict worse survival after resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. BACKGROUND: Sarcopenia is correlated with poor outcomes in hepatopancreatobiliary malignancies, but the relationship of both its qualitative and quantitative features with patient survival after pancreatectomy has not been investigated in a western population. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Preoperative cross-sectional computed tomography scans of consecutive patients who underwent pancreatectomy in 2005-2017 were evaluated for skeletal muscle index (SMI), intramuscular adipose tissue content (IMAC), and visceral-to-subcutaneous adipose tissue area ratio (VSR). Sex-specific categorical cut-offs were determined. Findings were correlated with outcome. RESULTS: The study included 111 patients, 47% of whom were female, with a median age of 67 years (range: 35-87 years), and median body mass index of 23 kg/m2 (range: 16-40 kg/m2); 77% had a Whipple procedure and 66% received adjuvant chemotherapy. Low SMI correlated with poor overall survival (OS) (P = 0.007), disease-specific survival (DSS) (P = 0.006), and recurrence-free survival (RFS) (P = 0.01). High IMAC correlated with poor OS (P = 0.04). Patients with high IMAC tended to have a shorter DSS (P = 0.09), with no correlation with RFS (P = 0.6). VSR was not associated with survival. Multivariable analysis yielded an independent association of low SMI with OS (HR = 1.7, 95%CI: 1.1-2.8, P = 0.02), DSS (HR = 1.8, 95%CI: 1.03-3.2, P = 0.04), and RFS (HR = 1.8, 95%CI: 1.1-2.8, P = 0.01), and of high IMAC with OS (HR = 1.9, 95%CI: 1.1-3.1, P = 0.01). CONCLUSION: Both qualitative and quantitative measures of skeletal muscle were independently associated with impaired survival in patients with resectable PDAC. Sarcopenia might serve as an early radiographic surrogate of aggressive tumor behavior, with potential implications for clinical decision-making and future study.

Absence of association between CT-assessed skeletal muscle mass and long-term oncological outcomes after curative therapy for colorectal liver metastasis.

BACKGROUND: Sarcopenia is associated with impaired short- and long-term outcomes in gastrointestinal cancers. Whether sarcopenia is associated with impaired survival after local therapy of Colorectal Cancer Liver Metastases (CRLM) remains controversial. This study aimed to determine the influence of sarcopenia on long-term outcomes after curative-intent therapy for CRLM. METHODS: Patients undergoing local therapy for CRLM between 2003 and 2019 were retrospectively analyzed using the skeletal muscle index at the level of the third lumbar vertebra as an indicator of sarcopenia. Factors associated with overall (OS) and disease-free (DFS) survival were analyzed using univariable and multivariable cox regression. RESULTS: In total 213/465 patients (46%) were considered sarcopenic. Sarcopenic patients had no impaired 5-year OS or DFS compared to non-sarcopenic patients, 38% vs 44% (p = 0.153) and 19 vs 23% (p = 0.339) respectively. Sarcopenia was not associated with impaired OS (HR = 1.11, 95%CI = 0.85-1.46, p = 0.43) or DFS (HR = 0.99, 95%CI = 0.77-1.28, p = 0.96) in multivariable analysis. There were no significant differences in postoperative complications (p = 0.47), the incidence (p = 0.65) and treatment (p = 0.37) of recurrent metastases. Five-year OS after resection for recurrences was 14% (sarcopenic) and 22% (non-sarcopenic) p 0.716. CONCLUSION: Sarcopenia assessed by computed tomography was not associated with impaired survival outcomes in the group of CRLM patients overall.

Sarcopenia and long-term survival outcomes after local therapy for colorectal liver metastasis: a meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Sarcopenia is defined as either low pre-operative muscle mass or low muscle density on abdominal CT imaging. It has been associated with worse short-term outcomes after surgery for colorectal liver metastases. This study aimed to evaluate whether sarcopenia also impacts long-term survival outcomes in these patients. METHODS: A random-effects meta-analysis was conducted following the PRISMA guidelines. Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) outcomes were evaluated. RESULTS: Eleven studies were included, ten reporting on the impact of low muscle mass and four on low muscle density. Sample sizes ranged between 47 and 539 (2124 patients in total). Altogether, 897 (42%) patients were considered sarcopenic, although definitions varied between studies. Median follow-up was 21-74 months. Low muscle mass (hazard ration (HR) 1.35, 95%CI 1.08-1.68) and low muscle density (HR 1.97, 95%CI 1.07-3.62) were associated with impaired OS. Low muscle mass (pooled HR 1.17, 95%CI 0.94-1.46) and low muscle density (pooled HR 1.13, 95%CI 0.85-1.50) were not associated with impaired RFS. DISCUSSION: Sarcopenia is associated with poorer OS, but not RFS, in patients with CRLM. Additional studies with standardized sarcopenia definitions are needed to better assess the impact of sarcopenia in patients with CRLM.

Eligibility for Liver Transplantation in Patients with Perihilar Cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Liver transplantation (LT) has been performed in a select group of patients presenting with unresectable or primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC)-associated perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (pCCA) in the Mayo Clinic with a reported 5-year overall survival (OS) of 53% on intention-to-treat analysis. The objective of this study was to estimate eligibility for LT in a cohort of pCCA patients in two tertiary referral centers. METHODS: Patients diagnosed with pCCA between 2002 and 2014 were included from two tertiary referral centers in the Netherlands. The selection criteria used by the Mayo Clinic were retrospectively applied to determine the proportion of patients that would have been eligible for LT. RESULTS: A total of 732 consecutive patients with pCCA were identified, of whom 24 (4%) had PSC-associated pCCA. Overall, 154 patients had resectable disease on imaging and 335 patients were ineligible for LT because of lymph node or distant metastases. An age limit of 70 years led to the exclusion of 50 patients who would otherwise be eligible for LT. After applying the Mayo Clinic criteria, only 34 patients (5%) were potentially eligible for LT. Median survival from diagnosis for these 34 patients was 13 months (95% CI 3-23). CONCLUSION: Only 5% of all patients presenting with pCCA were potentially eligible for LT under the Mayo criteria. Without transplantation, a median OS of about 1 year was observed.

Actual survival after resection of primary colorectal cancer: results from a prospective multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer is the third most common type of cancer in the world. We characterize a cohort of patients who survived up to 5 years without recurrence and identify factors predicting the probability of cure. METHODS: We analyzed data of patients who underwent curative intent surgery for stage I-III CRC between 2007 and 2012 and who had had been included in a large multicenter study in the Netherlands. Cure was defined as 5-year survival without recurrence. Survival data were retrieved from a national registry. RESULTS: Analysis of data of 754 patients revealed a cure rate of 65% (n = 490). Patients with stage I disease and T1- and N0-tumor had the highest probability of cure (94%, 95% and 90%, respectively). Those with a T4-tumor or N2-tumor had the lowest probability of cure (62% and 50%, respectively). A peak in the mortality rate for older patients early in follow-up suggests early excess mortality as an explanation. A similar trend was observed for stage III disease, poor tumor grade, postoperative complications, sarcopenia, and R1 resections. Patients with stage III disease, poor tumor grade, postoperative complications, sarcopenia, and R1 resections show a similar trend for decrease in CSS deaths over time. CONCLUSION: In the studied cohort, the probability of cure for patients with stage I-III CRC ranged from 50 to 95%. Even though most patients will be cured from CRC with standard therapy, standard therapy is insufficient for those with poor prognostic factors, such as high T- and N-stage and poor differentiation grade.

Quality and performance of validated prognostic models for survival after resection of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this systematic review was to evaluate the performance of prognostic survival models for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) when validated in an external dataset. Furthermore, it sought to identify common prognostic factors across models, and assess methodological quality of the studies in which the models were developed. METHODS: The PRISMA guidelines were followed. External validation studies of prognostic models for patients with iCCA were searched in 5 databases. Model performance was assessed by discrimination and calibration. RESULTS: Thirteen external validation studies were identified, validating 18 different prognostic models. The Wang model was the sole model with good performance (C-index above 0.70) for overall survival. This model incorporated tumor size and number, lymph node metastasis, direct invasion into surrounding tissue, vascular invasion, Carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9, and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA). Methodological quality was poor in 11/12 statistical models. The Wang model had the highest score with 13 out of 17 points. CONCLUSION: The Wang model for prognosis after resection of iCCA has good quality and good performance at external validation, while most prognostic models for iCCA have been developed with poor methodological quality and show poor performance at external validation.

Improved survival prediction and comparison of prognostic models for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated with sorafenib.

BACKGROUND: The 'Prediction Of Survival in Advanced Sorafenib-treated HCC' (PROSASH) model addressed the heterogeneous survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with sorafenib in clinical trials but requires validation in daily clinical practice. This study aimed to validate, compare and optimize this model for survival prediction. METHODS: Patients treated with sorafenib for HCC at five tertiary European centres were retrospectively staged according to the PROSASH model. In addition, the optimized PROSASH-II model was developed using the data of four centres (training set) and tested in an independent dataset. These models for overall survival (OS) were then compared with existing prognostic models. RESULTS: The PROSASH model was validated in 445 patients, showing clear differences between the four risk groups (OS 16.9-4.6 months). A total of 920 patients (n = 615 in training set, n = 305 in validation set) were available to develop PROSASH-II. This optimized model incorporated fewer and less subjective parameters: the serum albumin, bilirubin and alpha-foetoprotein, and macrovascular invasion, extrahepatic spread and largest tumour size on imaging. Both PROSASH and PROSASH-II showed improved discrimination (C-index 0.62 and 0.63, respectively) compared with existing prognostic scores (C-index ≤0.59). CONCLUSIONS: In HCC patients treated with sorafenib, individualized prediction of survival and risk group stratification using baseline prognostic and predictive parameters with the PROSASH model was validated. The refined PROSASH-II model performed at least as good with fewer and more objective parameters. PROSASH-II can be used as a tool for tailored treatment of HCC in daily practice and to define pre-planned subgroups for future studies.

Low Skeletal Muscle Density Is Associated with Early Death in Patients with Perihilar Cholangiocarcinoma Regardless of Subsequent Treatment.

BACKGROUND: Low skeletal muscle mass is associated with increased postoperative morbidity and worse survival following resection for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (PHC). We investigated the predictive value of skeletal muscle mass and density for overall survival (OS) of all patients with suspected PHC, regardless of treatment. METHODS: Baseline characteristics and parameters regarding disease and treatment were collected from all patients with PHC from 2002 to 2014. Skeletal muscle mass and density were measured at the level of the third lumbar vertebra on CT. The association between skeletal muscle mass and density with OS was investigated using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox survival. RESULTS: Median OS in 233 included patients did not differ between those with and without low skeletal muscle mass (p = 0.203), whereas a significantly different median OS (months) was observed between patients with low (HR 7.0, 95% CI 4.7-9.3) and high (HR 12.1, 95% CI 8.1-16.1) skeletal muscle density (p = 0.004). Low skeletal muscle density was independently associated with decreased OS (HR 1.78, 95% CI 1.03-3.07, p = 0.040) within the first 6 months but not after 6 months (HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.44-1.07, p = 0.093), after adjusting for age, tumour size and suspected peritoneal or other distant metastases on imaging. CONCLUSION: A time-dependent effect of skeletal muscle density on OS was found in patients with PHC, regardless of subsequent treatment. Low skeletal muscle density may identify patients at risk for early death.

A preoperative prognostic model to predict surgical success in patients with perihilar cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Patients with resectable perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (PHC) on imaging have a substantial risk of metastatic or locally advanced disease, incomplete (R1) resection, and 90-day mortality. Our aim was to develop a preoperative prognostic model to predict surgical success, defined as a complete (R0) resection without 90-day mortality, in patients with resectable PHC on imaging. STUDY DESIGN: Patients with PHC who underwent exploratory laparotomy in three tertiary referral centers were identified. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify preoperatively available prognostic factors. A prognostic model was developed using data from two European centers and validated in one American center. RESULTS: In total, 671 patients with PHC underwent exploratory laparotomy. In the derivation cohort, surgical success was achieved in 102 of 331 patients (30.8%). No resection was performed in 176 patients (53.2%) because of metastatic or locally advanced disease. Of the 155 patients (46.8%) who underwent a resection, 38 (24.5%) had an R1-resection. Of the remaining 117 (35.3%), 15 (12.8%) had 90-day mortality. Independent poor prognostic factors for surgical success were identified, and a preoperative prognostic model was developed with a concordance index of 0.71. External validation showed good concordance (0.70). CONCLUSION: Surgical success was achieved in only 30% of patients with PHC undergoing exploratory laparotomy and could be predicted by age, cholangitis, hepatic artery involvement, lymph node metastases, and Blumgart stage.

Are we SHARP enough? The importance of adequate patient selection in sorafenib treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Upon FDA/EMEA registration for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), sorafenib received a broader therapeutic indication than the eligibility criteria of the landmark SHARP trial. This allowed treatment of SHARP non-eligible patients in daily clinical practice. AIM: To assess sorafenib efficacy and safety in SHARP eligible and non-eligible patients, and determine the validity of the current therapeutic indication as described by the FDA/EMEA. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Consecutive patients treated with sorafenib for advanced HCC at two Dutch tertiary referral centers between 2007 and 2016 were analyzed retrospectively. Primary outcome was overall survival (OS). Secondary outcomes were time to progression (TTP), response rate, adverse events and reasons for discontinuation. Outcomes were compared between SHARP eligible and non-eligible patients. RESULTS: One hundred and ninety-three of 257 (75%) patients were SHARP eligible. SHARP eligible patients (9.5 months, 95% CI 7.7-11.3) had a longer median OS than non-eligible patients (5.4 months, 95% CI 3.6-7.1) (log-rank p < .001). SHARP non-eligible patients were more often Child-Pugh B, had higher AST and ALT levels and developed more grade 3-4 liver dysfunction (44 versus 23%, p < .001) during treatment. SHARP ineligibility remained the strongest predictor of OS (HR 1.78, 95% CI 1.32-2.41) and an independent predictor of TTP (HR 1.45, 95% CI 1.05-2.00) in multivariable analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Landmark trial outcomes of sorafenib for HCC are reproducible in daily practice, provided that the SHARP eligibility criteria are respected. Based on the findings of this and previous studies, sorafenib usage should be restricted to Child-Pugh A patients.

Low skeletal muscle mass is associated with increased hospital costs in patients with cirrhosis listed for liver transplantation-a retrospective study.

Low skeletal muscle mass (sarcopenia) is associated with increased morbidity and mortality in liver transplant candidates. We investigated the association between sarcopenia and hospital costs in patients listed for liver transplantation. Consecutive patients with cirrhosis listed for liver transplantation between 2007 and 2014 in a Eurotransplant centre were identified. The skeletal muscle index (SMI, cm2 /m2 ) was measured on CT performed within 90 days from waiting list placement. The lowest sex-spe cific quartile represented patients with sarcopenia. In total, 224 patients were included. Median time on the waiting list was 170 (IQR 47-306) days, and median MELD score was 16 (IQR 11-20). The median total hospital costs in patients with sarcopenia were €11 294 (IQR 3570-46 469) compared with €6878 (IQR 1305-20 683) in patients without sarcopenia (P = 0.008). In multivariable regression analysis, an incremental increase in SMI was significantly associated with a decrease in total costs (€455 per incremental SMI, 95% CI 11-900, P = 0.045), independent of the total time on the waiting list. In conclusion, sarcopenia is independently associated with increased health-related costs for patients on the waiting list for liver transplantation. Optimizing skeletal muscle mass may therefore lead to a decrease in hospital expenditure, in addition to greater health benefit for the transplant candidate.

The prognostic value of portal vein and hepatic artery involvement in patients with perihilar cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Although several classifications of perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (PHC) include vascular involvement, its prognostic value has not been investigated. Our aim was to assess the prognostic value of unilateral and main/bilateral involvement of the portal vein (PV) and hepatic artery (HA) on imaging in patients with PHC. METHODS: All patients with PHC between 2002 and 2014 were included regardless of stage or management. Vascular involvement was defined as apparent tumor contact of at least 180° to the PV or HA on imaging. Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank test was used to compare overall survival (OS) between groups. Cox regression was used for multivariable analysis. RESULTS: In total, 674 patients were included with a median OS of 12.2 (95% CI 10.6-13.7) months. Patients with unilateral PV involvement had a median OS of 13.3 (11.0-15.7) months, compared with 14.7 (11.7-17.6) in patients without PV involvement (p = 0.12). Patients with main/bilateral PV involvement had an inferior median OS of 8.0 (5.4-10.7, p < 0.001) months. Median OS for patients with unilateral HA involvement was 10.6 (9.3-12.0) months compared with 16.9 (13.2-20.5) in patients without HA involvement (p < 0.001). Patients with main/bilateral HA involvement had an inferior median OS of 6.9 (3.3-10.5, p < 0.001). Independent poor prognostic factors included unilateral and main/bilateral HA involvement, but not PV involvement. CONCLUSION: Both unilateral and main HA involvement are independent poor prognostic factors for OS in patients presenting with PHC, whereas PV involvement is not.

Anatomical Resections Improve Disease-free Survival in Patients With KRAS-mutated Colorectal Liver Metastases.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the potential clinical advantage of anatomical resection versus nonanatomical resection for colorectal liver metastases, according to KRAS mutational status. BACKGROUND: KRAS-mutated colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) are known to be more aggressive than KRAS wild-type tumors. Although nonanatomical liver resections have been demonstrated as a viable approach for CRLM patients with similar oncologic outcomes to anatomical resections, this may not be the case for the subset of KRAS-mutated CRLM. METHODS: 389 patients who underwent hepatic resection of CRLM with known KRAS mutational status were identified. Survival estimates were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and multivariable analysis was conducted using the Cox proportional hazards regression model. RESULTS: In this study, 165 patients (42.4%) underwent nonanatomical resections and 140 (36.0%) presented with KRAS-mutated CRLM. Median disease-free survival (DFS) in the entire cohort was 21.3 months, whereas 1-, 3-, and 5-year DFS was 67.3%, 34.9%, and 31.5% respectively. Although there was no difference in DFS between anatomical and nonanatomical resections in patients with KRAS wild-type tumors (P = 0.142), a significant difference in favor of anatomical resection was observed in patients with a KRAS mutation (10.5 vs. 33.8 months; P < 0.001). Five-year DFS was only 14.4% in the nonanatomically resected group, versus 46.4% in the anatomically resected group. This observation persisted in multivariable analysis (hazard ratio: 0.45; 95% confidence interval: 0.27-0.74; P = 0.002), when corrected for number of tumors, bilobar disease, and intraoperative ablations. CONCLUSIONS: Nonanatomical tissue-sparing hepatectomies are associated with worse DFS in patients with KRAS-mutated tumors. Because of the aggressive nature of KRAS-mutated CRLM, more extensive anatomical hepatectomies may be warranted.

Validation of the Mayo Clinic Staging System in Determining Prognoses of Patients With Perihilar Cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Most systems for staging perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (PHC) have been developed for the minority of patients with resectable disease. The recently developed Mayo Clinic system for staging PHC requires only clinical and radiologic variables, but has not yet been validated. We performed a retrospective study to validate the Mayo Clinic staging system. METHODS: We identified consecutive patients with suspected PHC who were evaluated and treated at 2 tertiary centers in The Netherlands, from January 2002 through December 2014. Baseline characteristics (performance status, carbohydrate antigen 19-9 level) used in the staging system were collected from medical records and imaging parameters (tumor size, suspected vascular involvement, and metastatic disease) were reassessed by 2 experienced abdominal radiologists. Overall survival was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and comparison of staging groups was performed using the log-rank test and Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. Discriminative performance was quantified by the concordance index and compared with the radiologic TNM staging of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (7th ed). RESULTS: PHCs from 600 patients were staged according to the Mayo Clinic model (23 stage I, 80 stage II, 357 stage III, and 140 stage IV). The median overall survival time was 11.6 months. The median overall survival times for patients with stages I, II, III, and IV were 33.2 months, 19.7 months, 12.1 months, and 6.0 months, respectively; with hazard ratios of 1.0 (reference), 2.02 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.14-3.58), 2.71 (95% CI, 1.59-4.64), and 4.00 (95% CI, 2.30-6.95), respectively (P < .001). The concordance index score was 0.59 for the entire cohort (95% CI, 0.56-0.61). The Mayo Clinic model performed slightly better than the radiologic American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM system. CONCLUSIONS: In a retrospective study of 600 patients with PHC, we validated the Mayo Clinic system for staging PHC. This 4-tier staging system may aid clinicians in making treatment decisions, such as referral for surgery, and predicting survival times.

Performance of prognostic scores and staging systems in predicting long-term survival outcomes after surgery for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.

INTRODUCTION: We sought to validate the commonly used prognostic models and staging systems for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) in a large multi-center patient cohort. METHODS: The overall (OS) and disease free survival (DFS) prognostic discriminatory ability of various commonly used models were assessed in a large retrospective cohort. Harrell's concordance index (c-index) was used to determine accuracy of model prediction. RESULTS: Among 1054 ICC patients, median OS was 37.7 months and 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival, were 78.8%, 51.5%, and 39.3%, respectively. Recurrence of disease occurred in 454 (43.0%) patients with a median DFS of 29.6 months. One-, 3- and 5- year DFS were 64.6%, 46.5 % and 44.4%, respectively. The prognostic models associated with the best OS prediction were the Wang nomogram (c-index 0.668) and the Nathan staging system (c-index 0.639). No model was proficient in predicting DFS. Only the Wang nomogram exceeded a c-index of 0.6 for DFS (c-index 0.602). The c-index for the AJCC staging system was 0.637 for OS and 0.582 for DFS. CONCLUSIONS: While the Wang nomogram had the best discriminatory ability relative to OS and DFS, no ICC staging system or nomogram demonstrated excellent prognostic discrimination. The AJCC staging for ICC performed reasonably, although its overall discrimination was only modest-to-good.

Conditional survival in patients with unresectable perihilar cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Conditional survival is the life expectancy from a point in time for a patient who has survived a specific period after presentation. The aim of the study was to estimate conditional survival for patients with unresectable perihilar cholangiocarcinoma. METHODS: Patients with unresectable perihilar cholangiocarcinoma from two academic hospitals in the Netherlands between 2002 and 2012 were assessed. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis was performed to identify risk factors associated with overall survival. Survival was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method to evaluate factors associated with overall survival. RESULTS: In total, 572 patients were included. Overall survival was 42% at one year and 6% at three years. The conditional chance of surviving three years was 15% at 1 year and increased to 38% at 2 years. Independent poor prognostic factors for overall survival were age ≥65 years, tumor size >3 cm on imaging, bilirubin levels (>250 µmol/L), CA19-9 level at presentation (>1000 U/ml), and suspected distant metastases on imaging. The conditional survival of patients with and without these prognostic factors was comparable after patients survived the first two or more years. CONCLUSION: The conditional chance of surviving for patients with unresectable perihilar cholangiocarcinoma increases with time. Poor prognostic factors become less relevant once patients have survived two years.

Survival after resection of perihilar cholangiocarcinoma in patients with lymph node metastases.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to compare patients with PHC with lymph node metastases (LN+) who underwent a resection with patients who did not undergo resection because of locally advanced disease at exploratory laparotomy. METHODS: Consecutive LN+ patients who underwent a resection for PHC in 12 centers were compared with patients who did not undergo resection because of locally advanced disease at exploratory laparotomy in 2 centers. RESULTS: In the resected cohort of 119 patients, the median overall survival (OS) was 19 months and the estimated 1-, 3- and 5-year OS was 69%, 27% and 13%, respectively. In the non-resected cohort of 113 patients, median OS was 12 months and the estimated 1-, 3- and 5-year OS was 49%, 7%, and 3%, respectively. OS was better in the resected LN+ cohort (p < 0.001). Positive resection margin (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.54; 95%CI: 0.97-2.45) and lymphovascular invasion (LVI) (HR: 1.71; 95%CI: 1.09-2.69) were independent poor prognostic factors in the resected cohort. CONCLUSION: Patients with PHC who underwent a resection for LN+ disease had better OS than patients who did not undergo resection because of locally advanced disease at exploratory laparotomy. LN+ PHC does not preclude 5-year survival after resection.