Estimating PM2.5 Concentrations Based on MODIS AOD and NAQPMS Data over Beijing⁻Tianjin⁻Hebei.

Accurately estimating fine ambient particulate matter (PM2.5) is important to assess air quality and to support epidemiological studies. To analyze the spatiotemporal variation of PM2.5 concentrations, previous studies used different methodologies, such as statistical models or neural networks, to estimate PM2.5. However, there is little research on full-coverage PM2.5 estimation using a combination of ground-measured, satellite-estimated, and atmospheric chemical model data. In this study, the linear mixed effect (LME) model, which used the aerosol optical depth (AOD) from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), meteorological data, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), and elevation data as predictors, was fitted for 2017 over Beijing⁻Tianjin⁻Hebei (BTH). The LME model was used to calibrate the PM2.5 concentration using the nested air-quality prediction modeling system (NAQPMS) simulated with ground measurements. The inverse variance weighting (IVW) method was used to fuse satellite-estimated and model-calibrated PM2.5. The results showed a strong agreement with ground measurements, with an overall coefficient (R²) of 0.78 and a root-mean-square error (RMSE) of 26.44 µg/m³ in cross-validation (CV). The seasonal R² values were 0.75, 0.62, 0.80, and 0.78 in the spring, summer, autumn, and winter, respectively. The fusion results supplement the lack of satellite estimates and can capture more detailed information than the NAQPMS model. Therefore, the results will be helpful for pollution process analyses and health-related studies.

Satellite-Based Estimation of Hourly PM2.5 Concentrations Using a Vertical-Humidity Correction Method from Himawari-AOD in Hebei.

Abstract: Particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than 2.5 µm (PM2.5) is related to various adverse health effects. Ground measurements can yield highly accurate PM2.5 concentrations but have certain limitations in the discussion of spatial-temporal variations in PM2.5. Satellite remote sensing can obtain continuous and long-term coverage data, and many previous studies have demonstrated the relationship between PM2.5 and AOD (aerosol optical depth) from theoretical analysis and observation. In this study, a new aerosol product with a high spatial-temporal resolution retrieved from the AHI (the Advance Himawari Imager) was obtained using a vertical-humidity correction method to estimate hourly PM2.5 concentrations in Hebei. The hygroscopic growth factor (fRH) was fitted at each site (in a total of 137 matched sites). Meanwhile, assuming that there was little change in fRH at a certain scale, the nearest fRH of each pixel was determined to calculate PM2.5 concentrations. Compared to the correlation between AOD and PM2.5, the relationship between the "dry" mass extinction efficiency obtained by vertical-humidity correction and the ground-measured PM2.5 significantly improved, with r coefficient values increasing from 0.19⁻0.47 to 0.61⁻0.76. The satellite-estimated hourly PM2.5 concentrations were consistent with the ground-measured PM2.5, with a high r (0.8 ± 0.07) and a low RMSE (root mean square error, 30.4 ± 5.5 µg/m³) values, and the accuracy in the afternoon (13:00⁻16:00) was higher than that in the morning (09:00⁻12:00). Meanwhile, in a comparison of the daily average PM2.5 concentrations of 11 sites from different cities, the r values were approximately 0.91 ± 0.03, and the RMSEs were between 13.94 and 31.44 µg/m³. Lastly, pollution processes were analyzed, and the analysis indicated that the high spatial-temporal resolution of the PM2.5 data could continuously and intuitively reflect the characteristics of regional pollutants (such as diffusion and accumulation), which is of great significance for the assessment of regional air quality.

Estimation of ground-level O3 concentration in the Yangtze River Delta region based on a high-performance spatiotemporal model MixNet.

In recent years, the escalating ozone (O3) concentration has significantly damaged human health. The machine learning models are widely used to estimate ground-level O3 concentrations, but the spatial and temporal features in the data are less considered. To address the issue, this study proposed a novel framework named MixNet to estimate daily O3 concentration from 2020 to 2021 over the Yangtze River Delta. The MixNet utilized image convolution to extract the potential spatial information related to O3 fully. The temporal features were extracted by a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). A U-Net, a new jump connection method with an attention mechanism and residual blocks, facilitated a more comprehensive extraction of spatial features in the data. The extracted temporal and spatial features were fused to estimate ground-level O3. Meanwhile, a novel training method was proposed to enhance the accuracy of MixNet. The daily mean O3 maps have high validation results in comparison with ground-level O3 measurement, with R2 (RMSE) of 0.903 (14.511 µg/m3) for sample-based validation, 0.831 (19.036 µg/m3) for site-based validation, and 0.712 (25.108 µg/m3) for time-based validation. The season-average maps indicate that O3 concentration is summer > autumn > spring > winter. The highest value was 137.41 µg/m3 in the summer of 2021 over the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration, and the lowest value was 52.73 µg/m3 in winter 2020. The MixNet showed better performance compared with other models, and thus the "point-plane image thinking" will contribute to future studies in developing better methods to estimate atmospheric pollutants.