Vancomycin in neonatal sepsis: predictive performance of a Chinese neonatal population pharmacokinetic model and clinical efficacy evaluation.

BACKGROUND: In the neonatal population, individual calculation and adjustment of vancomycin (VCM) doses has been recommended based on population pharmacokinetics (PPK) methods. OBJECTIVE: Our previous study established a Chinese neonatal VCM PPK model. The main goal of this study was to evaluate the predictive performance of this PPK model for VCM trough concentration. METHODS: The data on neonatal severe infection patients treated with VCM were retrospectively collected. The predictive performance of this PPK model was expressed using mean prediction error (MPE), mean absolute prediction error (MAPE), sensitivity and specificity. Linear regression analysis was used to compare predicted and measured VCM concentrations. We drew the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve to evaluate the predictive efficacy of the ratio of area under the concentration-time curve over 24 hours to minimum inhibitory concentration (AUC0-24/MIC) and trough concentration for clinical efficacy. RESULTS: A total of 40 neonates with Gram-positive bacterial sepsis were included. After VCM treatment, 32 (80%) neonates were clinically cured. Eight cases were a clinical failure: the trough concentrations and AUC0-24 were lower than that of the clinical cure patients (8.70±4.30 vs 14.30±4.50 mg/L, p=0.003; 404.30±122.80 vs 515.40±131.70, p=0.037). The measured and predicted trough concentration were 11.16 (5.96, 16.53) mg/L and 10.13 (6.61, 15.73) mg/L, respectively. The MPE and MAPE were 4.62% and 13.26% (5.30%, 25.88%), respectively. The proportion of MAPE <30% in the adjusted regimen was higher than the initial regimen (89.66% vs 65.00%, p=0.039). Predictions of sensitivity and specificity by this PPK model were 88.24% and 94.29%, respectively. The coefficients of determination of linear regression analysis were 0.9171 and 0.9009 for the initial and adjusted regimen, respectively. The AUC0-24 was correlated with the trough concentration (r=0.587, p<0.001). The ROC curve indicated that the optimal cut-off points for predicting clinical efficacy were AUC0-24/MIC >425.47 and trough concentration >9.45 mg/L. CONCLUSION: This PPK model has good predictive performance in Chinese neonatal patients. Both AUC0-24/MIC and trough concentration can predict the clinical efficacy of antibacterial treatment.

A Regression Model to Predict Augmented Renal Clearance in Critically Ill Obstetric Patients and Effects on Vancomycin Treatment.

Background: Augmented renal clearance (ARC) risk factors and effects on vancomycin (VCM) of obstetric patients were possibly different from other populations based on pathophysiological characteristics. Our study was to establish a regression model for prediction of ARC and analyze the effects of ARC on VCM treatment in critically ill obstetric patients. Methods: We retrospectively included 427 patients, grouped into ARC and non-ARC patients. Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the factors related to ARC. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn to evaluate the predictive value of the model for ARC. Patients who received VCM therapy were collected. The published VCM population pharmacokinetic (PPK) model was used to calculate pharmacokinetic parameters. A linear regression analysis was made between the predicted and measured concentrations. Results: Of the 427 patients, ARC was present in 201 patients (47.1%). The independent risk factors of ARC were heavier, greater gestational age, higher albumin level, fewer caesarean section, severe preeclampsia and vasoactive drug; more infection, hypertriglyceridemia and acute pancreatitis. We established the above nine-variable prediction regression model and calculated the predicted probability. ROC curve showed that the predicted probability of combined weight, albumin and gestational age had better sensitivity (70.0%) and specificity (89.8%) as well as the maximal area under the curve (AUC, AUC = 0.863). 41 cases received VCM; 21 cases (51.2%) had ARC. The initial trough concentration in ARC patients was lower than in non-ARC patients (7.9 ± 3.2 mg/L vs 9.5 ± 3.3 mg/L; p = 0.033). Comparing the predicted trough concentration of two published VCM PPK models with the measured trough concentration, correlation coefficients (r) were all more than 0.8 in the ARC group and non-ARC group. AUC was significantly decreased in the ARC group (p = 0.003; p = 0.013), and clearance (CL) increased in the ARC group (p < 0.001; p = 0.008) when compared with the non-ARC group. Conclusion: ARC is a common state in critically ill obstetric patients. The regression model of nine variables had high predictive value for predicting ARC. The published VCM PPK models had good predictive performance for predicting trough concentrations of obstetric patients. Pharmacokinetic parameters of VCM are different in ARC obstetric patients, which results in enhanced VCM clearance and decreased trough concentration.

Effects of comprehensive function of factors on retention behavior of microparticles in gravitational field-flow fractionation.

Gravitational field-flow fractionation (GrFFF) is a useful technique for separation and characterization for micrometer-sized particles. Elution behavior of micrometer-sized particles in GrFFF was researched in this study. Particles in GrFFF channel are subject to hydrodynamic lift forces (HLF), fluid inertial forces and gravity, which drive them to different velocities by carrier flow, resulting in a size-based separation. Effects of ionic strength, flow rate and viscosity as well as methanol were investigated using polystyrene latex beads as model particles. This study is devoted to experimental verification of the effect of every factor and their comprehensive function. All experiments were performed to show isolated influence of every variable factor. The orthogonal design test was used to evaluate various factors comprehensively. Results suggested that retention ratio of particles increases with increasing flow rate or the viscosity of carrier liquid by adjusting external forces acting on particles. In addition, retention ratio increases as ionic strength decreases because of decreased electrostatic repulsion between particles and channel accumulation wall. As far as methanol, there is no general trend due to the change of both density and viscosity. On the basis of orthogonal design test it was found that viscosity of carrier liquid plays a significant role in determining resolution of micrometer-sized particles in GrFFF.