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1.
Glob Chang Biol ; 30(1): e17148, 2024 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38273513

RESUMO

Phenological responses to climate change frequently vary among trophic levels, which can result in increasing asynchrony between the peak energy requirements of consumers and the availability of resources. Migratory birds use multiple habitats with seasonal food resources along migration flyways. Spatially heterogeneous climate change could cause the phenology of food availability along the migration flyway to become desynchronized. Such heterogeneous shifts in food phenology could pose a challenge to migratory birds by reducing their opportunity for food availability along the migration path and consequently influencing their survival and reproduction. We develop a novel graph-based approach to quantify this problem and deploy it to evaluate the condition of the heterogeneous shifts in vegetation phenology for 16 migratory herbivorous waterfowl species in Asia. We show that climate change-induced heterogeneous shifts in vegetation phenology could cause a 12% loss of migration network integrity on average across all study species. Species that winter at relatively lower latitudes are subjected to a higher loss of integrity in their migration network. These findings highlight the susceptibility of migratory species to climate change. Our proposed methodological framework could be applied to migratory species in general to yield an accurate assessment of the exposure under climate change and help to identify actions for biodiversity conservation in the face of climate-related risks.


Assuntos
Migração Animal , Mudança Climática , Animais , Aves/fisiologia , Ecossistema , Estações do Ano
2.
Ecol Appl ; 34(6): e3010, 2024 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38978282

RESUMO

Since 2014, highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5 viruses of clade 2.3.4.4 have been dominating the outbreaks across Europe, causing massive deaths among poultry and wild birds. However, the factors shaping these broad-scale outbreak patterns, especially those related to waterbird community composition, remain unclear. In particular, we do not know whether these risk factors differ from those of other H5 clades. Addressing this knowledge gap is important for predicting and preventing future HPAI outbreaks. Using extensive waterbird survey datasets from about 6883 sites, we here explored the effect of waterbird community composition on HPAI H5Nx (clade 2.3.4.4) spatial patterns in the 2016/2017 and 2020/2021 epidemics in Europe, and compared it with the 2005/2006 HPAI H5N1 (clade 2.2) epidemic. We showed that HPAI H5 occurrences in wild birds in the three epidemics were strongly associated with very similar waterbird community attributes, which suggested that, in nature, similar interspecific transmission processes operate between the HPAI H5 subtypes or clades. Importantly, community phylogenetic diversity consistently showed a negative association with H5 occurrence in all three epidemics, suggesting a dilution effect of phylogenetic diversity. In contrast, waterbird community variables showed much weaker associations with HPAI H5Nx occurrence in poultry. Our results demonstrate that models based on previous epidemics can predict future HPAI H5 patterns in wild birds, implying that it is important to include waterbird community factors in future HPAI studies to predict outbreaks and improve surveillance activities.


Assuntos
Aves , Virus da Influenza A Subtipo H5N1 , Influenza Aviária , Animais , Influenza Aviária/epidemiologia , Influenza Aviária/virologia , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Virus da Influenza A Subtipo H5N1/fisiologia , Surtos de Doenças/veterinária , Vírus da Influenza A/fisiologia
3.
Ecol Lett ; 26(10): 1780-1791, 2023 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37586885

RESUMO

Species functional traits can influence pathogen transmission processes, and consequently affect species' host status, pathogen diversity, and community-level infection risk. We here investigated, for 143 European waterbird species, effects of functional traits on host status and pathogen diversity (subtype richness) for avian influenza virus at species level. We then explored the association between functional diversity and HPAI H5Nx occurrence at the community level for 2016/17 and 2021/22 epidemics in Europe. We found that both host status and subtype richness were shaped by several traits, such as diet guild and dispersal ability, and that the community-weighted means of these traits were also correlated with community-level risk of H5Nx occurrence. Moreover, functional divergence was negatively associated with H5Nx occurrence, indicating that functional diversity can reduce infection risk. Our findings highlight the value of integrating trait-based ecology into the framework of diversity-disease relationship, and provide new insights for HPAI prediction and prevention.


Assuntos
Influenza Aviária , Animais , Influenza Aviária/epidemiologia , Ecologia , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia
4.
PLoS Comput Biol ; 18(8): e1009577, 2022 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35981006

RESUMO

Habitat availability determines the distribution of migratory waterfowl along their flyway, which further influences the transmission and spatial spread of avian influenza viruses (AIVs). The extensive habitat loss in the East Asian-Australasian Flyway (EAAF) may have potentially altered the virus spread and transmission, but those consequences are rarely studied. We constructed 6 fall migration networks that differed in their level of habitat loss, wherein an increase in habitat loss resulted in smaller networks with fewer sites and links. We integrated an agent-based model and a susceptible-infected-recovered model to simulate waterfowl migration and AIV transmission. We found that extensive habitat loss in the EAAF can 1) relocate the outbreaks northwards, responding to the distribution changes of wintering waterfowl geese, 2) increase the outbreak risk in remaining sites due to larger goose congregations, and 3) facilitate AIV transmission in the migratory population. In addition, our modeling output was in line with the predictions from the concept of "migratory escape", i.e., the migration allows the geese to "escape" from the location where infection risk is high, affecting the pattern of infection prevalence in the waterfowl population. Our modeling shed light on the potential consequences of habitat loss in spreading and transmitting AIV at the flyway scale and suggested the driving mechanisms behind these effects, indicating the importance of conservation in changing spatial and temporal patterns of AIV outbreaks.


Assuntos
Vírus da Influenza A , Influenza Aviária , Migração Animal , Animais , Ecossistema , Estações do Ano
5.
Histopathology ; 80(5): 827-835, 2022 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35092716

RESUMO

AIMS: Fundic gland polyps (FGPs) comprise 66% of all gastric polyps. Although they are usually non-syndromic, they may be associated with various syndromes, including familial adenomatous polyposis (FAP) or gastric adenocarcinoma and proximal polyposis of the stomach (GAPPS). We aimed to evaluate how histological features relate to distinct FGP subtypes. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a retrospective analysis of 118 FGPs from 109 patients for the architecture of fundic glands, microcyst lining, parietal cell hyperplasia and surface foveolar epithelial changes. Age, gender and history of FAP or GAPPS were collected. Based on combinations of histological features, three distinct patterns (A, B and C) of FGPs were delineated and correlated to the aetiologies. Non-syndromic FGPs were well-formed polyps composed of disordered fundic glands with intermediate-sized microcysts typically lined by a mixture of oxyntic and mucin-secreting cells (73%). Parietal cell hyperplasia (80%) and foveolar surface hyperplasia (78%) were common. FAP-associated cases demonstrated small microcysts that were predominantly lined by fundic epithelium (77%), with limited parietal cell hyperplasia (27%); foveolar hyperplasia was uncommon. GAPPS-related polyps were the largest, with prominent, mucin-secreting epithelium-lined microcysts (73%). Hyperproliferative aberrant pits were universally present, whereas parietal cell hyperplasia was uncommon. Pattern A was identified in most non-syndromic FGPs (74%) and in a minority of FAP-related FGPs (26%). The majority (82%) of FAP-related FGPs showed pattern B, but only 18% of non-syndromic FGPs did. Pattern C consisted exclusively of GAPPS-associated polyps. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that, although FGPs share similar histomorphology, subtle differences exist between polyps of different aetiology. In the appropriate clinical setting, the recognition of these variations may help to consider syndromic aetiologies.


Assuntos
Fundo Gástrico/patologia , Pólipos/etiologia , Pólipos/patologia , Neoplasias Gástricas/etiologia , Neoplasias Gástricas/patologia , Polipose Adenomatosa do Colo/classificação , Polipose Adenomatosa do Colo/etiologia , Polipose Adenomatosa do Colo/patologia , Pólipos Adenomatosos/classificação , Pólipos Adenomatosos/etiologia , Pólipos Adenomatosos/patologia , Feminino , Mucosa Gástrica/patologia , Humanos , Hiperplasia , Masculino , Células Parietais Gástricas/patologia , Pólipos/classificação , Estudos Retrospectivos , Neoplasias Gástricas/classificação
6.
Glob Chang Biol ; 27(20): 4995-5007, 2021 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34214237

RESUMO

As a source of emerging infectious diseases, wildlife assemblages (and related spatial patterns) must be quantitatively assessed to help identify high-risk locations. Previous assessments have largely focussed on the distributions of individual species; however, transmission dynamics are expected to depend on assemblage composition. Moreover, disease-diversity relationships have mainly been studied in the context of species loss, but assemblage composition and disease risk (e.g. infection prevalence in wildlife assemblages) can change without extinction. Based on the predicted distributions and abundances of 4466 mammal species, we estimated global patterns of disease risk through the calculation of the community-level basic reproductive ratio R0, an index of invasion potential, persistence, and maximum prevalence of a pathogen in a wildlife assemblage. For density-dependent diseases, we found that, in addition to tropical areas which are commonly viewed as infectious disease hotspots, northern temperate latitudes included high-risk areas. We also forecasted the effects of climate change and habitat loss from 2015 to 2035. Over this period, many local assemblages showed no net loss of species richness, but the assemblage composition (i.e. the mix of species and their abundances) changed considerably. Simultaneously, most areas experienced a decreased risk of density-dependent diseases but an increased risk of frequency-dependent diseases. We further explored the factors driving these changes in disease risk. Our results suggest that biodiversity and changes therein jointly influence disease risk. Understanding these changes and their drivers and ultimately identifying emerging infectious disease hotspots can help health officials prioritize resource distribution.


Assuntos
Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes , Animais , Biodiversidade , Mudança Climática , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/veterinária , Ecossistema , Mamíferos
7.
Prev Med ; 153: 106823, 2021 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34624391

RESUMO

Covid-19 and measures to contain spreading the disease have led to changed physical activity behavior. This study aims to investigate the relationship between socioeconomic status (SES) and changes in the amount of moderate to vigorous physical activity (MVPA) during the Covid-19 crisis. Using the Dutch Lifelines Covid-19 cohort study (n = 17,749), the amount of MVPA was measured at 15 time-points between March and December 2020, and compared with the amount before the Covid19 pandemic. For SES, the population was stratified in three education and income levels. Logistic regression models were used to estimate the odds ratio (OR) and confidence interval (CI) of altered MVPA for low and high SES groups, with the middle SES category as the reference group. A clear socioeconomic gradient in changes in MVPA behavior was observed. Low educated individuals had significantly higher odds (OR = 1.14; CI: 1.03-1.27) of decreasing MVPA, while the high educated had significantly lower odds of decreased MVPA (OR = 0.84, CI: 0.79-0.90). Both low education (OR = 0.87; CI: 0.77-0.98) and low income (OR = 0.85; CI 0.78-0.92) had significantly lower odds to increase MVPA, while high education (OR = 1.21, CI: 1.12-1.30) and high income (OR = 1.17; CI: 1.07-1.28) had significantly higher odds to increase MVPA. Most findings were consistent over the full research period. Socioeconomic inequalities in MVPA have increased during the Covid-19 pandemic, even when Covid-19 containment measures were relaxed. Our findings suggest that future public health policies need to increase efforts to improve physical activity behavior with an even larger focus on low SES groups.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Estudos de Coortes , Exercício Físico , Humanos , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2 , Classe Social , Fatores Socioeconômicos
8.
Scand J Med Sci Sports ; 31(6): 1342-1351, 2021 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33609297

RESUMO

This study examined the association of sport participation with health outcomes and whether this relation differs between body mass index (BMI)-level subpopulations. Research outcomes for sport participation were compared with other types of leisure-time physical activity (PA). We used the Cox proportional hazards regression models to assess the associations of sport participation, and four other PA types (cycling, gardening, doing odd jobs, and walking), with the risk of prediabetes, type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), and all-cause mortality in 97,212 individuals (58.4% women; mean age: 46.5 years) in the Dutch LifeLines cohort. Outcomes were stratified by three BMI levels: healthy weight (BMI: 18.5-24.9 kg/m2 ), overweight (BMI: 25.0-29.9 kg/m2 ), and obesity (BMI: 30.0 kg/m2 or above). Sport participation was associated with lower health risks, but only significantly so for prediabetes (HR = 0.86, 95% CI: 0.81-0.92). For healthy weight persons, sport participation was associated with the largest risk reductions, with significantly lower risks of prediabetes (HR = 0.78, 95% CI: 0.68-0.90) and all-cause mortality (HR = 0.79, 95% CI 0.65-0.96). Other PA types were not associated with significantly lower health risks, with the exception of cycling, for which significantly lower health risks for persons with overweight were found. Our findings show that sport participation is associated with lower health risks, especially prediabetes, but the effect varies between BMI levels, with the strongest link for persons with a healthy weight. Sport participation, together with cycling, is likely to be more effective in reducing health risks than other types of PA.


Assuntos
Índice de Massa Corporal , Causas de Morte , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Exercício Físico , Estado Pré-Diabético/epidemiologia , Esportes , Ciclismo , Peso Corporal , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Jardinagem , Humanos , Atividades de Lazer , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Países Baixos/epidemiologia , Obesidade/epidemiologia , Sobrepeso/epidemiologia , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Comportamento de Redução do Risco , Caminhada , Trabalho
9.
J Theor Biol ; 502: 110315, 2020 10 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32387368

RESUMO

Migration can influence dynamics of pathogen-host interactions. However, it is not clearly known how migration pattern, in terms of the configuration of the migration network and the synchrony of migration, affects infection prevalence. We therefore applied a discrete-time SIR model, integrating environmental transmission and migration, to various migration networks, including networks with serial, parallel, or both serial and parallel stopover sites, and with various levels of migration synchrony. We applied the model to the infection of avian influenza virus in a migratory geese population. In a network with only serial stopover sites, increasing the number of stopover sites reduced infection prevalence, because with every new stopover site, the amount of virus in the environment was lower than that in the previous stopover site, thereby reducing the exposure of the migratory population. In a network with parallel stopover sites, both increasing the number and earlier appearance of the stopover sites led to an earlier peak of infection prevalence in the migratory population, because the migratory population is exposed to larger total amount of virus in the environment, speeding-up the infection accumulation. Furthermore, higher migration synchrony reduced the average number of cumulative infection, because the majority of the population can fly to a new stopover site where the amount of virus is still relatively low and has not been increased due to virus shedding of infected birds. Our simulations indicate that a migration pattern with multiple serial stopover sites and with highly synchronized migration reduces the infection prevalence.


Assuntos
Gansos , Vírus da Influenza A , Migração Animal , Animais , Prevalência , Estações do Ano
10.
Prev Med ; 130: 105929, 2020 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31778685

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: There is a strong socioeconomic gradient in health care costs. However, little is known about the role of lifestyle factors in the association between health care costs and socioeconomic status (SES). This study investigates variation in the association between lifestyle indicators and health care costs between and within neighborhoods with similar SES. METHOD: Using 2016 whole-population data for all 790 neighborhoods of the Netherlands, we estimated the association between neighborhood average health care cost performance (i.e., health care costs adjusted for population age and gender) and neighborhood socioeconomic status (NSES) and four lifestyle indicators - smoking, alcohol consumption, exercise and sport club membership. Additionally, using regression analysis, we explored the multivariate relationship between average health care cost performance, NSES and lifestyle indicators. RESULTS: Neighborhoods with proportionally fewer smokers and more sport club members had significantly lower average health care costs. Remarkably, neighborhoods with more people who complied with the recommended maximum alcohol consumption had significantly higher health care costs. These findings were consistent within and between neighborhoods with different SES levels. Neighborhoods with more compliance with exercise guidelines had lower health care costs. However, this relationship was inconsistent across different NSES levels, with the largest cost reductions found in the most deprived neighborhoods. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that prevention policies aimed at reducing the number of smokers and increasing sport club membership may reduce health care costs across all NSES groups, while increasing compliance with physical exercise norms may be effective mainly in low SES neighborhoods.


Assuntos
Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Estilo de Vida , Características de Residência/estatística & dados numéricos , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Adulto , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/efeitos adversos , Exercício Físico/fisiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Países Baixos , Fumar/efeitos adversos
11.
Conserv Biol ; 34(2): 416-426, 2020 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31268188

RESUMO

Habitat loss can trigger migration network collapse by isolating migratory bird breeding grounds from nonbreeding grounds. Theoretically, habitat loss can have vastly different impacts depending on the site's importance within the migratory corridor. However, migration-network connectivity and the impacts of site loss are not completely understood. We used GPS tracking data on 4 bird species in the Asian flyways to construct migration networks and proposed a framework for assessing network connectivity for migratory species. We used a node-removal process to identify stopover sites with the highest impact on connectivity. In general, migration networks with fewer stopover sites were more vulnerable to habitat loss. Node removal in order from the highest to lowest degree of habitat loss yielded an increase of network resistance similar to random removal. In contrast, resistance increased more rapidly when removing nodes in order from the highest to lowest betweenness value (quantified by the number of shortest paths passing through the specific node). We quantified the risk of migration network collapse and identified crucial sites by first selecting sites with large contributions to network connectivity and then identifying which of those sites were likely to be removed from the network (i.e., sites with habitat loss). Among these crucial sites, 42% were not designated as protected areas. Setting priorities for site protection should account for a site's position in the migration network, rather than only site-specific characteristics. Our framework for assessing migration-network connectivity enables site prioritization for conservation of migratory species.


Un Enfoque de Redes para Priorizar los Esfuerzos de Conservación para las Aves Migratorias Resumen La pérdida del hábitat puede disparar el colapso de las redes de migración al aislar los sitios de reproducción de las aves migratorias de aquellos sitios que no se usan para la reproducción. En teoría, la pérdida del hábitat puede tener impactos muy diferentes dependiendo de la importancia del sitio dentro del corredor migratorio. Sin embargo, la conectividad entre las redes de migración y los impactos de la pérdida de los sitios no están del todo comprendidos. Usamos los datos de seguimiento por GPS de cuatro especies de aves en las rutas de vuelo de Asia para construir redes de migración y propusimos un marco de trabajo para evaluar la conectividad de las redes en las especies migratorias. Usamos un proceso de extracción de nodos para identificar los sitios de escala con el mayor impacto sobre la conectividad. En general, las redes de migración con menos sitios de escala fueron más vulnerables a la pérdida del hábitat. La extracción de nodos en orden del grado más alto al más bajo resultó en un incremento de resistencia de la red similar a la extracción al azar. Al contrario, la resistencia incrementó más rápidamente cuando la extracción de los nodos fue en orden del más alto al más bajo valor de intermediación (cuantificado por el número de caminos más cortos que pasan por un nodo específico). Cuantificamos el riesgo de colapso de la red de migración e identificamos sitios cruciales al seleccionar primero los sitios con mayores contribuciones a la conectividad de la red y después identificar cuáles de esos sitios tenían probabilidad de ser removidos de la red (es decir, sitios con pérdida de hábitat). Entre estos sitios cruciales, el 42% no estaban designados como áreas protegidas. El establecimiento de prioridades para la protección de un sitio debería considerar la posición del sitio dentro de la red de migración, en lugar de sólo considerar las características específicas del sitio. Nuestro marco de trabajo para la evaluación de la conectividad de la red de migración permite la priorización de sitios para la conservación de las especies migratorias.


Assuntos
Migração Animal , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Animais , Aves , Cruzamento , Ecossistema
12.
Am J Public Health ; 109(6): 927-933, 2019 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30998412

RESUMO

Objectives. To identify disparities in several types of insured health care costs in the Netherlands across neighborhoods with different socioeconomic statuses and to assess the room for improvement. Methods. We used 2015 Dutch whole-population registry data to estimate the age- and gender-specific cost structure by neighborhood for total, specialist, pharmaceutical, and mental health care. Classifying neighborhoods by the quintile of their neighborhood socioeconomic status (NSES), we determined differences in observed and expected health care costs for several scenarios of NSES improvement. Results. From low to high NSES, we found a clear downward gradient in health care costs. Total health care costs would drop by 7.3% if each neighborhood's cost structure was equal to that of the most affluent neighborhoods. The potential for cost reduction appeared highest for females, for age groups between 40 and 60 years, and for pharmaceutical care. Conclusions. Low NSES is associated with relatively high health care costs, and represents considerable potential for cost savings in health care. Public Health Implications. Our research suggests that policies aimed at improving the socioeconomic determinants of health locally may be pivotal in containing health care costs.


Assuntos
Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde/economia , Características de Residência , Classe Social , Adolescente , Adulto , Criança , Redução de Custos , Feminino , Política de Saúde , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Países Baixos , Adulto Jovem
13.
Ecol Appl ; 29(7): e01960, 2019 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31237968

RESUMO

Migratory birds rely on a habitat network along their migration routes by temporarily occupying stopover sites between breeding and non-breeding grounds. Removal or degradation of stopover sites in a network might impede movement and thereby reduce migration success and survival. The extent to which the breakdown of migration networks, due to changes in land use, impacts the population sizes of migratory birds is poorly understood. We measured the functional connectivity of migration networks of waterfowl species that migrate over the East Asian-Australasian Flyway from 1992 to 2015. We analysed the relationship between changes in non-breeding population sizes and changes in functional connectivity, while taking into account other commonly considered species traits, using a phylogenetic linear mixed model. We found that population sizes significantly declined with a reduction in the functional connectivity of migration networks; no other variables were important. We conclude that the current decrease in functional connectivity, due to habitat loss and degradation in migration networks, can negatively and crucially impact population sizes of migratory birds. Our findings provide new insights into the underlying mechanisms that affect population trends of migratory birds under environmental changes. Establishment of international agreements leading to the creation of systematic conservation networks associated with migratory species' distributions and stopover sites may safeguard migratory bird populations.


Assuntos
Migração Animal , Aves , Animais , Ecossistema , Filogenia , Dinâmica Populacional
14.
J Anim Ecol ; 88(7): 1044-1053, 2019 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31002194

RESUMO

Studies on the highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1 suggest that wild bird migration may facilitate its long-distance spread, yet the role of wild bird community composition in its transmission risk remains poorly understood. Furthermore, most studies on the diversity-disease relationship focused on host species diversity without considering hosts' phylogenetic relationships, which may lead to rejecting a species diversity effect when the community has host species that are only distantly related. Here, we explored the influence of waterbird community composition for determining HPAI H5N1 occurrence in wild birds in a continental-scale study across Europe. In particular, we tested the diversity-disease relationship using both host species diversity and host phylogenetic diversity. Our results provide the first demonstration that host community composition-compared with previously identified environmental risk factors-can also effectively explain the spatial pattern of H5N1 occurrence in wild birds. We further show that communities with more higher risk host species and more closely related species have a higher risk of H5N1 outbreaks. Thus, both host species diversity and community phylogenetic structure, in addition to environmental factors, jointly influence H5N1 occurrence. Our work not only extends the current theory on the diversity-disease relationship, but also has important implications for future monitoring of H5N1 and other HPAI subtypes.


Assuntos
Virus da Influenza A Subtipo H5N1 , Influenza Aviária , Animais , Animais Selvagens , Aves , Surtos de Doenças , Europa (Continente) , Filogenia
15.
J Environ Manage ; 249: 109251, 2019 Nov 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31401449

RESUMO

Quantifying the relationship between hydrological regime and habitat availability is the first step to predict potential impacts of water engineering projects on waterbirds, particularly in periodically flooded wetlands. The proposed Yangtze-to-Huaihe Water Diversion Project (YHWD) cuts through Caizi Lake, which is of international importance for wintering waterbirds. In order to explore the potential impacts of the project on habitat availability for the wintering waterbirds, we first built linear models to fit relationships between land cover patterns and water level dynamics in the lake, and then used generalized linear mixed models to test effects of habitat variables (water area, grassland area and mudflat area) on bird abundances of different functional groups. The avian habitat use differed among guilds, and was correlated with the land cover pattern, which was strongly dependent on seasonal water level fluctuations. Following water recession in autumn, the exposure of riparian habitats was more prominent in the eastern part of the lake, where the channel of the proposed YHWD project is located. This part of the lake is also where we located most of the important bird areas. Compared to the current situation, 54.3% of the grassland and 60.5% of the mudflats are predicted to be lost during winter due to the projected water level rise, resulting in reduced habitat availability for grass foragers, invertebrate eaters and tuber feeders. In order to mitigate potential impacts of the YHWD project, we suggest habitat compensations by construction of artificial habitats, and maintenance of water level regime at the whole lake by restoring similarity in water level fluctuations between Xizi Lake and Caizi Lake.


Assuntos
Lagos , Água , Animais , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Ecossistema , Estações do Ano
16.
Mod Pathol ; 30(8): 1170-1176, 2017 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28548120

RESUMO

The assumption that intestinal metaplasia is a prerequisite for intraepithelial neoplasia/dysplasia and adenocarcinoma in the distal esophagus has been challenged by observations of adenocarcinoma without associated intestinal metaplasia. This study describes our experience of intestinal metaplasia in association with early Barrett neoplasia in distal esophagus and gastroesophageal junction. We reviewed the first endoscopic mucosal resection of 139 patients with biopsy-proven neoplasia. In index endoscopic mucosal resection, 110/139 (79%) cases showed intestinal metaplasia. Seven had intestinal metaplasia on prior biopsy specimens and three had intestinal metaplasia in subsequent specimens, totaling 120/139 (86%) patients showing intestinal metaplasia at some point supporting the theory of sampling error for absence of intestinal metaplasia in some cases. Those without intestinal metaplasia (13%) were enriched for higher stage disease (T1a Stolte m2 or above) supporting the assertion of obliteration of intestinal metaplasia by the advancing carcinoma. All cases of intraepithelial neoplasia and T1a Stolte m1 carcinomas had intestinal metaplasia (42/42). The average density of columnar-lined mucosa showing goblet cells was significantly less in shorter segments compared to those ≥3 cm (0.31 vs 0.51, P=0.0304). Cases where segments measured less than 1 cm were seen in a higher proportion of females and also tended to lack intestinal metaplasia. We conclude that early Barrett neoplasia is always associated with intestinal metaplasia; absence of intestinal metaplasia is attributable to sampling error or obliteration of residual intestinal metaplasia by neoplasia and those with segments less than 1 cm show atypical features for Barrett-related disease (absent intestinal metaplasia and female gender), supporting that gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinomas are heterogeneous.


Assuntos
Adenocarcinoma/patologia , Esôfago de Barrett/patologia , Neoplasias Esofágicas/patologia , Intestinos/patologia , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Metaplasia/patologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade
17.
Parasitology ; 144(6): 823-826, 2017 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28073392

RESUMO

The dilution effect (DE) has been reported in many diseases, but its generality is still highly disputed. Most current criticisms of DE are related to animal diseases. Particularly, some critical studies argued that DE is less likely to occur in complex environments. Here our meta-analyses demonstrated that the magnitude of DE did not differ between animal vs plant diseases. Moreover, DE generally occurs in all three subgroups of animal diseases, namely direct-transmitted diseases, vector-borne diseases and diseases caused by parasites with free-living stages. Our findings serve as an important contribution to understanding the generality of DE.


Assuntos
Doenças dos Animais/imunologia , Doenças dos Animais/parasitologia , Animais , Variação Genética/imunologia , Doenças das Plantas/imunologia
18.
Parasitology ; 144(6): 783-792, 2017 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28134065

RESUMO

Current theories on diversity-disease relationships describe host species diversity and species identity as important factors influencing disease risk, either diluting or amplifying disease prevalence in a community. Whereas the simple term 'diversity' embodies a set of animal community characteristics, it is not clear how different measures of species diversity are correlated with disease risk. We therefore tested the effects of species richness, Pielou's evenness and Shannon's diversity on bovine tuberculosis (bTB) risk in cattle in the Afar Region and Awash National Park between November 2013 and April 2015. We also analysed the identity effect of a particular species and the effect of host habitat use overlap on bTB risk. We used the comparative intradermal tuberculin test to assess the number of bTB-infected cattle. Our results suggested a dilution effect through species evenness. We found that the identity effect of greater kudu - a maintenance host - confounded the dilution effect of species diversity on bTB risk. bTB infection was positively correlated with habitat use overlap between greater kudu and cattle. Different diversity indices have to be considered together for assessing diversity-disease relationships, for understanding the underlying causal mechanisms. We posit that unpacking diversity metrics is also relevant for formulating disease control strategies to manage cattle in ecosystems characterized by seasonally limited resources and intense wildlife-livestock interactions.


Assuntos
Antílopes , Suínos , Tuberculose Bovina/epidemiologia , Animais , Animais Selvagens , Biodiversidade , Bovinos , Intervalos de Confiança , Estudos Transversais , Reservatórios de Doenças , Ecossistema , Etiópia/epidemiologia , Funções Verossimilhança , Modelos Lineares , Razão de Chances , Análise de Regressão , Fatores de Risco
19.
Aging Clin Exp Res ; 29(1): 65-67, 2017 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28144912

RESUMO

The current healthcare systems are built around the traditional paradigm of patients suffering from a single acute illness. They are, therefore, largely unprepared to face the increasing demands for health services arising from the expansion of an older population with specific medical needs related to multiple chronic disorders. As a consequence, the medical conditions of a large and growing segment of the older European population are not efficiently managed by the available healthcare services. In the context of an aging population, policy makers such as the European Commission and European Institutions, such as the European Medicines Agency (EMA), devote time and resources to study and accompany the need of the aging population. The EMA recognizes the importance of making sure that the needs of the Elderly are considered during development, approval, and use of new medicines, and, therefore, engages with healthcare professional organisations. The Sarcopenia and Physical Frailty in Older People: Multicomponent Intervention Strategies (SPRINTT) is the obvious result of these strategies. The present article describes the SPRINTT workpackage activities aimed at engaging the scientific discussion on the physical frailty and sarcopenia with the EMA as one of its interlocutor, acknowledging the need to collaborate on this topic to foster a productive dialogue.


Assuntos
Envelhecimento , Atenção à Saúde/organização & administração , Idoso Fragilizado , Prioridades em Saúde/normas , Administração em Saúde Pública/normas , Sarcopenia/prevenção & controle , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Europa (Continente) , Humanos
20.
Oecologia ; 181(4): 1173-85, 2016 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27094543

RESUMO

The scale of resource heterogeneity may influence how resources are locally partitioned between co-existing large and small organisms such as trees and grasses in savannas. Scale-related plant responses may, in turn, influence herbivore use of the vegetation. To examine these scale-dependent bi-trophic interactions, we varied fertilizer [(nitrogen (N)/phosphorus (P)/potassium (K)] applications to patches to create different scales of nutrient patchiness (patch size 2 × 2 m, 10 × 10 m, or whole-plot 50 × 50 m) in a large field experiment in intact African savanna. Within-patch fertilizer concentration and the total fertilizer load per plot were independently varied. We found that fertilization increased the leaf N and P concentrations of trees and grasses, resulting in elevated utilization by browsers and grazers. Herbivory off-take was particularly considerable at higher nutrient concentrations. Scale-dependent effects were weak. The net effect of fertilization and herbivory was that plants in fertilized areas tended to grow less and develop smaller rather than larger standing biomass compared to plants growing in areas that remained unfertilized. When all of these effects were considered together at the community (plot) level, herbivory completely eliminated the positive effects of fertilization on the plant community. While this was true for all scales of fertilization, grasses tended to profit more from coarse-grained fertilization and trees from fine-grained fertilization. We conclude that in herbivore-dominated communities, such as the African savanna, nutrient patchiness results in the herbivore community profiting rather more than the plant community, irrespective of the scale of patchiness. At the community level, the allometric scaling theory's prediction of plant-and probably also animal-production does not hold or may even be reversed as a result of complex bi-trophic interactions.


Assuntos
Pradaria , Herbivoria , Animais , Ecossistema , Plantas , Árvores
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