Dynamic pseudo-observations: a robust approach to dynamic prediction in competing risks.

In this article, we propose a new approach to the problem of dynamic prediction of survival data in the presence of competing risks as an extension of the landmark model for ordinary survival data. The key feature of our method is the introduction of dynamic pseudo-observations constructed from the prediction probabilities at different landmark prediction times. They specifically address the issue of estimating covariate effects directly on the cumulative incidence scale in competing risks. A flexible generalized linear model based on these dynamic pseudo-observations and a generalized estimation equations approach to estimate the baseline and covariate effects will result in the desired dynamic predictions and robust standard errors. Our approach has a number of attractive features. It focuses directly on the prediction probabilities of interest, avoiding in this way complex modeling of cause-specific hazards or subdistribution hazards. As a result, it is robust against departures from these omnibus models. From a computational point of view an advantage of our approach is that it can be fitted with existing statistical software and that a variety of link functions and regression models can be considered, once the dynamic pseudo-observations have been estimated. We illustrate our approach on a real data set of chronic myeloid leukemia patients after bone marrow transplantation.

Dynamic prediction by landmarking in competing risks.

We propose an extension of the landmark model for ordinary survival data as a new approach to the problem of dynamic prediction in competing risks with time-dependent covariates. We fix a set of landmark time points tLM within the follow-up interval. For each of these landmark time points tLM , we create a landmark data set by selecting individuals at risk at tLM ; we fix the value of the time-dependent covariate in each landmark data set at tLM . We assume Cox proportional hazard models for the cause-specific hazards and consider smoothing the (possibly) time-dependent effect of the covariate for the different landmark data sets. Fitting this model is possible within the standard statistical software. We illustrate the features of the landmark modelling on a real data set on bone marrow transplantation.

A human minor histocompatibility antigen specific for B cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia.

Human minor histocompatibility antigens (mHags) play an important role in the induction of cytotoxic T lymphocyte (CTL) reactivity against leukemia after human histocompatibility leukocyte antigen (HLA)-identical allogeneic bone marrow transplantation (BMT). As most mHags are not leukemia specific but are also expressed by normal tissues, antileukemia reactivity is often associated with life-threatening graft-versus-host disease (GVHD). Here, we describe a novel mHag, HB-1, that elicits donor-derived CTL reactivity in a B cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia (B-ALL) patient treated by HLA-matched BMT. We identified the gene encoding the antigenic peptide recognized by HB-1-specific CTLs. Interestingly, expression of the HB-1 gene was only observed in B-ALL cells and Epstein-Barr virus-transformed B cells. The HB-1 gene-encoded peptide EEKRGSLHVW is recognized by the CTL in association with HLA-B44. Further analysis reveals that a polymorphism in the HB-1 gene generates a single amino acid exchange from His to Tyr at position 8 within this peptide. This amino acid substitution is critical for recognition by HB-1-specific CTLs. The restricted expression of the polymorphic HB-1 Ag by B-ALL cells and the ability to generate HB-1-specific CTLs in vitro using peptide-loaded dendritic cells offer novel opportunities to specifically target the immune system against B-ALL without the risk of evoking GVHD.

Phosphorothioate BCR-ABL antisense oligonucleotides induce cell death, but fail to reduce cellular bcr-abl protein levels.

The bcr-abl oncogene is a fusion gene resulting from a reciprocal translocation which forms the hallmark of chronic myeloid leukemia (CML). Antisense oligonucleotides complementary to the two possible mRNA breakpoints were found to inhibit cell growth of CML patient cells and cell lines, but doubt exists about their specificity. In order to test the specificity, phosphorothioate and 3' phosphorothioate capped antisense BCR-ABL oligonucleotides of different length were used. Stability, cellular uptake of oligonucleotides and effect on cell growth were studied in two CML cell lines, BV173 and LAMA-84. Phosphorothioate antisense BCR-ABL oligonucleotides were most stable, showed the highest uptake and induced cell death in BV173 but not in LAMA-84 cells. We selected the most effective antisense oligonucleotide for further analysis. The BV173 and LAMA-84 cell lines do not express the normal c-abl protein, we therefore used a c-abl specific monoclonal antibody for the detection of p210bcr-abl expression by flow cytometry. Dead cells found after treatment were gated out of analysis. Although BCR-ABL antisense oligonucleotides can induce apoptosis, no reduction of p210bcr-abl levels could be detected in living cells after treatment with antisense oligonucleotides. We conclude that antisense mediated inhibition of translation of mRNA into p210bcr-abl is not the mechanism responsible for the induction of apoptosis in cell line BV173.

Idarubicin DNA intercalation is reduced by MRP1 and not Pgp.

Currently available data regarding the substrate specificity of the multi-drug resistance (MDR) mechanisms P-glycoprotein (Pgp) and MDR-associated protein (MRP1) for idarubicin are inconclusive. A multiparameter flow cytometry method was developed which allows simultaneous quantitative measurement of total cellular fluorescence and the amount of anthracyclines intercalated into the DNA. Anthracycline DNA intercalation was measured by fluorescence resonance energy transfer (FRET) between Hoechst 33342 and anthracyclines. Daunorubicin and idarubicin accumulation were studied and compared in established cell lines expressing Pgp and MRP1. The data demonstrate that daunorubicin DNA intercalation is affected by both Pgp and MRP1 whereas idarubicin DNA intercalation is affected only by MRP1. MRP1 and Pgp function could be blocked completely by 5 microM PAK 104P, while higher concentrations of verapamil, PSC 833 and cyclosporin A were necessary to attain complete blocking of MRP1 compared to Pgp. Daunorubicin DNA intercalation correlates better with cell survival and is more sensitive at physiological MDR expression as observed in hematopoietic progenitors than daunorubicin levels measured by total cellular fluorescence. In conclusion, idarubicin DNA intercalation is reduced by MRP1 but not by Pgp. PAK-104P is an effective modulator for both Pgp and MRP1 and may further improve idarubicin efficacy.

Sensitivity of hematological malignancies to graft-versus-host effects: an EBMT megafile analysis.

After allogeneic stem cell transplantation, graft-versus-host disease (GvHD) occurs through recognition of histocompatibility mismatches by donor T lymphocytes. The same mechanism operates in eliminating malignant cells (the graft-versus-tumor or GvT effect). We hypothesized that comparing the correlation between GvHD and relapse might provide a surrogate marker for the susceptibility of diseases to allo-immune effects. We studied 48 111 first allogeneic transplants performed between 1998 and 2007. In chronic myeloid leukemia (CML), the relapse risk declined clearly and proportionally to severity of acute and chronic GvHD. Acute lymphoblastic leukemia and BCR-ABL-negative myeloproliferative neoplasias were comparably sensitive to GvHD as CML, whereas myelodysplastic syndromes and lymphoproliferative disorders showed intermediate sensitivity. GvHD was only associated with modest reductions in relapse risk in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and plasma cell disorders (PCDs). Except for PCD, hazard rates for relapse decreased to almost 0 at 48 months of follow-up in all diseases. These data confirm observations of potent GvT effects associated with GvHD. The strength of the GvHD/GvT correlation differs significantly between hematological malignancies. The parallel drop of relapse rates in different diseases despite differences in GvHD/GvT ratios suggests that GvT effects might operate in the absence of GvHD, particularly in AML.

Standardization of flow cytometry in myelodysplastic syndromes: a report from an international consortium and the European LeukemiaNet Working Group.

Flow cytometry (FC) is increasingly recognized as an important tool in the diagnosis and prognosis of myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). However, validation of current assays and agreement upon the techniques are prerequisites for its widespread acceptance and application in clinical practice. Therefore, a working group was initiated (Amsterdam, 2008) to discuss and propose standards for FC in MDS. In 2009 and 2010, representatives from 23, mainly European, institutes participated in the second and third European LeukemiaNet (ELN) MDS workshops. In the present report, minimal requirements to analyze dysplasia are refined. The proposed core markers should enable a categorization of FC results in cytopenic patients as 'normal', 'suggestive of', or 'diagnostic of' MDS. An FC report should include a description of validated FC abnormalities such as aberrant marker expression on myeloid progenitors and, furthermore, dysgranulopoiesis and/or dysmonocytopoiesis, if at least two abnormalities are evidenced. The working group is dedicated to initiate further studies to establish robust diagnostic and prognostic FC panels in MDS. An ultimate goal is to refine and improve diagnosis and prognostic scoring systems. Finally, the working group stresses that FC should be part of an integrated diagnosis rather than a separate technique.

The influence of ofloxacin and enoxacin on the metabolic pathways of theophylline in healthy volunteers. A pilot study.

The pharmacokinetic parameters of theophylline and its major metabolites were measured in two healthy volunteers, after the administration of theophylline alone and during co-medication with ofloxacin, 200 mg twice daily, or enoxacin, 200 mg twice daily. During enoxacin co-medication, elimination half-lives of theophylline increased from 8.7 h to 17.4 h and from 6.1 to 12.3 h, respectively. As the renal clearance of theophylline did not change, the decreased elimination of theophylline during enoxacin co-medication must result from a reduced metabolic clearance. Enoxacin co-medication caused a clearly decreased formation of the metabolites 1-methyluric acid and 3-methylxanthine, formed by N-demethylation, whereas the C-8 oxidation of theophylline was less influenced compared to the blank. Enoxacin's interference with the theophylline disposition is predominantly based on the inhibition of the microsomal N-demethylation. Ofloxacin co-medication did not induce a change in the plasma parameters or renal excretion of theophylline and its metabolites.

A fluorescent microsphere method for the investigation of erythrocyte chimaerism after allogeneic bone marrow transplantation using antigenic differences.

A method for the investigation of erythrocyte chimaerism in patients after bone marrow transplantation (BMT) has been developed using fluorescent microspheres coated with anti-human IgG. Blood group antigens different in patient and donor were used as marker. The specificity and reliability of this method was evaluated measuring artificial mixtures of blood group positive and negative red cells. Red cell antigens tested were D, c, K, Fya, Fyb, Jka, Jkb, S and s. Mean linear regression lines for mixtures with percentages positive cells ranging from 0.01 to 1% and 1 to 100% were 0.91X-0.03 (r = 0.99) and 1.00X-0.05 (r = 0.99), respectively. The sensitivity level of the assay was one positive cell per 10,000 blood group negative cells. In negative control samples (n = 15) a mean percentage positive cells was found of 0.002 +/- 0.004 (SD). Intra- and inter-assay coefficients of variation were 4.9 and 5.3% for mixtures of 10%, and were 11.1 and 24.6% for mixtures of 0.1% blood group positive cells. It is concluded that the described method can be used both to establish the take of donor marrow in an early phase after transplantation and to investigate mixed erythrocyte chimaerism long after BMT.

An antisense Bcr-Abl phosphodiester-tailed methylphosphonate oligonucleotide reduces the growth of chronic myeloid leukaemia patient cells by a non-antisense mechanism.

The specificity of antisense oligonucleotides targeted to the mRNA breakpoint region of the Bcr-Abl oncogene, found in leukaemic cells from patients with chronic myeloid leukaemia, remains controversial due to non-specific effects. To prevent protein binding of oligonucleotides we designed and tested a methylphosphonate oligonucleotide with an attached 3' soluble phosphodiester tail. Growth of chronic myeloid leukaemia (CML) cell lines BV173, KCL-22 and cells of CML patients tested was inhibited by the b2a2 type antisense Bcr-Abl oligonucleotide and not with controls. Also the growth of control CD34+ cells of two healthy donors, control cell lines and cells from AML patients was only moderately affected or not affected. Bcr-Abl protein studies in combination with growth-determination experiments indicated that the antisense methylphosphonate Bcr-Abl oligonucleotide tested is a potent inhibitor of the growth of CML cells but works in a non-antisense manner.

Recognition of a B cell leukemia-associated minor histocompatibility antigen by CTL.

CTL directed against minor histocompatibility Ags (mHag) play a major role in antileukemia reactivity after HLA-identical bone marrow transplantation. Some of these mHag are restricted to hemopoietic cells, others show a broad tissue expression. Therefore, antileukemia reactivity is often associated with graft-vs-host disease. Here, we report the identification of a B cell leukemia-associated mHag, HB-1, recognized by a CD8+ CTL clone derived from peripheral blood of an acute lymphoblastic B cell leukemia patient who has been treated by HLA-matched bone marrow transplantation. Interestingly, the CTL clone that recognizes HB-1 exhibits specific cytotoxicity toward leukemic as well as EBV-transformed B cells, but not against untransformed B cells. Moreover, the CTL clone does not lyse PHA-stimulated T cell blasts, monocytes, and fibroblasts, indicating that HB-1 is mainly expressed by transformed B cells. Further analysis reveals that HB-1 is restricted by HLA-B44 (both B*4402 and B*4403) and that 28% of HLA-B44-positive individuals express HB-1. These findings demonstrate that leukemia-associated mHag with a restricted tissue distribution, such as HB-1, elicit CTL reactivity in vivo. These Ags are of potential use in immunotherapy against leukemia because they generate antileukemia reactivity that is not associated with graft-vs-host disease.

Report of an international working group to standardize response criteria for myelodysplastic syndromes.

Standardized criteria for assessing response are essential to ensure comparability among clinical trials for patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). An international working group of experienced clinicians involved in the management of patients with MDS reviewed currently used response definitions and developed a uniform set of guidelines for future clinical trials in MDS. The MDS differ from many other hematologic malignancies in their chronicity and the morbidity and mortality caused by chronic cytopenias, often without disease progression to acute myeloid leukemia. Whereas response rates may be an important endpoint for phase 2 studies of new agents and may assist regulatory agencies in their evaluation and approval processes, an important goal of clinical trials in MDS should be to prolong patient survival. Therefore, these response criteria reflected 2 sets of goals in MDS: altering the natural history of the disease and alleviating disease-related complications with improved quality of life. It is anticipated that the recommendations presented will require modification as more is learned about the molecular biology and genetics of these disorders. Until then, it is hoped these guidelines will serve to improve communication among investigators and to ensure comparability among clinical trials. (Blood. 2000;96:3671-3674)