RESUMO
European Union (EU) has set ambitious energy and climate targets for the EU Member States. Some EU Member States (MS) confirmed to attain 100% of renewables in power generation by 2050 and implement carbon-free economy target. The purpose of this study is to assess and compare the avoided external costs of electricity generation due to the penetration of renewables in the Baltic States by implementing EU energy and climate targets for 2020, 2030 and 2050. The switching to renewables has significant social benefits for the EU member states, as fossil fuel burning is linked with the climate change and emission of classical air pollutants (SO2, NOx, particulate matter, NH3, NMVOC), which can have various negative impacts on the human health. The analysis and forecasts of external costs of power generation by 2050 in the selected countries, i.e., the Baltic States, has shown that Estonia is able to achieve the highest avoided external costs and highest health benefits from renewable promotion due to the oil shale that is dominating in the power generation structure. The main input of this study performed in the Baltic States is to show how subsidies for renewables correspond to the reduction of external costs of power generation and to provide important policy implications for these countries. Moreover, this can be an example for other countries how to assess the benefits of renewables support.
Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Mudança Climática , Eletricidade , Combustíveis Fósseis , Humanos , Material Particulado/análiseRESUMO
Air pollution is, increasingly, a concern to our society given the threats to human health and the environment. Concerted actions to improve air quality have been taken at different levels, such as through the development of Air Quality Plans (AQPs). However, air quality impacts associated with the implementation of abatement measures included in AQPs are often neglected. In order to identify the major gaps and strengths in current knowledge, a literature review has been performed on existing methodologies to estimate air pollution-related health impacts and subsequent external costs. Based on this review, the Impact Pathway Approach was adopted and applied within the context of the MAPLIA research project to assess the health impacts and benefits (or avoided external costs) derived from improvements in air quality. Seven emission abatement scenarios, based on individual and combined abatement measures, were tested for the major activity sectors (traffic, residential and industrial combustion and production processes) of a Portuguese urban area (Grande Porto) with severe particular matter (PM10) air pollution problems. Results revealed a strong positive correlation between population density and health benefits obtained from the assessed reduction scenarios. As a consequence, potential health benefits from reduction scenarios are largest in densely populated areas with high anthropic activity and, thus, where air pollution problems are most alarming. Implementation of all measures resulted in a reduction in PM10 emissions by almost 8%, improving air quality by about 1% and contributing to a benefit of 8.8 million /year for the entire study domain. The introduction of PM10 reduction technologies in industrial units was the most beneficial abatement measure. This study intends to contribute to policy support for decision-making on air quality management.