Comparison of warfarin, rivaroxaban, and dabigatran for effectiveness and safety in atrial fibrillation patients with different CHA2DS2-VASc scores: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: This retrospective cohort study aims to compare the effectiveness and safety of warfarin, rivaroxaban, and dabigatran in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with different CHA2DS2-VASc scores in northern China. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was performed to evaluate anticoagulation in AF patients at the second affiliated hospital of Harbin Medical University from September 2018 to August 2019. Patients included in this study (n = 806) received warfarin (n = 300), or rivaroxaban (n = 203), or dabigatran (n = 303). Baseline characteristics and follow-up data including adherence, bleeding events and ischemic stroke (IS) events were collected. RESULTS: Patients receiving rivaroxaban (73.9%) or dabigatran (73.6%) showed better adherence than those receiving warfarin (56.7%). Compared with warfarin-treated patients, dabigatran-treated patients had lower incidence of bleeding events (10.9% vs 19.3%, χ2 = 8.385, P = 0.004) and rivaroxaban-treated patients had lower incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (7.4% vs 13.7%, χ2 = 4.822, P = 0.028). We classified patients into three groups based on CHA2DS2-VASc score (0-1, 2-3, ≥ 4). In dabigatran intervention, incidence of bleeding events was higher in patients with score 0-1 (20.0%) than those with score 2-3 (7.9%, χ2 = 5.772, P = 0.016) or score ≥ 4 (8.6%, χ2 = 4.682, P = 0.030). Patients with score 0-1 in warfarin or rivaroxaban therapy had a similar but not significant increase of bleeding compared with patients with score 2-3 or score ≥ 4, respectively. During the follow-up, 33 of 806 patients experienced IS and more than half (19, 57.6%) were patients with score ≥ 4. Comparing patients with score 0-1 and 2-3, the latter had an significant reduction of IS in patients prescribed warfarin and non-significant reduction in rivaroxaban and dabigatran therapy. CONCLUSION: Compared with warfarin therapy, patients with different CHA2DS2-VASc scores receiving either rivaroxaban or dabigatran were associated with higher persistence. AF patients with score ≥ 4 were more likely to experience IS events while hemorrhagic tendency preferred patients with low score 0-1.

Coronary artery disease severity and risk stratification of patients with non ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome using CHA2DS2-VASc-HSF score.

BACKGROUND: Risk stratification assessment of patients with non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE ACS) plays an important role in optimal management and defines the patient's prognosis. This study aimed to evaluate the ability of CHA2DS2-VASc-HSF score (comprising of the components of the CHA2DS2-VASc score with a male instead of female sex category, hyperlipidemia, smoking, and family history of coronary artery disease respectively) to predict the severity and complexity of CAD and its efficacy in stratification for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with NSTE ACS without known atrial fibrillation. METHODS: This study included 200 patients (males 72.5%, mean age 55.8 ± 10.1 years) who were admitted with NSTE ACS. CHA2DS2-VASC-HSF score was calculated on admission. Patients were classified into three groups according to their CHA2DS2-VASC-HSF score: low score group (< 2; 29 patients), intermediate score group (2-4; 83 patients), and high score group (≥ 5; 88 patients). Coronary angiography was conducted and the Syntax score (SS) was calculated. Clinical follow-up at 6 months of admission for the development of MACE was recorded. RESULTS: SS was significantly high in the high CHA2DS2-VASc-HSF score group compared with low and intermediate score groups. CHA2DS2-VASc-HSF score had a significant positive strong correlation with syntax score (r = 0.64, P < 0.001). Smoking, vascular disease, hyperlipidemia, and CHA2DS2-VASc-HSF score were independent predictors of high SS. For the prediction of severe and complex CAD, CHA2DS2-VASc-HSF score had a good predictive power at a cut-off value ≥ 5 with a sensitivity of 86% and specificity of 65%. Hypertension, vascular disease, high SS, and CHA2DS2-VASc-HSF score were independent predictors of MACE. CHA2DS2-VASC-HSF score ≥ 4 was identified as an effective cut-off point for the development of MACE with 94% sensitivity and 70% specificity. CONCLUSIONS: CHA2DS2-VASC-HSF score is proposed to be a simple bedside score that could be used for the prediction of the severity and complexity of CAD as well as a risk stratification tool for the development of MACE in NSTE ACS patients.

Predictive value of lipoprotein(a) for left atrial thrombus or spontaneous echo contrast in non-valvular atrial fibrillation patients with low CHA2DS2-VASc scores: a cross-sectional study.

OBJECTIVE: Current guidelines are debated when it comes to starting anticoagulant therapy in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) and low CHA2DS2-VASc scores (1-2 in women and 0-1 in men). However, these individuals still have a high likelihood of developing left atrial thrombus/spontaneous echo contrast (LAT/SEC) and experiencing subsequent thromboembolism. Recent research has demonstrated that lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] may increase the risk of thrombosis, but the relationship between Lp(a) and LAT/SEC in NVAF patients is not clearly established. Therefore, this study sought to evaluate the predictive ability of Lp(a) for LAT/SEC among NVAF patients with low CHA2DS2-VASc scores. METHODS: NVAF patients with available transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) data were evaluated. Based on the TEE results, the subjects were classified into non-LAT/SEC and LAT/SEC groups. The risk factors for LAT/SEC were examined using binary logistic regression analyses and were validated by using 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM). Subsequently, novel predictive models for LAT/SEC were developed by integrating the CHA2DS2-VASc score with the identified factors, and the accuracy of these models was tested using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. RESULTS: In total, 481 NVAF patients were enrolled. The LAT/SEC group displayed higher Lp(a) concentrations. It was found that enlarged left atrial diameter (LAD), high concentrations of Lp(a), and a history of coronary heart disease (CHD) were independent predictors of LAT/SEC. Lp(a) and LAD still had predictive values for LAT/SEC after adjusting for PSM. In both the highest quartile groups of Lp(a) (>266 mg/L) and LAD (>39.5 mm), the occurrence of LAT/SEC was higher than that in the corresponding lowest quartile. By incorporating Lp(a) and the LAD, the predictive value of the CHA2DS2-VASc score for LAT/SEC was significantly improved. CONCLUSION: Elevated Lp(a) and enlarged LAD were independent risk factors for LAT/SEC among NVAF patients with low CHA2DS2-VASc scores. The prediction accuracy of the CHA2DS2-VASc score for LAT/SEC was significantly improved by the addition of Lp(a) and LAD. When evaluating the stroke risk in patients with NVAF, Lp(a) and LAD should be taken into account together with the CHA2DS2-VASc score. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Retrospectively registered.

Cardiovascular Events and Mortality in Patients on Hemodialysis: The Prognostic Value of the CHA2DS2-VASc Score.

Background and Objectives: Cardiovascular events are the major cause of morbidity and mortality in patients on hemodialysis (HD). Identifying risk factors can help in the effort to reduce cardiovascular risk and improve life expectancy. The objective of this study was to evaluate the ability of the CHA2DS2-VASc score-the risk index of stroke in atrial fibrillation (AF)-to predict strokes, major cardiovascular events, and mortality in patients with end-stage kidney disease. Materials and Methods: The CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores (the bleeding risk from the use of anticoagulation in AF) were calculated in 237 HD patients, 99 women with a median age of 76 (15) years, at the time they commenced HD. The scores' ability to predict long term cardiovascular morbidity and mortality was estimated, both in those with and without AF. Among the exclusion criteria were the change of dialysis method or loss of follow-up, HD due to acute renal failure, and incompliance with medical instructions, thus the sample is not representative of a broader population. Results: The CHA2DS2-VASc score was higher in AF (n = 69) compared to non-AF (n = 168) patients, 5 (2.5) vs. 4 (2), p < 0.0001, respectively. An increased CHA2DS2-VASc score was correlated with cardiovascular events, namely, heart failure (p = 0.007, p = 0.024), stroke (p < 0.0001, p < 0.0001), and risk of all-cause mortality (p < 0.0001, p < 0.0001) in AF and non-AF groups, respectively. The C statistics indicated that the referred score showed modest discrimination in AF and non-AF patients on HD for heart failure, stroke, and all-cause mortality, however for cardiovascular mortality this was found only in the AF group. Conclusions: An increased CHA2DS2-VASc score at the time of HD initiation can predict strokes, heart failure, and all-cause mortality in HD patients independent of the presence of AF. The risk of cardiovascular mortality could only be predicted in patients with AF.

Outcomes of percutaneous left atrial appendage occlusion device implantation in atrial fibrillation patients based on underlying stroke risk.

AIMS: To determine outcomes in atrial fibrillation patients undergoing percutaneous left atrial appendage occlusion (LAAO) based on the underlying stroke risk (defined by the CHA2DS2-VASc score). METHODS AND RESULTS: Data were extracted from the National Inpatient Sample for calendar years 2016-20. Left atrial appendage occlusion implantations were identified on the basis of the International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision, Clinical Modification code of 02L73DK. The study sample was stratified on the basis of the CHA2DS2-VASc score into three groups (scores of 3, 4, and ≥5). The outcomes assessed in our study included complications and resource utilization. A total of 73 795 LAAO device implantations were studied. Approximately 63% of LAAO device implantations occurred in patients with CHA2DS2-VASc scores of 4 and ≥5. The crude prevalence of pericardial effusion requiring intervention was higher with increased CHA2DS2-VASc score (1.4% in patients with a score of ≥5 vs. 1.1% in patients with a score of 4 vs. 0.8% in patients with a score of 3, P < 0.01). In the multivariable model adjusted for potential confounders, CHA2DS2-VASc scores of 4 and ≥5 were found to be independently associated with overall complications [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1.26, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.18-1.35, and aOR 1.88, 95% CI 1.73-2.04, respectively] and prolonged length of stay (aOR 1.18, 95% CI 1.11-1.25, and aOR 1.54, 95% CI 1.44-1.66, respectively). CONCLUSION: A higher CHA2DS2-VASc score was associated with an increased risk of peri-procedural complications and resource utilization after LAAO. These findings highlight the importance of patient selection for the LAAO procedure and need validation in future studies.

Contemporary management of atrial fibrillation and the predicted vs. absolute risk of ischaemic stroke despite treatment: a report from ESC-EHRA EORP-AF Long-Term General Registry.

BACKGROUND: Risk stratification in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is important to facilitate guideline-directed therapies. The Calculator of Absolute Stroke Risk (CARS) scheme enables an individualized estimation of 1-year absolute risk of stroke in AF. We aimed to investigate the predicted and absolute risks of ischaemic stroke, and evaluate whether CARS (and CHA2DS2-VASc score) may be useful for identifying high risk patients with AF despite contemporary treatment. METHODS: We utilized the EORP-AF General Long-Term Registry which prospectively enrolled patients with AF from 250 centres across 27 participating European countries. Patients with sufficient data to determine CARS and CHA2DS2-VASc score, and reported outcomes of ischaemic stroke were included in this analysis. The primary outcome of ischaemic stroke was recorded over a 2-year follow-up period. RESULTS: A total of 9444 patients were included (mean age 69.1 [±11.4] years; 3776 [40.0%] females). There was a high uptake (87.9%) of anticoagulation therapy, predominantly with vitamin K antagonist (50.0%). Over a mean follow-up period of 24 months, there were a total of 101 (1.1%) ischaemic stroke events. In the entire cohort, the median CARS and absolute annual risks of ischaemic stroke were 2.60 (IQR 1.60-4.00) and 0.53% (95%CI 0.43-0.64%), respectively. There was no statistical difference between the predictive performance of CARS and CHA2DS2-VASc score (0.621 [95%CI 0.563-0.678] vs. 0.626 [95%CI 0.573-0.680], P = 0.725). CONCLUSION: Contemporary management of AF was associated with a low risk of ischaemic stroke. CARS and CHA2DS2-VASc score may be useful to identify high risk patients despite treatment who may benefit from more aggressive treatment and follow-up.

Net clinical benefit of oral anticoagulants in Asian patients with atrial fibrillation based on a CHA2DS2-VASc score.

BACKGROUND: This study was conducted to assess the net clinical benefit (NCB) for oral anticoagulant (OAC) in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients according to the CHA2DS2-VASc score. METHODS: Patients with AF were prospectively recruited in the COOL AF Thailand registry from 2014 to 2017. The incidence rate of thromboembolic (TE) events and major bleeding (MB) was calculated. Cox proportional hazards model was used to compare the TE and MB rate in patients with and without OACs in CHA2DS2-VASc score of 0-1 and ≥ 2, respectively. The survival analysis was performed based on CHA2DS2-VASc score. The NCB of OACs was defined as the TE rate prevented minus the MB rate increased multiplied by a weighting factor. RESULTS: A total of 3,402 AF patients were recruited. An average age of patients was 67.38 ± 11.27 years. Compared to non-anticoagulated patients, the Kaplan Meier curve showed anticoagulated patients with CHA2DS2-VASc score of 2 or more had the lower thromboembolic events with statistical significance (p = 0.043) and the higher MB events with statistical significance (p = 0.018). In overall AF patients, there were positive NCB in warfarin patients with CHA2DS2-VASc score of 3 or more while there were positive NCB in DOACs patients regardless of CHA2DS2-VASc score. Females with CHA2DS2-VASc score of 3 or more had a positive NCB regardless of OACs type. Good anticoagulation control (TTR ≥65%) improved an NCB in males with CHA2DS2-VASc score of 3 or more. CONCLUSIONS: AF patients with CHA2DS2-VASc score of 3 or more regardless warfarin or DOACs had a positive NCB. The NCB of OACs was more positive for DOACs compared to warfarin and for females compared to males.

The relationship between leukocyte to albumin ratio and atrial fibrillation severity.

BACKGROUND: An increased leukocyte count is a sign of inflammation and has been demonstrated to be a predisposing factor and complication of atrial fibrillation. Similarly, albumin, the major protein in the serum, is also considered an acute phase reactant protein that has osmotic and anti-inflammatory properties, and a low albumin level is a known factor associated with severity in many pathologies, including atrial fibrillation. The neutrophil percentage-to-albumin ratio (NPAR) and other emerging leukocyte counts/albumin ratios have been reliable systemic inflammation-based predictors of mortality and complications in various diseases, but they have not yet been used with atrial fibrillation. This study's aim was to explore whether the leukocyte to albumin ratio could also serve as a useful index in estimating atrial fibrillation severity, including the severity of atrial fibrillation secondary to stroke, to provide a new and more objective tool than the conventional and medical history-based CHA2DS2-VASc score. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data were retrospectively collected from the Wuhan University Zhongnan Hospital database from January 1st to December 31st, 2021. The patients were classified into 2 groups: Group 1-low severity and Group 2- moderate to high severity, and diverse statistical analyses were conducted to evaluate the relationship between the leukocyte-to-albumin ratio and AF severity. RESULTS: Only 2329 test subjects met the inclusion criteria. We had 727 test subjects (381 males and 346 females) categorized into the low severity cohort and 1601 test subjects (932 males and 670 females) in the moderate to high severity group. The difference in mean age between the two groups was significant (95% CI [-2.682 to -0.154] p = 0.028), and the difference in the LAR mean rank between the two groups was significant (p = 0.00). The Chi-square test of association yielded the following results: the relationship between the LAR level and category of severity was statistically significant (p = 0.00), and the Mantel‒Haenszel statistic association odds ratio was OR = 0.657. 95% CI OR [0.549-0.787] p = 0.000. The association between sex and atrial fibrillation severity also reached statistical significance. However, sex and LAR were found to be independent factors in atrial fibrillation (Chi-square p value = 0.564). CONCLUSION: It has been demonstrated throughout this investigation that the leukocyte to albumin ratio could provide key clues in clinical practice and contribute to thromboembolism risk assessment in the setting of atrial fibrillation.

Incorporating uric acid into the CHA2DS2-VASc score improves the prediction of new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients with acute myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is a common cardiac arrhythmia observed in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and is associated with worse outcomes. While uric acid has been proposed as a potential biomarker for predicting atrial fibrillation, its association with NOAF in patients with AMI and its incremental discriminative ability when added to the CHA2DS2-VASc score are not well established. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of 1000 consecutive patients with AMI without a history of atrial fibrillation between January 2018 and December 2020. Continuous electrocardiographic monitoring was performed during the patients' hospital stay to detect NOAF. We assessed the predictive ability of the different scoring models using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. In addition, we employed the area under the curve (AUC), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and net reclassification improvement (NRI) analyses to assess the incremental discriminative ability of uric acid when added to the CHA2DS2-VASc score. RESULTS: Ninety-three patients (9.3%) developed NOAF during hospitalisation. In multivariate regression analyses, the adjusted odds ratio (OR) for NOAF was 1.439 per one standard deviation increase in uric acid level (95% confidence intervals (CI):1.182-1.753, p < 0.001). The ROC curve analysis revealed that the AUC for uric acid was 0.667 (95% CI:0.601-0.719), while the AUC for the CHA2DS2-VASc score was 0.678 (95% CI:0.623-0.734). After integrating the uric acid variable into the CHA2DS2-VASc score, the combined score yielded an improved AUC of 0.737 (95% CI:0.709-0.764, p = 0.009). Furthermore, there was a significant improvement in both IDI and NRI, indicating an incremental improvement in discriminative ability (IDI = 0.041, p < 0.001; NRI = 0.627, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Our study suggests that uric acid level is an independent risk factor for the development of NOAF after AMI. Furthermore, the incorporation of uric acid into the CHA2DS2-VASc score significantly improves the discriminative ability of the score in identifying patients at high risk for NOAF.

Predicting a decrease in left atrial appendage flow velocity using left atrial diameter and CHA2DS2-VASc score in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Left atrial (LA) appendage flow velocity (LAAFV) is a classic but invasive predictor of thromboembolic events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We aimed to explore the usefulness of LA diameter (LAD) combined with CHA2DS2-VASc score, which is easily available and non-invasive, as a novel score for predicting a decrease in LAAFV in non-valvular AF (NVAF). METHODS: In total, 716 consecutive NVAF patients who underwent transesophageal echocardiography were divided into the decreased LAAFV (< 0.4 m/s) and preserved LAAFV (≥ 0.4 m/s) groups. RESULTS: The decreased LAAFV group had a larger LAD and a higher CHA2DS2-VASc score than the preserved LAAFV group (P < 0.001). Multivariate linear regression indicated that brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) concentration, persistent AF, LAD, and CHA2DS2-VASc score were remained inversely associated with LAAFV. Moreover, multivariate logistic regression revealed that BNP concentration (odds ratio [OR] 1.003, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.001-1.005, P = 0.003), persistent AF (OR 0.159, 95% CI 0.102-0.247, P < 0.001), and LAD (OR 1.098, 95% CI 1.049-1.149, P < 0.001) were independent factors for a decrease in LAAFV. A novel score, LAD combined with CHA2DS2-VASc score, was more accurate for predicting a decrease in LAAFV among NVAF patients (area under the curve was 0.733). CONCLUSION: Enlarged LAD was independent risk factor for a decrease in LAAFV among NVAF patients. LAD combined with CHA2DS2-VASc score enhanced the predictive ability for a decrease in LAAFV among NVAF patients.

Value of ATRIA stroke risk score in predicting atrial high-rate episodes: A comparison of six different risk scores.

OBJECTIVES: Atrial high-rate episodes (AHRE) are asymptomatic atrial tachy-arrhythmias detected through continuous monitoring with a cardiac implantable electronic device (CIED). AHRE's have been associated with increased risks of developing clinically manifested atrial fibrillation (AF), thromboembolism, cardiovascular events, and mortality. Several variables has been researched and identified to predict AHRE development. The aim of this study, which compared the six frequently-used scoring systems for thromboembolic risk in AF (CHA2 DS2 -VASc, mC2 HEST, HAT2 CH2 , R2 -CHADS2 , R2 -CHA2 DS2 -VASc, and ATRIA) in terms of their prognostic power in predicting AHRE. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective study included 174 patients with CIED's. The study population was divided into two groups according to presence of AHRE: patients with AHRE (+) and patients without AHRE (-). Thereafter, patients baseline characteristics and scoring systems were analyzed for prediction of AHRE. RESULTS: The distribution of patients' baseline characteristics and scoring systems according to presence of AHRE was evaluated. Furthermore, ROC curve analyses of the stroke risk scoring systems have been investigated in terms of predicting the development of AHREs. ATRIA, which predicted AHRE with a specificity of 92% and sensitivity of 37.5% for ATRIA values of >6, performed better than other scoring systems in predicting AHRE (AUC: 0.700, 0.626-0.767 95% confidence interval (CI), p = .004) CONCLUSION: AHRE is common in patients with a CIED. In this context, several risk scoring systems have been used to predict the development of AHRE in patients with a CIED. This study's findings revealed that The ATRIA stroke risk scoring system performed better than other commonly used risk scoring systems in predicting AHRE.

Long duration of atrial high-rate episode is more favorable in predicting ischemic stroke than high CHA2 DS2 -VASc score.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to explore the roles of duration and burden of atrial high-rate episode (AHRE) on ischemic stroke in patients with pacemaker implantation. METHODS: Patients with pacemaker implantation for bradycardia from 2013 to 2017 were consecutively enrolled. Data such as gender, age, combined diseases, type of AF, left atrial size, left ventricular size, left ventricular ejection fraction, CHA2 DS2 -VASc score, and anticoagulants were collected. The burden and duration of AHRE based on different interval partition were also recorded in detail to evaluate the impacts on ischemic stroke. Cox regression analysis with time-dependent covariates was conducted. RESULTS: A total of 220 patients with AHRE were enrolled. The average follow-up time was 48.42 ± 17.20 months. Univariate regression analysis showed that diabetes (p = .024), high CHA2 DS2 -VASc score (≥ 2) (p = .021), long mean AHRE burden (p = .011), long maximal AHRE burden (p = .015), long AHRE duration lasting≥48 h (p = .001) or 24 h (p = .001) or 12 h (p = .005) were prone to ischemic stroke. Further multivariate regression analysis showed that long duration of AHRE (≥48 h) (HR 10.77; 95% CI 3.22-55.12; p = .030) were significantly correlated with stroke in patients with paroxysmal AF. There was no significant correlation between the type of AF and stroke (p = .927). CONCLUSION: The longer duration of AHRE (≥48 h) was more favorable in predicting ischemic stroke than high CHA2 DS2 -VASc score (≥2).

Albuminuria improves R2CHA2DS2-VASc score in predicting mortality in high cardiovascular risk population.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The CHA2DS2-VASc score estimates the risk of cardioembolism in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). It also predicts vascular events and death in different clinical settings, even in the absence of AF. The R2CHA2DS2-VASc score, obtained by adding the glomerular filtration rate to CHA2DS2-VASc, shows a higher prediction ability for new events and all-cause mortality. The present study aims to assess whether the addition of albuminuria to R2CHA2DS2-VASc score further improves its discrimination ability in predicting all-cause mortality in a sample of high cardiovascular risk population. METHODS AND RESULTS: Prospective, monocentric, observational study, evaluating a subset of 737 subjects consecutively undergoing to coronary angiography at Coronary Unit of Scientific Institute "Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza" from June 2016 to December 2018. The presence of albuminuria was significantly associated with all-cause mortality (p < 0.0001). Any one-point increase of Alb-R2CHA2DS2-VASc score increased mortality of about 1.5-fold (adjusted HR 1.49; 95%CI: 1.37-1.63; p < 0.0001). Considering tertiles of Alb-R2CHA2DS2-VASc, the third tertile showed a 9.5-fold increased risk of mortality (HR 9.52; 95% CI: 5.15-17.60, p < 0.001). Comparing the two scores, the Alb-R2CHA2DS2-VASc score (C-statistic = 0.751; 95%CI: 0.69-0.81) outperformed the R2-CHA2DS2-VASc score (C-statistic = 0.736; 95%CI: 0.68-0.961) in predicting mortality (delta C-statistic = 0.015; 95%CI: 0.001-0.029). The better prediction ability of the Alb-R2CHA2DS2-VASc score was also proven by an IDI of 0.024 (p < 0.0001) and a relative IDI of 24.11% (p < 0.0001), with an NRI = 0.608 (p < 0.00001). CONCLUSIONS: The addition of albuminuria to R2CHA2DS2-VASc significantly and independently predicts the risk of all-cause mortality in a sample of high CV risk patients. Moreover, Alb-R2CHA2DS2-VASc outperforms R2CHA2DS2-VASc.

Changes in CHA2DS2-VASc score and risk of ischemic stroke among patients with atrial fibrillation.

AIMS: The CHA2DS2-VASc score is fundamental to stroke risk assessment in atrial fibrillation. However, stroke-related risk factors can be modified later in life. This study aimed to assess the association of changes in CHA2DS2-VASc score over time (Delta CHA2DS2-VASc score) with the risk of ischemic stroke. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This is an observational analysis of 1127 atrial fibrillation patients previously enrolled in the MISOAC-AF trial. After a median 2.6-year follow-up period, baseline and follow-up CHA2DS2-VASc scores were used to extract the Delta CHA2DS2-VASc score. The stroke predicting accuracies of the baseline, follow-up, and Delta CHA2DS2-VASc scores were assessed through regression analyses. RESULTS: The mean baseline, follow-up, and Delta CHA2DS2-VASc scores were 4.2, 4.8, and 0.6 respectively. Ischemic stroke occurred in 54 (4.4%) patients, of which 83.3% had a Delta CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥1, contrary to 40.1% of the stroke-free group. The stroke risk per 1-point increase of the CHA2DS2-VASc score was not significantly associated with the baseline score (aHR=1.14; 95%CI: 0.93-1.41; p=0.201), whereas a significant association was observed with the follow-up (aHR=2.58; 95% CI: 2.07-3.21; p<0.001) and Delta (aHR=4.56; 95%CI: 3.50-5.94; p<0.001) scores. C-index assessment indicated that follow-up and Delta CHA2DS2-VASc scores were more potent predictors of ischemic stroke compared to baseline. CONCLUSION: In atrial fibrillation patients, changes in CHA2DS2-VASc score over time were associated with the incidence of stroke. The improved predictability of follow-up and Delta CHA2DS2-VASc scores indicates that stroke risk is not a static parameter. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This is an observational, post-hoc analysis of the MISOAC-AF randomized controlled trial, registered on ClinicalTrials.gov (identifier: NCT02941978; registered: October 21, 2016).

The prognostic value of CHA2 DS2 -VASc and modified-CHADS2 scores for cardiovascular events in diabetics and non-diabetics haemodialysis patients.

AIM: CHA2 DS2 -VASc and modified-CHADS2 score can easily estimate the risk of stroke in atrial fibrillation. Study's purpose was to evaluate these in haemodialysis patients, and assess the effect of diabetes mellitus (DM). METHODS: The scores calculated in 237 haemodialysis patients, 121 diabetics (58 females) and 116 non-diabetics (41 females). Results correlated to cardiovascular events (acute myocardial infarction, atrial fibrillation, heart failure, peripheral arterial disease, stroke, mortality). RESULTS: CHA2 DS2 -VASc score correlated with the occurrence of stroke and heart failure (p < .01, p < .01), (p < .01, p < .01), respectively in diabetics and non-diabetics. CHA2 DS2 -VASc score could predict the risk of all-cause mortality in both groups, p = .03, p < .01, respectively, however, the risk of cardiovascular death could be predicted in non-diabetics, p < .01. Modified-CHADS2 score associated with heart failure (p = .04), cardiovascular (p < .01) and all-cause mortality (p < .01) only on non-diabetics. C statistics indicated that the first score showed modest discrimination in patients with and without DM, for stroke and all-cause mortality. The second score performed modestly only on patients without DM for all-cause mortality. Both scores showed poor calibration. Stroke was a common cause of cardiovascular death (OR = 3.52, 95% CI = 1.92-6.47, p < .01) and associated with central venous catheter (OR = 2.19, 95% CI = 1.12-4.27, p = .02) and pre-existing atrial fibrillation (OR = 1.94, 95% CI = 1.06-3.58, p = .03). CONCLUSION: CHA2 DS2 -VASc score correlated with stroke, heart failure and all-cause mortality in haemodialysis patients with and without DM. The risk of cardiovascular death could be predicted only in non-diabetics patients. Modified-CHADS2 score correlated with heart failure, cardiovascular and all-cause mortality only on non-diabetics. Both had modest discrimination and poor calibration.

CHA2DS2-VASc and R2CHA2DS2-VASc scores predict mortality in high cardiovascular risk population.

BACKGROUND: The CHA2 DS2 -VASc score, widely used to estimate cardioembolic risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), appears to be useful also in predicting vascular adverse events and death in different sets of patients without AF. The R2 CHA2 DS2 -VASc score, which includes renal impairment, allows a better prediction of death and thromboembolism in patients without AF. The aims of our study were to assess, in a large sample of patients at high cardiovascular (CV) risk, (i) the correlation between CHA2 DS2 -VASc and R2 CHA2 DS2 -VASc with all-cause mortality, and (ii) to compare the performances of CHA2 DS2 -VASc and R2 CHA2 DS2 -VASc in predicting all-cause mortality. METHODS: In this single-centre prospective observational study, conducted at the Research Hospital 'Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza' between June 2016 and December 2018, 1017 CV patients at high risk of undergoing coronary angiography were enrolled. RESULTS: CHA2DS2-VASc and R2 CHA2 DS2 -VASc scores significantly associated with all-cause mortality. For each one-point increase in CHA2 DS2 -VASc or R2 CHA2 DS2 -VASc scores, mortality increased by almost 1.5-fold. The R2 CHA2 DS2 -VASc score (C-statistic = 0.71; 95% CI = 0.65-76) outperformed the CHA2 DS2 -VASc score (C-statistic = 0.66; 95% CI = 0.61-0.71) in predicting 4-year mortality (delta C-statistic = 0.05; 95% CI = 0.02-0.07). The better predictive ability of the R-CHA2 DS2 -VASc score was also demonstrated by an IDI = 0.027 (95% CI = 0.021-0.034, p < .00001) and a relative IDI = 62.8% (95% CI = 47.9%-81.3%, p < .00001). The R2 CHA2 DS2 -VASc score correctly reclassified the patients with a NRI = 0.715 (95% = 0.544-0.940, p < .00001). CONCLUSIONS: The CHA2DS2-VASc and R2 CHA2 DS2 -VASc scores are useful predictors of all-cause mortality in subjects at high CV risk, with the R2 CHA2 DS2 -VASc score being the best performer.

CHA2 DS2 -VASc impact on risk following percutaneous coronary intervention in atrial fibrillation.

AIMS: In 2010, the European Society of Cardiology Guidelines on atrial fibrillation (AF) introduced the CHA2 DS2 -VASc score to guide initiation of oral anticoagulation. In patients with AF undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), triple therapy with oral anticoagulation and dual antiplatelet therapy was recommended to reduce ischaemic risk. We examined how the CHA2 DS2 -VASc score impacted oral anticoagulation use and risks of ischaemic and hospitalized bleeding events in patients with AF undergoing PCI. METHODS: We included 6,014 patients with AF undergoing first-time PCI in Western Denmark between 2003 and 2017. We divided patients into four groups based on year of PCI and estimated 1-year risks of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) and hospitalization for bleeding. RESULTS: The proportion of oral anticoagulation users was 48% in 2003-2006 and 49% in 2006-2010. Following the CHA2 DS2 -VASc score implementation, the proportion increased to 59% in 2011-2014 and 77% in 2015-2017. Using 2003-2006 as reference, risks of MACE were similar in 2007-2010 (adjusted relative risk [RRadj ] 0.99, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.83-1.18) and 2011-2014 (RRadj 0.92, 95% CI 0.78-1.09), but declined by 23% in 2015-2017 (RRadj 0.77, 95% CI 0.65-0.92). Hospitalizations for bleeding did not increase despite wider use of triple therapy. CONCLUSION: Implementation of the CHA2 DS2 -VASc score in the 2010 European guidelines on AF was associated with an increased utilization of oral anticoagulation and triple therapy among AF patients undergoing PCI. These changes were associated with a gradual decline in the risk of MACE, while the risk of hospitalized bleeding remained unchanged.

CHA2DS2-VASC Score Predicts the Risk of Stroke in Patients Hospitalized to the Internal Medicine Department Without Known Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: The CHA2DS2-VASC score is used to assess the risk of cerebrovascular accident (CVA) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) or atrial flutter (AFL). OBJECTIVES: We aimed to determine whether this score can determine the risk of CVA during the first year after hospitalization, in patients without known AF/AFL. DESIGN: Single-center retrospective cohort. PATIENTS: We included all patients aged ≥ 50 who were hospitalized between January 1, 2008, and December 31, 2018, to the internal medicine departments at the Chaim Sheba Medical Center, Israel. Exclusion criteria included history or new diagnosis of CVA, TIA, and AF/AFL and use of anticoagulation at any time. MAIN MEASURES: Patients were stratified into 3 groups according to their CHA2DS2-VASC score (0-1, 2, or ≥ 3). The primary outcome was hospitalization with CVA/TIA within one year of the index hospitalization. KEY RESULTS: Of the patients, 52,206 were included in the study. CVA/TIA occurred in 0.7%, 1.3%, and 1.7% of patients with a CHA2DS2-VASC score of 0-1, 2, and ≥ 3, respectively. Compared to a CHA2DS2-VASC score of 0-1, the HR for CVA/TIA occurrence for CHA2DS2-VASC scores of 2 and ≥ 3 was 1.77 (CI 1.42, 2.22) and 2.33 (CI 1.9, 2.85), respectively (p < 0.001 for both comparisons). Each additional CHA2DS2-VASC point increased the probability for readmission with CVA/TIA within 1-year by 26% (HR 1.26, CI 1.19, 1.32, p < 0.001). Similar trends were seen in subgroup analyses by gender, age, and renal function. CONCLUSIONS: The CHA2DS2-VASC score is a predictor for CVA/TIA during the first year after hospitalization in patients without AF. High CHA2DS2-VASC scores warrant work-up for occult AF/AFL and other risk factors for CVA/TIA.

Utility of CHA2DS2-VASc Score to Predict Mid-Term Clinical Outcomes in Hemodialysis Patients.

BACKGROUND: The CHA2DS2-VASc score has been widely used to predict stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Recently, it was reported that the CHA2DS2-VASc score helps predict cardiovascular disease (CVD) or all-cause mortality in patients with or without AF. However, few reports have examined the association between this score and mortality in hemodialysis (HD) patients. METHODS: We analyzed 557 consecutive patients who initiated HD at our facilities between February 2005 and October 2017. The CHA2DS2-VASc score was calculated at the time of initiation of HD. Patients were then categorized into three groups according to their CHA2DS2-VASc scores: 0-1 (low), 2-3 (intermediate), and 4-9 (high). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to assess independent risk factors for 3-year all-cause mortality. RESULTS: During the 3-year follow-up period, 153 (27.5%) patients died (cardiovascular death: n = 88). According to multivariate analysis, serum albumin (hazard ratio [HR] 0.60, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.43-0.85, p = 0.003), creatinine (HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.84-0.99, p = 0.049), and CHA2DS2-VASc score (HR 1.33, 95% CI 1.20-1.46, p < 0.001) were associated with 3-year all-cause mortality. Compared with patients in the low CHA2DS2-VASc score group, those in the intermediate- and high-score groups had a higher risk for all-cause and CVD mortality (all-cause mortality: HR 1.77, 95% CI 1.23-2.55, p = 0.002 and HR 2.94, 95% CI 1.90-4.53, p < 0.001, respectively; CVD mortality: HR 1.82, 95% CI 1.27-2.59, p = 0.001 and HR 2.85, 95% CI 1.88-4.31, p < 0.001, respectively). CONCLUSION: The CHA2DS2-VASc score is a valuable predictor of 3-year all-cause and CVD mortality in incident HD patients.

Anticoagulation management in haemodialysis patients with atrial fibrillation: evidence and opinion.

In the absence of robust evidence to guide clinical decision-making, the optimal approach to prevent stroke and systemic embolism in haemodialysis (HD) patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains moot. In this position paper, studies on oral anticoagulation (OAC) in HD patients with AF are highlighted, followed by an evidence-based conclusion, a critical analysis to identify sources of bias and practical opinion-based suggestions on how to manage anticoagulation in this specific population. It remains unclear whether AF is a true risk factor for embolic stroke in HD. The currently employed cut-off values for the CHA2DS2-VASc score do not adequately discriminate dialysis patients deriving a net benefit from those suffering a net harm from OAC. Anticoagulation initiation should probably be more restrictive than currently advocated by official guidelines. Recent evidence reveals that the superior benefit-risk profile of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) versus vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) observed in the general population and in moderate chronic kidney disease can be extended to the HD population. VKA may be especially harmful in dialysis patients and should therefore be avoided, in particular in patients with a high bleeding risk and labile international normalized ratio. Dose-finding studies of DOACs suggest that rivaroxaban 10 mg daily and apixaban 2.5 mg twice daily are appropriate choices in dialysis patients. Combined treatment with oral anticoagulants and antiplatelet agents should be reserved for strong indications and limited in time. Left atrial appendage occlusion is a potential attractive solution to reduce the risk of stroke without increasing bleeding propensity, but it has not been properly studied in dialysis patients.