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1.
J Infect Dis ; 229(Supplement_2): S260-S264, 2024 Mar 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38058122

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: We describe clinicoepidemiologic characteristics of mpox-chickenpox coinfection in Nigeria. METHODS: A retrospective cohort analysis was performed of confirmed mpox cases in Nigeria from January 2022 to March 2023. Mpox and chickenpox were confirmed by real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). RESULTS: Of 94 (60.0%) suspected cases, 56 had confirmed mpox, of whom 16 (28.6%) had chickenpox coinfection. The median age of confirmed mpox cases was 29 years (interquartile range, 20-37 years), 24 were men (60.7%), 6 (10.7%) were bisexual, and 5 (8.9%) died. Mpox-chickenpox-coinfected patients had more complications than mpox-monoinfected cases (56.3% vs 22.5%, P = .015). CONCLUSIONS: The high frequency of mpox-chickenpox coinfection argues for accelerated access to mpox and chickenpox vaccines in Africa.


Assuntos
Varicela , Coinfecção , Mpox , Masculino , Humanos , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Feminino , Nigéria , Estudos Retrospectivos
2.
Rev Med Virol ; 33(2): e2416, 2023 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36484085

RESUMO

The safety of new vaccines under development as well as existing vaccines is a key priority for national and international public health agencies. A number of countries have implemented universal childhood varicella vaccination programmes over the past 30 years. However, strategies differ in terms of the number of doses, type of vaccine(s) recommended, age at vaccination and interval between doses for a two-dose schedule. An overview of reviews was undertaken to assess the existing systematic review evidence of the safety of varicella vaccination strategies. The review was restricted to immunocompetent children aged 9 months to 6 years inclusive. A comprehensive search of databases, registries and grey literature was conducted up to 2 February 2022. Two reviewers independently screened, extracted data and assessed the methodological quality of included reviews. Overlap of included reviews was also assessed. A total of 17 reviews, incorporating both the monovalent varicella only and quadrivalent measles-mumps-rubella-varicella (MMRV) vaccines were included in the overview; six assessed the safety of one-dose strategies, four assessed the safety of two-dose strategies and 14 reviews did not specify the dosing strategy. The evidence suggests that mild local and systemic reactions are relatively common with varicella vaccination. Febrile seizures are also possible adverse effects of both the monovalent and quadrivalent MMRV vaccine, but serious adverse reactions are rare. While most reviews contained methodological flaws, and analysis by vaccine type and dosing strategy was restricted due to lack of detail in reporting of the reviews, there was clear and consistent evidence from a substantial evidence base, comprising 34 randomised controlled trials and 62 other primary studies/reviews, that varicella vaccination is safe.


Assuntos
Varicela , Criança , Humanos , Lactente , Vacina contra Varicela/efeitos adversos , Herpesvirus Humano 3 , Vacinação , Anticorpos Antivirais
3.
Epidemiol Infect ; 152: e81, 2024 May 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38736415

RESUMO

Nosocomial outbreak of varicella zoster virus (VZV) has been reported when susceptible individuals encounter a case of chicken pox or shingles. A suspected VZV outbreak was investigated in a 50-bedded in-patient facility of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation in a tertiary care multispecialty hospital. A 30-year-old female patient admitted with Pott's spine was clinically diagnosed with chicken pox on 31 December 2022. The following week, four more cases were identified in the same ward. All cases were diagnosed as laboratory-confirmed varicella zoster infection by PCR. Primary case was a housekeeping staff who was clinically diagnosed with chicken pox 3 weeks prior (9 December 2022). He returned to work on eighth day of infection (17 December 2022) after apparent clinical recovery but before the lesions had crusted over. Thirty-one HCWs were identified as contacts a and three had no evidence of immunity. Two of these susceptible HCWs had onset of chickenpox shortly after first dose of VZV vaccination was inoculated. All cases recovered after treatment with no reported complications. VZV infection is highly contagious in healthcare settings with susceptible populations. Prompt identification of cases and implementation of infection prevention and control measures like patient isolation and vaccination are essential for the containment of outbreaks.


Assuntos
Infecção Hospitalar , Surtos de Doenças , Herpesvirus Humano 3 , Centros de Atenção Terciária , Adulto , Humanos , Varicela/epidemiologia , Infecção Hospitalar/epidemiologia , Infecção Hospitalar/virologia , Herpesvirus Humano 3/isolamento & purificação , Índia/epidemiologia , Assistência de Longa Duração , Infecção pelo Vírus da Varicela-Zoster/epidemiologia
4.
Rev Med Virol ; 33(1): e2407, 2023 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36378552

RESUMO

A number of countries have implemented universal childhood varicella vaccination programmes over the past 30 years. However, strategies differ in terms of dosing schedule (one- or two-dose), type of vaccine(s) recommended (monovalent, quadrivalent measles-mumps-rubella-varicella, or both), age at vaccination, and dosing interval for a two-dose schedule. An overview of reviews was undertaken to assess the existing systematic review evidence of the clinical efficacy/effectiveness of alternative varicella vaccination strategies. A comprehensive search of databases, registries and grey literature was conducted up to 2 February 2022. Two reviewers independently screened, extracted data and assessed the methodological quality of included reviews. A total of 20 reviews were included in the overview; 17 assessed the efficacy/effectiveness of one-dose strategies and 10 assessed the efficacy/effectiveness of two-dose strategies. Although the quality of most reviews was deemed 'critically low', there was clear and consistent evidence that vaccination is very effective at reducing varicella. While the analysis was restricted due to lack of detail in reporting of the reviews, the evidence suggests that two-dose strategies are more efficacious/effective than one-dose strategies in preventing varicella of any severity, but that both strategies have similar high efficacy/effectiveness in preventing moderate or severe varicella. Based on this evidence in this overview of reviews, a key consideration for policymakers on the possible introduction of a childhood varicella vaccination programme and the choice between a one- or two-dose strategy, will be whether the objective of a programme is to prevent varicella of any severity or to prevent moderate to severe varicella.


Assuntos
Varicela , Criança , Humanos , Lactente , Varicela/epidemiologia , Varicela/prevenção & controle , Vacina contra Varicela , Herpesvirus Humano 3 , Vacina contra Sarampo-Caxumba-Rubéola , Resultado do Tratamento , Vacinação , Vacinas Combinadas , Revisões Sistemáticas como Assunto
5.
Graefes Arch Clin Exp Ophthalmol ; 262(2): 583-588, 2024 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37861849

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The occurrence of herpes zoster is rising globally. Future trends will be influenced by changes in population demographics and the growing number of patients at risk. Overall this poses a challenge for healthcare systems. METHODS: In our interdisciplinary, single-centre retrospective analysis, we aimed to assess the burden of the disease within the Department of Dermatology and the Eye Centre from the Medical Centre, University of Freiburg from 2009-2022. We obtained data from 3034 cases coded using the ICD-10 B02.x. Patients were characterised by sex, age, year of treatment, and type of treatment (inpatient vs. outpatient). RESULTS: Overall we observed a 200% increase in the number of herpes zoster patients over the 13-year period. Upon closer analysis, this was mainly due to a rise in inpatient treatment for herpes zoster ophthalmicus. CONCLUSIONS: If the incidence of herpes zoster ophthalmicus continues to increase at the current rate the number of hospitalisations of zoster ophthalmicus would double by 2040, assuming guideline-appropriate treatment. Overall, the results show a growing need for inpatient ophthalmological care.


Assuntos
Herpes Zoster Oftálmico , Humanos , Herpes Zoster Oftálmico/diagnóstico , Herpes Zoster Oftálmico/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Herpesvirus Humano 3 , Hospitalização , Incidência
6.
Euro Surveill ; 29(9)2024 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38426240

RESUMO

BackgroundChickenpox, a vaccine-preventable disease caused by the varicella zoster virus, generally presents with mild symptoms but can cause complications necessitating hospitalisation. In Poland, since 2009, vaccination has been obligatory for children up to 12 years of age who are particularly vulnerable to infection and for children in their vicinity.AimTo examine the burden of chickenpox complications and the trends of hospitalisation arising from these complications over time in the Polish population.MethodsData spanning 2006-21 were sourced from the Polish Infectious Diseases Surveillance System, the Nationwide General Hospital Morbidity Study and the Statistics Poland death registry. Standardised and age-specific incidence rates, hospital discharge rates and number of deaths because of chickenpox were calculated. Moreover, the joinpoint regression model was used to analyse trends of annual hospital discharge rates.ResultsOver the analysed timeframe, 25,804 hospitalisations and 52 deaths attributable to chickenpox complications were documented, and 1.0% of chickenpox cases required hospitalisation because of chickenpox. Age-standardised hospitalisation rates varied between 2.3 and 9.6 per 100,000 population. The analysis revealed no statistically significant trend in overall hospital discharge rates from chickenpox complications. However, a notable increase in hospitalisation rates was observed in children aged 0-4 and among inhabitants of rural areas, with annual percentage changes of 4.9% and 3.4% respectively.ConclusionsOur findings suggest that the implementation of a universal chickenpox immunisation programme, supported by health education, should be considered to reduce the number of hospitalisations and nearly eliminate deaths because of chickenpox.


Assuntos
Varicela , Criança , Humanos , Lactente , Varicela/epidemiologia , Vacina contra Varicela , Polônia/epidemiologia , Herpesvirus Humano 3 , Incidência , Sistema de Registros
7.
J Infect Dis ; 228(6): 674-683, 2023 09 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37384795

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Varicella causes a major health burden in many low- to middle-income countries located in tropical regions. Because of the lack of surveillance data, however, the epidemiology of varicella in these regions remains uncharacterized. In this study, based on an extensive dataset of weekly varicella incidence in children ≤10 during 2011-2014 in 25 municipalities, we aimed to delineate the seasonality of varicella across the diverse tropical climates of Colombia. METHODS: We used generalized additive models to estimate varicella seasonality, and we used clustering and matrix correlation methods to assess its correlation with climate. Furthermore, we developed a mathematical model to examine whether including the effect of climate on varicella transmission could reproduce the observed spatiotemporal patterns. RESULTS: Varicella seasonality was markedly bimodal, with latitudinal changes in the peaks' timing and amplitude. This spatial gradient strongly correlated with specific humidity (Mantel statistic = 0.412, P = .001) but not temperature (Mantel statistic = 0.077, P = .225). The mathematical model reproduced the observed patterns not only in Colombia but also México, and it predicted a latitudinal gradient in Central America. CONCLUSIONS: These results demonstrate large variability in varicella seasonality across Colombia and suggest that spatiotemporal humidity fluctuations can explain the calendar of varicella epidemics in Colombia, México, and potentially in Central America.


Assuntos
Varicela , Criança , Humanos , Varicela/epidemiologia , Colômbia/epidemiologia , Clima , Herpesvirus Humano 3 , Umidade , Estações do Ano , Clima Tropical
8.
J Med Virol ; 95(1): e28420, 2023 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36546403

RESUMO

Some viruses, such as varicella zoster virus, are associated with severe dementia. The present study aims to identify the causal link between chickenpox and dementia. To date, the largest publicly available genome-wide association study (GWAS) for chickenpox (710 cases and 211 856 controls from European individuals) and for dementia (5933 cases and 212 859 controls from European individuals) were used to performed this two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study. We found no significant pleiotropy or heterogeneity in all seven selected chickenpox genetic instrumental variants in dementia GWAS. Of seven chickenpox genetic variants, two are located in the intergenic region and five are located in intron. We found that as chickenpox genetically increased, dementia risk increased based on an inverse-variance weighted analysis (ß = 0.070, 95% confidence interval [CI] for ß: 0.014-0.126; odds ratio [OR] = 1.073, 95% CI for OR: 1.015-1.134; p = 0.014) and weighted median (ß = 0.071, 95% CI for ß: 0.002-0.141; OR = 1.074, 95% CI for OR: 1.002-1.152; p = 0.045). Reverse MR analysis showed no causal effect of dementia on chickenpox. Our analysis suggests a causal effect of genetically increased chickenpox on dementia risk. Thus, chickenpox may be a potential risk factor for dementia.


Assuntos
Varicela , Demência , Humanos , Análise da Randomização Mendeliana , Estudo de Associação Genômica Ampla , Varicela/epidemiologia , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único , Demência/epidemiologia , Demência/genética
9.
J Med Virol ; 95(1): e28315, 2023 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36380510

RESUMO

Observational studies have suggested a suspected association between varicella-zoster virus (VZV) infection and multiple sclerosis (MS), but the connection has remained unclear. The aim of the present study is to evaluate the causal relationship between chickenpox which is caused by VZV infection and MS. We performed a two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis to investigate the association of chickenpox with MS using summary statistics from genome-wide association studies (GWAS). The GWAS summary statistics data for chickenpox was from the 23andMe cohort including 107 769 cases and 15 982 controls. A large summary of statistical data from the International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium (IMSGC) was used as the outcome GWAS data set, including 14 802 MS cases and 26 703 controls. We found evidence of a significant association between genetically predicted chickenpox and risk of MS (odds ratio [OR] = 35.27, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 22.97-54.17, p = 1.46E-59). Our findings provided evidence indicating a causal effect of chickenpox on MS. Further elucidations of this association and underlying mechanisms are needed for identifying feasible interventions to promote MS prevention.


Assuntos
Varicela , Esclerose Múltipla , Humanos , Varicela/epidemiologia , Esclerose Múltipla/epidemiologia , Esclerose Múltipla/genética , Análise da Randomização Mendeliana , Estudo de Associação Genômica Ampla , Herpesvirus Humano 3/genética , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único
10.
J Med Virol ; 95(10): e29147, 2023 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37800532

RESUMO

During the current global outbreak of mpox (formerly monkeypox), atypical features were frequently described outside endemic areas, raising concerns around differential diagnosis. In this study, we included 372 adult patients who had clinical signs consistent with mpox and who were screened using non-variola orthopoxvirus specific quantitative polymerase chain reaction (PCR) between 15 May and 15 November 2022 at the University Hospital Institute Méditerranée Infection, Marseille, France. At least one clinical sample was positive for 143 (38.4%) of these patients and 229 (61.6%) were negative. Clinically, patients who had mpox presented more frequently with systemic signs (69.9% vs. 31.0%, p < 10-6 ) including fever (51.0% vs. 30.1%, p < 10-3 ), myalgia (33.5% vs. 17.9%, p = 0.002), and lymphadenopathy (38.5% vs. 13.1%, p < 10-6 ). Among the patients who were negative for the non-variola orthopoxvirus, an alternative diagnosis was identified in 58 of them (25.3%), including chickenpox (n = 30, 13.1%), syphilis (n = 9, 4%), bacterial skin infection (n = 8, 3.5%), gonococcus (n = 5, 2.2%), HSV infection (n = 5, 2.2%), and histoplasmosis (n = 1, 0.4%). Overall, in the current outbreak, we show that mpox has a poorly specific clinical presentation. This reinforces the importance of microbiological confirmation. In symptomatic patients who are negative for the monkeypox virus by PCR, a broad differential diagnosis should be maintained.


Assuntos
Varicela , Infecção Hospitalar , Mpox , Orthopoxvirus , Adulto , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Diagnóstico Diferencial
11.
J Neurovirol ; 29(4): 449-459, 2023 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37219811

RESUMO

Varicella-zoster virus (VZV) infection may cause vascular inflammatory changes leading to an increased risk of stroke. Previous studies have focused on the risk of stroke and less on changes in stroke risk and prognosis. We aimed to explore the changing patterns of stroke risk and stroke prognosis after VZV infection. This study is a systematic review and meta-analysis. We searched PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library for studies on stroke after VZV infection between January 1, 2000, and October 5, 2022. Relative risks were combined for the same study subgroups using a fixed-effects model and pooled across studies using a random-effects model. 27 studies met the requirements, including 17 herpes zoster (HZ) studies and ten chickenpox studies. There was an increased risk of stroke after HZ, and this risk decreased over time: relative risk 1.80 (95% CI 1.42-2.29) within 14 days, 1.61 (95% CI 1.43-1.81) within 30 days, 1.45 (95% CI 1.33-1.58) within 90 days, 1.32 (95% CI 1.25-1.39) within 180 days, 1.27 (95% CI 1.15-1.40) at one year and 1.19 (95% CI 0.90-1.59) after one year, with the same trend in the stroke subtype. The risk of stroke after herpes zoster ophthalmicus was higher, with a maximum relative risk of 2.26 (95% CI 1.35-3.78). The risk of stroke after HZ was higher in patients aged around 40 years: relative risk 2.53 (95% CI 1.59-4.02), and similar in men and women. Also, after pooling studies of post-chickenpox stroke, we found that the middle cerebral artery and its branches were most frequently involved (78.2%), with a better prognosis in most patients (83.1%) and less frequent vascular persistence progression (8.9%). In conclusion, the risk of stroke increases after VZV infection, decreasing over time. Post-infection vascular inflammatory changes often occur in the middle cerebral artery and its branches, with a better prognosis in most patients and less frequent persistent progression.


Assuntos
Varicela , Herpes Zoster , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Idoso , Herpesvirus Humano 3 , Varicela/complicações , Herpes Zoster/complicações , Risco , Inflamação
12.
Eur J Clin Microbiol Infect Dis ; 42(5): 555-567, 2023 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36881216

RESUMO

Assess the incidence, risk factors, clinical and microbiological features, and outcome of both probable invasive and invasive group A Streptococcus (GAS) infections in children and adults in the BrusselsCapital Region between 2005 and 2020. A retrospective, multicentric study was performed in three university hospitals in Brussels. Patients were identified through the centralized laboratory information system. Epidemiological and clinical data were collected from patients' hospital records. A total of 467 cases were identified. Incidence has increased from 2.1 to 10.9/100,000 inhabitants between 2009 and 2019 in non-homeless adults while it was above 100/100,000 on homeless in years with available denominators. Most of GAS were isolated from blood (43.6%), and the most common clinical presentation was skin and soft tissue infections (42.8%). A third of all the patients needed surgery, a quarter was admitted to the intensive care unit, and 10% of the adult patients died. Wounds and chickenpox disease were the main risk factors for children. Tobacco, alcohol abuse, wounds or chronic skin lesion, being homeless, and diabetes were identified as major predisposing factors for adults. The most common emm clusters were D4, E4, and AC3; 64% of the isolates were theoretically covered by the 30-valent M-protein vaccine. The burden of invasive and probable invasive GAS infections is on the rise in the studied adult population. We identified potential interventions that could contribute to decrease this burden: appropriate care of wounds, specifically among homeless and patients with risk factors such as diabetes and systematic chickenpox vaccination for children.


Assuntos
Varicela , Infecções Estreptocócicas , Criança , Humanos , Adulto , Estudos Retrospectivos , Incidência , Streptococcus pyogenes , Infecções Estreptocócicas/epidemiologia , Infecções Estreptocócicas/microbiologia
13.
Epidemiol Infect ; 152: e3, 2023 Dec 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38112097

RESUMO

Chickenpox (varicella) is a rare occurrence in healthcare settings in the USA, but can be transmitted to healthcare workers (HCWs) from patients with herpes zoster who, in turn, can potentially transmit it further to unimmunized, immunosuppressed, at-risk, vulnerable patients. It is uncommon due to the inclusion of varicella vaccination in the recommended immunization schedule for children and screening for varicella immunity in HCWs during employment. We present a case report of hospital-acquired chickenpox in a patient who developed the infection during his prolonged hospital stay through a HCW who had contracted chickenpox after exposure to our patient's roommate with herpes zoster. There was no physical contact between the roommates, but both patients had a common HCW as caregiver. The herpes zoster patient was placed in airborne precautions immediately, but the HCW continued to work and have physical contact with our patient. The HCW initially developed chickenpox 18 days after exposure to the patient with herpes zoster, and our patient developed chickenpox 17 days after the HCW. The timeline and two incubation periods, prior to our patient developing chickenpox, indicate transmission of chickenpox in the HCW from exposure to the herpes zoster patient and subsequently to our patient. The case highlights the potential for nosocomial transmission of chickenpox (varicella) to unimmunized HCWs from exposure to patients with herpes zoster and further transmission to unimmunized patients. Verification of the immunization status of HCWs at the time of employment, mandating immunity, furloughing unimmunized staff after exposure to herpes zoster, and postexposure prophylaxis with vaccination or varicella zoster immunoglobulin (Varizig) will minimize the risk of transmission of communicable diseases like chickenpox in healthcare settings. Additionally, establishing patients' immunity, heightened vigilance and early identification of herpes zoster in hospitalized patients, and initiation of appropriate infection control immediately will further prevent such occurrences and improve patient safety.This is a case report of a varicella-unimmunized 31-year-old patient who developed chickenpox during his 80-day-long hospitalization. He had different roommates during his long hospital stay but had no physical contact with them and neither had visitors. On most days, the same HCW rendered care to him and his roommates. One of the patient's roommates was found to have herpes zoster and was immediately moved to a different room with appropriate infection prevention measures. The HCW is presumably unimmunized to varicella and sustained significant exposure to the patient with herpes zoster during routine patient care which involved significant physical contact. The HCW was not furloughed, assessed for immunity, or given postexposure prophylaxis (PEP). The HCW had continued contact with our patient as part of routine care. On day 18, after exposure to the patient with herpes zoster, the HCW developed chickenpox. 17 days thereafter, our patient developed chickenpox. The time interval of chickenpox infection in the HCW after one incubation period after exposure to the patient with herpes zoster followed by a similar infection of chickenpox in our patient after another incubation period suggests the spread of varicella zoster virus (VZV) from the herpes zoster patient to the HCW and further from the HCW to our patient. Assessing the immunity of HCWs to varicella at the time of employment, ensuring only HCWs with immunity take care of herpes zoster and varicella patients, furloughing unimmunized exposed HCWs, offering PEP, and documentation of patients' immunity to varicella at the time of hospital admission could help prevent VZV transmission in hospital settings. This is an attempt to publish this novel case due to its high educational value and relevant learning points.


Assuntos
Varicela , Herpes Zoster , Adulto , Humanos , Masculino , Varicela/prevenção & controle , Varicela/epidemiologia , Vacina contra Varicela , Atenção à Saúde , Herpesvirus Humano 3 , Hospitais
14.
J Med Internet Res ; 25: e44186, 2023 05 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37191983

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Chickenpox is an old but easily neglected infectious disease. Although chickenpox is preventable by vaccines, vaccine breakthroughs often occur, and the chickenpox epidemic is on the rise. Chickenpox is not included in the list of regulated communicable diseases that must be reported and controlled by public and health departments; therefore, it is crucial to rapidly identify and report varicella outbreaks during the early stages. The Baidu index (BDI) can supplement the traditional surveillance system for infectious diseases, such as brucellosis and dengue, in China. The number of reported chickenpox cases and internet search data also showed a similar trend. BDI can be a useful tool to display the outbreak of infectious diseases. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to develop an efficient disease surveillance method that uses BDI to assist in traditional surveillance. METHODS: Chickenpox incidence data (weekly from January 2017 to June 2021) reported by the Yunnan Province Center for Disease Control and Prevention were obtained to evaluate the relationship between the incidence of chickenpox and BDI. We applied a support vector machine regression (SVR) model and a multiple regression prediction model with BDI to predict the incidence of chickenpox. In addition, we used the SVR model to predict the number of chickenpox cases from June 2021 to the first week of April 2022. RESULTS: The analysis showed that there was a close correlation between the weekly number of newly diagnosed cases and the BDI. In the search terms we collected, the highest Spearman correlation coefficient was 0.747. Most BDI search terms, such as "chickenpox," "chickenpox treatment," "treatment of chickenpox," "chickenpox symptoms," and "chickenpox virus," trend consistently. Some BDI search terms, such as "chickenpox pictures," "symptoms of chickenpox," "chickenpox vaccine," and "is chickenpox vaccine necessary," appeared earlier than the trend of "chickenpox virus." The 2 models were compared, the SVR model performed better in all the applied measurements: fitting effect, R2=0.9108, root mean square error (RMSE)=96.2995, and mean absolute error (MAE)=73.3988; and prediction effect, R2=0.548, RMSE=189.1807, and MAE=147.5412. In addition, we applied the SVR model to predict the number of reported cases weekly in Yunnan from June 2021 to April 2022 using the same period of the BDI. The results showed that the fluctuation of the time series from July 2021 to April 2022 was similar to that of the last year and a half with no change in the level of prevention and control. CONCLUSIONS: These findings indicated that the BDI in Yunnan Province can predict the incidence of chickenpox in the same period. Thus, the BDI is a useful tool for monitoring the chickenpox epidemic and for complementing traditional monitoring systems.


Assuntos
Varicela , Humanos , Varicela/epidemiologia , Varicela/prevenção & controle , Vacina contra Varicela , China/epidemiologia , Surtos de Doenças/prevenção & controle , Incidência , Infodemiologia , Máquina de Vetores de Suporte , Vigilância de Evento Sentinela
15.
J Infect Dis ; 226(Suppl 4): S416-S424, 2022 10 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36265848

RESUMO

Tracking vaccination coverage is a critical component of monitoring a vaccine program. Three different surveillance systems were used to examine trends in varicella vaccination coverage during the United States vaccination program: National Immunization Survey-Child, National Immunization Survey-Teen, and immunization information systems (IISs). The relationship of these trends to school requirements and disease decline was also examined. Among children aged 19-35 months, ≥1 dose of varicella vaccine increased from 16.0% in 1996 to 89.2% by the end of the 1-dose program in 2006, stabilizing around at least 90.0% thereafter. The uptake of the second dose was rapid after the 2007 recommendation. Two-dose coverage among children aged 7 years at 6 high-performing IIS sites increased from 2.6%-5.5% in 2006 to 86.0%-100.0% in 2020. Among adolescents aged 13-17 years, ≥2-dose coverage increased from 4.1% in 2006 to 91.9% in 2020. The proportion of adolescents with history of varicella disease declined from 69.9% in 2006 to 8.4% in 2020. In 2006, 92% of states and the District of Columbia (DC) had 1-dose daycare or school entry requirements; 88% of states and DC had 2-dose school entry requirements in the 2020-2021 school year. The successes in attaining and maintaining high vaccine coverage were paramount in the dramatic reduction of the varicella burden in the United States over the 25 years of the vaccination program, but opportunities remain to further increase coverage and decrease varicella morbidity and mortality.


Assuntos
Varicela , Humanos , Adolescente , Estados Unidos , Varicela/epidemiologia , Varicela/prevenção & controle , Cobertura Vacinal , Vacina contra Varicela , Vacinação , Herpesvirus Humano 3
16.
J Infect Dis ; 226(Suppl 4): S400-S406, 2022 10 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36265851

RESUMO

We describe the changing epidemiology of varicella outbreaks informed by past and current active and passive surveillance in the United States by reviewing data published during 1995-2015 and analyzing new data from 2016 to 2019. Varicella outbreaks were defined as ≥5 varicella cases within 1 setting and ≥1 incubation period. During the 1-dose varicella vaccination program (1995‒2006), the number of varicella outbreaks declined by 80% (2003-2006 vs 1995-1998) in 1 active surveillance area where vaccination coverage reached 90.5% in 2006. During the 2-dose program, in 7 states with consistent reporting to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the number of outbreaks declined by 82% (2016-2019 vs 2005-2006). Over the entire program (1995-2019), outbreak size and duration declined from a median of 15 cases/outbreak and 45 days duration to 7 cases and 30 days duration. The proportion of outbreaks with <10 cases increased from 28% to 73%. During 2016‒2019, most (79%) outbreak cases occurred among unvaccinated or partially vaccinated persons eligible for second-dose vaccination, highlighting the potential for further varicella control.


Assuntos
Varicela , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Humanos , Varicela/epidemiologia , Varicela/prevenção & controle , Programas de Imunização , Herpesvirus Humano 3 , Vacinação , Surtos de Doenças/prevenção & controle
17.
J Infect Dis ; 226(Suppl 4): S380-S384, 2022 10 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36265857

RESUMO

After 25 years of varicella vaccination in the United States, classic varicella and its complications have become an uncommon occurrence. The clinical manifestation of varicella among vaccinated persons is usually modified, with fewer skin lesions, mostly maculopapular, and milder presentation. However, the potential for severe manifestations from varicella still exists among both vaccinated and unvaccinated persons, and thus healthcare providers should keep varicella in the differential diagnosis of a maculopapular or vesicular rash. The prompt recognition and diagnosis of varicella is important because when confirmed, clinical and public health measures need to be taken swiftly.


Assuntos
Varicela , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Humanos , Varicela/diagnóstico , Varicela/epidemiologia , Varicela/prevenção & controle , Herpesvirus Humano 3 , Vacinação , Transtornos da Memória , Saúde Pública , Vacina contra Varicela
18.
BMC Med ; 20(1): 387, 2022 10 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36209074

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Varicella zoster virus (VZV) is one of the eight known human herpesviruses. Initial VZV infection results in chickenpox, while viral reactivation following a period of latency manifests as shingles. Separate vaccines exist to protect against both initial infection and subsequent reactivation. Controversy regarding chickenpox vaccination is contentious with most countries not including the vaccine in their childhood immunization schedule due to the hypothesized negative impact on immune-boosting, where VZV reactivation is suppressed through exogenous boosting of VZV antibodies from exposure to natural chickenpox infections. METHODS: Population-level chickenpox and shingles notifications from Thailand, a country that does not vaccinate against either disease, were previously fitted with mathematical models to estimate rates of VZV transmission and reactivation. Here, multiple chickenpox and shingles vaccination scenarios were simulated and compared to a model lacking any vaccination to analyze the long-term impacts of VZV vaccination. RESULTS: As expected, simulations suggested that an introduction of the chickenpox vaccine, at any coverage level, would reduce chickenpox incidence. However, chickenpox vaccine coverage levels above 35% would increase shingles incidence under realistic estimates of shingles coverage with the current length of protective immunity from the vaccine. A trade-off between chickenpox and shingles vaccination coverage was discovered, where mid-level chickenpox coverage levels were identified as the optimal target to minimize total zoster burden. Only in scenarios where shingles vaccine provided lifelong immunity or coverage exceeded current levels could large reductions in both chickenpox and shingles be achieved. CONCLUSIONS: The complicated nature of VZV makes it impossible to select a single vaccination scenario as universal policy. Strategies focused on reducing both chickenpox and shingles incidence, but prioritizing the latter should maximize efforts towards shingles vaccination, while slowly incorporating chickenpox vaccination. Alternatively, countries may wish to minimize VZV complications of both chickenpox and shingles, which would lead to maximizing vaccine coverage levels across both diseases. Balancing the consequences of vaccination to overall health impacts, including understanding the impact of an altered mean age of infection for both chickenpox and shingles, would need to be considered prior to any vaccine introduction.


Assuntos
Varicela , Vacina contra Herpes Zoster , Herpes Zoster , Varicela/epidemiologia , Varicela/prevenção & controle , Vacina contra Varicela , Criança , Herpes Zoster/epidemiologia , Herpes Zoster/prevenção & controle , Herpesvirus Humano 3 , Humanos , Vacinação , Vacinas Atenuadas
19.
Virol J ; 19(1): 122, 2022 07 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35883083

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Encephalitis is a serious disease of the brain characterized by prodromal and specific neurological symptoms. HIV infections offer opportunistic viruses, such as Varicella-zoster virus (VZV), the chance to cause encephalitis in patients. There is a lack of information on the genetic diversity of VZV in Ghana and other parts of Africa which requires sequencing and characterization studies to address. The active evolution of HIV-1 in West Africa also requires continuous surveillance for the emergence of new genetic forms. CASE PRESENTATION: VZV was detected in the CSF sample of an 11-year-old patient presenting with symptoms of encephalitis by real-time PCR diagnostics. To identify possible unknown aetiological pathogens, next-generation sequencing was performed, and revealed an HIV-1 co-infection. Alignments of concatenated HIV-1 genome fragments in the gag, pol, vif, env and nef regions and a near-complete VZV genome were analyzed by Bayesian inference, and phylogenetic trees were generated. The VZV sequence belongs to clade 5 and the HIV-1 sequence is a member of the CRF02_AG predominant circulating recombinant form in Ghana. CONCLUSIONS: Diagnostic tests for CSF HIV would be useful where possible in patients presenting with encephalitis due to VZV and other opportunistic viruses in Kumasi to shed light on the role of HIV in encephalitis cases in Ghana. This report reaffirms the role of the CRF02_AG circulating recombinant form in HIV infections in Ghana and also gives a preliminary genetic characterization of VZV in Kumasi, Ghana.


Assuntos
Varicela , Coinfecção , Encefalite , Infecções por HIV , HIV-1 , Herpes Zoster , Teorema de Bayes , Criança , Gana , HIV-1/genética , Herpes Zoster/diagnóstico , Herpesvirus Humano 3/genética , Humanos , Filogenia
20.
Am J Obstet Gynecol ; 227(6): 849-861.e7, 2022 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35985514

RESUMO

The 2022 monkeypox outbreak, caused by the zoonotic monkeypox virus, has spread across 6 World Health Organization regions (the Americas, Africa, Europe, Eastern Mediterranean, Western Pacific, and South-East Asia) and was declared a public health emergency of international concern on July 23, 2022. The global situation is especially concerning given the atypically high rate of person-to-person transmission, which suggests viral evolution to an established human pathogen. Pregnant women are at heightened risk of vertical transmission of the monkeypox virus because of immune vulnerability and natural depletion of population immunity to smallpox among reproductive-age women, and because orthopoxviral cell entry mechanisms can overcome the typically viral-resistant syncytiotrophoblast barrier within the placenta. Data on pregnancy outcomes following monkeypox infection are scarce but include reports of miscarriage, intrauterine demise, preterm birth, and congenital infection. This article forecasts the issues that maternity units might face and proposes guidelines to protect the health of pregnant women and fetuses exposed to the monkeypox virus. We review the pathophysiology and clinical features of monkeypox infection and discuss the obstetrical implications of the unusually high prevalence of anogenital lesions. We describe the use of real-time polymerase chain reaction tests from mucocutaneous and oropharyngeal sites to confirm infection, and share an algorithm for the antenatal management of pregnant women with monkeypox virus exposure. On the basis of the best available knowledge from prenatal orthopoxvirus infections, we discuss the sonographic features of congenital monkeypox and the role of invasive testing in establishing fetal infection. We suggest a protocol for cesarean delivery to avoid the horizontal transmission of the monkeypox virus at birth and address the controversy of mother-infant separation in the postpartum period. Obstetrical concerns related to antiviral therapy with tecovirimat and vaccinia immune globulin are highlighted, including the risks of heart rate-corrected QT-interval prolongation, inaccuracies in blood glucose monitoring, and the predisposition to iatrogenic venous thromboembolism. The possibility of monkeypox vaccine hesitancy during pregnancy is discussed, and strategies are offered to mitigate these risks. Finally, we conclude with a research proposal to address knowledge gaps related to the impact of monkeypox infection on maternal, fetal, and neonatal health.


Assuntos
Mpox , Nascimento Prematuro , Recém-Nascido , Lactente , Feminino , Humanos , Gravidez , Mpox/diagnóstico , Mpox/epidemiologia , Automonitorização da Glicemia , Glicemia , Monkeypox virus
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