Inhibition of viral suppressor of RNAi proteins by designer peptides protects from enteroviral infection in vivo.

RNA interference (RNAi) is the major antiviral mechanism in plants and invertebrates, but the absence of detectable viral (v)siRNAs in mammalian cells upon viral infection has questioned the functional relevance of this pathway in mammalian immunity. We designed a series of peptides specifically targeting enterovirus A71 (EV-A71)-encoded protein 3A, a viral suppressor of RNAi (VSR). These peptides abrogated the VSR function of EV-A71 in infected cells and resulted in the accumulation of vsiRNAs and reduced viral replication. These vsiRNAs were functional, as evidenced by RISC-loading and silencing of target RNAs. The effects of VSR-targeting peptides (VTPs) on infection with EV-A71 as well as another enterovirus, Coxsackievirus-A16, were ablated upon deletion of Dicer1 or AGO2, core components of the RNAi pathway. In vivo, VTP treatment protected mice against lethal EV-A71 challenge, with detectable vsiRNAs. Our findings provide evidence for the functional relevance of RNAi in mammalian immunity and present a therapeutic strategy for infectious disease.

Pathogenicity and landscape of differential gene expression in mice orally infected with clinical coxsackievirus A6 (CA6).

Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is caused by more than 20 pathogenic enteroviruses belonging to the Picornaviridae family and Enterovirus genus. Since the introduction of the enterovirus-71 (EV71) vaccine in 2016, the number of HFMD cases caused by EV71 has decreased. However, cases of infections caused by other enteroviruses, such as coxsackievirus A6 (CA6) and coxsackievirus A10, have been increasing accordingly. In this study, we used a clinical isolate of CA6 to establish an intragastric infection mouse model using 7-day-old mice to mimic the natural transmission route, by which we investigated the differential gene expression profiles associated with virus infection and pathogenicity. After intragastric infection, mice exhibited hind limb paralysis symptoms and weight loss, similar to those reported for EV71 infection in mice. The skeletal muscle was identified as the main site of virus replication, with a peak viral load reaching 2.31 × 107 copies/mg at 5 dpi and increased infiltration of inflammatory cells. RNA sequencing analysis identified differentially expressed genes (DEGs) after CA6 infection. DEGs in the blood, muscle, brain, spleen, and thymus were predominantly enriched in immune system responses, including pathways such as Toll-like receptor signaling and PI3K-Akt signaling. Our study has unveiled the genes involved in the host immune response during CA6 infection, thereby enhancing our comprehension of the pathological mechanism of HFMD.IMPORTANCEThis study holds great significance for the field of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD). It not only delves into the disease's etiology, transmission pathways, and severe complications but also establishes a novel mouse model that mimics the natural coxsackievirus A6 infection process, providing a pivotal platform to delve deeper into virus replication and pathogenic mechanisms. Additionally, utilizing RNA-seq technology, it unveils the dynamic gene expression changes during infection, offering valuable leads for identifying novel therapeutic drug targets. This research has the potential to enhance our understanding of HFMD, offering fresh perspectives for disease prevention and treatment and positively impacting children's health worldwide.

Coxsackievirus A6 2C protein antagonizes IFN-ß production through MDA5 and RIG-I depletion.

IMPORTANCE: Coxsackievirus A6 (CV-A6) is a major emerging pathogen associated with atypical hand, foot, and mouth disease and can cause serious complications such as encephalitis, acute flaccid paralysis, and neurorespiratory syndrome. Therefore, revealing the associated pathogenic mechanisms could benefit the control of CV-A6 infections. In this study, we demonstrate that the nonstructural 2CCV-A6 suppresses IFN-ß production, which supports CV-A6 infection. This is achieved by depleting RNA sensors such as melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 and retinoic acid-inducible gene I (RIG-I) through the lysosomal pathway. Such a function is shared by 2CEV-A71 and 2CCV-B3 but not 2CCV-A16, suggesting the latter might have an alternative way to promote viral replication. This study broadens our understanding of enterovirus 2C protein regulation of the RIG-I-like receptor signaling pathway and reveals a novel mechanism by which CV-A6 and other enteroviruses evade the host innate immune response. These findings on 2C may provide new therapeutic targets for the development of effective inhibitors against CV-A6 and other enterovirus infections.

Enterovirus-A71 exploits RAB11 to recruit chaperones for virus morphogenesis.

BACKGROUND: Enterovirus 71 (EV-A71) causes Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease (HFMD) in children and has been associated with neurological complications. The molecular mechanisms involved in EV-A71 pathogenesis have remained elusive. METHODS: A siRNA screen in EV-A71 infected-motor neurons was performed targeting 112 genes involved in intracellular membrane trafficking, followed by validation of the top four hits using deconvoluted siRNA. Downstream approaches including viral entry by-pass, intracellular viral genome quantification by qPCR, Western blot analyses, and Luciferase reporter assays allowed determine the stage of the infection cycle the top candidate, RAB11A was involved in. Proximity ligation assay, co-immunoprecipitation and multiplex confocal imaging were employed to study interactions between viral components and RAB11A. Dominant negative and constitutively active RAB11A constructs were used to determine the importance of the protein's GTPase activity during EV-A71 infection. Mass spectrometry and protein interaction analyses were employed for the identification of RAB11A's host interacting partners during infection. RESULTS: Small GTPase RAB11A was identified as a novel pro-viral host factor during EV-A71 infection. RAB11A and RAB11B isoforms were interchangeably exploited by strains from major EV-A71 genogroups and by Coxsackievirus A16, another major causative agent of HFMD. We showed that RAB11A was not involved in viral entry, IRES-mediated protein translation, viral genome replication, and virus exit. RAB11A co-localized with replication organelles where it interacted with structural and non-structural viral components. Over-expression of dominant negative (S25N; GDP-bound) and constitutively active (Q70L; GTP-bound) RAB11A mutants had no effect on EV-A71 infection outcome, ruling out RAB11A's involvement in intracellular trafficking of viral or host components. Instead, decreased ratio of intracellular mature viral particles to viral RNA copies and increased VP0:VP2 ratio in siRAB11-treated cells supported a role in provirion maturation hallmarked by VP0 cleavage into VP2 and VP4. Finally, chaperones, not trafficking and transporter proteins, were found to be RAB11A's top interacting partners during EV-A71 infection. Among which, CCT8 subunit from the chaperone complex TRiC/CCT was further validated and shown to interact with viral structural proteins specifically, representing yet another novel pro-viral host factor during EV-A71 infection. CONCLUSIONS: This study describes a novel, unconventional role for RAB11A during viral infection where it participates in the complex process of virus morphogenesis by recruiting essential chaperone proteins.

MST1/2 exerts a pivotal role in inducing neuroinflammation and Coxsackievirus-A10 replication by interacting with innate immunity.

Coxsackievirus-A10 (CV-A10), responsible for the hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) pandemic, could cause serious central nervous system (CNS) complications. The underlying molecular basis of CV-A10 and host interactions inducing neuropathogenesis is still unclear. The Hippo signaling pathway, historically known for a dominator of organ development and homeostasis, has recently been implicated as an immune regulator. However, its role in host defense against CV-A10 has not been investigated. Herein, it was found that CV-A10 proliferated in HMC3 cells and promoted the release of inflammatory cytokines. Moreover, pattern recognition receptors (PRRs)-mediated pathways, including TLR3-TRIF-TRAF3-TBK1-NF-κB axis, RIG-I/MDA5-MAVS-TRAF3-TBK1-NF-κB axis and TLR7-MyD88-IRAK1/IRAK4-TRAF6-TAK1-NF-κB axis, were examined to be elevated under CV-A10 infection. Meanwhile, it was further uncovered that Hippo signaling pathway was inhibited in HMC3 cells with CV-A10 infection. Previous studies have been reported that there exist complex relations between innate immune and Hippo signaling pathway. Then, plasmids of knockdown and overexpression of MST1/2 were transfected into HMC3 cells. Our results showed that MST1/2 suppressed the levels of inflammatory cytokines via interacting with TBK1 and IRAK1, and also enhanced virus production via restricting IRF3 and IFN-ß expressions. Overall, these data obviously pointed out that CV-A10 accelerated the formation of neuroinflammation by the effect of the Hippo pathway on the PRRs-mediated pathway, which delineates a negative immunoregulatory role for MST1/2 in CV-A10 infection and the potential for this pathway to be pharmacologically targeted to treat CV-A10.

Rapid detection of four major HFMD-associated enteroviruses by multiplex HiFi-LAMP assays.

Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) caused by various enteroviruses is a major public health concern globally. Human enterovirus 71(EVA71), coxsackievirus A16 (CVA16), coxsackievirus A6 (CVA6), and coxsackievirus A10 (CVA10) are four major enteroviruses responsible for HFMD. Rapid, accurate, and specific point-of-care (POC) detection of the four enteroviruses is crucial for the prevention and control of HFMD. Here, we developed two multiplex high-fidelity DNA polymerase loop-mediated isothermal amplification (mHiFi-LAMP) assays for simultaneous detection of EVA71, CVA16, CVA6, and CVA10. The assays have good specificity and exhibit high sensitivity, with limits of detection (LOD) of 11.2, 49.6, 11.4, and 20.5 copies per 25 µL reaction for EVA71, CVA16, CVA6, and CVA10, respectively. The mHiFi-LAMP assays showed an excellent clinical performance (sensitivity 100.0%, specificity 83.3%, n = 47) when compared with four singleplex RT-qPCR assays (sensitivity 93.1%, specificity 100%). In particular, the HiFi-LAMP assays exhibited better performance (sensitivity 100.0%, specificity 100%) for CVA16 and CVA6 than the RT-qPCR assays (sensitivity 75.0-92.3%, specificity 100%). Furthermore, the mHiFi-LAMP assays detected all clinical samples positive for the four enteroviruses within 30 min, obviously shorter than about 1-1.5 h by the RT-qPCR assays. The new mHiFi-LAMP assays can be used as a robust point-of-care testing (POCT) tool to facilitate surveillance of HFMD at rural and remote communities and resource-limited settings.

Modification effects of long-term air pollution levels on the relationship between short-term exposure to meteorological factors and hand, foot, and mouth disease: A distributed lag non-linear model-based study in Shandong Province, China.

The occurrence of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is closely related to meteorological factors. However, location-specific characteristics, such as persistent air pollution, may increase the complexity of the impact of meteorological factors on HFMD, and studies across different areas and populations are largely lacking. In this study, a two-stage multisite time-series analysis was conducted using data from 16 cities in Shandong Province from 2015 to 2019. In the first stage, we obtained the cumulative exposure-response curves of meteorological factors and the number of HFMD cases for each city. In the second stage, we merged the estimations from the first stage and included city-specific air pollution variables to identify significant effect modifiers and how they modified the short-term relationship between HFMD and meteorological factors. High concentrations of air pollutants may reduce the risk effects of high average temperature on HFMD and lead to a distinct peak in the cumulative exposure-response curve, while lower concentrations may increase the risk effects of high relative humidity. Furthermore, the effects of average wind speed on HFMD were different at different levels of air pollution. The differences in modification effects between subgroups were mainly manifested in the diversity and quantity of significant modifiers. The modification effects of long-term air pollution levels on the relationship between sunshine hours and HFMD may vary significantly depending on geographical location. The people in age＜3 and male groups were more susceptible to long-term air pollution. These findings contribute to a deepening understanding of the relationship between meteorological factors and HFMD and provide evidence for relevant public health decision-making.

Recent Progress in Innate Immune Responses to Enterovirus A71 and Viral Evasion Strategies.

Enterovirus A71 (EV-A71) is a major pathogen causing hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) in children worldwide. It can lead to severe gastrointestinal, pulmonary, and neurological complications. The innate immune system, which rapidly detects pathogens via pathogen-associated molecular patterns or pathogen-encoded effectors, serves as the first defensive line against EV-A71 infection. Concurrently, the virus has developed various sophisticated strategies to evade host antiviral responses and establish productive infection. Thus, the virus-host interactions and conflicts, as well as the ability to govern biological events at this first line of defense, contribute significantly to the pathogenesis and outcomes of EV-A71 infection. In this review, we update recent progress on host innate immune responses to EV-A71 infection. In addition, we discuss the underlying strategies employed by EV-A71 to escape host innate immune responses. A better understanding of the interplay between EV-A71 and host innate immunity may unravel potential antiviral targets, as well as strategies that can improve patient outcomes.

Potential relevance of salivary legumain for the clinical diagnostic of hand, foot, and mouth disease.

The fight against hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) remains an arduous challenge without existing point-of-care (POC) diagnostic platforms for accurate diagnosis and prompt case quarantine. Hence, the purpose of this salivary biomarker discovery study is to set the fundamentals for the realization of POC diagnostics for HFMD. Whole salivary proteome profiling was performed on the saliva obtained from children with HFMD and healthy children, using a reductive dimethylation chemical labeling method coupled with high-resolution mass spectrometry-based quantitative proteomics technology. We identified 19 upregulated (fold change = 1.5-5.8) and 51 downregulated proteins (fold change = 0.1-0.6) in the saliva samples of HFMD patients in comparison to that of healthy volunteers. Four upregulated protein candidates were selected for dot blot-based validation assay, based on novelty as biomarkers and exclusions in oral diseases and cancers. Salivary legumain was validated in the Singapore (n = 43 healthy, 28 HFMD cases) and Taiwan (n = 60 healthy, 47 HFMD cases) cohorts with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.7583 and 0.8028, respectively. This study demonstrates the feasibility of a broad-spectrum HFMD POC diagnostic test based on legumain, a virus-specific host systemic signature, in saliva.

Mechanism of RNA m6 A methylation modification regulating NLRP3 inflammasome activation for hand, foot, and mouth disease progression.

Some children infected with hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) caused by enterovirus 71 (EV71) progressed to severe disease with various neurological complications in the short term, with a poor prognosis and high mortality. Studies had revealed that RNA N6 -methyladenosine (m6 A) modification had a significant impact on EV71 replication, but it was unknown how m6 A modification regulated the host cell's innate immune response brought on by EV71 infection. We used MeRIP-seq (methylation RNA immunoprecipitation sequencing), RNA-seq (RNA sequencing), cell transfection, and other techniques. MeRIP-seq and RNA-seq results showed the m6 A methylation modification map of control and EV71-infected groups of RD cells. And multilevel validation indicated that decreased expression of demethylase FTO (fat mass and obesity-associated protein) was responsible for the elevated total m6 A modification levels in EV71-infected RD cells and that thioredoxin interacting protein (TXNIP) may be a target gene for demethylase FTO action. Further functional experiments showed that demethylase knockdown of FTO promoted TXNIP expression, activation of NLRP3 inflammasome and promoted the release of proinflammatory factors in vitro, and the opposite result occurred with demethylase FTO overexpression. And further tested in an animal model of EV71 infection in vitro, with results consistent with in vitro. Our findings elucidated that depletion of the demethylase FTO during EV71 infection increased the m6 A modification level of TXNIP mRNA 3' untranslated region (UTR), enhancing mRNA stability, and promoting TXNIP expression. Consequently, the NLRP3 inflammasome was stimulated, leading to the release of proinflammatory factors and facilitating HFMD progression.

Emerging concerns of atypical hand foot and mouth disease caused by recombinant Coxsackievirus A6 variants in Henan, China.

An increasing number of studies have reported that atypical hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is becoming a new concern for children's health. At present, there is no official definition for atypical HFMD, but some studies have defined that it occurs at anatomic sites not listed in the definition of HFMD issued by the World Health Organization. Several pathogens have been reported to cause atypical HFMD, such as Coxsackievirus (CV)A6. As one of the most prevalent enteroviruses in the world, CVA6 seems to affect a wider range of children and causes more severe and prolonged illness than other enteroviruses. The early lesions of atypical HFMD are very similar to the clinical presentations of other diseases, such as eczema, which poses a challenge for clinicians aiming to identify and diagnose HFMD in a timely manner. Here, we report on six atypical HFMD patients caused by recombinant CVA6 variants, and the atypical manifestations include eczema coxsackium, large herpes, rice-like red papules and herpes, purpuric rash, and onychomadesis, as well as and large red herpes on scalp, perianal, testicles, shoulders and neck, and other atypical eruption sites, hoping to draw the attention of other pediatricians. This study will provide scientific guidance for timely diagnosis of HFMD to prevent serious complications.

A review on current diagnostic tools and potential optical absorption spectroscopy for HFMD detection.

Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease (HFMD) is an outbreak infectious disease that can easily spread among children under the age of five. The most common causative agents of HFMD are enterovirus 71 (EV71) and coxsackievirus A16 (CVA16), but infection caused by EV71 is more associated with fatalities due to severe neurological disorders. The present diagnosis methods rely on physical examinations by the doctors and further confirmation by laboratories detection methods such as viral culture and polymerase chain reaction. Clinical signs of HFMD infection and other childhood diseases such as chicken pox, and allergies are similar, yet the genetics and pathogenicity of the viruses are substantially different. Thus, there is an urgent need for an early screening of HFMD using an inexpensive and user-friendly device that can directly detect the causative agents of the disease. This paper reviews current HFMD diagnostic methods based on various target types, such as nucleic acid, protein, and whole virus. This was followed by a thorough discussion on the emerging sensing technologies for HFMD detection, including surface plasmon resonance, electrochemical sensor, and surface enhanced Raman spectroscopy. Lastly, optical absorption spectroscopic method was critically discussed and proposed as a promising technology for HFMD screening and detection.

Molecular epidemiology and clinical characteristics of enteroviruses associated HFMD in Chengdu, China, 2013-2022.

OBJECTIVES: This study aims to investigate molecular epidemiology and clinical characteristics of enterovirus associated hand-foot-mouth disease (HFMD) in Chengdu, China, 2013-2022. Monitoring the molecular epidemiology and clinical features of HFMD for up to 10 years may provide some ideas for future protection and control measures. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of the medical records of all patients with laboratory-confirmed HFMD-related enterovirus infection at the West China Second University Hospital from January 2013 to December 2022. We described the characteristics in serotype, age, sex distribution and hospitalization of enterovirus infection cases using data analysis and graphic description. RESULTS: A total of 29,861 laboratory-confirmed cases of HFMD-related enterovirus infection were reported from 2013 to 2022. There was a significant reduction in the number and proportion of EV-A71 cases after 2016, from 1713 cases (13.60%) in 2013-2015 to 150 cases (1.83%) in 2017-2019. During the COVID-19 pandemic, EV-A71 cases even disappeared. The proportion of CV-A16 cases decreased from 13.96% in 2013-2015 to 10.84% in 2017-2019 and then to 4.54% in 2020-2022. Other (non-EV-A71 and non-CV-A16) serotypes accounted for 95.45% during 2020-2022, with CV-A6 accounting for 50.39% and CV-A10 accounting for 10.81%. Thus, CV-A6 and CV-A10 became the main prevalent serotypes. Furthermore, There was no significant difference in the enterovirus prevalence rate between males and females. The hospitalization rate of EV-A71 patients was higher that of other serotypes. In general, the proportion of HFMD hospitalizations caused by other pathogens except for EV-A71, CV-A16, CV-A10 and CV-A16 was second only to that caused by EV-A71. The proportion of children over 4 years old infected with enterovirus increased. CONCLUSION: The incidence of HFMD associated with enterovirus infection has decreased significantly and CV-A6 has been the main pathogen of HFMD in Chengdu area in recent years. The potential for additional hospitalizations for other untested enterovirus serotypes suggested that attention should also be paid to the harms of infections with unknown enterovirus serotypes. Children with HFMD were older. The development of new diagnostic reagents and vaccines may play an important role in the prevention and control of enterovirus infection.

Down-regulated TAB1 suppresses the replication of Coxsackievirus B5 via activating the NF-κB pathways through interaction with viral 3D polymerase.

Coxsackievirus Group B type 5 (CVB5), an important pathogen of hand-foot-mouth disease, is also associated with neurological complications and poses a public health threat to young infants. Among the CVB5 proteins, the nonstructural protein 3D, known as the Enteroviral RNA-dependent RNA polymerase, is mainly involved in viral genome replication and transcription. In this study, we performed immunoprecipitation coupled with liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS) to identify host proteins that interacted with CVB5 3D polymerase. A total of 116 differentially expressed proteins were obtained. Gene Ontology analysis identified that the proteins were involved in cell development and cell adhesion, distributed in the desmosome and envelope, and participated in GTPase binding. Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes analysis further revealed they participated in nerve diseases, such as Parkinson disease. Among them, 35 proteins were significantly differentially expressed and the cellular protein TGF-BATA-activated kinase1 binding protein 1 (TAB1) was found to be specifically interacting with the 3D polymerase. 3D polymerase facilitated the entry of TAB1 into the nucleus and down-regulated TAB1 expression via the lysosomal pathway. In addition, TAB1 inhibited CVB5 replication via inducing inflammatory factors and activated the NF-κB pathway through IκBα phosphorylation. Moreover, the 90-96aa domain of TAB1 was an important structure for the function. Collectively, our findings demonstrate the mechanism by which cellular TAB1 inhibits the CVB5 replication via activation of the host innate immune response, providing a novel insight into the virus-host innate immunity.

Insights into enterovirus a-71 antiviral development: from natural sources to synthetic nanoparticles.

Enteroviruses are pathogens responsible for several diseases, being enterovirus A71 (EVA71) the second leading cause of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD), especially in Asia-Pacific countries. HFMD is mostly common in infants and children, with mild symptoms. However, the disease can result in severe nervous system disorders in children as well as in immunosuppressed adults. The virus is highly contagious, and its transmission occurs via fecal-oral, oropharyngeal secretions, and fomites. The EVA71 burdens the healthy systems and economies around the world, however, up to date, there is no antiviral approved to treat infected individuals and the existent vaccines are not available or approved to be used worldwide. In this context, an extensive literature research was conducted to describe and summarize the recent advances in natural and/or synthetic compounds with antiviral activity against EVA71. The summarized data presented here might simply encourage the future studies in EVA71 antiviral development, by encouraging further research encompassing these compounds or even the application of the techniques and technologies to improve or produce new antiviral molecules.

A hybrid model for hand-foot-mouth disease prediction based on ARIMA-EEMD-LSTM.

BACKGROUND: Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is a common infectious disease that poses a serious threat to children all over the world. However, the current prediction models for HFMD still require improvement in accuracy. In this study, we proposed a hybrid model based on autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and long short-term memory (LSTM) to predict the trend of HFMD. METHODS: The data used in this study was sourced from the National Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders, Chongqing, China. The daily reported incidence of HFMD from 1 January 2015 to 27 July 2023 was collected to develop an ARIMA-EEMD-LSTM hybrid model. ARIMA, LSTM, ARIMA-LSTM and EEMD-LSTM models were developed to compare with the proposed hybrid model. Root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and coefficient of determination (R2) were adopted to evaluate the performances of the prediction models. RESULTS: Overall, ARIMA-EEMD-LSTM model achieved the most accurate prediction for HFMD, with RMSE, MAPE and R2 of 4.37, 2.94 and 0.996, respectively. Performing EEMD on the residual sequence yields 11 intrinsic mode functions. EEMD-LSTM model is the second best, with RMSE, MAPE and R2 of 6.20, 3.98 and 0.996. CONCLUSION: Results showed the advantage of ARIMA-EEMD-LSTM model over the ARIMA model, the LSTM model, the ARIMA-LSTM model and the EEMD-LSTM model. For the prevention and control of epidemics, the proposed hybrid model may provide a more powerful help. Compared with other three models, the two integrated with EEMD method showed significant improvement in predictive capability, offering novel insights for modeling of disease time series.

Study of the influence of meteorological factors on HFMD and prediction based on the LSTM algorithm in Fuzhou, China.

BACKGROUND: This study adopted complete meteorological indicators, including eight items, to explore their impact on hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) in Fuzhou, and predict the incidence of HFMD through the long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network algorithm of artificial intelligence. METHOD: A distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) was used to analyse the influence of meteorological factors on HFMD in Fuzhou from 2010 to 2021. Then, the numbers of HFMD cases in 2019, 2020 and 2021 were predicted using the LSTM model through multifactor single-step and multistep rolling methods. The root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE) were used to evaluate the accuracy of the model predictions. RESULTS: Overall, the effect of daily precipitation on HFMD was not significant. Low (4 hPa) and high (≥ 21 hPa) daily air pressure difference (PRSD) and low (< 7 °C) and high (> 12 °C) daily air temperature difference (TEMD) were risk factors for HFMD. The RMSE, MAE, MAPE and SMAPE of using the weekly multifactor data to predict the cases of HFMD on the following day, from 2019 to 2021, were lower than those of using the daily multifactor data to predict the cases of HFMD on the following day. In particular, the RMSE, MAE, MAPE and SMAPE of using weekly multifactor data to predict the following week's daily average cases of HFMD were much lower, and similar results were also found in urban and rural areas, which indicating that this approach was more accurate. CONCLUSION: This study's LSTM models combined with meteorological factors (excluding PRE) can be used to accurately predict HFMD in Fuzhou, especially the method of predicting the daily average cases of HFMD in the following week using weekly multifactor data.

Does enterovirus 71 urge for effective vaccine control strategies? Challenges and current opinion.

Enterovirus 71 (EV71) is an infectious virus affecting all age groups of people around the world. It is one of the major aetiologic agents for HFMD (hand, foot and mouth disease) identified globally. It has led to many outbreaks and epidemics in Asian countries. Infection caused by this virus that can lead to serious psychological problems, heart diseases and respiratory issues in children younger than 10 years of age. Many studies are being carried out on the pathogenesis of the virus, but little is known. The host immune response and other molecular responses against the virus are also not clearly determined. This review deals with the interaction between the host and the EV71 virus. We discuss how the virus makes use of its proteins to affect the host's immunity and how the viral proteins help their replication. Additionally, we describe other useful resources that enable the virus to evade the host's immune responses. The knowledge of the viral structure and its interactions with host cells has led to the discovery of various drug targets for the treatment of the virus. Additionally, this review focusses on the antiviral drugs and vaccines developed by targeting various viral surface molecules during their infectious period. Furthermore, it is asserted that the improvement of prevailing vaccines will be the simplest method to manage EV71 infection swiftly. Therefore, we summarise numerous vaccines candidate for the EV71, such as the use of an inactivated complete virus, recombinant VP1 protein, artificial peptides, VLPs (viral-like particles) and live attenuated vaccines for combating the viral outbreaks promptly.

Influence of social and meteorological factors on hand, foot, and mouth disease in Sichuan Province.

BACKGROUND: Hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) caused by a variety of enteroviruses remains a major public health problem in China. Previous studies have found that social factors may contribute to the inconsistency of the relationship patterns between meteorological factors and HFMD, but the conclusions are inconsistent. The influence of social factors on the association between meteorology and HFMD is still less well understood. We aimed to analyze whether social factors affected the effect of meteorological factors on HFMD in Sichuan Province. METHOD: We collected daily data on HFMD, meteorological factors and social factors in Sichuan Province from 2011 to 2017. First, we used a Bayesian spatiotemporal model combined with a distributed lag nonlinear model to evaluate the exposure-lag-response association between meteorological factors and HFMD. Second, by constructing the interaction of meteorological factors and social factors in the above model, the changes in the relative risk (RR) under different levels of social factors were evaluated. RESULTS: The cumulative exposure curves for average temperature, relative humidity, and HFMD were shaped like an inverted "V" and a "U" shape. As the average temperature increased, the RR increased and peaked at 19 °C (RR 1.020 [95% confidence interval CI 1.004-1.050]). The urbanization rate, per capita gross domestic product (GDP), population density, birth rate, number of beds in health care centers and number of kindergartens interacted with relative humidity. With the increase in social factors, the correlation curve between relative humidity and HFMD changed from an "S" shape to a "U" shape. CONCLUSIONS: Relative humidity and average temperature increased the risk of HFMD within a certain range, and social factors enhanced the impact of high relative humidity. These results could provide insights into the combined role of environmental factors in HFMD and useful information for regional interventions.

Virulence of Enterovirus A71 Fluctuates Depending on the Phylogenetic Clade Formed in the Epidemic Year and Epidemic Region.

Although epidemics of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) caused by enterovirus A71 (EV-A71) have occurred worldwide, the Asia-Pacific region has seen large sporadic outbreaks with many severe neurological cases. This suggests that the virulence of the circulating viruses fluctuates in each epidemic and that HFMD outbreaks with many severe cases occur when highly virulent viruses are circulating predominantly, which has not been experimentally verified. Here, we analyzed 32 clinically isolated strains obtained in Japan from 2002 to 2013, along with 27 Vietnamese strains obtained from 2015 to 2016 that we characterized previously using human SCARB2 transgenic mice. Phylogenetic analysis of the P1 region classified them into five clades belonging to subgenogroup B5 (B5-I to B5-V) and five clades belonging to subgenogroup C4 (C4-I to C4-V) according to the epidemic year and region. Interestingly, clades B5-I and B5-II were very virulent, while clades B5-III, B5-IV, and B5-V were less virulent. Clades C4-II, C4-III, C4-IV, and C4-V were virulent, while clade C4-I was not. The result experimentally showed for the first time that several clades with different virulence levels emerged one after another. The experimental virulence evaluation of circulating viruses using SCARB2 transgenic mice is helpful to assess potential risks of circulating viruses. These results also suggest that a minor nucleotide or amino acid substitution in the EV-A71 genome during circulation causes fluctuations in virulence. The data presented here may increase our understanding of the dynamics of viral virulence during epidemics. IMPORTANCE Outbreaks of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) with severe enterovirus A71 (EV-A71) cases have occurred repeatedly, mainly in Asia. In severe cases, central nervous system complications can lead to death, making it an infectious disease of importance to public health. An unanswered question about this disease is why outbreaks of HFMD with many severe cases sometimes occur. Here, we collected EV-A71 strains that were prevalent in Japan and Vietnam over the past 20 years and evaluated their virulence in a mouse model of EV-A71 infection. This method clearly revealed that viruses belonging to different clades have different virulence, indicating that the method is powerful to assess the potential risks of the circulating viruses. The results also suggested that factors in the virus genome cause an outbreak with many severe cases and that further studies facilitate the prediction of large epidemics of EV-A71 in the future.