Utilizing local likelihood in regression discontinuity design: Investigating the impact of antiretroviral therapy eligibility on retention in clinical HIV care in South Africa.

The regression discontinuity (RD) design is a widely utilized approach for assessing treatment effects. It involves assigning treatment based on the value of an observed covariate in relation to a fixed threshold. Although the RD design has been widely employed across various problems, its application to specific data types has received limited attention. For instance, there has been little research on utilizing the RD design when the outcome variable exhibits zero-inflation. This study introduces a novel RD estimator using local likelihood, which overcomes the limitations of the local linear regression model, a popular approach for estimating treatment effects in RD design, by considering the data type of the outcome variable. To determine the optimal bandwidth, we propose a modified Ludwig-Miller cross validation method. A set of simulations is carried out, involving binary, count, and zero-inflated outcome variables, to showcase the superior performance of the suggested method over local linear regression models. Subsequently, the proposed local likelihood model is employed on HIV care data, where antiretroviral therapy eligibility is determined by a CD4 count threshold. A comparison is made between the results obtained using the local likelihood model and those obtained using local linear regression.

Sonographic comparison of subcutaneous fat layer thickness in the scalp area in patients with androgenetic alopecia compared to healthy individuals: Cross-sectional.

INTRODUCTION: Androgenetic alopecia (AGA) is one of the most common alopecia among men and women worldwide. It is a nonscarring alopecia that has a characterized pattern. In female pattern AGA, the hairline is stable but general thinning occurs most notably in the frontal region. In male-pattern AGA, the hairline is receding and the thinning is most notable in the frontotemporal region. AGA has a complex pathogenesis and relation of subcutaneous fat in the scalp region and the miniaturization of terminal hair follicles is vague. In this study, subcutaneous fat in the frontal scalp an important region for AGA is compared to the occipital scalp that is spared in AGA. METHOD: Our study is a cross-sectional study that has four groups. Male patient, female patient, male control, female control. Every group has 15 individuals. All of the people in the study are those referred to Rasoul Akram's dermatology clinic. The severity of alopecia is classified by Norwood scaling for male pattern AGA and Ludwig scaling for female pattern AGA. Subcutaneous tissue in the frontal and occipital regions is measured by ultrasonography. For evaluating the effect of aging on subcutaneous fat thickness, we subdivided any group into more than 40 years old and between 20 and 40 years old and compared these two subgroups. RESULTS: The mean age of the three groups of male patient, female patient, and female control is 40 y/o and the mean age of male control is 41 y/o. The mean subcutaneous fat layer thickness in frontal region in male patients group is 6.0 mm (more than 40 y/o = 6.6 mm, between 20 and 40 y/o = 5.5 mm), in female patients group 5.1 mm (more than 40 y/o = 5.7 mm, between 20 and 40 y/o = 4.6 mm), in the male control group is 4.4 mm (more than 40 y/o = 4.7 mm, between 20 and 40 y/o = 4 mm) and in the female control group is 4.1 mm (more than 40 y/o = 4.5 mm, between 20 and 40 y/o = 3.6 mm). The mean subcutaneous fat layer thickness in the occipital region in the male patient's group is 6.4 mm (more than 40 y/o = 6.7 mm, between 20 and 40 y/o = 6 mm), in the female patient's group 6.1 mm (more than 40 y/o = 6.5 mm, between 20 and 40 y/o = 5.7 mm), in the male control group is 6.3 mm (more than 40 y/o = 6.8 mm, between 20 and 40 y/o = 5.7 mm) and in the female control group is 6.2 mm (more than 40 y/o = 6.6 mm, between 20 and 40 y/o = 5.8 mm). CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates that the subcutaneous fat layer in the frontal region in both males and females is thicker in AGA patients than healthy group and the more severe the AGA, the thicker is subcutaneous layer in the frontal region. In the male patients group, the subcutaneous fat layer in the frontal region is thicker than in the female patients group but in the male and female control groups is not so different. The subcutaneous fat layer in the occipital region is thicker in older individuals in both patients and control groups but is not different when compared to AGA patients and control individuals.

Video-stylet vs. channeled hyperangulated videolaryngoscope: Efficacy in simulated Ludwig's angina randomized cadaver trial.

INTRODUCTION: Ludwig's angina (LA) is a life-threatening infection that can affect the floor of the mouth and neck, potentially causing serious airway obstruction. In such cases, rescue airway management and oxygenation can be challenging due to swelling of the mouth floor, trismus, and limited mouth opening. The aim of this study was to assess the efficacy of the Trachway video-stylet (VS) and Pentax AWS hyperangulated videolaryngoscope with channel (HAVL-C) compared to the standard geometric video-laryngoscope (SGVL, Macintosh 3, Trachway) in simulating Ludwig's angina with cadavers. METHODS: Three fresh frozen cadavers were prepared with varying degrees of difficulty to simulate the airway conditions of patients with LA, including mouth floor swelling, restricted mouth opening, and trismus. Fifty-five second-year resident physicians from various specialties participated in the study and received training in airway management using SGVL, VS, and HAVL-C devices. Participants were randomly assigned to intubate simulated LA with cadavers using the three devices in a random order, and intubation times and success rates were recorded. Participants also rated the difficulty of intubation using a visual analogue scale (VAS) score. The primary outcome assessed the first-pass intubation success or failure, while the secondary outcomes measured the intubation time and subjective difficulty using a visual analogue scale with different laryngoscopes. RESULTS: The success rates for intubation within 90 s were 40% for SGVL, 82% for VS, and 76% for HAVL-C. VS and HAVL-C had significantly higher success rates than SGVL, with hazard ratios of 3.4 and 2.7, and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of 2.0-5.7 and 1.6-4.6, p < 0.001, respectively. The odds ratios of successful intubation for VS and HAVL-C were 8.1 and 6.3, respectively, with a 95% CI of 3.7-17.8 and 2.4-16.7, p < 0.001, compared to SGVL. The VAS score was significantly correlated with intubation success rate and time. CONCLUSIONS: In cases of LA, the use of VS and HAVL-C is preferable over SGVL. These findings suggest that using VS and HAVL-C can improve intubation success rates and reduce intubation time in patients with LA.

It Ain't Necessarily So: Ludwig Boltzmann's Darwinian Notion of Entropy.

Ludwig Boltzmann's move in his seminal paper of 1877, introducing a statistical understanding of entropy, was a watershed moment in the history of physics. The work not only introduced quantization and provided a new understanding of entropy, it challenged the understanding of what a law of nature could be. Traditionally, nomological necessity, that is, specifying the way in which a system must develop, was considered an essential element of proposed physical laws. Yet, here was a new understanding of the Second Law of Thermodynamics that no longer possessed this property. While it was a new direction in physics, in other important scientific discourses of that time-specifically Huttonian geology and Darwinian evolution, similar approaches were taken in which a system's development followed principles, but did so in a way that both provided a direction of time and allowed for non-deterministic, though rule-based, time evolution. Boltzmann referred to both of these theories, especially the work of Darwin, frequently. The possibility that Darwin influenced Boltzmann's thought in physics can be seen as being supported by Boltzmann's later writings.

Excursions in Rorschachlandia: Surveying the scientific and philosophical landscape of Hermann Rorschach's Psychodiagnostics.

This article examines the milieu of Hermann Rorschach's Psychodiagnostics (1921/2021) under development between 1911 and his death in 1922 and explores new evidence about the direction Rorschach's test might have taken after publication of Psychodiagnostics. This includes direct and indirect influences from turn of the century continental philosophy and science and innovative colleagues in the Swiss psychiatric and psychoanalytic societies. The availability of newly translated scholarship, including the correspondence between Ludwig Binswanger and Hermann Rorschach following the 1921 publication of Psychodiagnostics, Binswanger's posthumous 1923 commentary in the International Journal of Psychoanalysis, and recent new translation of Psychodiagnostics, permits a fresh appraisal of the milieu and foundations of Rorschach's development. Understanding these sources and influences opens new vistas in reappraising the nature of Rorschach's "test theory" which Rorschach considered undeveloped at the time of his death. This paper presents new evidence that, under the influence of Rorschach's close colleague, Ludwig Binswanger, the Geisteswissenschaften and phenomenology might have figured prominently in future developments. The paper concludes that Rorschach, preoccupied with considerations of kinesthetic subjectivity in his innovative conceptualization of human movement responses, was a nascent phenomenologist whose untimely death cut short further developments in his theory of the test.

Ludwig's angina in Nigeria: The disease of the poor and health inequality!

AIM: highlight the health inequality and identify opportunities to improve the care delivered to the patients who suffer from Ludwig's angina which could have national and international clinical impact. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data was collected from three major oral and maxillofacial centers, in Nigeria including Benin, Lagos and Kano. A protocol was developed for data collection which included demographic details, socio-economic status, management of the air way, the associated morbidities and mortalities. RESULTS: Forty-nine were managed in Benin, 57 in Lagos and 66 in Kano. Diabetes was the most prevalent underlying systematic condition, affecting 21% of the Ludwig's angina patients in Lagos. Poverty was a common denominator, 90% of the patients from Kano were unemployed compared to 23% and 8% from Lagos and Benin respectively. For most of the patients, the airway was monitored. Incision and drainage were carried out in most of the cases at Benin and Lagos, but it was only considered in 50% of the cases in Kano. Mortality ranged from 4% in Benin to 12% in Lagos and it was as high as 19% in Kano. CONCLUSION: poor access to oral healthcare, unemployment and low socio-economic status are important predisposing factors of Ludwig's angina.

On the authenticity of Beethoven's skull fragments from the estate of Prof. Dr. Romeo Seligmann.

On the occasion of the reburial of Beethoven's mortal remains in 1863, skull fragments are said to have come into the possession of Prof. Dr. Seligmann, who was present at that time and had conducted scientific investigations. These fragments were inherited in his family and are currently housed in the USA. Their authenticity is doubted by some scientists. On the basis of a plaster cast of Beethoven's skull kept in the Natural History Museum, Fool's Tower, in Vienna, the exact topographical position of these skull fragments could be reconstructed and it could be shown that there is no indication that the fragments did not originate from Beethoven's skull.

Was King Ludwig II of Bavaria misdiagnosed by Gudden and his colleagues?

In 1886, Bernhard von Gudden and three other expert psychiatrists diagnosed the Bavarian King Ludwig II with "paranoia (madness)," a diagnosis that the Bavarian government used to justify removing Ludwig from power. Although Ludwig was not evaluated in detail by the psychiatrists, in their opinion, sworn eyewitness accounts and general knowledge about Ludwig's behavior provided sufficient grounds for the diagnosis. Ludwig was a great admirer of the musician, Richard Wagner, and shared some of his ideas of an idealistic society. At first, he identified with Wagner's opera heroes, and he became Wagner's patron sponsor for life. However, he grew increasingly interested in an absolutist state, envisioning himself as a monarch with a role similar to that of Louis XIV. His multiple building projects, for which he incurred much debt, his conviction that he was descended from the Bourbons through baptism, his increasingly abnormal behavior, and his hallucinations together formed the basis for the psychiatrists' diagnosis. Although not mentioned in the expert opinion, Ludwig's homophilic behavior-a scandal at the time-was probably also an important reason for his removal from office. A review of the psychiatric knowledge and societal philosophy of the time indicates that the psychiatrists were correct with their diagnosis in their time.

Diagnosis and management of Ludwig's angina: An evidence-based review.

BACKGROUND: Ludwig's angina is a potentially deadly condition that must not be missed in the emergency department (ED). OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this narrative review article is to provide a summary of the epidemiology, pathophysiology, diagnosis, and management of Ludwig's angina with a focus on emergency clinicians. DISCUSSION: Ludwig's angina is a rapidly spreading infection that involves the floor of the mouth. It occurs more commonly in those with poor dentition or immunosuppression. Patients may have a woody or indurated floor of the mouth with submandibular swelling. Trismus is a late finding. Computed tomography of the neck soft tissue with contrast is preferred if the patient is able to safely leave the ED and can tolerate lying supine. Point-of-care ultrasound can be a useful adjunct, particularly in those who cannot tolerate lying supine. Due to the threat of rapid airway compromise, emergent consultation to anesthesia and otolaryngology, if available, may be helpful if a definitive airway is required. The first line approach for airway intervention in the ED is flexible intubating endoscopy with preparation for a surgical airway. Broad spectrum antibiotics and surgical source control are keys in treating the infection. These patients should then be admitted to the intensive care unit for close airway observation. CONCLUSION: Ludwig's angina is a life-threatening condition that all emergency clinicians need to consider. It is important for clinicians to be aware of the current evidence regarding the diagnosis, management, and disposition of these patients.

Beethoven's death-the result of medical malpractice?

Two different strands of hair taken from Beethoven's head after his death were examined for heavy metals using scanning electron microscopy (SEM) and laser ablation-ICP-MS (inductively coupled plasma-mass spectroscopy). The results revealed the presence of small lead particles on the surface of Beethoven's hairs and fluctuating lead levels in hair medulla along the length of the hair due to alternating lead exposure, with an average lead exposure of 100 times the normal value. The time-line attached to the peaks of these fluctuating values correlate with the pneumonia treatment and the paracenteses performed, including the subsequent treatment of the procedure wounds. While the administration of lead-containing drugs and treatments had been proven to resolve the pneumonia, it had simultaneously caused massive liver failure, accelerated by pre-existing cirrhosis. The question as to whether Beethoven's death was a case of malpractice can only be answered from a forensic point of view ex ante, since the state of the medical knowledge of the time has to be taken into account.

Management of difficult airway in a pregnant patient with severely reduced mouth opening.

Pregnancy is associated with a wide variety of oral and dental changes ranging from gingivitis to odontogenic infections. If left untreated, severe dental abscess can progress to Ludwig's angina, which is a potentially lethal cellulitis that rapidly extends to the neck region and may lead to life-threatening upper airway obstruction. We report the case of a pregnant woman who presented with intense throbbing pain, trismus and severely reduced mouth opening due to dental abscess for the last one week. She required incision and drainage of abscess with extraction of third molar under general anaesthesia. There are some significant challenges to anaesthesiologist like the risk of aspiration and failed intubation in patients with pregnancy and anticipated difficult airway. With counselling and proper preparation, we were able to manage this case with awake intubation. The potential merits of securing airway in conscious state with necessary steps in preparation are particularly discussed with emphasis of creating awareness among local healthcare practitioners.

Ludwig angina and sudden death.

A 27-year-old man presented to hospital with neck swelling and difficulty breathing following a recent tooth extraction. He underwent uncomplicated surgical drainage of the submandibular region after which he became acutely short of breath and collapsed and was not able to be resuscitated. At autopsy the major findings were swelling of the neck due to diffuse cellulitis with edema and neutrophil infiltrates within connective tissue and marked submucosal edema of the epiglottis, glottic inlet and tonsils sufficient to cause airway obstruction. Cultures from the site of surgical intervention showed a mixed growth of Gram positive and negative bacilli and Gram positive cocci. Death was due to airway obstruction resulting from marked submucosal edema of the glottic inlet associated with submandibular cellulitis (Ludwig's angina) following extraction of a right lower first molar tooth. Lethal Lugwig angina, although rare in current forensic practice, may still present as a cause of acute upper airway occlusion and must be considered in the differential diagnosis of significant upper airway compromise.

Austrian economics without extreme apriorism: construing the fundamental axiom of praxeology as analytic.

Current debates between behavioural and orthodox economists indicate that the role and epistemological status of first principles is a particularly pressing problem in economics. As an alleged paragon of extreme apriorism, the methodology of Austrian economics in Mises' tradition is often dismissed as untenable in the light of modern philosophy. In particular, the defence of the so-called fundamental axiom of praxeology-"Man acts."-by means of pure intuition is almost unanimously rejected. However, in recently resurfacing debates, the extremeness of Mises' epistemological position has been called into question. Rather than directly engaging in these exegetical discussions, this paper aims to substantiate the possibility and plausibility of conventionalist defences of praxeology per se. The proposed shift includes settling for an analytic fundamental axiom and acknowledging the prima facie tenability of other research programs than praxeology. Since conventionalist praxeology is only moderately aprioristic, mainstream economists and philosophers might be more likely to engage in fruitful discussions with those Austrian scholars who elaborate pragmatic arguments for praxeology instead of invoking pure intuition.

Ludwig's Angina in Pregnancy: A Case Report.

BACKGROUND: Physiologic changes in pregnancy may predispose pregnant women to oral health problems. However, most women are not counselled on oral health during pregnancy. Lack of proper oral health care predisposes pregnant women to odontogenic infections, which can lead to severe complications. CASE: A 34-year-old multiparous woman presented at 400 weeks gestation with a 3-day history of severe, progressive neck swelling, jaw pain, and trismus. She was diagnosed with Ludwig's angina secondary to an untreated dental cavity. She required emergency fiberoptic intubation to secure her airway, urgent delivery via cesarean section, and subsequent surgical drainage performed by otolaryngology. CONCLUSION: Ludwig's angina during pregnancy is associated with severe morbidity. Dental care should not be denied or postponed due to pregnancy, and dental infections should be treated promptly. Health care providers should counsel women on the importance of maintaining good oral health during pregnancy.

Ludwig's angina and steroid use: A narrative review.

BACKGROUND: Ludwig's angina, a rapidly progressive cellulitis causing airway obstruction, has traditionally been managed with antibiotics and surgical intervention. More controversial is the use of steroids in the management of patients with this condition. This article summarizes the literature of steroid use in the management of Ludwig's angina. METHODS: The study used a narrative review method alongside the PRISMA guidelines for systematic reviews. PubMed, Ovid Medline, Cochrane, and Web of Science were searched for cases of Ludwig's angina with documented steroid use in patient management. Inclusion criteria were articles in the English language with direct patient outcomes. There were 17 articles selected with 31 patient cases. RESULTS: Most reports of steroid use in Ludwig's angina in the literature are case reports, with one retrospective review, and one letter to the editor. Dexamethasone was the steroid of choice in most cases reviewed. All patient cases reported used antibiotics alongside their steroid use, and 27 out of 31 patient cases required surgery. Most patients recovered with no further sequelae or complications. Three (9.68%) patients suffered mortality due to unrelated causes. CONCLUSIONS: Primary literature reporting the use of steroids in the management of Ludwig's angina includes few cases. While the role steroids have in these cases remains uncertain, the articles summarized do not suggest an adverse influence, and may suggest a benefit.

Focused Ultrasound Assists in Diagnosis and Management of Difficult Airway in Ludwig's Angina.

Ludwig's angina is a rapidly progressive and life-threatening medical emergency. The mortality rate is about 8%. Management of the difficult airway in Ludwig's angina has been challenging for clinical physicians. We reported an otherwise healthy 49-year-old female, who visited our emergency department with progressive swelling of her chin, drooling, and dyspnea. Ludwig's angina with impending airway compromise was promptly identified. The precise anatomy of the distorted neck was accessed using ultrasound as an adjunct. Emergent tracheostomy was then established successfully within minutes. Physicians should consider using ultrasound as an adjunct to define anatomy before performing emergent surgical airways.

Sialendoscopy for Definitive Management of a Submandibular Abscess following Radiotherapy for Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Sialendoscopy has as yet been shown to be ideal for the management of sialolithiasis and chronic inflammatory diseases of the salivary gland. However, its applicability to the management of a broad range of salivary gland disease is continually growing. METHODS: Here we present a case report where sialendoscopy was used to successfully manage an intraparenchymal submandibular gland abscess in a patient with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma managed with primary chemoradiation. RESULTS: The use of sialendoscopy enabled visualization of the patency of salivary ducts, drainage of abscess, and irrigation of antibiotic-impregnated fluid. In this particular patient, we were able to avoid a transcervical approach through a previously irradiated field, which would have necessitated concurrent tracheostomy and placed undue risk to surrounding neurovascular structures. CONCLUSION: Sialendoscopy should thus, in select patients, be considered as an initial intervention for patients with intraparenchymal salivary gland abscesses in which prior therapy creates an increased risk of complication from an open transcervical approach.

Variation of the mylohyoid: implications for Ludwig angina, cervical contouring, and digastric muscle transfer.

The mylohyoid (MH) musculature separates the sublingual and submandibular spaces and is, therefore, important with regard to the spread of infection and space occupying lesions. Moreover, the MH may be elevated and included in the myocutaneous submental island flap or sutured in conjunction with the platysmas and the anterior bellies of the digastric muscles (ABDMs) to add stability to submental muscular medialization procedures. Therefore, variation in the anatomy of the MH musculature must be considered in the management of the spread of infection and space occupying lesions as well as in surgical planning. This report reviews mylohyoid variations and documents a unique case in which several suprahyoid muscular variations occurred concurrently. The variations included isolated anterior bellies of the mylohyoid inserting into the geniohyoid thereby forming mylo-geniohyoid muscles as well as isolated posterior bellies of the mylohyoid inserting into the ABDM and the intermediate tendon of the digastric muscle thereby forming mylo-digastric muscles. Surgeons operating in the suprahyoid region should be aware of potential anatomical variation of the mylohyoid to develop contingency plans.

Comparison of Outcomes in Conservative versus Surgical Treatments for Ludwig's Angina.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the treatment outcomes in patients with early stage Ludwig's angina who received intravenous antibiotics alone with those who received surgical decompression and intravenous antibiotics. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Individuals with early stage Ludwig's angina were studied using a retrospective cohort study design from August 1997 to September 2017. Data were collected from case notes and logbooks. Appropriate statistical tests were chosen to analyze both the independent and outcome variables. Using 2-tailed test, a level of significance of 0.05 was chosen. RESULTS: A total of 55 patients comprising 38 (69.1%) males and 17 (30.9%) females were studied. The conservative group had a higher number of cases that developed airway compromise (26.3%) when compared to those with surgical approach (2.9%). There was an association between the treatment approach and the development of airway compromise (χ2[1] = 4.83, p = 0.03). CONCLUSION: There was a higher incidence of airway compromise in patients treated with intravenous antibiotics alone than in those treated with surgical decompression and intravenous antibiotics.

Music and Mind: In Memoriam Professor Carlo Alberto Pagni, MD, PhD: February 13, 1931 -March 1, 2009.

Carlo Alberto Pagni, born in La Spezia, Italy, on February 13, 1931, was an eminent and respected professor of neurosurgery and chairman of the neurosurgical clinic of the University of Turin from 1980 to 2003. He died on March 1, 2009. As a professor of neurology and neurological surgery he was renowned as an expert on vascular, tumor, and functional neurosurgery. Beyond the Italian Neurosurgical Society, he was the doyen of functional neurosurgery, specializing in motor cortex stimulation for the treatment of focal dystonia, Parkinson's disease, and postictal spasticity and pain. His home was his castle, and his family was fundamental to his life. He shared with his wife, Sandra, his passion for piano playing and for their remarkable library, and together with friends, he and his wife enjoyed dinners with fine food and Barolo wines. Listening to this Grand Seigneur talking about and explaining the music of, above all, Ludwig van Beethoven, and Richard Wagner, one felt he was emotionally just "music and mind". You can imagine this from his books on music, chess, and neuroscience. Indeed, he adored playing correspondence chess worldwide. A sportsman too, he loved hiking, mountaineering, skiing, swimming, and fishing. Nature was his source for slowing down, for regenerating, and for collecting his strength for new projects and new challenges. Friends will remember Dr. Pagni as a Grand Seigneur.