Hemoglobin Threshold for Blood Transfusion in Young Children Hospitalized with Iron Deficiency Anemia.

Current recommendations advise against blood transfusion in hemodynamically stable children with iron deficiency anemia. In an observational study of 125 children aged 6 through 36 months, hospitalized with iron deficiency anemia, we found that hemoglobin level predicted red blood cell transfusion (area under the curve 0.8862). A hemoglobin of 39 g/L had sensitivity 92% and specificity 72% for transfusion.

Clinical utility of novel anthropometric indices in identifying type 2 diabetes mellitus among South African adult females.

AIM: To assess the clinical utility of novel anthropometric indices and other traditional anthropometric indices in identifying the risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) among South African adult females. METHODS: In the first South African National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (SANHANES-1), traditional [body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR)] and novel [a-body shape index (ABSI), abdominal volume index (AVI), body adiposity index (BAI), body roundness index (BRI), conicity index (CI), and Clínica Universidad de Navarra-Body Adiposity Estimator (CUN-BAE)] anthropometric indices were assessed. T2D was diagnosed using glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) ≥ 6.5% among participants without known T2D. Basic statistics and multiple regression analyses were explored the association between anthropometric indices and newly diagnosed T2D. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to measure the predictive ability of both traditional and novel indices. RESULTS: Among 2 623 participants, 384 (14.6%) had newly diagnosed T2D. All anthropometric indices mean values were significantly higher among participants with T2D (most p < 0.001). Higher mean values increased T2D odds e.g., in the model adjusted for age, employment, residence, and population group, odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for T2D with some of anthropometric indices were: 1.86 (1.60-2.15) for WC, 1.84 (1.59-2.13) for WHtR, 1.73 (1.51-1.99) for AVI, 1.71 (1.49-1.96) for BRI and 1.86 (1.57-2.20) for CUN-BAE. The top quartile for all indices had the highest T2D odds (p < 0.05). These outcomes were the highest for WC, AVI, and CUN-BAE and remained so even after removing the confounding effects of age, employment, population group, and residence. Based on the ROC analysis, none of the anthropometrical indices performed excellently (i.e., had an area under the curve [AUC] > 0.80). The WC, WHtR, AVI, BRI, and CUN-BAE, however, performed acceptably (AUCs 0.70-0.79), while also exhibiting corresponding cutoff values of 86.65 cm, 0.57, 15.52, 3.83, and 38.35, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The data shows that traditional and novel anthropometric indices similarly identifying newly diagnosed T2D among adult South African females. We recommend the continuing the use of traditional indices, as they are affordable and easy to use in our setting.

Monomeric myeloperoxidase is a specific biomarker for early-stage ovarian cancer.

Background: Ovarian cancer cells are known to express myeloperoxidase (MPO), an oxidant-producing enzyme with a 150 kDa homodimer, consisting of two identical monomers connected by a disulfide bond. Here, we aim to validate monomeric MPO (mMPO) as a biomarker for the early detection of ovarian cancer.Methods: Human ovarian cancer cells, sera from patients at various stages, sera from non-cancer inflammatory gynecological diseases, and healthy volunteers were used. Monomeric and dimeric MPO were measured by ELISA. Receiver operating curves were used to compare the predictive powers of serum dimeric and monomeric MPO to discriminate between samples.Results: The expression of MPO was unique to ovarian cancer cells. Specifically, mMPO was found to be the only form of MPO in all ovarian cancer cell lines. Intriguingly, mMPO was detected in the sera from all patients with ovarian cancer at various stages, but not from healthy individuals. Serum mMPO discriminated between early-stage ovarian cancer, healthy controls, and benign inflammatory gynecologic disorders. In addition, mMPO discriminated between the early and late stages of the disease.Conclusion: This work highlights mMPO as a potential biomarker for early detection of ovarian cancer, which is critically needed.

Optimization of reservoir operating curves and hedging rules using genetic algorithm with a new objective function and smoothing constraint: application to a multipurpose dam in Morocco.

Long-term operation optimization of multipurpose reservoirs is highly important in arid and semi-arid countries challenged by climate change. This paper suggests an objective function combining two competitive shortage indicators for multi-objective reservoir operation optimization. An improved genetic algorithm including a smoothing constraint, reducing infeasible fluctuations of the operation policy, is developed to solve this problem. Operating curves were optimized jointly to hedging factors aiming at avoiding severe droughts and high damages for users. The proposed function was compared with the conventional objective function of minimizing the sum of squared deviations (SSD) between releases and demands. Different combinations of weights of the objectives linked to the Moroccan reservoir were studied. The proposed objective function yields to improved results in terms of computation requirements since it converges quicker and it leads to better supply performance. For drinking water use, the frequency of shortage was reduced by 66% and the maximum deficit by 14% whereas for irrigation the frequency of shortage was curtailed by 6%. The operating curves obtained by the developed optimization model were then compared with static operating rule curves simulated in RIBASIM. The superiority of variable optimized rule curves was proven compared with stable operating mode over time.

Screening and Serial Neutrophil Counts Do Not Contribute to the Recognition or Diagnosis of Late-Onset Neonatal Sepsis.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the validity of screening and serial neutrophil counts in predicting the absence/presence of late-onset sepsis (LOS) in infants with central venous catheters. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective study of infants admitted to the neonatal intensive care unit (2009-2013) at Parkland Hospital with a central venous catheter and ≥1 LOS evaluations. Infants were categorized as proven or suspect LOS or uninfected based on results of blood cultures, clinical illness, and duration of antibiotics. Receiver operating curves (ROCs) were constructed to predict the absence or presence of LOS using Manroe reference ranges for total and immature neutrophils and the immature to total neutrophil ratio at 0, 12, and 24 hours after blood culture and the neutrophil value score, which assesses serial values. RESULTS: Of the 497 infants with a central venous catheter, 179 underwent ≥1 LOS evaluations, and 140 of 179 (78%) had ≥1 complete evaluations (2 blood cultures and neutrophil values at 0, 12, and 24 hours), resulting in 188 complete LOS evaluations. The gestational age was 28 ± 4 weeks and LOS evaluation occurred at 29 ± 34 days (SD; 4-197 days). Sixty-one (35%) infants had proven LOS, 48 (23%) were suspect, and 71 (38%) were noninfected. ROC comparing proven vs noninfected was ≤0.56 for total neutrophils, immature neutrophils, and immature to total neutrophil ratio at 0, 12, and 24 hours and similar for proven + suspect vs noninfected. ROC for neutrophil value scores and absence of LOS was 0.56. CONCLUSIONS: Screening neutrophil values are poor predictors of LOS in neonates with a central venous catheter, as are serial neutrophils and the neutrophil value score. Alternative biomarkers are needed.

Assessment and comparison of APACHE II (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation), SOFA (Sequential Organ Failure Assessment) score and CURB 65 (Confusion; Urea; Respiratory Rate; Blood Pressure), for prediction of inpatient mortality in Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

OBJECTIVE: To assess and compare the role of Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, and Confusion Urea Respiratory Rate Blood Pressure scores in predicting inpatient mortality for patients with Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.. DESIGN: The retrospective study was conducted at the Jinnah Post-graduate Medical Centre, Karachi, and comprised data of all consecutive Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease patients from December 1, 2013, to December 31, 2014. Logistic regression model and non-parametric tests were employed using SPSS 22.. RESULTS: There were 95 patients whose medical records were studied. The overall mean age was 60.79±12.39 years. Mortality rate was of 26(27.6%). Median hospital stay was 11.5 days (interquartile range: 9-17 days) in survivors and 4 days (2-8 days) in non-survivors. Out of the three scales used, Confusion Urea Respiratory Rate Blood Pressure-65 score showed the greatest difference between survivors and non-survivors (p <0.05). Significant higher scores were observed in non survivors with Type 2 than Type 1 respiratory failure (p<0.05). There was significant association of mortality with baseline partial pressure of oxygen and oxygen saturation (p<0.05 each). CONCLUSIONS: Confusion Urea Respiratory Rate Blood Pressure-65score determined at the time of admission had significant ability to predict inpatient mortality..

Framework for determining airport daily departure and arrival delay thresholds: statistical modelling approach.

The study derives a framework for assessing airport efficiency through evaluating optimal arrival and departure delay thresholds. Assumptions of airport efficiency measurements, though based upon minimum numeric values such as 15 min of turnaround time, cannot be extrapolated to determine proportions of delay-days of an airport. This study explored the concept of delay threshold to determine the proportion of delay-days as an expansion of the theory of delay and our previous work. Data-driven approach using statistical modelling was employed to a limited set of determinants of daily delay at an airport. For the purpose of testing the efficacy of the threshold levels, operational data for Entebbe International Airport were used as a case study. Findings show differences in the proportions of delay at departure (µ = 0.499; 95 % CI = 0.023) and arrival (µ = 0.363; 95 % CI = 0.022). Multivariate logistic model confirmed an optimal daily departure and arrival delay threshold of 60 % for the airport given the four probable thresholds {50, 60, 70, 80}. The decision for the threshold value was based on the number of significant determinants, the goodness of fit statistics based on the Wald test and the area under the receiver operating curves. These findings propose a modelling framework to generate relevant information for the Air Traffic Management relevant in planning and measurement of airport operational efficiency.

Comparative multivariate analyses of transient otoacoustic emissions and distorsion products in normal and impaired hearing.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The clinical utility of otoacoustic emissions as a noninvasive objective test of cochlear function has been long studied. Both transient otoacoustic emissions and distorsion products can be used to identify hearing loss, but to what extent they can be used as predictors for hearing loss is still debated. Most studies agree that multivariate analyses have better test performances than univariate analyses. The aim of the study was to determine transient otoacoustic emissions and distorsion products performance in identifying normal and impaired hearing loss, using the pure tone audiogram as a gold standard procedure and different multivariate statistical approaches. METHODS: The study included 105 adult subjects with normal hearing and hearing loss who underwent the same test battery: pure-tone audiometry, tympanometry, otoacoustic emission tests. We chose to use the logistic regression as a multivariate statistical technique. Three logistic regression models were developed to characterize the relations between different risk factors (age, sex, tinnitus, demographic features, cochlear status defined by otoacoustic emissions) and hearing status defined by pure-tone audiometry. The multivariate analyses allow the calculation of the logistic score, which is a combination of the inputs, weighted by coefficients, calculated within the analyses. The accuracy of each model was assessed using receiver operating characteristics curve analysis. We used the logistic score to generate receivers operating curves and to estimate the areas under the curves in order to compare different multivariate analyses. RESULTS: We compared the performance of each otoacoustic emission (transient, distorsion product) using three different multivariate analyses for each ear, when multi-frequency gold standards were used. We demonstrated that all multivariate analyses provided high values of the area under the curve proving the performance of the otoacoustic emissions. Each otoacoustic emission test presented high values of area under the curve, suggesting that implementing a multivariate approach to evaluate the performances of each otoacoustic emission test would serve to increase the accuracy in identifying the normal and impaired ears. We encountered the highest area under the curve value for the combined multivariate analysis suggesting that both otoacoustic emission tests should be used in assessing hearing status. Our multivariate analyses revealed that age is a constant predictor factor of the auditory status for both ears, but the presence of tinnitus was the most important predictor for the hearing level, only for the left ear. Age presented similar coefficients, but tinnitus coefficients, by their high value, produced the highest variations of the logistic scores, only for the left ear group, thus increasing the risk of hearing loss. We did not find gender differences between ears for any otoacoustic emission tests, but studies still debate this question as the results are contradictory. Neither gender, nor environment origin had any predictive value for the hearing status, according to the results of our study. CONCLUSION: Like any other audiological test, using otoacoustic emissions to identify hearing loss is not without error. Even when applying multivariate analysis, perfect test performance is never achieved. Although most studies demonstrated the benefit of using the multivariate analysis, it has not been incorporated into clinical decisions maybe because of the idiosyncratic nature of multivariate solutions or because of the lack of the validation studies.

Real-world characterization and differentiation of the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease strategy classification.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to characterize and differentiate the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) strategy 2011 cut points through the modified Medical Research Council dyspnea scale (mMRC) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) assessment test (CAT). METHODS: Analysis of COPD patient data from the 2012 Adelphi Respiratory Disease Specific Program was conducted in Europe and US. Matched data from physicians and patients included CAT and mMRC scores. Receiver operating characteristic curves and kappa analysis determined a cut point for CAT and mMRC alignment and thus defined patient movement ("movers") within GOLD groups A-D, depending on the tool used. Logistic regression analysis, with a number of physician- and patient-reported covariates, characterized those movers. RESULTS: Comparing GOLD-defined high-symptom patients using mMRC and CAT cut points (≥2 and ≥10, respectively), there were 890 (53.65%) movers; 887 of them (99.66%) moved from less symptomatic GOLD groups A and C (using mMRC) to more symptomatic groups B and D (using CAT). For receiver operating characteristic (area under the curve: 0.82, P<0.001) and kappa (maximized: 0.45) recommended CAT cut points of ≥24 and ≥26, movers reduced to 429 and 403 patients, respectively. Logistic regression analysis showed variables significantly associated with movers were related to impact on normal life, age, cough, and sleep (all P<0.05). Within movers, direction of movement was significantly associated with the same variables (all P<0.05). CONCLUSION: Use of current mMRC or CAT cut points leads to inconsistencies for COPD assessment classification. It is recommended that cut points are aligned and both tools administered simultaneously for optimal patient care and to allow for closer management of movers. Our research may suggest an opportunity to investigate a combined score approach to patient management based on the worst result of mMRC and CAT. The reduced number of remaining movers may then identify patients who have greater impact of disease and may require a more personalized treatment plan.

Diagnosis of sclerosing cholangitis in children: blinded, comparative study of magnetic resonance versus endoscopic cholangiography.

BACKGROUND: Magnetic resonance cholangiography (MRC) has been validated as comparable to endoscopic retrograde cholangiography (ERC) for the diagnosis of sclerosing cholangitis (SC) in adult patients. In children, MRC is widely used based mainly on non-comparative studies. PATIENTS AND METHODS: ERCs and MRCs of seven children (median age 9, range: 7-20 years) with SC and 17 controls (median age 6, range: 2 months-20 years) with other chronic liver diseases were reviewed in a blinded, random and independent way. All patients underwent both examinations within a 6-months slot. All ERCs and 17 MRCs were performed under general anesthesia. One radiologist evaluated both ERCs and MRCs and one interventional endoscopist independently reviewed only ERCs. Reviewers did not receive any clinical information. Diagnosis of SC, established on the basis of history, laboratory data, radiological examinations and clinical course, was used as gold standard to compare ERC and MRC diagnostic accuracy. RESULTS: Overall image quality was graded as very good in 57% of MRC and in 71% of ERC cases; difference was not statistically significant (P=0.24) although the probability for MRC to be diagnostic increased with patient's age. Depiction of first, second and fourth-order intrahepatic bile duct was better in ERC (P=0.004, 0.02 and 0.023, respectively); depiction of the extrahepatic bile duct was comparable (P=0.052). Diagnostic accuracy of MRC and ERC was very high, without statistically significant difference (P=0.61). CONCLUSION: Despite an overall better depiction of the biliary tree by ERC, MRC is comparable for the diagnosis of SC in children. These data support MRC as the first imaging approach in children with suspected SC.