Body mass index and esophageal and gastric cancer: A pooled analysis of 10 population-based cohort studies in Japan.

The effect of body mass index (BMI) on esophageal and gastric carcinogenesis might be heterogeneous, depending on subtype or subsite. However, findings from prospective evaluations of BMI associated with these cancers among Asian populations have been inconsistent and limited, especially for esophageal adenocarcinoma and gastric cardia cancer. We performed a pooled analysis of 10 population-based cohort studies to examine this association in 394,247 Japanese individuals. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to estimate study-specific hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), then pooled these estimates to calculate summary HRs with a random effects model. During 5,750,107 person-years of follow-up, 1569 esophageal cancer (1038 squamous cell carcinoma and 86 adenocarcinoma) and 11,095 gastric (728 cardia and 5620 noncardia) cancer incident cases were identified. An inverse association was observed between BMI and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (HR per 5-kg/m2 increase 0.57, 95% CI 0.50-0.65), whereas a positive association was seen in gastric cardia cancer (HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.00-1.32). A nonsignificant and significant positive association for overweight or obese (BMI ≥25 kg/m2 ) relative to BMI <25 kg/m2 was observed with esophageal adenocarcinoma (HR 1.32, 95% CI 0.80-2.17) and gastric cardia cancer (HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.05-1.46), respectively. No clear association with BMI was found for gastric noncardia cancer. This prospective study-the largest in an Asian country-provides a comprehensive quantitative estimate of the association of BMI with upper gastrointestinal cancer and confirms the subtype- or subsite-specific carcinogenic impact of BMI in a Japanese population.

Metformin and the risk of neurodegenerative diseases in patients with diabetes: A meta-analysis of population-based cohort studies.

AIMS: The association between metformin use and neurodegenerative disease (ND) onset remains controversial. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we aimed to determine the relationship between metformin use and ND risk based on data from population-based cohort studies. METHODS: Articles were systematically searched in PubMed, EMBASE and Cochrane Library databases. Pooled relative risks (RRs) with 95% CIs were obtained using a random-effects model. Subgroup analyses, sensitivity analyses and meta-regression were performed to identify the sources of heterogeneity and strengthen the results. RESULTS: Twelve population-based cohort studies involving 194,792 participants (94,462 metformin users and 100,330 metformin non-users) were eligible for inclusion in this meta-analysis. The pooled RR of NDs reached 0.77 (95% CI 0.67-0.88) when comparing metformin users with non-users. The effects were more prominent in long-term metformin users (≥4 years) (RR 0.29, 95% CI 0.13-0.44) and studies from Asian countries (RR 0.69, 95% CI 0.64-0.74). The effect estimates were stable when stratified by subtypes of NDs, study designs, and control definitions (p for interaction >0.05). Meta-regression did not identify the coefficients as the sources of heterogeneity (all p > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: This systematic review and meta-analysis found that metformin use, especially long-term use, was associated with lower ND risk. However, because there was substantial heterogeneity among studies, high-quality randomized controlled trials are still needed to confirm this finding.

The impact of renal denervation procedure on use of antihypertensive drugs in the real-life setting.

Purpose. Randomised controlled trials have shown that renal denervation lowers office and ambulatory blood pressure. The aim of the present study was to evaluate whether patients undergoing renal denervation procedure in a real-life setting have a reduction in antihypertensive drug prescription over the subsequent years.Material and methods. Using the healthcare utilisation database of the Lombardy Region (Italy), the 136 patients who, during the period 2011-2016, were prescribed four or more antihypertensive drugs and underwent renal denervation were included in the study cohort. The number and type of antihypertensive drugs were assessed over the year before and during the three-year period after renal denervation.Results. The median age of the patients was 67 years and 68% of them were men. Based on a multisource comorbidity score, about 40% of patients showed a poor or very poor clinical status. Before renal denervation, the majority of the patients were prescribed four or five antihypertensive drugs. The number of drugs decreased after the denervation and reached 55% after three years. Over the same period, patients prescribed six drugs decreased from 18% to 2%. All antihypertensive drugs were less prescribed throughout the post denervation period. Compared to the year before the denervation, after three years prescription of diuretics was reduced by 15%, calcium channel blockers by 21%, ACE-inhibitors by 32%, angiotensin receptor blockers by 22%, beta-blockers by 20%, and alfa-blockers by 30%. Use of antihypertensive drugs exhibited a reduction also in an age, sex, and clinically matched control group with no renal denervation to an extent, however, much lower than in denervated patients (p-value = 0.013).Conclusion. In the real-life setting, patients who underwent renal denervation had a clearcut reduction in antihypertensive drug prescription over the following years.Plain Language SummaryPatients exhibited a reduction in the prescription of antihypertensive drugs during the three years that followed the denervation procedureThe decrease in the number of antihypertensive drugs was marked, started after a relatively short time (six months), and involved all drugs prescribed before the denervationThe number of hospitalisations for a cardiovascular event was similar before and after renal denervationAlbeit blood pressure values were not recorded in our database, all these findings taken together suggest the renal denervation procedure has a favourable influence on blood pressure control and is not associated with an increase in the risk of major cardiovascular complications.

Maternal use of hormonal contraception and epilepsy in offspring.

STUDY QUESTION: Is maternal use of hormonal contraception associated with the development of epilepsy in the offspring? SUMMARY ANSWER: We found that maternal use of hormonal contraception was associated with a slightly increased risk of epilepsy in the offspring. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Foetal exposure to exogenous hormones has been associated with changes in brain development. However, little is known about maternal hormonal contraception use and development of epilepsy in the offspring. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: A nationwide cohort of all live born children born in Denmark between 1 January 1998 and 31 December 2014, was followed from day 29 after birth for epilepsy (first diagnosis of epilepsy or first redeemed prescription for anti-epileptic medication) to censoring (emigration, death) or 31 December 2015, whichever occurred first. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Diagnoses of epilepsy were obtained from the National Patient Registry. The Danish National Prescription Registry supplied information on redeemed prescriptions for hormonal contraception and anti-epileptic medication. Maternal hormonal contraception use was categorized as never use (reference group), previous use (prescriptions redeemed >3 months before pregnancy start) and recent use (prescriptions redeemed ≤3 months before or during pregnancy). MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: The data show that 17 585 children developed epilepsy during a median follow-up of 9.2 years (9 732 635 person-years). The hazard ratio (HR) for epilepsy was 1.07 (95% CI 1.02-1.13) in children of mothers who had used any type of hormonal contraception recently, compared with children of mothers who had not used hormonal contraception. The HR was similar for recent use of oral combined products, while the HRs for recent or previous use of non-oral combined products were 1.32 (95% CI 0.98-1.77) and 1.16 (95% CI 1.02-1.32), respectively. For non-oral progestin-only products, the HRs were 1.19 (95% CI 1.04-1.38) and 1.53 (95% CI 1.31-1.80), respectively, for recent and previous use. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: There may be some misclassification of maternal hormonal contraception use, as some women may not have used the redeemed prescriptions or used them at a different point in time; potentially leading to an attenuation of the estimates. In addition, although we were able to account for known risk factors for epilepsy, unknown or residual confounding cannot be ruled out. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: Our findings are based on nationwide population-based data and can therefore be applied to other similar populations. However, as this is the first study in this field, further studies are needed to confirm our findings. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): No specific funding was obtained for this study, which was supported by internal funding at the Unit of Virus, Lifestyle and Genes. All authors report no conflicts of interest. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: N/A.

Evaluation of type 2 diabetes genetic risk variants in Chinese adults: findings from 93,000 individuals from the China Kadoorie Biobank.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have discovered many risk variants for type 2 diabetes. However, estimates of the contributions of risk variants to type 2 diabetes predisposition are often based on highly selected case-control samples, and reliable estimates of population-level effect sizes are missing, especially in non-European populations. METHODS: The individual and cumulative effects of 59 established type 2 diabetes risk loci were measured in a population-based China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) study of 93,000 Chinese adults, including >7,100 diabetes cases. RESULTS: Association signals were directionally consistent between CKB and the original discovery GWAS: of 56 variants passing quality control, 48 showed the same direction of effect (binomial test, p = 2.3 × 10(-8)). We observed a consistent overall trend towards lower risk variant effect sizes in CKB than in case-control samples of GWAS meta-analyses (mean 19-22% decrease in log odds, p ≤ 0.0048), likely to reflect correction of both 'winner's curse' and spectrum bias effects. The association with risk of diabetes of a genetic risk score, based on lead variants at 25 loci considered to act through beta cell function, demonstrated significant interactions with several measures of adiposity (BMI, waist circumference [WC], WHR and percentage body fat [PBF]; all p interaction < 1 × 10(-4)), with a greater effect being observed in leaner adults. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Our study provides further evidence of shared genetic architecture for type 2 diabetes between Europeans and East Asians. It also indicates that even very large GWAS meta-analyses may be vulnerable to substantial inflation of effect size estimates, compared with those observed in large-scale population-based cohort studies. ACCESS TO RESEARCH MATERIALS: Details of how to access China Kadoorie Biobank data and details of the data release schedule are available from www.ckbiobank.org/site/Data+Access .

Effect of bariatric surgery on long-term cardiovascular outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis of population-based cohort studies.

This meta-analysis aimed to compare the effects of bariatric surgery and nonsurgery on cardiovascular outcomes in patients with obesity. A systematic literature search of the Medline (via PubMed), Embase, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials databases was performed until August 18th, 2021. Population-based cohort studies comparing long-term cardiovascular outcomes for patients with obesity undergoing bariatric surgery or not were included. A meta-analysis of relative risks (RRs) was performed for all outcomes. We conducted subgroup analyses and meta-regression to explore sources of heterogeneity and the stability of the results. Twenty-one population-based cohort studies involving 2,857,016 participants were identified. The major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) RR in the bariatric surgery group was .53 (95% confidence interval [CI] = .45-.62, P < .001) relative to the nonsurgical group. Relative to the nonsurgical group, the risk of myocardial infarction (MI) (RR = .40, 95% CI = .30-.52, P < .001), stroke (RR = .60, 95% CI = .46-.79, P < .001), cardiovascular death (RR = .43, 95% CI = .35-.54, P < .001), and all-cause death (RR = .44, 95% CI = .32-.59, P < .001) was significantly reduced for patients who underwent bariatric surgery. In subgroup analyses, as the proportion of patients with diabetes mellitus increased, lower RRs for MACE, MI, and stroke were observed in the surgery group relative to the nonsurgical group. The decreased risk of MACE was also observed in the subgroup with median follow-up duration ≥5 years.Bariatric surgery improves cardiovascular outcomes in patients with obesity, especially providing long-term benefits, and this effect is more pronounced in patients with comorbid diabetes.

NT-proBNP as a marker for atrial fibrillation and heart failure in four observational outpatient trials.

AIMS: Heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) frequently coexist and are both associated with increased levels of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP). It is known that AF impairs the diagnostic accuracy of NT-proBNP for HF. The aim of the present study was to compare the diagnostic and predictive accuracy of NT-proBNP for HF and AF in stable outpatients with cardiovascular risk factors. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data were obtained from the DIAST-CHF trial, a prospective cohort study that recruited individuals with cardiovascular risk factors and followed them up for 12 years. Data were validated in three independent population-based cohorts using the same inclusion/exclusion criteria: LIFE-Adult (n = 2869), SHIP (n = 2013), and SHIP-TREND (n = 2408). Serum levels of NT-proBNP were taken once at baseline. The DIAST-CHF study enrolled 1727 study participants (47.7% female, mean age 66.9 ± 8.1 years). At baseline, patients without AF or HF (n = 1375) had a median NT-proBNP of 94 pg/mL (interquartile range 51;181). In patients with AF (n = 93), NT-proBNP amounted to 667 (215;1130) pg/mL. It was significantly higher than in the first group (P < 0.001) and compared with those with only HF [n = 201; 158 (66;363) pg/mL; P < 0.001]. The highest levels of NT-proBNP [868 (213;1397) pg/mL] were measured in patients with concomitant HF and AF (n = 58; P < 0.001 vs. control and vs. HF, P = 1.0 vs. AF). In patients with AF, NT-proBNP levels did not differ between those with HF and preserved ejection fraction (EF) > 50% [n = 38; 603 (175;1070) pg/mL] and those without HF (P = 1.0). Receiver-operating characteristic curves of NT-proBNP showed a similar area under the curve (AUC) for the detection of AF at baseline (0.84, 95% CI [0.79-0.88]) and for HF with EF < 50% (0.78 [0.72-0.85]; P = 0.18). The AUC for HF with EF > 50% was significantly lower (0.61 [0.56-0.65]) than for AF (P = 0.001). During follow-up, AF was newly diagnosed in 157 (9.1%) and HF in 141 (9.6%) study participants. NT-proBNP was a better predictor of incident AF during the first 2 years (AUC: 0.79 [0.75-0.83]) than of newly diagnosed HF (0.59 [0.55-0.63]; P < 0.001). Data were validated in three independent population-based cohorts (LIFE-Adult, n = 2869; SHIP, n = 2013; and SHIP-TREND, n = 2408). CONCLUSIONS: In stable outpatients, NT-proBNP is a better marker for prevalent and incident AF than for HF. In AF patients, the diagnostic value of NT-proBNP for HF with EF > 50% is very limited.

New Opportunities in Exposure Assessment of Occupational Epidemiology: Use of Measurements to Aid Exposure Reconstruction in Population-Based Studies.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Exposure assessment efforts in population-based studies are increasingly incorporating measurements. The published literature was reviewed to identify the measurement sources and the approaches used to incorporate measurements into these efforts. RECENT FINDINGS: The variety of occupations and industries in these studies made collecting participant-specific measurements impractical. Thus, the starting point was often the compilation of large databases of measurements from inspections, published literature, and other exposure surveys. These measurements usually represented multiple occupations, industries, and worksites, and spanned multiple decades. Measurements were used both qualitatively and quantitatively, dependent on the coverage and quality of the data. Increasingly, statistical models were used to derive job-, industry-, time period-, and other determinant-specific exposure concentrations. Quantitative measurement-based approaches are increasingly replacing expert judgment, which facilitates the development of quantitative exposure-response associations. Evaluations of potential biases in these measurement sources, and their representativeness of typical exposure situations, warrant additional examination.