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1.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 120(32): e2207081120, 2023 08 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37523550

RESUMO

We assess wheat yield losses occurring due to ozone pollution in India and its economic burden on producers, consumers, and the government. Applying an ozone flux-based risk assessment, we show that ambient ozone levels caused a mean 14.18% reduction in wheat yields during 2008 to 2012. Furthermore, irrigated wheat was particularly sensitive to ozone-induced yield losses, indicating that ozone pollution could undermine climate-change adaptation efforts through irrigation expansion. Applying an economic model, we examine the effects of a counterfactual, "pollution-free" scenario on yield losses, wheat prices, consumer and producer welfare, and government costs. We explore three policy scenarios in which the government support farmers at observed levels of either procurement prices (fixed-price), procurement quantities (fixed-procurement), or procurement expenditure (fixed-expenditure). In pollution-free conditions, the fixed-price scenario absorbs the fall in prices, thus increasing producer welfare by USD 2.7 billion, but total welfare decreases by USD 0.24 billion as government costs increase (USD 2.9 billion). In the fixed-procurement and fixed-expenditure scenarios, ozone mitigation allows wheat prices to fall by 38.19 to 42.96%. The producers lose by USD 5.10 to 6.01 billion, but the gains to consumers and governments (USD 8.7 to 10.2 billion) outweigh these losses. These findings show that the government and consumers primarily bear the costs of ozone pollution. For pollution mitigation to optimally benefit wheat production and maximize social welfare, new approaches to support producers other than fixed-price grain procurement may be required. We also emphasize the need to consider air pollution in programs to improve agricultural resilience to climate change.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos , Poluição do Ar , Ozônio , Humanos , Ozônio/análise , Triticum , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Governo
2.
Ann Surg Oncol ; 31(7): 4339-4348, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38506934

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Federal rules mandate that hospitals publish payer-specific negotiated prices for all services. Little is known about variation in payer-negotiated prices for surgical oncology services or their relationship to clinical outcomes. We assessed variation in payer-negotiated prices associated with surgical care for common cancers at National Cancer Institute (NCI)-designated cancer centers and determined the effect of increasing payer-negotiated prices on the odds of morbidity and mortality. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A cross-sectional analysis of 63 NCI-designated cancer center websites was employed to assess variation in payer-negotiated prices. A retrospective cohort study of 15,013 Medicare beneficiaries undergoing surgery for colon, pancreas, or lung cancers at an NCI-designated cancer center between 2014 and 2018 was conducted to determine the relationship between payer-negotiated prices and clinical outcomes. The primary outcome was the effect of median payer-negotiated price on odds of a composite outcome of 30 days mortality and serious postoperative complications for each cancer cohort. RESULTS: Within-center prices differed by up to 48.8-fold, and between-center prices differed by up to 675-fold after accounting for geographic variation in costs of providing care. Among the 15,013 patients discharged from 20 different NCI-designated cancer centers, the effect of normalized median payer-negotiated price on the composite outcome was clinically negligible, but statistically significantly positive for colon [aOR 1.0094 (95% CI 1.0051-1.0138)], lung [aOR 1.0145 (1.0083-1.0206)], and pancreas [aOR 1.0080 (1.0040-1.0120)] cancer cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: Payer-negotiated prices are statistically significantly but not clinically meaningfully related to morbidity and mortality for the surgical treatment of common cancers. Higher payer-negotiated prices are likely due to factors other than clinical quality.


Assuntos
Institutos de Câncer , National Cancer Institute (U.S.) , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Feminino , Masculino , Institutos de Câncer/economia , Estudos Transversais , National Cancer Institute (U.S.)/economia , Idoso , Medicare/economia , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/cirurgia , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/economia , Neoplasias/cirurgia , Neoplasias/economia , Neoplasias Pulmonares/cirurgia , Neoplasias Pulmonares/economia , Seguimentos , Taxa de Sobrevida , Prognóstico , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/economia , Neoplasias do Colo/cirurgia , Neoplasias do Colo/economia
3.
J Nutr ; 2024 Sep 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39270849

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Different food price sources and dietary assessment tools may impact the estimation of diet costs and hamper our understanding of the relationship between diet costs and dietary intakes. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to investigate the effect of 3 diet cost derivation methods, with increasing numbers of food prices and geographic specificity, holding consistent dietary assessment, on the estimation of diet costs overall and by food group. METHODS: We matched 24-h dietary recall data from the 2015 Canadian Community Health Survey-Nutrition (CCHS-N) to food price data from 3 Canadian Consumer Price Index (CPI) food price lists; national short list, national long list, and provincial long list. We compared the daily ($/day) and energy-adjusted ($/2000 kcal) diet costs overall and by food groups for the overall population (4+), children (4-18), and adults (19+). RESULTS: The proportion of dietary intakes (grams) that were covered by CPI prices significantly increased from the national short list to the national long list but did not significantly differ from the national long list to the provincial long list. The national short list resulted in the highest daily and energy-adjusted diet costs overall. No difference in diet costs was noted between the national and provincial long lists. Diet costs for 4 food groups-additions, sweets, fruits, and vegetables, which were poorly covered by the national short list-significantly differed using the national and provincial long lists. All 3 diet cost methods were significantly correlated with energy intakes; however, a strong/very strong correlation was detected for children, and a weak/moderate correlation for adults. CONCLUSIONS: The choice of food price data may introduce bias in the diet cost estimate, as well as limiting our understanding of how individuals allocate their diet costs. Refinement of diet cost estimation methodology and measures can strengthen future studies of how consumers allocate their purchases to their diets.

4.
Milbank Q ; 2024 Sep 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39289915

RESUMO

Policy Points Health care systems around the world rely on a range of methods to ensure the affordability of prescription drugs, including negotiating prices soon after drug approval and relying on formal clinical assessments that compare newly approved therapies with existing alternatives. The negotiation framework established under the Inflation Reduction Act is far more limited than other frameworks explored in this study. Adding elements from these frameworks could lead to more effective price negotiation in the United States. CONTEXT: In 2022, Congress passed the Inflation Reduction Act, which allowed Medicare, for the first time, to begin negotiating the prices for certain high-cost brand-name prescription drugs. Many other industrialized countries negotiate drug prices, and we sought to compare and contrast key features of the negotiation process across several health systems. We focused, in particular, on the criteria for selecting drugs for price negotiation, procedures for negotiation, factors that influence negotiated prices, and how prices are implemented. METHODS: We included four G7 countries in our analysis (Canada, France, Germany, and the United Kingdom [England]), two Benelux countries (Belgium and the Netherlands), and one Scandinavian country (Norway) with long-established frameworks for drug price negotiation. We also analyzed the Veterans Affairs Health System in the United States. For each system, we gathered relevant legislation, government publications, and guidelines to understand negotiation frameworks, and we reached out to key drug price negotiators in each system to conduct semistructured interviews. All interviews were recorded, transcribed, and coded, and data were analyzed based on an internal assessment tool that we developed. FINDINGS: All eight systems negotiate the prices of brand-name prescription drugs soon after approval and rely on formal clinical assessments that compare newly approved drugs with existing therapies. Systems in our study differed on characteristics such as whether the body performing clinical assessments is separate from the negotiating authority, how added health benefit is assessed, whether explicit willingness-to-pay thresholds are employed, and how specific approaches for priority disease areas are taken. CONCLUSIONS: High-income countries around the world adopt different approaches to conducting price negotiations on brand-name drugs but coalesce around a set of practices that will largely be absent from the current Medicare negotiation framework. US policymakers might consider adding some of these characteristics in the future to improve negotiation outcomes.

5.
Int J Behav Nutr Phys Act ; 21(1): 18, 2024 Feb 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38373957

RESUMO

Numerous research methodologies have been used to examine food environments. Existing reviews synthesizing food environment measures have examined a limited number of domains or settings and none have specifically targeted Canada. This rapid review aimed to 1) map research methodologies and measures that have been used to assess food environments; 2) examine what food environment dimensions and equity related-factors have been assessed; and 3) identify research gaps and priorities to guide future research. A systematic search of primary articles evaluating the Canadian food environment in a real-world setting was conducted. Publications in English or French published in peer-reviewed journals between January 1 2010 and June 17 2021 and indexed in Web of Science, CAB Abstracts and Ovid MEDLINE were considered. The search strategy adapted an internationally-adopted food environment monitoring framework covering 7 domains (Food Marketing; Labelling; Prices; Provision; Composition; Retail; and Trade and Investment). The final sample included 220 articles. Overall, Trade and Investment (1%, n = 2), Labelling (7%, n = 15) and, to a lesser extent, Prices (14%, n = 30) were the least studied domains in Canada. Among Provision articles, healthcare (2%, n = 1) settings were underrepresented compared to school (67%, n = 28) and recreation and sport (24%, n = 10) settings, as was the food service industry (14%, n = 6) compared to grocery stores (86%, n = 36) in the Composition domain. The study identified a vast selection of measures employed in Canada overall and within single domains. Equity-related factors were only examined in half of articles (n = 108), mostly related to Retail (n = 81). A number of gaps remain that prevent a holistic and systems-level analysis of food environments in Canada. As Canada continues to implement policies to improve the quality of food environments in order to improve dietary patterns, targeted research to address identified gaps and harmonize methods across studies will help evaluate policy impact over time.


Assuntos
Abastecimento de Alimentos , Canadá , Humanos , Rotulagem de Alimentos/métodos , Comércio , Meio Ambiente , Marketing/métodos , Alimentos
6.
Value Health ; 27(10): 1373-1381, 2024 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38977188

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to analyze worldwide sales of new therapeutic agents and to estimate the time it takes for product sales to exceed industry-wide average drug development costs. METHODS: Data obtained from company reports were analyzed to track worldwide sales of new medicines approved by the US Food and Drug Administration from 1995 to 2014. All sales figures were reported in 2019 US dollars. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to evaluate the time it took for discounted product sales to exceed the average costs associated with developing 1 new drug (accounting for the costs of failed trials), using published estimates of these costs. RESULTS: Based on data for 361 of 558 new therapeutic agents approved over the study period (median follow-up 13.2 years), mean sales revenue per product was $15.2 billion through the end of 2019; the median was $6.7 billion. These products jointly generated global sales of $5.5 trillion since approval. Revenues were highly skewed, with the 25 best selling products (7%, 25 of 361) accounting for 38% of this amount ($2.1 trillion of $5.5 trillion). Approximately 47% of products had discounted sales that exceeded the estimated industry-wide average costs of development within 5 years of approval, and 75% within 10 years. After attributing potential production, marketing, and other costs, these numbers dropped to 21% of products within 5 years of approval, and 46% within 10 years. CONCLUSIONS: Sales of new medicines approved from 1995 to 2014 were highly skewed, but many products had net discounted sales that exceeded the industry-wide average costs of development within 10 years of approval. An understanding of how sales revenues accrue in the years after initial approval, alongside data on business costs, can inform discussions about how to incentivize private investment in innovation while ensuring affordable prices for patients and the healthcare system.


Assuntos
Comércio , Aprovação de Drogas , United States Food and Drug Administration , Estados Unidos , Humanos , Comércio/economia , Comércio/tendências , Custos de Medicamentos/tendências , Indústria Farmacêutica/economia
7.
J Am Acad Dermatol ; 90(1): 74-81, 2024 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37730020

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Topical corticosteroids possess numerous generics and similar-strength substitutes. Affordability can impact obtaining the medication prescribed. OBJECTIVE: To determine recent trends in topical corticosteroid pricing and potential for cost saving. METHODS: A retrospective cross-sectional study analyzing all prescriptions dispensed for topical corticosteroids from January 1, 2017 through December 31, 2021, using a US all-payer pharmacy-claims database and commercial coupon dataset, was performed. RESULTS: Two hundred thirty-seven unique drug products (≥1 claim) were identified. Factors that predicted for higher cost (P < .05) were branded products (105% more expensive than generics) and ultrapotent class (55% more expensive than low potency) while ointments predicted for lower cost (19% less expensive than creams). Cash prices remained relatively stable, except for ultrapotent branded topical corticosteroids (63% increase). Cost savings were available for both brand-to-generic ($14.75 per unit) and generic-to-generic ($6.82 per unit) switching. Coupon prices were consistently lower than cash prices (r = 0.89). LIMITATIONS: Contracted rates through insurance plans were not included. CONCLUSIONS: Topical corticosteroid prices over the past 5 years have stabilized, the exception being branded ultrapotent corticosteroids. Savings from switching among similar-strength substitutes remain significant despite price stabilization. Coupon prices mirror the hierarchy of cash prices and can help assess real-time costs.


Assuntos
Fármacos Dermatológicos , Custos de Medicamentos , Humanos , Redução de Custos , Estudos Transversais , Estudos Retrospectivos , Sistemas Automatizados de Assistência Junto ao Leito , Corticosteroides , Medicamentos Genéricos
8.
J Am Acad Dermatol ; 91(2): 379-381, 2024 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38663745

RESUMO

Signed into law in August 2022, the Inflation Reduction Act includes provisions requiring the federal government to negotiate prices for medications covered under Medicare Part D. Initial negotiations will target drugs with the highest total spending and price increases relative to inflation. In this study, we identify dermatology prescriptions with the highest cost burden on Medicare Part D and analyze recent trends in total spending and unit costs.


Assuntos
Fármacos Dermatológicos , Custos de Medicamentos , Medicare Part D , Medicare Part D/economia , Estados Unidos , Humanos , Custos de Medicamentos/legislação & jurisprudência , Custos de Medicamentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Fármacos Dermatológicos/economia , Fármacos Dermatológicos/uso terapêutico , Inflação , Dermatologia/economia , Gastos em Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos
9.
Health Econ ; 33(5): 911-928, 2024 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38251043

RESUMO

This study examines the impact of social insurance benefit restrictions on physician behaviour, using ophthalmologists as a case study. We examine whether ophthalmologists use their market power to alter their fees and rebates across services to compensate for potential policy-induced income losses. The results show that ophthalmologists substantially reduced their fees and rebates for services directly targeted by the benefit restriction compared to other medical specialists' fees and rebates. There is also some evidence that they increased their fees for services that were not targeted. High-fee charging ophthalmologists exhibited larger fee and rebate responses while the low-fee charging group raise their rebates to match the reference price provided by the policy environment.


Assuntos
Oftalmologia , Médicos , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Benefícios do Seguro , Honorários Médicos , Honorários e Preços
10.
Clin Trials ; : 17407745241259112, 2024 Jul 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39049558

RESUMO

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act mandating drug price negotiation by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services have been criticized as a threat to pharmaceutical innovation. This study models potential impacts of the Inflation Reduction Act on drug approvals based on the differential contributions of large pharmaceutical companies and smaller biotechnology firms to clinical trials and the availability of capital. METHODS: This study examined research and development expense, revenue, and new investment (sale of common and preferred stock) by public biopharmaceutical companies and sponsorship of phased clinical trials in ClinicalTrials.gov. Financial data were incorporated in a model that estimates the number of drugs in each phase and approvals from reported phase-specific costs and transition rates, proportional sponsorship of trials by companies of different size, projected reductions in research and development spending based on company size, and three scenarios by which large companies may allocate reductions in research and development spending among clinical phases: (1) research and development proportionally reduced across phases; (2) research and development disproportionally reduced in phases 2-3; and (3) research and development disproportionately reduced in phases 1-2. RESULTS: Financial data were examined for 1378 public biopharmaceutical companies (2000-2018). Research and development expense was associated with revenue for 79 large companies with market capitalization ≥$7 billion with a 10% reduction in revenue reducing research and development expense by 8.4%. For 1299 smaller companies with market capitalization <$7 billion, research and development was associated with new investment, but not revenue. Smaller companies sponsored 55.2% of phase 1, 55.6% of phase 2, and 49.8% of phase 3 trials in ClinicalTrials.gov 2013-2018. In a model of clinical development that apportions clinical trials between large and smaller companies and determines the number of trials based on research and development resources, 400 drugs entering development produced 47.3 approvals (11.83% rate). A 10% reduction in revenue, reflecting the upper boundary of observed changes 2000-2018, with (1) proportional reduction across phases 1-3 produced 45.1 approvals (4.61% reduction); (2) disproportional reduction of phases 2-3 produced 42.8 approvals (9.55% reduction); and (3) disproportional reduction of phases 1-2 produced 46.9 approvals (0.95% reduction). CONCLUSION: This work suggests that the drug price negotiation provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act could have little or no impact on the number of drug approvals. While large pharmaceutical companies may reduce research and development spending, continued research and development by smaller companies and strategic allocation of research and development resources by large companies may mitigate any negative effects of the Inflation Reduction Act.

11.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 119, 2024 01 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38191342

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Medical service prices play a crucial role in cost containment in China. This study aimed to assess the change in medical service price levels at the macro level and the relationship with relevant macroeconomic factors. METHODS: Data from the 2022 China Statistics Yearbook, the 2022 China Health Statistics Yearbook, and the 2020 China National Health Accounts Report were used. Time trends of health price levels, utilization, and health expenditure were examined. A time-series regression model was employed to measure the impact of service utilization and medical service prices on total medical service expenditure growth from 2000 to 2021. The Johansen cointegration test was conducted to test the cointegrating relationship between medical service price levels and total medical service expenditure, average wage of employees and CPI. The Granger causality test was performed to observe the direction of causality. RESULTS: Descriptive analyses showed consistent growth in utilization and medical service price levels from 2000 to 2021. The time-series model indicated that medical service expenditure was influenced by the rise in inpatient admissions and price levels of medical service and medicine. The Johansen cointegration test identified a long-term equilibrium relationship between medical service price levels and total medical service expenditure, average wage and CPI. The change in medical service price levels was the Granger cause of the change in medical service expenditure, but it had no impact on average wage and CPI. However, the change in medical service price levels was influenced by these three macroeconomic factors. CONCLUSIONS: The growth of medical service expenditure in China was driven by inpatient use and price level. There was a long-term equilibrium relationship between medical service price levels and relevant macroeconomic factors. However, medical service price levels only affected medical service expenditure and have no impact on average wage and CPI. It is necessary to improve the value transmission mechanism of medical service prices.


Assuntos
Gastos em Saúde , Nível de Saúde , Humanos , China , Hospitalização , Pacientes Internados
12.
BMC Health Serv Res ; 24(1): 299, 2024 Mar 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38448915

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Social risk factors are key drivers of the geographic variation in spending in the United States but little is known how community-level social risk factors are associated with hospital prices. Our objective was to describe the relationship between regional hospital-reported prices and social risk factors by price type (chargemaster, cash, commercial, Medicare, and Medicaid). METHODS: This cross-sectional analysis used newly available hospital-reported prices from acute general hospitals in 2022. The prices were for 14 common services. Prices were winsorized at 98%, wage index-adjusted, standardized by service, and aggregated to hospital service areas (HSAs). For social risk, we used 23 measures across 5 domains of social risk (socioeconomic position; race, ethnicity, and culture; gender; social relationships; and residential and community context). Spearman's correlation was used to estimate associations between median prices and social risk by price type. RESULTS: Prices were reported from 2,386 acute general hospitals in 45% (1,502 of 3,436) HSAs. Correlations between regional prices and other social risk factors varied by price type (range: -0.19 to 0.31). Chargemaster and cash prices were significantly correlated with the most community characteristics (10 of 23, 43%) followed by commercial prices (8, 35%). Medicare and Medicaid prices were only significantly correlated with 1 measure (all p < 0.01). All price types were significantly correlated with the percentage of uninsured (all p < 0.01). Chargemaster, cash, and commercial prices were positively correlated with percentage of Hispanic residents, residents with limited English proficiency, and non-citizens (all p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: While regional correlations between prices and social risk factors were weak across all prices, chargemaster, cash, and commercial prices were more like closely aligned with community-level social risk factors than the two public payers (Medicare and Medicaid). Chargemaster, cash, and commercial hospital prices appeared to be higher in socially disadvantaged communities. Further research is needed to clarify the relationship between prices and community social risk factors.


Assuntos
Relações Interpessoais , Medicare , Idoso , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Estudos Transversais , Etnicidade , Hospitais Gerais
13.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 118(45)2021 11 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34737232

RESUMO

A proposal to combat free riding in international climate agreements is the establishment of a climate club-a coalition of countries in a structure to encourage high levels of participation. Empirical models of climate clubs in the early stages relied on the analysis of single-period coalition formation. The earlier results suggested that there were limits to the potential strength of clubs and that it would be difficult to have deep abatement strategies in the club framework. The current study extends the single-period approach to many periods and develops an approach analyzing "supportable policies" to analyze multiperiod clubs. The major element of the present study is the interaction between club effectiveness and rapid technological change. Neither alone will produce incentive-compatible policies that can attain the ambitious objectives of international climate policy. The trade sanctions without rapid technological decarbonization will be too costly to produce deep abatement; similarly, rapid technological decarbonization by itself will not induce deep abatement because of country free riding. However, the two together can achieve international climate objectives.

14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39303900

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Arthroscopic rotator cuff repair (ARCR) is one of the most common orthopedic procedures in the general population. Despite its prevalence, the price of ARCR varies significantly across regions, hospital models, and settings. The purpose of this study was to examine the effect of Geographic Region, Certificate of Need (CON) laws, and Medicaid expansion on ARCR pricing. METHODS: This cross-sectional observational study used hospital payer-specific ARCR prices from the Turquoise Health Database using Current Procedural Terminology code 29827. These prices are negotiated rates or charges that hospitals establish with various payers, including insurance companies, Medicare, Medicaid, and self-pay patients, for medical services and treatments provided. Outliers below the 10th percentile and above the 90th percentile were excluded. State policies, including CON status and Medicaid expansion, were obtained from public sources, whereas additional socioeconomic and demographic data were sourced from the US Census. The state's region classification was determined based on 1 of 4 Geographic Regions defined by the US Census Bureau. A detailed analysis was also conducted for North Carolina, examining county-level data on urbanization and the Area Deprivation Index. RESULTS: There were 57,270 ARCR prices from 2503 hospitals across the United States, with a median interquartile range listed price of $6428.17 (interquartile range: $2886.88). States with CON regulations had significantly lower ARCR prices than those without ($6500 vs. $8000, P < .0001). Multivariable analysis indicated that hospitals in the Northeast and West Regions listed significantly higher prices for ARCR than those in the Midwest Region (P < .0001). In contrast, hospitals in the South Region listed lower prices for ARCR than those in the Midwest Region (P < .0001). Medicaid expansion was associated with increased ARCR prices (P < .0001), whereas CON laws were linked to reduced prices (P < .0001). In North Carolina, Area Deprivation Index and urbanization status did not significantly affect ARCR prices. CONCLUSION: The prices listed for ARCR varied significantly depending on the Geographic Region where hospitals were located. In addition, CON laws were associated with reduced ARCR prices, whereas Medicaid expansion correlated with increased prices. These findings highlight the complex interplay between health care policy, regulatory frameworks, and socioeconomic factors in determining surgical prices.

15.
J Environ Manage ; 352: 120003, 2024 Feb 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38219665

RESUMO

Economic policies affect companies' production decisions. And the energy consumption volume is an intuitive reflection of the enterprise's production decisions. In China, coal is the main source of carbon emissions and the most important energy source. Therefore, the coal market and the uncertainty of economic policies are both directly tied to the carbon market. This study explores both the direct impact of economic policy uncertainty and coal price on carbon prices as well as the indirect impact of economic policy uncertainty on carbon prices through coal prices by utilizing the DCC-GARCH model and the NARDL model. The findings indicate that the dynamic correlations between coal prices and the CEPU are always negative and that those between the price of carbon and the CEPU vary by area. Meanwhile, the dynamic correlations between coal and carbon prices are only positive in Shenzhen and Beijing. Both coal prices and economic policy uncertainty produce asymmetrical impacts on carbon prices. Some policy implications are provided for developing the carbon markets in light of the results drawn from the study.


Assuntos
Carbono , Carvão Mineral , Incerteza , China , Custos e Análise de Custo
16.
J Environ Manage ; 369: 122332, 2024 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39226807

RESUMO

This study explores the applicability of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis in the United States (US) from 2006 to 2020, employing the Spatial Durbin Model (SDM) to analyze the cross-border effects of pollution among states. The results indicate that although economic growth initially decreases environmental degradation, it subsequently contributes to more significant environmental degradation, challenging the EKC hypothesis's validity at the US state level. Factors such as higher energy prices and reliance on fossil fuels are also identified as significant drivers of environmental deterioration, with varying impacts observed across states. Conversely, adopting renewable energy sources is crucial in mitigating pollution levels. The study underscores the importance of coordinated state-level efforts to harmonize economic growth with sustainable environmental practices. It highlights the complexities of policymaking in balancing economic development with environmental conservation and emphasizes the need for targeted interventions to address environmental challenges effectively. This research enhances our understanding of sustainable development pathways amidst diverse regional dynamics within the US by providing empirical evidence and policy insights.


Assuntos
Dióxido de Carbono , Estados Unidos , Dióxido de Carbono/análise , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Desenvolvimento Econômico , Poluição Ambiental
17.
J Environ Manage ; 367: 122057, 2024 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39096727

RESUMO

This paper seeks to look into the asymmetric impacts posed by climate policy uncertainty (CPU) and investor sentiment (IS) upon the price of non-renewable energy, specifically natural gas prices, and the consumption of renewable energy, embodied in geothermal energy, biofuels, and fuel ethanol. To this end, the analysis draws on a non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model and wavelet coherence (WTC) technique with monthly data from January 2000 to December 2021. The NARDL results establish an asymmetric association between the variables, where negative shocks to CPU exert a greater effect on each energy variable than positive shocks, while the reverse is true for IS. Furthermore, it has been noticed that CPU and IS exhibit primarily negative correlations with the target variables over the long term, with CPU having a more pronounced effect on natural gas prices than on other forms of renewable energy consumption. Wavelet analysis also reveals that CPU leads the energy variables over the medium to long run, while IS assumes a dominant role in the short to medium run. These momentous findings underscore the importance of this study in informing energy policy formulation and environmental management, as well as optimizing investor portfolios.


Assuntos
Energia Renovável , Incerteza , Investimentos em Saúde , Gás Natural
18.
J Environ Manage ; 356: 120579, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38503230

RESUMO

In contemporary times, geopolitical risk, and natural resources prices are susceptible due to the Russian-Ukraine conflict. In the meantime, emerging economies are struggling to explore the factors that could reduce ecological challenges and enhance environmental management. This research aims to analyze several economic, environmental, political, and institutional variables to ascertain their influence on greenhouse gas emissions in China. Covering the latest period from 1990 to 2022, various time series tests, including normality, stationarity, and cointegration tests. The results confirm that the variables studied have a stable pattern over time and are connected in the long run. The non-normal distribution of variables leads to opt novel moment quantile regression, where the results are tested for robustness via parametric approaches. The empirical results asserted that economic growth, natural resource prices, and trade significantly enhance ecological challenges (emissions). However, globalization, geopolitical risk, and institutional quality significantly reduce such environmental challenges. The results are robust, and both unidirectional and bidirectional causal associations confirm the importance of these variables in environmental management. Based on the results, this study recommends engagement in environmentally-friendly trading, investment in clean and green energy, and strengthening institutional quality for the region's environmental recovery.


Assuntos
Dióxido de Carbono , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Ucrânia , Dióxido de Carbono/análise , Desenvolvimento Econômico , China , Federação Russa , Energia Renovável
19.
J Environ Manage ; 359: 121037, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38714039

RESUMO

Russia ranks among the top five countries worldwide in terms of carbon emissions, with the energy, transportation, and manufacturing sectors as the major contributors. This poses a significant threat to both current and future generations. Russia faces challenges in achieving Sustainable Development Goal 13, necessitating the implementation of more innovative policies to promote environmental sustainability. Considering this alarming situation, this study investigates the role of financial regulations, energy price uncertainty, and climate policy uncertainty in reshaping sectoral CO2 emissions in Russia. This study utilizes a time-varying bootstrap rolling-window causality (BRW) approach using quarterly data from 1990 to 2021. The stability test for parameters indicates instability, suggesting that the full sample causality test may yield incorrect inferences. Thus, the BRW approach is employed for valid inferences. Our findings confirm the time-varying negative impact of financial regulations on CO2 emissions from energy, manufacturing, and transportation sectors. Additionally, findings confirm time-varying positive impact of energy prices and climate policy uncertainty on CO2 emissions from the energy, manufacturing, and transportation sectors. Strong financial regulations and stable energy and climate policies are crucial for achieving sustainability, highlighting significant policy implications for policymakers and stakeholders.


Assuntos
Dióxido de Carbono , Incerteza , Dióxido de Carbono/análise , Meios de Transporte , Mudança Climática , Política Ambiental , Desenvolvimento Sustentável , Federação Russa
20.
J Environ Manage ; 352: 120086, 2024 Feb 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38242027

RESUMO

This study employs a TPV-VAR analysis method to explore the linkage between GPR, fossil energy prices, and utility stock returns across 16 European countries from August 2009 to April 2023. Our findings reveal variations over time in how GPR influences the prices of fossil energy and utility stock returns. GPR significantly influences stock returns in the short term (1 month), with prolonged effects observed during major geopolitical incidents, while showing no significance in the medium (6 months) and long term (12 months). Further, the Russia-Ukraine War had a more pronounced impact on fossil energy prices and utility stock returns compared with the Arab Spring and Brexit. Finally, GPR shocks exhibit heterogeneous effects on different fossil energy types, with oil prices being more affected than coal and gas prices. Energy prices act as a channel through which GPR influences utility stock returns. This study elucidates the linkage between GPR, prices of fossil energy, and stock returns, offering valuable perspectives for governments and investment decision-makers into risk management.


Assuntos
Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Fósseis , Humanos , União Europeia , Reino Unido , Árabes
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