Survivorship program including long-term toxicities and quality-of-life development over 10 years in a randomized trial in operable stage III non-small-cell lung cancer (ESPATUE).

Over 40% stage-III non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients (pts) experience 5-year survival following multimodality treatment. Nevertheless, little is known about relevant late toxicities and quality-of-life (QoL) in the further long-term follow-up. Therefore, we invited pts from our randomized phase-III trial (Eberhardt et al., Journal of Clinical Oncology 2015) after 10 years from diagnosis to participate within a structured survivorship program (SSP) including follow-up imaging, laboratory parameters, cardio-pulmonary investigations, long-term toxicity evaluations and QoL questionnaires. Of 246 pts initially accrued, 161 were considered potentially resectable following the induction therapy and were randomized (80 to arm A: definitive chemoradiation; 81 to arm B: definitive surgery; 85 not randomized for different reasons; group C). 31 from 37 pts still alive after 10 years agreed to the SSP (13 in A; 12 in B; 6 in C). Clinically relevant long-term toxicities (grade 3 and 4) were rarely observed with no signal favoring any of the randomization arms. Furthermore, available data from the global QoL analysis did not show a signal favoring any definitive locoregional approach (Mean QoL in SSP A pts: 56.41/100, B pts: 64.39/100) and no late decline in comparison to baseline and early 1-year follow-up. This is the first comprehensive SSP of very late survival follow-up reported in stage-III NSCLC treated within a randomized multimodality trial and it may serve as important baseline information for physicians and pts deciding for a locoregional treatment option.

Benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy on recurrence free survival per consensus molecular subtype in stage III colon cancer.

The consensus molecular subtype (CMS) classification divides colon tumors into four subtypes holding promise as a predictive biomarker. However, the effect of adjuvant chemotherapy on recurrence free survival (RFS) per CMS in stage III patients remains inadequately explored. With this intention, we selected stage III colon cancer (CC) patients from the MATCH cohort (n = 575) and RadboudUMC (n = 276) diagnosed between 2005 and 2018. Patients treated with and without adjuvant chemotherapy were matched based on tumor location, T- and N-stage (n = 522). Tumor material was available for 464 patients, with successful RNA extraction and CMS subtyping achieved in 390 patients (surgery alone group: 192, adjuvant chemotherapy group: 198). In the overall cohort, CMS4 was associated with poorest prognosis (HR 1.55; p = .03). Multivariate analysis revealed favorable RFS for the adjuvant chemotherapy group in CMS1, CMS2, and CMS4 tumors (HR 0.19; p = .01, HR 0.27; p < .01, HR 0.19; p < .01, respectively), while no significant difference between treatment groups was observed within CMS3 (HR 0.68; p = .51). CMS subtyping in this non-randomized cohort identified patients with poor prognosis and patients who may not benefit significantly from adjuvant chemotherapy.

Adjuvant Systemic Therapies for Resected Stages III and IV Melanoma: A Multi-Center Retrospective Clinical Study.

BACKGROUND: Adjuvant therapies have been approved for resected melanoma based on improved recurrence-free survival. We present early findings from a real-world study on adjuvant treatments for melanoma. METHODS: A comprehensive chart review was conducted for patients receiving adjuvant systemic therapy for resected high-risk stages III and IV melanoma. Statistical analysis was performed to assess recurrence-free survival and subgroup differences. RESULTS: A total of 149 patients (median age = 58.0 years, 61.1% men, 49.7% with BRAF V600E/K genotypes) were included, with 94.6% having resected stage III melanoma. Anti-PD-1 immunotherapy was received by 86.5% of patients, while 13.4% received BRAF-targeted therapy. At a median follow-up of 22.4 months, the recurrence rate was 31.5%, with 1-year and 2-year recurrence-free survival rates of 79% and 62%, respectively. Similar recurrence rates were observed between anti-PD-1 immunotherapy and BRAF-targeted therapy. Long-term toxicity affected 27.4% of patients, with endocrinopathies and late-emergent immune-related adverse events being common. CONCLUSIONS: Real-world adjuvant systemic therapy aligns with clinical trial practice. Recurrence rates remain high despite treatment, and long-term toxicities, including endocrinopathies and chronic inflammatory conditions, are not uncommon.

The ASCENT Trial: a phase 2 study of induction and consolidation afatinib and chemoradiation with or without surgery in stage III EGFR-mutant NSCLC.

BACKGROUND: The role of tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) in early-stage and metastatic oncogene-driven non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is established, but it remains unknown how best to integrate TKIs with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (cCRT) in locally advanced disease. The phase 2 ASCENT trial assessed the efficacy and safety of afatinib and cCRT with or without surgery in locally advanced epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR)-mutant NSCLC. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Adults ≥18 years with histologically confirmed stage III (AJCC 7th edition) NSCLC with activating EGFR mutations were enrolled at Mass General and Dana-Farber/Brigham Cancer Centers, Boston, Massachusetts. Patients received induction afatinib 40 mg daily for 2 months, then cisplatin 75 mg/m2 and pemetrexed 500 mg/m2 IV every 3 weeks during RT (definitive or neoadjuvant dosing). Patients with resectable disease underwent surgery. All patients were offered consolidation afatinib for 2 years. The primary endpoint was the objective response rate (ORR) to induction TKI. Secondary endpoints were safety, conversion to operability, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS). Analyses were performed on the intention-to-treat population. RESULTS: Nineteen patients (median age 56 years; 74% female) were enrolled. ORR to induction afatinib was 63%. Seventeen patients received cCRT; 2/9 previously unresectable became resectable. Ten underwent surgery; 6 had a major or complete pathological response. Thirteen received consolidation afatinib. With a median follow-up of 5.0 years, median PFS and OS were 2.6 (95% CI, 1.4-3.1) and 5.8 years (2.9-NR), respectively. Sixteen recurred or died; 6 recurrences were isolated to CNS. The median time to progression after stopping consolidation TKI was 2.9 months (95% CI, 1.1-7.2). Four developed grade 2 pneumonitis. There were no treatment-related deaths. CONCLUSION: We explored the efficacy of combining TKI with cCRT in oncogene-driven NSCLC. Induction TKI did not compromise subsequent receipt of multimodality therapy. PFS was promising, but the prevalence of CNS-only recurrences and rapid progression after TKI discontinuation speak to unmet needs in measuring and eradicating micrometastatic disease.

Osimertinib after definitive chemoradiotherapy in unresectable stage III epidermal growth factor receptor-mutated non-small-cell lung cancer: analyses of central nervous system efficacy and distant progression from the phase III LAURA study.

BACKGROUND: Distant metastases in non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) are a poor prognostic factor that negatively impact quality of life. The central nervous system (CNS) is a common site of distant progression in epidermal growth factor receptor-mutated (EGFRm) NSCLC. Osimertinib is a third-generation EGFR-tyrosine kinase inhibitor recommended for advanced EGFRm NSCLC and as adjuvant treatment for resected EGFRm NSCLC. In LAURA (NCT03521154), osimertinib demonstrated statistically significant improvement in progression-free survival (PFS) versus placebo in unresectable stage III EGFRm NSCLC without progression during/following chemoradiotherapy (CRT). CNS efficacy and time to death or distant metastases (TTDM) analyses are reported here. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients without progression during/following definitive platinum-based CRT were randomised 2 : 1 to receive osimertinib (80 mg daily) or placebo until progression [by blinded independent central review (BICR)] or discontinuation. The primary endpoint was PFS by BICR. CNS PFS by neuroradiologist BICR and TTDM by BICR were secondary endpoints. RESULTS: Overall, 216 patients were randomised (143 osimertinib, 73 placebo). Median CNS PFS by neuroradiologist BICR was not reached [95% confidence interval (CI) not calculable (NC)-NC] with osimertinib versus 14.9 months (95% CI 7.4 months-NC) with placebo; hazard ratio (HR) for CNS PFS: 0.17 (95% CI 0.09-0.32). CNS PFS analysis by investigator assessment was consistent with BICR assessment. The cumulative incidence of CNS progression at 12 months was 9% (95% CI 5% to 14%) with osimertinib and 36% (95% CI 24% to 47%) with placebo. There was clinically meaningful improvement in TTDM with osimertinib versus placebo; HR for TTDM: 0.21 (95% CI 0.11-0.38). The cumulative incidence of distant metastases at 12 months was 11% (95% CI 6% to 17%) with osimertinib and 37% (95% CI 26% to 48%) with placebo. CONCLUSIONS: Osimertinib demonstrated clinically meaningful improvements in CNS PFS and TTDM versus placebo, supporting osimertinib post-CRT as the standard of care in unresectable stage III EGFRm NSCLC.

Circulating tumor cell phenotype detection based on epithelial-mesenchymal transition markers combined with clinicopathological risk has potential to better predict recurrence in stage III breast cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy: a pilot study.

BACKGROUND: The potential value of detecting epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) CTCs in early breast cancer, especially during the neoadjuvant therapy period, requires further investigation. We analyzed dynamic CTC phenotype status, to improve recurrence risk stratification for patients with stage III breast cancers. METHODS: We enrolled 45 patients with stage III breast cancers from 2 clinical trials undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy and utilized the CanPatrol CTC enrichment technique pre- and post-chemotherapy to identify CTC phenotypes, including epithelial CTCs, biphenotypic epithelial/mesenchymal CTCs, and mesenchymal CTCs, in peripheral blood samples. Kaplan-Meier analyses were conducted to explore the prognostic value of dynamic change of CTC count and the proportion of CTCs with different phenotypes. Then, redefine the risk stratification based on CTC status and clinicopathological risk in combination. RESULTS: Increased proportion of M + CTCs was a high-risk CTC status that was associated with decreased DFS (HR, 3.584; 95% CI, 1.057-12.15). In a combined analysis with clinicopathological risk, patients with high-risk tumors had an elevated risk of recurrence compared to patients with low-risk tumors (HR, 4.482; 95% CI, 1.246-16.12). The recurrence risk could be effectively stratified by newly defined risk stratification criteria, with 5-year DFS of 100.0%, 77.3%, and 50.0%, respectively, for low-risk, mid-risk, and high-risk patients (P = 0.0077). Finally, in the ROC analysis, the redefined risk stratification demonstrated higher predictive significance with an AUC of 0.7727, compared to CTC status alone (AUC of 0.6751) or clinicopathological risk alone (AUC of 0.6858). CONCLUSION: The proportion of M + CTCs increased after neoadjuvant chemotherapy indicating a higher risk of tumor recurrence. Combining CTC status with clinicopathological risk has potential to redefine the risk stratification of stage III breast cancers and provide improved predictions of relapse.

Rates of Pathologic Complete Response and Overall Survival in Patients with Inflammatory Breast Cancer: A National Cancer Database Study.

BACKGROUND: Patients with inflammatory breast cancer (IBC) have worse survival compared with stage III non-IBC matched cohorts; however, the prognostic significance of achieving pathologic complete response (pCR) in the setting of IBC is not well described. We evaluated overall survival (OS) between IBC patients and non-IBC patients who achieved pCR. METHODS: Adult females diagnosed in 2010-2018 with clinical prognostic stage III unilateral invasive breast cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) followed by surgery were selected from the National Cancer Database. Unadjusted OS from surgery was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and log-rank tests were used to compare groups. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate the association of study groups with OS after adjustment for available covariates. RESULTS: The study included 38,390 patients; n = 4600 (12.0%) IBC and n = 33,790 (88.0%) non-IBC. Overall pCR rates were lower for IBC compared with non-IBC (20.7% vs. 23.3%; p < 0.001). Among those achieving pCR, 5-year mortality was higher for IBC patients (16.4%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 13.9-19.1%) versus non-IBC patients (9.1%, 95% CI 8.4-9.8%; log-rank p < 0.001). Among all patients achieving pCR, IBC remained associated with worse OS compared with non-IBC (hazard ratio 1.48, 95% CI 1.19-1.85; p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: We found a lower pCR rate and worse OS in IBC patients compared with non-IBC stage III patients. Despite effective systemic therapies, achieving a pCR for IBC patients may not carry the same prognostic impact compared with non-IBC stage III patients.

Role of Concurrent Ultrasound Surveillance of Sentinel Node-Positive Node Fields in Melanoma Patients Having Routine Cross-Sectional Imaging.

PURPOSE: In sentinel node-positive (SN+ve) melanoma patients, active surveillance with regular ultrasound examination of the node field has become standard, rather than completion lymph node dissection (CLND). A proportion of these patients now receive adjuvant systemic therapy and have routine cross-sectional imaging (computed tomography [CT] or positron emission tomography [PET]/CT). The role of concurrent ultrasound (US) surveillance in these patients is unclear. The purpose of our study was to describe the modality of detection of nodal recurrence in SN+ve node fields. METHODS: SN+ve melanoma patients who did not undergo CLND treated at a single institution from January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2020 were included. RESULTS: A total of 225 SN+ve patients with a median follow-up of 23 months were included. Of these, 119 (53%) received adjuvant systemic therapy. Eighty (36%) developed a recurrence at any site; 24 (11%) recurred first in the SN+ve field, of which 12 (5%) were confirmed node field recurrence only at 2 months follow-up. The nodal recurrences were first detected by ultrasound in seven (3%), CT in seven (3%), and PET/CT in seven (3%) patients. All nodal recurrences evident on US were also evident on PET/CT and vice versa. CONCLUSIONS: The high rate of recurrences outside the node field and the identification of all US-detected nodal recurrences on concurrent cross-sectional imaging modalities suggest that routine concurrent ultrasound surveillance of the node-positive field may be unnecessary for SN+ve melanoma patients having routine cross-sectional imaging.

Variations in Patterns of Prescribing Durvalumab in Stage III Lung Cancer: A Survey of Australian Medical Oncologists.

INTRODUCTION: Local Australian guidelines for the optimal management of stage III unresectable non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) are lacking. The American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) guidelines recommend consolidation durvalumab for all patients with unresectable stage III NSCLC, irrespective of their PD-L1 expression or driver mutation status. The European Society of Medical Oncology (ESMO) differs, with consolidation durvalumab only recommended in those patients whose tumours express PD-L1. METHODS: Due to differing global guidelines, we conducted an Australia and New Zealand wide survey of medical oncologists specialising in thoracic cancer to determine the variations in patterns of prescribing durvalumab in stage III unresectable NSCLC. This survey was done electronically and sponsored by the Thoracic Oncology Group of Australia (TOGA). RESULTS: Thirty-two medical oncologists completed the survey. In patients with EGFR-mutated stage III unresectable NSCLC, 6% of respondents stated that they prescribed durvalumab for all patients, while an additional 6% strongly recommended treatment. Forty-four percent suggested little benefit of consolidation durvalumab in this cohort, with an additional 19% advocating for observation only. In patients with PD-L1 negative (0%) stage III unresectable NSCLC, 13% of respondents prescribed durvalumab for all patients, while an additional 56% strongly recommended treatment. Interestingly, 18%, 10%, and 10% of prescribers discussed self-funded oral tyrosine kinase inhibitor therapy in patients with EGFR, ALK, or ROS-1-mutated NSCLC respectively as a substitute for consolidation durvalumab. CONCLUSION: Overall, the clinical practice of Australian and New Zealand Medical Oncologists is variable, but remains consistent with either the ASCO or ESMO guidelines. Local practice guidelines are required to ensure consistency in prescribing patterns across Australia, as well as providing evidence for self-funded treatments outside standard of care.

Assessing the use of anti-PD1 monotherapy as adjuvant therapy and determinants of treatment choice in stage III cutaneous melanoma in the US.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to describe real-world adjuvant therapy (AT) use by disease substage and assess determinants of treatment choice among patients with stage III melanoma. METHODS: This non-interventional retrospective study included survey responses and data from patient records provided by US medical oncologists. Survey responses, patient demographic/clinical characteristics, treatment utilization, and reasons for treatment were reported descriptively. The association between patient and disease characteristics and AT selection was assessed using logistic and multinomial regression models, overall and stratified by AJCC8 substage (IIIA vs. IIIB/C/D) and type of AT received (anti-PD1 monotherapy, BRAF/MEK, no AT), respectively. RESULTS: In total 152 medical oncologists completed the survey and reviewed the charts of 507 patients (168 stage IIIA; 339 stages IIIB/IIIC/IIID); 405 (79.9%) patients received AT (360/405 (88.9%) received anti-PD1 therapy; 45/405 (11.1%) received BRAF/MEK therapy). Physicians reported clinical guidelines (61.2%), treatment efficacy (37.5%), and ECOG performance status (31.6%) as drivers of AT prescription. Patient-level data confirmed that improving patient outcomes (79%) was the main reason for anti-PD1 prescription; expected limited treatment benefit (37%), patient refusal (36%), and toxicity concerns (30%) were reasons for not prescribing AT. In multivariable analyses stage IIIB/IIIC/IIID disease significantly increased the probability of receiving AT (odds ratio [OR] 1.74) and anti-PD1 therapy (OR 1.82); ECOG 2/3 and Medicaid/no insurance decreased the probability of AT receipt (OR 0.37 and 0.42, respectively) and anti-PD1 therapy (OR 0.41 and 0.42, respectively) among all patients and patients with stage IIIA disease. CONCLUSION: Most patients were given AT with a vast majority treated with an anti-PD1 therapy. Physician- and patient-level evidence confirmed the impact of disease substage on AT use, with stage IIIA patients, patients without adequate insurance coverage, and worse ECOG status having a lower probability of receiving AT.

mFOLFIRINOX versus mFOLFOX 6 as adjuvant treatment for high-risk stage III colon cancer - the FROST trial: study protocol for a multicenter, randomized controlled, phase II trial.

BACKGROUND: High-risk stage III colon cancer has a considerably poorer prognosis than stage II and low-risk stage III colon cancers. Nevertheless, most guidelines recommend similar adjuvant treatment approaches for all these stages despite the dearth of research focusing on high-risk stage III colon cancer and the potential for improved prognosis with intensive adjuvant treatment. Given the the proven efficacy of triplet chemotherapy in metastatic colorectal cancer treatment, the goal of this study is to evaluate the oncologic efficacy and safety of mFOLFIRINOX in comparison to those of the current standard of care, mFOLFOX 6, as an adjuvant treatment for patients diagnosed with high-risk stage III colon cancer after radical resection. METHODS: This multicenter, randomized (1:1), open-label, phase II trial will assess and compare the effectiveness and toxicity of mFOLFIRINOX and mFOLFOX 6 in patients with high-risk stage III colon cancer after radical resection. The goal of the trial is to enroll 312 eligible patients, from 11 institutes, aged between 20 and 70 years, with an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status of 0-2, or between 70 and 75 with an ECOG performance status of 0. Patients will be randomized into two arms - Arm A, the experimental arm, and Arm B, the reference arm - and will receive 12 cycles of mFOLFIRINOX and mFOLFOX 6 every 2 weeks, respectively. The primary endpoint of this study is the 3-year disease-free survival, and secondary endpoints include the 3-year overall survival and treatment toxicity. DISCUSSION: The Frost trial would help determine the oncologic efficacy and safety of adjuvant triplet chemotherapy for high-risk stage III colon cancers and ultimately improve prognoses. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05179889, registered on 17 December 2021.

Three years follow-up of Venetoclax in advanced-stage, relapsed or refractory AL amyloidosis with cardiac involvement and t(11;14) with BCL2 expression.

Further line treatment of patients with advanced stage AL amyloidosis with cardiac involvement is challenging. Venetoclax is a promising option, especially in t(11;14) and BCL2 expression.In our multicentre observational study, we report the 3-year follow-up of Venetoclax treatment in 9 patients with advanced, relapsed or refractory AL amyloidosis with t(11;14) and BCL-2 expression in > 50% of plasma cells. At baseline, all patients had been previously treated with daratumumab, all had cardiac involvement with revised Mayo stage III or IV/ European modification of Mayo 2004 IIIA or IIIB (1/9 unclassified due to missing troponin T), 5/9 patients had renal involvement.After a median of 35 months (range 25-49) since the start of Venetoclax, 8/9 patients were still alive (OS 89%). First and best hematological responses were observed after a median of 26 days (11-125) and 106 days (35-659), overall response rate was 100% (7/9 CR, 2/9 VGPR). Where observed, organ response was documented within the first 6 months of therapy, including cardiac (6/9) and renal (3/5) improvements. Venetoclax was discontinued in 6/9 patients after a median of 15 months (11-48) due to toxicity (2/9), disease progression (2/9), fixed treatment duration (1/9), or safety concerns (1/9).In conclusion, Venetoclax induces a rapid and deep hematologic response with consistent improvement in organ function with an acceptable safety profile in patients with pretreated, advanced stage AL amyloidosis with cardiac involvement and BCL2 expression with and potentially without detected t(11:14), which warrants further investigation.

Choosing the right adjuvant therapy for stage III-IVA endometrial cancer: A comparative analysis of chemoradiotherapy and chemotherapy.

OBJECTIVE: The optimal adjuvant treatment for patients with locally advanced endometrial cancer (EC) remains debatable. We comparatively analyzed recurrence patterns and survival outcomes in patients with stage III-IVA EC treated with adjuvant chemotherapy (CT) exclusively or combined with radiotherapy (CRT). METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 184 patients treated for stage III-IVA EC at 2 tertiary institutions between 2010 and 2021. All patients underwent standard primary surgery and received either CT alone (n = 89) or CRT (n = 95) as an adjuvant treatment. We compared the failure patterns, recurrence-free survival (RFS), and overall survival (OS) between the CT and CRT groups. RESULTS: The median follow-up period was 54.8 months. Most patients underwent pelvic (94.6%) or para-aortic (75.5%) lymphadenectomies. The 5-year RFS was 69.2% with CRT versus 56.3% with CT (P = 0.038), and 5-year OS was 86.1% versus 78.9% (P = 0.357). Pelvic and para-aortic recurrence rates were significantly higher in the CT group (pelvic: 29.2%; para-aortic: 20.2%) than in the CRT group (pelvic: 10.5%; para-aortic: 6.3%). The CRT group showed a higher rate of distant recurrence (CRT, 23.2% vs. CT, 14.6%) however, the 5-year cumulative incidence of distant recurrence was not significantly different between the two groups (CRT, 28% vs. CT, 35%). CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights the potential benefits of adjuvant CRT in patients with stage III-IVA EC. The incorporation of molecular classification is necessary to derive optimal personalized adjuvant treatment strategies for this patient population.

Sequencing of Immunotherapy and Outcomes in Operable Clinical Stage III Melanoma: A National Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The impact of neoadjuvant immunotherapy (NIT) on overall survival (OS) in patients with resectable stage III melanoma remains unknown. We sought to identify factors associated with receipt of NIT and survival outcomes in patients with clinical stage III melanoma undergoing surgery. METHODS: The National Cancer Database (2016-2020) was used to identify patients with clinical stage III melanoma who underwent surgery and received either NIT or adjuvant immunotherapy (AIT) only. Multivariable regression, Kaplan-Meier, and Cox proportional hazard methods were used to analyze variables of interest. RESULTS: Patients with clinical N3 disease had 2.5 times the odds of NIT compared to those with N1 disease (95% CI 1.74-3.49). There was no difference in 3-year OS between the two cohorts: 79% (95% CI 73%-85%) for NIT patients and 75% (95% CI 73%-76%) for AIT patients (p = 0.078). Patients with N2/N3 disease had improved 3-year OS of 79% with NIT versus 71% for AIT-only (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.38-0.97, p = 0.037). CONCLUSIONS: NIT is given more selectively to clinical stage III patients with more advanced N category disease. Despite significant differences in N category between groups, there was no difference in OS observed at 3 years, and NIT was associated with a survival advantage among N2/N3 patients.

Impact of neoadjuvant therapy on nodal harvest in clinical stage III rectal cancer: Establishing optimum cut-offs by disease response.

INTRODUCTION: A minimum lymph node harvest (LNH) of 12 is the current standard for appropriate nodal staging in resectable rectal cancer. However, the rise of neoadjuvant chemoradiation (NCRT) and total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT) has been associated with decreasing number of LNH. We hypothesize that as tumor response to neoadjuvant therapy increases, the optimum for LNH to achieve appropriate nodal staging should decrease. METHODS: Patients with clinical stage III rectal adenocarcinoma who underwent NCRT/TNT followed by resection were identified from the National Cancer Database. A JoinPoint regression analysis was used to determine the LNH for each tumor regression grade (TRG) category beyond which the rate of positive nodes does not significantly change. RESULTS: Thirteen thousand four hundred and twenty-six patients met inclusion criteria. Of these, 2406 (17.9%) achieved TRG 0 or ypT0 and 8210 (61.2%) achieved ypN0. Collectively, 2043 patients (15.2%) were reported to have a pathologic complete response (ypT0 ypN0). Positive pathologic nodes were found in 15%, 23%, 31%, 54%, and 53% as ypT stage increased from ypT0 to ypT4, respectively. Similarly, ypN+ rates were 15%, 36%, 41%, and 55% in TRG 0-3. No JoinPoint was identified for TRG 0, whereas inflection points were found at 6-10 nodes for TRG1 (p = 0.002) and TRG 2 (p = 0.016), and at 11-15 nodes for TRG 3. CONCLUSION: The benchmark of retrieving 12 nodes in resectable stage III rectal cancer is not consistently achieved after NCRT/TNT. We demonstrate that the LNH requirement to establish accurate pathologic nodal staging can vary depending on the tumor response to neoadjuvant therapies.

Development and validation of time-to-event models to predict metastatic recurrence of localized cutaneous melanoma.

BACKGROUND: The recent expansion of immunotherapy for stage IIB/IIC melanoma highlights a growing clinical need to identify patients at high risk of metastatic recurrence and, therefore, most likely to benefit from this therapeutic modality. OBJECTIVE: To develop time-to-event risk prediction models for melanoma metastatic recurrence. METHODS: Patients diagnosed with stage I/II primary cutaneous melanoma between 2000 and 2020 at Mass General Brigham and Dana-Farber Cancer Institute were included. Melanoma recurrence date and type were determined by chart review. Thirty clinicopathologic factors were extracted from electronic health records. Three types of time-to-event machine-learning models were evaluated internally and externally in the distant versus locoregional/nonrecurrence prediction. RESULTS: This study included 954 melanomas (155 distant, 163 locoregional, and 636 1:2 matched nonrecurrences). Distant recurrences were associated with worse survival compared to locoregional/nonrecurrences (HR: 6.21, P < .001) and to locoregional recurrences only (HR: 5.79, P < .001). The Gradient Boosting Survival model achieved the best performance (concordance index: 0.816; time-dependent AUC: 0.842; Brier score: 0.103) in the external validation. LIMITATIONS: Retrospective nature and cohort from one geography. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that time-to-event machine-learning models can reliably predict the metastatic recurrence from localized melanoma and help identify high-risk patients who are most likely to benefit from immunotherapy.

Conditional survival analysis and real-time prognosis prediction in stage III T3-T4 colon cancer patients after surgical resection: a SEER database analysis.

BACKGROUND: Conditional survival (CS) takes into consideration the duration of survival post-surgery and can provide valuable additional insights. The aim of this study was to investigate the risk factors associated with reduced one-year postoperative conditional survival in patients diagnosed with stage III T3-T4 colon cancer and real-time prognosis prediction. Furthermore, we aim to develop pertinent nomograms and predictive models. METHODS: Clinical data and survival outcomes of patients diagnosed with stage III T3-T4 colon cancer were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, covering the period from 2010 to 2019. Patients were divided into training and validation cohorts at a ratio of 7:3. The training set consisted of a total of 11,386 patients for conditional overall survival (cOS) and 11,800 patients for conditional cancer-specific survival (cCSS), while the validation set comprised 4876 patients for cOS and 5055 patients for cCSS. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were employed to identify independent risk factors influencing one-year postoperative cOS and cCSS. Subsequently, predictive nomograms for cOS and cCSS at 2-year, 3-year, 4-year, and 5-year intervals were constructed based on the identified prognostic factors. The performance of these nomograms was rigorously assessed through metrics including the concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, and the area under curve (AUC) derived from the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Clinical utility was further evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: A total of 18,190 patients diagnosed with stage III T3-T4 colon cancer were included in this study. Independent risk factors for one-year postoperative cOS and cCSS included age, pT stage, pN stage, pretreatment carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels, receipt of chemotherapy, perineural invasion (PNI), presence of tumor deposits, the number of harvested lymph nodes, and marital status. Sex and tumor site were significantly associated with one-year postoperative cOS, while radiation therapy was notably associated with one-year postoperative cCSS. In the training cohort, the developed nomogram demonstrated a C-index of 0.701 (95% CI, 0.711-0.691) for predicting one-year postoperative cOS and 0.701 (95% CI, 0.713-0.689) for one-year postoperative cCSS. Following validation, the C-index remained robust at 0.707 (95% CI, 0.721-0.693) for one-year postoperative cOS and 0.700 (95% CI, 0.716-0.684) for one-year postoperative cCSS. ROC and calibration curves provided evidence of the model's stability and reliability. Furthermore, DCA underscored the nomogram's superior clinical utility. CONCLUSIONS: Our study developed nomograms and predictive models for postoperative stage III survival in T3-T4 colon cancer with the aim of accurately estimating conditional survival. Survival bias in our analyses may lead to overestimation of survival outcomes, which may limit the applicability of our findings.

Assessment of soft and hard tissue changes following micro crestal flap-Alveolar ridge preservation and augmentation at molar extraction sites in patients with stage III/IV periodontitis: A randomized controlled trial.

AIM: This study aimed to assess hard and soft tissue contour changes following micro crestal flap-alveolar ridge preservation (MCF-ARP) and natural healing (NH) in periodontally compromised molar extraction sites and to analyse the feasibility and need for bone augmentation during implant therapy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Fifty-six patients with 70 sites were randomized into two groups at the site level (35 sites from 31 patients in the test group and 35 sites from 29 patients in the control group). Among whom, four patients contributed one tooth to the control group and one tooth to the test group. Hard tissue indicators were measured using cone beam computed tomography performed before tooth extraction and 6 months after surgery. Soft tissue contour changes were assessed using intraoral scanning performed before and immediately after surgery and also 2 weeks and 1, 3 and 6 months after surgery. RESULTS: Six months after surgery, the MCF-ARP group showed less resorption in buccal bone height (p = .032) and greater augmentation in central bone height (p = .001) and ridge width (p = .009). The mean, vertical and horizontal collapse of buccal soft tissue contour in the MCF-ARP group were 0.95 mm (p = .010), 0.61 mm (p = .019) and 0.56 mm (p = .013) less than that in the NH group, respectively. There were significantly (p = .007) fewer sites in the MCF-ARP group than in the NH group (0% vs. 26.7%) for staged bone augmentation and more sites that could be treated with simple implant procedure in the MCF-ARP group than in the NH group (71.9% vs. 56.6%). CONCLUSIONS: Compared with NH, MCF-ARP reduced bone resorption in periodontally compromised molar extraction sites and maintained the buccal soft tissue contour. MCF-ARP reduces the need for complex bone augmentation procedures in implant therapy. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Chinese Clinical Trial Register (ChiCTR) ChiCTR2200056335. Registered on 4 February 2022, Version 1.0.

Combining pathological risk factors and T, N staging to optimize the assessment for risk stratification and prognostication in low-risk stage III colon cancer.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to investigate the combined pathological risk factors (PRFs) to stratify low-risk (pT1-3N1) stage III colon cancer (CC), providing a basis for individualized treatment in the future. PATIENTS AND METHODS: PRFs for low-risk stage III CC were identified using COX model. Low-risk stage III CC was risk-grouped combining with PRFs, and survival analysis were performed using Kaplan-Meier. The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) databases was used for external validation. RESULTS: Nine hundred sixty-two stage III CC patients were included with 634 (65.9%) as low risk and 328 (34.1%) as high risk. Poor differentiation (OS: P = 0.048; DFS: P = 0.011), perineural invasion (OS: P = 0.003; DFS: P < 0.001) and tumor deposits (OS: P = 0.012; DFS: P = 0.003) were identified as PRFs. The prognosis of low-risk CC combined with 2 PRFs (OS: HR = 3.871, 95%CI, 2.004-7.479, P < 0.001; DFS: HR = 3.479, 95%CI, 2.158-5.610, P < 0.001) or 3 PRFs (OS: HR = 5.915, 95%CI, 1.953-17.420, P = 0.002; DFS: HR = 5.915, 95%CI, 2.623-13.335, P < 0.001) was similar to that of high-risk CC (OS: HR = 3.927, 95%CI, 2.317-6.656, P < 0.001; DFS: HR = 4.132, 95%CI, 2.858-5.974, P < 0.001). In the SEER database, 18,547 CC patients were enrolled with 10,023 (54.0%) as low risk and 8524 (46.0%) as high risk. Low-risk CC combined with 2 PRFs (OS: HR = 1.857, 95%CI, 1.613-2.139, P < 0.001) was similar to that of high-risk CC without PRFs (HR = 1.876, 95%CI, 1.731-2.033, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Combined PRFs improved the risk stratification of low-risk stage III CC, which could reduce the incidence of undertreatment and guide adjuvant chemotherapy.

Acute radiation skin injury in stage III-IV head and neck cancer: scale correlates and predictive model.

PURPOSE: Active radiation skin injury (ARSI) has the highest incidence of acute adverse reactions caused by radiotherapy (RT) in patients with head and neck cancer (HNC). This study aimed to screen risk factors that can facilitate the identification of HNC patients at high risk of ARSI. METHODS: Data from 255 stage III-IV HNC patients who underwent intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) were collected. The data from our medical records, including clinical characteristics and hematological indices before RT, were retrospectively collected and arranged. The Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events Criteria (CTCAE), Radiation Therapy Oncology Group Criteria (RTOG), World Health Organization Criteria (WHO), Oncology Nursing Society (ONS), Acute Radiation Dermatitis Graduation Scale, Douglas & Fowler and Radiation Dermatitis Severity Scale (RDSS) were used to assess ARSI. Of these, CTCAE was used for further analysis. Binary logistic regression analyses were used to identity risk factors. To establish the correction between each risk factor and the ARSI score, the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were computed. RESULTS: The assessment results of the CTCAE with RTOG, WHO, ONS, Graduation Scale, Douglas & Fowler and RDSS have good consistency. After radiotherapy, 18.4% of patients had at least 3 (3 +) grade ARSI. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that the KPS score, blood glucose level, white blood cell count, and plasma free thyroxine (FT4) concentration were independent risk factors for 3 + grade ARSI. A nomogram was constructed on the basis of these risk factors, which demonstrated good predictive power according to the area under the ROC curve (AUC). The satisfactory consistency and clinical efficacy of the nomogram were confirmed by calibration curves and decision curve analysis (DCA). CONCLUSION: A low KPS score, high blood glucose level, high white blood cell count, and high thyroid hormone prior to radiotherapy for stage III-IV HNC are independent risk factors for grade 3 + RSI.