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The under-5 mortality rate (U5MR), a critical health indicator, is typically estimated from household surveys in lower and middle income countries. Spatio-temporal disaggregation of household survey data can lead to highly variable estimates of U5MR, necessitating the usage of smoothing models which borrow information across space and time. The assumptions of common smoothing models may be unrealistic when certain time periods or regions are expected to have shocks in mortality relative to their neighbors, which can lead to oversmoothing of U5MR estimates. In this paper, we develop a spatial and temporal smoothing approach based on Gaussian Markov random field models which incorporate knowledge of these expected shocks in mortality. We demonstrate the potential for these models to improve upon alternatives not incorporating knowledge of expected shocks in a simulation study. We apply these models to estimate U5MR in Rwanda at the national level from 1985 to 2019, a time period which includes the Rwandan civil war and genocide.
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OBJECTIVES: To assess postmortem vitamin A (VA) concentrations in children under 5 years of age and evaluate the association between VA deficiency (VAD) and infectious causes of death (CoD). STUDY DESIGN: In this cross-sectional study from the Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS) Network, liver biopsies collected within 72 hours of death were analyzed from 405 stillbirths and children under 5 years in Kenya and South Africa. Total liver VA (TLVA) concentrations were quantified using ultra-performance liquid chromatography, and cutoffs of ≤0.1 µmol/g, >0.1 to <0.7 µmol/g, ≥0.7 to <1.0 µmol/g, and ≥1.0 µmol/g were used to define VAD, adequate VA status, high VA, and hypervitaminosis A, respectively. CoD were determined by expert panel review. RESULTS: Among 366 liver samples with viable extraction, pooled prevalences of VAD, adequacy, high VA, and hypervitaminosis were 34.2%, 51.1%, 6.0%, and 8.7%, respectively. VAD was more common among neonates compared with stillbirths, infants, or children, and among those with low birthweight (LBW), underweight, or stunting (P < .05). When adjusting for site, age, and sex, there was no significant association of VAD with increased infectious CoD (OR 1.9, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.9, 3.8, P = .073). In stratified analyses, VA deficient boys, but not girls, had an increased risk of infectious CoD (OR 3.4, 95% CI 1.3, 10.3, P = .013). CONCLUSIONS: Definitive postmortem assessment of VA status identified both VAD and VA excess among children under 5 years of age in Kenya and South Africa. VAD in boys was associated with increased risk of infectious mortality. Our findings may inform a transition from universal VA supplementation (VAS) to targeted strategies in certain countries.
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Doenças Transmissíveis , Deficiência de Vitamina A , Criança , Masculino , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Feminino , Gravidez , Humanos , Pré-Escolar , Vitamina A/efeitos adversos , Estudos Transversais , Natimorto , Deficiência de Vitamina A/complicações , Deficiência de Vitamina A/epidemiologia , Vitaminas , FígadoRESUMO
Ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) pollution is a leading health risk factor for children under- 5 years, especially in developing countries. South Asia is a PM2.5 hotspot, where climate change, a potential factor affecting PM2.5 pollution, adds a major challenge. However, limited evidence is available on under-5 mortality attributable to PM2.5 under different climate change scenarios. This study aimed to project under-5 mortality attributable to long-term exposure to ambient PM2.5 under seven air pollution and climate change mitigation scenarios in South Asia. We used a concentration-risk function obtained from a previous review to project under-5 mortality attributable to ambient PM2.5. With a theoretical minimum risk exposure level of 2.4 µg/m3, this risk function was linked to gridded annual PM2.5 concentrations from atmospheric modeling to project under-5 mortality from 2010 to 2049 under different climate change mitigation scenarios. The scenarios were developed from the Aim/Endues global model based on end-of-pipe (removing the emission of air pollutants at the source, EoP) and 2 °C target measures. Our results showed that, in 2010-2014, about 306.8 thousand under-5 deaths attributable to PM2.5 occurred in South Asia under the Reference (business as usual) scenario. The number of deaths was projected to increase in 2045-2049 by 36.6% under the same scenario and 7.7% under the scenario where EoP measures would be partially implemented by developing countries (EoPmid), and was projected to decrease under other scenarios, with the most significant decrease (81.2%) under the scenario where EoP measures would be fully enhanced by all countries along with the measures to achieve 2 °C target (EoPmaxCCSBLD) across South Asia. Country-specific projections of under-5 mortality varied by country. The current emission control strategy would not be sufficient to reduce the number of deaths in South Asia. Robust climate change mitigation and air pollution control policy implementation is required.
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Poluentes Atmosféricos , Poluição do Ar , Criança , Humanos , Material Particulado/análise , Mudança Climática , Poluição do Ar/análise , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Ásia MeridionalRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Health policymakers aiming to reduce under-5 mortality (U5M) often lack data regarding how successful interventions in other countries were implemented. The Exemplars in U5M Study identified countries that achieved significant reductions in amenable U5M. This case study in Peru used implementation research to explore the contextual factors and strategies that contributed to the successful implementation of key evidence-based interventions (EBIs). METHODS: This research utilized a hybrid implementation research framework and a mixed-methods approach to understand the factors associated with EBI implementation and the successful reduction of U5M between 2000-2015. A desk review of existing literature on EBIs and U5M in Peru was completed, and in-depth interviews were performed with key Peruvian informants to understand the implementation strategies employed and the contextual factors that facilitated or were barriers to success. For the purposes of this analysis, three EBIs were selected and evaluated: antenatal care visits (ANC), facility-based deliveries, and infant vaccination. RESULTS: Between 2000-2015, the percent of mothers attending at least four antenatal care visits rose from 69% to 96.9%, and the percent of facility-based deliveries increased from 56 to 91%. Three doses of the tetanus/diphtheria/pertussis vaccine, widely acknowledged as a key global health indicator, reached 90% by 2015. Key informants noted that economic growth, financial reforms, strong national commitment to reduce poverty in Peru, and national prioritization of maternal and child health, were important contextual factors that contributed to the successful reduction of U5M. They noted key strategies that helped achieve success during the implementation of EBIs, including utilization of data for decision-making, adaptation driven by cultural sensitivity to address gaps in coverage, and a focus on equity and anti-poverty initiatives with the participation of government, civil society, and political parties to assure continuity of policies. CONCLUSION: Several EBIs contributed to the successful reduction of U5M in Peru between 2000-2015. Strategies such as the focus on equity throughout the study period contributed to an increase in coverage of EBIs like ANC visits, facility-based deliveries and infant vaccination which worked to reduce U5M. Understanding how Peru successfully implemented programs that reduced preventable infant and child deaths could be useful to replicating this substantial public health success in other low- and middle-income countries.
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Pobreza , Cuidado Pré-Natal , Lactente , Criança , Humanos , Gravidez , Feminino , Peru/epidemiologia , Saúde da Criança , MãesRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Bangladesh significantly reduced under-5 mortality (U5M) between 2000 and 2015, despite its low economic development and projected high mortality rates in children aged under 5 years. A portion of this success was due to implementation of health systems-delivered evidence-based interventions (EBIs) known to reduce U5M. This study aims to understand how Bangladesh was able to achieve this success between 2000 and 2015. Implementation science studies such as this one provide insights on the implementation process that are not sufficiently documented in existing literature. METHODS: Between 2017 and 2020, we conducted mixed methods implementation research case studies to examine how six countries including Bangladesh outperformed their regional and economic peers in reducing U5M. Using existing data and reports supplemented by key informant interviews, we studied key implementation strategies and associated implementation outcomes for selected EBIs and contextual factors which facilitated or hindered this work. We used facility-based integrated management of childhood illnesses and insecticide treated nets as examples of two EBIs that were implemented successfully and with wide reach across the country to understand the strategies put in place as well as the facilitating and challenging contextual factors. RESULTS: Strategies which contributed to the successful implementation and wide coverage of the selected EBIs included community engagement, data use, and small-scale testing, important to achieving implementation outcomes such as effectiveness, reach and fidelity, although gaps persisted including in quality of care. Key contextual factors including a strong community-based health system, accountable leadership, and female empowerment facilitated implementation of these EBIs. Challenges included human resources for health, dependence on donor funding and poor service quality in the private sector. CONCLUSION: As countries work to reduce U5M, they should build strong community health systems, follow global guidance, adapt their implementation using local evidence as well as build sustainability into their programs. Strategies need to leverage facilitating contextual factors while addressing challenging ones.
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Serviços de Saúde da Criança , Prestação Integrada de Cuidados de Saúde , Inseticidas , Criança , Humanos , Feminino , Bangladesh , PersonalidadeRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Health system-delivered evidence-based interventions (EBIs) are important to reducing amenable under-5 mortality (U5M). Implementation research (IR) can reduce knowledge gaps and decrease lags between new knowledge and its implementation in real world settings. IR can also help understand contextual factors and strategies useful to adapting EBIs and their implementation to local settings. Nepal has been a leader in dropping U5M including through adopting EBIs such as integrated management of childhood illness (IMCI). We use IR to identify strategies used in Nepal's adaptation and implementation of IMCI. METHODS: We conducted a mixed methods case study using an implementation research framework developed to understand how Nepal outperformed its peers between 2000-2015 in implementing health system-delivered EBIs known to reduce amenable U5M. We combined review of existing literature and data supplemented by 21 key informant interviews with policymakers and implementers, to understand implementation strategies and contextual factors that affected implementation outcomes. We extracted relevant results from the case study and used explanatory mixed methods to understand how and why Nepal had successes and challenges in adapting and implementing one EBI, IMCI. RESULTS: Strategies chosen and adapted to meet Nepal's specific context included leveraging local research to inform national decision-makers, pilot testing, partner engagement, and building on and integrating with the existing community health system. These cross-cutting strategies benefited from facilitating factors included community health system and structure, culture of data use, and local research capacity. Geography was a critical barrier and while substantial drops in U5M were seen in both the highest and lowest wealth quintiles, with the wealth equity gap decreasing from 73 to 39 per 1,000 live births from 2001 to 2016, substantial geographic inequities remained. CONCLUSIONS: Nepal's story shows that implementation strategies that are available across contexts were key to adopting and adapting IMCI and achieving outcomes including acceptability, effectiveness, and reach. The value of choosing strategies that leverage facilitating factors such as investments in community-based and facility-based approaches as well as addressing barriers such as geography are useful lessons for countries working to accelerate adaptation and implementation of strategies to implement EBIs to continue achieving child health targets.
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Serviços de Saúde da Criança , Prestação Integrada de Cuidados de Saúde , Criança , Humanos , Nepal , Saúde da CriançaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Over the last eight decades, many evidence-based interventions (EBIs) have been developed to reduce amenable under-5 mortality (U5M). Implementation research can help reduce the lag between discovery and delivery, including as new EBIs emerge, or as existing ones are adapted based on new research. Rwanda was the first low-income African country to implement the rotavirus vaccine (RTV) and also adopted Option B+ for effective prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) before the World Health Organization's (WHO) recommendation. We use implementation research to identify contextual factors and strategies associated with Rwanda's rapid uptake of these two EBIs developed or adapted during the study period. METHODS: We conducted a mixed methods case study informed by a hybrid implementation research framework to understand how Rwanda outperformed regional and economic peers in reducing U5M, focusing on the implementation of health system-delivered EBIs. The research included review of existing literature and data, and key informant interviews to identify implementation strategies and contextual factors that influenced implementation outcomes. We extracted relevant results from the broader case study and used convergent methods to understand successes and challenges of implementation of RTV, a newly introduced EBI, and PMTCT, an adapted EBI reflecting new research. RESULTS: We found several cross-cutting strategies that supported the rapid uptake and implementation of PMTCT, RTV, and leveraging facilitating contextual factors and identifying and addressing challenging ones. Key implementation strategies included community and stakeholder involvement and education, leveraging of in-country research capacity to drive adoption and adaptation, coordination of donors and implementing partners, data audit and feedback of coverage, a focus on equity, and integration into pre-existing systems, including community health workers and primary care. The availability of donor funding, culture of evidence-based decision-making, preexisting accountability systems, and rapid adoption of innovation were facilitating contextual factors. CONCLUSION: Implementation strategies which are generalizable to other settings were key to success in rapidly achieving high acceptability and coverage of both a new and an evolving EBI. Choosing strategies which leverage their facilitating factors and address barriers are important for other countries working to accelerate uptake of new EBIs and implement needed adaptations based on emerging evidence.
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Vacinas contra Rotavirus , Feminino , Humanos , Transmissão Vertical de Doenças Infecciosas/prevenção & controle , Ruanda , Saúde GlobalRESUMO
Under-5 mortality decreased significantly worldwide between 2000 and 2015, but there is still progress to be made, particularly in lower- and middle-income countries. This supplement shares the work over the last four years on a project to understand how six countries (Bangladesh, Ethiopia, Nepal, Peru, Rwanda, and Senegal) were more successful in decreasing child mortality than many of their regional and economic peers. The use of implementation research across these countries identifies common implementation strategies and contextual factors that can facilitate or impede successful implementation of an evidence-based intervention and explores a common pathway to implementation. The work highlights how the use of implementation research to understand the "how" and the "why" behind countries' success provides important actionable knowledge and lessons to country-level decision-makers, donors, and implementers as we arrive at the midpoint of the Sustainable Development Goal era.
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Mortalidade da Criança , Criança , Humanos , Senegal , Ruanda , Etiópia/epidemiologia , Nepal/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The Exemplars in Under-5 Mortality (U5M) was a multiple cases study of how six low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), Bangladesh, Ethiopia, Nepal, Peru, Rwanda, and Senegal, implemented health system-delivered evidence-based interventions (EBIs) to reduce U5M between 2000 and 2015 more effectively than others in their regions or with similar economic growth. Using implementation research, we conducted a cross-country analysis to compare decision-making pathways for how these countries chose, implemented, and adapted strategies for health system-delivered EBIs that mitigated or leveraged contextual factors to improve implementation outcomes in reducing amenable U5M. METHODS: The cross-country analysis was based on the hybrid mixed methods implementation research framework used to inform the country case studies. The framework included a common pathway of Exploration, Preparation, Implementation, Adaptation, and Sustainment (EPIAS). From the existing case studies, we extracted contextual factors which were barriers, facilitators, or determinants of strategic decisions; strategies to implement EBIs; and implementation outcomes including acceptability and coverage. We identified common factors and strategies shared by countries, and individual approaches used by countries reflecting differences in contextual factors and goals. RESULTS: We found the six countries implemented many of the same EBIs, often using similar strategies with adaptations to local context and disease burden. Common implementation strategies included use of data by decision-makers to identify problems and prioritize EBIs, determine implementation strategies and their adaptation, and measure outcomes; leveraging existing primary healthcare systems; and community and stakeholder engagement. We also found common facilitators included culture of donor and partner coordination and culture and capacity of data use, while common barriers included geography and culture and beliefs. We found evidence for achieving implementation outcomes in many countries and EBIs including acceptability, coverage, equity, and sustainability. DISCUSSION: We found all six countries used a common pathway to implementation with a number of strategies common across EBIs and countries which contributed to progress, either despite contextual barriers or by leveraging facilitators. The transferable knowledge from this cross-country study can be used by other countries to more effectively implement EBIs known to reduce amenable U5M and contribute to strengthening health system delivery now and in the future.
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Atenção à Saúde , Países em Desenvolvimento , Humanos , Peru , Bangladesh , NepalRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: As the largest profession within the healthcare industry, nursing and midwifery workforce (NMW) provides comprehensive healthcare to children and their families. This study quantified the independent role of NMW in reducing under-5 mortality rate (U5MR) worldwide. DESIGN: A retrospective, observational and correlational study to examine the independent role of NMW in protecting against U5MR. METHODS: Within 266 "countries", the cross-sectional correlations between NMW and U5MR were examined with scatter plots, Pearson's r, nonparametric, partial correlation and multiple regression. The affluence, education and urban advantages were considered as the potential competing factors for the NMW-U5MR relationship. The NMW-U5MR correlations in both developing and developed countries were explored and compared. RESULTS: Bivariate correlations revealed that NMW negatively and significantly correlated to U5MR worldwide. When the contributing effects of economic affluence, urbanization and education were removed, the independent NMW role in reducing U5MR remained significant. NMW independently explained 9.36% U5MR variance. Multilinear regression selected NMW as a significant factor contributing an extra 3% of explanation to U5MR variance when NMW, affluence, education and urban advantage were incorporated as the predicting variables. NMW correlated with U5MR significantly more strongly in developing countries than in developed countries. CONCLUSION: NMW, indexing nursing and midwifery service, was a significant factor for reducing U5MR worldwide. This beneficial effect explained 9.36% of U5MR variance which was independent of economic affluence, urbanization and education. The NMW may be a more significant risk factor for protecting children from dying under 5 years old in developing countries. As a strategic response to the advocacy of the United Nations to reduce child mortality, it is worthy for health authorities to consider a further extension of nurses and midwives' practice scope to enable communities to have more access to NMW healthcare services.
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Mortalidade da Criança , Humanos , Estudos Transversais , Estudos Retrospectivos , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Mortalidade da Criança/tendências , Lactente , Saúde da Criança/estatística & dados numéricos , Papel do Profissional de Enfermagem , Tocologia/estatística & dados numéricos , Países em Desenvolvimento/estatística & dados numéricos , Recém-Nascido , Enfermeiros Obstétricos/estatística & dados numéricos , Criança , MasculinoRESUMO
Information about how the risk of death varies with age within the 0-5 age range represents critical evidence for guiding health policy. This study proposes a new model for summarizing regularities about how under-5 mortality is distributed by detailed age. The model is based on a newly compiled database that contains under-5 mortality information by detailed age in countries with high-quality vital registration systems, covering a wide array of mortality levels and patterns. It uses a log-quadratic approach in predicting a full mortality schedule between ages 0 and 5 on the basis of only one or two parameters. With its larger number of age-groups, the proposed model offers greater flexibility than existing models in terms of both entry parameters and model outcomes. We present applications of this model for evaluating and correcting under-5 mortality information by detailed age in countries with problematic mortality data.
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Confiabilidade dos Dados , Mortalidade , Pré-Escolar , Coleta de Dados , Bases de Dados Factuais , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-NascidoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Acute diarrhea is an important contributor to under-5 mortality. Green banana is traditionally used as a home-based remedy for diarrhea. OBJECTIVES: To identify the effect of green banana on duration, recovery and prevention of severe dehydration in under-5 children with acute watery diarrhea with no/some dehydration. METHODS: This study was conducted in the rural field practice area of a tertiary care center between January 2020 and December 2021 in under-5 children presenting with acute diarrhea with no/some dehydration. One hundred fifty-three children were divided into group A (received cooked green banana supplementation along with standard management) and group B (received only standard management). Duration of diarrhea, proportion of children recovered, requirement of hospitalization, development of persistent diarrhea and number of diarrheal episodes in 1 year follow-up period were compared between two groups. RESULTS: Green banana supplementation was significantly associated with reduction in duration [median (interquartile range)-4 (1.5) day versus 5.5 (1) day, P < 0.001] of diarrhea, less hospitalization (9.2% versus 22.1%, P = 0.03) and early recovery, both at day 3 (17.1% versus 3.9%, P = 0.007) and day 7 (90.8% versus 77.9%, P = 0.03). Green banana also protected children from the development of persistent diarrhea (7.9% versus 19.5%, P = 0.04). It also reduced future episodes of diarrhea by 40.5%. CONCLUSION: Green banana supplementation could be a promising adjunct therapy in acute diarrhea and thereby it might reduce under-5 mortality.
Acute diarrhea is the second leading cause of under-5 mortality excluding neonatal causes in India where green banana has traditionally been used as a home-based remedy for diarrhea since ancient days. Some of the previous literatures have found promising results of green banana supplementation in prolonged diarrhea, dysentery and hospital management of acute diarrhea but none have considered it in the home management of diarrhea and have not reviewed its role on duration, recovery and prevention of severe dehydration in under-5 children with acute watery diarrhea with no/some dehydration. These issues along with the possible role of green banana in preventing future episodes of diarrhea have been addressed in our study. One hundred fifty-three under-5 children presenting with acute diarrhea with no/some dehydration were studied over 2 years dividing into group A (received cooked green banana supplementation along with standard management) and group B (received only standard management). Green banana supplementation was significantly associated with reduction in duration of diarrhea, less hospitalization and early recovery, lesser incidences of development of persistent diarrhea, and it also significantly reduced the future episodes of diarrhea. Hence, green banana could be a promising adjunct therapy in acute diarrhea and might reduce under-5 mortality.
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Desidratação , Musa , Criança , Humanos , Lactente , Diarreia/tratamento farmacológico , Diarreia/complicações , HidrataçãoRESUMO
The Sustainable Development Goals call for a total reduction of preventable child mortality before 2030. Further, the goals state the desirability to have subnational mortality estimates. Estimates at this level are required for health interventions at the subnational level. In a low and middle income countries context, the data on mortality typically consist of household surveys, which are carried out with a stratified, cluster design, and census microsamples. Most household surveys collect full birth history (FBH) data on birth and death dates of a mother's children, but censuses collect summary birth history (SBH) data which consist only of the number of children born and the number that died. In previous work, direct (survey-weighted) estimates with associated variances were derived from FBH data and smoothed in space and time. Unfortunately, the FBH data from household surveys are usually not sufficiently abundant to obtain yearly estimates at the Admin-2 level (at which interventions are often made). In this paper we describe four extensions to previous work: (i) combining SBH data with FBH data, (ii) modeling on a yearly scale, to combine data on a yearly scale with data at coarser time scales, (iii) adjusting direct estimates in Admin-2 areas where we do not observe any deaths due to small sample sizes, (iv) acknowledge differences in data sources by modeling potential bias arising from the various data sources. The methods are illustrated using household survey and census data from Kenya and Malawi, to produce mortality estimates from 1980 to the time of the most recent survey, and predictions to 2020.
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Mortalidade da Criança , Países em Desenvolvimento , Criança , Humanos , Lactente , Mortalidade Infantil , Quênia , MalauiRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Fiji, a Pacific Island nation of 884,887 (2017 census), has experienced a prolonged epidemiological transition. This study examines trends in mortality and life expectancy (LE) in Fiji by sex and ethnicity over 1996-2017, with comparisons to published estimates. METHODS: Trends in infant mortality rates (IMR), under-5 mortality (U5M), adult mortality (probability of dying), LE (at birth) and directly age-standardised death rates (DASRs) by sex and ethnicity, are calculated (with 95% confidence limits) using unit death records from the Fiji Ministry of Health and Medical Services. The LE gap between populations, or within populations over time, is examined using decomposition by age. Period trends are assessed for statistical significance using linear regression. RESULTS: Over 1996-98 to 2014-17: IMR and U5M for i-Taukei and Fijians of Indian descent declined; U5M decline for i-Taukei (24.6 to 20.1/1000 live births) was significant (p = 0.016). Mortality (15-59 years) for i-Taukei males was unchanged at 27% but declined for Indians 33 to 30% (p = 0.101). Mortality for i-Taukei females increased 22 to 24% (p = 0.011) but declined for Indians 20 to 18% (p = 0.240). DASRs 1996-2017 were lower for i-Taukei (9.3 to 8.2/1000 population) than Indian males (10.6 to 9.8/1000). DASRs declined for i-Taukei (both sexes, p < 0.05), and for Indians (both sexes, p > 0.05). Over 22 years, LE at birth increased by 1 year or less (p = 0.030 in male i-Taukei). In 2014-17, LE (years) for males was: i-Taukei 64.9, Indians 63.5; and females: i-Taukei 67.0 and Indians 68.2. Mortality changes in most 5-year age groups increased or decreased the LE gap less than 10 weeks over 22 years. Compared to international agency reports, 2014-17 empirical LE estimates (males 64.7, females 67.8) were lower, as was IMR. CONCLUSIONS: Based on empirical data, LE in Fiji has minimally improved over 1996-2017, and is lower than some international agencies report. Adult mortality was higher in Indian than i-Taukei men, and higher in i-Taukei than Indian women. Exclusion of stillbirths resulted in IMRs lower than previously reported. Differing mortality trends in subgroups highlight the need to collect census and health data by ethnicity and sex, to monitor health outcomes and inform resource allocation.
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Mortalidade Infantil , Expectativa de Vida , Adulto , Etnicidade , Feminino , Fiji/epidemiologia , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Mortalidade , Ilhas do Pacífico , GravidezRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Tonga is a South Pacific Island country with a population of 100,651 (2016 Census). This study examines Tongan infant mortality rates (IMR), under-five mortality rates (U5MR), adult mortality and life expectancy (LE) at birth from 2010 to 2018 using a recent collation of empirical mortality data over the past decade for comparison with other previously published mortality estimates. METHODS: Routinely collected mortality data for 2010-2018 from the Ministry of Health, national (Vaiola) hospital, community nursing reports, and the Civil Registry, were consolidated by deterministic and probabilistic linkage of individual death records. Completeness of empirical mortality reporting was assessed by capture-recapture analysis. The reconciled data were aggregated into triennia to reduce stochastic variation, and used to estimate IMR and U5MR (per 1000 live births), adult mortality (15-59, 15-34, 35-59, and 15-64 years), and LE at birth, employing the hypothetical cohort method (with statistical testing). Mortality trends and differences were assessed by Poisson regression. Mortality findings were compared with published national and international agency estimates. RESULTS: Over the three triennia in 2010-2018, levels varied minimally for IMR (12-14) and U5MR (15-19) per 1000 births (both ns, p > 0.05), and also for male LE at birth of 64-65 years, and female LE at birth 69-70 years. Cumulated risks of adult mortality were significantly higher in men than women; period mortality increases in 15-59-year women from 18 to 21% were significant (p < 0.05). Estimated completeness of the reconciled data was > 95%. International agencies reported generally comparable estimates of IMR and U5MR, with varying uncertainty intervals; but they reported significantly lower adult mortality and higher LE than the empirical estimates from this study. CONCLUSIONS: Life expectancy in Tonga over 2010-2018 has remained relatively low and static, with low IMR and U5MR, indicating the substantial impact from premature adult mortality. This analysis of empirical data (> 95% complete) indicates lower LE and higher premature adult mortality than previously reported by international agencies using indirect and modelled methods. Continued integration of mortality recording and data systems in Tonga is important for improving the completeness and accuracy of mortality estimation for local health monitoring and planning.
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Mortalidade Infantil , Expectativa de Vida , Adulto , Censos , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Mortalidade , Ilhas do Pacífico , TongaRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: In India, frontline workers (FLWs) - public accredited social health activists (ASHAs) and private rural medical providers (RMPs) - are important for early detection and treatment of childhood diarrhoea and pneumonia. This cross-sectional study aims to measure knowledge and skills, and the gap between the two ('know-can' gap), regarding assessment of childhood diarrhoea with dehydration and pneumonia among FLWs, and to explore factors associated with them. METHODS: We surveyed 473 ASHAs and 447 RMPs in six districts of Uttar Pradesh. We assessed knowledge and skills using face-to-face interviews and video vignettes, respectively, about key signs of both conditions. The 'know-can' gap corresponds to absent skills among FLWs with correct knowledge. We used logistic regression to identify the correlates of knowledge and skills. RESULTS: FLWs' correct knowledge ranged from 23% to 48% for dehydration signs and 27% to 37% for pneumonia signs. Their skills ranged from 3% to 42% for dehydration and 3% to 18% for pneumonia. There was a significant 'know-can' gap in all the signs, except 'sunken eyes'. Training and supervisory support was associated with better knowledge and skills for diarrhoea with dehydration, but only better knowledge for pneumonia. CONCLUSIONS: FLWs are crucial to the Indian health system, and high-quality FLW services are necessary for continued progress against under-five deaths. The gap between FLWs' knowledge and skills warrants immediate attention. In particular, our results suggest that knowledge-focused trainings are insufficient for FLWs to convert knowledge into appropriate assessment skills.
OBJECTIFS: En Inde, les travailleurs de première ligne (TPL) - activistes de la santé sociale accrédités par le public (ASSAP) et prestataires médicaux ruraux privés (PMRP) - sont importants pour la détection et le traitement précoces de la diarrhée et de la pneumonie infantiles. Cette étude transversale vise à mesurer les connaissances et les compétences, et l'écart entre les deux (écart ''savoir-pouvoir''), en ce qui concerne l'évaluation de la diarrhée infantile avec déshydratation et la pneumonie chez les TPL et à explorer les facteurs qui leur sont associés. MÉTHODES: Nous avons mené une enquête sur 473 ASSAP et 447 PMRP dans six districts de l'Uttar Pradesh. Nous avons évalué les connaissances et les compétences à l'aide d'entretiens de face à face et de vignettes vidéo, respectivement, sur les signes clés des deux conditions. L'écart «savoir-pouvoir¼ correspond à des compétences absentes parmi les TPL ayant des connaissances correctes. Nous avons utilisé la régression logistique pour identifier les corrélats des connaissances et des compétences. RÉSULTATS: Les connaissances correctes des TPL variaient de 23% à 48% pour les signes de déshydratation, 27% à 37% pour les signes de pneumonie. Leurs compétences variaient de 3% à 42% pour la déshydratation et de 3% à 18% pour la pneumonie. Il y avait un écart important dans le «savoir-pouvoir¼ pour tous les signes, à l'exception des «yeux enfoncés¼. La formation et le soutien à la supervision étaient associés à de meilleures connaissances et compétences pour la diarrhée avec déshydratation, mais seulement à de meilleures connaissances pour la pneumonie. CONCLUSIONS: Les TPL sont cruciaux pour le système de santé indien, et des services de TPL de haute qualité sont nécessaires pour continuer à lutter contre les décès d'enfants de moins de cinq ans. L'écart entre les connaissances et les compétences des TPL mérite une attention immédiate. En particulier, nos résultats suggèrent que les formations axées sur les connaissances sont insuffisantes pour que les TPL convertissent les connaissances en compétences d'évaluation appropriées.
Assuntos
Agentes Comunitários de Saúde , Diarreia Infantil/terapia , Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , Pneumonia/terapia , Adulto , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Índia , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Entrevistas como Assunto , Masculino , Serviços de Saúde Rural/estatística & dados numéricos , Inquéritos e Questionários , Gravação em VídeoRESUMO
Son preference has been linked to excess female under-5 mortality in India, and considerable literature has explored whether parents invest more resources in sons relative to daughters-which we refer to as explicit discrimination-leading to girls' poorer health status and, consequently, higher mortality. However, this literature has not adequately controlled for the implicit discrimination processes that sort girls into different types of families (e.g., larger) and at earlier parities. To better address the endogeneity associated with implicit discrimination processes, we explore the association between child sex and postneonatal under-5 mortality using a sample of mixed-sex twins from four waves of the Indian National Family Health Survey. Mixed-sex twins provide a natural experiment that exogenously assigns a boy and a girl to families at the same time, thus controlling for selectivity into having an unwanted female child. We document a sizable impact of explicit discrimination on girls' excess mortality in India, particularly compared with a placebo analysis in sub-Saharan Africa, where girls have a survival advantage. We also show that explicit discrimination weakened for birth cohorts after the mid-1990s, especially in northern India, but further weakening has stalled since the mid-2000s, thus contributing to understandings of how the micro-processes underlying the female mortality disadvantage have changed over time.
Assuntos
Características da Família , Mortalidade Infantil/tendências , Sexismo/estatística & dados numéricos , Gêmeos/estatística & dados numéricos , Pré-Escolar , Países em Desenvolvimento , Feminino , Humanos , Índia , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Razão de Masculinidade , Fatores SocioeconômicosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Oshikhandass is a rural village in northern Pakistan where a 1989-1991 verbal autopsy study showed that diarrhea and pneumonia were the top causes of under-5 mortality. Intensive surveillance, active community health education and child health interventions were delivered in 1989-1996; here we assess improvements in under-5 mortality, diarrhea, and pneumonia over this period and 15 years later. METHODS: Two prospective open-cohort studies in Oshikhandass from 1989 to 1996 (Study 1) and 2011-2014 (Study 2) enrolled all children under age 60 months. Study staff trained using WHO guidelines, conducted weekly household surveillance and promoted knowledge on causes and management of diarrhea and pneumonia. Information about household characteristics and socioeconomic status was collected. Hurdle models were constructed to examine putative risk factors for diarrhea and pneumonia. RESULTS: Against a backdrop of considerable change in the socioeconomic status of the community, under-5 mortality, which declined over the course of Study 1 (from 114.3 to 79.5 deaths/1000 live births (LB) between 1989 and 1996), exceeded Sustainable Development Goal 3 by Study 2 (19.8 deaths/ 1000 LB). Reductions in diarrhea prevalence (20.3 to 2.2 days/ Child Year [CY]), incidence (2.1 to 0.5 episodes/ CY), and number of bloody diarrhea episodes (18.6 to 5.2%) seen during Study 1, were sustained in Study 2. Pneumonia incidence was 0.5 episodes /CY in Study 1 and 0.2/CY in Study 2; only 5% of episodes were categorized as severe or very severe in both studies. While no individual factors predicted a statistically significant difference in diarrhea or pneumonia episodes, the combined effect of water, toilet and housing materials was associated with a significant decrease in diarrhea; higher household income was the most protective factor for pneumonia in Study 1. CONCLUSIONS: We report a 4-fold decrease in overall childhood mortality, and a 2-fold decrease in childhood morbidity from diarrhea and pneumonia in a remote rural village in Pakistan between 1989 and 2014. We conclude that significant, sustainable improvements in child health may be achieved through improved socioeconomic status and promoting interactions between locally engaged health workers and the community, but that continued efforts are needed to improve health worker training, supervision, and the rational use of medications. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Not Applicable.
Assuntos
Diarreia/mortalidade , Mortalidade/tendências , Pneumonia/mortalidade , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Lactente , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Paquistão/epidemiologia , Vigilância da População/métodos , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , População Rural , Classe SocialRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Individuals living in Schistosoma haematobium endemic areas are often at risk of having other communicable diseases simultaneously. This usually creates diagnostic difficulties leading to misdiagnosis and overlooking of schistosomiasis infection. In this study we investigated the prevalence and severity of coinfections in pre-school age children and further investigated associations between S. haematobium prevalence and under 5 mortality. METHODS: A community based cross-sectional survey was conducted in Shamva District, Zimbabwe. Using random selection, 465 preschool age children (1-5 years of age) were enrolled through clinical examination by two independent clinicians for the following top morbidity causing conditions: respiratory tract infections, dermatophytosis, malaria and fever of unknown origin. The conditions and their severe sequels were diagnosed as per approved WHO standards. S. haematobium infection was diagnosed by urine filtration and the children were screened for conditions common in the study area which included HIV, tuberculosis, malnutrition and typhoid. Data was analysed using univariate and multinomial regression analysis and relative risk (RR) calculated. RESULTS: Prevalence of S. haematobium was 35% (145). The clinical conditions assessed had the following prevalence in the study population: upper respiratory tract infection 40% (229), fever of unknown origin 45% (189), dermatophytosis 18% and malaria 18% (75). The odds of co-infections observed with S. haematobium infection were: upper respiratory tract infection aOR = 1.22 (95% CI 0.80 to 1.87), dermatophytosis aOR = 4.79 (95% CI 2.78 to 8.25), fever of unknown origin aOR = 10.63 (95% CI 6.48-17.45) and malaria aOR = 0.91 (95% CI 0.51 to1.58). Effect of schistosomiasis coinfection on disease progression based on the odds of the diseases progressing to severe sequalae were: Severe pneumonia aOR = 8.41 (95% CI 3.09-22.93), p < 0.0001, complicated malaria aOR = 7.09 (95% CI 1.51-33.39), p = 0.02, severe dermatophytosis aOR = 20.3 (95% CI 4.78-83.20):p = 0.03, and fever of unknown origin aOR = 1.62 (95%CI 1.56-4.73), p = 0.02. CONCLUSION: This study revealed an association between schistosomiasis and the comorbidity conditions of URTI, dermatophytosis, malaria and FUO in PSAC living in a schistosomiasis endemic area. A possible detrimental effect where coinfection led to severe sequels of the comorbidity conditions was demonstrated. Appropriate clinical diagnostic methods are required to identify associated infectious diseases and initiate early treatment of schistosomiasis and co-infections in PSAC.
Assuntos
Coinfecção , Esquistossomose Urinária , Animais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Coinfecção/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Humanos , Lactente , Prevalência , Schistosoma haematobium , Esquistossomose Urinária/epidemiologia , Zimbábue/epidemiologiaRESUMO
AIM: The aim of the study was to define social determinants, causes and trends in child mortality from 1990 to 2013 in Pakistan. Understanding social determinants, causes and temporal trends in child mortality can inform strategies aimed at improving child health in low and middle income countries. METHODS: We characterised temporal trends and social determinants of child mortality in Pakistan using national demographic health survey data (1990-1991, 2006-2007 and 2012-2013). We analysed national data to generate regional estimates of health programme effectiveness. RESULTS: The annual rates of reduction for child mortality between 1990 and 2013 were estimated as follows: neonatal (-0.33% per annum), post-neonatal (3.13% per annum), infant (0.9% per annum), child (2.47% per annum) and under 5 (1.19% per annum). Bivariate analyses of 2013 data showed that living in Punjab or Balochistan province, belonging to lowest wealth quintile, lack of maternal education, previous birth interval < 2 years, first birth order and below average birth size were associated (p < 0.05) with greater risk of child mortality in Pakistan. Common factors associated with child mortality were fever, diarrhoea and pneumonia, while among stillbirths, intrapartum asphyxia, unexplained antepartum and antepartum maternal disorders were most frequent. CONCLUSION: Child survival strategies should integrate leading biosocial indicators and causes of death. Further research is needed to define the role(s) of social factors in child health and survival. These data should inform the implementation of cost-effective interventions for child survival and advance targeting of interventions to populations at increased risk of child mortality.