The health consequences of greenhouse gas emissions: a potential pathway.

Excessive greenhouse gas emissions might be the major culprit for environmental degradation, which have direct and indirect adverse impacts in various ways. As the largest emitter of carbon emissions, China suffered great harm from climate change during the past 40 years. Therefore, it becomes necessary to study the impact of carbon emissions on health issues and their potential mechanism. Using the panel data from 30 provinces in China between 2002 and 2017, this study employes and extends the Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence, and Technology (STIRPAT) model and mediating effect model to analyze the direct and indirect effects of carbon emissions. The main results are as follows: (1) Carbon emissions has a certain negative impact on public health, which would increase with the rise of temperature. (2) The increase in carbon emissions has a more significant negative effect on health with the average temperature exceeding 17.75 °C, indicating that the temperature has a threshold effect. (3) The potential health risks become higher with the development of urbanization, but there is no obvious spillover effect in the health consequences. The results remain robust after controlling other factors. This study supplements the literature of climate governance and human health, potentially contributing to the next stage of high-quality and sustainable development.

The relationship between population growth and precipitation change in some regions across Vietnam: implications for urbanization effect.

According to a review of numerous publications and scientific reports, the effects of urbanization on urban climate are of greatest concern. This study aims to evaluate the impact of urbanization focusing on population growth on precipitation trends in 11 provinces across Vietnam during the period 2008-2018 by identifying the relationship between population growth and precipitation change. Regression analysis is used to determine the trends of precipitation and population growth. Precipitation maps and graphs show the overall precipitation trends, changes, and patterns in past decades. Overall, population growth tends to correlate with precipitation change trends. Furthermore, the type of region groups (countryside region, small city, or medium city) also plays a crucial role in determining the magnitude of the change in precipitation trends for each region. This further lends credibility to the notion that urbanization contributes to changes in precipitation trends.

Urbanization-driven increases in summertime compound heat extremes across China.

Summertime extreme heat events exert severe impacts on the natural environment and human society, especially in densely populated and highly urbanized regions. While previous studies have focused on independent heat day/night, there is a lack of attention to the changes in compound events with cooccurring daytime and nighttime extreme temperature on the same day. In this study, we examine the spatio-temporal changes of summertime compound heat extremes (including compound heat day and compound heatwave) across China, with a particular focus on 20 major urban agglomerations (UAs), and quantify the urbanization effects on these changes. We find that the frequency and fraction of compound heat events show obvious spatial disparities across China. The compound heat events occur more frequently in highly populated and urbanized areas such as the Pearl River Delta. Moreover, the frequency and fraction of compound heat events have significantly increased in recent decades in most parts of China, especially in more developed UAs. These intensifying trends have even accelerated in more recent decades. Our further investigations suggest that most UAs of China experienced an intensifying urbanization effect on compound heat events, and few UAs in northwestern and central China (e.g., UAs of the north Tianshan mountain and the middle reaches of the Yangtze River) display a weakening effect of urbanization. Our findings highlight the important role of urbanization in increasing compound heat extremes and suggest that the increasing threats of compound events in urban areas should be given more attention under the context of global warming and local urbanization.

Factors responsible for forest and water bird distributions in rivers and lakes along an urban gradient in Beijing.

Urban rivers and lakes, in combination with nearby green spaces, provide important habitat for urban birds, but few urban studies have focused on forest and water birds simultaneously along an urban intensity gradient. In this study, we randomly chose 39 rivers and lakes along an urban gradient of Beijing to examine bird community parameters in relation to aquatic and terrestrial habitat conditions, aquatic life data, and water quality data. We selected models with the AICc (corrected Akaike information criterion) method, bivariate linear or generalized linear regressions, and structural equation modeling to determine distribution patterns of avian communities along an urban gradient and bird-environment relationships. We found that both forest and water bird species and individuals peaked at intermediate urbanization intensities, especially for abundance of both forest and water bird and water bird species richness and abundance. We suggest that the differences in the strength of response to urbanization and the similarities in the gradient distribution pattern between forest and water birds should receive more attention in future urbanization gradient studies. Significant correlation ship between species richness of resident water birds, fish foragers, and insectivore-frugivores, abundance of insectivores, insectivore-frugivores (negative), and granivores (positive) and impervious surface proportion within 1-km radius buffer of sampled sites became more evident after coverage of artificial surfaces exceeded a 50% threshold. Regressions showed that distance from the urban center, number of islands in waterbody, and proportion of gross or unarmored shoreline length were significantly and positively related to species richness and abundance of both forest and water birds. The availability of unarmored shoreline is a critical pathway through which urbanization detrimentally impacts avian diversity. Our results demonstrate how the urban intensity gradient affects the relative availability of food resources and habitat, which could provide practical applications for urban landscape planning and avian biodiversity conservation in urban areas.

Contribution of urbanization to the changes in extreme climate events in urban agglomerations across China.

Unprecedented urbanization in China facilitates the rapid development of urban agglomerations (UAs) and may exert prominent effects on regional climate and environment change. By analyzing a set of 27 extreme temperature and precipitation indices, this study examines the changes in extreme climate events in 20 UAs in China and evaluates the urbanization effects using a dynamic classification of urban and rural stations by time-varying land use/cover maps. The regional differences of the urbanization effects on extreme climate events are also investigated by a k-means clustering. It is found that, for both temperature and precipitation extremes, the urban and rural areas exhibit remarkably distinct changes and demonstrate significant urbanization effect, which also varies across different climate backgrounds. Urbanization profoundly contributes to increasing hot extremes and reducing cold extremes in most UAs, while it seems to pose the opposite effects in several UAs of arid and high-latitude regions. On average, the urbanization effect accounts for around 30% of the total change in extreme temperature events over the urban core areas of 20 UAs. On the other hand, the urbanization effects on extreme precipitation indices display stronger regional discrepancies than temperature extremes. Urbanization tends to have weakening effects on extreme precipitation events in UAs over coastal regions and intensifying influences on those in central/west China. It causes more (less) frequent and more (less) intense precipitation in UAs of inland central/west (coastal) areas. Our findings provide a systematic understanding of the urbanization effects on extreme climate and may have important implications for the mitigation of urban disasters.

Effects of urbanization on winter wind chill conditions over China.

Human-perceived wind chill describes the combined effects of wind velocity and low temperature, strongly related to human health and natural environment. Although long-term trends in the air or ambient temperature over China under global warming have been well studied in the literature, the changes in human-perceived wind chill conditions, especially under possible urbanization effects, are still not completely known. This paper investigates the changes of wind chill over China and quantifies the associated urbanization effect by examining nearly 2000 meteorological stations during 1961-2014 using the generalized additive model (GAM). Results show that the winter wind chill temperature (WCT) in China exhibits more prominent raising trends than the air temperature, i.e., 0.623 and 0.349 °C per decade, respectively. The wind speed (V) and wind chill days (WCD) decreased by 0.149 m/s and 1.970 days per decade, respectively. These trends become more substantial in densely populated and highly urbanized areas such as the North China Plain. The expansion of urban built-up area induces additional warming (reducing) to the increase (decrease) in WCT (WCD). On average, an increase from 0% to 100% in the urban fraction induced 0.290 ±â€¯0.067 °C higher WCT (± denotes the 95% confidence interval), along with a reduction in V and WCD by 0.052 ±â€¯0.014 m/s and 3.513 ±â€¯0.387 days, respectively; whereas, the presence of the grassland and forest significantly diminishes the WCT and increases the WCD and surface V. It is expected that wind chill over China tends to be weakened under glocal warming and local urbanization in the near future. Our results have important implications for climate change mitigation, urban planning, landscape design, and air pollution abatement.