Predictors of successful vaginal birth after a cesarean section in Ethiopia: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The rates of successful vaginal birth after previous cesarean section (VBAC) have been increasing with minimal complication. Successful vaginal birth after cesarean section improves maternal and fetal outcomes by shortening the length of hospital stay, avoiding abdominal surgery, decreasing the risk of infections and hemorrhage, and decreasing injury of the bladder and bowel. Despite a few single studies stating different predictors of successful VBAC, there is a lack of nationwide data to show the determinants of successful VBAC. Thus, this meta-analysis aimed to determine the predictors of successful VBAC in Ethiopia. METHODS: A systematic literature search was performed from PubMed, Web of Sciences, EMBASE, CINAHL, and Google scholar until July 25, 2022. The quality of included studies was evaluated using the Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) critical appraisal checklist. The analysis was executed using Stata 14 statistical software. Heterogeneity was evaluated statistically using Cochran's Q-statistic and quantified by the I2 value. A random-effects model was used to estimate the determinants of successful vaginal birth after a cesarean section if substantial heterogeneity was detected across included studies; otherwise, a fixed-effects model was used. RESULTS: Women living in rural residence (AOR: 2.14; 95% CI: 1.01, 4.52), history of previous spontaneous vaginal delivery (AOR: 2.92; 95% CI: 2.02, 4.23), previous successful vaginal birth after previous cesarean section (AOR: 5.29; 95% CI: 2.20, 12.69), history of stillbirth (AOR: 1.57; 95% CI: 1.20, 2.04), cervical dilation of ≥ 4 cm at admission (AOR: 2.14; 95% CI: 1.27, 3.61), spontaneous ruptured membranes at admission (AOR: 1.32; 95% CI: 1.17, 1.48) were independent determinants of successful vaginal birth after previous cesarean section. CONCLUSION: The results of this meta-analysis showed that successful VBAC was influenced by past and present obstetric conditions and other predictors. Thus, it is recommended that obstetric care providers should emphasize those factors that lead to successful vaginal birth during counseling and optimal selection of women for the trial of labour after cesarean section. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS REGISTRATION: PROSPERO CRD42022329567.

Validation of the Grobman model for successful vaginal birth after cesarean section in Jordanian women.

BACKGROUND: To validate both models of Grobman nomogram (The antenatal and the intrapartum model) for predicting successful intended Vaginal Birth After Caesarean delivery (VBAC) in a Jordanian population. METHODS: A retrospective study has identified all live, singleton, term, cephalic pregnancies with a previous lower segment cesarean section who opted for a Trial Of Labour After Caesarean Section (TOLAC) between January 2014 to December 2020. Five variables were used for the antenatal model, while ten variables were used for the intrapartum model. Two sets of patients were created: one for the antenatal model and the other for the intrapartum model. The predicted probability for each woman was calculated and compared with the successful VBAC for each category. The predictive ability was assessed with a receiver operating characteristic, and the area under the curve (AUC) was determined. RESULTS: There were seven hundred and fourteen complete cases for the antenatal model and six hundred ninety-seven for the intrapartum model. Our population's overall number of VBAC is 83.89% for the antenatal group and 82.92% for the intrapartum group. The mean predicted probability for a successful intended VBAC using the antenatal and intrapartum models were 79.53 ± 13.47 and 78.64 ± 14.03, respectively. The antenatal and intrapartum predictive models ROC had an AUC of 65% (95% CI: 60%-71%) and 64% (95% CI: 58%-69%), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Both models are validated in the Jordanian population. Adapting the antenatal model as supporting evidence can lead to a higher rate of TOLAC.

Labor characteristics and intrapartum interventions in women with vaginal birth after cesarean section.

BACKGROUND: With the development of China's two-child-policy, vaginal birth after cesarean section (VBAC) has aroused public concern. It is important to understand the labour characteristics and intrapartum management of women attempting VBAC to enhance the rates of successful VBAC. The purpose of our research was to investigate the differences in the characteristics of labor, intervention measures and perinatal outcomes between women who had a VBAC and primiparas or multiparas not undergoing VBAC, providing clinical references of intrapartum management for women who are planning a VBAC. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This observational retrospective study enrolled all women who laboured spontaneously and who had a VBAC (n = 139) at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University in China between 2016 and 2019. They were allocated into VBAC group A (the previous cesarean section was performed before dilation of the cervix) and VBAC group B (the previous cesarean section was performed after dilation of the cervix). The primipara control group included 149 primiparae, and the multipara control group included 155 multiparae with second vaginal birth. Durations of labor, intervention measures and perinatal outcomes were compared among the groups. RESULTS: The durations of labor, intrapartum interventions and maternal and neonatal outcomes in VBAC group A were similar to those of the VBAC group B. However, all women who had a VBAC and those in VBAC group A had shorter first, second and the total stages of labor than primiparae. All women with VBAC and those in VBAC group B had longer second stage of labor, but shorter third stage of labor than multiparae. Oxytocin, labor analgesia and artificial rupture of membranes were administered less often in women with VBAC than in primiparae, while phloroglucinol was administered more often in women with VBAC than in multiparae. Women who had a VBAC were more likely to receive episiotomy and had higher incidences of postpartum hemorrhage than primipara and multipara women. CONCLUSIONS: Labor characteristics, intrapartum interventions and perinatal outcomes in women who had a VBAC with cervical dilation were similar to those in women who had a VBAC without cervical dilation before the previous cesarean section, but differed significantly from those of multiparae and primiparae who did not undergo VBAC.

Timing of caesarean section and its impact on levator ani musle avulsion at the first subsequent vaginal birth - a pilot study.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this multicentric observational study was to explore the impact of the timing of cesarean section (SC) on levator (MLA - levator ani musle) avulsion at the first subsequent vaginal birth. METHODS: All women after term vaginal birth following a cesarean section (VBAC) for their second delivery at the Departments of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Faculty of Medicine, Charles University and University Hospital in Pilsen and the 1st Faculty of Medicine, Charles University and General Hospital in Prague, between 2012 and 2016 were identified. Hospital database and surgical notes were used to collect basic characteristics of the patients including the indication and course of their previous delivery. These women were divided into two groups according to indication of prior SC in the previous delivery to women with elective SC and acute SC. All participants were invited for a 4D pelvic floor ultrasound to assess levator trauma. Levator avulsion and the levator hiatus area were assessed off-line from the stored pelvic floor volumes. Data were statistically assessed. RESULTS: A total of 356 women had a VBAC for their second delivery during the study period. Of these, 152 (42.7%) attended the ultrasound examination and full data were available for 141 women for statistical analyses. These were further divided into 80 women after acute SC and 61 women after elective SC. The levator avulsion rate was higher in the elective SC subgroup, but the difference was not significant (26.3 vs. 41.0%, P = 0.0645). No statistical differences in urogenital hiatus enlargement and ballooning were observed. CONCLUSION: VBAC is associated with a significantly higher rate of levator ani avulsion compared to the first vaginal birth in nulliparous women. However, it seems that risk of levator ani avulsion doesnt depend on the timing of SC in previous labor. More studies are needed to confirm the results of this pilot study.

Temporal trends in obstetric anal sphincter injury from the first vaginal delivery in Austria, Canada, Norway, and Sweden.

INTRODUCTION: Obstetric anal sphincter injuries (OASI) are severe complications that can cause considerable short- and long-term morbidity. Austria, Canada, Norway, and Sweden have similar socio-economic characteristics, and all four countries have access to national birth registers. In this study, we hypothesized that the incidence of OASI should be very similar for different obstetric scenarios in these four countries. Therefore, the aim was to compare the incidence of OASI in these four countries in primiparous women, with spontaneous or instrumental delivery (vacuum or forceps), and in women with a first vaginal birth after cesarean section (VBAC). MATERIAL AND METHODS: Aggregated data on 1 933 930 vaginally delivered primiparous women and women with VBAC were retrieved from the birth registers gathered in Austria, Canada, Norway, and Sweden. The annual rate of OASI (ICD-10 codes O70.2-O70.3) was presented as the percentage of women with a spontaneous delivery, vacuum or forceps delivery, and a VBAC during the period 2004-2016. RESULTS: The incidence of OASI varied considerably between countries and over time. Canada and Sweden had the highest rates, and Austria and Norway the lowest. In Norway, the rate of OASI decreased consistently for all types of deliveries after introducing a perineal protection program in 2004 (p < 0.001). During vacuum delivery, the incidence of OASI varied between countries from 4.1% to 15.5% across the study period. In Canada and Norway, the rate of OASI after a forceps delivery was similar in 2004 at ~20% and with differing trajectories to 24.3% (ß 0.49) and 6.2% (ß -1.15) (trend, all p < 0.001) in 2016. CONCLUSIONS: This comparative register study suggests that there may be considerable potential for lowering the incidence of OASI. The perineal protection program implemented by Norway has been successful. Each country should critically, without prejudice, analyze their current clinical practices and rate of OASI and consider the best preventive strategy.

Evaluation of factors that predict the success rate of trial of labor after the cesarean section.

BACKGROUND: For most women who have had a previous cesarean section, vaginal birth after cesarean section (VBAC) is a reasonable and safe choice, but which will increase the risk of adverse outcomes such as uterine rupture. In order to reduce the risk, we evaluated the factors that may affect VBAC and and established a model for predicting the success rate of trial of the labor after cesarean section (TOLAC). METHODS: All patients who gave birth at Northwest Women's and Children's Hospital from January 2016 to December 2018, had a history of cesarean section and voluntarily chose the TOLAC were recruited. Among them, 80% of the population was randomly assigned to the training set, while the remaining 20% were assigned to the external validation set. In the training set, univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used to identify indicators related to successful TOLAC. A nomogram was constructed based on the results of multiple logistic regression analysis, and the selected variables included in the nomogram were used to predict the probability of successfully obtaining TOLAC. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was used to judge the predictive ability of the model. RESULTS: A total of 778 pregnant women were included in this study. Among them, 595 (76.48%) successfully underwent TOLAC, whereas 183 (23.52%) failed and switched to cesarean section. In multi-factor logistic regression, parity = 1, pre-pregnancy BMI < 24 kg/m2, cervical score ≥ 5, a history of previous vaginal delivery and neonatal birthweight < 3300 g were associated with the success of TOLAC. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve in the prediction and validation models was 0.815 (95% CI: 0.762-0.854) and 0.730 (95% CI: 0.652-0.808), respectively, indicating that the nomogram prediction model had medium discriminative power. CONCLUSION: The TOLAC was useful to reducing the cesarean section rate. Being primiparous, not overweight or obese, having a cervical score ≥ 5, a history of previous vaginal delivery or neonatal birthweight < 3300 g were protective indicators. In this study, the validated model had an approving predictive ability.

Women's views of birth after cesarean section.

BACKGROUND: Vaginal birth is a safe mode of childbirth for the majority of women after cesarean section (CS). However, data show that women who have undergone a CS are more likely to have an elective CS (ECS) than a vaginal birth after CS (VBAC) in many areas of the world. AIM: This study aimed to review the literature about women's mode of birth preferences and attitudes and the underlying reasons for, and factors associated with, their preferences. METHODS: This is narrative literature review. PubMed/MEDLINE and Scopus databases were searched, limiting the results to non-interventional studies published between 1990 and 2020. Twenty-one articles were included in the analysis. RESULTS: The review found 34 different factors that influence women's preferences. Five factors influenced both VBAC and ECS preference, depending on the study. The most common factors having a dualistic effect on preference were: medical staff recommendation, doctor's opinion, and fear of pain. The most common factors were: desire to experience natural childbirth, faster/easier recovery, support from doctor's, and midwife's opinion. Among the factors influencing the preference for ECS, two were particularly prominent: predictability, controllability and comfortability of CS and the belief that CS is safer for the baby and/or mother. CONCLUSIONS: Our review showed that there are a variety of factors that influence women's preference for the mode of delivery after CS. Some of these have a dualistic effect according to the study. The key to making an informed decision regarding the mode of delivery is communication with medical professionals.

Hysterotomy level at Cesarean section and occurrence of large scar defects: a randomized single-blind trial.

OBJECTIVE: To study the association between the level of Cesarean hysterotomy and the presence of large uterine scar defects 6-9 months after delivery. METHODS: This was a two-center, randomized, single-blind trial of a surgical procedure with masked assessment of the principal outcome under study. Women without a history of Cesarean section (CS) who underwent emergency CS at cervical dilatation ≥ 5 cm were randomized to high or low incision. Hysterotomy was performed 2 cm above and 2 cm below the plica vesicouterina in the high and low incision groups, respectively. Women were examined using saline contrast sonohysterography to assess the appearance of the hysterotomy scar 6-9 months after delivery. The main outcome was presence of a large scar defect, defined as the remaining myometrial thickness over the defect being ≤ 2.5 mm. Secondary outcomes were perinatal outcome, operative complications within 8 weeks after delivery and long-term outcome in a subsequent pregnancy. RESULTS: Of 122 patients enrolled in the trial, 114 were assessed by ultrasound examination, of whom 55 were randomized to high and 59 to low CS incision. Large scar defects were seen in four (7%) women in the high-incision group and in 24 (41%) in the low-incision group (P < 0.001; odds ratio, 8.7 (95% CI, 2.8-27.4)). There were no differences in operative complications and perinatal outcomes between the two groups. The median follow-up time was 4 years and 7 months, during which 56 (49%) women had a subsequent pregnancy. No significant differences were observed in the rate of complications in subsequent pregnancy and delivery between women who had low and those who had high incision at the index CS. CONCLUSION: Low Cesarean hysterotomy level in women in advanced labor is associated with higher incidence of large scar defects detected by transvaginal ultrasound examination 6-9 months after delivery. Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Nivel de histerotomía por cesárea y presencia de grandes defectos cicatriciales: un ensayo aleatorizado ciego simple OBJETIVO: Estudiar la asociación entre el nivel de histerotomía por cesárea y la presencia de grandes defectos de cicatrices uterinas a los 6-9 meses después del parto. MÉTODOS: Este fue un ensayo en dos centros de tipo aleatorizado y ciego simple de un procedimiento quirúrgico con evaluación encubierta del resultado principal que era el objeto de estudio. Las mujeres sin antecedentes de cesárea que se sometieron a una cesárea de emergencia con dilatación cervical ≥ 5 cm fueron asignadas al azar a una incisión alta o baja. La histerotomía se realizó 2 cm por encima y 2 cm por debajo del pliegue vesicouterino en los grupos de incisión alta y baja, respectivamente. Las mujeres se examinaron mediante sonohisterografía con contraste salino para evaluar la apariencia de la cicatriz de la histerotomía a los 6-9 meses después del parto. El resultado principal fue la presencia de un gran defecto de cicatriz, definido como el grosor restante del miometrio sobre el defecto de un tamaño ≤ 2,5 mm. Los resultados secundarios fueron el resultado perinatal, las complicaciones quirúrgicas dentro de las 8 semanas después del parto y el resultado a largo plazo en un embarazo posterior. RESULTADOS: De las 122 pacientes inscritas en el ensayo, 114 fueron examinadas mediante ecografía, de las cuales 55 fueron asignadas al azar a una incisión alta y 59 a una incisión baja en la cesárea. Se observaron defectos de cicatrices grandes en cuatro (7%) mujeres en el grupo de incisión alta y en 24 (41%) en el grupo de incisión baja (P<0.001; razón de momios 8.7 (IC 95%, 2.8-27.4)) No hubo diferencias entre los dos grupos en las complicaciones quirúrgicas o en los resultados perinatales. La mediana del tiempo de seguimiento fue de 4 años y 7 meses, durante los cuales 56 (49%) mujeres tuvieron un embarazo posterior. No se observaron diferencias significativas en la tasa de complicaciones en el embarazo posterior entre las mujeres del grupo de incisión baja y las de incisión alta en el índice de cesárea. CONCLUSIÓN: El nivel bajo de histerotomía por cesárea en mujeres con un parto avanzado se asocia con una mayor incidencia de grandes defectos de cicatrices detectados por ecografía transvaginal entre 6-9 meses después del parto.

Factors associated with successful vaginal birth after a cesarean section: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Evidence for the relationship between maternal and perinatal factors and the success of vaginal birth after cesarean section (VBAC) is conflicting. We aimed to systematically analyze published data on maternal and fetal factors for successful VBAC. METHODS: A comprehensive search of Medline, Embase, and the Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, from each database's inception to March 16, 2018. Observational studies, identifying women with a trial of labor after one previous low-transverse cesarean section were included. Two reviewers independently abstracted the data. Meta-analysis was performed using the random-effects model. Risk of bias was assessed by the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. RESULTS: We included 94 eligible observational studies (239,006 pregnant women with 163,502 VBAC). Factors were associated with successful VBAC with the following odds ratios (OR;95%CI): age (0.92;0.86-0.98), obesity (0.50;0.39-0.64), diabetes (0.50;0.42-0.60), hypertensive disorders complicating pregnancy (HDCP) (0.54;0.44-0.67), Bishop score (3.77;2.17-6.53), labor induction (0.58;0.50-0.67), macrosomia (0.56;0.50-0.64), white race (1.39;1.26-1.54), previous vaginal birth before cesarean section (3.14;2.62-3.77), previous VBAC (4.71;4.33-5.12), the indications for the previous cesarean section (cephalopelvic disproportion (0.54;0.36-0.80), dystocia or failure to progress (0.54;0.41-0.70), failed induction (0.56;0.37-0.85), and fetal malpresentation (1.66;1.38-2.01)). Adjusted ORs were similar. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes, HDCP, Bishop score, labor induction, macrosomia, age, obesity, previous vaginal birth, and the indications for the previous CS should be considered as the factors affecting the success of VBAC.

Simultaneous Uterine and Bladder Rupture Following Successful Vaginal Birth After Cesarean Delivery: Laparoscopic Repair of Defect.

When gross hematuria occurs after a successful vaginal birth after cesarean section, bladder injury should be suspected. We report a postpartum patient who experienced progressively worsening abdominal pain a few hours after delivery and was found to have a simultaneous bladder and uterine rupture, which were successfully repaired via a laparoscopic approach. This case highlights a laparoscopic approach to repairing both defects in the immediate postpartum period.

[Vaginal birth after cesarean section in light of international opinions]. / Császármetszést követo hüvelyi szülések vezetése a nemzetközi vélemények tükrében.

INTRODUCTION: The tendency of increasing cesarean section rate has drawn worldwide attention. The vaginal birth after cesarean section is a useful method to decrease cesarean section rate at defined cases. AIM: Retrospective overview of factors resulting successful vaginal birth, labor/induction's condition, criterias, short and long term benefits and consequences. METHOD: Overview recommendations of international guidelines and publications' results concerned vaginal birth after cesarean section in "PubMed", "MEDLINE", "Cochrane" databases from 1996 to 2016. RESULTS: Reviewing results of recommendations and publications we can declare that statements are inconsistent, however the option of vaginal birth after cesarean section is appropriate for decrease complications and trend of increasing cesarean section rate. CONCLUSIONS: It would be important in our country to define a uniform recommendation regarding vaginal birth after cesarean section, with supporting evidence in obstetrical and gynecological practice. Orv Hetil. 2017; 158(30): 1168-1174.

The Novel Parallel Closure Technique Compared to Single-Layer Closure of the Uterus After Primary Cesarean Section Decreases the Incidence of Isthmocele Formation and Increases Residual Myometrial Thickness.

Background Isthmocele or a scar defect is a relatively common consequence of cesarean section resulting in menstrual disturbances and infertility and may compromise the myometrial integrity of the uterus in women contemplating subsequent vaginal birth. Several preventive measures have been suggested, including the modification of surgical techniques used for the closure of the uterine incision. The current study aimed to compare the incidence of isthmocele and assess residual myometrial thickness in women who underwent single versus parallel layered closure to approximate the endo-myometrial layer during cesarean section. Methodology This retrospective study evaluated data of women undergoing their first cesarean section under elective conditions (n = 497) where the uterine incision was closed using a single (n = 295) or a parallel layer (n = 202) technique. Patients were evaluated twice, at 3-6 months and 18 months postpartum, with a transvaginal ultrasound noting the presence or absence of an isthmocele and measurement of the residual myometrial thickness. Results Regardless of the closure technique, 64 (12.9%) women had an ultrasound-diagnosed isthmocele. Significantly fewer patients in the parallel-layer closure group presented with an isthmocele both at 3-6 (13.6 vs. 6.9%; p = 0.019) and 18 months (16.3 vs. 7.8%; p = 0.009) postpartum. Residual myometrium was significantly thicker in the parallel-layer closure group (8.0 vs. 13.2 mm at 3-6 months postpartum; p = 0.000 and 7.2 vs. 12.3 mm at 18 months postpartum; p = 0.004). For all patients, a retroverted position of the uterus at 3-6 months follow-up examination significantly increased the frequency of isthmocele (36/395 (9.1%) with an anteverted uterus and 18/102 (17.6%) with a retroverted uterus; p = 0.002). In patients with a single-layer closure, a retroverted uterus at the 3-6-month follow-up was associated with an isthmocele in 29.5% (18/61) of patients, while no isthmocele was recorded when the uterus was retroverted in the parallel-layer closure group (0/41) (p = 0.001). At 18 months postpartum, of the 64 patients with an isthmocele, 26 (40.6%) presented with abnormal uterine bleeding mainly in the form of postmenstrual spotting. Of the 26 patients with abnormal bleeding, 23 were in the single-layer and three were in the parallel-layer closure group. Conclusions The parallel-layer closure when compared to a single-layer closure of the uterine incision in patients undergoing primary cesarean section decreased the incidence of isthmocele formation and increased residual myometrial thickness. More patients in the single-layer closure group had menstrual cycle disturbances at 18 months postpartum.

X-ray Pelvimetry Has No Impact on the Outcomes of Trial of Labor after Cesarean Delivery: A Retrospective Single-center Study.

Few studies have examined the relationship between pelvic size and the success or failure of trial of labor after cesarean delivery (TOLAC). Here we aimed to determine whether pelvic size and morphological data obtained from radiography contribute to the first successful TOLAC. This retrospective single-center observational study enrolled pregnant women who underwent TOLAC between 2010 and 2021. The results of X-ray pelvimetry data, including obstetric conjugate (OC), transverse diameter of the pelvic inlet (TD), anteroposterior diameter of the pelvic inlet (APD), shape of the pelvic inlet, and other obstetrical clinical data, were compared between the success and failure groups. Seventy-five patients in successful group after excluding 35 patients with previous successful TOLAC, and 21 patients in failure group were eligible. The failure group had a higher rate of previous cesarean sections due to failed labor trials (p = 0.042) and heavier newborns (p = 0.014). OC, TD, and APD on X-ray pelvimetry did not differ significantly between the two groups nor did the shape of the pelvic inlet affect the success rate for TOLAC. The generalized linear model identified a history of failed trials of labor as a significant predictor of failed TOLAC (odds ratio, 0.26; 95% confidence interval 0.071-0.923; p = 0.037), whereas no pelvimetric parameters were found. Pelvic size and morphological findings have no discernible impact on the outcomes of TOLAC. The universal application of X-ray pelvimetry in all women attempting TOLAC may not have significant clinical relevance.

External cephalic version following prior cesarean delivery: A comparative cohort analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the success rate of external cephalic version (ECV) in pregnant women with a history of previous cesarean section, as well as to describe the rate of complications associated with the procedure. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of women who were offered an ECV at "Virgen de la Arrixaca" Clinic University Hospital (Murcia, Spain) between January 2014 and December 2023. We collected data for previous cesarean delivery, obstetric history, fetal presentation, amniotic fluid volume, ECV success rate, complications related to ECV, mode of delivery, and neonatal outcomes. The study confidently performed ECV under sedation with propofol and tocolysis with ritodrine. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to compare the success rate of ECV, ECV complications, and mode of delivery between women with and without previous cesarean sections. RESULTS: Of 1116 pregnant women who were offered ECV, 911 were included in the study, with 42 having a previous cesarean section. The success rate of ECV in pregnant women with a previous cesarean section was 78.6% (adjusted odds ratio 1.18; 95% confidence interval 0.49-2.86; P = 0.708), with a low complication rate of 9.5%, such as non-reassuring fetal heart rate (7.1%) or major vaginal bleeding (2.4%). Of the women who attempted a vaginal delivery after ECV, 80.8% were successful. CONCLUSIONS: These findings support that ECV is a safe and effective option for women with a previous cesarean section, with success rates comparable to those in women without a previous cesarean section.

A Prognostic Study for the Development of Risk Prediction Model for the Success of Vaginal Birth Following a Cesarean Surgery at Felege Hiwot Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Northwest Ethiopia.

Background: An attempt at vaginal delivery by a woman who has previously had a cesarean section is known as a trial of labor after cesarean section. The most important issues are how to accurately anticipate successful vaginal birth after cesarean surgery and how to calculate the likelihood of success of vaginal birth after caesarean section that is suitable for women. Consequently, a tailored prediction of vaginal birth after caesarean section may result in a more effective counseling. Objective: To create a clinical risk score and prediction model for the success of vaginal birth following a previous caesarean section in women. Methods: A prognostic analysis was carried out at Felege Hiwot Comprehensive and Specialized Referral Hospital from 30 February 2017 to 30 March 2021. R statistical programming language version 4.0 was used for analysis once the data had been coded and entered into Epidata, version 3.02. Significant factors (P< 0.05) were kept in the backward multivariable logistic regression model, and variables with (P<0.25) from the bi-variable logistic regression analysis were also added. Results: After a cesarean section, 67% of women were successful in giving birth vaginally. Previous successful vaginal birth after cesarean surgery, rupture of the membranes, and initiation time of ANC, the beginning of labor, parity and time since the previous delivery were remained in the final multivariable prediction model. The AUC of the model was 0.748 (95% CI: 0.714-0.781). Conclusion: Overall, this study demonstrated the likelihood of predicting vaginal birth utilizing the ideal confluence of parity, membrane rupture, and onset of labor, prior history of VBAC, inter-delivery gap, and ANC beginning time. Sixty-seven percent of VBACs were successful. As a result, this model may aid in identifying pregnant women who are candidates for VBAC and who have a better likelihood of success.

Mid-trimester cervical length and prediction of vaginal birth after cesarean delivery in Chinese parturients: A retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: A successful trial of labor after cesarean (TOLAC) is linked with the best maternal/neonatal outcomes and is more cost-effective than elective repeat cesarean section (ERCS). Predictive models of vaginal birth after cesarean (VBAC) have been established worldwide to improve the success rate of TOLAC. OBJECTIVE: To validate a VBAC prediction model (the updated Grobman's predictive model without ethnicity) and identify whether mid-trimester cervical lengths (MCL) improve the prediction of VBAC among Chinese women undergoing a TOLAC. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, the inclusion criteria were a previous history of cesarean delivery (CD) as well as a singleton gestation in the vertex position with routine CL measurements between 20 and 24 weeks and the experience of a TOLAC. MCL as well as identifiable characteristics in early prenatal care that have been used in updated Grobman's predictive model (maternal age, height, pre-pregnancy weight, vaginal delivery history, VBAC history, arrest disorder in previous CD, and treated chronic hypertension) were obtained from the medical records. Associations of maternal characteristics and MCL with VBAC were evaluated using multivariate logistic regression. Two multivariable regression models with and without MCL as one of the risk factors were established and their predictive accuracy for VBAC was critically compared based on receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves. RESULTS: This study involved 409 women, among which, 347 (84.8%) achieved a VBAC. The mean MCL was significantly shorter in women who had a successful VBAC than in those who required an intrapartum CD (4.16±0.49 cm vs. 4.35±0.46 cm, P=0.007). Multivariable logistic regression revealed that a longer MCL (cm) was significantly related to a lower success rate of TOLAC [adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 0.48; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.26-0.88]. The areas under the ROCs of Grobman's model with and without MCL as one of the risk factors were 0.785 (95% CI, 0.725-0.844) and 0.774 (95% CI, 0.710-0.837), respectively, but not significantly different (Z = -0.968, P = 0.333). CONCLUSIONS: We first evaluated the efficiency of the updated Grobman's model (without race and ethnicity) in the Chinese population. The area under the curve is relatively high, indicating that the model can be used efficiently in China. The shorter MCL was associated with a greater chance of VBAC and MCL was the independent factor from the factors of Grobman's model. However, the predictive capacity of the modified model by adding MCL as one of the risk factors did not improve significantly.

Delivery after a previous cesarean section reviewed.

At the start of the 20th century, cesarean section (CS) was uncommon in obstetrics. By the end of the century, CS rates had increased dramatically worldwide. Although the explanation for the increase is multifactorial, a major driver in the ongoing escalation is the increase in women who are delivered by repeat CS. This is due, in part, to the fact that there has been a sharp fall in vaginal birth after CS (VBAC) rates as fewer women are offered a trial of labor after CS (TOLAC), due principally to fears of a catastrophic intrapartum uterine rupture. This paper reviewed international VBAC policies and trends. A number of themes emerged. The risk of intrapartum rupture and its associated complications is low and may sometimes be overestimated. Individual maternity hospitals in both developed and developing countries are inadequately resourced to safely supervise a TOLAC. Efforts to mitigate the risks of TOLAC by careful patient selection and good clinical practices may be underutilized. Given the serious short-term and long-term consequences of rising CS rates for women and for maternity services generally, a review of TOLAC policies worldwide should be prioritized and consideration given to convening a Global Consensus Development Conference on Delivery after CS.

Vaginal birth after cesarean section: Experience from a regional hospital.

OBJECTIVE: Trial of labor after cesarean section (TOLAC) is an option for women with previous cesarean section. However, few women choose this option because of safety concerns. We evaluate the safety and risks associated with TOLAC and the success rate of vaginal birth after cesarean delivery (VBAC). MATERIAL AND METHODS: We reviewed all patients with a history of previous cesarean section that underwent elective repeat cesarean section (ERCS) or TOLAC in a regional teaching hospital from Nov, 2013 to May, 2018. Maternal basic clinical information, intrapartum management, postpartum complications, and neonatal outcomes were analyzed. RESULTS: 199 pregnant women with a history of at least one previous cesarean section were enrolled. 156 women received ERCS and 43 women (21.6%) underwent TOLAC, with 37 (86.0%) who underwent successful VBAC. The VBAC rate was 18.6%. Higher success rate was found in women with previous vaginal birth than in women without vaginal birth (100% vs. 81.8%). One case (2.3%) in the VBAC group was complicated with uterine rupture and inevitable neonatal death during second stage of labor. The uterus was repaired without maternal complications. In another case, the newborn's condition was complicated with low APGAR score (<7) at birth due to maternal chorioamnionitis. Among indications for previous cesarean section, cephalo-pelvic disproportion (CPD) was associated with TOLAC failure and uterine rupture after VBAC. CONCLUSION: VBAC is a feasible and safe option. Modes of delivery should be thoroughly discussed when considering TOLAC for women with history of previous cesarean section due to CPD, considering its association with TOLAC failure in second stage of labor.

Simplifying the prediction of vaginal birth after cesarean delivery: role of the cervical exam.

OBJECTIVE: Predicting likelihood of vaginal birth after cesarean (VBAC) is a cornerstone in counseling patients considering a trial of labor after cesarean (TOLAC). Yet, the simplified Bishop score (SBS), a score comprised cervical dilation, station, and effacement assessment used to predict successful vaginal delivery, has not been applied to the TOLAC population. We evaluated the relationship between admission SBS and likelihood of successful VBAC. We also determined the predictive characteristics of SBS, compared to cervical dilation alone, for successful VBAC. METHODS: This is a secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study of patients with a singleton gestation, ≥37 0/7 weeks gestation, and prior cesarean admitted to Labor & Delivery between 2010 and 2014. The primary outcome of successful VBAC was compared between those with a favorable (score >5) and unfavorable (score ≤5) admission SBS. Secondary outcomes were select maternal and neonatal outcomes. Adjusted risk ratios were estimated using multivariable logistic regression analyses. Receiver-operating characteristic curves compared predictive capabilities of cervical dilation alone to SBS for successful VBAC. RESULTS: Of the 656 patients who underwent a TOLAC during the study period, 421 (64%) had a successful VBAC. 203 (31%) and 453 (69%) had a favorable and an unfavorable admission SBS, respectively. After adjusting for body mass index and prior vaginal delivery, patients with a favorable admission SBS had a 30% greater likelihood of successful VBAC compared to those with an unfavorable SBS (aRR 1.30, 95% CI 1.16-1.40). Admission cervical dilation alone performed similarly to SBS as a predictor of successful VBAC, with a receiver-operator characteristic curve area under the curve (AUC) of 0.68 (95% CI 0.64-0.72) versus an AUC 0.66 (95% CI 0.62-0.70), respectively (p = .07). There were no differences in adverse maternal or neonatal outcomes between those with an unfavorable and favorable SBS. CONCLUSIONS: A favorable admission SBS is associated with an increased likelihood of VBAC. Although both admission SBS and cervical dilation alone are only modest predictors of VBAC, admission cervical dilation performs overall similarly to current models for VBAC prediction and is an objective, reproducible, and generalizable measure. Our study highlights the value of waiting until end of pregnancy (rather than the first prenatal visit) to conclude patient counseling on the decision to TOLAC in order to consider admission cervical assessment, particularly cervical dilation.

Implementation of guidelines about women with previous cesarean section through educational/motivational interventions.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effect of a quality improvement project with an educational/motivational intervention in northern Italy on the implementation of the trial of labor after cesarean section (CS). METHOD: A pre-post study design was used. Every birth center (n = 23) of the Emilia-Romagna region was included. Gynecologist opinion leaders were first trained about Italian CS recommendations. Barriers to implementation were discussed and shared. Educational/motivational interventions were implemented. Data of multipara with previous CS, with a single, cephalic pregnancy at term, were collected during two periods, before (2012-2014) and after (2017-2019) the intervention (2015-2016). The primary outcome was the rate of vaginal birth after CS (VBAC) and perinatal outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 20 496 women were included. The VBAC rate increased from 18.1% to 23.1% after intervention (P < 0.001). The likelihood of VBAC-adjusted for age 40 years or older, Caucasian, body mass index (BMI, calculated as weight in kilograms divided by the square of height in meters) at least 30, previous vaginal delivery, and labor induction-was increased by the intervention by 42% (odds ratio 1.42, 95% confidence interval 1.31-1.54). Neonatal well-being was improved by intervention; neonates requiring resuscitation decreased from 2.1% to 1.6% (P = 0.001). CONCLUSION: Educating and motivating gynecologists toward the trial of labor after CS is worth pursuing. Health quality improvement is demonstrated by increased VBAC even improving neonatal well-being.