Aero-Engine Remaining Useful Life Prediction Based on Bi-Discrepancy Network.

Most unsupervised domain adaptation (UDA) methods align feature distributions across different domains through adversarial learning. However, many of them require introducing an auxiliary domain alignment model, which incurs additional computational costs. In addition, they generally focus on the global distribution alignment and ignore the fine-grained domain discrepancy, so target samples with significant domain shifts cannot be detected or processed for specific tasks. To solve these problems, a bi-discrepancy network is proposed for the cross-domain prediction task. Firstly, target samples with significant domain shifts are detected by maximizing the discrepancy between the outputs of the dual regressor. Secondly, the adversarial training mechanism is adopted between the feature generator and the dual regressor for global domain adaptation. Finally, the local maximum mean discrepancy is used to locally align the fine-grained features of different degradation stages. In 12 cross@-domain prediction tasks generated on the C-MAPSS dataset, the root-mean-square error (RMSE) was reduced by 77.24%, 61.72%, 38.97%, and 3.35% on average, compared with the four mainstream UDA methods, which proved the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Comparison of Depth-Specific Prediction of Soil Properties: MIR vs. Vis-NIR Spectroscopy.

The prediction of soil properties at different depths is an important research topic for promoting the conservation of black soils and the development of precision agriculture. Mid-infrared spectroscopy (MIR, 2500-25000 nm) has shown great potential in predicting soil properties. This study aimed to explore the ability of MIR to predict soil organic matter (OM) and total nitrogen (TN) at five different depths with the calibration from the whole depth (0-100 cm) or the shallow layers (0-40 cm) and compare its performance with visible and near-infrared spectroscopy (vis-NIR, 350-2500 nm). A total of 90 soil samples containing 450 subsamples (0-10 cm, 10-20 cm, 20-40 cm, 40-70 cm, and 70-100 cm depths) and their corresponding MIR and vis-NIR spectra were collected from a field of black soil in Northeast China. Multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) were used to build prediction models. The results showed that prediction models based on MIR (OM: RMSEp = 1.07-3.82 g/kg, RPD = 1.10-5.80; TN: RMSEp = 0.11-0.15 g/kg, RPD = 1.70-4.39) outperformed those based on vis-NIR (OM: RMSEp = 1.75-8.95 g/kg, RPD = 0.50-3.61; TN: RMSEp = 0.12-0.27 g/kg; RPD = 1.00-3.11) because of the higher number of characteristic bands. Prediction models based on the whole depth calibration (OM: RMSEp = 1.09-2.97 g/kg, RPD = 2.13-5.80; TN: RMSEp = 0.08-0.19 g/kg, RPD = 1.86-4.39) outperformed those based on the shallow layers (OM: RMSEp = 1.07-8.95 g/kg, RPD = 0.50-3.93; TN: RMSEp = 0.11-0.27 g/kg, RPD = 1.00-2.24) because the soil sample data of the whole depth had a larger and more representative sample size and a wider distribution. However, prediction models based on the whole depth calibration might provide lower accuracy in some shallow layers. Accordingly, it is suggested that the methods pertaining to soil property prediction based on the spectral library should be considered in future studies for an optimal approach to predicting soil properties at specific depths. This study verified the superiority of MIR for soil property prediction at specific depths and confirmed the advantage of modeling with the whole depth calibration, pointing out a possible optimal approach and providing a reference for predicting soil properties at specific depths.

Impact of climate change induced future rainfall variation on dynamics of arid-humid zone transition in the western province of India.

The transition of the Earth's climate from one zone to another is one of the major causes behind biodiversity loss, rural-urban migration, and increasing food crises. The rising rate of arid-humid zone transition due to climate change has been substantially visible in the last few decades. However, the precise quantification of the climate change-induced rainfall variation on the climate zone transition still remained a challenge. To solve the issue, the Representative Grid Location-Multivariate Adaptive Regression Spline (RGL-MARS) downscaling algorithm was coupled with the Koppen climate classification scheme to project future changes in various climate zones for the study area. It was observed that the performance of the model was better for the humid clusters compared to the arid clusters. It was noticed that, by the end of the 21st century, the arid region would increase marginally and the humid region would rise by 24.28-36.09% for the western province of India. In contrast, the area of the semi-arid and semi-humid regions would decline for the study area. It was observed that there would be an extensive conversion of semi-humid to humid zone in the peripheral region of the Arabian sea due to the strengthening of land-sea thermal contrast caused by climate change. Similarly, semi-arid to arid zone conversion would also increase due to the inflow of dry air from the Arabian region. The current research would be helpful for the researchers and policymakers to take appropriate measures to reduce the rate of climate zone transition, thereby developing the socioeconomic status of the rural and urban populations.

Data-Driven Fault Diagnosis Techniques: Non-Linear Directional Residual vs. Machine-Learning-Based Methods.

Linear dependence of variables is a commonly used assumption in most diagnostic systems for which many robust methodologies have been developed over the years. In case the system nonlinearities are relevant, fault diagnosis methods, relying on the assumption of linearity, might potentially provide unsatisfactory results in terms of false alarms and missed detections. In recent years, many authors have proposed machine learning (ML) techniques to improve fault diagnosis performance to mitigate this problem. Although very powerful, these techniques require faulty data samples that are representative of any fault scenario. Additionally, ML techniques suffer from issues related to overfitting and unpredictable performance in regions which are not fully explored in the training phase. This paper proposes a non-linear additive model to characterize the non-linear redundancy relationships among the system signals. Using the multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) algorithm, these relationships are identified directly from the data. Next, the non-linear redundancy relationships are linearized to derive a local time-dependent fault signature matrix. The faulty sensor can then be isolated by measuring the angular distance between the column vectors of the fault signature matrix and the primary residual vector. A quantitative analysis of fault isolation and fault estimation performance is performed by exploiting real data from multiple flights of a semi-autonomous aircraft, thus allowing a detailed quantitative comparison with state-of-the-art machine-learning-based fault diagnosis algorithms.

Rapid assessment of plant diversity using MODIS biophysical proxies.

The spectral information derived from satellite data provides important inputs for assessing plant diversity. If a suitable satellite-derived biophysical proxy is applicable to assess and monitor plant diversity of different biogeographic regions will be of interest to policy makers and conservationists. We selected four biogeographic regions of India, i.e., semi-arid, Eastern Ghats, Western Ghats, and Northeast as the test sites on the basis of variations in moisture availability. The flora data collected for the study sites are the extract of the national biodiversity project 'Biodiversity Characterization at Landscape Level'. The available Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS)-derived biophysical proxies at high temporal frequencies was considered to compare the biophysical proxies: surface reflectance-red and near-infrared, normalized difference vegetation index-NDVI, enhanced vegetation index-EVI, leaf area index-LAI, and fraction of absorbed photosynthetically active radiation-FAPAR at different temporal scales (monthly, post-monsoon, seasonal, annual) in each selected biogeographic regions of India. Generalized linear model (GLM) and multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS) were utilized to evaluate the relationship between plant diversity and MODIS-derived biophysical proxies. MARS summarized the suitable biophysical proxies at monthly scale in descending order for the total forest area in semi-arid was red, NDVI, and FAPAR; for Eastern Ghats was EVI, FAPAR, and LAI; for Western Ghats was EVI, LAI, and FAPAR; and for Northeast was NDVI, near-infrared, and red. Furthermore, monthly FAPAR commonly found to be the suitable proxy to large scale monitoring of plant diversity in the moisture-varied biogeographic regions of India, except Northeast. Using artificial neural network, the relationship of plant diversity and monthly FAPAR/NDVI were modeled. The correlation between the predicted and reference plant diversity was found to be r = 0.56 for semi-arid, r = 0.52 for Eastern Ghats, r = 0.52 for Western Ghats and r = 0.61 for Northeast at p-value < 0.001. The study affirms that FAPAR is potentially an essential biodiversity variable (EBV) for carrying out rapid/indicative assessment of plant diversity in different biogeographic regions, and thereby, meeting various international commitments dealing with conservation and management measures for biodiversity.

Assessment of the total organic carbon employing the different nature-inspired approaches in the Nakdong River, South Korea.

Total organic carbon (TOC) has vital significance for measuring water quality in river streamflow. The detection of TOC can be considered as an important evaluation because of issues on human health and environmental indicators. This research utilized the novel hybrid models to improve the predictive accuracy of TOC at Andong and Changnyeong stations in the Nakdong River, South Korea. A data pre-processing approach (i.e., complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN)) and evolutionary optimization algorithm (i.e., crow search algorithm (CSA)) were implemented for enhancing the accuracy and robustness of standalone models (i.e., multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS) and M5Tree). Various water quality indicators (i.e., TOC, potential of Hydrogen (pH), electrical conductivity (EC), dissolved oxygen (DO), water temperature (WT), chemical oxygen demand (COD), and suspended solids (SS)) were utilized for developing the standalone and hybrid models based on three input combinations (i.e., categories 1~3). The developed models were evaluated utilizing the correlation coefficient (CC), root-mean-square error (RMSE), and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE). The CEEMDAN-MARS-CSA based on category 2 (C-M-CSA2) model (CC = 0.762, RMSE = 0.570 mg/L, and NSE = 0.520) was the most accurate for predicting TOC at Andong station, whereas the CEEMDAN-MARS-CSA based on category 3 (C-M-CSA3) model (CC = 0.900, RMSE = 0.675 mg/L, and NSE = 0.680) was the best at Changnyeong station.

Estimation of daily dissolved oxygen concentration for river water quality using conventional regression analysis, multivariate adaptive regression splines, and TreeNet techniques.

The aim of this study was to model the surface water quality of the Broad River Basin, South Carolina. The most suitable two monitoring stations numbered as USGS 02156500 (Near Carlisle) and USGS 02160991 (Near Jenkinsville) were selected for the reason that the river water temperature (WT), pH, and specific conductance (SC), as well as dissolved oxygen (DO) concentration, were simultaneously monitored and recorded at these sites. The monitoring period from September 2016 to August 2017 was taken into account for the modeling studies. The electrical conductivity (EC) values corresponding to the river SC values were calculated. First, the conventional regression analysis (CRA) was applied to three regression forms, i.e., linear, power, and exponential functions, to estimate the river DO concentration. Then, the multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) and TreeNet gradient boosting machine (TreeNet) techniques were employed. Three performance statistics, i.e., root means square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient of efficiency (NS), were used to compare the estimation capabilities of these techniques. The TreeNet technique, which was used for the first time in the modeling of DO concentration, had higher estimation success with the RMSE, MAE, and NS values of 0.182 mg/L, 0.123 mg/L, and 0.990, respectively, for the Carlisle station and 0.313 mg/L, 0.233 mg/L, and 0.965, respectively, for the Jenkinsville station in the training phase. The MARS technique, which had limited availability of its application in the modeling of DO concentration, had higher estimation success with the RMSE, MAE, and NS values of 0.240 mg/L, 0.195 mg/L, and 0.981, respectively, for the Carlisle station and 0.527 mg/L, 0.432 mg/L, and 0.980, respectively, for the Jenkinsville station in the testing phase. Considering the RMSE and MAE values being lower, as well as NS values being higher for the model having an input combination of WT, pH, and EC, the Carlisle station came into prominence. It was concluded that international researchers, who have engaged in the river water quality modeling studies, can favor the MARS and TreeNET techniques without any hesitation and estimate the river DO concentration successfully. The models developed for the Carlisle station were tested with the data sets for the monitoring period from September 2017 to August 2018 at the same station. Similarly, the models developed for the Jenkinsville station were tested with the data sets for the monitoring period from September 2017 to August 2018 at the same station. It was concluded that the models could estimate the river DO concentrations very close to in situ measurements at the same site but for the different monitoring periods, too. Furthermore, the models developed for the Carlisle station were tested with the data sets from the Jenkinsville station for the same monitoring period. Similarly, the models developed for the Jenkinsville station were tested with the data sets from the Carlisle station for the same monitoring period. It was also concluded that the developed models could estimate the river DO concentrations very close to in situ measurements at different monitoring sites but for the same monitoring period on the same river, too. It can be asserted that the models developed for any monitoring site on a river can be employed for another monitoring site on the same river, too, as in the case of the Broad River, South Carolina.

Spatial pattern analysis and prediction of forest fire using new machine learning approach of Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines and Differential Flower Pollination optimization: A case study at Lao Cai province (Viet Nam).

Understanding spatial patterns of forest fire is of key important for fire danger management and ecological implication. This aim of this study was to propose a new machine learning methodology for analyzing and predicting spatial patterns of forest fire danger with a case study of tropical forest fire at Lao Cai province (Vietnam). For this purpose, a Geographical Information System (GIS) database for the study area was established, including ten influencing factors (slope, aspect, elevation, land use, distance to road, normalized difference vegetation index, rainfall, temperature, wind speed, and humidity) and 257 fire locations. The relevance level of these factors with the forest fire was analyzed and assessed using the Mutual Information algorithm. Then, a new hybrid artificial intelligence model named as MARS-DFP, which was Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) optimized by Differential Flower Pollination (DFP), was proposed and used construct forest fire model for generating spatial patterns of forest fire. MARS is employed to build the forest fire model for generalizing a classification boundary that distinguishes fire and non-fire areas, whereas DFP, a metaheuristic approach, was utilized to optimize the model. Finally, global prediction performance of the model was assessed using Area Under the curve (AUC), Classification Accuracy Rate (CAR), Wilcoxon signed-rank test, and various statistical indices. The result demonstrated that the predictive performance of the MARS-DFP model was high (AUC = 0.91 and CAR = 86.57%) and better to those of other benchmark methods, Backpropagation Artificial Neural Network, Adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system, Radial Basis Function Neural Network. This fact confirms that the newly constructed MARS-DFP model is a promising alternative for spatial prediction of forest fire susceptibility.

Spatio-temporal analysis of oak decline process in open woodlands: A case study in SW Spain.

This study aims to characterize at landscape level the spatio-temporal dynamics of a massive oak decline that is occurring in dehesas ecosystems. We are looking at possibilities of matching with Phytophthora disease behavior, a harmful disease detected in the studied area, in order to interpret its implications within the context of the disease management. Spatial locations of affected trees from 2001, 2009 and 2016 identified through photointerpretation were analyzed with the inhomogeneous Ripley's K-function to assess their spatial pattern. Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS), a non-parametric data mining method, was used to investigate the influence of a range of landscape descriptors of different nature on the proneness to oak decline, using the location of affected trees in comparison with that of healthy spots (points randomly extracted from areas covered by healthy trees). Affected trees showed a strong clustering pattern that decreased over time. The reported spatial patterns align with the hypothesis of Phytophthora cinnamomi Rands. being the main cause of oak decline in Mediterranean forests. Location of affected trees detected in different years was found to be spatially related, suggesting the implication of a contagion process. MARS models from 2001, 2009 and 2016 reported Area Under the Curve (AUC) values of 0.707, 0.671 and 0.651, respectively. Slope was the most influential landscape descriptor across the three years, with distance to afforestations being the second for 2001 and 2009. Landscape descriptors linked to human factors and soil water content seem to influence oak decline caused by Phytophthora cinnamomi at landscape level. Afforestations carried out as part of the afforestation subsidy program promoted by the European Commission in 1992 could have acted as an initial source of Phytophthora cinnamomi infection. These findings together with the consideration of the spatial and temporal scale of the spreading are essential when planning the management of oak decline in open woodlands.

Prediction of the five-day biochemical oxygen demand and chemical oxygen demand in natural streams using machine learning methods.

Rivers, as the most prominent component of water resources, have a key role to play in increasing the life expectancy of living creatures. The essential characteristics of water pollutants can be described by water quality indices (WQIs). Hence, a ferocious demand for obtaining an accurate prediction of WQIs is of high importance for perception of pollutant patterns in natural streams. Field studies conducted on different rivers indicated that there is no general relationship to yield water quality parameters with a permissible level of accuracy. Over the past decades, several artificial intelligence (AI) models have been employed to predict more precise estimation of WQIs rather than conventional models. In this way, through the current study, multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS) and least square-support vector machine (LS-SVM), as machine learning methods, were used to predict indices of the five-day biochemical oxygen demand (BOD5) and chemical oxygen demand (COD). To improve the proposed approaches, 200 series of field data, collected from Karoun River southwest of Iran, pertain to the nine independent input parameters, namely electrical conductivity (EC), sodium (Na+), calcium (Ca2+), magnesium (Mg2+), orthophosphate ([Formula: see text]), nitrite ([Formula: see text]), nitrate nitrogen ([Formula: see text]), turbidity, and pH. The performances of the LS-SVM and MARS techniques were quantified in both training and testing stages by means of several statistical parameters. Furthermore, the results of the proposed AI models were compared with those obtained using artificial neural network (ANN), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), and multiple regression equations. Results of the present research work indicated that the proposed artificial intelligence techniques, as machine learning classifiers, were found to be efficient in order to predict water quality parameters.

Incorporating nonlinearity into mediation analyses.

BACKGROUND: Mediation is an important issue considered in the behavioral, medical, and social sciences. It addresses situations where the effect of a predictor variable X on an outcome variable Y is explained to some extent by an intervening, mediator variable M. Methods for addressing mediation have been available for some time. While these methods continue to undergo refinement, the relationships underlying mediation are commonly treated as linear in the outcome Y, the predictor X, and the mediator M. These relationships, however, can be nonlinear. Methods are needed for assessing when mediation relationships can be treated as linear and for estimating them when they are nonlinear. METHODS: Existing adaptive regression methods based on fractional polynomials are extended here to address nonlinearity in mediation relationships, but assuming those relationships are monotonic as would be consistent with theories about directionality of such relationships. RESULTS: Example monotonic mediation analyses are provided assessing linear and monotonic mediation of the effect of family functioning (X) on a child's adaptation (Y) to a chronic condition by the difficulty (M) for the family in managing the child's condition. Example moderated monotonic mediation and simulation analyses are also presented. CONCLUSIONS: Adaptive methods provide an effective way to incorporate possibly nonlinear monotonicity into mediation relationships.

Very short-term reactive forecasting of the solar ultraviolet index using an extreme learning machine integrated with the solar zenith angle.

Exposure to erythemally-effective solar ultraviolet radiation (UVR) that contributes to malignant keratinocyte cancers and associated health-risk is best mitigated through innovative decision-support systems, with global solar UV index (UVI) forecast necessary to inform real-time sun-protection behaviour recommendations. It follows that the UVI forecasting models are useful tools for such decision-making. In this study, a model for computationally-efficient data-driven forecasting of diffuse and global very short-term reactive (VSTR) (10-min lead-time) UVI, enhanced by drawing on the solar zenith angle (θs) data, was developed using an extreme learning machine (ELM) algorithm. An ELM algorithm typically serves to address complex and ill-defined forecasting problems. UV spectroradiometer situated in Toowoomba, Australia measured daily cycles (0500-1700h) of UVI over the austral summer period. After trialling activations functions based on sine, hard limit, logarithmic and tangent sigmoid and triangular and radial basis networks for best results, an optimal ELM architecture utilising logarithmic sigmoid equation in hidden layer, with lagged combinations of θs as the predictor data was developed. ELM's performance was evaluated using statistical metrics: correlation coefficient (r), Willmott's Index (WI), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (ENS), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE) between observed and forecasted UVI. Using these metrics, the ELM model's performance was compared to that of existing methods: multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS), M5 Model Tree, and a semi-empirical (Pro6UV) clear sky model. Based on RMSE and MAE values, the ELM model (0.255, 0.346, respectively) outperformed the MARS (0.310, 0.438) and M5 Model Tree (0.346, 0.466) models. Concurring with these metrics, the Willmott's Index for the ELM, MARS and M5 Model Tree models were 0.966, 0.942 and 0.934, respectively. About 57% of the ELM model's absolute errors were small in magnitude (±0.25), whereas the MARS and M5 Model Tree models generated 53% and 48% of such errors, respectively, indicating the latter models' errors to be distributed in larger magnitude error range. In terms of peak global UVI forecasting, with half the level of error, the ELM model outperformed MARS and M5 Model Tree. A comparison of the magnitude of hourly-cumulated errors of 10-min lead time forecasts for diffuse and global UVI highlighted ELM model's greater accuracy compared to MARS, M5 Model Tree or Pro6UV models. This confirmed the versatility of an ELM model drawing on θsdata for VSTR forecasting of UVI at near real-time horizon. When applied to the goal of enhancing expert systems, ELM-based accurate forecasts capable of reacting quickly to measured conditions can enhance real-time exposure advice for the public, mitigating the potential for solar UV-exposure-related disease.

Adaptive Modeling: An Approach for Incorporating Nonlinearity in Regression Analyses.

Although regression relationships commonly are treated as linear, this often is not the case. An adaptive approach is described for identifying nonlinear relationships based on power transforms of predictor (or independent) variables and for assessing whether or not relationships are distinctly nonlinear. It is also possible to model adaptively both means and variances of continuous outcome (or dependent) variables and to adaptively power transform positive-valued continuous outcomes, along with their predictors. Example analyses are provided of data from parents in a nursing study on emotional-health-related quality of life for childhood brain tumor survivors as a function of the effort to manage the survivors' condition. These analyses demonstrate that relationships, including moderation relationships, can be distinctly nonlinear, that conclusions about means can be affected by accounting for non-constant variances, and that outcome transformation along with predictor transformation can provide distinct improvements and can resolve skewness problems.© 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

A Hybrid Algorithm for Missing Data Imputation and Its Application to Electrical Data Loggers.

The storage of data is a key process in the study of electrical power networks related to the search for harmonics and the finding of a lack of balance among phases. The presence of missing data of any of the main electrical variables (phase-to-neutral voltage, phase-to-phase voltage, current in each phase and power factor) affects any time series study in a negative way that has to be addressed. When this occurs, missing data imputation algorithms are required. These algorithms are able to substitute the data that are missing for estimated values. This research presents a new algorithm for the missing data imputation method based on Self-Organized Maps Neural Networks and Mahalanobis distances and compares it not only with a well-known technique called Multivariate Imputation by Chained Equations (MICE) but also with an algorithm previously proposed by the authors called Adaptive Assignation Algorithm (AAA). The results obtained demonstrate how the proposed method outperforms both algorithms.

A New Missing Data Imputation Algorithm Applied to Electrical Data Loggers.

Nowadays, data collection is a key process in the study of electrical power networks when searching for harmonics and a lack of balance among phases. In this context, the lack of data of any of the main electrical variables (phase-to-neutral voltage, phase-to-phase voltage, and current in each phase and power factor) adversely affects any time series study performed. When this occurs, a data imputation process must be accomplished in order to substitute the data that is missing for estimated values. This paper presents a novel missing data imputation method based on multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) and compares it with the well-known technique called multivariate imputation by chained equations (MICE). The results obtained demonstrate how the proposed method outperforms the MICE algorithm.

Unusual forest growth decline in boreal North America covaries with the retreat of Arctic sea ice.

The 20th century was a pivotal period at high northern latitudes as it marked the onset of rapid climatic warming brought on by major anthropogenic changes in global atmospheric composition. In parallel, Arctic sea ice extent has been decreasing over the period of available satellite data records. Here, we document how these changes influenced vegetation productivity in adjacent eastern boreal North America. To do this, we used normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) data, model simulations of net primary productivity (NPP) and tree-ring width measurements covering the last 300 years. Climatic and proxy-climatic data sets were used to explore the relationships between vegetation productivity and Arctic sea ice concentration and extent, and temperatures. Results indicate that an unusually large number of black spruce (Picea mariana) trees entered into a period of growth decline during the late-20th century (62% of sampled trees; n = 724 cross sections of age >70 years). This finding is coherent with evidence encoded in NDVI and simulated NPP data. Analyses of climatic and vegetation productivity relationships indicate that the influence of recent climatic changes in the studied forests has been via the enhanced moisture stress (i.e. greater water demands) and autotrophic respiration amplified by the declining sea ice concentration in Hudson Bay and Hudson Strait. The recent decline strongly contrasts with other growth reduction events that occurred during the 19th century, which were associated with cooling and high sea ice severity. The recent decline of vegetation productivity is the first one to occur under circumstances related to excess heat in a 300-year period, and further culminates with an intensifying wildfire regime in the region. Our results concur with observations from other forest ecosystems about intensifying temperature-driven drought stress and tree mortality with ongoing climatic changes.

Identifying and Exploring the Impact Factors for Intraocular Pressure Prediction in Myopic Children with Atropine Control Utilizing Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines.

PURPOSE: The treatment of childhood myopia often involves the use of topical atropine, which has been demonstrated to be effective in decelerating the progression of myopia. It is crucial to monitor intraocular pressure (IOP) to ensure the safety of topical atropine. This study aims to identify the optimal machine learning IOP-monitoring module and establish a precise baseline IOP as a clinical safety reference for atropine medication. METHODS: Data from 1545 eyes of 1171 children receiving atropine for myopia were retrospectively analyzed. Nineteen variables including patient demographics, medical history, refractive error, and IOP measurements were considered. The data were analyzed using a multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS) model to analyze the impact of different factors on the End IOP. RESULTS: The MARS model identified age, baseline IOP, End Spherical, duration of previous atropine treatment, and duration of current atropine treatment as the five most significant factors influencing the End IOP. The outcomes revealed that the baseline IOP had the most significant effect on final IOP, exhibiting a notable knot at 14 mmHg. When the baseline IOP was equal to or exceeded 14 mmHg, there was a positive correlation between atropine use and End IOP, suggesting that atropine may increase the End IOP in children with a baseline IOP greater than 14 mmHg. CONCLUSIONS: MARS model demonstrates a better ability to capture nonlinearity than classic multiple linear regression for predicting End IOP. It is crucial to acknowledge that administrating atropine may elevate intraocular pressure when the baseline IOP exceeds 14 mmHg. These findings offer valuable insights into factors affecting IOP in children undergoing atropine treatment for myopia, enabling clinicians to make informed decisions regarding treatment options.

Nonlinear dynamic transfer partial least squares for domain adaptive regression.

Aiming to address soft sensing model degradation under changing working conditions, and to accommodate dynamic, nonlinear, and multimodal data characteristics, this paper proposes a nonlinear dynamic transfer soft sensor algorithm. The approach leverages time-delay data augmentation to capture dynamics and projects the augmented data into a latent space for constructing a nonlinear regression model. Two regular terms, distribution alignment regularity and first-order difference regularity, are introduced during data projection to address data distribution disparities. Laplace regularity is incorporated into the nonlinear regression model to ensure geometric structure preservation. The final optimization objective is formulated within the framework of partial least squares, and hyperparameters are determined using Bayesian optimization. The effectiveness of the proposed algorithm is demonstrated through experiments on three public datasets.

Exponential Pixelating Integral transform with dual fractal features for enhanced chest X-ray abnormality detection.

The heightened prevalence of respiratory disorders, particularly exacerbated by a significant upswing in fatalities due to the novel coronavirus, underscores the critical need for early detection and timely intervention. This imperative is paramount, possessing the potential to profoundly impact and safeguard numerous lives. Medically, chest radiography stands out as an essential and economically viable medical imaging approach for diagnosing and assessing the severity of diverse Respiratory Disorders. However, their detection in Chest X-Rays is a cumbersome task even for well-trained radiologists owing to low contrast issues, overlapping of the tissue structures, subjective variability, and the presence of noise. To address these issues, a novel analytical model termed Exponential Pixelating Integral is introduced for the automatic detection of infections in Chest X-Rays in this work. Initially, the presented Exponential Pixelating Integral enhances the pixel intensities to overcome the low-contrast issues that are then polar-transformed followed by their representation using the locally invariant Mandelbrot and Julia fractal geometries for effective distinction of structural features. The collated features labeled Exponential Pixelating Integral with dually characterized fractal features are then classified by the non-parametric multivariate adaptive regression splines to establish an ensemble model between each pair of classes for effective diagnosis of diverse diseases. Rigorous analysis of the proposed classification framework on large medical benchmarked datasets showcases its superiority over its peers by registering a higher classification accuracy and F1 scores ranging from 98.46 to 99.45 % and 96.53-98.10 % respectively, making it a precise and interpretable automated system for diagnosing respiratory disorders.

Prediction equations for detecting COVID-19 infection using basic laboratory parameters.

Objectives: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) emerged as a global pandemic during 2019 to 2022. The gold standard method of detecting this disease is reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). However, RT-PCR has a number of shortcomings. Hence, the objective is to propose a cheap and effective method of detecting COVID-19 infection by using machine learning (ML) techniques, which encompasses five basic parameters as an alternative to the costly RT-PCR. Materials and Methods: Two machine learning-based predictive models, namely, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS), are designed for predicting COVID-19 infection as a cheaper and simpler alternative to RT-PCR utilizing five basic parameters [i.e., age, total leucocyte count, red blood cell count, platelet count, C-reactive protein (CRP)]. Each of these parameters was studied, and correlation is drawn with COVID-19 diagnosis and progression. These laboratory parameters were evaluated in 171 patients who presented with symptoms suspicious of COVID-19 in a hospital at Kharagpur, India, from April to August 2022. Out of a total of 171 patients, 88 and 83 were found to be COVID-19-negative and COVID-19-positive, respectively. Results: The accuracies of the predicted class are found to be 97.06% and 91.18% for ANN and MARS, respectively. CRP is found to be the most significant input parameter. Finally, two predictive mathematical equations for each ML model are provided, which can be quite useful to detect the COVID-19 infection easily. Conclusion: It is expected that the present study will be useful to the medical practitioners for predicting the COVID-19 infection in patients based on only five very basic parameters.