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1.
Math Biosci Eng ; 20(11): 19710-19731, 2023 Oct 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38052621

RESUMO

We investigate the behavior of a complex three-strain model with a generalized incidence rate. The incidence rate is an essential aspect of the model as it determines the number of new infections emerging. The mathematical model comprises thirteen nonlinear ordinary differential equations with susceptible, exposed, symptomatic, asymptomatic and recovered compartments. The model is well-posed and verified through existence, positivity and boundedness. Eight equilibria comprise a disease-free equilibria and seven endemic equilibrium points following the existence of three strains. The basic reproduction numbers $ \mathfrak{R}_{01} $, $ \mathfrak{R}_{02} $ and $ \mathfrak{R}_{03} $ represent the dominance of strain 1, strain 2 and strain 3 in the environment for new strain emergence. The model establishes local stability at a disease-free equilibrium point. Numerical simulations endorse the impact of general incidence rates, including bi-linear, saturated, Beddington DeAngelis, non-monotone and Crowley Martin incidence rates.

2.
Math Biosci Eng ; 20(6): 11212-11237, 2023 04 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37322979

RESUMO

In this study, a stochastic SIRS epidemic model that features constant immigration and general incidence rate is investigated. Our findings show that the dynamical behaviors of the stochastic system can be predicted using the stochastic threshold $ R_0^S $. If $ R_0^S < 1 $, the disease will become extinct with certainty, given additional conditions. Conversely, if $ R_0^S > 1 $, the disease has the potential to persist. Moreover, the necessary conditions for the existence of the stationary distribution of positive solution in the event of disease persistence is determined. Our theoretical findings are validated through numerical simulations.


Assuntos
Modelos Biológicos , Síndrome de Resposta Inflamatória Sistêmica , Humanos , Síndrome de Resposta Inflamatória Sistêmica/epidemiologia , Simulação por Computador , Processos Estocásticos
3.
Vaccines (Basel) ; 10(10)2022 Oct 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36298547

RESUMO

In this paper, an SVIR epidemic model with temporary immunities and general incidence rates is constructed and analyzed. By utilizing Lyapunov functions, we prove the existence and uniqueness of the positive global solution of the constructed model, as well as the sufficient conditions of extinction and persistence of disease, are provided. Due to the difficulty of obtaining the analytical solution to our model, we construct two numerical schemes to generate an approximate solution to the model. The first one is called the split-step θ-Milstein (SSTM) method, and the second one is called the stochastic split-step θ-nonstandard finite difference (SSSNSFD) method, which is designed by merging split-step θ method with stochastic nonstandard finite difference method for the first time in this paper. Further, we prove the positivity, boundedness, and stability of the SSSTNSFD method. By employing the two mentioned methods, we support the validity of the studied theoretical results, as well, the effect of the length of immunity periods, parameters values of the incidence rates, and noise on the dynamics of the model are discussed and simulated. The increase in the size of time step size plays a vital role in revealing the method that preserves positivity, boundedness, and stability. To this end, a comparison between the proposed numerical methods is carried out graphically.

4.
J Biol Dyn ; 12(1): 700-730, 2018 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30067144

RESUMO

In this paper, we study the stability analysis of latent Chikungunya virus (CHIKV) dynamics models. The incidence rate between the CHIKV and the uninfected monocytes is modelled by a general nonlinear function which satisfies a set of conditions. The model is incorporated by intracellular discrete or distributed time delays. Using the method of Lyapunov function, we established the global stability of the steady states of the models. The theoretical results are confirmed by numerical simulations.


Assuntos
Febre de Chikungunya/epidemiologia , Febre de Chikungunya/virologia , Vírus Chikungunya/fisiologia , Modelos Biológicos , Latência Viral , Linfócitos B/virologia , Simulação por Computador , Humanos , Incidência , Monócitos/virologia , Análise Numérica Assistida por Computador , Fatores de Tempo , Vírion/metabolismo
5.
Biosystems ; 126: 41-51, 2014 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25304154

RESUMO

To further understand the effects of travel on disease spread, a transport-related infection model with general incidence rate in two heterogeneous cities is proposed and analyzed. Some analytical results on the global stability of equilibria (including disease free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium) are obtained. The explicit formula for the basic reproduction number R0 is derived and it is proved to be a threshold for disease spread. To reveal how incidence rate and travel rate influence the disease spread, effects of general incidence rate and travel rate on the dynamics of system are shown via numeric simulations.


Assuntos
Cidades/epidemiologia , Cidades/estatística & dados numéricos , Doenças Transmissíveis/epidemiologia , Modelos Teóricos , Viagem/estatística & dados numéricos , Epidemias/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Incidência , Viagem/tendências
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