Temporal Trends in Mortality of Critically Ill Patients with Sepsis in the United Kingdom, 1988-2019.

Rationale: Sepsis is a frequent cause of ICU admission and mortality. Objectives: To evaluate temporal trends in the presentation and outcomes of patients admitted to the ICU with sepsis and to assess the contribution of changing case mix to outcomes. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients admitted to 261 ICUs in the United Kingdom during 1988-1990 and 1996-2019 with nonsurgical sepsis. Measurements and Main Results: A total of 426,812 patients met study inclusion criteria. The patients had a median (interquartile range) age of 66 (53-75) years, and 55.6% were male. The most common sites of infection were respiratory (60.9%), genitourinary (11.5%), and gastrointestinal (10.3%). Compared with patients in 1988-1990, patients in 2017-2019 were older (median age, 66 vs. 63 yr), were less acutely ill (median Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II acute physiology score, 14 vs. 20), and more often had genitourinary sepsis (13.4% vs. 2.0%). Hospital mortality decreased from 54.6% (95% confidence interval [CI], 51.0-58.1%) in 1988-1990 to 32.4% (95% CI, 32.1-32.7%) in 2017-2019, with an adjusted odds ratio of 0.64 (95% CI, 0.54-0.75). The adjusted absolute hospital mortality reduction from 1988-1990 to 2017-2019 was 8.8% (95% CI, 5.6-12.1). Thus, of the observed 22.2-percentage point reduction in hospital mortality, 13.4 percentage points (60% of total reduction) were explained by case mix changes, whereas 8.8 percentage points (40% of total reduction) were not explained by measured factors and may be a result of improvements in ICU management. Conclusions: Over a 30-year period, mortality for ICU admissions with sepsis decreased substantially. Although changes in case mix accounted for the majority of observed mortality reduction, there was an 8.8-percentage point reduction in mortality not explained by case mix.

Impact of Off-Hour Admission on In-Hospital Outcomes for Patients With Stroke Receiving Reperfusion Therapy in China.

BACKGROUND: The structure and staffing of hospitals greatly impact patient outcomes, with frequent changes occurring during nights and weekends. This retrospective cohort study assessed the impact of admission timing on in-hospital management and outcomes for patients with stroke receiving reperfusion therapy in China using data from a nationwide registry. METHODS: Data from patients receiving reperfusion therapy were extracted from the Chinese Stroke Center Alliance. Hospital admission time was categorized according to day/evening versus night and weekday versus weekend. Primary outcomes were in-hospital death or discharge against medical advice, hemorrhage transformation, early neurological deterioration, and major adverse cardiovascular events. Logistic regression was performed to compare in-hospital management performance and outcomes based on admission time categories. RESULTS: Overall, 42 381 patients received recombinant tissue-type plasminogen activator (r-tPA) therapy, and 5224 underwent endovascular treatment (EVT). Patients admitted during nighttime had a higher probability of receiving r-tPA therapy within 4.5 hours from onset or undergoing EVT within 6 hours from onset compared with those admitted during day/evening hours (adjusted odds ratio, 1.04 [95% CI, 1.01-1.08]; P=0.021; adjusted odds ratio, 1.72 [95% CI, 1.59-1.86]; P<0.001, respectively). However, no significant difference was observed between weekend and weekday admissions for either treatment. No notable differences were noted between weekends and weekdays or nighttime and daytime periods in door-to-needle time for r-tPA or door-to-puncture time for EVT initiation. Furthermore, weekend or nighttime admission did not have a significant effect on the primary outcomes of r-tPA therapy or EVT. Nevertheless, in patients undergoing EVT, a higher incidence of pneumonia was observed among those admitted at night compared with those admitted during day/evening hours (adjusted odds ratio, 1.22 [95% CI, 1.05-1.42]; P=0.011). CONCLUSIONS: Patients admitted at nighttime were more likely to receive r-tPA therapy or EVT within the time window recommended in the guidelines. However, patients receiving EVT admitted at night had an increased risk of pneumonia.

Association between lactate/albumin ratio and prognosis in patients with acute myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: The association between the lactate/albumin ratio (L/A) as a diagnostic indicator and unfavourable clinical outcomes has been established in patients with community-acquired pneumonia, sepsis and heart failure, but the connection between L/A and all-cause mortality in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) has yet to be fully understood. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study using MIMIC-IV (v2.2) data, with 2816 patients enrolled and all-cause mortality during hospitalization as the primary outcome. Kaplan-Meier (KM) analysis was used to compare the all-cause mortality between high-level and low-level L/A groups. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, Restricted cubic splines (RCS) and Cox proportional hazards analysis were performed to investigate the relationship between L/A ratio and in-hospital all-cause mortality. RESULTS: L/A values were significantly higher in the non-survivor groups than the survival groups (1.14 [.20] vs. .60 [.36], p < .05), and area under the ROC curve [.734 (95% confidence interval, .694-.775)] was better than other indicators. Data of COX regression analysis showed that higher L/A value supposed to be an independent risk factor for in-hospital mortality. RCS analysis showed evidence of an increasing trend and a non-linear relationship between L/A and in-hospital mortality (p-value was non-linear <.05). KM survival curves were significantly lower in the high L/A group than the low L/A group (p < .001), and the former group had an increased risk of in-hospital mortality compared with the latter one (Log Rank p < .001). CONCLUSIONS: L/A demonstrates significant independent predictive power for elevated all-cause mortality during hospitalization in patients diagnosed with AMI.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease affects outcome in surgical patients with perioperative organ injury: a retrospective cohort study in Germany.

BACKGROUND: The impact of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) on outcome in perioperative organ injury (POI) has not yet been investigated sufficiently. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study analysed data of surgical patients with POI, namely delirium, stroke, acute myocardial infarction, acute respiratory distress syndrome, acute liver injury (ALI), or acute kidney injury (AKI), in Germany between 2015 and 2019. We compared in-hospital mortality, hospital length of stay (HLOS) and perioperative ventilation time (VT) in patients with and without COPD. RESULTS: We analysed the data of 1,642,377 surgical cases with POI of which 10.8% suffered from COPD. In-hospital mortality was higher (20.6% vs. 15.8%, p < 0.001) and HLOS (21 days (IQR, 12-34) vs. 16 days (IQR, 10-28), p < 0.001) and VT (199 h (IQR, 43-547) vs. 125 h (IQR, 32-379), p < 0.001) were longer in COPD patients. Within the POI examined, AKI was the most common POI (57.8%), whereas ALI was associated with the highest mortality (54.2%). Regression analysis revealed that COPD was associated with a slightly higher risk of in-hospital mortality (OR, 1.19; 95% CI:1.18-1.21) in patients with any POI. CONCLUSIONS: COPD in patients with POI is associated with higher mortality, longer HLOS and longer VT. Especially patients suffering from ALI are susceptible to the detrimental effects of COPD on adverse outcome.

Inpatient outcomes of NSTEMI among patients with immune thrombocytopenia: a propensity matched national study.

Patients with immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) admitted for non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) present a unique therapeutic challenge due to the increased risk of bleeding with antiplatelet and anticoagulation therapies. There is limited evidence studying hospital mortality and complications in this population. The study included a patient cohort from the 2018-2021 National Inpatient Sample database. Propensity score matched NSTEMI patients with and without ITP using a 1:1 matching ratio. Outcomes analyzed were in-hospital mortality, rates of diagnostic angiogram, percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), acute kidney injury (AKI), congestive heart failure (CHF), cardiogenic shock, cardiac arrest, mechanical ventilation, tracheal intubation, ventricular tachycardia (VT), ventricular fibrillation (VF), major bleeding, need for blood and platelet transfusion, length of stay (LOS), and total hospitalization charges. A total of 1,699,020 patients met inclusion criteria (660,490 females [39%], predominantly Caucasian 1,198,415 (70.5%); mean [SD] age 67, [3.1], including 2,615 (0.1%) patients with ITP. Following the propensity matching, 1,020 NSTEMI patients with and without ITP were matched. ITP patients had higher rates of inpatient mortality (aOR 1.98, 95% CI 1.11-3.50, p 0.02), cardiogenic shock, AKI, mechanical ventilation, tracheal intubation, red blood cells and platelet transfusions, longer LOS, and higher total hospitalization charges. The rates of diagnostic angiogram, PCI, CHF, VT, VF, and major bleeding were not different between the two groups. Patients with ITP demonstrated higher odds of in-hospital mortality for NSTEMI and need for platelet transfusion with no difference in rates of diagnostic angiogram or PCI.

Coronary inflammation on chest computed tomography and COVID-19 mortality.

OBJECTIVES: The main factors associated with coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) mortality are age, comorbidities, pattern of inflammatory response, and SARS-CoV-2 lineage involved in infection. However, the clinical course of the disease is extremely heterogeneous, and reliable biomarkers predicting adverse prognosis are lacking. Our aim was to elucidate the prognostic role of a novel marker of coronary artery disease inflammation, peri-coronary adipose tissue attenuation (PCAT), available from high-resolution chest computed tomography (HRCT) in COVID-19 patients with severe disease requiring hospitalization. METHODS: Two distinct groups of patients were admitted to Parma University Hospital in Italy with COVID-19 in March 2020 and March 2021 (first- and third-wave peaks of the COVID-19 pandemic in Italy, with the prevalence of wild-type and B.1.1.7 SARS-CoV-2 lineage, respectively) were retrospectively enrolled. The primary endpoint was in-hospital mortality. Demographic, clinical, laboratory, HRCT data, and coronary artery HRCT features (coronary calcium score and PCAT attenuation) were collected to show which variables were associated with mortality. RESULTS: Among the 769 patients enrolled, 555 (72%) were discharged alive, and 214 (28%) died. In multivariable logistic regression analysis age (p < 0.001), number of chronic illnesses (p < 0.001), smoking habit (p = 0.006), P/F ratio (p = 0.001), platelet count (p = 0.002), blood creatinine (p < 0.001), non-invasive mechanical ventilation (p < 0.001), HRCT visual score (p < 0.001), and PCAT (p < 0.001), but not the calcium score, were independently associated with in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSION: Coronary inflammation, measured with PCAT on non-triggered HRCT, appeared to be independently associated with higher mortality in patients with severe COVID-19, while the pre-existent coronary atherosclerotic burden was not associated with adverse outcomes after adjustment for covariates. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: The current study demonstrates that a relatively simple measurement, peri-coronary adipose tissue attenuation (PCAT), available ex-post from standard high-resolution computed tomography, is strongly and independently associated with in-hospital mortality. KEY POINTS: • Coronary inflammation can be measured by the attenuation of peri-coronary adipose tissue (PCAT) on high-resolution CT (HRCT) without contrast media. • PCAT is strongly and independently associated with in-hospital mortality in SARS-CoV-2 patients. • PCAT might be considered an independent prognostic marker in COVID-19 patients if confirmed in other studies.

Intubation and In-Hospital Mortality After Trauma With Glasgow Coma Scale Score Eight or Less-A Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: Most trauma societies recommend intubating trauma patients with Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores ≤8 without robust supporting evidence. We examined the association between intubation and 30-d in-hospital mortality in trauma patients arriving with a GCS score ≤8 in an Indian trauma registry. METHODS: Outcomes of patients with a GCS score ≤8 who were intubated within 1 h of arrival (intubation group) were compared with those who were intubated later or not at all (nonintubation group) using various analytical approaches. The association was assessed in various subgroup and sensitivity analyses to identify any variability of the effect. RESULTS: Of 3476 patients who arrived with a GCS score ≤8, 1671 (48.1%) were intubated within 1 h. Overall, 1957 (56.3%) patients died, 947 (56.7%) in the intubation group and 1010 (56.0%) in the nonintubation group, with no significant difference in mortality (odds ratio = 1.2 [confidence interval, 0.8-1.8], P value = 0.467) in multivariable regression and propensity score-matched analysis. This result persisted across subgroup and sensitivity analyses. Patients intubated within an hour of arrival had longer durations of ventilation, intensive care unit stay, and hospital stay (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Intubation within an hour of arrival with a GCS score ≤8 after major trauma was not associated with differences in-hospital mortality. The indications and benefits of early intubation in these severely injured patients should be revisited to promote optimal resource utilization in LMICs.

Malignant tumor increases the risk of all causes in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with ischemic stroke: analysis of the MIMIC-IV database.

BACKGROUND: Ischemic stroke (IS) and malignant tumor (MT) have high morbidity and mortality rates worldwide, and several associations exist between them. This study aimed to determine the effect of MT on hospital mortality in patients with IS. METHODS: Based on their MT status, participants with IS in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) were divided into two groups. The primary outcome was in-hospital all causes mortality. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed to evaluate the intergroup in-hospital mortality, and three Cox regression models were used to determine the association between MT and in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: A total of 1605 participants (749 males and 856 females) were included in the study. The mean age was 72.030 ± 15.463 years. Of these, 257 (16%) patients died in the hospital. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the MT group had a significantly lower possibility of in-hospital survival than the non-MT group. In the unadjusted model, in-hospital mortality among MT patients had a higher odds ratio (OR) of 1.905 (95% CI, 1.320-2.748; P < 0.001) than the non-MT group. After adjusting for basic information, vital signs, and laboratory data, MT was also associated with increased in-hospital mortality (OR = 1.844, 95% CI: 1.255-2.708; P = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Among the patients with IS, the risk of all causes in-hospital mortality was higher for MT than for patients non-MT. This finding can assist clinicians in more accurately assessing prognosis and making informed treatment decisions.

Sex Differences in Cardiovascular Disease-Related Hospitalization and Mortality in Japan　- Analysis of Health Records From a Nationwide Claim-Based Database, the Japanese Registry of All Cardiac and Vascular Disease (JROAD).

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) is rising in Japan with its aging population, but there is a lack of epidemiological data on sex differences in CVD, including acute coronary syndrome (ACS), acute heart failure (AHF), and acute aortic disease. METHODS AND RESULTS: This retrospective study analyzed data from 1,349,017 patients (January 2012-December 2020) using the Japanese Registry Of All Cardiac and Vascular Diseases database. ACS patients were youngest on average (70.5±12.9 years) and had the lowest female proportion (28.9%). AHF patients had the oldest mean age (79.7±12.0 years) and the highest proportion of females (48.0%). Acute aortic disease had the highest in-hospital mortality (26.1%), followed by AHF (11.5%) and ACS (8.9%). Sex-based mortality differences were notable in acute aortic disease, with higher male mortality in Stanford Type A acute aortic dissection (AAD) with surgery (males: 14.2% vs. females: 10.4%, P<0.001) and similar rates in Type B AAD (males: 6.2% vs. females: 7.9%, P=0.52). Aging was a universal risk factor for in-hospital mortality. Female sex was a risk factor for ACS and acute aortic disease but not for AHF or Types A and B AAD. CONCLUSIONS: Sex-based disparities in the CVD-related hospitalization and mortality within the Japanese national population have been highlighted for the first time, indicating the importance of sex-specific strategies in the management and understanding of these conditions.

In-Hospital Mortality in Patients With Cardiogenic Shock Requiring Veno-Arterial Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation With Concomitant Use of Impella vs. Intra-Aortic Balloon Pump　- A Retrospective Cohort Study Using a Japanese Claims-Based Database.

BACKGROUND: Patients with refractory cardiogenic shock (CS) necessitating peripheral veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) often require an intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) or Impella for unloading; however, comparative effectiveness data are currently lacking. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using Diagnosis Procedure Combination data from approximately 1,200 Japanese acute care hospitals (April 2018-March 2022), we identified 940 patients aged ≥18 years with CS necessitating peripheral VA-ECMO along with IABP (ECMO-IABP; n=801) or Impella (ECPella; n=139) within 48 h of admission. Propensity score matching (126 pairs) indicated comparable in-hospital mortality between the ECPella and ECMO-IABP groups (50.8% vs. 50.0%, respectively; P=1.000). However, the ECPella cohort was on mechanical ventilator support for longer (median [interquartile range] 11.5 [5.0-20.8] vs. 9.0 [4.0-16.8] days; P=0.008) and had a longer hospital stay (median [interquartile range] 32.5 [12.0-59.0] vs. 23.0 [6.3-43.0] days; P=0.017) than the ECMO-IABP cohort. In addition, medical costs were higher for the ECPella than ECMO-IABP group (median [interquartile range] 9.09 [7.20-12.20] vs. 5.23 [3.41-7.00] million Japanese yen; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Our nationwide study could not demonstrate compelling evidence to support the superior efficacy of Impella over IABP in reducing in-hospital mortality among patients with CS necessitating VA-ECMO. Further investigations are imperative to determine the clinical situations in which the potential effect of Impella can be maximized.

Dexamethasone versus methylprednisolone for multiple organ dysfunction in COVID-19 critically ill patients: a multicenter propensity score matching study.

BACKGROUND: Dexamethasone usually recommended for patients with severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) to reduce short-term mortality. However, it is uncertain if another corticosteroid, such as methylprednisolone, may be utilized to obtain better clinical outcome. This study assessed dexamethasone's clinical and safety outcomes compared to methylprednisolone. METHODS: A multicenter, retrospective cohort study was conducted between March 01, 2020, and July 31, 2021. It included adult COVID-19 patients who were initiated on either dexamethasone or methylprednisolone therapy within 24 h of intensive care unit (ICU) admission. The primary outcome was the progression of multiple organ dysfunction score (MODS) on day three of ICU admission. Propensity score (PS) matching was used (1:3 ratio) based on the patient's age and MODS within 24 h of ICU admission. RESULTS: After Propensity Score (PS) matching, 264 patients were included; 198 received dexamethasone, while 66 patients received methylprednisolone within 24 h of ICU admission. In regression analysis, patients who received methylprednisolone had a higher MODS on day three of ICU admission than those who received dexamethasone (beta coefficient: 0.17 (95% CI 0.02, 0.32), P = 0.03). Moreover, hospital-acquired infection was higher in the methylprednisolone group (OR 2.17, 95% CI 1.01, 4.66; p = 0.04). On the other hand, the 30-day and the in-hospital mortality were not statistically significant different between the two groups. CONCLUSION: Dexamethasone showed a lower MODS on day three of ICU admission compared to methylprednisolone, with no statistically significant difference in mortality.

Normalized lactate load as an independent prognostic indicator in patients with cardiogenic shock.

BACKGROUND: Early prognosis evaluation is crucial for decision-making in cardiogenic shock (CS) patients. Dynamic lactate assessment, for example, normalized lactate load, has been a better prognosis predictor than single lactate value in septic shock. Our objective was to investigate the correlation between normalized lactate load and in-hospital mortality in patients with CS. METHODS: Data were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-IV database. The calculation of lactate load involved the determination of the cumulative area under the lactate curve, while normalized lactate load was computed by dividing the lactate load by the corresponding period. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed, and the evaluation of areas under the curves (AUC) for various parameters was performed using the DeLong test. RESULTS: Our study involved a cohort of 1932 CS patients, with 687 individuals (36.1%) experiencing mortality during their hospitalization. The AUC for normalized lactate load demonstrated significant superiority compared to the first lactate (0.675 vs. 0.646, P < 0.001), maximum lactate (0.675 vs. 0.651, P < 0.001), and mean lactate (0.675 vs. 0.669, P = 0.003). Notably, the AUC for normalized lactate load showed comparability to that of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score (0.675 vs. 0.695, P = 0.175). CONCLUSION: The normalized lactate load was an independently associated with the in-hospital mortality among CS patients.

Presentation, management, and early outcomes of young acute coronary syndrome patients- analysis of 23,560 South Asian patients from 2012 to 2021.

BACKGROUND: There is dearth of literature addressing early outcomes of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) among young patients, particularly South Asians descent who are predisposed to premature coronary artery disease (CAD). Therefore, we compared presentation, management, and early outcomes of young vs. old ACS patients and explored predictors of in-hospital mortality. METHODS: We extracted data of 23,560 ACS patients who presented at Tabba Heart Institute, Karachi, Pakistan, from July 2012-June 2020, from the Chest pain-MI-Registry™. We categorized data into young ≤ 45 and old ACS patients > 45 years. Chi-sq/Fischer exact tests were used to assess the difference between presentation, disease management, and in-hospital mortality between both groups. Logistic regression was used to determine odds ratio along with 95% confidence interval of factors associated with early mortality. RESULTS: The younger patients were 12.2% and women 23.5%. The prevalence of dyslipidemia (34.5% vs. 22.4%), diabetes (52.1% vs. 27.4%), and hypertension (68.3% vs. 42.9%) was higher in older patients. Family history of premature CAD (18.1% vs. 32.7%), smoking (40.0% vs. 22.9%), and smokeless tobacco use (6.5% vs. 8.4%) were lower in older patients compared to younger ones. Younger patients were more likely to present with STEMI (33.2% vs. 45%). The median symptom-to-door time was 125 min longer (p-value < 0.01) in the young patients compared to the older age group. In-hospital mortality (4.3% vs. 1.7%), cardiac arrest (1.9% vs. 0.7%), cardiogenic shock (1.9% vs. 0.9%), and heart failure (1% vs. 0.6%) were more common in older patients. After adjusting for other factors, younger age (AOR 0.6, 95% CI 1.5-3.7) had significantly lesser odds of in-hospital mortality. Other factors associated with early mortality included women, family history of premature CAD, STEMI, Killip class III and IV, coronary angiography, revascularization, CABG, and use of aspirin and beta blockers within the first 24 h. CONCLUSION: We found every tenth ACS patient was younger than 45 years of age despite a lesser number of comorbidities such as hypertension and diabetes. Overall, the in-hospital prognosis of young patients was more favorable than that of older patients. The study emphasizes the need for tailored primary prevention programs for ACS, considering the varying risks among different age groups.

Shock index creatinine: a new predictor of mortality in acute coronary syndrome patients.

BACKGROUND: The Shock Index Creatinine (SIC) scoring is a recently developed tool for risk stratification patients. These updated scoring was already used in ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction (STEMI) patients. However its utility in predicting outcomes for patients with Acute Coronary Syndrome (ACS) remains unclear. This study aims to evaluate and update the current SIC score to predict in-hospital mortality among patients with ACS. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A retrospective cohort, Single-centered study enrolled 1349 ACS patients aged ≥ 18 years old diagnosed with ACS was conducted between January 2018 to January 2022 who met for inclusion and exclusion criteria. Study subjects were analyzed for in-hospital mortality and evaluated using binary linear regression analysis. The area under the curve (AUC) of SIC score was obtain to predict the sensitivity and specificity. RESULTS: Multivariate analysis showed that SIC score was significantly associated with in-hospital mortality. High SIC score (SIC ≥ 25) had significantly higher in-hospital mortality (p < 0.001) with odds ratio for (95% CIs) were 2.655 (1.6-4.31). Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis determine the predictive power of SIC score for in-hospital mortality. SIC had an acceptable predictive value for in-hospital mortality (AUC = 0.789, 95% CI: 0.748-0.831, p < 0.001). The SIC score for sensitivity and specificity were, respectively, 71.5% and 74.4%, with optimal cutoff of SIC ≥ 25. CONCLUSION: SIC had acceptable predictive value for in-hospital mortality in patients with all ACS spectrums. SIC was a useful parameter for predicting in-hospital mortality, particularly with a score ≥ 25. This is the first study to evaluate SIC in all spectrums of ACS.

Impact of Delirium Onset and Duration on Mortality in Patients With Cancer Admitted to the ICU.

BACKGROUND: Little is known on the effects of delirium onset and duration on outcome in critically ill patients with cancer. OBJECTIVES: To determine the impact of delirium onset and duration on intensive care unit (ICU) and hospital mortality and length of stay (LOS) in patients with cancer. METHODS: Of the 915 ICU patients admitted in 2018, 371 were included for analysis after excluding for terminal disease, <24-h ICU stay, lack of active cancer and delirium. Delirium was defined as early if onset was within 2 days of ICU admission, late if onset was on day 3 or later, short if duration was 2 days or less, and long if duration was 3 days or longer. Patients were placed into 4 combination groups: early-short, early-long, late-short, and late-long delirium. Multivariate analysis controlling for sex, age, metastatic disease, and predelirium hospital LOS was performed to determine ICU and hospital mortality and LOS. Exploratory analysis of long-term survival was also performed. Restricted cubic splines were performed to confirm the use of 2 days to distinguish between early versus late onset and short versus long duration. RESULTS: A total of 32.9% (n = 122) patients had early-short, 39.1% (n = 145) early-long, 16.2% (n = 60) late-short, and 11.9% (n = 44) late-long delirium. Late-long delirium was independently associated with increased ICU (OR 4.45, CI 1.92-10.30; P < .001) and hospital (OR 2.91, CI 1.37-6.19; P = .005) mortality and longer ICU (OR 1.97, CI 1.58-2.47; P < .001) LOS compared to early-short delirium. Early delirium had better overall survival at 18 months than late delirium. Long-term survival further improved when delirium duration was 2 days or less. Prediction heatmaps confirm the use of a 2-day cutoff. CONCLUSION: Late delirium, especially with long duration, significantly worsens outcome in ICU patients with cancer and should be considered a harbinger of poor overall condition.

Association Between In-hospital Mortality and the Institutional Factors of Intensive Care Units with a Focus on the Intensivist- to-bed Ratio: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Purpose: To elucidate the relationship between in-hospital mortality and the institutional factors of intensive care units (ICUs), with a focus on the intensivist-to-bed ratio. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using a Japanese ICU database, including adult patients admitted between April 1, 2020 and March 31, 2021. We used a multilevel logistic regression model to investigate the associations between in-hospital mortality and the following institutional factors: the intensivist-to-bed ratios on weekdays or over weekends/holidays, different work shifts, hospital-to-ICU-bed ratio, annual-ICU-admission-to-bed ratio, type of hospital, and the presence of other medical staff. Results: The study population comprised 46 503 patients admitted to 65 ICUs. The in-hospital mortality rate was 8.1%. The median numbers of ICU beds and intensivists were 12 (interquartile range [IQR] 8-14) and 4 (IQR 2-9), respectively. In-hospital mortality decreased significantly as the intensivist-to-bed ratio at 10 am on weekdays increased: the average contrast indicated a 20% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1%-38%) reduction when the ratio increased from 0 to 0.5, and a 38% (95% CI: 9%-67%) reduction when the ratio increased from 0 to 1. The other institutional factors did not present a significant effect. Conclusions: The intensivist-to-bed ratio at 10 am on weekdays had a significant effect on in-hospital mortality. Further investigation is needed to understand the processes leading to improved outcomes.

Hospital Outcomes in Patients Who Developed Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome After Community-Acquired Pneumonia.

Purpose: To identify risk factors for and outcomes in acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in patients hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). Methods: This is a retrospective study using the Premier Healthcare Database between 2016 and 2020. Patients diagnosed with pneumonia, requiring mechanical ventilation (MV), antimicrobial therapy, and hospital admission ≥2 days were included. Multivariable regression models were used for outcomes including in-hospital mortality, hospital length of stay (LOS), intensive care unit (ICU) LOS, and days on MV. Results: 1924 (2.7%) of 72 107 patients with CAP developed ARDS. ARDS was associated with higher mortality (33.7% vs 18.9%; adjusted odds ratio 2.4; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.16-2.66), longer hospital LOS (13 vs 9 days; adjusted incidence risk ratio (aIRR) 1.24; 95% CI 1.20-1.27), ICU LOS (9 vs 5 days; aIRR 1.51; 95% CI 1.46-1.56), more MV days (8 vs 5; aIRR 1.54; 95% CI 1.48-1.59), and increased hospitalization cost ($46 459 vs $29 441; aIRR 1.50; 95% CI 1.45-1.55). Conclusion: In CAP, ARDS was associated with worse in-patient outcomes in terms of mortality, LOS, and hospitalization cost. Future studies are needed to explore outcomes in patients with CAP with ARDS and explore risk factors for development of ARDS after CAP.

Inpatient treatment of acute diverticulitis between 2010 and 2021 - A German nationwide study about long-term trends and effects of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.

AIM: The aims of this study were to analyse all hospitalizations for acute diverticulitis in Germany from 2010 to 2021 and to assess the effects of the first 2 years of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic on hospitalizations for acute diverticulitis. METHOD: Using data from the German Federal Statistical Office, we analysed fully anonymized healthcare data of hospitalizations and treatment regimens with acute diverticulitis as the main diagnosis between 2010 and 2021. Logistic regression analyses for in-hospital mortality were performed. RESULTS: A total of 608,162 hospitalizations were included. While the number of hospitalizations constantly increased until 2019 (+52.4%), a relative decrease of 10.1% was observed between 2019 and 2020, followed by stable numbers of hospitalizations in 2021 (+1.1% compared with 2020). In-hospital mortality showed a relative decrease of 33.2% until 2019 and thereafter a relative increase of 26.9% in 2020 and of 7.5% in 2021. A 21.6% and a 19.3% drop in hospitalizations was observed during the first and second waves of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, mostly affecting hospitalizations for uncomplicated diverticulitis, with a corresponding 11.6% and 16.8% increase in admissions for complicated diverticulitis. Multivariable logistic regression analyses showed significantly higher in-hospital mortality for hospitalizations in which surgery (OR = 2.76) and CT (OR = 1.32) were given, as well as lower mortality for women (OR = 0.88), whereas percutaneous drainage was not associated with higher in-hospital mortality compared with conservative treatment (OR = 0.71). CONCLUSION: This study points out the long-term trends in inpatient treatment for acute diverticulitis and the in-hospital mortality risk factors of patients hospitalized for acute diverticulitis in a large nationwide cohort, as well as changes in these trends and factors resulting from the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. These changes might be attributable to delayed diagnosis and thus more severe stages of disease as a result of containment measures.

Hidden Dangers of Frailty: Higher Mortality, Complications and Costs in Acute Pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND: Frailty is a clinically recognizable state of increased vulnerability due to age-related decline in reserve and function across multiple physiologic systems that compromises the ability to cope with acute stress. As frailty is being identified as an important risk factor in outcomes of gastrointestinal pathologies, we aimed to assess outcomes in patients with acute pancreatitis within this cohort. METHOD: We conducted a retrospective study using the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) database. ICD-10 codes were used to inquire for patients admitted with acute pancreatitis between September 2015 through 2017. ICD-10 codes corresponding to the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS) were used to divide the study sample into 2 cohorts: low risk (< 5 points) and intermediate or high risk (> 5 points). To calculate the points, we fitted a logistic regression model that included membership of the frail group as the binary dependent variable (frail vs. non-frail) and the set of ICD-10 codes as binary predictor variables (1 = present, 0 = absent for each code). To simplify the calculation and interpretation, we multiplied regression coefficients by five to create a points system, so that a certain number of points are awarded for each ICD-10 code and added together to create the final frailty risk score. Multivariate regression analysis was performed to find adjusted mortality. RESULTS: Out of a total of 1,267,744 patients admitted with acute pancreatitis, 728,953 (57.5%) were identified as intermediate and high risk (> 5 points) (study cohort) and 538,781 (42.5%) as low risk (< 5 points). The mean age in the study cohort was 64.8 ± 12.6 and that in the low-risk group was 58.6 ± 9.5. Most of the patients in both groups were males and Caucasians; Medicare was the predominant insurance provider. A majority of the admissions in both groups were in an urban teaching hospital and were emergency. (Table 1). The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality which was significantly higher in the study cohort as compared to the low-risk group (4.3% vs. 2.5%, p < 0.0001). The age-adjusted Odds ratio of mortality was 1.72(95% CI (Confidence Interval) 1.65-1.80, p < 0.05). When compared between the two groups; median length of stay (6 vs. 4); hospitalization cost ($14,412 vs. $10,193), disposition to a skilled nursing facility (SNF) (17.1% vs. 8.6%) and need for home health care (HHC) was significantly higher in the study cohort. Complications like septicemia, septic shock, and acute kidney injury were also higher in the study group (Table 2). Table 1 Baseline demographics of the cohort Characteristics Acute pancreatitis with High HES Frailty score (> 5, intermediate + high) Acute pancreatitis with low HES Frailty score (< 5) P-value N = 1,267,744 N = 728,953 (57.5%) N = 538,781 (42.5%) Age  Mean years (Mean ± SD) 64.8 ± 12.6 58.6 ± 9.5 < 0.001 Gender < 0.001  Male 59.1% 52.3%  Female 40.9% 47.7% *Missing-475 Age groups < 0.001  18-44 3.7% 14.3%  45-64 48% 52.9%  65-84 32.2% 28.7%  ≥ 85 16.1% 4.1% Race < 0.001  Caucasians 67.4% 61.9%  African Americans 9.6% 16.8%  Others 23% 21.3% *Missing-10 Insurance type < 0.001  Medicare 40.9% 36.3%  Medicaid 17.2% 24.3%  Private 31.8% 27.9%  Other 9.9% 11.4% *Missing-75 Active smoking 32.7% 37.9% 0.005 Biliary Stone 36.2% 16.7% < 0.001 Admission Type < 0.001  Emergent 93.7% 94.3%  Elective 6.3% 5.7% *Missing-2880 Hospital ownership/control < 0.001  Rural 7.8% 10%  Urban nonteaching 26.3% 26.6%  Urban teaching 65.9% 63.4% Table 2 Outcomes Outcomes Acute pancreatitis with High HES Frailty score (> 5, intermediate + high) Acute pancreatitis with low HES Frailty score (< 5) P-value In-hospital mortality *Missing-920 4.3% 2.5% < .0001 1.72(1.65-1.80) < .0001 Length of stay, days (Median,IQR) 6(3-8) 4(2-6) < .0001 Total hospitalization cost, $ (Median,IQR) 14,412(8843-20,216) 10,193(6840-13,842) < .0001 In-Hospital Complications  ARDS 0.4% 0.3% 0.08  Ventilator dependence respiratory failure 0.23% 0.29% 0.25  Septicemia 15.2% 9.6% < .0001  Septic Shock 6.1% 2.9% < .0001  AKI 24.8% 14.9% < .0001 Disposition < .0001  Discharge to home 58.9% 74.9%  Transfer other: includes  Skilled Nursing Facility (SNF), Intermediate Care Facility (ICF), and another type of facility 17.1% 8.6%  Home health care 11.5% 8.1%  Against medical advice (AMA) 1.6% 3.4% *Missing-920 CONCLUSION: Using frailty as a construct to identify those who are at greater risk for adverse outcomes, can help formulate interventions to target individualized reversible factors to improve outcomes in patients with acute pancreatitis. Future large-scale prospective studies are warranted to understand the dynamic and longitudinal relationship between pancreatitis and frailty.

Comparison of scoring systems for predicting clinical outcomes of acute lower gastrointestinal bleeding: A prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to determine the performance of the Oakland, Glasgow-Blatchford, and AIMS65 scores in predicting the clinical outcomes of acute lower gastrointestinal bleeding (LGIB). METHODS: This prospective cohort study was conducted from July 2020 to July 2021. Patients admitted with acute lower gastrointestinal bleeding were enrolled. The Oakland, Glasgow-Blatchford, and AIMS65 scores were calculated. The primary outcome was validating the performance of the scores in predicting severe LGIB; secondary outcomes were comparing the performance of the scores in predicting the need for blood transfusion, hemostatic interventions, in-hospital rebleeding, and mortality. Receiver operating characteristic curves were calculated for all outcomes. The associations between all three scores and the primary outcomes were calculated using multivariate logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Patients with acute LGIB (n = 150) were enrolled (88 [58.7%] men and mean age: 63.6 ± 17.3 years). The rates of severe LGIB, need for blood transfusion, hemostatic intervention, in-hospital rebleeding, and in-hospital mortality were 54.7%, 79.3%, 10.7%, and 3.3%, respectively. The Oakland and Glasgow-Blatchford scores had comparable performance in predicting severe LGIB, need for blood transfusion, and mortality, outperforming the AIMS65 score. All scores were suboptimal for predicting hemostatic interventions and rebleeding. CONCLUSIONS: Our results demonstrate the predictive performances of the Oakland score and the GBS are excellent and comparable for severe LGIB, the need for blood transfusion, and in-hospital mortality in patients with acute LGIB. Thus, GBS could be considered as an alternative predictive score for stratification of the patients with acute LGIB.