The "double jeopardy" of midlife and old age mortality trends in the United States.

Since 2010, US life expectancy growth has stagnated. Much research on US mortality has focused on working-age adults given adverse trends in drug overdose deaths, other external causes of death, and cardiometabolic deaths in midlife. We show that the adverse mortality trend at retirement ages (65+ y) has in fact been more consequential to the US life expectancy stagnation since 2010, as well as excess deaths and years of life lost in 2019, than adverse mortality trends at working ages. These results reveal that the United States is experiencing a "double jeopardy" that is driven by both mid-life and older-age mortality trends, but more so by older-age mortality. Understanding and addressing the causes behind the worsening mortality trend in older ages will be essential to returning to the pace of life expectancy improvements that the United States had experienced for decades.

Explaining International Trends in Mortality on Hemodialysis Through Changes in Hemodialysis Practices in the Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study (DOPPS).

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Case-mix adjusted hemodialysis mortality has decreased since 1998. Many factors that influence mortality may have contributed to this trend and these associations may differ by continental region. We studied changes in hemodialysis facility practices over time and their potential role in mediating changes in patient survival. STUDY DESIGN: Observational prospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Adult hemodialysis patients treated in hemodialysis 500 facilities participating in the Dialysis Outcomes Practice Patterns Study (DOPPS) between 1999 and 2015 in the US, Japan, and 4 four European countries: Germany, Italy, Spain, and UK. PREDICTORS: Four practice measures at each facility: the percentages of patients with Kt/V>1.2, interdialytic weight gain [IDWG]<5.7%, phosphorus<6 mg/dL, and using AV fistulae. OUTCOMES: Patient survival. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Mediation analyses, adjusted for case mix, were conducted using 3-year study phase as the exposure and facility practice measures as potential mediators. RESULTS: In Europe, we observed a 13% improvement in overall case-mix adjusted survival per decade. Trends in facility practice measures, especially Kt/V and phosphorus, explained 10% improvement in case-mix survival per decade, representing 77% (10% explained of 13% improvement) of the observed improvement. In Japan, 73% of the observed 12%/decade improvement in case-mix adjusted survival could be attributed to facility practices, especially Kt/V and IDWG. In the US, 56% of the observed 47%/decade improvement in case-mix adjusted survival could be attributed to facility practices, especially AV fistula use and phosphorus control. LIMITATIONS: Unmeasured changes in the characteristics of the patient population over this period may confound the observed associations. CONCLUSION: The improvements in adjusted hemodialysis patient survival in Europe, Japan, and the US from 1999 to 2015 can be largely explained by improvements in specific facility practices. Future changes in patient survival may be responsive to further evolution in the implementation of common clinical practices.

Trends in papillary thyroid cancer mortality in Denmark according to stage and education.

OBJECTIVE: Few studies exist on trends in papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) survival and mortality according to stage and level of socioeconomic status. DESIGN: Nationwide cohort study. PATIENTS AND MEASUREMENTS: Patients diagnosed with PTC during 2000-2015 in Denmark were identified from the Danish Cancer Registry and followed until the end of 2020. We evaluated 5-year all-cause mortality and relative survival according to stage and 5-year mortality rates with corresponding average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) according to stage and education. Finally, we assessed the association between several factors and mortality of PTC using Cox regression. RESULTS: For the 2006 cases of PTC diagnosed during 2000-2015, relative survival tended to increase and mortality rates tended to decrease for all stages. For localized PTC, mortality rates tended to decrease among individuals with medium education (AAPC = -7.0, 95% confidence interval [CI]: -14.7 to 1.5), but showed an increasing pattern among individuals with long education (AAPC = 19.8, 95% CI: -4.2 to 50.0). For nonlocalized PTC, mortality rates showed a decreasing tendency among individuals with medium and long education (AAPC = -5.5, 95% CI: -13.2 to 2.9, and AAPC = -10.4, 95% CI: -20.8 to 1.4, respectively). Being diagnosed with PTC in a more recent calendar period and long education were associated with a lower mortality rate in the Cox regression analysis. CONCLUSIONS: A pattern of an increasing relative survival and decreasing mortality rates of PTC across all stages was seen in Denmark during 2000-2015. The decreasing pattern in mortality rates was most evident in individuals with localized stage and medium education, and in individuals with nonlocalized stage and medium or long education.

Demographic and geographical trends in chronic lower respiratory diseases mortality in the United States, 1999 to 2020.

Chronic lower respiratory disease (CLRD) related mortality has decreased in the United States due to increasing awareness in the general population and advancing preventative efforts, diagnostic measures, and treatment. However, demographic and regional differences still persist throughout the United States. In this study, we analyzed the temporal trends of demographic and geographical differences in CLRD-related mortality. Data was extracted from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) database. Using this data, age-adjusted mortality rates per 100,000 people (AAMR), annual percentage change (APC), and average annual percentage changes with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were assessed. The Joinpoint Regression Program was used to determine mortality trends between 1999 and 2020 based on demographic and regional groups.During this study period, there were 3,064,049 CLRD-related deaths, with most demographics and regional areas showing an overall decreasing trend. However, higher mortality rates were seen in the non-Hispanic White population and rural areas. Interestingly, mortality rates witnessed a decreasing trend for males throughout the study duration compared to females, who only began to show decreases in mortality during the latter half of the 2010s. Using these results, one can target efforts and build policies to improve CLRD-related mortality and reduce disparities in the coming decades.

Causes of death among Australians with type 1 or type 2 diabetes, 2002-2019.

AIMS: This population-based study sought to explore in detail the conditions driving the diversification in causes of death among people with diabetes. METHODS: We linked Australians with type 1 or type 2 diabetes of all ages on the National Diabetes Services Scheme to the National Death Index for 2002-2019. We investigated the proportional contributions of different causes of death to total deaths over time across eight categories of causes of death, stratified by sex and diabetes type. The underlying causes of death were classified according to the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision codes. RESULTS: Between 2002 and 2019, there was a shift in the causes of death among Australians with diabetes away from cardiovascular disease. The proportion of deaths attributed to cardiovascular disease declined in both sexes (ptrend <0.001), most substantially among women with type 2 diabetes from 48.2% in 2002 to 30.7% in 2019. Among men with type 2 diabetes, cancer replaced cardiovascular disease as the leading cause of death. The proportion of deaths due to dementia increased overall, from 2% in 2002 to over 7% in 2019, and across all age groups, notably from 1% to 4% in those aged 70-79. The proportion of deaths due to falls and Parkinson's disease also increased. CONCLUSIONS: There has been a shift of causes of death among those with diabetes away from cardiovascular disease. The proportion of deaths due to conditions such as dementia and falls is increasing among those with diabetes, which will require consideration when planning future resource allocation.

Inter-district and Wealth-related Inequalities in Maternal and Child Health Service Coverage and Child Mortality within Addis Ababa City.

In sub-Saharan Africa, urban areas generally have better access to and use of maternal, newborn, and child health (MNCH) services than rural areas, but previous research indicates that there are significant intra-urban disparities. This study aims to investigate temporal trends and geographic differences in maternal, newborn, and child health service utilization between Addis Ababa's poorest and richest districts and households. A World Bank district-based poverty index was used to classify districts into the top 60% (non-poor) and bottom 40% (poor), and wealth index data from the Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey (EDHS) was used to classify households into the top 60% (non-poor) and bottom 40% (poor). Essential maternal, newborn, and child health service coverage was estimated from routine health facility data for 2019-2021, and five rounds of the EDHS (2000-2019) were used to estimate child mortality. The results showed that service coverage was substantially higher in the top 60% than in the bottom 40% of districts. Coverage of four antenatal care visits, skill birth attendance, and postnatal care all exceeded 90% in the non-poor districts but only ranged from 54 to 67% in the poor districts. Inter-district inequalities were less pronounced for childhood vaccinations, with over 90% coverage levels across all districts. Inter-district inequalities in mortality rates were considerable. The neonatal mortality rate was nearly twice as high in the bottom 40% of households' as in the top 60% of households. Similarly, the under-5 mortality rate was three times higher in the bottom 40% compared to the top 60% of households. The substantial inequalities in MNCH service utilization and child mortality in Addis Ababa highlight the need for greater focus on the city's women and children living in the poorest households and districts in maternal, newborn, and child health programs.

Unincreased mortality of patients with early rheumatoid arthritis compared to the general population in the past 17 years: Analyses from the IORRA cohort.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this article is to investigate the mortality rate of patients with early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) over the past 17 years. METHODS: Japanese patients with early RA enrolled in the Institute of Rheumatology, Rheumatoid Arthritis cohort from 2001 to 2012 were classified into Groups A (2001-06) and B (2007-12). The standardized mortality ratio (SMR) and 5-year survival rate were calculated. RESULTS: Groups A and B had 1609 and 1608 patients, of which 167 and 178 patients were lost during follow-up and 47 and 45 deaths were confirmed, respectively. The SMR (95% confidence intervals) for Groups A and B were 0.81 (0.59-1.08) and 0.78 (0.57-1.04), respectively, with the condition that all untraceable patients were alive. Assuming that the mortality rate of untraceable patients was twice as high as that of the general population, the SMR was 0.90 (0.68-1.19) for Group A and 0.92 (0.68-1.23) for Group B. The 5-year survival rates were 96.9% and 97.0% for Groups A and B, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The 5-year mortality of patients with early RA has been comparable to that of the general Japanese population. The 5-year survival rate has been stable over the past 17 years.

Inequalities in cancer mortality trends in people with type 2 diabetes: 20 year population-based study in England.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The aim of this study was to describe the long-term trends in cancer mortality rates in people with type 2 diabetes based on subgroups defined by sociodemographic characteristics and risk factors. METHODS: We defined a cohort of individuals aged ≥35 years who had newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink between 1 January 1998 and 30 November 2018. We assessed trends in all-cause, all-cancer and cancer-specific mortality rates by age, gender, ethnicity, socioeconomic status, obesity and smoking status. We used Poisson regression to calculate age- and calendar year-specific mortality rates and Joinpoint regression to assess trends for each outcome. We estimated standardised mortality ratios comparing mortality rates in people with type 2 diabetes with those in the general population. RESULTS: Among 137,804 individuals, during a median follow-up of 8.4 years, all-cause mortality rates decreased at all ages between 1998 and 2018; cancer mortality rates also decreased for 55- and 65-year-olds but increased for 75- and 85-year-olds, with average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) of -1.4% (95% CI -1.5, -1.3), -0.2% (-0.3, -0.1), 1.2% (0.8, 1.6) and 1.6% (1.5, 1.7), respectively. Higher AAPCs were observed in women than men (1.5% vs 0.5%), in the least deprived than the most deprived (1.5% vs 1.0%) and in people with morbid obesity than those with normal body weight (5.8% vs 0.7%), although all these stratified subgroups showed upward trends in cancer mortality rates. Increasing cancer mortality rates were also observed in people of White ethnicity and former/current smokers, but downward trends were observed in other ethnic groups and non-smokers. These results have led to persistent inequalities by gender and deprivation but widening disparities by smoking status. Constant upward trends in mortality rates were also observed for pancreatic, liver and lung cancer at all ages, colorectal cancer at most ages, breast cancer at younger ages, and prostate and endometrial cancer at older ages. Compared with the general population, people with type 2 diabetes had a more than 1.5-fold increased risk of colorectal, pancreatic, liver and endometrial cancer mortality during the whole study period. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: In contrast to the declines in all-cause mortality rates at all ages, the cancer burden has increased in older people with type 2 diabetes, especially for colorectal, pancreatic, liver and endometrial cancer. Tailored cancer prevention and early detection strategies are needed to address persistent inequalities in the older population, the most deprived and smokers.

Malnutrition-related mortality trends in older adults in the United States from 1999 to 2020.

BACKGROUND: Malnutrition mortality in older adults is underrepresented in scientific literature. This obscures any recent changes and hinders needed social change. This study aims to assess malnutrition mortality trends in older adults (≥ 65 years old) from 1999 to 2020 in the United States (U.S.). METHODS: Mortality data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's (CDC) Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiology Research (WONDER) database were extracted. The ICD-10 Codes E40 - E46 were used to identify malnutrition deaths. Crude mortality rates (CMR) and age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) were extracted by gender, age, race, census region, and urban-rural classification. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to calculate annual percentage changes (APC) of AAMR by the permutation test and the parametric method was used to calculate 95% confidence intervals. Average Annual Percentage Changes (AAPC) were calculated as the weighted average of APCs. RESULTS: Between 1999 and 2020, 93,244 older adults died from malnutrition. Malnutrition AAMR increased from 10.7 per 100,000 in 1999 to 25.0 per 100,000 in 2020. The mortality trend declined from 1999 to 2006 (APC = -8.8; 95% CI: -10.0, -7.5), plateaued till 2013, then began to rise from 2013 to 2020 with an APC of 22.4 (95% CI: 21.3, 23.5) and an overall AAPC of 3.9 (95% CI: 3.1, 4.7). Persons ≥ 85 years of age, females, Non-Hispanic Whites, residents of the West region of the U.S., and urban areas had the highest AAPCs in their respective groups. CONCLUSION: Despite some initial decrements in malnutrition mortality among older adults in the U.S., the uptrend from 2013 to 2020 nullified all established progress. The end result is that malnutrition mortality rates represent a historical high. The burden of the mortality uptrends disproportionately affected certain demographics, namely persons ≥ 85 years of age, females, Non-Hispanic Whites, those living in the West region of the U.S., and urban areas. Effective interventions are strongly needed. Such interventions should aim to ensure food security and early detection and remedy of malnutrition among older adults through stronger government-funded programs and social support systems, increased funding for nursing homes, and more cohesive patient-centered medical care.

Liver-related mortality among people with hepatitis B and C: Evaluation of definitions based on linked healthcare administrative datasets.

Routinely collected and linked healthcare administrative datasets could be used to monitor mortality among people with hepatitis B (HBV) and C (HCV). This study aimed to evaluate the concordance in records of liver-related mortality among people with an HBV or HCV notification, between data on hospitalization for end-stage liver disease (ESLD) and death certificates. In New South Wales, Australia, HBV and HCV notifications (1993-2017) were linked to hospital admissions (2001-2018), all-cause mortality (1993-2018) and cause-specific mortality (1993-2016) datasets. Hospitalization for ESLD was defined as a first-time hospital admission due to decompensated cirrhosis (DC) or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Consistency of liver death definition of mortality following hospitalization for ESLD was compared with two death certificate-based definitions of liver deaths coded among primary and secondary cause-specific mortality data, including ESLD-related (deaths due to DC and HCC) and all-liver deaths (ESLD-related and other liver-related causes). Of 63,292 and 107,430 individuals with an HBV and HCV notification, there were 4478 (2.6%) post-ESLD hospitalization deaths, 5572 (3.3%) death certificate liver disease deaths and 2910 (1.7%) death certificate ESLD deaths. Between 2001 and 2016, among HBV post-ESLD hospitalization deaths (n = 891), 63% (562) had death certificate ESLD recorded, and 83% (741) had death certificate liver disease recorded. Between 2001 and 2016, among HCV post-ESLD hospitalization deaths (n = 3587), 58% (2082) had death certificate ESLD recorded, and 87% (3135) had death certificate liver disease recorded. At least one-third of death certificates with DC and HCC as cause of death had no mention of HBV, HCV or viral hepatitis. Our study identified limitations in estimating and tracking HBV and HCV liver disease mortality using death certificate-based data only. The optimum data for this purpose is either ESLD hospitalisations with vital status information or a combination of these with cause-specific death certificate data.

Mortality trends in primary malignant brain and central nervous system tumors vary by histopathology, age, race, and sex.

PURPOSE: Primary malignant brain and other central nervous system tumors are rare cancers that have shown rising mortality rates in recent years. To elucidate potential factors involved in this rising death rate, we examined mortality trends for primary malignant BT in the United States stratified by histopathology groupings, age, race, and sex. METHODS: Mortality rates for demographic factors within primary malignant BT were generated using the National Center for Health Statistics' National Vital Statistics Systems data from 2004 to 2018. Additionally, histopathology-specific incidence-based mortality rates were calculated using the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End-Results (SEER) 18 data from 2004 to 2018. Joinpoint modeling was used to estimate mortality trends and annual percent changes with corresponding 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: Overall, there was a very small increase in mortality from 2004 to 2018. Individuals > 65 years saw a small increase in mortality, while changes in individuals of other ages were non-significant. Asian/Pacific Islander or American Indian/Alaskan Native had the largest increase in mortality. Among histopathology groupings, there was a small mortality increase in adults ages > 65 years with glioblastoma, while the mortality rate of other malignant gliomas declined in the same age group. CNS lymphoma mortality rates in patients ages 15-39 and 40-64 years declined significantly while rising significantly in the > 65 age group. In pediatric patients, embryonal tumor mortality had a non-significant increase between 2004 and 2007 but declined significantly between 2007 and 2018. CONCLUSION: Examining age, race, sex, and histopathology-specific mortality trends at the population level can provide important information for clinicians, researchers, and aid in public health planning.

Seasonal effects on cancer incidence and prognosis.

BACKGROUND: It is unknown if the reduction in the expected number of cancer cases diagnosed during Swedish holidays are due to diagnostic delays, how different cancers are affected, and if the season of diagnosis influences long-term cancer survival. We aimed to quantify seasonal trends in incidence and excess mortality for a wide range of malignancies, requiring more or less urgent clinical management. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This nationwide cohort study included all Swedish residents aged 20-84 in 1990-2019. Incidence and relative survival in pancreatic, colorectal, lung, urothelial, breast, and prostate cancer, together with malignant melanoma, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, and acute leukemia diagnosed during holiday and post-holiday were compared to working (reference) season. Incidence rate ratios (IRR) were estimated using Poisson regression and excess (cancer) mortality rate ratios using flexible parametric models. RESULTS: We identified 882,980 cancer cases. Incidence declined during holiday season for all malignancies and the IRR ranged from 0.58 (95% CI 0.57-0.59 in breast to 0.92 (95% CI 0.89-0.94) in pancreatic cancer. A post-holiday increase was noted for acute leukemia, pancreatic, and lung cancer. For all malignancies except lung cancer, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, and acute leukemia, the excess mortality at 2 years from diagnosis was higher among those diagnosed during the holiday season. A tendency toward elevated short-term (0.5 years) excess mortality was noted in the post-holiday group, but long-term effects only persisted in breast cancer. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates lower holiday detection rates and higher mortality rates in various cancer types diagnosed during holiday season. Healthcare systems should offer a uniform level of cancer care independent of calendar season.

Atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter related mortality trends in the US population 2010-2020: Regional, racial, sex variations.

BACKGROUND: There is an evolving need to evaluate atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter (AF/AFL) mortality trends across races, sexes, geographic regions and urbanization statuses to better understand management inequalities. METHODS: This observational study utilized the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) database. Mortality rates due to AF/AFL as underlying and contributing causes of death between 2010 and 2020 were investigated. Mortality trends due to AF/AFL as contributing causes of death for different races, sexes, census regions and urbanization statuses were analyzed using annual percentage change (APC), and Joinpoint regression analysis. RESULTS: Mortality from AF/AFL as the underlying cause was increasing across the US until 2016 (APC 4.8%), followed by a plateau 2016-2020 (APC 0.0 %). Conversely, the mortality rate due to AF/AFL as a contributing cause increases 2010-2020 (APC 3.3%). The mortality rate in both sexes significantly increased in almost all groups, with the largest increase seen in Non-Hispanic Black males. Rural areas had a higher mortality rate (36.9 and 22.9 per 100,000 for males and females in 2020, respectively) and higher slope of increase than urban areas in total US population. Non-Hispanic White people had greater mortality than Non-Hispanic Black people; however, Non-Hispanic Black mortality rates are increasing at a faster rate in urban areas. CONCLUSION: AF/AFL as the underlying cause of death has plateaued from 2016 across the US 2010-2020; whilst AF/AFL as contributing cause of death is increasing. Significant discrepancies in mortality rates are identified between races and urbanization status.

Trends in all-cause mortality and leading causes of death from 2009 to 2019 among older adults in China.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to determine long-term variations in mortality trends and identify the leading causes of death among older adults in China from 2009 to 2019 so as to propose interventions to further stabilise the mortality rate among older adults and facilitate healthy ageing. METHODS: We extracted data from the China Death Surveillance database from 2009 to 2019 for all-cause mortality and cause-specific death among individuals aged ≥ 65 years. A joinpoint regression model was used to estimate mortality trends by calculating the annual percentage change (APC). A trend chi-square test was used to estimate sex differences in mortality, and descriptive analysis was used to estimate the leading causes of death. Semi-structured expert interviews were conducted to examine health interventions for older adults. RESULTS: We observed an overall declining trend in age-adjusted mortality rates among older adults aged ≥ 65 years in China from 2009 to 2019 (APC, -2.44; P < 0.05). In this population, the male mortality rate was higher than the female mortality rate during this period (P < 0.05). However, the mortality rate among older adults aged ≥ 85 years increased since 2014, particularly among females. Cardiovascular disease (CVD) was the leading cause of death among older adults aged 65-84 years, whereas ischaemic heart disease was the leading cause of death among individuals aged ≥ 85 years, especially among females. The majority of injuries resulting in death were caused by falls, showing an increasing trend. CONCLUSIONS: CVD is a major cause of death among older adults aged ≥ 65 years in China, and relevant health intervention strategies should be implemented from the perspectives of physiology, psychology, and living environment. The change in the mortality trend and the distribution of cause of death among older adults aged ≥ 85 years is noteworthy; a diagnostic and management model centred around females aged ≥ 85 years should be implemented. Additionally, a multidimensional fall prevention strategy involving primary medical institutions and care services needs to be implemented to reduce the risk of falls among older adults.

Deaths of Despair and Population Aging in Missouri.

Recent declines in life expectancy in the US, especially for middle-aged White persons, have called attention to mortality from deaths of despair - deaths due to alcohol, drugs, and suicide. Using data from the Centers for Disease Control and the U.S. Census Bureau, this paper examined deaths of despair by race/ethnicity, age, cause of death, birth cohort, and sex in Missouri. We focused on Area Agencies on Aging as geographic units of interest to increase usefulness of our findings to public administrators. Deaths of despair began trending up for all age groups beginning in 2007-2009, with the sharpest increases occurring for Black or African American non-Hispanics beginning in 2013-2015. The most dramatic increases occurred for the population age 50-59 in St. Louis City and Area Agency on Aging regions in southern Missouri. For older adults, considerable variation in rates, trends, and cause of deaths of despair is evident across the state.

International variation in childhood cancer mortality rates from 2001 to 2015: Comparison of trends in the International Cancer Benchmarking Partnership countries.

Despite improved survival rates, cancer remains one of the most common causes of childhood death. The International Cancer Benchmarking Partnership (ICBP) showed variation in cancer survival for adults. We aimed to assess and compare trends over time in cancer mortality between children, adolescents and young adults (AYAs) and adults in the six countries involved in the ICBP: United Kingdom, Denmark, Australia, Canada, Norway and Sweden. Trends in mortality between 2001 and 2015 in the six original ICBP countries were examined. Age standardised mortality rates (ASR per million) were calculated for all cancers, leukaemia, malignant and benign central nervous system (CNS) tumours, and non-CNS solid tumours. ASRs were reported for children (age 0-14 years), AYAs aged 15 to 39 years and adults aged 40 years and above. Average annual percentage change (AAPC) in mortality rates per country were estimated using Joinpoint regression. For all cancers combined, significant temporal reductions were observed in all countries and all age groups. However, the overall AAPC was greater for children (-2.9; 95% confidence interval = -4.0 to -1.7) compared to AYAs (-1.8; -2.1 to -1.5) and adults aged >40 years (-1.5; -1.6 to -1.4). This pattern was mirrored for leukaemia, CNS tumours and non-CNS solid tumours, with the difference being most pronounced for leukaemia: AAPC for children -4.6 (-6.1 to -3.1) vs AYAs -3.2 (-4.2 to -2.1) and over 40s -1.1 (-1.3 to -0.8). AAPCs varied between countries in children for all cancers except leukaemia, and in adults over 40 for all cancers combined, but not in subgroups. Improvements in cancer mortality rates in ICBP countries have been most marked among children aged 0 to 14 in comparison to 15 to 39 and over 40 year olds. This may reflect better care, including centralised service provision, treatment protocols and higher trial recruitment rates in children compared to older patients.

Trends and complications associated with acute new-onset heart failure: a National Readmissions Database-based cohort study.

Literature regarding recent trends and outcomes of acute new-onset heart failure (AHF) with preserved ejection fraction (AHFpEF) and reduced ejection fraction (AHFrEF) is limited. The objective of this study is to study the outcomes of AHFpEF and AHFrEF in the USA. Data from the National Readmissions Database (NRD) sample that constitutes 49.1% of the stratified sample of all hospitals in the USA, representing more than 95% of the national population, were analyzed for hospitalization visits for acute heart failure. ICD-9 and ICD-10 codes were used to identify AHF. A total of 2,559,102 adult index AHF patients (mean age 70.79 ± 14.58 years, 49.4% females), 1,028,970 (40.2%) AHFpEF and 1,330,999 (52%) AHFrEF, were recorded in the National Readmissions Database for the years 2016-2018. A total of 152,465 (5.96%) acute heart failure, 47,271 (4.6%) AHFpEF and 91,973 (6.91%) AHFrEF, died during hospitalization, and 45,810 (1.9%) were readmitted in 30 days among alive discharges. Higher complication rates which included ventricular arrhythmias, acute coronary, and cerebrovascular events were observed among AHFrEF than AHFpEF. Higher proportion of patients with AHFrEF needed intensive care unit and ventilatory support during the hospitalization. The trend of incidence of AHFrEF, mortality among AHFrEF, and overall mortality worsened while AHFpEF improved over the study years 2012-2018 (p-trend < 0.05). Coronary procedures improved mortality rates among AHFpEF and AHFrEF. AHF is very common and is associated with significant mortality. The incidence of AHFrEF and mortality among AHFrEF had worsened, which calls for urgent intervention. Improved recognition of AHF is needed, and guideline-directed treatment of underlying risk factors including coronary artery disease can improve mortality. Graphic abstract of the analysis presented (created with BioRender.com).

Recent Trends in Admission Diagnosis and Related Mortality in the Medically Critically Ill.

PURPOSE: With decades of declining ICU mortality, we hypothesized that the outcomes and distribution of diseases cared for in the ICU have changed and we aimed to further characterize them. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: A retrospective cohort analysis of 287,154 nonsurgical-critically ill adults, from 237 U.S. ICUs, using the manually abstracted Cerner APACHE Outcomes database from 2008 to 2016 was performed. Surgical patients, rare admission diagnoses (<100 occurrences), and low volume hospitals (<100 total admissions) were excluded. Diagnoses were distributed into mutually exclusive organ system/disease-based categories based on admission diagnosis. Multi-level mixed-effects negative binomial regression was used to assess temporal trends in admission, in-hospital mortality, and length of stay (LOS). RESULTS: The number of ICU admissions remained unchanged (IRR 0.99, 0.98-1.003) while certain organ system/disease groups increased (toxicology [25%], hematologic/oncologic [55%] while others decreased (gastrointestinal [31%], pulmonary [24%]). Overall risk-adjusted in-hospital mortality was unchanged (IRR 0.98, 0.96-1.0004). Risk-adjusted ICU LOS (Estimate -0.06 days/year, -0.07 to -0.04) decreased. Risk-adjusted mortality varied significantly by disease. CONCLUSION: Risk-adjusted ICU mortality rate did not change over the study period, but there was evidence of shifting disease burden across the critical care population. Our data provides useful information regarding future ICU personnel and resource needs.

Trends in premature cerebrovascular disease mortality in the Polish population aged 25-64 years, 2000-2016.

Background: Many scientific reports have shown a decrease in total cerebrovascular disease (CeVD) mortality over the past few decades, but too little attention has been paid to premature mortality. CeVD accounted for 22.5% and 17.8% of premature cardiovascular disease deaths in Poland, in 2000 and 2016, respectively. Objective: The aim of the study was to analyse premature CeVD mortality in the Polish population in the recent years, the dynamics of its changes and the potential factors that may have contributed to the decline in mortality. The main goal of the study was to overview the levels and trends in premature CeVD mortality with an emphasis on haemorrhagic, ischaemic and unspecified (not specified as haemorrhagic or ischaemic) stroke. Material and methods: The analysis was based on a database of the Central Statistical Office of Poland and included data from 2000-2016 on premature cerebrovascular deaths occurring between 25 and 64 years of age (N=104,786). CeVD and haemorrhagic, ischaemic or unspecified stroke were coded with ICD-10 codes I60-I69, I61-I62, I63 and I64, respectively. The analysis included assessment of CeVD deaths distribution and evaluation of age-specific mortality rates in 10-year age groups and age-standardised mortality rates (SMR) in the age group 25-64 years, separately for men and women. Trends in SMRs have been studied in the period 2000-2016. Results: The number of CeVD deaths decreased by 32.8% in men and 48.8% in women. There was a two-fold decline in CeVD mortality: from 59 to 29 male and from 30 to 12 female per 100,000. In addition, a 2-year increase in the median age of CeVD death was observed (Men: 56.4 to 58.4 years, Women: 56.4 to 58.7 years, p<0.001). A statistically significant decline in mortality (per 100,000) was also noticed for haemorrhagic stroke (Men: 18.7 to 10.4; Women: 9.6 to 3.8), ischaemic stroke (Men: 11.8 to 8.4; Women: 4.7 to 3.0) and unspecified stroke (Men: 19.7 to 3.5; Women: 9.1 to 1.3). Conclusions: A substantial decline in premature CeVD mortality was observed in the period 2000-2016. Additionally, the number of deaths that could not be classified as haemorrhagic or ischaemic stroke death decreased significantly. The increasingly widespread use of new post-stroke therapies and their availability make it possible to expect a further decrease in CeVD mortality. However, the necessary actions should be taken to compensate for the disparities in CeVD mortality between men and women.

Trends in "Deaths of Despair" Among Working-Aged White and Black Americans, 1990-2017.

Life expectancy for US White men and women declined between 2013 and 2017. Initial explanations for the decline focused on increases in "deaths of despair" (i.e., deaths from suicide, drug use, and alcohol use), which have been interpreted as a cohort-based phenomenon afflicting middle-aged White Americans. There has been less attention on Black mortality trends from these same causes, and whether the trends are similar or different by cohort and period. We complement existing research and contend that recent mortality trends in both the US Black and White populations most likely reflect period-based exposures to 1) the US opioid epidemic and 2) the Great Recession. We analyzed cause-specific mortality trends in the United States for deaths from suicide, drug use, and alcohol use among non-Hispanic Black and non-Hispanic White Americans, aged 20-64 years, over 1990-2017. We employed sex-, race-, and cause-of-death-stratified Poisson rate models and age-period-cohort models to compare mortality trends. Results indicate that rising "deaths of despair" for both Black and White Americans are overwhelmingly driven by period-based increases in drug-related deaths since the late 1990s. Further, deaths related to alcohol use and suicide among both White and Black Americans changed during the Great Recession, despite some racial differences across cohorts.