North American tree migration paced by climate in the West, lagging in the East.

Tree fecundity and recruitment have not yet been quantified at scales needed to anticipate biogeographic shifts in response to climate change. By separating their responses, this study shows coherence across species and communities, offering the strongest support to date that migration is in progress with regional limitations on rates. The southeastern continent emerges as a fecundity hotspot, but it is situated south of population centers where high seed production could contribute to poleward population spread. By contrast, seedling success is highest in the West and North, serving to partially offset limited seed production near poleward frontiers. The evidence of fecundity and recruitment control on tree migration can inform conservation planning for the expected long-term disequilibrium between climate and forest distribution.

Global patterns in the predator satiation effect of masting: A meta-analysis.

SignificanceMasting, or synchronous production of large seed crops, is widespread among plants. The predator satiation hypothesis states that masting evolved to overwhelm seed predators with an excess of food. Yet, this popular explanation faced few rigorous tests. We conducted a meta-analysis of studies that related the magnitude of seed production to the intensity of seed predation. Our results validate certain theoretical notions (e.g., that predator satiation is more effective at higher latitudes) but challenge others (e.g., that specialist and generalist consumers differ in the type of functional response to masting). We also found that masting is losing its ability to satiate consumers, probably because global warming affected masting patterns. This shift might considerably impair the reproduction of masting plants.

Comparative transcriptome analysis reveals the impact of daily temperature difference on male sterility in photo-thermo-sensitive male sterile wheat.

BACKGROUND: Photo-thermo-sensitive male sterility (PTMS), which refers to the male sterility triggered by variations in photoperiod and temperature, is a crucial element in the wheat two-line hybrid system. The development of safe production and efficient propagation for male sterile lines holds utmost importance in two-line hybrid wheat. Under the stable photoperiod condition, PTMS is mainly induced by high or low temperatures in wheat, but the effect of daily temperature difference (DTD) on the fertility conversion of PTMS lines has not been reported. Here, three BS type PTMS lines including BS108, BS138, and BS366, as well as a control wheat variety J411 were used to analyze the correlation between fertility and DTD using differentially sowing tests, photo-thermo-control experiments, and transcriptome sequencing. RESULTS: The differentially sowing tests suggested that the optimal sowing time for safe seed production of the three PTMS lines was from October 5th to 25th in Dengzhou, China. Under the condition of 12 h 12 °C, the PTMS lines were greatly affected by DTD and exhibited complete male sterility at a temperature difference of 15 °C. Furthermore, under different temperature difference conditions, a total of 20,677 differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were obtained using RNA sequencing. Moreover, through weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA) and KEGG enrichment analysis, the identified DEGs had a close association with "starch and sucrose metabolism", "phenylpropanoid biosynthesis", "MAPK signaling pathway-plant", "flavonoid biosynthesis", and "cutin, and suberine and wax biosynthesis". qRT-PCR analysis showed the expression levels of core genes related to KEGG pathways significantly decreased at a temperature difference of 15 ° C. Finally, we constructed a transcriptome mediated network of temperature difference affecting male sterility. CONCLUSIONS: The findings provide important theoretical insights into the correlation between temperature difference and male sterility, providing guidance for the identification and selection of more secure and effective PTMS lines.

Tail-dependence of masting synchrony results in continent-wide seed scarcity.

Spatial synchrony may be tail-dependent, meaning it is stronger for peaks rather than troughs, or vice versa. High interannual variation in seed production in perennial plants, called masting, can be synchronized at subcontinental scales, triggering extensive resource pulses or famines. We used data from 99 populations of European beech (Fagus sylvatica) to examine whether masting synchrony differs between mast peaks and years of seed scarcity. Our results revealed that seed scarcity occurs simultaneously across the majority of the species range, extending to populations separated by distances up to 1800 km. Mast peaks were spatially synchronized at distances up to 1000 km and synchrony was geographically concentrated in northeastern Europe. Extensive synchrony in the masting lower tail means that famines caused by beech seed scarcity are amplified by their extensive spatial synchrony, with diverse consequences for food web functioning and climate change biology.

Relatives reproduce in synchrony: kinship and individual condition shape intraspecific variation in masting phenotype.

Masting (synchronous and interannually variable seed production) is frequently called a reproductive strategy; yet it is unclear whether the reproductive behaviour of individuals has a heritable component. To address this, we used 22 years of annual fruit production data from 110 Sorbus aucuparia L. trees to examine the contributions of genetic factors to the reproductive phenotype of individuals, while controlling for environmental variation. Trees sharing close genetic relationships and experiencing similar habitat conditions exhibited similar levels of reproductive synchrony. Trees of comparable sizes displayed similar levels of year-to-year variation in fruiting, with relatedness contributing to this variation. External factors, such as shading, influenced the time intervals between years with abundant fruit production. The effects of genetic relatedness on the synchrony of reproduction among trees and on interannual variation provide long-awaited evidence that the masting phenotype is heritable, and can respond to natural selection.

Controlling diurnal flower-opening time by manipulating the jasmonate pathway accelerates development of indica-japonica hybrid rice breeding.

Inter-subspecific indica-japonica hybrid rice (Oryza sativa) has the potential for increased yields over traditional indica intra-subspecies hybrid rice, but limited yield of F1 hybrid seed production (FHSP) hinders the development of indica-japonica hybrid rice breeding. Diurnal flower-opening time (DFOT) divergence between indica and japonica rice has been a major contributing factor to this issue, but few DFOT genes have been cloned. Here, we found that manipulating the expression of jasmonate (JA) pathway genes can effectively modulate DFOT to improve the yield of FHSP in rice. Treating japonica cultivar Zhonghua 11 (ZH11) with methyl jasmonate (MeJA) substantially advanced DFOT. Furthermore, overexpressing the JA biosynthesis gene OPDA REDUCTASE 7 (OsOPR7) and knocking out the JA inactivation gene CHILLING TOLERANCE 1 (OsHAN1) in ZH11 advanced DFOT by 1- and 2-h respectively; and knockout of the JA signal suppressor genes JASMONATE ZIM-DOMAIN PROTEIN 7 (OsJAZ7) and OsJAZ9 resulted in 50-min and 1.5-h earlier DFOT respectively. The yields of FHSP using japonica male-sterile lines GAZS with manipulated JA pathway genes were significantly higher than that of GAZS wildtype. Transcriptome analysis, cytological observations, measurements of elastic modulus and determination of cell wall components indicated that the JA pathway could affect the loosening of the lodicule cell walls by regulating their composition through controlling sugar metabolism, which in turn influences DFOT. This research has vital implications for breeding japonica rice cultivars with early DFOT to facilitate indica-japonica hybrid rice breeding.

Widespread breakdown in masting in European beech due to rising summer temperatures.

Climate change effects on tree reproduction are poorly understood, even though the resilience of populations relies on sufficient regeneration to balance increasing rates of mortality. Forest-forming tree species often mast, i.e. reproduce through synchronised year-to-year variation in seed production, which improves pollination and reduces seed predation. Recent observations in European beech show, however, that current climate change can dampen interannual variation and synchrony of seed production and that this masting breakdown drastically reduces the viability of seed crops. Importantly, it is unclear under which conditions masting breakdown occurs and how widespread breakdown is in this pan-European species. Here, we analysed 50 long-term datasets of population-level seed production, sampled across the distribution of European beech, and identified increasing summer temperatures as the general driver of masting breakdown. Specifically, increases in site-specific mean maximum temperatures during June and July were observed across most of the species range, while the interannual variability of population-level seed production (CVp) decreased. The declines in CVp were greatest, where temperatures increased most rapidly. Additionally, the occurrence of crop failures and low seed years has decreased during the last four decades, signalling altered starvation effects of masting on seed predators. Notably, CVp did not vary among sites according to site mean summer temperature. Instead, masting breakdown occurs in response to warming local temperatures (i.e. increasing relative temperatures), such that the risk is not restricted to populations growing in warm average conditions. As lowered CVp can reduce viable seed production despite the overall increase in seed count, our results warn that a covert mechanism is underway that may hinder the regeneration potential of European beech under climate change, with great potential to alter forest functioning and community dynamics.

Anthropogenic land-use change decreases pollination and male and female fitness in terrestrial flowering plants.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The majority of the earth's land area is currently occupied by humans. Measuring how terrestrial plants reproduce in these pervasive environments is essential for understanding their long-term viability and their ability to adapt to changing environments. METHODS: We conducted hierarchical and phylogenetically-independent meta-analyses to assess the overall effects of anthropogenic land-use changes on pollination, and male and female fitness in terrestrial plants. KEY RESULTS: We found negative global effects of land use change (i.e., mainly habitat loss and fragmentation) on pollination and on female and male fitness of terrestrial flowering plants. Negative effects were stronger in plants with self-incompatibility (SI) systems and pollinated by invertebrates, regardless of life form and sexual expression. Pollination and female fitness of pollination generalist and specialist plants were similarly negatively affected by land-use change, whereas male fitness of specialist plants showed no effects. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that angiosperm populations remaining in fragmented habitats negatively affect pollination, and female and male fitness, which will likely decrease the recruitment, survival, and long-term viability of plant populations remaining in fragmented landscapes. We underline the main current gaps of knowledge for future research agendas and call out not only for a decrease in the current rates of land-use changes across the world but also to embark on active restoration efforts to increase the area and connectivity of remaining natural habitats.

Identification of two plastid transit peptides for construction of pollen-inactivation system in rice.

Hybrid seed production technology (SPT) is achieved through the utilization of a recessive nuclear male-sterile mutant transformed with a transgenic cassette comprising three essential components: the wild-type gene to restore the fertility of the male-sterile mutant, an α-amylase gene to disrupt transgenic pollen grains, and red fluorescence protein gene DsRed to distinguish the transgenic seeds from the nontransgenic male sterile seeds. In rice, we establish the pollen disruption system by introducing an amyloplast targeting signal peptide (ASP) at the N-terminus of maize α-amylase protein ZM-AA1ΔSP (ZM-AA1 with the N-terminal signal peptide removed). The ASP facilitates the transport of ZM-AA1ΔSP protein into amyloplast where it degrades starch, resulting in disruption of the pollen fertility. To obtain such signal peptides for rice, we searched the rice proteins homologous to the defined wheat amyloplast proteins followed by protein-protein interaction network predictions and targeting signal peptides prediction. These analyses enabled the identification of four candidate ASPs in rice, which were designated as ASP1, ASP2, ASP3, and ASP4, respectively. ASP1 and ASP2, when linked with ZM-AA1ΔSP, exhibited the capability to disrupt transgenic pollen grains, whereas ASP3 and ASP4 did not produce this effect. Interestingly, the localization experiments showed that ASP3 and ASP4 were able to target the proteins into chloroplast. The ASP1 and ASP2 sequences provide valuable tools for genetic engineering of the rice male-sterile system, which will contribute to the hybrid rice breeding and production. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11032-024-01471-y.

The Alternative Host with the Most: Understanding the Ecology of Xanthomonas hortorum pv. carotae on Noncarrot Crops in Central Oregon.

Bacterial blight of carrot, caused by Xanthomonas hortorum pv. carotae (Xhc), is an economically important disease in carrot (Daucus carota subsp. sativus) seed production. The objectives of this study were to determine if Xhc was present on noncarrot crops grown in central Oregon and, if detected, evaluate its ability to colonize alternative hosts. Surveys of three carrot seed fields and adjacent fields of rye (Secale cereale), alfalfa (Medicago sativa), parsley root (Petroselinum crispum var. tuberosum), and Kentucky bluegrass (Poa pratensis) demonstrated that Xhc was present on noncarrot crops. Greenhouse experiments were conducted to determine the ability of Xhc to colonize crops cultivated in the region. Carrot, alfalfa, curly parsley (Petroselinum crispum), Kentucky bluegrass, mint (Mentha × piperita), parsley root, roughstalk bluegrass (Poa trivialis), and wheat (Triticum aestivum) plants were spray-inoculated with Xhc and destructively sampled at 1, 7, 14, and 28 or 25 days post-inoculation. Xhc populations were quantified using viability quantitative PCR and dilution plating. A significant (P ≤ 0.03) effect of crop was observed at 1, 14, and 28 or 25 days in both experiments. While carrot hosted the most Xhc at the final timepoint, other crops supported epiphytic Xhc populations including wheat and both bluegrasses. Mint, parsley root, and alfalfa hosted the least Xhc. Bacterial blight symptoms were observed on carrots but not on noncarrot crops. This suggests that crops grown in central Oregon have the potential to be asymptomatically colonized by Xhc and may serve as reservoirs of the pathogen in carrot seed production systems.

Mitochondrial and peroxisomal NAD+ uptake are important for improved photosynthesis and seed yield under elevated CO2 concentrations.

As sessile organisms, plants must adapt their physiology and developmental processes to cope with challenging environmental circumstances, such as the ongoing elevation in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2 ) levels. Nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide (NAD+ ) is a cornerstone of plant metabolism and plays an essential role in redox homeostasis. Given that plants impaired in NAD metabolism and transport often display growth defects, low seed production and disturbed stomatal development/movement, we hypothesized that subcellular NAD distribution could be a candidate for plants to exploit the effects of CO2 fertilization. We report that an efficient subcellular NAD+ distribution is required for the fecundity-promoting effects of elevated CO2 levels. Plants with reduced expression of either mitochondrial (NDT1 or NDT2) or peroxisomal (PXN) NAD+ transporter genes grown under elevated CO2 exhibited reduced total leaf area compared with the wild-type while PXN mutants also displayed reduced leaf number. NDT2 and PXN lines grown under elevated CO2 conditions displayed reduced rosette dry weight and lower photosynthetic rates coupled with reduced stomatal conductance. Interestingly, high CO2 doubled seed production and seed weight in the wild-type, whereas the mutants were less responsive to increases in CO2 levels during reproduction, producing far fewer seeds than the wild-type under both CO2 conditions. These data highlight the importance of mitochondrial and peroxisomal NAD+ uptake mediated by distinct NAD transporter proteins to modulate photosynthesis and seed production under high CO2 levels.

Mechanisms driving interspecific variation in regional synchrony of trees reproduction.

Seed production in many plants is characterized by large interannual variation, which is synchronized at subcontinental scales in some species but local in others. The reproductive synchrony affects animal migrations, trophic responses to resource pulses and the planning of management and conservation. Spatial synchrony of reproduction is typically attributed to the Moran effect, but this alone is unable to explain interspecific differences in synchrony. We show that interspecific differences in the conservation of seed production-weather relationships combine with the Moran effect to explain variation in reproductive synchrony. Conservative timing of weather cues that trigger masting allows populations to be synchronized at distances >1000 km. Conversely, if populations respond to variable weather signals, synchrony cannot be achieved. Our study shows that species vary in the extent to which their weather cueing is spatiotemporally conserved, with important consequences, including an interspecific variation of masting vulnerability to climate change.

Forecasting seed production in perennial plants: identifying challenges and charting a path forward.

Interannual variability of seed production, known as masting, has far-reaching ecological impacts including effects on forest regeneration and the population dynamics of seed consumers. Because the relative timing of management and conservation efforts in ecosystems dominated by masting species often determines their success, there is a need to study masting mechanisms and develop forecasting tools for seed production. Here, we aim to establish seed production forecasting as a new branch of the discipline. We evaluate the predictive capabilities of three models - foreMast, ΔT, and a sequential model - designed to predict seed production in trees using a pan-European dataset of Fagus sylvatica seed production. The models are moderately successful in recreating seed production dynamics. The availability of high-quality data on prior seed production improved the sequential model's predictive power, suggesting that effective seed production monitoring methods are crucial for creating forecasting tools. In terms of extreme events, the models are better at predicting crop failures than bumper crops, likely because the factors preventing seed production are better understood than the processes leading to large reproductive events. We summarize the current challenges and provide a roadmap to help advance the discipline and encourage the further development of mast forecasting.

How to measure mast seeding?

The periodic production of large seed crops, or masting, is a widespread phenomenon in perennial plants. This behavior can enhance the reproductive efficiency of plants, leading to increased fitness, and produce ripple effects on food webs. While variability from year to year is a defining characteristic of masting, the methods used to quantify this variability are highly debated. The commonly used coefficient of variation lacks the ability to account for the serial dependence in mast data and can be influenced by zeros, making it a less suitable choice for various applications based on individual-level observations, such as phenotypic selection, heritability, and climate change studies, which rely on individual-plant-level datasets that often contain numerous zeros. To address these limitations, we present three case studies and introduce volatility and periodicity, which account for the variance in the frequency domain by emphasizing the significance of long intervals in masting. By utilizing examples of Sorbus aucuparia, Pinus pinea, Quercus robur, Quercus pubescens, and Fagus sylvatica, we demonstrate how volatility captures the effects of variance at both high and low frequencies, even in the presence of zeros, leading to improved ecological interpretations of the results. The growing availability of long-term, individual-plant datasets promises significant advancements in the field, but requires appropriate tools for analysis, which the new metrics provide.

Reproductive collapse in European beech results from declining pollination efficiency in large trees.

Climate warming increases tree mortality which will require sufficient reproduction to ensure population viability. However, the response of tree reproduction to climate change remains poorly understood. Warming can reduce synchrony and interannual variability of seed production ("masting breakdown") which can increase seed predation and decrease pollination efficiency in trees. Here, using 40 years of observations of individual seed production in European beech (Fagus sylvatica), we showed that masting breakdown results in declining viable seed production over time, in contrast to the positive trend apparent in raw seed count data. Furthermore, tree size modulates the consequences of masting breakdown on viable seed production. While seed predation increased over time mainly in small trees, pollination efficiency disproportionately decreased in larger individuals. Consequently, fecundity declined over time across all size classes, but the overall effect was greatest in large trees. Our study showed that a fundamental biological relationship-correlation between tree size and viable seed production-has been reversed as the climate has warmed. That reversal has diverse consequences for forest dynamics; including for stand- and biogeographical-level dynamics of forest regeneration. The tree size effects suggest management options to increase forest resilience under changing climates.

Flowers that self-shade reduce heat stress and pollen limitation.

PREMISE: Plants are facing increased risk of heat stress with global climate change. Reproductive tissues are particularly heat-sensitive, which can result in lower plant fitness. Floral shading and closure are possible mechanisms to limit heat stress although most previous work on petal orientation has considered adaptations to raise temperatures. We hypothesized that floral shading could reduce temperature and increase reproductive success. METHODS: We measured floral temperatures of four species that exhibited intraspecific variation in flower closure (Opuntia ficus-indica, Oenothera elata, Convolvulus arvensis, and Romneya coulteri). We also wired newly opened R. coulteri flowers so that they were either permanently open or permanently closed; controls were not wired. RESULTS: Individual flowers of all four species that shaded their pistils were exposed to temperatures 3-8°C lower than those that remained open and unshaded. In our wiring experiment, unencumbered R. coulteri controls were 40% more likely to produce seeds than flowers that were either permanently open or closed. Without added pollen, control flowers produced 2× more seeds than flowers wired open and 8× more than those wired closed. However, pollen addition eliminated the effects of wiring and increased capsule mass and seed production. This effect of pollen addition suggests that pollen limitation was responsible for observed differences in the wiring treatments. Pollinators may prefer control flowers over those that were wired open or closed; petal shading may make flowers cooler and more attractive to pollinators. CONCLUSIONS: Petal shading may be a behavior that allows flowers to reduce heat stress and increases their chances of pollination and seed set.

Limited reproductive interference despite high rates of heterospecific pollen transfer among co-occurring bat-pollinated Burmeistera.

PREMISE: Many tropical plants are bat-pollinated, but these mammals often carry copious, multispecific pollen loads making bat-pollinated plants susceptible to heterospecific pollen deposition and reproductive interference. We investigated pollen transfer between sympatric bat-pollinated Burmeistera species and their response to heterospecific pollen deposition from each other. METHODS: We quantified conspecific and heterospecific pollen deposition for two populations of B. ceratocarpa, a recipient species in heterospecific pollen transfer interactions, that co-occur with different donor relatives (B. borjensis and B. glabrata). We then used a cross-pollination scheme using pollen mixtures to assess the species' responses to heterospecific pollen deposition in terms of fruit abortion and seed production. RESULTS: Burmeistera ceratocarpa received significantly more heterospecific pollen from its relatives at both sites than its own pollen was deposited on its relatives. However, heterospecific pollen deposition only affected seed production by B. borjensis and B. glabrata, but not by B. ceratocarpa, suggesting that early acting post-pollination barriers buffer the latter against reproductive interference. Crosses between sympatric and allopatric populations suggest that the study species are fully isolated in sympatry, while isolation between allopatric populations is strong but incomplete. CONCLUSIONS: We did not observe evidence of reproductive interference among our study species, because either heterospecific pollen deposition did not affect their seed production (B. ceratocarpa) or they receive heterospecific pollen only rarely (B. borjensis and B. glabrata). Frequent heterospecific pollen deposition might favor the evolution of barriers against foreign pollen (as in B. ceratocarpa) that alleviate the competitive costs of sharing low fidelity pollinators with co-occurring species.

Fire effects on plant reproductive fitness vary among individuals, reflecting pollination-dependent mechanisms.

PREMISE: Fire induces flowering in many plant species worldwide, potentially improving reproductive fitness via greater availability of resources, as evident by flowering effort, and improved pollination outcomes, as evident by seed set. Postfire increases in flowering synchrony, and thus mating opportunities, may improve pollination. However, few studies evaluate fire effects on multiple components of fitness. Consequently, the magnitude and mechanism of fire effects on reproductive fitness remain unclear. METHODS: Over multiple years and prescribed burns in a prairie preserve, we counted flowering stems, flowers, fruits, and seeds of three prairie perennials, Echinacea angustifolia, Liatris aspera, and Solidago speciosa. We used aster life-history models to assess how fire and mating opportunities influenced annual maternal fitness and its components in individual plants. RESULTS: In Echinacea and Liatris, but not in Solidago, fire increased head counts, and both fire and mating opportunities increased maternal fitness. Burned Echinacea and Liatris plants with many flower heads produced many seeds despite low seed set (fertilization rates). In contrast, plants with an average number of flower heads had high seed set and produced many seeds only when mating opportunities were abundant. CONCLUSIONS: Fire increased annual reproductive fitness via resource- and pollination-dependent mechanisms in Echinacea and Liatris but did not affect Solidago fitness. The consistent relationship between synchrony and seed set implies that temporal mating opportunities play an important role in pollination. While fire promotes flowering in many plant species, our results reveal that even closely related species exhibit differential responses to fire, which could impact the broader plant community.

Candidate gene based SSR and SNP markers for gynoecy in bitter gourd (Momordica charantia L.).

BACKGROUND: Even though the bitter gourd hybrids are shown to have significant heterosis for many of the economic traits, processes such as manual bagging and hand pollination make the hybrid seed production labour-intensive. Use of gynoecious line as female parent makes hybrid seed production more economical. This work was performed with the objective to identify the candidate gene based molecular markers for gynoecy in bitter gourd. METHODS AND RESULTS: Seven putative genes for flowering and sex expression, isolated from the monoecious (MC-136) and gynoecious (KAU-MCGy-101) bitter gourd accessions, were sequence characterized. MADS-box transcription factor genes AG6 and McAG2 had nucleotide polymorphisms at five sites each and were potential candidates for marker development. An In/Del polymorphism of 48 bp ([TC]24) in AG6 gene was used to develop an SSR marker and a transition mutation of [A/G] in this gene was used to develop a set of SNP markers. These markers have developed distinct polymorphism between the monoecious and gynoecious genotypes and were found suited for the marker assisted selection. CONCLUSIONS: MADS box transcription factor genes AG6 and McAG2 are identified as candidates for sex expression in bitter gourd. Based on the InDels and transition in the intronic region of AG6, SSR marker BGAG6 and an SNP marker set segregating with the sex forms were developed. The markers have been validated using four other monoecious lines and are routinely used in our bitter gourd hybrid seed production programmes.

Integrating demographic niches and black spruce range expansion at subarctic treelines.

When investigating relationships between species' niches and distributions, niches can be divided demographically, resulting in unique niches for different life stages. This approach can identify changing substrate requirements throughout a species' life cycle. Using non-metric multidimensional scaling, we quantified microsite conditions associated with successful recruitment in the tundra landscape and successful seed production amongst adult trees of black spruce (Picea mariana) at subarctic treeline in Yukon, Canada to assess how life stage-specific requirements may impact the distribution of this widespread boreal tree species. Treeline ecotones in this region showed high heterogeneity in tundra microsites available for establishment. Black spruce exhibited changing microsite associations from germination to reproductive maturity, which were mainly driven by changes in plant community and soil moisture. These associations limit the microsites where individuals can establish and reproduce to a subset available within the heterogeneous landscape. Overall, we suggest that (1) substrates suitable for early recruitment are limited at the range edge; and (2) reproductive adults have a narrow niche, limiting successful seed production in adults and forming sink populations where suitable conditions are limited. Our multivariate assessment of microsite suitability can provide valuable insights into the spatial distribution of a species throughout its life cycle and identify life stage-specific constraints to range expansion.